Additive value of the CRUSADE score to the GRACE score for mortality risk prediction in patients with acute coronary syndromes

N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and pulmonary echography are predictors of acute heart failure needing early mechanical ventilation in acute coronary syndrome

AIM

The aim of this study was to determine the best clinical predictors of acute heart failure needing mechanical ventilation (MV) in the first 48 h of evolution of patients admitted because of acute coronary syndrome (ACS).

METHODS

We analyzed a cohort of patients admitted for ACS between February 2017 and February 2018. A pulmonary ultrasound was performed on admission and was considered positive (PE+) when there were three or more B-lines in two quadrants or more of each hemithorax. It was compared with N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), peak troponin T-us value GRACE (Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events), CRUSADE (Can Rapid risk stratification of Unstable angina patients Suppress ADverse outcomes with Early implementation of the American College of Cardiology and American Heart Association guidelines - Bleeding Score), CACS (Canada Acute Coronary Syndrome risk score), and HAMIOT (Heart Failure after Acute Myocardial Infarction with Optimal Treatment score) scores, shock index, ejection fraction, chest X-ray, and Killip class at admission as predictors of MV in the first 48 h of admission.

RESULTS

A total of 119 patients were included: 54.6% with ST elevation and 45.4% without ST elevation. Twelve patients (10.1%) required MV in the first 48 h of evolution. The sensitivity of PE+ was 100% (73.5-100%), specificity 91.6% (84.6-96.1%), and area under the curve was 0.96 (0.93-0.96). The sensitivity of an NT-proBNP value more than 3647 was 88.9% (51.9-99.7%), specificity 92.1% (84.5-96.8%), and area under the curve was 0.905 (0.793-1). The κ statistic between both predictors was 0.579. All the other scores were significantly worse than PE + .

CONCLUSION

Lung ultrasound and a high NT-proBNP (3647 ng/L in our series) on admission are the best predictors of acute heart failure needing MV in the first 48 h of ACS. The agreement between both tests was only moderate.

Applicability of the Zwolle score for selection of very high-risk ST-elevation myocardial infarction patients treated with primary angioplasty

The Zwolle risk score was designed to stratify in-hospital mortality risk of ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients treated with primary percutaneous coronary intervention (pPCI) and for decision-making in the unit where patients are admitted. We assessed the accuracy of Zwolle risk score for in-hospital mortality estimation compared with the GRACE score in all patients (n = 4446) admitted for STEMI in 3 university hospitals. Only one fourth of the patients were classified as high-risk by the Zwolle risk score vs 60% by the GRACE score. In-hospital mortality was 10.6%. A statistically significant increase in in-hospital mortality, adjusted by age, gender, and revascularization, was observed with both scores. The assessment of the optimal cut-off points verified the accuracy of Zwolle score ≥4 as optimal threshold for high-risk categorization. In contrast, GRACE score ≥140 had very low specificity as well as percentage of patients correctly classified; GRACE score ≥175 was fairly better. The reclassification index of the Zwolle score after applying the GRACE score was 35.5%. Selection of high-risk STEMI patients treated with pPCI based on the Zwolle risk score has higher specificity than the GRACE score and might be useful in clinical practice.

Clinical characteristics and outcomes of patients with intracerebral hemorrhage after acute myocardial infarction

Data regarding patients with intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) following acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is scarce. This study aims to investigate the incidence, clinical characteristics, prevention, treatment, and prognosis of ICH in patients with AMI. Among 5257 patients with AMI, 14 cases (0.27%) experienced ICH following AMI, including 11 males and three females. In-hospital mortality occurred in eight patients (57.1%), all of whom experienced sudden loss of consciousness. Six patients (42.6%) were classified as high or very high risk according to CRUSADE score, and seven patients (50.0%) were classified as high risk according to Academic Research Consortium for High Bleeding Risk (ARC-HBR). The CRUSADE and ARC-HBR scores can complement each other in risk assessment. All in-hospital deaths occurred within four days of ICH onset; The volume of ICH in patients who died in the hospital was significantly higher than in those who survived and were discharged, with 30 ml possibly serving as a threshold. The incidence of ICH following myocardial infarction is low; however, the mortality rate is extremely high, presenting considerable challenges for clinical treatment. Prevention, early detection, and prompt symptomatic management are essential for improving patient outcomes.

Comparison of the prognostic value of four different critical illness scores in patients with sepsis-induced coagulopathy

In patients with sepsis-induced coagulopathy (SIC), the Chinese DIC scoring system (CDSS) of the Chinese Society of Thrombosis and Hemostasis score, the Japanese Association for Acute Medicine (JAAM) score, the International Society of Thrombosis and Hemostasis (ISTH), and the Can Rapid risk stratification of Unstable angina patients Suppress Adverse outcomes with Early implementation of the ACC/AHA Guidelines (CRUSADE) score were compared for their predictive significance (SIC). From August 2021 through August 2022, 92 SIC patients hospitalized in our hospital's Department of Critical Care Medicine served as study participants. Groups of patients were created with a bad prognosis (n = 35) and a favorable prognosis (n = 57) 14 days following admission. Electronic medical records were used to compile patient information such as demographics (gender, age, and body mass index), medical history (hypertension, diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and chronic kidney disease), treatment (mechanical ventilation, APACHE II score at admission), and outcomes (results). All patients' JAAM, CDSS, ISTH, and CRUSADE scores were recorded. The APACHE II scores of the group with a poor prognosis were noticeably (p < 0.05) higher upon admission than those of the group with a favorable prognosis. The poor prognosis group had higher JAAM, ISTH, CDSS, and CRUSADE scores than the good prognosis group (all p < 0.05). Partial coagulation indicators in fibrinogen, D-dimer, activated partial thromboplastin time, and prothrombin time were positively linked with JAAM, ISTH, CDSS, and CRUSADE (all p < 0.05). At admission, the JAAM, ISTH, CDSS, CRUSADE, and APACHE II scores were independently linked with SIC patients' prognosis (all p < 0.05) in a multivariate logistic regression analysis. According to receiver operating characteristic analysis, the area under the curve for predicting the prognosis of SIC patients using the JAAM, ISTH, CDSS, and CRUSADE4 scores was 0.896, 0.870, 0.852, and 0.737, respectively, with 95% CI being 0.840-0.952, 0.805-0.936, 0.783-0.922 and 0.629-0.845, respectively (all p < 0.05). The prognosis of SIC patients may be predicted in part by their JAAM, ISTH, CDSS, and CRUSADE4 scores, with the CDSS score being the most accurate. This research provides important recommendations for improving the care of patients with SIC.

Differential prognosis of patients that are candidates for standard, short or prolonged dual antiplatelet treatment discharged after an acute coronary syndrome

BACKGROUND

Current evidence supports the efficacy of prolonged dual antiplatelet treatment (DAPT) for patients at high-ischemic risk and low bleeding risk as well as the efficacy and safety of short DAPT in high-bleeding risk (HBR) patients.

METHODS

We evaluated patterns of DAPT candidates in all patients discharged in 2 hospitals after an acute coronary syndrome (ACS). Patients categorized in 3 groups: 1) short-DAPT candidates if they met 1 major o 2 minor criteria for HBR, by the 2019 ARC-HBR criteria; 2) prolonged-DAPT candidates if were not HBR and had recurrent ACS, complex percutaneous coronary interventions or diabetes; 3) standard 12 months DAPT if were not include in the previous 2 groups. Major bleeding (MB) was registered according to 3 or 5 of the BARC consortium definitions.

RESULTS

We included 8252 patients and 3215 (39 %) were candidates for abbreviated DAPT, 3119 (37.8 %) for prolonged DAPT, and 1918 (23.2 %) for 12 m DAPT. Relevant differences were observed between the 3 categories beyond the bleeding risk. Median follow-up was 57 months. Multivariate analysis identified higher risk of all-cause mortality (HR: 1.96 95 % CI 1.45-2.67; p < 0.001), cardiovascular mortality (HR: 2.10 95 % CI 1.39-3.19; p < 0.011), MACE (HR: 1.69 95 % 1.50-2.02; p < 0.001) and MB (sHR: 3.41 95 % CI 1.45-8.02; p = 0.005) in candidates to short DAPT. Candidates to prolonged DAPT had higher risk of MACE (HR: 1.17 95 % CI 1.02-1.35; p = 0.027).

CONCLUSIONS

Almost two thirds of patients discharged after an ACS would be candidates for short or prolonged DAPT and these patients are at higher risk of MACE and mortality.

Temporal Trends in the Prevalence, Treatment and Outcomes of Patients with Acute Coronary Syndrome at High Bleeding Risk

(1) Background: High bleeding risk is associated with adverse outcomes in ACS patients. We aimed to evaluate temporal trends in treatment and outcomes of ACS patients according to bleeding risk. (2) Methods: Included were ACS patients enrolled in ACSIS surveys. Patients were divided into three groups according to enrolment period: early (2002−2004), mid (2006−2010) and recent (2012−2018). Each group was further stratified into three subgroups according to CRUSADE bleeding risk score. The primary endpoints were 30-day MACE and 1-year all-cause mortality. (3) Results: Included were 13,058 ACS patients. High bleeding risk patients were less frequently treated with guideline-based medications and coronary revascularization. They also had higher rates of 30-day MACE and 1-year all-cause mortality regardless of the enrollment period. Among patients enrolled in early period, 30-day MACE rates were 10.8%, 17.5% and 24.3% (p < 0.001) and 1-year all-cause mortality rates were 2%, 7.7% and 23.6% (p < 0.001) in the low, moderate and high bleeding risk groups, respectively. Among patients enrolled in mid period, 30-day MACE rates were 7.7%, 13.4% and 23.5% (p < 0.001) and 1-year all-cause mortality rates were 1.5%, 7.2% and 22.1% (p < 0.001) in low, moderate and high bleeding risk groups, respectively. For patients enrolled in recent period, 30-day MACE rates were 5.7%, 8.6% and 16.2%, (p < 0.001) and 1-year all-cause mortality rates were 2.1%, 6% and 22.4%, (p < 0.001) in low, moderate and high bleeding risk groups, respectively. These differences remained significant following a multivariate analysis. (4) Conclusions: The percentage of patients at high bleeding risk has decreased over the last years. Despite recent improvements in the treatment of ACS patients, high bleeding risk remains a strong predictor of adverse outcomes.

Balance of benefit and risk of ticagrelor in patients with diabetes and stable coronary artery disease according to bleeding risk assessment with the CRUSADE score: Data from THEMIS and THEMIS PCI

BACKGROUND

The THEMIS trial demonstrated that in high-risk patients with stable coronary artery disease and diabetes without previous myocardial infarction or stroke, ticagrelor, in addition to aspirin, reduced the incidence of ischemic events but increased major bleeding. Identification of patients who could derive the greatest net benefit from the addition of ticagrelor appears important. We used the CRUSADE bleeding risk score to risk stratify the THEMIS population.

METHODS

The population was divided into tertiles: score ≤22, 23 to 33, and ≥34. In each tertile, primary efficacy (composite of cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, or stroke) and safety (TIMI major bleeding) outcomes were analyzed. NACE (net adverse clinical events) was defined as the irreversible harm composite, in which all-cause death, myocardial infarction, stroke, amputations, fatal bleeds, and intracranial hemorrhage were counted.

RESULTS

Patients in the lower risk tertile experienced fewer ischemic events with ticagrelor than placebo, whereas there was no significant benefit from ticagrelor in the other tertiles (P_interaction = .008). Bleeding rates were consistently increased with ticagrelor across all tertiles (P_interaction = .79). Ticagrelor reduced NACE in the first tertile (HR = 0.74, 95% CI = 0.61-0.90) but not in the others (HR = 1.03, 95% CI = 0.86-1.23 and HR = 1.05, 95% CI = 0.91-1.22, respectively; P_interaction = .012).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with stable coronary artery disease and diabetes without a history of myocardial infarction or stroke, only those at the lower end of the bleeding risk spectrum according to the CRUSADE score derived net benefit from ticagrelor.

Association of Dephosphorylated-Uncarboxylated Matrix Gla Protein and Risk of Major Bleeding in Patients Presenting with Acute Myocardial Infarction

The "Can Rapid risk stratification of Unstable angina patients Suppress ADverse outcomes with Early implementation of the ACC/AHA guidelines" (CRUSADE) score emerged as a predictor of major bleeding in patients presenting with the acute coronary syndrome. On the other hand, previous studies established the association of dephosphorylated-uncarboxylated Matrix Gla protein (dp-ucMGP) and vitamin K, as well as their subsequent impact on coagulation cascade and bleeding tendency. Therefore, in the present study, we explored if dp-ucMGP plasma levels were associated with CRUSADE bleeding score. In this cross-sectional study, physical examination and clinical data, including plasma dp-ucMGP levels, were obtained from 80 consecutive patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI). A significant positive correlation was found between CRUSADE bleeding score and both dp-ucMGP plasma levels (r = 0.442, p < 0.001) and risk score of in-hospital mortality (r = 0.520, p < 0.001), respectively. In comparing the three risk groups of risk for in-hospital bleeding, the high/very high-risk group had significantly higher dp-ucMGP levels from both very low/low group (1277 vs. 794 pmol/L, p < 0.001) and the moderate group (1277 vs. 941 pmol/L, p = 0.047). Overall, since higher dp-ucMGP levels were associated with elevated CRUSADE score and prolonged hemostasis parameters, this may suggest that there is a biological link between dp-ucMGP plasma levels and the risk of bleeding in patients who present with AMI.

A Novel ABC Score Predicts Mortality in Non-ST-Segment Elevation Acute Coronary Syndrome Patients Who underwent Percutaneous Coronary Intervention

OBJECTIVE

 In the present study, we aimed to establish a novel score to predict long-term mortality of non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS) patients who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).

METHODS

 A total of 2,174 NSTE-ACS patients from the CORFCHD-ZZ study were enrolled as the derivation cohort. The validation cohort including 1,808 NSTE-ACS patients were from the CORFCHD-PCI study. Receiver operating characteristic analysis and area under the curve (AUC) evaluation were used to select the candidate variables. The model performance was validated internally and externally. The primary outcome was cardiac mortality (CM). We also explored the model performance for all-cause mortality (ACM).

RESULTS

 Initially, 28 risk factors were selected and ranked according to their AUC values. Finally, we selected age, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, and creatinine to develop a novel prediction model named "ABC" model. The ABC model had a high discriminatory ability for both CM (C-index: 0.774, p < 0.001) and ACM (C-index: 0.758, p < 0.001) in the derivation cohort. In the validation cohort, the C-index of CM was 0.802 (p < 0.001) and that of ACM was 0.797 (p < 0.001), which suggested good discrimination. In addition, this model had adequate calibration in both the derivation and validation cohorts. Furthermore, the ABC score outperformed the GRACE score to predict mortality in NSTE-ACS patients who underwent PCI.

CONCLUSION

 In the present study, we developed and validated a novel model to predict mortality in patients with NSTE-ACS who underwent PCI. This model can be used as a credible tool for risk assessment and management of NSTE-ACS after PCI.

Contemporary NSTEMI management: the role of the hospitalist

Non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) is defined as elevated cardiac biomarkers of necrosis in the absence of persistent ST-segment elevation in the setting of anginal symptoms or other acute event. It carries a poorer prognosis than most ST-segment elevation events, owing to the typical comorbidity burden of the older NSTEMI patients as well as diverse etiologies that add complexity to therapeutic decision-making. It may result from an acute atherothrombotic event ('Type 1') or as the result of other causes of mismatch of myocardial oxygen supply and demand ('Type 2'). Regardless of type and other clinical factors, the hospital medicine specialist is increasingly responsible for managing or coordinating the care of these patients. Following published guidelines for risk stratification and basing anti-anginal, anticoagulant, antiplatelet, other pharmacologic therapies, and overall management approach on that individualized patient risk assessment can be expected to result in better short- and long-term clinical outcomes, including near-term readmission and recurrent events. We present here a review of the evidence basis and expert commentary to assist the hospitalist in achieving those improved outcomes in NSTEMI. Given that the Society for Hospital Medicine cites care of patients with acute coronary syndrome as a core competency for hospitalists, it is essential that those specialists stay current on optimal NSTEMI care.Abbreviations: ACC: American college of cardiology; ACCOAST: comparison of prasugrel at the time of diagnosis in patients with non-ST elevation myocardial infarction; ACS: acute coronary syndrome; ADP: adenosine diphosphate; AHA: American heart association; ARB: angiotensin II receptor blocker; ASA: acetylsalicylic acid; CABG: coronary artery bypass graft: CAD: coronary artery disease; CCTA: coronary computed tomography angiography; cTn: cardiac troponin; CRUSADE: can rapid risk stratification of unstable angina patients suppress adverse outcomes with early implementation of the ACC/AHA guidelines; CURE: clopidogrel in unstable angina to prevent recurrent events; CURRENT: OASIS-7 clopidogrel and aspirin optimal dose usage to reduce recurrent events-seventh organization to assess strategies in ischemic syndromes; ECG: electrocardiogram; ED: emergency department; ESRD: endstage renal disease; ESC: European society of cardiology; FDA: food and drug administration; GRACE: global registry of acute coronary events; LVEF: left ventricular ejection fraction; MACE: major adverse cardiac event; MI: myocardial infarction; MVO₂: myocardial oxygen demand; NSTEMI: non-ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction; NTG: Nitroglycerin; PCI: percutaneous coronary intervention; plato: platelet inhibition and patient outcomes; PPI: proton pump inhibitor; PURSUIT: platelet glycoprotein IIb/IIIa in unstable angina: Receptor Suppression Using Integrilin Therapy; RAAS: Renin-Angiotensin-Aldosterone System; SHM: society of hospital medicine; STEMI: ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction; TIMI: Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction; TRITON-TIMI:trial to assess improvement in therapeutic outcomes by optimizing platelet inhibition with prasugrel-thrombolysis in myocardial infarction.

Accuracy of the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) Risk Score in Contemporary Treatment of Patients With Acute Coronary Syndrome

BACKGROUND

Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) score has been routinely used for risk stratification in acute coronary syndromes (ACS). We aimed to investigate whether the GRACE score has remained relevant with contemporary treatment of patients with ACS.

METHODS

Included were patients with ACS in the Acute Coronary Syndrome Israeli Survey (ACSIS). Patients were divided into high (> 140) and low-intermediate (≤ 140) GRACE score. Outcomes were compared for each GRACE score group among patients enrolled in early (2000 to 2006), mid (2008 to 2010) and late (2013 to 2016) surveys.

RESULTS

Included were 4931 patients. For patients with GRACE scores > 140, temporal improvements in therapy were associated with reduced 7-day all-cause mortality (5.7%, 4.1%, and 2.0% for patients in early, mid-, and late surveys, respectively, P = 0.01) and 1-year mortality rates (27.8%, 25.3%, and 21.8% for patients in early, mid-, and late surveys, respectively, P = 0.07). Among patients with GRACE scores ≤ 140, all-cause mortality rates at 1 year were lower among participants enrolled in recent surveys (5.3%, 3.5%, and 3.1% for patients in early, mid-, and late surveys, respectively, P = 0.01). No significant differences in the accuracy of the GRACE score in predicting 7-day mortality were observed, (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.83, 0.87, and 0.75 for early, mid-, and late surveys, respectively, P = NS). Similarly, for 1-year all-cause mortality, the accuracy of the GRACE score remained comparable (AUC = 0.79, 0.84, and 0.82 for early, mid-, and late surveys, respectively, P = NS).

CONCLUSIONS

Our results validated the accuracy of the GRACE score for risk stratification in ACS. The discrimination of the score has not been influenced by the better outcome with latest treatment.

Clinical impact of mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists treatment after acute coronary syndrome in the real world: A propensity score matching analysis

BACKGROUND

Recent studies suggest that the benefit of mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists in the acute coronary syndrome setting is controversial. The aim of this study was to examine the current long-term prognostic benefit of mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists in patients with acute coronary syndrome.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 8318 consecutive acute coronary syndrome patients. Baseline patient characteristics were examined and a follow-up period was established for registry of death, major cardiovascular adverse events and heart failure re-hospitalization. We performed a propensity-matching analysis to draw up two groups of patients paired according to whether or not they had been treated with mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists. The prognostic value of mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists to predict events during follow-up was analysed using Cox regression.

RESULTS

Among the study participants, only 524 patients (6.3%) were discharged on mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists. Patients on mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists had a different clinical and pharmacological profile. These differences disappeared after the propensity score analysis. The median follow-up was 40.7 months. After the propensity score analysis, the cardiovascular mortality and heart failure readmission rates were similar between patients who were discharged on mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists and those whose not. The use of mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists was only associated with a reduction in major cardiovascular adverse events (hazard ratio=0.83, 95% confidence interval 0.69-0.97, p=0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Our results do not corroborate the long-term benefit of mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists to improve survival after acute coronary syndrome in a large cohort of patients with heart failure or reduced left ventricular ejection fraction and diabetes. Their prescription was associated with a significantly lower incidence of major cardiovascular adverse events during the long-term follow-up without effect on heart failure development.

Bleeding complications after myocardial infarction in a real world population - An observational retrospective study with a sex perspective

INTRODUCTION

The aim of the current study was to assess bleeding events, including severity, localisation and prognostic impact, in a real world population of men and women with myocardial infarction (MI).

METHODS AND RESULTS

In total 850 consecutive patients were included during 2010 and followed for one year. Bleeding complications were identified by searching of each patients' medical records and characterised according to the TIMI criteria. For this analysis, only the first event was calculated. The total incidence of bleeding events was 24.4% (81 women and 126 men, p = ns). The incidence of all in-hospital bleeding events was 13.2%, with no sex difference. Women had significantly more minor non-surgery related bleeding events than men (5% vs 2.2%, p = 0.02). During follow-up, 13.5% had a bleeding, with more non-surgery related bleeding events among women, 14.7% vs 9.7% (p = 0.03). The most common bleeding localisation was the gastrointestinal tract, more in women than men (12.1% vs 7.6%, p = 0.03). Women had also more access site bleeding complications (4% vs 1.7%, p = 0.04), while men had more surgery related bleeding complications (6.4% vs 0.9%, p ≤0.001). Increased mortality was found only in men with non-surgery related bleeding events (p = 0.008).

CONCLUSIONS

Almost one in four patients experienced a bleeding complication through 12 months follow-up after a myocardial infarction. Women experienced more non-surgery related minor/minimal bleeding complications than men, predominantly GI bleeding events and access site bleeding events, with no apparent impact on outcome. In contrast men with non-surgery related bleeding complications had higher mortality. Improved bleeding prevention strategies are warranted for both men and women.