How the Air Clean Plan and carbon mitigation measures co-benefited China in PM2.5 reduction and health from 2014 to 2020

Uncovering the differentiated impacts of carbon neutrality and clean air policies in multi-provinces of China

Ambitious action plans have been launched to address climate change and air pollution. Through coupling the IMED|CGE, GAINS, and IMED|HEL models, this study investigate the impacts of implementing carbon neutrality and clean air policies on the energy-environment-health-economy chain in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei-Henan-Shandong-Shanxi region of China. Results show that Shandong holds the largest reduction in energy consumption and carbon emissions toward the 1.5°C target. Shandong, Henan, and Hebei are of particularly prominent pollutant reduction potential. Synergistic effects of carbon reduction on decreasing PM2.5 concentration will increase in the future, specifically in energy-intensive regions. Co-deployment of carbon reduction and end-of-pipe technologies are beneficial to decrease PM2.5-related mortalities and economic loss by 4.7-12.9% in 2050. Provincial carbon reduction cost will be higher than monetary health benefits after 2030, indicating that more zero-carbon technologies should be developed. Our findings provide scientific enlightenment on policymaking toward achieving carbon reduction and pollution mitigation from multiple perspectives.

A novel framework for quantitative attribution of particulate matter pollution mitigation to natural and socioeconomic drivers

Quantifying drivers contributing to air quality improvements is crucial for pollution prevention and optimizing local policies. Despite advances in machine learning for air quality analysis, their limited interpretability hinders attribution on global and local scales, vital for informed city management. Our study introduces an innovative framework quantifying socioeconomic and natural impacts on mitigation of particulate matter pollution in 31 Chinese major cities from 2014 to 2021. Two indices, formulated based on the additivity of Shapley additive explanations, are proposed to measure driver contributions globally and locally. Our analysis explores the self-contained and interactive effects of these drivers on particulate levels, pinpointing critical threshold values where these drivers trigger shifts in particulate matter levels. It is revealed that SO2, NOx, and dust emission reductions collectively account for 51.58 % and 51.96 % of PM2.5 and PM10 decreases at the global level. Moreover, our findings unveil a significant heterogeneity in driver contributions to pollutant mitigation across distinct cities, which can be instrumental in crafting location-specific policy recommendations.

Multi-timescale variation characteristics of PM2.5 in different regions of China during 2014-2022

Over the past decade, China has achieved a significant reduction in PM2.5 concentrations. Due to the diversity of natural and artificial factors, regional differences are remarkable in the variation characteristics and have not been well addressed in previous studies. Based on hourly observed PM2.5 concentrations from 2014 to 2022, this study conducted a comprehensive analysis of variation characteristics on annual, seasonal, and diurnal scales, with a special focus on differences across major regions. Driving factors of the variations, the effectiveness of air pollution control efforts as well as future priorities were discussed. The annual PM2.5 concentrations in all regions showed an overall downward trend from 2014 to 2022, but the decline rates differed notably across the regions, with the maximum value nearly two times higher than the minimum value. The seasonal decline rates also differ from region to region, which could be partially attributed to the burning of crop residues and dust events. Northeast China was significantly affected by the burning of crop residues and experienced a big drop in the number of fire points in autumn, but a remarkable increase in spring. The spring dust events may greatly contribute to PM2.5 concentrations in northern and western China. For diurnal variation, nighttime concentrations were generally greater than daytime concentrations, and the nighttime concentrations were likely to increase in eastern regions and decrease in western regions. Furthermore, the daytime and nighttime ratios (calculated by daytime/nighttime concentration divided by the daily-mean concentration) exhibited different interannual trends, with the daytime ratios decreasing and nighttime ratios increasing, especially in the northeastern and western regions. The findings indicate that the air pollution control efforts have been generally successful, but with large regional disparities, and highlight the importance of controlling crop residue burning, dust events, and nighttime emissions for specific seasons and regions.

Interpreting Highly Variable Indoor PM2.5 in Rural North China Using Machine Learning

Household air pollution associated with solid fuel use is a long-standing public concern. The global population mainly using solid fuels for cooking remains large. Besides cooking, large amounts of coal and biomass fuels are burned for space heating during cold seasons in many regions. In this study, a wintertime multiple-region field campaign was carried out in north China to evaluate indoor PM2.5 variations. With hourly resolved data from ∼1600 households, key influencing factors of indoor PM2.5 were identified from a machine learning approach, and a random forest regression (RFR) model was further developed to quantitatively assess the impacts of household energy transition on indoor PM2.5. The indoor PM2.5 concentration averaged at 120 μg/m3 but ranged from 16 to ∼400 μg/m3. Indoor PM2.5 was ∼60% lower in families using clean heating approaches compared to those burning traditional coal or biomass fuels. The RFR model had a good performance (R2 = 0.85), and the interpretation was consistent with the field observation. A transition to clean coals or biomass pellets can reduce indoor PM2.5 by 20%, and further switching to clean modern energies would reduce it an additional 30%, suggesting many significant benefits in promoting clean transitions in household heating activities.

Strategies for the coordinated control of particulate matter and carbon dioxide under multiple combined pollution conditions

Air pollutants represented by fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and the greenhouse effect caused by carbon dioxide (CO2), are both urgent threats to public health. Tackling the synergistic reduction of PM2.5 and CO2 is critical to achieving improvements in clean air worldwide. A persistent issue is the identification of their common sources and integrated impacts under different environmental conditions. In this study, we investigated the characteristics of the pollution types captured by combined analysis through a comprehensive observational dataset for 2017-2020, and applied machine learning algorithms to quantify the effects of drivers on air pollutants and CO2 formation. More importantly, detailed conclusions were drawn for the joint control of PM2.5-CO2 in multiple pollution types by using ensemble traceability technique. We demonstrated that reducing coal combustion emissions was an effective measure to maximize the benefits of PM2.5-CO2 in weather with low CO2 levels and no PM2.5 pollution. Correspondingly, on days with severe PM2.5 episodes, prioritizing control of vehicle emissions can simultaneously mitigate PM2.5 and CO2. Similar conclusions were found at high CO2 levels, accompanied by a more extensive role of vehicle emissions. Furthermore, a comparison of the differences in source impacts between PM2.5-CO2 and individual species suggests that focusing only on the sources that contribute significantly to one species may result in an underestimation or overestimation of PM2.5-CO2 source impacts. One such implication, as evidenced by our findings, is that synergistic controlling common sources of pollutants should be efficient. Thereby, common source management targeting PM2.5-CO2 under multiple pollution types is a more workable solution to alleviate environmental pollution.

Toxicological Effects of Secondary Air Pollutants

Secondary air pollutants, originating from gaseous pollutants and primary particulate matter emitted by natural sources and human activities, undergo complex atmospheric chemical reactions and multiphase processes. Secondary gaseous pollutants represented by ozone and secondary particulate matter, including sulfates, nitrates, ammonium salts, and secondary organic aerosols, are formed in the atmosphere, affecting air quality and human health. This paper summarizes the formation pathways and mechanisms of important atmospheric secondary pollutants. Meanwhile, different secondary pollutants' toxicological effects and corresponding health risks are evaluated. Studies have shown that secondary pollutants are generally more toxic than primary ones. However, due to their diverse source and complex generation mechanism, the study of the toxicological effects of secondary pollutants is still in its early stages. Therefore, this paper first introduces the formation mechanism of secondary gaseous pollutants and focuses mainly on ozone's toxicological effects. In terms of particulate matter, secondary inorganic and organic particulate matters are summarized separately, then the contribution and toxicological effects of secondary components formed from primary carbonaceous aerosols are discussed. Finally, secondary pollutants generated in the indoor environment are briefly introduced. Overall, a comprehensive review of secondary air pollutants may shed light on the future toxicological and health effects research of secondary air pollutants.

Change in Air Quality during 2014-2021 in Jinan City in China and Its Influencing Factors

Air pollution affects climate change, food production, traffic safety, and human health. In this paper, we analyze the changes in air quality index (AQI) and concentrations of six air pollutants in Jinan during 2014-2021. The results indicate that the annual average concentrations of PM₁₀, PM_2.5, NO₂, SO₂, CO, and O₃ and AQI values all declined year after year during 2014-2021. Compared with 2014, AQI in Jinan City fell by 27.3% in 2021. Air quality in the four seasons of 2021 was obviously better than that in 2014. PM_2.5 concentration was the highest in winter and PM_2.5 concentration was the lowest in summer, while it was the opposite for O₃ concentration. AQI in Jinan during the COVID epoch in 2020 was remarkably lower compared with that during the same epoch in 2021. Nevertheless, air quality during the post-COVID epoch in 2020 conspicuously deteriorated compared with that in 2021. Socioeconomic elements were the main reasons for the changes in air quality. AQI in Jinan was majorly influenced by energy consumption per 10,000-yuan GDP (ECPGDP), SO₂ emissions (SDE), NOx emissions (NOE), particulate emissions (PE), PM_2.5, and PM₁₀. Clean policies in Jinan City played a key role in improving air quality. Unfavorable meteorological conditions led to heavy pollution weather in the winter. These results could provide a scientific reference for the control of air pollution in Jinan City.