Leveraging AI for advanced analytics to forecast altered tourism industry parameters: A COVID-19 motivated study

Let us take a walk to the sustainable tourism practices: a qualitative study through the lens of tourism experts

The rising opportunities of sustainable tourism have brought many policies to control the exploitation of the environment and increase the reach of luxurious, safe, and authentic experiences to the different segments of tourists. This study seeks to prioritize the variables influencing the development of sustainable tourism and pinpoint key success factors that align with the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). It adopts a tri-dimensional framework encompassing economic, social, and environmental aspects, further delineated into eleven sub-dimensions, to provide a quantitative evaluation of sustainable tourism. We conducted interviews with 26 tourism industry experts hailing from eight countries, analyzing their responses using interval type-2 fuzzy sets. The results underscore the critical role of specific components in advancing sustainable tourism. In the economic dimension, "financial resources and tourism costs" emerge as vital factors. In the social dimension, "health and safety" takes center stage, while "green infrastructure" plays a pivotal role in the environmental dimension. These findings underscore the significance of these aspects in promoting sustainable tourism. Furthermore, this study explores the strategic importance of sustainable tourism equity in shaping tourism planning and development for emerging markets.

Predicting economic resilience of territories in Italy during the COVID-19 first lockdown

This paper aims to predict the economic resilience to crises of territories based on local pre-existing socioeconomic characteristics. Specifically, we consider the case of Italian municipalities during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic, leveraging a large-scale dataset of cardholders performing transactions in Point-of-Sales. Based on a set of machine learning classifiers, we show that network-based measures and variables related to the social, economic, demographic and environmental dimensions are relevant predictors of the economic resilience of Italian municipalities to the crisis. In particular, we find accurate classification performance both in balanced and un-balanced scenarios, as well as in the case we restrict the analysis to specific geographical areas. Our analysis predicts that territories with larger income per capita, soil consumption, concentration of real estate activities and commuting network centrality in terms of closeness and Pagerank constitute the set of most affected areas, experiencing the strongest reduction of economic activities during the COVID-19 pandemic. Overall, we provide an application of an early-warning system able to provide timely evidence to policymakers about the detrimental effects generated by natural disasters and severe crisis episodes, thus contributing to optimize public decision support systems.

Emergent multipath COVID-19 specimen collection problem with green corridor through variable length GA

The COVID-19 pandemic has spread worldwide exponentially. Typically, for testing, a provincial main government hospital cum testing center collects patients' specimens from remote health centers in the minimum possible time, satisfying the 'false negativity' constraint of the first collected specimen. With infrastructural developments throughout the world, multiple paths are available for transportation between two cities. Currently, the 'green corridor' is used for the transportation of human organs to be implanted, travel of VIPs, etc., in the minimum possible time. Taking these facts in consideration, for the first time, a green corridor system is suggested to provide a transportation pathway from small hospitals and urban/rural health centers to the testing center with COVID-19 specimens such as blood, nasal and throat swabs, and viral RNA, within the first collected specimen's life period. As health centers are located in different places, appropriate routing plans are needed for visiting them in the minimum possible time. A problem arises if this routing time exceeds the 'false negativity' of the first collected specimen. Thus, multipath COVID-19 specimen collection problems (MPC-19SCPs) are mathematically formulated to be collected from all health centers, and optimum routing plans are obtained using fixed and variable length genetic algorithms (VLGAs) developed for this purpose. For the first time, green corridor systems are suggested to incorporate the centers. The objectives of the models are, subject to the 'false-negative" constraint, minimization of the system time (Model A) and the green corridor time without or with mutual cooperation among the minimum number of centers for the transfer of specimens (Models B and C, respectively). The developed algorithms are based on variable length chromosomes, probabilistic selection, comparison crossover and generation-dependent mutation. Some benchmark instances from TSPLIB are solved by VLGA and GA. The competitiveness of VLGA is established through ANOVA. The models are numerically demonstrated, and some conclusions are derived.

Deep learning techniques for detection and prediction of pandemic diseases: a systematic literature review

Deep learning (DL) is becoming a fast-growing field in the medical domain and it helps in the timely detection of any infectious disease (IDs) and is essential to the management of diseases and the prediction of future occurrences. Many scientists and scholars have implemented DL techniques for the detection and prediction of pandemics, IDs and other healthcare-related purposes, these outcomes are with various limitations and research gaps. For the purpose of achieving an accurate, efficient and less complicated DL-based system for the detection and prediction of pandemics, therefore, this study carried out a systematic literature review (SLR) on the detection and prediction of pandemics using DL techniques. The survey is anchored by four objectives and a state-of-the-art review of forty-five papers out of seven hundred and ninety papers retrieved from different scholarly databases was carried out in this study to analyze and evaluate the trend of DL techniques application areas in the detection and prediction of pandemics. This study used various tables and graphs to analyze the extracted related articles from various online scholarly repositories and the analysis showed that DL techniques have a good tool in pandemic detection and prediction. Scopus and Web of Science repositories are given attention in this current because they contain suitable scientific findings in the subject area. Finally, the state-of-the-art review presents forty-four (44) studies of various DL technique performances. The challenges identified from the literature include the low performance of the model due to computational complexities, improper labeling and the absence of a high-quality dataset among others. This survey suggests possible solutions such as the development of improved DL-based techniques or the reduction of the output layer of DL-based architecture for the detection and prediction of pandemic-prone diseases as future considerations.