Correlation of the predictive ability of early warning metrics and mortality for cardiac arrest patients receiving in-hospital Advanced Cardiovascular Life Support

Use of the Modified Early Warning Score by Medical-Surgical Nurses to Initiate the Rapid Response Team: Impact on Patient Outcomes

BACKGROUND

Cardiac arrests are often preceded by several hours of physiological deterioration that may go undetected.

LOCAL PROBLEM

Cardiac arrests frequently occurred on medical-surgical units without prior rapid response team intervention.

METHODS

A pre/postintervention design was used to evaluate a protocol to guide the use of the Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS) by medical-surgical nurses to escalate the care of deteriorating adult patients.

INTERVENTIONS

Following staff education, the MEWS protocol was implemented across 8 medical-surgical units.

RESULTS

There was a significant increase in patients experiencing a rapid response prior to a cardiac arrest after implementing the MEWS protocol ( P < .0001).

CONCLUSION

Implementing a consistent review of MEWS values allows medical-surgical nurses to initiate assistance from a rapid response team that may prevent an inpatient cardiac arrest.

The outcome of in- and out-hospital cardiopulmonary arrest in the older population: a scoping review

Aim

We aimed to collect the available evidence on outcome regarding survival and quality of life after CPR following both IHCA and OHCA in the older population.

Findings

Hospital survival rates following IHCA and OHCA in the older population improved in the recent decade, though do not exceed 28.5% and 11.1%, respectively. The effect of age on outcome remains controversial and age should not be used as the sole decision criterium whether to initiate CPR.

Message

Future research should study frailty and resilience as an independent predictor regardless of age, and add broader, extensive QoL measures as outcome variables.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s41999-021-00454-y.

Purpose

We aimed to collect the available evidence on outcome regarding survival and quality of life after cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) following both in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA) and out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) in the older population.

Methods

A scoping review was performed studying published reviews after 2008, focusing on outcome of CPR in patients aged ≥ 70 years following IHCA and OHCA. In addition, 11 (IHCA) and 19 (OHCA) eligible studies published after the 2 included reviews were analyzed regarding: return of spontaneous circulation, survival until hospital discharge, long-term survival, neurological outcome, discharge location or other measurements for quality of life (QoL).

Results

The survival until hospital discharge ranged between 11.6 and 28.5% for IHCA and 0–11.1% for OHCA, and declined with increasing age. The same trend was seen regarding 1-year survival rates with 5.7–25.0% and 0–10% following IHCA and OHCA, respectively. A good neurological outcome defined as a Cerebral Performance Category (CPC) 1–2 was found in 11.5–23.6% (IHCA) and up to 10.5% (OHCA) of all patients. However, the proportion of CPC 1–2 among patients surviving until hospital discharge was 82–93% (IHCA) and 77–91.6% (OHCA). Few studies included other QoL measures as an outcome variable. Other risk factors aside from age were identified, including nursing home residency, comorbidity, non-shockable rhythm, non-witnessed arrest. The level of frailty was not studied as a predictor of arrest outcome in the included studies.

Conclusions

Hospital survival rates following IHCA and OHCA in the older population improved in the recent decade, though do not exceed 28.5% and 11.1%, respectively. The effect of age on outcome remains controversial and age should not be used as the sole decision criterium whether to initiate CPR. Future research should study frailty and resilience as an independent predictor regardless of age, and add broader, extensive QoL measures as outcome variables.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s41999-021-00454-y.

Early warning scores for detecting deterioration in adult hospital patients: systematic review and critical appraisal of methodology

OBJECTIVE

To provide an overview and critical appraisal of early warning scores for adult hospital patients.

DESIGN

Systematic review.

DATA SOURCES

Medline, CINAHL, PsycInfo, and Embase until June 2019.

ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA FOR STUDY SELECTION

Studies describing the development or external validation of an early warning score for adult hospital inpatients.

RESULTS

13 171 references were screened and 95 articles were included in the review. 11 studies were development only, 23 were development and external validation, and 61 were external validation only. Most early warning scores were developed for use in the United States (n=13/34, 38%) and the United Kingdom (n=10/34, 29%). Death was the most frequent prediction outcome for development studies (n=10/23, 44%) and validation studies (n=66/84, 79%), with different time horizons (the most frequent was 24 hours). The most common predictors were respiratory rate (n=30/34, 88%), heart rate (n=28/34, 83%), oxygen saturation, temperature, and systolic blood pressure (all n=24/34, 71%). Age (n=13/34, 38%) and sex (n=3/34, 9%) were less frequently included. Key details of the analysis populations were often not reported in development studies (n=12/29, 41%) or validation studies (n=33/84, 39%). Small sample sizes and insufficient numbers of event patients were common in model development and external validation studies. Missing data were often discarded, with just one study using multiple imputation. Only nine of the early warning scores that were developed were presented in sufficient detail to allow individualised risk prediction. Internal validation was carried out in 19 studies, but recommended approaches such as bootstrapping or cross validation were rarely used (n=4/19, 22%). Model performance was frequently assessed using discrimination (development n=18/22, 82%; validation n=69/84, 82%), while calibration was seldom assessed (validation n=13/84, 15%). All included studies were rated at high risk of bias.

CONCLUSIONS

Early warning scores are widely used prediction models that are often mandated in daily clinical practice to identify early clinical deterioration in hospital patients. However, many early warning scores in clinical use were found to have methodological weaknesses. Early warning scores might not perform as well as expected and therefore they could have a detrimental effect on patient care. Future work should focus on following recommended approaches for developing and evaluating early warning scores, and investigating the impact and safety of using these scores in clinical practice.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION

PROSPERO CRD42017053324.

The incidence and characteristics of 3-month mortality after intraoperative cardiac arrest in adults

BACKGROUND

There is little information about clinical outcomes after intraoperative cardiac arrest (IOCA). We determined the incidence and characteristics of 3-month mortality after IOCA.

METHODS

The electronic medical records of 238,648 adult surgical patients from January 2005 to December 2014 were reviewed retrospectively. Characteristics of IOCA were documented using the Utstein reporting template.

RESULTS

IOCA occurred in 50 patients (21/100,000 surgeries). Nineteen patients died in the operating room, and further 12 patients died within 3 months post-arrest (total mortality: 62%). Three survivors at 3 months post-arrest had unfavourable neurological outcome. Finally, 34 patients showed unfavourable clinical outcomes at 3 months post-arrest. The incidences of non-cardiac surgery, emergency, pre-operative intubation state, non-shockable initial cardiac rhythm, hypovolaemic shock, pre-operative complications-induced cardiac arrest, non-anaesthetic cause of cardiac arrest, intra- and post-arrest transfusion, and continuous infusion of inotrope or vasopressor in intensive care unit (ICU) were significantly higher in non-survivors at 3 months post-arrest. Total epinephrine dose administrated during arrest was higher, and the duration of cardiac compressions was longer in non-survivors at 3 months post-arrest.

CONCLUSIONS

In this study, the incidence of IOCA was 21/100,000 surgeries and the 3-month mortality rate after IOCA was 62%. Several factors including surgical emergency, non-shockable initial cardiac rhythm, pre-operative complications, surgical complications, long duration of cardiac compressions, high total epinephrine dose, transfusion, and continuous infusion of inotropes or vasopressors in ICU seemed to be risk factors for 3-month mortality after IOCA. These risk factors should be considered in the light of relatively small sample size of this study.