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Tang X, Qian H, Lu S, Huang H, Wang J, Li F, Bian A, Ye X, Yang G, Ma K, Xing C, Xu Y, Zeng M, Wang N. Predictive nomogram model for severe coronary artery calcification in end-stage kidney disease patients. Ren Fail 2024; 46:2365393. [PMID: 38874139 PMCID: PMC11232636 DOI: 10.1080/0886022x.2024.2365393] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/18/2024] [Accepted: 06/03/2024] [Indexed: 06/15/2024] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION The Agatston coronary artery calcification score (CACS) is an assessment index for coronary artery calcification (CAC). This study aims to explore the characteristics of CAC in end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) patients and establish a predictive model to assess the risk of severe CAC in patients. METHODS CACS of ESKD patients was assessed using an electrocardiogram-gated coronary computed tomography (CT) scan with the Agatston scoring method. A predictive nomogram model was established based on stepwise regression. An independent validation cohort comprised of patients with ESKD from multicentres. RESULTS 369 ESKD patients were enrolled in the training set, and 127 patients were included in the validation set. In the training set, the patients were divided into three subgroups: no calcification (CACS = 0, n = 98), mild calcification (0 < CACS ≤ 400, n = 141) and severe calcification (CACS > 400, n = 130). Among the four coronary branches, the left anterior descending branch (LAD) accounted for the highest proportion of calcification. Stepwise regression analysis showed that age, dialysis vintage, β-receptor blocker, calcium-phosphorus product (Ca × P), and alkaline phosphatase (ALP) level were independent risk factors for severe CAC. A nomogram that predicts the risk of severe CAC in ESKD patients has been internally and externally validated, demonstrating high sensitivity and specificity. CONCLUSION CAC is both prevalent and severe in ESKD patients. In the four branches of the coronary arteries, LAD calcification is the most common. Our validated nomogram model, based on clinical risk factors, can help predict the risk of severe coronary calcification in ESKD patients who cannot undergo coronary CT analysis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xinfang Tang
- Department of Nephrology, the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, China
- Department of Nephrology, the Affiliated Lianyungang Oriental Hospital of Kangda College of Nanjing Medical University, Lianyungang, China
| | - Hanyang Qian
- Department of Nephrology, the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, China
- Department of Nephrology, Nanjing Tongren Hospital, Nanjing, China
| | - Shijiu Lu
- Department of Nephrology, the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, China
| | - Hui Huang
- Center for Medical Big Data, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, Affiliated Drum Tower Hospital, Medical School of Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
| | - Jing Wang
- Department of Nephrology, the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, China
| | - Fan Li
- Department of Nephrology, the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, China
- Department of Nephrology, Nanjing BenQ Medical Center, Nanjing, China
| | - Anning Bian
- Department of Nephrology, the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, China
- Department of Critical Medicine, Geriatric Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China
| | - Xiaoxue Ye
- Department of Nephrology, the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, China
| | - Guang Yang
- Department of Nephrology, the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, China
| | - Kefan Ma
- Department of Imaging, the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, China
| | - Changying Xing
- Department of Nephrology, the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, China
| | - Yi Xu
- Department of Imaging, the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, China
| | - Ming Zeng
- Department of Nephrology, the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, China
| | - Ningning Wang
- Department of Nephrology, the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, China
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Gao X, Wang J, Huang H, Ye X, Cui Y, Ren W, Xu F, Qian H, Gao Z, Zeng M, Yang G, Huang Y, Tang S, Xing C, Wan H, Zhang L, Chen H, Jiang Y, Zhang J, Xiao Y, Bian A, Li F, Wei Y, Wang N. Nomogram Model Based on Clinical Risk Factors and Heart Rate Variability for Predicting All-Cause Mortality in Stage 5 CKD Patients. Front Genet 2022; 13:872920. [PMID: 35651948 PMCID: PMC9149361 DOI: 10.3389/fgene.2022.872920] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/11/2022] [Accepted: 04/20/2022] [Indexed: 11/26/2022] Open
Abstract
Background: Heart rate variability (HRV), reflecting circadian rhythm of heart rate, is reported to be associated with clinical outcomes in stage 5 chronic kidney disease (CKD5) patients. Whether CKD related factors combined with HRV can improve the predictive ability for their death remains uncertain. Here we evaluated the prognosis value of nomogram model based on HRV and clinical risk factors for all-cause mortality in CKD5 patients. Methods: CKD5 patients were enrolled from multicenter between 2011 and 2019 in China. HRV parameters based on 24-h Holter and clinical risk factors associated with all-cause mortality were analyzed by multivariate Cox regression. The relationships between HRV and all-cause mortality were displayed by restricted cubic spline graphs. The predictive ability of nomogram model based on clinical risk factors and HRV were evaluated for survival rate. Results: CKD5 patients included survival subgroup (n = 155) and all-cause mortality subgroup (n = 45), with the median follow-up time of 48 months. Logarithm of standard deviation of all sinus R-R intervals (lnSDNN) (4.40 ± 0.39 vs. 4.32 ± 0.42; p = 0.007) and logarithm of standard deviation of average NN intervals for each 5 min (lnSDANN) (4.27 ± 0.41 vs. 4.17 ± 0.41; p = 0.008) were significantly higher in survival subgroup than all-cause mortality subgroup. On the basis of multivariate Cox regression analysis, the lnSDNN (HR = 0.35, 95%CI: 0.17–0.73, p = 0.01) and lnSDANN (HR = 0.36, 95% CI: 0.17–0.77, p = 0.01) were associated with all-cause mortality, their relationships were negative linear. Spearman’s correlation analysis showed that lnSDNN and lnSDANN were highly correlated, so we chose lnSDNN, sex, age, BMI, diabetic mellitus (DM), β-receptor blocker, blood glucose, phosphorus and ln intact parathyroid hormone (iPTH) levels to build the nomogram model. The area under the curve (AUC) values based on lnSDNN nomogram model for predicting 3-year and 5-year survival rates were 79.44% and 81.27%, respectively. Conclusion: In CKD5 patients decreased SDNN and SDANN measured by HRV were related with their all-cause mortality, meanwhile, SDNN and SDANN were highly correlated. Nomogram model integrated SDNN and clinical risk factors are promising for evaluating their prognosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xueyan Gao
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, China.,Department of General Medicine, Geriatric Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China
| | - Jing Wang
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, China
| | - Hui Huang
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China
| | - Xiaoxue Ye
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, China
| | - Ying Cui
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, China.,Department of Nephrology, Northern Jiangsu People's Hospital Affiliated to Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, China
| | - Wenkai Ren
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, China.,Department of Nephrology, Affiliated Dongyang Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Dongyang, China
| | - Fangyan Xu
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, China.,Department of Nephrology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Jiaxing University, Jiaxing, China
| | - Hanyang Qian
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, China
| | - Zhanhui Gao
- Department of Nephrology, BenQ Medical Center, The Affiliated BenQ Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China
| | - Ming Zeng
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, China
| | - Guang Yang
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, China
| | - Yaoyu Huang
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, China
| | - Shaowen Tang
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China
| | - Changying Xing
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, China
| | - Huiting Wan
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, China
| | - Lina Zhang
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, China.,Department of Nephrology, Henan Provincial Key Laboratory of Kidney Disease and Immunology, Henan Provincial People's Hospital, People's Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, China
| | - Huimin Chen
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, China.,Department of Nephrology, Taizhou People's Hospital, Taizhou, China
| | - Yao Jiang
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, China.,Department of Nephrology, The Third People's Hospital of Jingdezhen, Jingdezhen, China
| | - Jing Zhang
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, China
| | - Yujie Xiao
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, China
| | - Anning Bian
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, China
| | - Fan Li
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, China
| | - Yongyue Wei
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China.,China International Cooperation Center for Environment and Human Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China
| | - Ningning Wang
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, China
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Xu F, Huang Y, Zeng M, Zhang L, Ren W, Qian H, Cui Y, Yang G, Zhou W, Wang S, Huang H, Chen H, Xiao Y, Gao X, Gao Z, Wang J, Liu C, Zhang J, Zhao B, Bian A, Li F, Wan H, Xing C, Zha X, Wang N. Diagnostic Values of Intraoperative (1-84) Parathyroid Hormone Levels are Superior to Intact Parathyroid Hormone for Successful Parathyroidectomy in Patients With Chronic Kidney Disease. Endocr Pract 2021; 27:1065-1071. [PMID: 33895317 DOI: 10.1016/j.eprac.2021.04.006] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/25/2021] [Revised: 04/13/2021] [Accepted: 04/14/2021] [Indexed: 11/15/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Persistent secondary hyperparathyroidism (SHPT) may occur because of residual cervicothoracic parathyroids in parathyroidectomy (PTX) patients with chronic kidney disease. We prospectively compared the predictive values of intraoperative plasma (1-84) parathyroid hormone (PTH) and intact PTH (iPTH) levels to improve the safety and efficacy of PTX. METHODS We included 100 healthy controls, 162 stage 5 chronic kidney disease patients without SHPT, and 214 patients who underwent PTX because of SHPT. Plasma iPTH and (1-84) PTH levels were measured before incision (io-iPTH0 and io-[1-84]PTH0, respectively) and 10 minutes (io-iPTH10 and io-[1-84]PTH10, respectively) and 20 minutes (io-iPTH20 and io-[1-84]PTH20, respectively) after removing all parathyroids. The percentage reduction of iPTH and (1-84) PTH at 10 minutes (io-iPTH10% and io-[1-84]PTH10%, respectively) and 20 minutes (io-iPTH20%, and io-[1-84]PTH20%, respectively) was calculated. iPTH and (1-84) PTH were measured using second- and third-generation PTH assays, respectively. RESULTS Compared with the controls and non-PTX patients, the PTX group had more obvious mineral metabolism disorders. There were 187 successful PTXs, 19 patients with persistent SHPT, and 8 patients lost to follow-up. The receiver operating characteristic curves revealed that io-(1-84)PTH10% >86.6% and io-(1-84)PTH20% >87.5% suggested successful PTX. The sensitivity of io-iPTH20% and io-(1-84)PTH20% were higher than those at the timepoint of 10 minutes. Moreover, the specificity and sensitivity of the (1-84) PTH reduction percentage were superior to that of iPTH. CONCLUSION Intraoperative reduction percentages of plasma (1-84) PTH levels are superior to iPTH for accurately predicting successful PTX, especially at 20 minutes after all cervicothoracic parathyroids had been resected.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fangyan Xu
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Yaoyu Huang
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Ming Zeng
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Lina Zhang
- Department of Nephrology, Henan Provincial Key Laboratory of Kidney Disease and Immunology, Henan Provincial People's Hospital, People's Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Henan, China
| | - Wenkai Ren
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Hanyang Qian
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Ying Cui
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; Department of Nephrology, Northern Jiangsu People's Hospital, Jiangsu, China
| | - Guang Yang
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Wenbin Zhou
- Department of General Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Jiangsu, China
| | - Shui Wang
- Department of General Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Jiangsu, China
| | - Hui Huang
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu, China
| | - Huimin Chen
- Department of Nephrology, Taizhou People's Hospital, Jiangsu, China
| | - Yujie Xiao
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Xueyan Gao
- Department of General Medicine, Geriatric Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu, China
| | - Zhanhui Gao
- Department of Nephrology, BenQ Medical Center, The Affiliated BenQ Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu, China
| | - Jing Wang
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Cuiping Liu
- Department of Biological Specimen Repository, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Jiangsu, China
| | - Jing Zhang
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Baiqiao Zhao
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Anning Bian
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Fan Li
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Huiting Wan
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Changying Xing
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Xiaoming Zha
- Department of General Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Jiangsu, China.
| | - Ningning Wang
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Province Hospital, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
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