Low diastolic blood pressure and adverse outcomes in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction

Establishment and validation of nomogram model for predicting major adverse cardiac events in patients with acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction based on glycosylated hemoglobin A1c to apolipoprotein A1 ratio: An observational study

The objective of the current study is to assess the usefulness of HbA1cAp ratio in predicting in-hospital major adverse cardiac events (MACEs) among acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients that have undergone percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Further, the study aims to construct a ratio nomogram for prediction with this ratio. The training cohort comprised of 511 STEMI patients who underwent emergency PCI at the Huaibei Miners' General Hospital between January 2019 and May 2023. Simultaneously, 384 patients treated with the same strategy in First People's Hospital of Hefei formed the validation cohort during the study period. LASSO regression was used to screen predictors of nonzero coefficients, multivariate logistic regression was used to analyze the independent factors of in-hospital MACE in STEMI patients after PCI, and nomogram models and validation were established. The LASSO regression analysis demonstrated that systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, D-dimer, urea, and glycosylated hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c)/apolipoprotein A1 (ApoA1) were significant predictors with nonzero coefficients. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was further conducted to identify systolic blood pressure, D-dimer, urea, and HbA1c/ApoA1 as independent factors associated with in-hospital MACE after PCI in STEMI patients. Based on these findings, a nomogram model was developed and validated, with the C-index in the training set at 0.77 (95% CI: 0.723-0.817), and the C-index in the validation set at 0.788 (95% CI: 0.734-0.841), indicating excellent discrimination accuracy. The calibration curves and clinical decision curves also demonstrated the good performance of the nomogram models. In patients with STEMI who underwent PCI, it was noted that a higher HbA1c of the ApoA1 ratio is significantly associated with in-hospital MACE. In addition, a nomogram is constructed having considered the above-mentioned risk factors to provide predictive information on in-hospital MACE occurrence in these patients. In particular, this tool is of great value to the clinical practitioners in determination of patients with a high risk.

Blood pressure and heart failure: focused on treatment

Heart failure (HF) remains a significant global health burden, and hypertension is known to be the primary contributor to its development. Although aggressive hypertension treatment can prevent heart changes in at-risk patients, determining the optimal blood pressure (BP) targets in cases diagnosed with HF is challenging owing to insufficient evidence. Notably, hypertension is more strongly associated with HF with preserved ejection fraction than with HF with reduced ejection fraction. Patients with acute hypertensive HF exhibit sudden symptoms of acute HF, especially those manifested with severely high BP; however, no specific vasodilator therapy has proven beneficial for this type of acute HF. Since the majority of medications used to treat HF contribute to lowering BP, and BP remains one of the most important hemodynamic markers, targeted BP management is very concerned in treatment strategies. However, no concrete guidelines exist, prompting a trend towards optimizing therapies to within tolerable ranges, rather than setting explicit BP goals. This review discusses the connection between BP and HF, explores its pathophysiology through clinical studies, and addresses its clinical significance and treatment targets.

Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: New challenges and new hopes

Heart failure (HF) is a major public health problem affecting millions of adults worldwide. HF with preserved ejection fraction, i.e. > 50 %, (HFpEF) accounts for more than half of all HF cases, and its incidence and prevalence are increasing with the aging of the population and the growing prevalence of metabolic disorders such as obesity, diabetes and hypertension. Diagnosis of HFpEF requires a combination of numerous echocardiographic parameters and also results of natriuretic peptide assays, to which may be added the need for a stress test. HFpEF is characterized by complex, interrelated pathophysiological mechanisms, which must be understood. This complexity probably accounts for the lack of evidence-based medicine compared with HF with reduced EF. Nevertheless, significant progress has been made recently, with a high level of evidence obtained for the SGLT2 inhibitor class on the one hand, and promising data with new drugs targeting more specifically certain mechanisms such as obesity and inflammation on the other.

Optimal systolic and diastolic blood pressure threshold that associated with lower risk of white matter hyperintensity progression

Background

The optimal control thresholds for systolic blood pressure (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) in patients with white matter hyperintensity (WMH) are still unclear.

Method

A longitudinal retrospective study of patients with brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scans with intervals of more than 3  years was conducted. Blood pressure records during hospitalization and from outpatient visits between baseline and the last MRI scan were collected. The outcome was the change in total WMH from baseline to the final visit.

Results

Among the 965 patients with MRI scans, 457 patients with detailed longitudinal blood pressure records were ultimately included and classified into the WMH absent group (n = 121), mild WMH group (n = 126), and moderate to severe WMH group (n = 210). Both baseline and longitudinal mean SBP, DBP, and SBP SD were significantly associated with WMH severity (p < 0.05). An average SBP of 130-140 mmHg [vs. <130 mmHg, aOR, 1.80, (95% CI, 1.05-3.07), p = 0.03] was associated with a higher risk of WMH progression. DBP ≥ 90 mmHg [vs. <80 mmHg, OR, 1.81, (95% CI, 0.88-3.74), p = 0.02, aOR, 1.54, (95% CI, 0.66-3.53), p = 0.32] was associated with a higher risk of WMH progression, but was not after adjusted for other covariates. Longitudinal BP variability was not significantly associated with WMH progression.

Conclusion

Both SBP and DBP had a stronger relationship with the severity of WMH. A target mean SBP of <130 mmHg and mean DBP of <80 mmHg was associated with a lower risk of WMH progression.

Clinical Outcomes in Patients on Hemodialysis with Congestive Heart Failure

Introduction

Congestive heart failure (CHF) is one of the common complications in patients with end-stage kidney disease. In the general population, CHF increases the risk of the death. However, there is no well-designed relevant study in the Chinese hemodialysis (HD) population addressing the risks associated with CHF. The aim of this study was to explore the impact of CHF on clinical outcomes in HD patients.

Methods

Data from a prospective cohort study, the China Dialysis Outcomes and Practice Patterns Study (DOPPS) 5 (2012-2015), were analyzed. Demographic data, comorbidities, lab data, and death records were extracted. CHF was defined by the diagnosis records upon study inclusion. Our primary outcome was all-cause and cardiovascular (CV) mortality; secondary outcomes were all-cause and cause-specific hospitalization risk. Associations between CHF and outcomes were evaluated using Cox regression models. Stepwise multivariate logistic regression was used to identify the related risk factors, and subgroup analyses were carried out.

Results

Of 1,411 patients without missing CHF history information, 24.1% (340) had CHF diagnosis at enrollment. The overall mortality rates were 21.8% versus 12.0% (p < 0.001) in patients with and without CHF during follow-up, respectively. CHF was associated with higher all-cause mortality (adjusted HR: 1.72, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.17-2.53, p = 0.006), and the association with CV death was of similar magnitude (HR: 1.60, 95% CI: 0.91-2.81, p = 0.105). CHF patients had more episodes of hospitalization due to heart failure (HR: 2.93, 95% CI: 1.49-5.76, p < 0.01). However, compared with patients without CHF, the all-cause hospitalization risk was not much higher in CHF patients (HR: 1.09, 95% CI: 0.90-1.33, p = 0.39). Subgroup analysis found that the effect of CHF on all-cause mortality was stronger for male patients, patients with residual renal function, the elderly (≥60 years of age), patients with arteriovenous fistulae vascular accesses, nondiabetic patients, low-flux dialyzer users, and inadequately dialyzed patients (standardized Kt/V <2).

Conclusion

In HD patients, CHF was found to be associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality and cause-specific hospitalization risk. Further research is needed to identify opportunities to improve care for HD patients combined with CHF.

Low diastolic blood pressure and adverse outcomes in inpatients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: A multicenter cohort study

BACKGROUND

Although intensively studied in patients with cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), the prognostic value of diastolic blood pressure (DBP) has little been elucidated in patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD). This study aimed to reveal the prognostic value of DBP in AECOPD patients.

METHODS

Inpatients with AECOPD were prospectively enrolled from 10 medical centers in China between September 2017 and July 2021. DBP was measured on admission. The primary outcome was all-cause in-hospital mortality; invasive mechanical ventilation and intensive care unit (ICU) admission were secondary outcomes. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and multivariable Cox regressions were used to identify independent prognostic factors and calculate the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for adverse outcomes.

RESULTS

Among 13,633 included patients with AECOPD, 197 (1.45%) died during their hospital stay. Multivariable Cox regression analysis showed that low DBP on admission (<70 mmHg) was associated with increased risk of in-hospital mortality (HR = 2.16, 95% CI: 1.53-3.05, Z = 4.37, P <0.01), invasive mechanical ventilation (HR = 1.65, 95% CI: 1.32-2.05, Z = 19.67, P <0.01), and ICU admission (HR = 1.45, 95% CI: 1.24-1.69, Z = 22.08, P <0.01) in the overall cohort. Similar findings were observed in subgroups with or without CVDs, except for invasive mechanical ventilation in the subgroup with CVDs. When DBP was further categorized in 5-mmHg increments from <50 mmHg to ≥100 mmHg, and 75 to <80 mmHg was taken as reference, HRs for in-hospital mortality increased almost linearly with decreased DBP in the overall cohort and subgroups of patients with CVDs; higher DBP was not associated with the risk of in-hospital mortality.

CONCLUSION

Low on-admission DBP, particularly <70 mmHg, was associated with an increased risk of adverse outcomes among inpatients with AECOPD, with or without CVDs, which may serve as a convenient predictor of poor prognosis in these patients.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

Chinese Clinical Trail Registry, No. ChiCTR2100044625.

Association of low diastolic blood pressure with all-cause death among US adults with normal systolic blood pressure

Although the effect of intensive systolic blood pressure lowering is widely recognized, treatment-related low diastolic blood pressure still worrisome. This was a prospective cohort study based on the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Adults (≥20 years old) with guideline-recommended blood pressure were included and pregnant women were excluded. Survey-weighted logistic regression and cox models were used for analysis. A total of 25 858 participants were included in this study. After weighted, the overall mean age of the participants was 43.17 (16.03) years, including 53.7% women and 68.1% non-Hispanic white. Numerous factors were associated with low DBP (<60 mmHg), including advanced age, heart failure, myocardial infarction, and diabetes. The use of antihypertensive drugs was also associated with lower DBP (OR, 1.52; 95% CI, 1.26-1.83). DBP of less than 60 mmHg were associated with a higher risk of all-cause death (HR, 1.30; 95% CI, 1.12-1.51) and cardiovascular death (HR, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.00-1.79) compared to those with DBP between 70 and 80 mmHg. After regrouping, DBP <60 mmHg (no antihypertensive drugs) was associated with a higher risk of all-cause death (HR, 1.46; 95% CI, 1.21-1.75). DBP <60 mmHg after taking antihypertensive drugs was not associated with a higher risk of all-cause death (HR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.73-1.36). Antihypertensive drug is an important factor contributing to DBP below 60 mmHg. But the pre-existing risk does not increase further with an additional reduction of DBP after antihypertensive drugs treatment.

Effect of different blood pressure levels on short-term outcomes in hospitalized heart failure patients

Background

To investigate the influence of blood pressure (BP) level on short-term prognosis of heart failure (HF), the effect of the BP level on clinical end point events 3 months after discharge was observed.

Methods

A retrospective cohort study was performed on 1492 hospitalized HF patients. All patients were divided according to systolic blood pressure (SBP) per 20 mmHg and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) per 10 mmHg. Logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the relationship between BP level and heart failure rehospitalization, cardiac death, all-cause death and a composite end point of heart failure rehospitalization/all-cause death at 3 month follow-up after discharge.

Results

After multivariable adjustment, the relationship between SBP and DBP levels and outcomes followed an inverted J curve relationship. Compared with the reference group (110 < SBP≤130 mmHg), the risk of all end point events significantly increased in the SBP≤90 mmHg group included heart failure rehospitalization (OR 8.16, 95%CI 2.88-23.11, P < 0.001), cardiac death (OR 5.43, 95%CI 1.97-14.96, P = 0.001), all-cause death (OR 4.85, 95%CI 1.76-13.36, P = 0.002), and composite end point (OR 2.76, 95%CI 1.03-7.41, P = 0.044). SBP>150 mmHg significantly increased the risk of heart failure rehospitalization (OR 2.67, 95%CI 1.15-6.18, P = 0.022). Compared with.the reference group (65 < DBP≤75 mmHg), cardiac death (OR 2.64, 95%CI 1.15-6.05, P = 0.022) and all-cause death (OR 2.67, 95%CI 1.20-5.93, P = 0.016) was significantly increased in DBP≤55 mmHg group. There was no significant difference among subgroups according to left ventricular ejection fraction (P > 0.05).

Conclusions

There is a significant difference in the short-term prognosis 3 months after discharge in HF patients with different BP levels at discharge. There was an inverted J curve relationship between BP levels and prognosis.

Efficacy of Ranolazine to Improve Diastolic Performance in Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

This article evaluates the efficacy of using ranolazine to improve diastolic performance and exercise capacity in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction. A comprehensive literature review found eight trials where there are no significant difference in peak O2 (p=0.09) and exercise duration (p=0.18) between ranolazine and placebo. The ranolazine group had significantly higher and better diastolic parameters compared to placebo, with a mean difference of 0.45 (95% CI [27.18-39.50]). There were no significant differences for haemodynamic parameters (blood pressure and heart rate) and electrocardiography (QT interval) between ranolazine and placebo. The review found that ranolazine has good wefficacy to improve diastolic performance among heart failure with preserved ejection fraction patients and it does not affect blood pressure, heart rate and rate of ventricular repolarisation (shortening of the QT interval).

Determining patterns of vascular function and structure in wild-type transthyretin cardiac amyloidosis. A comparative study

BACKGROUND

The impact of wild-type transthyretin-related cardiac amyloidosis (ATTRwt) on functional and structural peripheral vascular measures is unknown. In the present study, we explored patterns of vascular dysfunction in patients with ATTRwt in comparison to diseases with similar cardiac phenotype.

METHODS

Treatment-naïve patients with ATTRwt (n = 32) were compared to: 1. Age-and sex-matched reference population without amyloidosis (n = 32), 2. Age-and sex-matched patients with systemic AL amyloidosis (n = 32), and 3. patients with cardiac AL amyloidosis (AL-HF, n = 23) or elderly patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) (n = 16). All subjects underwent peripheral vascular assessment using carotid artery ultrasonography, brachial artery flow-mediated dilation (FMD), measurement of arterial stiffness and aortic hemodynamics including heart rate-adjusted time of return of reflected waves (Tr/HR).

RESULTS

After adjustment for traditional cardiovascular risk factors and coronary artery disease (core model), peripheral and aortic blood pressures (BP) were lower in patients with ATTRwt (p < 0.05) whereas other vascular markers were preserved compared to the reference non-amyloidosis group. ATTRwt was independently associated with lower BP and longer Tr/HR compared to AL. Compared to AL-HF, FMD was lower in ATTRwt (p = 0.033). ATTRwt patients had lower BP and higher Tr/HR than HFpEF (p < 0.05). By ROC analysis, Tr/HR discriminated ATTRwt vs. AL-HF (sensitivity 93%, specificity 75%) and HFpEF (sensitivity 100%, specificity 94%) and lower FMD increased the likelihood for ATTRwt at low Tr/HR values.

CONCLUSION

ATTRwt patients present a distinct peripheral vascular fingerprint which is different from AL-HF or HFpEF, consisting of lower peripheral and aortic BP, prolonged Tr/HR and FMD at reference-population range.

Comorbidities in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction

Chronic heart failure is one of the most common causes of hospitalization and death in industrialized countries. Demographic changes with an aging population are expected to further increase the prevalence of chronic heart failure. The associated increase in comorbidities in patients with chronic heart failure leads to a less favorable prognosis for survival. A selection of the major comorbidities discussed in this review—along with prevalence, impact on prognosis, treatment approaches, and current study status—include atrial fibrillation, arterial hypertension, coronary artery disease, coronary microvascular dysfunction, renal dysfunction, type 2 diabetes, sleep apnea, reduced lymphatic reserve, and the effects on oxygen utilization and physical activity. The complex clinical picture of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) remains challenging in the nearly absence of evidence-based therapy. Except for comorbidity-specific guidelines, no HFpEF-specific treatment of comorbidities can be recommended at this time. Optimized care is becoming increasingly relevant to reducing hospitalizations through a seamless inpatient and outpatient care structure. Current treatment is focused on symptom relief and management of associated comorbidities. Therefore, prevention through early minimization of risk factors currently remains the best approach.

Comorbid Hypertension Reduces the Risk of Ventricular Arrhythmia in Chronic Heart Failure Patients with Implantable Cardioverter-Defibrillators

AIMS

Low blood pressure (BP) has been shown to be associated with increased mortality in patients with chronic heart failure. This study was designed to evaluate the relationships between diagnosed hypertension and the risk of ventricular arrhythmia (VA) and all-cause death in chronic heart failure (CHF) patients with implantable cardioverter-defibrillators (ICD), including those with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (HFpEF) and indication for ICD secondary prevention. We hypothesized that a stable hypertension status, along with an increasing BP level, is associated with a reduction in the risk of VA in this population, thereby limiting ICD efficacy.

METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled 964 CHF patients, with hypertension diagnosis and hospitalized BP measurements obtained before ICD implantation. The primary outcome measure was defined as the composite of SCD, appropriate ICD therapy, and sustained VT. The secondary endpoint was time to death or heart transplantation (HTx). We performed multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression and entropy balancing to calculate weights to control for baseline imbalances with or without hypertension. The Fine-Gray subdistribution hazard model was used to confirm the results. The effect of random BP measurements on the primary outcome was illustrated in the Cox model with inverse probability weighting.

RESULTS

The 964 patients had a mean (SD) age of 58.9 (13.1) years; 762 (79.0%) were men. During the interrogation follow-up [median 2.81 years (interquartile range: 1.32-5.27 years)], 380 patients (39.4%) reached the primary outcome. A total of 244 (45.2%) VA events in non-hypertension patients and 136 (32.1%) in hypertension patients were observed. A total of 202 (21.0%) patients died, and 31 (3.2%) patients underwent heart transplantation (incidence 5.89 per 100 person-years; 95% CI: 5.16-6.70 per 100 person-years) during a median survival follow-up of 4.5 (IQR 2.8-6.8) years. A lower cumulative incidence of VA events was observed in hypertension patients in the initial unadjusted Kaplan-Meier time-to-event analysis [hazard ratio (HR): 0.65, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.53-0.80]. The protective effect was robust after entropy balancing (HR: 0.71, 95% CI: 0.56-0.89) and counting death as a competing risk (HR: 0.71, 95% CI: 0.51-1.00). Hypertension diagnosis did not associate with all-cause mortality in this population. Random systolic blood pressure was negatively associated with VA outcomes (p = 0.065).

CONCLUSIONS

In hospitalized chronic heart failure patients with implantable cardioverter-defibrillators, the hypertension status and higher systolic blood pressure measurements are independently associated with a lower risk of combined endpoints of ventricular arrhythmia and sudden cardiac death but not with all-cause mortality. Randomized controlled trials are needed to confirm the protective effect of hypertension on ventricular arrhythmia in chronic heart failure patients.

Risk Stratification by Coronary Perfusion Pressure in Left Ventricular Systolic Dysfunction Patients Undergoing Revascularization: A Propensity Score Matching Analysis

Background

Coronary perfusion pressure (CPP) and coronary artery stenosis are responsible for myocardial perfusion. However, how CPP-related survival outcome affects revascularization is unclear.

Objective

The aim of this study is to investigate the prognostic role of CPP in patients with left ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVSD) undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) with complete revascularization (CR) or reasonable incomplete revascularization (RIR).

Methods

We retrospectively screened 6,076 consecutive patients in a registry. The residual synergy between percutaneous coronary intervention with Taxus and cardiac surgery (SYNTAX) score (rSS) was used to define CR (rSS = 0) and RIR (0<rSS≤8). Propensity score matching was performed to reduce bias between RIR and CR. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality.

Results

In total, 816 patients with LVSD who underwent CR or RIR were enrolled. After a mean follow-up of 4.6 years, 134 patients died. Both CPP and RIR independently predicted mortality in the total population. After 1:1 matching, 175 pairs of RIR and CR were found in patients with CPP > 42 mmHg. Moreover, 101 pairs of RIR and CR were present in patients with CPP ≤ 42 mmHg. In patients with CPP > 42 mmHg, RIR was not significantly different from CR in long-term mortality [hazard ratio (HR) 1.20; 95% confidence interval (CI):0.70–2.07; p = 0.513]; However, in patients with CPP≤42 mmHg, RIR had a significantly higher mortality risk than CR (HR 2.39; 95% CI: 1.27–4.50; p = 0.007).

Conclusions

The CPP had a risk stratification role in selecting different revascularization strategies in patients with LVSD. When patients with LVSD had CPP > 42 mmHg, RIR was equivalent to CR in survival. However, when patients with LVSD had CPP ≤ 42 mmHg, RIR had a significantly higher mortality risk than CR.

Autonomic Testing Optimizes Therapy for Heart Failure and Related Cardiovascular Disorders

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Cardiovascular autonomic control is an intricately balanced dynamic process. Autonomic dysfunction, regardless of origin, promotes and sustains the disease processes, including in patients with heart failure (HF). Autonomic control is mediated through the two autonomic branches: parasympathetic and sympathetic (P&S). HF is arguably the disease that stands to most benefit from P&S manipulation to reduce mortality risk. This review article briefly summarizes some of the more common types of autonomic dysfunction (AD) that are found in heart failure, suggests a mechanism by which AD may contribute to HF, reviews AD involvement in common HF co-morbidities (e.g., ventricular arrhythmias, AFib, hypertension, and Cardiovascular Autonomic Neuropathy), and summarizes possible therapy options for treating AD in HF.

RECENT FINDINGS

Autonomic assessment is important in diagnosing and treating CHF, and its possible co-morbidities. Autonomic assessment may also have importance in predicting which patients may be susceptible to sudden cardiac death. This is important since most CHF patients with sudden cardiac death have preserved left ventricular ejection fraction and better discriminators are needed. Many life-threatening cardiovascular disorders will require invasive testing for precise diagnoses and therapy planning when modulating the ANS is important. In cases of non-life-threatening disorders, non-invasive ANS testing techniques, especially those that individually assess both ANS branches simultaneously and independently, are sufficient to diagnose and treat serially.

The Diastolic Blood Pressure J-Curve in Hypertension Management: Links and Risk for Cardiovascular Disease

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

The treatment of hypertension has changed dramatically over the last century, with recent trials informing clinical guidelines that recommend aiming for lower blood pressure (BP) targets than ever before. However, a "J"- or "U-shaped curve" in the association between diastolic BP and cardiovascular events has been observed in epidemiological studies, suggesting that both high diastolic BPs and diastolic BPs below a certain nadir are associated with higher risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) events. Despite the potential for confounding and reverse causation, this association may caution against overly intensive BP lowering in some hypertensive adults who also have a low baseline diastolic BP.

RECENT FINDINGS

Recent post-hoc analyses of the landmark Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial (SPRINT) appear to contradict these J-curve concerns, finding that the benefit of more intensive BP treatment did not differ based on baseline blood pressure. Similarly, sensitivity analyses of The Strategy of Blood Pressure Intervention in the Elderly Hypertensive Patients (STEP) randomized controlled trial found that patients experienced similar benefits from an intensive BP goal, regardless of whether their diastolic BP was above or below 60 mm Hg. Finally, several Mendelian randomization analyses, which are less susceptible to confounding and reverse causation, demonstrated a clear linear relationship between diastolic BP and cardiovascular events. These studies indicate that a potential reduction in CVD risk is possible, irrespective of baseline diastolic BP values.

SUMMARY

Sufficient recent evidence indicates that low diastolic BP is not causal of worse cardiovascular outcomes but rather represents confounding or reverse causation. Therefore, while low diastolic BP can be considered a marker of CVD risk, this risk is not expected to increase with further BP lowering when necessary to control concomitant elevations of systolic BP. Indeed, BP reduction in this setting appears beneficial.

Long term clinical outcomes of patients with ischemic stroke in primary care - a 9-year retrospective study

Background

We aim to document the long-term outcomes of ischemic stroke patients and explore the potential risk factors for recurrent cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality in primary care.

Methods

A retrospective cohort study performed at two general out-patient clinics (GOPCs) under Hospital Authority (HA) in Hong Kong (HK). Ischemic stroke patients with at least two consecutive follow-up visits during the recruitment period (1/1–30/6/2010) were included. Patients were followed up regularly till the date of recurrent stroke, cardiovascular event, death or 31/12/2018. The primary outcome was the occurrence of recurrent cerebrovascular event including transient ischemic stroke (TIA), ischemic stroke or hemorrhagic stroke. The secondary outcomes were all-cause mortality and coronary artery disease (CAD). We fit cox proportional hazard model adjusting death as competing risk factor to estimate the cause-specific hazard ratio (csHR).

Results

A total of 466 patients (mean age, 71.5 years) were included. During a median follow-up period of 8.7 years, 158 patients (33.9%) died. Eighty patients (17.2%) had recurrent stroke and 57 (12.2%) patients developed CAD. Age was an independent risk factor for recurrent stroke, CAD and death. Statin therapy at baseline had a protective effect for recurrent stroke (csHR = 0.476; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.285–0.796, P = 0.005) after adjusting death as a competing risk factor and all-cause mortality (HR = 0.693, 95% CI 0.486–0.968, P = 0.043). In addition, female sex, antiplatelet and a higher diastolic blood pressure (DBP) at baseline were also independent predictors for survival.

Conclusions

Long term prognosis of ischemic stroke patients in primary care is favorable. Use of statin was associated with a significant decrease in stroke recurrence and mortality. Patients who died had a significant lower DBP at baseline, highlighted the need to consider both systolic and diastolic blood pressure in our daily practice.

Time-to-event prediction analysis of patients with chronic heart failure comorbid with atrial fibrillation: a LightGBM model

Background

Chronic heart failure (CHF) comorbid with atrial fibrillation (AF) is a serious threat to human health and has become a major clinical burden. This prospective cohort study was performed to design a risk stratification system based on the light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM) model to accurately predict the 1- to 3-year all-cause mortality of patients with CHF comorbid with AF.

Methods

Electronic medical records of hospitalized patients with CHF comorbid with AF from January 2014 to April 2019 were collected. The data set was randomly divided into a training set and test set at a 3:1 ratio. In the training set, the synthetic minority over-sampling technique (SMOTE) algorithm and fivefold cross validation were used for LightGBM model training, and the model performance was performed on the test set and compared using the logistic regression method. The survival rate was presented on a Kaplan–Meier curve and compared by a log-rank test, and the hazard ratio was calculated by a Cox proportional hazard model.

Results

Of the included 1796 patients, the 1-, 2-, and 3-year cumulative mortality rates were 7.74%, 10.63%, and 12.43%, respectively. Compared with the logistic regression model, the LightGBM model showed better predictive performance, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for 1-, 2-, and 3-year all-cause mortality was 0.718 (95%CI, 0.710–0.727), 0.744(95%CI, 0.737–0.751), and 0.757 (95%CI, 0.751–0.763), respectively. The net reclassification index was 0.062 (95%CI, 0.044–0.079), 0.154 (95%CI, 0.138–0.172), and 0.148 (95%CI, 0.133–0.164), respectively. The differences between the two models were statistically significant (P < 0.05). Patients in the high-risk group had a significantly higher hazard of death than those in the low-risk group (hazard ratios: 12.68, 13.13, 14.82, P < 0.05).

Conclusion

Risk stratification based on the LightGBM model showed better discriminative ability than traditional model in predicting 1- to 3-year all-cause mortality of patients with CHF comorbid with AF. Individual patients’ prognosis could also be obtained, and the subgroup of patients with a higher risk of mortality could be identified. It can help clinicians identify and manage high- and low-risk patients and carry out more targeted intervention measures to realize precision medicine and the optimal allocation of health care resources.

Prediction model of in-hospital mortality in intensive care unit patients with heart failure: machine learning-based, retrospective analysis of the MIMIC-III database

OBJECTIVE

The predictors of in-hospital mortality for intensive care units (ICUs)-admitted heart failure (HF) patients remain poorly characterised. We aimed to develop and validate a prediction model for all-cause in-hospital mortality among ICU-admitted HF patients.

DESIGN

A retrospective cohort study.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

Data were extracted from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC-III) database. Data on 1177 heart failure patients were analysed.

METHODS

Patients meeting the inclusion criteria were identified from the MIMIC-III database and randomly divided into derivation (n=825, 70%) and a validation (n=352, 30%) group. Independent risk factors for in-hospital mortality were screened using the extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression models in the derivation sample. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to build prediction models in derivation group, and then validated in validation cohort. Discrimination, calibration and clinical usefulness of the predicting model were assessed using the C-index, calibration plot and decision curve analysis. After pairwise comparison, the best performing model was chosen to build a nomogram according to the regression coefficients.

RESULTS

Among the 1177 admissions, in-hospital mortality was 13.52%. In both groups, the XGBoost, LASSO regression and Get With the Guidelines-Heart Failure (GWTG-HF) risk score models showed acceptable discrimination. The XGBoost and LASSO regression models also showed good calibration. In pairwise comparison, the prediction effectiveness was higher with the XGBoost and LASSO regression models than with the GWTG-HF risk score model (p<0.05). The XGBoost model was chosen as our final model for its more concise and wider net benefit threshold probability range and was presented as the nomogram.

CONCLUSIONS

Our nomogram enabled good prediction of in-hospital mortality in ICU-admitted HF patients, which may help clinical decision-making for such patients.

Circadian Blood Pressure Rhythm in Cardiovascular and Renal Health and Disease

Blood pressure (BP) follows a circadian rhythm, it increases on waking in the morning and decreases during sleeping at night. Disruption of the circadian BP rhythm has been reported to be associated with worsened cardiovascular and renal outcomes, however the underlying molecular mechanisms are still not clear. In this review, we briefly summarized the current understanding of the circadian BP regulation and provided therapeutic overview of the relationship between circadian BP rhythm and cardiovascular and renal health and disease.

Prognostic significance of diastolic blood pressure in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction

Although systolic blood pressure (SBP) is routinely considered when treating acute heart failure (HF), diastolic blood pressure (DBP) is hardly been assessed in the situation. There are no previous studies regarding the predictive value of DBP in elderly patients with HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) in Japan. This study aimed to investigate the prognostic significance of DBP in patients with acute decompensated HFpEF. We analyzed data of all HFpEF patients admitted to Shinonoi General Hospital for HF treatment between July 2016 and December 2018. We excluded patients with acute coronary syndrome and severe valvular disease. Patients were divided into two groups according to their median DBP; the low DBP group (DBP ≤ 77 mmHg, n = 106) and the high DBP group (DBP > 77 mmHg, n = 100). The primary outcome was HF readmission. In 206 enrolled patients (median 86 years), during a median follow-up of 302 days, the primary outcome occurred in 48 patients. The incidence of HF readmission was significantly higher in the low DBP group (33.0% vs 18.5%, p = 0.024). In Kaplan–Meier analysis, low DBP predicted HF readmission (Log-rank test, p = 0.013). In Cox proportional hazard analysis, low DBP was an independent predictor of HF readmission after adjustment for age, sex, SBP, hemoglobin, serum albumin, serum creatinine, B-type natriuretic peptide, renin-angiotensin system inhibitors, calcium channel blockers, left ventricular ejection fraction, coronary artery disease, and whether they live alone (hazard ratio, 2.229; 95% confidence interval, 1.021–4.867; p = 0.044). Low DBP predicted HF readmission in patients with HFpEF.

Influence of polypharmacy on patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: a retrospective analysis on adverse outcomes in the TOPCAT trial

BACKGROUND

Polypharmacy is common in heart failure (HF), whereas its effect on adverse outcomes in patients with HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is unclear.

AIM

To evaluate the prevalence, prognostic impacts, and predictors of polypharmacy in HFpEF patients.

DESIGN AND SETTING

A retrospective analysis performed on patients in the Americas region (including the US, Canada, Argentina, and Brazil) with symptomatic HF and a left ventricular ejection fraction ≥45% in the TOPCAT (Treatment of Preserved Cardiac Function Heart Failure with an Aldosterone Antagonist) trial, an international, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled study conducted during 2006-2013 in six countries.

METHOD

Patients were categorised into four groups: controls (<5 medications), polypharmacy (5-9 medications), hyperpolypharmacy, (10-14 medications), and super hyperpolypharmacy (≥15 medications). The outcomes and predictors in all groups were assessed.

RESULTS

Of 1761 participants, the median age was 72 years; 37.5% were polypharmacy, 35.9% were hyperpolypharmacy, and 19.6% were super hyperpolypharmacy, leaving 7.0% having a low medication burden. In multivariable regression models, three experimental groups with a high medication burden were all associated with a reduction in all-cause death, but increased risks of HF hospitalisation and all-cause hospitalisation. Furthermore, several comorbidities (dyslipidemia, thyroid diseases, diabetes mellitus, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease), a history of angina pectoris, diastolic blood pressure <80 mmHg, and worse heart function (the New York Heart Association functional classification level III and IV) at baseline were independently associated with a high medication burden among patients with HFpEF.

CONCLUSION

A high prevalence of high medication burden at baseline was reported in patients with HFpEF. The high medication burden might increase the risk of hospital readmission, but not the mortality.

Associations of Left Ventricular Structure and Function With Blood Pressure in Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction: Analysis of the TOPCAT Trial

Background

Data on the association of systolic and diastolic blood pressure with the structure and function of failing hearts with preserved ejection fraction (EF) are sparse.

Methods and Results

This analysis included 935 patients with heart failure (49.4% women; mean age, 69.9 years) with preserved EF (≥45%) enrolled in the TOPCAT (Treatment of Preserved Cardiac Function Heart Failure With an Aldosterone Antagonist) Trial before initiation of randomized therapy. Left ventricular (LV) structure (dimensions, wall thickness, and mass index), diastolic function (left atrial volume index, transmitral blood flow, and mitral annular velocities), and systolic function (EF and longitudinal strain) were assessed echocardiographically. In multivariable‐adjusted analyses, association sizes expressed per 1‐SD (14.8–mm Hg) increment in systolic blood pressure were 0.020 cm (P=0.003) and 0.018 cm (P=0.004) for LV septal and posterior wall thickness, respectively, and 2.42 mg/m² (P=0.018) for LV mass index. The corresponding associations with diastolic blood pressure were nonsignificant (P≥0.067). In similarly adjusted analyses, the association sizes expressed per 1‐SD (10.7–mm Hg) increment in diastolic blood pressure were −0.15 for E/A (P<0.001), −0.76 for E/e′ (P=0.006), and −0.62% for EF (P=0.024). These findings were consistent, if models including systolic blood pressure were additionally adjusted for diastolic blood pressure and vice versa, albeit that the relation of EF with diastolic blood pressure weakened (−0.54%; P=0.10).

Conclusions

In diastolic heart failure, LV wall thickness and LV mass index increased with higher systolic blood pressure, but not with higher diastolic blood pressure, whereas functional measures reflecting diastolic LV function decreased with higher diastolic blood pressure, independent of systolic blood pressure. These observations highlight the importance of controlling both systolic and diastolic blood pressure as modifiable risk factors to reduce the risk of LV remodeling and diastolic LV dysfunction.

Risk of de-novo heart failure and competing risk in asymptomatic patients with structural heart diseases

AIMS

Asymptomatic patients with structural heart diseases are classified as a population at high risk for heart failure (HF) in Stage B. However, limited data are available regarding incidence and related factors of de-novo HF (DNHF) considering competing risk in this population.

METHODS AND RESULTS

In 3362 Stage B patients (mean age 68 yrs, male 76%) from the CHART-2 Study (N = 10,219), we examined incidence of death and DNHF, defined as the first episode of either HF hospitalization or HF death, and factors related to DNHF.

RESULTS

During the median 6.0-year follow-up, 627 deaths (31/1000 person-years) and 293 DNHF (15/1000 person-years) occurred. Among the 627 deaths, 212 (34%) and 325 (52%) were specified as cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular deaths, respectively. During the follow-up of 271 DNHF hospitalizations, we observed 124 deaths, including 65 (52%) cardiovascular and 47 (40%) non-cardiovascular deaths. The competing risk model showed that age, diabetes mellitus, stroke, atrial fibrillation, diastolic blood pressure, hemoglobin levels, estimated glomerular filtration ratio and left ventricular ejection fraction was significantly associated with DNHF. Bayesian structural equation modeling showed that many of these cardiac and non-cardiac variables contribute to DNHF by affecting each other, while diabetes mellitus was independently associated with DNHF.

CONCLUSIONS

Stage B patients had a high incidence of DNHF as well as that of death due to both cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular causes. Thus, management of Stage B patients should include multidisciplinary approaches considering both cardiac and non-cardiac factors, in order to prevent DNHF as well as non-HF death as a competing risk.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

clinicaltrials.gov identifier: NCT00418041.

A novel nomogram to predict all-cause readmission or death risk in Chinese elderly patients with heart failure

Aims

Elderly patients with heart failure (HF) are associated with frequent all‐cause readmission or death. The present study sought to develop an accurate and easy‐to‐use model to predict all‐cause readmission or death risk in Chinese elderly patients with HF.

Methods and results

This was a prospective cohort study in patients with HF aged 65 or older. Demographic, co‐morbidity, laboratory, and medication data were collected. A Cox regression model was used to identify factors for the prediction of readmission or death at 30 days and 1 year. A nomogram was developed with bootstrap validation. Of the included 854 patients, the cumulative all‐cause readmission and mortality rates were 10.5% and 11.6% at 30 days and 34.9% and 19.7% at 1 year, respectively. The independent risk factors associated with both 30 day and 1 year readmission or death were older age, stroke, diastolic blood pressure < 60 mmHg, body mass index ≤ 18.5 kg/m², lower estimated glomerular filtration rate, and BNP > 400 pg/mL (all P < 0.05). Anaemia, abnormal neutrophils, and admission without angiotensin‐converting enzyme inhibitors/angiotensin receptor blockers were the specific independent risk factors of 30 day all‐cause readmission or death (all P < 0.05), whereas serum sodium ≤ 140 mmol/L and admission without beta‐blockers were the specific independent risk factors of 1 year all‐cause readmission or death (all P < 0.05). The C‐index of the 30 day and 1 year diagnosis prediction model was 0.778 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.693–0.862] and 0.738 (95% CI 0.640–0.836), respectively.

Conclusions

We developed accurate and easy‐to‐use nomograms to predict all‐cause readmission or death in Chinese elderly patients with HF. The nomograms will assist in reducing the all‐cause readmission and mortality rates.

Low alanine aminotransferase levels predict low muscle strength in older patients with diabetes: A nationwide cross-sectional study in Korea

AIM

Low alanine aminotransferase (ALT) level is associated with frailty in the older adult population. We investigated the usefulness of ALT in predicting low muscle strength among older patients with diabetes.

METHODS

We included 550 men aged ≥50 years and 525 postmenopausal women. All participants had diabetes, and data were based on the 2014-2016 Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Participants with ALT levels confounded by hepatic causes or who had a cerebrovascular accident were excluded. The accompanying metabolic disorders and the associated parameters were evaluated. Low muscle strength was defined as handgrip strength below the Korean-specific cut-off value.

RESULTS

In men and women, when ALT level was divided into quartiles (Q1-Q4), a positive correlation between ALT and body mass index, triglycerides, fasting plasma glucose, glycated hemoglobin levels and handgrip strength was observed, whereas a negative correlation was observed with age and duration of diabetes (P < 0.05, all). After adjusting for age, sex, protein intake, aerobic exercise, body mass index, duration of diabetes, glycated hemoglobin and triglycerides, the lower ALT quartiles ([Q1 and Q2) showed a higher risk for low muscle strength compared with Q4 (OR 2.123 and 2.437; P = 0.060 and 0.029). The cut-off ALT level for low muscle strength was 18.5 IU/L.

CONCLUSION

Older patients with diabetes with ALT levels below low-to-normal should not be considered metabolically healthy. Clinicians should pay special attention to the risk of low muscle strength in individuals with ALT levels of ≤18.5 IU/L, independent of any associated metabolic disorders. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2020; 20: 271-276.

Use of Nitrates and Risk of Cardiovascular Events in Patients With Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction

OBJECTIVE

To assess the association of nitrate use with cardiovascular events in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patient data were collected from the Treatment of Preserved Cardiac Function Heart Failure With an Aldosterone Antagonist trial, which had been conducted at 233 sites in 6 countries from August 10, 2006, through January 31, 2012. The primary outcome was the occurrence of a major adverse cardiovascular event (cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and nonfatal stroke) or heart failure hospitalization. The association between nitrate use and cardiovascular risk was evaluated using Cox proportional hazards analysis. In addition, we verified the results using propensity score-matched patients.

RESULTS

A total of 3417 patients with HFpEF were evaluated over a mean follow-up of 3.1 years, and 778 experienced a primary outcome event. The risk of primary outcome events was significantly higher in patients taking nitrates than in those not taking nitrates (hazard ratio [HR], 1.21; 95% CI, 1.01-1.46, P=.04). The risk of major adverse cardiovascular events was significantly higher in patients taking nitrates than in those not taking nitrates (HR, 1.32; 95% CI, 1.05-1.66, P=.01). Furthermore, the risk of hospitalization for heart failure was higher in patients taking nitrates (HR, 1.25; 95% CI, 0.99-1.60, P=.06), with propensity score-matched analyses revealing similar findings. In addition, a similar association was observed in various subgroups.

CONCLUSION

This study reported that nitrate use in patients with HFpEF was associated with a significantly increased risk of cardiovascular events.

Impact of Sex on Ventricular-Vascular Stiffness and Long-Term Outcomes in Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction: TOPCAT Trial Substudy

Background

Women have higher vascular stiffness with aging. The aim of this study was to characterize sex differences in vascular and ventricular structure and function, and to investigate the impact on the primary outcome in the TOPCAT trial (Treatment of Preserved Cardiac Function Heart Failure With an Aldosterone Antagonist Trial).

Methods and Results

Data from the Americas cohort of the TOPCAT trial were analyzed. Patients with echocardiography (n=654) were compared according to sex, and achievement of the primary end point (a composite of death from cardiovascular causes and heart failure hospitalization) assessed. Echocardiography revealed higher arterial, systolic, and diastolic ventricular elastance and worse ventricular‐vascular coupling in women. Women had better overall survival and heart failure hospitalization outcomes (hazard ratio 0.74, 95% CI 0.57–0.98, P=0.034), however, determinants of achievement of the primary outcome differed between the sexes. Pulse pressure was a key determinant of outcome in women (hazard ratio 1.04, 95% CI 1–1.09, P=0.034) whereas in men heart rate (hazard ratio 1.61, 95% CI 1.02–2.52 per 10 mm Hg increase, P=0.04) and B‐type natriuretic peptide (hazard ratio 1.01, 95% CI 1–1.02 per 10 ng/mL increase P=0.02) were associated with poorer outcome.

Conclusions

Outcomes in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction appear to be differentially influenced by key physiological factors that vary according to sex. In women, ventricular‐vascular stiffening was the most significant determinant of outcome, whereas in men overall survival was influenced by heart rate and B‐type natriuretic peptide; this highlights key sex differences in the pathophysiology and outcomes of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction and warrants further exploration.

Clinical Trial Registration

URL: https://clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00094302.

Impact of Diabetes Mellitus on Ventricular Structure, Arterial Stiffness, and Pulsatile Hemodynamics in Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction

Background Heterogeneity in the underlying processes that contribute to heart failure with preserved ejection fraction ( HF p EF ) is increasingly recognized. Diabetes mellitus is a frequent comorbidity in HF p EF , but its impact on left ventricular and arterial structure and function in HF p EF is unknown. Methods and Results We assessed the impact of diabetes mellitus on left ventricular cellular and interstitial hypertrophy (assessed with cardiac magnetic resonance imaging, including T1 mapping pregadolinium and postgadolinium administration), arterial stiffness (assessed with arterial tonometry), and pulsatile arterial hemodynamics (assessed with in-office pressure-flow analyses and 24-hour ambulatory monitoring) among 53 subjects with HF p EF (32 diabetic and 21 nondiabetic subjects). Despite few differences in clinical characteristics, diabetic subjects with HFpEF exhibited a markedly greater left ventricular mass index (78.1 [95% CI , 70.4-85.9] g versus 63.6 [95% CI , 55.8-71.3] g; P=0.0093) and indexed extracellular volume (23.6 [95% CI , 21.2-26.1] mL/m2 versus 16.2 [95% CI , 13.1-19.4] mL/m2; P=0.0008). Pronounced aortic stiffening was also observed in the diabetic group (carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity, 11.86 [95% CI , 10.4-13.1] m/s versus 8.8 [95% CI , 7.5-10.1] m/s; P=0.0027), with an adverse pulsatile hemodynamic profile characterized by increased oscillatory power (315 [95% CI , 258-373] mW versus 190 [95% CI , 144-236] mW; P=0.0007), aortic characteristic impedance (0.154 [95% CI , 0.124-0.183] mm Hg/mL per second versus 0.096 [95% CI , 0.072-0.121] mm Hg/mL per second; P=0.0024), and forward (59.5 [95% CI , 52.8-66.1] mm Hg versus 40.1 [95% CI , 31.6-48.6] mm Hg; P=0.0010) and backward (19.6 [95% CI , 16.2-22.9] mm Hg versus 14.1 [95% CI , 10.9-17.3] mm Hg; P=0.0169) wave amplitude. Abnormal pulsatile hemodynamics were also evident in 24-hour ambulatory monitoring, despite the absence of significant differences in 24-hour systolic blood pressure between the groups. Conclusions Diabetes mellitus is a key determinant of left ventricular remodeling, arterial stiffness, adverse pulsatile hemodynamics, and ventricular-arterial interactions in HF p EF . Clinical Trial Registration URL : https://www.clinicaltrials.gov . Unique identifier: NCT 01516346.

Dangers of Overly Aggressive Blood Pressure Control

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Recent US guidelines have changed the definition of hypertension to ≥ 130/80 mmHg and recommended more intense blood pressure (BP) targets. We summarize the evidence for intense BP treatment and discuss risks that must be considered when choosing treatment goals for individual patients.

RECENT FINDINGS

The SPRINT study reported that treating to a systolic BP target of 120 mmHg reduces cardiovascular outcomes in high-risk individuals, supporting more intensive BP reduction than previously recommended. However, recent observational studies have placed emphasis on the BP J-curve phenomenon, where low BPs are associated with adverse cardiovascular outcomes, suggesting that overly aggressive BP targets may sometimes be harmful. We attempt to reconcile these apparent contradictions for the clinician. We also review other potential dangers of aggressive BP targets, including syncope, renal impairment, polypharmacy, drug interactions, subjective drug side-effects, and non-adherence. We suggest a personalized approach to BP drug management considering individual risks, benefits, and preferences when choosing therapeutic targets, recognizing that a goal of 130/80 mmHg should always be considered. Additionally, we recommend an intense focus on lifestyle changes and medication adherence.