Association between ambient temperature and cause-specific cardiovascular disease admissions in Japan: A nationwide study

Estimation of the relationship between the thermal environment of a house in winter and its occupants' health

This study aims to quantify the relationship between the arbitrary thermal environment of houses in winter and their occupants' health through a comprehensive questionnaire survey, involving approximately 24,000 individuals who moved into insulated dwellings in Japan. A relationship between the degree of the thermal insulation of these houses and corresponding rates of improvement in the following 10 diseases were formulated: heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, asthma, dermatitis and eczema, pneumonia, inflammatory polyarthropathies, allergic rhinitis, and conjunctivitis. Following the statistical analysis of these outcomes, significant differences in improvement rates were identified among the levels of the thermal insulation of houses for the following five diseases: cerebrovascular diseases, asthma, dermatitis and eczema, allergic rhinitis, and conjunctivitis. In addition, the thermal environments of houses corresponding to each thermal insulation level were estimated by numerical simulations. Using these results, we organized the relationships between the thermal environment conditions of houses and observed prevalence rate for the following four diseases for which the improvement rates increased with increasing insulation levels and significant differences were identified: asthma, dermatitis and eczema, allergic rhinitis, and conjunctivitis. Consequently, we formulated equations to predict the prevalence rates of these diseases using the "mean operative temperature of rooms occupied by each family member from January 1 to February 28."

Interaction between Extreme Temperature Events and Fine Particulate Matter on Cardiometabolic Multimorbidity: Evidence from Four National Cohort Studies

Accumulating evidence linked extreme temperature events (ETEs) and fine particulate matter (PM2.5) to cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM); however, it remained unknown if and how ETEs and PM2.5 interact to trigger CMM occurrence. Merging four Chinese national cohorts with 64,140 free-CMM adults, we provided strong evidence among ETEs, PM2.5 exposure, and CMM occurrence. Performing Cox hazards regression models along with additive interaction analyses, we found that the hazards ratio (HRs) of CMM occurrence associated with heatwave and cold spell were 1.006-1.019 and 1.063-1.091, respectively. Each 10 μg/m3 increment of PM2.5 concentration was associated with 17.9% (95% confidence interval: 13.9-22.0%) increased risk of CMM. Similar adverse effects were also found among PM2.5 constituents of nitrate, organic matter, sulfate, ammonium, and black carbon. We observed a synergetic interaction of heatwave and PM2.5 pollution on CMM occurrence with relative excess risk due to the interaction of 0.999 (0.663-1.334). Our study provides novel evidence that both ETEs and PM2.5 exposure were positively associated with CMM occurrence, and the heatwave interacts synergistically with PM2.5 to trigger CMM.

Ambient temperature and cardiovascular disease-related emergency room visits in Lanzhou, China from 2013 to 2019: A time-series study

This study assessed the links between daily mean temperature and emergency room (ER) admissions for total and cause-specific cardiovascular diseases (CVD) in Lanzhou, China from 2013 to 2019. A quasi-Poisson Generalized Additive Model (GAM) and a Distributed Lag Non-Linear Model (DLNM) were used to determine the effects of temperature on total and cause-specific cardiovascular emergency visits. The relative risks (RR) at cold (hot) temperatures were calculated by comparing the 5th (95th) centile of temperature with the minimum morbidity temperature (MMT). Exposure-response curves demonstrating an inverted U-shape or an irregular M-shape association were observed between temperature and total and cause-specific CVD. The study found that both cold and hot temperatures had negative impacts on emergency room visits for various cardiovascular diseases. For people with total CVD, heart rhythm disturbances (HRD), or cerebrovascular diseases (CD), females were more sensitive to temperature than males, while for ischemic heart disease (IHD) and heart failure (HF), males were more vulnerable to temperature. The < 65 years old with total CVD, IHD, HRD, or CD was more susceptible to the effects of temperature. The results indicated that the relationship between temperature and total and cause-specific CVD was nonlinear, and susceptibility to temperature varied across disease subtype, gender, and age.

Burden of Stroke Attributable to Nonoptimal Temperature in 204 Countries and Territories: A Population-Based Study, 1990-2019

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Stroke attributable to nonoptimal temperature needs more attention with dramatic climate change. The aim of this study was to estimate the global burden and distribution characteristics of the burden.

METHODS

In this ecological study, we collected data from the Climate Research Unit Gridded Time Series, the World Bank databases, and the Global Burden of Diseases study to estimate the distribution of burden. We used the joinpoint model, decomposition analysis, age-period-cohort model, panel data analysis, and health inequality analysis to assess the different types of stroke burden attributable to different climatic conditions.

RESULTS

The burden of stroke attributable to nonoptimal temperature continued to grow, and aging was a key factor in this increase. In 2019, 521,031 (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 402,433-663,996) deaths and 9,423,649 (95% UI 7,207,660-12,055,172) disability-adjusted life years [DALYs] attributable to stroke due to nonoptimal temperature were recorded globally. Globally, men (age-standardized mortality rate [ASMR] 7.70, 95% UI 5.80-9.73; age-standardized DALY rate [ASDR] 139.69, 95% UI 102.96-178.54 in 2019) had a heavier burden than women (ASMR 5.89, 95% UI 4.50-7.60; ASDR 96.02, 95% UI 72.62-123.85 in 2019). Central Asia (ASMR 18.12, 95% UI 13.40-24.53; ASDR 327.35, 95% UI 240.24-440.61 in 2019) had the heaviest burden at the regional level. In the national level, North Macedonia (ASMR 32.97, 95% UI 20.57-47.44 in 2019) and Mongolia (ASDR 568.54, 95% UI 242.03-1,031.14 in 2019) had the highest ASMR/ASDR, respectively. Low temperature currently contributes to the main burden (deaths 474,002, 95% UI 355,077-606,537; DALYs 8,357,198, 95% UI 6,186,217-10,801,911 attributable to low temperature vs deaths 48,030, 95% UI 5,630-104,370; DALYs 1,089,329, 95% UI 112,690-2,375,345 attributable to high temperature in 2019). However, the burden due to high temperature has increased rapidly, especially among people aged older than 10 years, and was disproportionately concentrated in low sociodemographic index (SDI) regions such as Africa. In addition, the rapid increase in the stroke burden due to high temperature in Central Asia also requires special attention.

DISCUSSION

This is the first study to assess the global stroke burden attributed to nonoptimal temperature. The dramatic increase in the burden due to high temperature requires special attention, especially in low-SDI countries.

Low ambient temperature exposure increases the risk of ischemic stroke by promoting platelet activation

BACKGROUND

Accumulating epidemiological evidence suggests the association between low ambient temperature exposure and the risk of ischemic stroke, but the underlying mechanisms remain unclear.

OBJECTIVE

Given the crucial role of platelet activation and thrombosis in ischemic stroke, this study aims to investigate the effect of ambient temperature on platelet activation through multi-center clinical data in Tianjin as well as animal experiments.

METHODS

From 2018 to 2020, nearly 3000 ischemic stroke patients from three stroke centers in Tianjin were included in the analysis, among them the ADP induced platelet aggregation rate was available. Meteorological data from the same period had also been collected. After controlling for confounding factors, the generalized additive mixed model (GAMM) was used to evaluate the correlation between environmental temperature and platelet aggregation rate. In further animal experiments, platelet function assessments were conducted on mice from the cold exposure group and the normal temperature group, including platelet aggregation, spreading, and clot retraction. Additionally, tail bleeding and mesentery thrombosis were also tested to monitor hemostasis and thrombosis in vivo.

RESULT

A nonlinear "S" shaped relationship between outdoor temperature and platelet aggregation was found. Each 1 °C decrease of mean temperature was associated with an increase of 7.77 % (95 % CI: 2.06 % - 13.48 %) in platelet aggregation. The ambient temperature is not related to other platelet parameters. Subgroup analysis found that males, people aged ≥65 years, and hypertensive individuals are more susceptible to temperature changes. Furthermore, animal experiments demonstrated that the increased CIRBP levels and subsequent activation of p-AKT/p-ERK may be one of the reasons for cold exposure induced platelets activation.

CONCLUSION

Both clinical data and basic research support that low ambient temperature exposure has the potential to increase platelet activation. These results provide a basis for understanding the potential mechanism of temperature variations on the pathogenesis of cerebrovascular diseases.

Association between thermal stress and cardiovascular mortality in the subtropics

Hazardous thermal conditions resulting from climate change may play a role in cardiovascular disease development. We chose the Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI) as the exposure metric to evaluate the relationship between thermal conditions and cardiovascular mortality in Shenzhen, China. We applied quasi-Poisson regression non-linear distributed lag models to evaluate the exposure-response associations. The findings suggest that cardiovascular mortality risks were significantly increased under heat and cold stress, and the adverse effects of cold stress were stronger than heat stress. Referencing the 50th percentile of UTCI (25.4°C), the cumulative risk of cardiovascular mortality was 75% (RRlag0-21 =1.75, 95%CI: 1.32, 2.32) higher in the 1st percentile (3.5°C), and 40% (RRlag0-21=1.40, 95%CI: 1.09, 1.80) higher in the 99th percentile (34.1°C). We observed that individuals older than 65 years were more vulnerable to both cold and heat stress, and females were identified as more susceptible to heat stress than males. Moreover, increased mortality risks of hypertensive disease and cerebrovascular disease were observed under cold stress, while heat stress was related to higher risks of mortality for hypertensive disease and ischemic heart disease. We also observed a stronger relationship between cold stress and ischemic heart disease mortality during the cold season, as well as a significant impact of heat stress on cerebrovascular disease mortality in the warm season when compared to the analysis of the entire year. These results confirm the significant relationship between thermal stress and cardiovascular mortality, with age and sex as potential effect modifiers of this association. Providing affordable air conditioning equipment, increasing the amount of vegetation, and establishing comprehensive early warning systems that take human thermoregulation into account could all help to safeguard the well-being of the public, particularly vulnerable populations, in the event of future extreme weather.

Effect modification of the association between temperature variability and hospitalization for cardiovascular disease by comorbid diabetes mellitus: A nationwide time-stratified case-crossover analysis

AIMS

We aimed to explore the association between short-term exposure to temperature variability (TV), and cardiovascular hospitalization stratified by the presence of comorbid diabetes.

METHODS

We collected data on nationwide hospitalization for cardiovascular diseases and daily weather conditions during 2011-2018 in Japan. TV was calculated as the standard deviation of daily minimum and maximum temperatures within 0-7 lag days. We applied a two-stage time-stratified case-crossover design to estimate the association between TV and cardiovascular hospitalization with and without comorbid diabetes, adjusting for temperature and relative humidity. Furthermore, specific cardiovascular disease causes, demographic characteristics, and seasons were used for stratification.

RESULTS

In 3,844,910 hospitalizations for cardiovascular disease, each 1 °C increase in TV was associated with a 0.44% (95% CI: 0.22%, 0.65%) increase in the risk of cardiovascular admission. We observed a 2.07% (95% CI: 1.16%, 2.99%) and 0.61% (95% CI: -0.02%, 1.23%) increase per 1 °C in risk of heart failure admission in individuals with and those without diabetes, respectively. The higher risk among individuals with diabetes was mostly consistent in the analyses stratified by age, sex, body mass index, smoking status, and season.

CONCLUSION

Comorbid diabetes may increase susceptibility to TV in relation to acute cardiovascular disease hospitalization.

Remodeling of the cardiovascular hemodynamic environment by lower limb heat exposure: A computational fluid dynamic study

BACKGROUND

Lower limb heat exposure (LLHE) is a promising strategy for the daily management of cardiovascular health because of its non-pharmaceutical advantages. To support the application of this strategy in cardiovascular protection, we examined its impact on the global hemodynamic environment.

METHODS

Skin blood flow (SBF) of eight locations on the lower limbs was measured before and after LLHE (40 °C and 44 °C) in ten healthy subjects by using a laser Doppler flowmeter. A closed-loop model of circulation uses changes in SBF to quantify the influence of LLHE on the blood flow of the arterial trunk (from ascending aorta to the femoral artery) and visceral branches (coronary, celiac, renal, and mesenteric arteries).

RESULTS

The SBF in all locations tested on the lower limbs increased significantly (p<0.001) with LLHE and a 3.39-fold and 7.40-fold increase in mean SBF were observed under 40 °C and 44 °C conditions, respectively. In the model, the peak (3.9-25.1%), end-diastolic (13.7-107.3%), and mean blood flow (8.5-86.5%) in the arterial trunk increased with the increase in temperature, but the retrograde flow in the thoracic aorta and abdominal aorta Ⅰ increased at least twice in the diastolic period. Furthermore, LLHE also increased the blood flow of the visceral branches (2.5-20.7%).

CONCLUSION

These findings suggest that LLHE is expected to be a daily strategy for enhancing the functions of both the arterial trunk and visceral arteries, but the increased blood flow reversal in the thoracic and abdominal aortas warrants further investigation.