Circulating tumor DNA as a Predictive and Prognostic Biomarker in the Perioperative Treatment of Muscle-invasive Bladder Cancer: A Systematic Review

Circulating Tumour DNA and Its Prognostic Role in Management of Muscle Invasive Bladder Cancer: A Narrative Review of the Literature

Current management of non-metastatic muscle invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) includes radical cystectomy and cisplatin-based neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC), offers a 5-year survival rate of approximately 50% and is associated with significant toxicities. A growing body of evidence supports the role of liquid biopsies including circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) as a prognostic and predictive marker that could stratify patients according to individualised risk of progression/recurrence. Detectable ctDNA levels prior to radical cystectomy have been shown to be correlated with higher risk of recurrence and worse overall prognosis after cystectomy. In addition, ctDNA status after NAC/neoadjuvant immunotherapy is predictive of the pathological response to these treatments, with persistently detectable ctDNA being associated with residual bladder tumour at cystectomy. Finally, detectable ctDNA levels post-cystectomy have been associated with disease relapse and worse disease-free (DFS) and overall survival (OS) and might identify a population with survival benefit from adjuvant immunotherapy.

Longitudinal Tumor-informed Circulating Tumor DNA Status Predicts Disease Upstaging and Poor Prognosis for Patients Undergoing Radical Cystectomy

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Decision-making on the use of neoadjuvant and adjuvant treatment for patients with bladder cancer undergoing radical cystectomy (RC) currently depends on assessment of clinical and pathological features, which lack sensitivity. Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) has emerged as a possible novel prognostic biomarker in the field. Our aim was to assess whether ctDNA status before RC is predictive of pathological and oncological outcomes. We also evaluated the dynamic changes in ctDNA status after RC in relation to recurrence-free survival (RFS).

METHODS

We analyzed data for patients who underwent RC during 2021-2023 for whom prospective tumor-informed ctDNA analyses were conducted before and after RC. RFS was evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Predictors for disease recurrence were assessed using Cox proportional-hazards models. Pathological outcomes associated with detectable ctDNA before RC were assessed in univariable and multivariable regression analyses.

KEY FINDINGS AND LIMITATIONS

We included 112 patients in the analysis. Median follow-up was 8 mo (interquartile range 4-13). ctDNA was detected before RC in 59 patients (53%) and was associated with poor RFS (log-rank p < 0.0001). Detectable ctDNA before RC was associated with poor outcomes regardless of clinical stage (

CONCLUSIONS AND CLINICAL IMPLICATIONS

Detectable ctDNA before definitive therapy with RC is predictive of nodal involvement, locally advanced disease, and disease recurrence in patients with bladder cancer. ctDNA status holds promise for improving clinical staging and augmenting current decision-making tools.

PATIENT SUMMARY

We found that for patients with bladder cancer undergoing radical cystectomy, a test to show the presence of tumor DNA in blood before surgery was able to predict the risk of disease relapse and adverse pathology. Use of this assay could help in decision-making by clinicians and patients for optimal personalized treatment of this disease.

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Key Words

• Circulating tumor DNA
• Non–muscle-invasive bladder neoplasms
• Tumor biomarkers
• Urinary bladder neoplasms

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Affiliation(s)

Reuben Ben-David Urology Department, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
Neeraja Tillu Urology Department, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA
Shivaram Cumarasamy Urology Department, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA
Parissa Alerasool The Tisch Cancer Institute, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA
Jordan M Rich Urology Department, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA
Basil Kaufmann Urology Department, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA
Yuval Elkun Urology Department, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA
Kyrollis Attalla Urology Department, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA
Reza Mehrazin Urology Department, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA
Peter Wiklund Urology Department, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA
John P Sfakianos Urology Department, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA

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Analytical validation of NeXT Personal®, an ultra-sensitive personalized circulating tumor DNA assay

We describe the analytical validation of NeXT Personal®, an ultra-sensitive, tumor-informed circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) assay for detecting residual disease, monitoring therapy response, and detecting recurrence in patients diagnosed with solid tumor cancers. NeXT Personal uses whole genome sequencing of tumor and matched normal samples combined with advanced analytics to accurately identify up to ~1,800 somatic variants specific to the patient's tumor. A personalized panel is created, targeting these variants and then used to sequence cell-free DNA extracted from patient plasma samples for ultra-sensitive detection of ctDNA. The NeXT Personal analytical validation is based on panels designed from tumor and matched normal samples from two cell lines, and from 123 patients across nine cancer types. Analytical measurements demonstrated a detection threshold of 1.67 parts per million (PPM) with a limit of detection at 95% (LOD95) of 3.45 PPM. NeXT Personal showed linearity over a range of 0.8 to 300,000 PPM (Pearson correlation coefficient = 0.9998). Precision varied from a coefficient of variation of 12.8% to 3.6% over a range of 25 to 25,000 PPM. The assay targets 99.9% specificity, with this validation study measuring 100% specificity and in silico methods giving us a confidence interval of 99.92 to 100%. In summary, this study demonstrates NeXT Personal as an ultra-sensitive, highly quantitative and robust ctDNA assay that can be used to detect residual disease, monitor treatment response, and detect recurrence in patients.

Predictive and prognostic biomarkers in urological tumours

Advancements in cutting-edge molecular profiling techniques, such as next-generation sequencing and bioinformatic analytic tools, have allowed researchers to examine tumour biology in detail and stratify patients based on factors linked with clinical outcome and response to therapy. This manuscript highlights the most relevant prognostic and predictive biomarkers in kidney, bladder, prostate and testicular cancers with recognised impact in clinical practice. In bladder and prostate cancer, new genetic acquisitions concerning the biology of tumours have modified the therapeutic scenario and led to the approval of target directed therapies, increasing the quality of patient care. Thus, it has become of paramount importance to choose adequate molecular tests, i.e., FGFR screening for urothelial cancer and BRCA1-2 alterations for prostate cancer, to guide the treatment plan for patients. While no tissue or blood-based biomarkers are currently used in routine clinical practice for renal cell carcinoma and testicular cancers, the field is quickly expanding. In kidney tumours, gene expression signatures might be the key to identify patients who will respond better to immunotherapy or anti-angiogenic drugs. In testicular germ cell tumours, the use of microRNA has outperformed conventional serum biomarkers in the diagnosis of primary tumours, prediction of chemoresistance, follow-up monitoring, and relapse prediction.

Tumor-Agnostic Circulating Tumor DNA Testing for Monitoring Muscle-Invasive Bladder Cancer

Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) has recently emerged as a real-time prognostic and predictive biomarker for monitoring cancer patients. Here, we aimed to ascertain whether tumor-agnostic ctDNA testing would be a feasible strategy to monitor disease progression and therapeutic response in muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) patients after radical cystectomy (RC). Forty-two MIBC patients who underwent RC were prospectively included. Blood samples from these patients were collected at different follow-up time points. Two specific mutations (TERT c.1-124C>T and ATM c.1236-2A>T) were analyzed in the patients' plasma samples by droplet digital PCR to determine their ctDNA status. During a median follow-up of 21 months, 24% of patients progressed in a median of six months. ctDNA status was identified as a prognostic biomarker of tumor progression before RC and 4 and 12 months later (HR 6.774, HR 3.673, and HR 30.865, respectively; p < 0.05). Lastly, dynamic changes in ctDNA status between baseline and four months later were significantly associated with patient outcomes (p = 0.045). In conclusion, longitudinal ctDNA analysis using a tumor-agnostic approach is a potential tool for monitoring MIBC patients after RC. The implementation of this testing in a clinical setting could improve disease management and patients' outcomes.

Use of genomic markers to improve epidemiologic and clinical research in urology

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Urologic cancers result from the appearance of genomic alterations in the target organ due to the combination of genetic and environmental factors. Knowledge of the genomic markers involved in their etiology and mechanisms for their development continue to progress. This reviewed provides an update on recent genomic studies that have informed epidemiologic and clinical research in urology.

RECENT FINDINGS

Inherited variations are an established risk factor for urologic cancers with significant estimates of heritability for prostate, kidney, and bladder cancer. The roles of both rare germline variants, identified from family-based studies, and common variants, identified from genome-wide association studies, have provided important information about the genetic architecture for urologic cancers. Large-scale analyses of tumors have generated genomic, epigenomic, transcriptomic, and proteomic data that have also provided novel insights into etiology and mechanisms. These tumors characteristics, along with the associated tumor microenvironment, have attempted to provide more accurate risk stratification, prognosis of disease and therapeutic management.

SUMMARY

Genomic studies of inherited and acquired variation are changing the landscape of our understanding of the causes of urologic cancers and providing important translational insights for their management. Their use in epidemiologic and clinical studies is thus essential.