National assessment of Canadian pandemic preparedness: Employing InFluNet to identify high-risk areas for inter-wave vaccine distribution

A systematic literature review on public health and healthcare resources for pandemic preparedness planning

BACKGROUND

Generating insights into resource demands during outbreaks is an important aspect of pandemic preparedness. The EU PANDEM-2 project used resource modelling to explore the demand profile for key resources during pandemic scenarios. This review aimed to identify public health and healthcare resources needed to respond to pandemic threats and the ranges of parameter values on the use of these resources for pandemic influenza (including the novel influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 pandemic) and the COVID-19 pandemic, to support modelling activities.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic literature review and searched Embase and Medline databases (1995 - June 2023) for articles that included a model, scenario, or simulation of pandemic resources and/or describe resource parameters, for example personal protective equipment (PPE) usage, length of stay (LoS) in intensive care unit (ICU), or vaccine efficacy. Papers with data on resource parameters from all countries were included.

RESULTS

We identified 2754 articles of which 147 were included in the final review. Forty-six different resource parameters with values related to non-ICU beds (n = 43 articles), ICU beds (n = 57), mechanical ventilation (n = 39), healthcare workers (n = 12), pharmaceuticals (n = 21), PPE (n = 8), vaccines (n = 26), and testing and tracing (n = 19). Differences between resource types related to pandemic influenza and COVID-19 were observed, for example on mechanical ventilation (mostly for COVID-19) and testing & tracing (all for COVID-19).

CONCLUSION

This review provides an overview of public health and healthcare resources with associated parameters in the context of pandemic influenza and the COVID-19 pandemic. Providing insight into the ranges of plausible parameter values on the use of public health and healthcare resources improves the accuracy of results of modelling different scenarios, and thus decision-making by policy makers and hospital planners. This review also highlights a scarcity of published data on important public health resources.

David Versus Goliath: The Clinical Consequences of an Influenza A Viral Infection in an Unvaccinated Patient

Acute influenza virus (AIV) infection can manifest as a severe life-threating illness in patients who are not vaccinated, and furthermore, have comorbidities that place them at risk for rapid respiratory decompensation. Each year influenza causes death in individuals with high risk for contracting this infection, although the illness is preventable by vaccination. Complications of AIV infection, such as bacterial pneumonia are treatable, but other severe complications such as acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) leading to diffuse alveolar damage (DAD) are limited to supportive therapy and self-resolution. In most cases, ARDS leading to DAD is fatal, due to the insidious severity of symptoms which lead to rapid oxygen desaturation without correction, and despite supportive therapy. Regardless of a poor prognosis, the clinical signs and symptoms are congruent with imaging and attest to the importance of vaccination, which protect against high mortality rates.