Predicting the dispersal of SARS-CoV-2 RNA from the wastewater treatment plant to the coast

Decay of RNA and infectious SARS-CoV-2 and murine hepatitis virus in wastewater

Wastewater-based epidemiology (WBE) has been an important tool for population surveillance during the COVID-19 pandemic and continues to play a key role in monitoring SARS-CoV-2 infection levels following reductions in national clinical testing schemes. Studies measuring decay profiles of SARS-CoV-2 in wastewater have underscored the value of WBE, however investigations have been hampered by high biosafety requirements for SARS-CoV-2 infection studies. Therefore, surrogate viruses with lower biosafety standards have been used for SARS-CoV-2 decay studies, such as murine hepatitis virus (MHV), but few studies have directly compared decay rates of both viruses. We compared the persistence of SARS-CoV-2 and MHV in wastewater, using 50 % tissue culture infectious dose (TCID50) and reverse transcription quantitative polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR) assays to assess infectious virus titre and viral gene markers, respectively. Infectious SARS-CoV-2 and MHV indicate similar endpoints, however observed early decay characteristics differed, with infectious SARS-CoV-2 decaying more rapidly than MHV. We find that MHV is an appropriate infectious virus surrogate for viable SARS-CoV-2, however inconsistencies exist in viral RNA decay parameters, indicating MHV may not be a suitable nucleic acid surrogate across certain temperature regimes. This study highlights the importance of sample preparation and the potential for decay rate overestimation in wastewater surveillance for SARS-CoV-2 and other pathogens.

Plastic pollution and human pathogens: Towards a conceptual shift in risk management at bathing water and beach environments

Emerging evidence indicates that micro- and macro-plastics present in water can support a diverse microbial community, including potential human pathogens (e.g., bacteria, viruses). This interaction raises important concerns surrounding the role and suitability of current bathing water regulations and associated pathogen exposure risk within beach environments. In response to this, we critically evaluated the available evidence on plastic-pathogen interactions and identified major gaps in knowledge. This review highlighted the need for a conceptual shift in risk management at public beaches recognising: (i) interconnected environmental risks, e.g., associations between microbial compliance parameters, potential pathogens and both contemporary and legacy plastic pollution; and (ii) an appreciation of risk of exposure to plastic co-pollutants for both water and waterside users. We present a decision-making framework to identify options to manage plastic-associated pathogen risks alongside short- and longer-term research priorities. This advance will help deliver improvements in managing plastic-associated pathogen risk, acknowledging that human exposure potential is not limited to only those who engage in water-based activity. We argue that adopting these recommendations will help create an integrated approach to managing and reducing human exposure to pathogens at bathing, recreational water and beach environments.

Cross-continental comparative experiences of wastewater surveillance and a vision for the 21st century

The COVID-19 pandemic has brought the epidemiological value of monitoring wastewater into sharp focus. The challenges of implementing and optimising wastewater monitoring vary significantly from one region to another, often due to the array of different wastewater systems around the globe, as well as the availability of resources to undertake the required analyses (e.g. laboratory infrastructure and expertise). Here we reflect on the local and shared challenges of implementing a SARS-CoV-2 monitoring programme in two geographically and socio-economically distinct regions, São Paulo state (Brazil) and Wales (UK), focusing on design, laboratory methods and data analysis, and identifying potential guiding principles for wastewater surveillance fit for the 21st century. Our results highlight the historical nature of region-specific challenges to the implementation of wastewater surveillance, including previous experience of using wastewater surveillance, stakeholders involved, and nature of wastewater infrastructure. Building on those challenges, we then highlight what an ideal programme would look like if restrictions such as resource were not a constraint. Finally, we demonstrate the value of bringing multidisciplinary skills and international networks together for effective wastewater surveillance.

Trapping and bypassing of suspended particulate matter, particulate nutrients and faecal indicator organisms in the river-estuary transition zone of a shallow macrotidal estuary

Hydrodynamic controls of the transport of suspended particulate matter (SPM), particulate nutrients and faecal indicator organisms (FIOs) in the river-estuary transition zone (RETZ) of a shallow macrotidal estuary were studied on tidal and seasonal timescales. The RETZ was found to be a conduit for SPM rather than a zone of particle accumulation during spring tides, with complex size fractionation and biogeochemical exchanges of particulate nutrient/FIO compositions. The downstream RETZ was characterised by flood-dominant currents, but with ebb-dominant turbulence due to the suppression of flood tide turbulence by salinity stratification created by lateral convergence; this produced a net seaward mass transport of SPM. Without lateral convergence in the narrower upstream RETZ, flood-dominant currents and flood-dominant turbulence were experienced. Hence the RETZ exported SPM landwards from its upper end and seawards from its lower end - a process observed throughout the year during spring tides and low-to-mean river flows. During neap tides when SPM concentrations were reduced, the RETZ became a zone of minor particle accumulation as its lower end imported SPM landwards from the estuary and its upper end imported SPM seawards from the river. During a river flood event, net SPM flux was significantly increased and was seawards throughout the RETZ. SPM mass concentration and carbon, nitrogen, phosphorous, and FIO concentrations peaked due to local resuspension and advection of an ephemeral estuarine turbidity maximum (ETM). The ETM formed on the advancing flood tide due to entrainment of material from intertidal flats. Flocculation and settling occurred at high slack water. The ETM was reconstituted by entrainment on the ebb and was composed of larger flocs than on the flood. Particulate nutrients and FIOs were associated with flocs in the 10-200 μm range but not with smaller or larger flocs. SPM concentrations in the resuspension component and ETM exceeded microbial water quality standards, emphasising the need for monitoring practices that consider tidal dynamics. The results from this study showing periodic SPM export from, rather than prolonged accumulation in, the RETZ and the influence of particle size fractionation on biogeochemical fluxes in the RETZ, are likely to be transferable to many other embayment-type estuaries on macrotidal coasts.

A phenomenological neural network powered by the National Wastewater Surveillance System for estimation of silent COVID-19 infections

Although wastewater-based epidemiology (WBE) has emerged as an inexpensive and non-intrusive method in contrast to clinical testing to track public health at community levels, there is a lack of structured interpretative criteria to translate the SARS-CoV-2 concentrations in wastewater to COVID-19 infection cases. The difficulties lie in the uncertainties of the amount of virus shed by an infected individual to wastewater as documented in clinical studies. This situation is even worse considering the existence of a population of silent infections and many other confounding factors. In this research, a quantitative framework of a phenomenological neural network (PNN) was developed to compute silent infections. The PNN was trained using the WBE data from the National Wastewater Surveillance System (NWSS) - a program launched by the CDC of the United States in 2020. It is found that the PNN excelled with superior interpretability and reduced overfitting. A big-data perspective on virus shedding by an infected population revealed more deterministic virus-shedding dynamics compared to the clinical studies perspective on virus shedding by an infected individual. With such characteristics employed as the theoretical basis for the estimation of the silent infections, a ratio of silent to reported infections was found to be 5.7 as the national median during the studied period. The study also noted the influence of temperature, sewershed population, and per-capita flow rates on the computation of silent infections. It is expected that the proposed framework in this work would facilitate public health actions guided by the SARS-CoV-2 concentrations in wastewater. In case of a new wave emergence or a new virus disease outbreak like COVID-19, the PNN powered by the NWSS would outline consolidated and systematic information that would enable rapid deployment of public health actions.