Drivers of hospitalisation trends for non-valvular atrial fibrillation in Western Australia, 2000–2013

Long-term Patient and Health Service Outcomes of Ablation and Antiarrhythmic Drugs in Atrial Fibrillation: A Comparative Systematic Review

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a prevalent problem worldwide and a common cause of hospitalization, poor quality of life, and increased mortality. Although several treatments are used, the use of ablation and antiarrhythmic drug therapy has increased in the past decade. However, debate continues on the most suitable option for heart rhythm control in patients. Previous studies have largely focused on short-term outcome effects of these treatments. This systematic review aims to determine the effect of ablation compared to antiarrhythmic drugs for AF on long-term patient and health service outcomes of mortality, hospitalization, and quality of life. Three databases were systematically searched-studies were included if they reported long-term outcomes of more than 12 months comparing the 2 treatments. Title and abstract screening and subsequent full-text screening was done by 2 reviewers. Data were extracted from the final studies identified. The details of the search were recorded according to Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses report. A total of 2224 records were identified. After removing duplicates and screening the titles and abstracts, 68 records required full-text screening. Finally, 12 papers were included in the analysis. Eight studies reported mortality indicating ablation was superior, 2 studies reported hospitalization with opposing outcomes, and 5 quality of life studies indicating ablation was a better treatment. In studies assessing long-term outcomes, beyond 12 months, following ablation or rhythm control drugs for AF, most found a lower risk of death and greater improvement in quality of life in the ablation group.

Long-Term Pattern and Associated Costs of Re-hospitalisations in Patients After Index Atrial Fibrillation Admission in Western Australia, 2011-2017

AIMS

This study aimed to determine total and cardiovascular-specific re-hospitalisation patterns and associated costs within 2 years of index atrial fibrillation (AF) admission in Western Australia (WA).

METHOD

Patients aged 25-94 years, surviving an index (first-in-period) AF hospitalisation (principal diagnosis) from 2011 to 2015 were identified from WA-linked administrative data and followed for 2 years. Person-level hospitalisation costs ($ Australian dollar) were computed using the Australian Refined Diagnosis Related Groups and presented as median with first and third quartile costs.

RESULTS

The cohort comprised 17,080 patients, 59.0% men, mean age 69.6±13.3 (standard deviation) years, and 59.0% had a CHA2DS2-VA (one point for congestive heart failure, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, vascular disease or age 65-74 years; two points for prior stroke/transient ischaemic attack or age ≥75 years) score of 2 or more. Within 2 years, 13,776 patients (80.6%) were readmitted with median of 2 (1-4) readmissions. Among total all-cause readmissions (n=54,240), 40.1% were emergent and 36.6% were cardiovascular-related, led by AF (19.5%), coronary events (5.8%), and heart failure (4.2%). The median index AF admission cost was $3,264 ($2,899-$7,649) while cardiovascular readmission costs were higher, particularly stroke ($10,732 [$4,179-23,390]), AF ablation ($7,884 [$5,283-$8,878]), and heart failure ($6,759 [$6,081-$13,146]). Average readmission costs over 2 years per person increased by $4,746 (95% confidence interval [CI] $4,459-$5,033) per unit increase in baseline CHA2DS2-VA score. The average 2-year hospitalisation costs per patient, including index admission, was $27,820 (95% CI $27,308-$28,333) and total WA costs were $475.2 million between 2011 and 2017.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients after index AF hospitalisation have a high risk of cardiovascular and other readmissions with considerable healthcare cost implications. Readmission costs increased progressively with baseline CHA2DS2-VA score. Better integrated management of AF and coexistent comorbidities is likely key to reducing readmissions and associated costs.

Emergent readmission and long-term mortality risk after incident atrial fibrillation hospitalisation

OBJECTIVE

To assess the frequency and predictors of unplanned readmissions after hospitalisation for incident atrial fibrillation (AF) and the association of readmissions with mortality over 2 years.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study using Western Australian morbidity and mortality data to identify all patients, aged 25-94 years, who survived incident (first-ever) hospitalisation for AF (principal diagnosis), between 2001 and 2015. Ordinal logistic models determined the covariates independently associated with unplanned readmission(s), and Cox proportional hazards models with time-varying exposures determined the hazard ratios (HR) of one or more readmissions for mortality over 2 years after incident AF.

RESULTS

Of 22 956 patients, 57.7% male, mean age 67.9 (SD 13.8) years, 44.0% experienced 22 053 unplanned readmissions within 2 years, 50.6% being cardiovascular-related. All-cause death occurred in 8.0% of the cohort, and the multivariable-adjusted mortality HR of 1 (vs 0) readmission was 2.9 (95% CI 2.6 to 3.3), increasing to 5.6 (95% CI 5.0 to 6.5) for 3+ readmissions. First emergent readmission for AF, stroke, heart failure or myocardial infarction was independently associated with an increased hazard for mortality. Coexistent cardiovascular and other comorbidities were independently associated with increased readmission and mortality risk, whereas AF ablation was associated with reduced risk.

CONCLUSION

This study highlights the large burden of unplanned all-cause and cardiovascular-specific readmissions within 2 years after being hospitalised for incident AF and their associated adverse impact on mortality. Concomitant comorbidities are independently associated with unplanned hospitalisations and mortality, which supports integrated multidisciplinary management of comorbidities, along with AF-targeted treatments, to improve long-term outcomes in patients with AF.

Prevalence and Incidence Rates of Atrial Fibrillation in Denmark 2004–2018

Purpose

To estimate the prevalence and incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF) in Denmark during 2004–2018 and to investigate whether methodological choices influence these estimates.

Patients and Methods

A register-based cohort study was conducted of all individuals aged ≥18 years in Denmark 2004–2018. The cumulative prevalence of AF at the end of the study period was calculated as the number of AF cases alive with at least one inpatient or two outpatient diagnoses during 1994–2018 divided by the number of Danish residents in 2018. Incidence rates were calculated as the number of annual AF cases with no previous diagnosis in the past 10 years (ie, a 10-year washout period) divided by the person-time contributed by the population free of AF on 1 January in the same calendar year. Furthermore, the influence of varying case definitions was investigated.

Results

The cumulative prevalence of AF was 3.0% in 2018. The incidence rate increased from 391 to 481 per 100,000 person-years (PYs) from 2004 to 2015 (1.7% average annual increase) after which it declined to 367 per 100,000 PYs in 2018 (8.5% average annual decrease). This pattern was observed in both sexes irrespective of age. Methodological choices, particularly the case definition’s strictness and the length of the washout period, had a substantial influence on the reported estimates.

Conclusion

The cumulative prevalence of AF is currently around 3.0% in the Danish population, but the incidence has declined since 2015. As these estimates are influenced by methodological choices, future studies should strive for precise reporting of study methodology.

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Unplanned 30-day readmission, comorbidity, and impact on mortality after incident atrial fibrillation hospitalization in Western Australia, 2001–2015

Background

The healthcare burden of atrial fibrillation (AF) is dominated by hospitalizations, but data on 30-day unplanned readmissions after AF hospitalization and impact on mortality are limited.

Objective

To assess causes and trends of 30-day unplanned readmission in incident (first-ever) hospitalized AF patients, and the risk of readmission for subsequent all-cause mortality.

Methods

Patients aged 25–94 years, with an incident AF hospitalization (principal diagnosis) between 2001 and 2015, and surviving 30 days post discharge, were identified from linked Western Australian hospitalization and mortality data. Unplanned 30-day readmissions were categorized by principal diagnosis. Multivariable logistic and Cox regression analyses determined the independent predictors of readmission and the hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) of readmission for subsequent 1-year mortality.

Results

Of 22,814 patients, 57.7% male, mean age 67.8 ± 13.8 (standard deviation) years, 9.5% experienced 1 or more 30-day unplanned readmissions, with standardized rates increasing 2.0% annually (95% CI, 1.0%–3.1%). Among all readmissions, 64.8% were cardiovascular-related, with AF (31.7%), coronary events (12.2%), and heart failure (8.5%) being the most frequent. In 30-day survivors, 4.3% died within 1 year. Patients with any cardiovascular or noncardiovascular readmission (vs none) had a multivariable-adjusted mortality HR of 2.12 (95% CI, 1.82–2.45). Coexistent comorbidities were independently associated with 30-day unplanned readmission and 1-year mortality.

Conclusion

Following incident AF hospitalization, 30-day unplanned readmissions were common, mostly cardiovascular-related, but any readmission, regardless of cause, was associated with a 2-fold higher adjusted mortality risk. Our findings also support the importance of comorbidity optimization within an integrated care pathway to reduce adverse outcomes in AF patients.

Associations of Atrial Fibrillation Patterns With Mortality and Cardiovascular Events: Implications of the MISOAC-AF Trial

AIM

This retrospective cohort study aimed to evaluate the prognostic implications of the distinct atrial fibrillation (AF) temporal patterns: first diagnosed, paroxysmal, and persistent or permanent AF.

METHODS

In this post hoc analysis of the MISOAC-AF trial (NCT02941978), a total of 1052 patients with AF (median age 76 years), discharged from the cardiology ward between 2015 and 2018, were analyzed. Kaplan-Meier and Cox-regression analyses were performed to compare the primary outcome of all-cause mortality, the secondary outcomes of stroke, major bleeding and the composite outcome of cardiovascular (CV) mortality or hospitalization among AF patterns.

RESULTS

Of patients, 121 (11.2%) had first diagnosed, 356 (33%) paroxysmal, and 575 (53.2%) persistent or permanent AF. During a median follow-up of 31 months (interquartile range 10 to 52 months), 37.3% of patients died. Compared with paroxysmal AF, patients with persistent or permanent AF had higher mortality rates (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR), 1.37; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.08-1.74, P = .009), but similar CV mortality or hospitalization rates (aHR, 1.09; 95% CI, 0.91-1.31, P = .35). Compared with first diagnosed AF, patients with persistent or permanent AF had similar mortality (aHR, 1.26; 95% CI, 0.87-1.82, P = .24), but higher CV mortality or hospitalization rates (aHR, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.01-1.8, P = .04). Stroke and major bleeding events did not differ across AF patterns (all P > .05).

CONCLUSIONS

In conclusion, in recently hospitalized patients with comorbid AF, the presence of persistent or permanent AF was associated with a higher incidence of mortality and morbidity compared with paroxysmal and first diagnosed AF.

How to handle the delayed or missed dose of rivaroxaban in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation: model-informed remedial dosing

BACKGROUND

Rivaroxaban is an oral anticoagulant widely used for stroke prevention in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). During long-term anticoagulant therapy, delayed or missed doses are common. This study aimed to explore appropriate remedial dosing regimens for non-adherent rivaroxaban-treated patients.

METHODS

Monte Carlo simulation based on a previously established rivaroxaban population pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) model for patients with NVAF was employed to design remedial dosing regimens. The proposed regimens were compared with remedial strategies in the European Heart Rhythm Association (EHRA) guide by assessing deviation time in terms of drug concentration, factor Xa activity, and prothrombin time.

RESULTS

The proposed remedial dosing regimens were dependent on delay duration. The missed dose should be taken immediately when the delay does not exceed 6 h; a half dose is advisable when the delay is between 6 and 20 h. A missed dose should be skipped if less than 4 h remains before the next dose. The proposed regimens resulted in shorter deviation time than that of the EHRA guide.

CONCLUSION

PK/PD modeling and simulation provide valid evidence on the remedial dosing regimen of rivaroxaban, which could help to minimize the risk of bleeding and thromboembolism.