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Qiao W, Li J, Wang P, Zhang Y, Jin R, Li J. Prognostic nomogram based on the gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-to-platelet ratio for patients with compensated cirrhotic hepatocellular carcinoma after local ablation. Front Oncol 2024; 14:1406764. [PMID: 39055565 PMCID: PMC11269228 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2024.1406764] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/25/2024] [Accepted: 06/26/2024] [Indexed: 07/27/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients with compensated cirrhosis typically face a high prevalence and unfavorable prognosis. However, there is currently a deficiency in prediction models to anticipate the prognosis of these patients. Therefore, our study included the Gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-to-platelet ratio (GPR) in analysis and aimed to develop a nomogram for HCC patients with compensated cirrhosis after local ablation. Methods Enrolling 669 patients who underwent local ablation at Beijing You'an Hospital during the period from January 1, 2014, to December 31, 2022, this study focused on individuals with compensated cirrhotic HCC. In a ratio of 7:3, patients were allocated to the training cohort (n=468) and the validation cohort (n=201). Lasso-Cox regression was employed to identify independent prognostic factors for overall survival (OS). Subsequently, a nomogram was constructed using these factors and was validated through receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results GPR, age, and hemoglobin were identified by Lasso-Cox regression as independent prognostic factors of the nomogram. The area under the ROC curves (AUCs) for 3-, 5-, and 8-year OS (0.701, 0.755, and 0.768 for the training cohort; 0.684, 0.707, and 0.778 for the validation cohort), and C-indices (0.695 for training cohort; 0.679 for validation cohort) exhibited the excellent predictive ability of the nomogram. Calibration curves and DCA curves indicated favorable calibration performance and clinical utility. Patients were further stratified into two risk groups according to the median nomogram score. There existed an obvious distinction between the two groups both in the training cohort and validation cohort. Conclusion In summary, this research established and validated a novel nomogram to predict OS, which had good predictive power for HCC patients with compensated cirrhosis after local ablation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wenying Qiao
- Hepatic Disease and Oncology Minimally Invasive Interventional Center, Beijing You’an Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
- Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
- Changping Laboratory, Beijing, China
| | - Jiashuo Li
- Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Peiyi Wang
- Qingdao Agricultural University, Qingdao, China
| | - Yuanyuan Zhang
- Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
- Beijing Key Laboratory of Emerging Infectious Diseases, Institute of Infectious Diseases, Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
- Beijing Institute of Infectious Diseases, Beijing, China
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, Beijing, China
| | - Ronghua Jin
- Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
- Changping Laboratory, Beijing, China
- Beijing Key Laboratory of Emerging Infectious Diseases, Institute of Infectious Diseases, Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
- Beijing Institute of Infectious Diseases, Beijing, China
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, Beijing, China
| | - Jianjun Li
- Hepatic Disease and Oncology Minimally Invasive Interventional Center, Beijing You’an Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
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Qiao W, Li J, Wang Q, Jin R, Zhang H. Development and Validation of a Prognostic Nomogram for Patients with AFP and DCP Double-Negative Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Local Ablation. J Hepatocell Carcinoma 2024; 11:271-284. [PMID: 38333222 PMCID: PMC10849917 DOI: 10.2147/jhc.s442366] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/02/2023] [Accepted: 01/26/2024] [Indexed: 02/10/2024] Open
Abstract
Purpose Although alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and des-gamma-carboxyprothrombin (DCP) have a certain predictive ability for the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), there are still some cases of aggressive recurrence among patients with AFP and DCP double-negative HCC (DNHC) after local ablation. However, prediction models to forecast the prognosis of DNHC patients are still lacking. Thus, this retrospective study aims to explore the prognostic factors in DNHC patients and develop a nomogram to predict recurrence. Patients and methods 493 DNHC patients who underwent the local ablation at Beijing You'an Hospital between January 1, 2014, and December 31, 2022, were enrolled. A part that was admitted from January 1, 2014, to December 31, 2018, was designated to the training cohort (n = 307); others from January 1, 2019, to December 31, 2022, were allocated to the validation cohort (n = 186). Lasso regression and Cox regression were employed with the aim of screening risk factors and developing the nomogram. The nomogram outcome was assessed by discrimination, calibration, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results Independent prognostic factors selected by Lasso-Cox analysis included age, tumor size, tumor number, and gamma-glutamyl transferase. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves (AUCs) of the training and validation groups (0.738, 0.742, 0.836, and 0.758, 0.821) exhibited the excellent predicted outcome of the nomogram. Calibration plots and DCA plots suggest desirable calibration performance and clinical utility. Patients were stratified into three risk groups by means of the nomogram: low-risk, intermediate-risk, and high-risk, respectively. There exists an obvious distinction in recurrence-free survival (RFS) among three groups (p<0.0001). Conclusion In conclusion, we established and validated a nomogram for DNHC patients who received local ablation. The nomogram showed excellent predictive power for the recurrence of HCC and could contribute to guiding clinical decisions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wenying Qiao
- Interventional Therapy Center for Oncology, Beijing You’an Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
- Beijing Di’tan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
- Changping Laboratory, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
| | - Jiashuo Li
- Beijing Di’tan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
| | - Qi Wang
- Beijing Di’tan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
| | - Ronghua Jin
- Beijing Di’tan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
- Changping Laboratory, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
| | - Honghai Zhang
- Interventional Therapy Center for Oncology, Beijing You’an Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
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Xing H, Liang L, Wang H, Zhou YH, Pei YL, Li C, Zeng YY, Gu WM, Chen TH, Li J, Zhang YM, Wang MD, Zhang WG, Pawlik TM, Lau WY, Shen F, Wu MC, Yang T. Multicenter analysis of long-term oncologic outcomes of hepatectomy for elderly patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. HPB (Oxford) 2020; 22:1314-1323. [PMID: 31980306 DOI: 10.1016/j.hpb.2019.12.006] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/04/2019] [Revised: 10/12/2019] [Accepted: 12/02/2019] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Aging of the population and prolonged life expectancy have significantly increased the number of elderly patients undergoing hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, potential benefits, especially long-term oncologic outcomes of hepatectomy for elderly patients with HCC remain unclear. METHOD Patients treated with curative-intent hepatectomy for HCC in 8 Chinese hospitals were enrolled. Patients were divided into the elderly (≥70 years old) and younger (<70 years old) groups. Overall survival (OS), cancer-specific survival (CSS), and time-to-recurrence (TTR) were compared. Risk factors of CSS and TTR were evaluated by univariable and multivariable competing-risk regression analyses. RESULTS Of 2134 patients, 259 (12.1%) and 1875 (87.9%) were elderly and younger aged, respectively. Postoperative 30-day and 90-day mortality was comparable among elderly and younger patients. Compared with younger patients, the elderly had a worse 5-year OS (49.4% vs. 55.3%, P = 0.032), yet a better 5-year CCS (74.5% vs. 61.0%, P = 0.005) and a lower 5-year TTR (33.7% vs. 44.9%, P < 0.001), respectively. Multivariable analyses identified that elder age was independently associated with more favorable CSS (HR 0.74, 95%CI 0.58-0.90, P = 0.011) and TTR (0.69, 0.53-0.88, P < 0.001) but was not associated with OS (P = 0.136). CONCLUSIONS Age by itself is not a contraindication to surgery, and selected elderly patients with HCC can benefit from hepatectomy. Compared with younger patients, elderly patients have noninferior oncologic outcomes following hepatectomy for HCC.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hao Xing
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China
| | - Lei Liang
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China
| | - Hong Wang
- Department of General Surgery, Liuyang People's Hospital, Hunan, China
| | - Ya-Hao Zhou
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Pu'er People's Hospital, Yunnan, China
| | - You-Liang Pei
- Department of Hepatic Surgery, Tongji Hospital, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China
| | - Chao Li
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China
| | - Yong-Yi Zeng
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Mengchao Hepatobiliary Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fujian, China
| | - Wei-Min Gu
- The First Department of General Surgery, The Fourth Hospital of Harbin, Heilongjiang, China
| | - Ting-Hao Chen
- Department of General Surgery, Ziyang First People's Hospital, Sichuan, China
| | - Jie Li
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Fuyang People's Hospital, Anhui, China
| | - Yao-Ming Zhang
- The 2(nd) Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Meizhou People's Hospital, Guangdong, China
| | - Ming-Da Wang
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China
| | - Wan-Guang Zhang
- Department of Hepatic Surgery, Tongji Hospital, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China
| | - Timothy M Pawlik
- Department of Surgery, Ohio State University, Wexner Medical Center, Columbus, OH, United States
| | - Wan Yee Lau
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China; Faculty of Medicine, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, New Territories, Hong Kong, China
| | - Feng Shen
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China.
| | - Meng-Chao Wu
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China
| | - Tian Yang
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China.
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Lee SY, Lee SH, Tan JHH, Foo HSL, Phan PH, Kow AWC, Lwin S, Seah PMY, Mordiffi SZ. Factors associated with prolonged length of stay for elective hepatobiliary and neurosurgery patients: a retrospective medical record review. BMC Health Serv Res 2018; 18:5. [PMID: 29304787 PMCID: PMC5755148 DOI: 10.1186/s12913-017-2817-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/17/2017] [Accepted: 12/20/2017] [Indexed: 12/12/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Patients with prolonged length of hospital stay (LOS) not only increase their risks of nosocomial infections but also deny other patients access to inpatient care. Hepatobiliary (HPB) malignancies have some of highest incidences in East and Southeast Asia and the management of patients undergoing HPB surgeries have yet to be standardized. With improved neurosurgery techniques for intracranial aneurysms and tumors, neurosurgeries (NS) can be expected to increase. Elective surgeries account for far more operations than emergencies surgeries. Thus, with potentially increased numbers of elective HPB and NS, this study seeks to explore perioperative factors associated with prolonged LOS for these patients to improve safety and quality of practice. METHODS A retrospective cross-sectional medical record review study from January 2014 to January 2015 was conducted at a 1250-bed tertiary academic hospital in Singapore. All elective HPB and NS patients over 18 years old were included in the study except day and emergency surgeries, resulting in 150 and 166 patients respectively. Prolonged LOS was defined as above median LOS based on the complexity of the surgical procedure. The predictor variables were preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative factors. Student's t-test and stepwise logistic regression analyses were conducted to determine which factors were associated with prolonged LOS. RESULTS Factors associated with prolonged LOS for the HPB sample were age and admission after 5 pm but for the NS sample, they were functional status, referral to occupational therapy, and the number of hospital-acquired infections. CONCLUSION Our findings indicate that preoperative factors had the greatest association with prolonged LOS for HPB and NS elective surgeries even after adjusting for surgical complexity, suggesting that patient safety and quality of care may be improved with better pre-surgery patient preparation and admission practices.
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Affiliation(s)
- Siu Yin Lee
- National University Hospital, 5 Lower Kent Ridge Road, Singapore, 119074 Singapore
| | - Soo-Hoon Lee
- Old Dominion University, 1 Old Dominion University, Norfolk, VA 23529 USA
| | - Jenny H. H. Tan
- Ngee Ann Polytechnic, 535 Clementi Road, Singapore, 599489 Singapore
| | | | - Phillip H. Phan
- Johns Hopkins University, 100 International Drive, Baltimore, MD 21202 USA
| | - Alfred W. C. Kow
- National University Hospital, 5 Lower Kent Ridge Road, Singapore, 119074 Singapore
| | - Sein Lwin
- National University Hospital, 5 Lower Kent Ridge Road, Singapore, 119074 Singapore
| | - Penelope M. Y. Seah
- National University Hospital, 5 Lower Kent Ridge Road, Singapore, 119074 Singapore
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Liu HT, Cheng SB, Huang YC, Huang YT, Lin PT. Coenzyme Q10 and Oxidative Stress: Inflammation Status in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients after Surgery. Nutrients 2017; 9:nu9010029. [PMID: 28054958 PMCID: PMC5295073 DOI: 10.3390/nu9010029] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/25/2016] [Revised: 12/27/2016] [Accepted: 12/28/2016] [Indexed: 01/10/2023] Open
Abstract
(1) Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the second leading cause of cancer deaths worldwide, and surgical resection is the main treatment for HCC. To date, no published study has examined the status of coenzyme Q10 in patients with HCC after surgery. Thus, the purpose of this study was to investigate the correlations between the level of coenzyme Q10, oxidative stress, and inflammation in patients with HCC after surgery; (2) Methods: 71 primary HCC patients were recruited. Levels of coenzyme Q10, vitamin E, oxidative stress (malondialdehyde), antioxidant enzymes activity (superoxidase dismutase, catalase, and glutathione peroxidase), and inflammatory markers (high sensitivity C-reactive protein; tumor necrosis factor-α; and interleukin-6) were measured; (3) Results: Patients with HCC had a significantly lower levels of coenzyme Q10 (p = 0.01) and oxidative stress (p < 0.01), and significantly higher levels of antioxidant enzymes activities and inflammation after surgery (p < 0.05). The level of coenzyme Q10 was significantly positively correlated with antioxidant capacity (vitamin E and glutathione peroxidase activity) and negatively correlated with inflammation markers after surgery; (4) Conclusion: Hepatocarcinogenesis is associated with oxidative stress, and coenzyme Q10 may be considered an antioxidant therapy for patients with HCC, particularly those with higher inflammation after surgery.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hsiao-Tien Liu
- Division of General Surgery, Department of Surgery, Taichung Veterans General Hospital, Taichung 40705, Taiwan.
- Department of Nutrition, Chung Shan Medical University, Taichung 40201, Taiwan.
| | - Shao-Bin Cheng
- Division of General Surgery, Department of Surgery, Taichung Veterans General Hospital, Taichung 40705, Taiwan.
- Department of Nutrition, Chung Shan Medical University, Taichung 40201, Taiwan.
- School of Medicine, Chung Shan Medical University, Taichung 40201, Taiwan.
| | - Yi-Chia Huang
- Department of Nutrition, Chung Shan Medical University, Taichung 40201, Taiwan.
| | - Yin-Tzu Huang
- Department of Nutrition, Chung Shan Medical University, Taichung 40201, Taiwan.
| | - Ping-Ting Lin
- Department of Nutrition, Chung Shan Medical University, Taichung 40201, Taiwan.
- Department of Nutrition, Chung Shan Medical University Hospital, Taichung 40201, Taiwan.
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