The value of cardiorespiratory fitness and exercise-induced ST segment depression in predicting death from coronary heart disease

Hemodynamic Gain Index Is Associated With Cardiovascular Mortality and Improves Risk Prediction: A PROSPECTIVE COHORT STUDY

PURPOSE

The hemodynamic gain index (HGI) and cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) are parameters assessed during cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPX). The association between the HGI and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality is uncertain. We evaluated the association between the HGI and CVD mortality risk using a prospective study.

METHODS

The HGI was calculated using heart rate (HR) and systolic blood pressure (SBP) measured in 1634 men aged 42-61 yr during CPX, using the formula: [(HR peak × SBP peak ) - (HR rest × SBP rest )]/(HR rest × SBP rest ). Cardiorespiratory fitness was directly measured using a respiratory gas exchange analyzer.

RESULTS

During a median (IQR) follow-up of 28.7 (19.0, 31.4) yr, 439 CVD deaths occurred. The risk of CVD mortality decreased continuously with the increasing HGI ( P value for nonlinearity = .28). Each unit higher HGI (1.06 bpm/mm Hg) was associated with a decreased risk of CVD mortality (HR = 0.80: 95% CI, 0.71-0.89), which was attenuated after further adjustment for CRF (HR = 0.92: 95% CI, 0.81-1.04). Cardiorespiratory fitness was associated with CVD mortality and the association remained after adjustment for the HGI: (HR = 0.86: 95% CI, 0.80-0.92) per each unit (MET) higher CRF. Addition of the HGI to a CVD mortality risk prediction model improved risk discrimination (C-index change = 0.0285; P < .001) and reclassification (net reclassification improvement = 8.34%; P < .001). The corresponding values for CRF were a C-index change of 0.0413 ( P < .001) and a categorical net reclassification improvement of 14.74% ( P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

The higher HGI is inversely associated with CVD mortality in a graded fashion, but the association is partly dependent on CRF levels. The HGI improves the prediction and reclassification of the risk for CVD mortality.

Haemodynamic Gain Index Is Associated with Risk of Sudden Cardiac Death and Improves Risk Prediction: A Cohort Study

INTRODUCTION

Haemodynamic gain index (HGI) is a novel haemodynamic parameter which can be obtained from cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPX), but its association with sudden cardiac death (SCD) is not known. We aimed to assess the association of HGI with SCD risk in a long-term prospective cohort study.

METHODS

HGI was calculated using heart rate and systolic blood pressure (SBP) responses measured in 1897 men aged 42–61 years during CPX from rest to peak exercise. Cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) was measured using respiratory gas exchange analysis. Multivariable adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) (95% confidence intervals [CIs]) were estimated for SCD.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 28.7 years, 205 SCDs occurred. The risk of SCD decreased gradually with increasing HGI (p value for non-linearity = 0.63). A unit (bpm/mm Hg) higher HGI was associated with a decreased risk of SCD (HR: 0.84; 95% CI: 0.71-0.99), which was attenuated following adjustment for CRF. CRF was inversely associated with SCD, which remained after further adjustment for HGI (HR: 0.85; 95% CI: 0.77-0.94) per each unit higher CRF. Addition of HGI to a SCD risk prediction model containing established risk factors improved risk discrimination (C-index change = 0.0096; p = 0.017) and reclassification (net reclassification improvement [NRI] = 39.40%, p = 0.001). The corresponding values for CRF were (C-index change = 0.0178; p = 0.007) and (NRI = 43.79%, p = 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Higher HGI during CPX is associated with a lower SCD risk, consistent with a dose-response relationship but dependent on CRF levels. Though HGI significantly improves the prediction and classification of SCD beyond common cardiovascular risk factors, CRF remains a stronger risk indicator and predictor of SCD compared to HGI.

Percentage of Age-Predicted Cardiorespiratory Fitness and Risk of Incident Hypertension: A PROSPECTIVE COHORT STUDY

PURPOSE

There are inverse and independent associations between cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) and several adverse cardiometabolic outcomes including hypertension (HTN). The prospective relationship between percentage of age-predicted CRF and risk of HTN has not been previously investigated. We aimed to assess the association of percentage of age-predicted CRF with incident HTN in a long-term prospective cohort study.

METHODS

Cardiorespiratory fitness, as measured by peak oxygen uptake, was assessed using the gold standard respiratory gas exchange analyzer in 1602 men who underwent cardiopulmonary exercise testing. The age-predicted CRF estimated from a regression equation for age was converted to percentage of age-predicted CRF ([achieved CRF/age-predicted CRF] × 100). The HR with 95% CI were estimated for HTN.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 26.8 yr, 308 HTN cases were recorded. There was a linear relationship between age-predicted CRF and incident HTN (P value for nonlinearity = .68). A 1-SD increase in percentage of age-predicted CRF was associated with a decreased risk of HTN in analysis adjusted for established risk factors (HR = 0.79: 95% CI, 0.69-0.90), which remained consistent on further adjustment for several other potential confounders including alcohol consumption, physical activity, socioeconomic status, and inflammation (HR = 0.83: 95% CI, 0.72-0.95). The corresponding adjusted HRs were 0.55 (95% CI, 0.38-0.80) and 0.63 (95% CI, 0.43-0.91), respectively, when comparing extreme quartiles of percentage of age-predicted CRF levels.

CONCLUSIONS

Percentage of age-predicted CRF is linearly, inversely, and independently associated with risk of incident HTN, and it is comparable to absolute CRF as a risk indicator for HTN in a general population of middle-aged men.

Cardiorespiratory optimal point during exercise testing and sudden cardiac death: A prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Cardiorespiratory optimal point (COP) during exercise, a potentially useful submaximal cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET) variable, may be an independent risk factor for cardiovascular disease outcomes. However, the relationship of COP with risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD) has not been previously investigated. We sought to evaluate the association between COP during exercise and SCD risk and determine whether COP improves SCD risk prediction.

METHODS

COP, the minimum value of the ventilatory equivalent for oxygen (VE/VO2) in a given minute of a CPET, was ascertained in 2190 men who underwent clinical exercise testing. Hazard ratios (HRs) (95% confidence intervals [CIs]) and measures of risk discrimination for SCD were calculated.

RESULTS

A total of 240 SCDs death occurred during a median follow-up of 28.8 years. COP was linearly associated with SCD in a dose-response manner. In a multivariable model comprising several established and emerging CVD risk factors, the HR (95% CI) for SCD was 2.51 (1.36-4.62) per standard deviation increase in COP. This was minimally attenuated to 2.36 (1.27-4.37) on further adjustment for high sensitivity C-reactive protein. The association did not vary importantly in several relevant clinical subgroups. Addition of COP to a SCD risk score was associated with a C-index change of 0.0086 (0.0005 to 0.0167; p = .038) and difference in -2 log likelihood (p = .017).

CONCLUSIONS

COP during exercise is strongly, inversely and independently associated with SCD in a graded fashion. COP during exercise may potentially be used for the prediction of the long-term risk for SCD beyond established CVD risk factors.

Cardiorespiratory optimal point during exercise testing is related to cardiovascular and all-cause mortality

Cardiorespiratory optimal point (COP) during exercise may be a potentially clinically useful cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET) variable, but its prognostic relevance for adverse cardiovascular disease (CVD) outcomes is unknown. We aimed to assess the association of COP during exercise with fatal mortality outcomes and the extent to which COP could improve the prediction of CVD mortality. Cardiorespiratory optimal point, the minimum value of the ventilatory equivalent for oxygen (VE/VO2) in a given minute of a CPET, was defined in 2,205 men who underwent CPET. Hazard ratios (HRs) (95% confidence intervals [CIs]) for outcomes and measures of risk discrimination for CVD mortality were calculated. During a median follow-up of 28.8 years, 402 fatal CHDs, 607 fatal CVDs, and 1,348 all-cause mortality events occurred. COP was continually associated with each outcome in a dose-response manner. On adjustment for established and emerging risk factors, the HRs (95% CIs) for fatal CHD, fatal CVD, and all-cause mortality were 3.05 (1.94-4.81), 2.82 (1.91-4.18) and 2.46 (1.85-3.27), respectively, per standard deviation increase in COP. After further adjustment for high sensitivity C-reactive protein, the HRs were 2.82 (1.78-4.46), 2.57 (1.73-3.81), and 2.27 (1.70-3.02), respectively. Addition of COP to a CVD mortality risk prediction model containing established risk factors was associated with a C-index change of 0.0139 (0.0040 to 0.0238; p = 0.006) at 25 years. COP during exercise is directly associated with fatal cardiovascular and all-cause mortality events in dose-response fashions. COP during exercise may improve the prediction of the long-term risk for CVD mortality.

Prognostic impact of peak oxygen uptake and heart rate reserve in patients after off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting

BACKGROUND

Peak oxygen uptake (peak VO₂ ) and heart rate reserve (HRR) are independent prognostic markers of cardiovascular disease. However, the impact of peak VO₂ and HRR on long-term prognosis after off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting (OP-CABG) remains unclear.

HYPOTHESIS

To determine the prognostic impact of peak VO₂ and HRR in patients after OP-CABG.

RESULTS

We enrolled 327 patients (mean age, 65.1 ± 9.3 years; male, 80%) who underwent OP-CABG and participated in early phase II cardiac rehabilitation. All participants underwent cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET) at the beginning of such rehabilitation. Overall, 48 (14.6%) patients died during the median follow-up period of 103 months. The non-survivor had significantly lower levels of peak VO₂ (10.6 ± 0.5 vs. 13.7 ± 0.2 ml/kg/min, p < .01) and HRR (24.2 ± 1.8 vs. 32.7 ± 0.8 beats/min, p < .01) than the survivor. In both groups, peak VO₂ significantly correlated with HRR (p < .01). Moreover, patients were divided into four groups according to the peak VO₂ and HRR levels for predicting total mortality. The low-peak VO₂ /low-HRR group had a significantly higher mortality risk than the other groups (hazards ratio, 5.61; 95% confidence interval, 2.59-12.16; p < .01). After adjusted the confounding factors, peak VO₂ and HRR were independently associated with total mortality (both p < .05).

CONCLUSIONS

HRR is a simple parameter of CPET and an important prognostic marker for the risk stratification of total mortality even in patients with low-peak VO₂ after OP-CABG.

Prognostic Relevance of Cardiorespiratory Fitness as Assessed by Submaximal Exercise Testing for All-Cause Mortality: A UK Biobank Prospective Study

OBJECTIVE

To investigate whether the inverse associations of cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in the general population vary among individuals who are at different levels of pretest risk.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Cardiorespiratory fitness was assessed through submaximal bicycle tests in 58,892 participants aged 40 to 69 years who completed baseline questionnaires between January 1, 2006, and December 31, 2010, in the UK Biobank Prospective Study. Participants were categorized into risk categories, which determined allocation to an individualized bicycle protocol. The groups at minimal risk (category 1), small risk (category 2), and medium risk (category 3) were tested at 50%, 35% of the predicted maximal workload, and constant level, respectively. We investigated associations of CRF with mortality across different levels of pretest risk and determined whether CRF improves risk prediction.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 5.8 years, 936 deaths occurred. Cardiorespiratory fitness was linearly associated with mortality risk. Comparing extreme fifths of CRF, the multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (95% CIs) for mortality were 0.63 (0.52-0.77), 0.54 (0.36-0.82), 0.81 (0.46-1.43), and 0.58 (0.48-0.69) in categories 1, 2, and 3 and overall population, respectively. The addition of CRF to a 5-year mortality risk score containing established risk factors was associated with a C-index change (0.0012; P=.49), integrated discrimination improvement (0.0005; P<.001), net reclassification improvement (+0.0361; P=.005), and improved goodness of fit (likelihood ratio test, P<.001). Differences in 5-year survival were more pronounced across levels of age, smoking status, and sex.

CONCLUSION

Cardiorespiratory fitness, assessed by submaximal exercise testing, improves mortality risk prediction beyond conventional risk factors and its prognostic relevance varies across cardiovascular risk levels.

Handgrip strength is inversely associated with fatal cardiovascular and all-cause mortality events

Purpose: We aimed to assess the associations of handgrip strength (HS) with cardiovascular and all-cause mortality and whether adding data on HS to cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors is associated with improvement in CVD mortality prediction.Design: Handgrip strength was assessed in a population-based sample of 861 participants aged 61-74 years at baseline. Relative HS was obtained by dividing the absolute value by body weight.Results: During a median (interquartile range) follow-up of 17.3 (12.6-18.4) years, 116 fatal coronary heart diseases (CHDs), 195 fatal CVDs and 412 all-cause mortality events occurred. On adjustment for several risk factors, the hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals (CIs)) for fatal CHD, fatal CVD and all-cause mortality were 0.59 (0.37-0.95), 0.59 (0.41-0.86) and 0.66 (0.51-0.84), respectively, comparing extreme tertiles of relative HS. Adding relative HS to a CVD mortality risk prediction model containing established risk factors did not improve discrimination or reclassification using Harrell's C-index (C-index change: 0.0034; p = .65), integrated-discrimination-improvement (0.0059; p = .20) and net-reclassification-improvement (-1.31%; p = .74); however, there was a significant difference in -2 log likelihood (p < .001).Conclusions: Relative HS is inversely associated with CHD, CVD and all-cause mortality events. Adding relative HS to conventional risk factors improves CVD risk assessment using sensitive measures of discrimination.KEY MESSAGESHandgrip strength (HS) assessment is simple, inexpensive and it takes only a few minutes to measure in clinical practice; however, its prognostic role for fatal cardiovascular outcomes on top of traditional risk factors in apparently healthy populations is uncertain.In a population-based prospective cohort study, good HS adjusted for body weight was associated with lower risk of fatal cardiovascular outcomes and the associations remained consistent across several clinically relevant subgroups.Handgrip strength may be a useful prognostic tool for fatal CHD and CVD events, in the general population.

Cardiorespiratory Fitness and the Risk of Serious Ventricular Arrhythmias: A Prospective Cohort Study

Cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) is an established risk factor for cardiovascular disease outcomes. However, the relationship of CRF with risk of ventricular arrhythmias (VAs) is unknown. We aimed to assess the prospective association of CRF with the risk of serious VAs. Cardiorespiratory fitness, as measured by maximal oxygen uptake, was assessed using a respiratory gas exchange analyzer in 2299 middle-aged men in the Kuopio Ischemic Heart Disease prospective cohort. We corrected for within-person variability in CRF levels using data from repeated measurements 11 years apart. During median follow-up of 25.3 years (interquartile range, 18.7-27.2 years), 73 serious VAs were recorded. The age-adjusted regression dilution ratio of CRF was 0.58 (95% CI, 0.53-0.64). In analysis adjusted for age, the hazard ratio (HR) for serious VAs per 1-SD increase in CRF was 0.64 (95% CI, 0.49-0.84). The association persisted on additional adjustment for body mass index, systolic blood pressure, history of hypertension, prevalent coronary heart disease, smoking, history of diabetes, cholesterol level, alcohol consumption, and physical activity (HR, 0.67; 95% CI, 0.51-0.88). The corresponding adjusted HRs (95% CIs) were 0.29 (0.14-0.59) and 0.32 (0.15-0.65), respectively, comparing the top vs bottom tertiles. The associations were stronger on correction for regression dilution bias, remained consistent on exclusion of men with a history of coronary heart disease, and did not vary importantly in several relevant clinical subgroups. Cardiorespiratory fitness is inversely associated with future risk of serious VAs, independently of several cardiovascular disease risk factors. Further research is needed to assess the causal relevance of these findings.

Relative peak exercise oxygen pulse is related to sudden cardiac death, cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in middle-aged men

Background

Preliminary evidence suggests that peak exercise oxygen pulse – peak oxygen uptake/heart rate-, a variable obtained during maximal cardiopulmonary exercise testing and a surrogate of stroke volume, is a predictor of mortality. We aimed to assess the associations of peak exercise oxygen pulse with sudden cardiac death, fatal coronary heart disease and cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality.

Design

A prospective study.

Methods

Peak exercise oxygen pulse was assessed in a maximal cycling test at baseline in 2227 middle-aged men of the Kuopio Ischaemic Heart Disease cohort study using expired gas variables and electrocardiograms. Relative peak exercise oxygen pulse was obtained by dividing the absolute value by body weight.

Results

During a median follow-up of 26.1 years 1097 subjects died; there were 220 sudden cardiac deaths, 336 fatal coronary heart diseases and 505 fatal cardiovascular diseases. Relative peak exercise oxygen pulse (mean 19.5 (4.1) mL per beat/kg/102) was approximately linearly associated with each outcome. Comparing extreme quartiles of relative peak exercise oxygen pulse, hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) for sudden cardiac death, fatal coronary heart disease and cardiovascular disease, and all-cause mortality on adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors were 0.55 (0.36–0.83), 0.58 (0.42–0.81), 0.60 (0.46–0.79) and 0.59 (0.49–0.70), respectively ( P < 0.001 for all). The hazard ratios were unchanged on further adjustment for C-reactive protein and the use of beta-blockers. The addition of relative peak exercise oxygen pulse to a cardiovascular disease mortality risk prediction model significantly improved risk discrimination (C-index change 0.0112; P = 0.030).

Conclusion

Relative peak exercise oxygen pulse measured during maximal exercise was linearly and inversely associated with fatal cardiovascular and all-cause mortality events in middle-aged men. In addition, relative peak exercise oxygen pulse provided significant improvement in cardiovascular disease mortality risk assessment beyond conventional risk factors.

Oxygen uptake at aerobic threshold is inversely associated with fatal cardiovascular and all-cause mortality events

PURPOSE

We aimed to assess the associations of oxygen uptake at aerobic threshold (VO₂ at AT) with cardiovascular and all-cause mortality.

DESIGN

VO₂ at AT was assessed in 1663 middle-aged men in a cohort study. Hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated for sudden cardiac death (SCD), fatal coronary heart disease (CHD) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 25.6 years, 138 SCDs, 209 fatal CHDs, 333 fatal CVDs and 719 all-cause mortality events occurred. On adjustment for established risk factors, the HRs (95% CIs) for SCD, fatal CHD, fatal CVD and all-cause mortality were 0.48 (0.28-0.82), 0.48 (0.31-0.74), 0.57 (0.41-0.79) and 0.66 (0.53-0.82), respectively comparing extreme quartiles of VO₂ at AT. On further adjustment for peak VO₂, the HRs were 0.87 (0.48-1.56), 0.83 (0.52-1.34), 0.91 (0.63-1.30) and 0.88 (0.69-1.12), respectively. Addition of VO₂ at AT to a standard CVD mortality risk prediction model was associated with a C-index change of 0.0085 (95% CI: -0.0002-0.0172; p = .05) at 25 years.

CONCLUSIONS

VO₂ at AT is inversely associated with cardiovascular and all-cause mortality events, but the associations are partly dependent on peak VO₂. VO₂ at AT may improve the prediction of the long-term risk for CVD mortality. KEY MESSAGES Oxygen uptake at aerobic threshold (VO₂ at AT), a cardiopulmonary exercise testing parameter, may be a useful prognostic tool for adverse clinical outcomes in the general population. In a population-based prospective cohort study of men, VO₂ at AT was inversely associated with cardiovascular and all-cause mortality events and improved the prediction of cardiovascular mortality. In populations who cannot achieve maximal VO₂, VO₂ at AT may serve as a useful prognostic tool; however, further studies are warranted.

Associations of cardiovascular and all-cause mortality events with oxygen uptake at ventilatory threshold

BACKGROUND

Oxygen uptake (VO₂) at ventilatory threshold (VT), is a cardiopulmonary exercise testing parameter which may be a proxy for peak VO₂. We aimed to assess the associations of VO₂ at VT with sudden cardiac death (SCD), fatal coronary heart disease (CHD) and cardiovascular disease (CVD), and all-cause mortality.

METHODS AND RESULTS

VO₂ at VT was assessed during a submaximal exercise test using respiratory gas analyzers in the Kuopio Ischemic Heart Disease cohort of 1639 middle-aged men. Hazard ratios (HRs) (95% CIs) were assessed. During a median follow-up of 25.6years, 121 SCDs, 202 fatal CHDs, 312 fatal CVDs, and 703 all-cause mortality events occurred. VO₂ at VT was correlated with peak VO₂ (r=0.90) and linearly associated with each outcome. Comparing extreme quartiles of VO₂ at VT, the HRs (95% CIs) for SCD, fatal CHD, fatal CVD, and all-cause mortality on adjustment for established risk factors were 0.37 (0.18-0.78), 0.32 (0.18-0.57), 0.45 (0.30-0.69), and 0.50 (0.38-0.64) respectively. The HRs were 1.02 (0.36-2.91), 1.43 (0.63-3.25), 1.46 (0.79-2.71), and 1.02 (0.69-1.51) respectively on further adjustment for peak VO₂. Addition of VO₂ at VT to a CVD mortality risk prediction model containing established risk factors significantly improved risk discrimination and reclassification at 25years.

CONCLUSIONS

There are linear and inverse associations of VO2 at VT with fatal cardiovascular and all-cause mortality events, which are dependent on peak VO₂. Inclusion of VO₂ at VT in the standard established risk factors panel significantly improves the prediction and classification of long-term CVD mortality risk.