Predicting peritoneal recurrence in gastric cancer with serosal invasion using a pathomics nomogram

Development and interpretation of a multimodal predictive model for prognosis of gastrointestinal stromal tumor

Gastrointestinal stromal tumor (GIST) is the most common mesenchymal original tumor in gastrointestinal (GI) tract and is considered to have varying malignant potential. With the advancement of computer science, radiomics technology and deep learning had been applied in medical researches. It's vital to construct a more accurate and reliable multimodal predictive model for recurrence-free survival (RFS) aiding for clinical decision-making. A total of 254 patients underwent surgery and pathologically diagnosed with GIST in The First Hospital of China Medical University from 2019 to 2022 were included in the study. Preoperative contrast enhanced computerized tomography (CE-CT) and hematoxylin/eosin (H&E) stained whole slide images (WSI) were acquired for analysis. In the present study, we constructed a sum of 11 models while the multimodal model (average C-index of 0.917 on validation set in 10-fold cross validation) performed the best on external validation cohort with an average C-index of 0.864. The multimodal model also reached statistical significance when validated in the external validation cohort (n = 42) with a p-value of 0.0088 which pertained to the recurrence-free survival (RFS) comparison between the high and low groups using the optimal threshold on the predictive score. We also explored the biological significance of radiomics and pathomics features by visualization and quantitative analysis. In the present study, we constructed a multimodal model predicting RFS of GIST which was prior over unimodal models. We also proposed hypothesis on the correlation between morphology of tumor cell and prognosis.

Predictive efficacy of combined tumor markers and gastrin for recurrence after endoscopic submucosal dissection in early gastric cancer patients

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to evaluate the predictive value of tumor markers combined with gastrin for tumor recurrence after endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) in patients with early gastric cancer.

METHODS

The clinicopathological data of 169 patients with early gastric cancer treated with ESD between March 2019 and January 2021 were retrospectively analyzed. The patients were divided into a relapse group (n=45) and a non-recurrence group (n=124). Clinical data such as carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), cancer antigen 19-9 (CA19-9), alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), gastrin 17, pepsinogen I and pepsinogen II, as well as tumor size and degree of infiltration were examined to construct a recurrence prediction model using lasso regression.

RESULTS

The comprehensive model showed superior predictive power (AUC=0.958, C-index=0.966) over biomarker-only models (AUC=0.925), indicating a significant improvement in the prediction of recurrence risk. Decision curve analysis confirmed the clinical utility of the model with a maximum net benefit of 73.37%. Key indicators such as CEA, CA19-9, AFP, gastrin 17 and pepsinogens I and II were statistically significant in predicting recurrence with P values < 0.01.

CONCLUSION

The comprehensive model combining tumor markers with clinical data provides a more accurate and clinically valuable tool for predicting recurrence in early gastric cancer patients after ESD. This approach facilitates personalized risk assessment and may significantly improve prognostic management, emphasizing the importance of a multifaceted strategy in the management of early gastric cancer.

Deep learning algorithm-based multimodal MRI radiomics and pathomics data improve prediction of bone metastases in primary prostate cancer

PURPOSE

Bone metastasis is a significant contributor to morbidity and mortality in advanced prostate cancer, and early diagnosis is challenging due to its insidious onset. The use of machine learning to obtain prognostic information from pathological images has been highlighted. However, there is a limited understanding of the potential of early prediction of bone metastasis through the feature combination method from various sources. This study presents a method of integrating multimodal data to enhance the feasibility of early diagnosis of bone metastasis in prostate cancer.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

Overall, 211 patients diagnosed with prostate cancer (PCa) at Gansu Provincial Hospital between January 2017 and February 2023 were included in this study. The patients were randomized (8:2) into a training group (n = 169) and a validation group (n = 42). The region of interest (ROI) were segmented from the three magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) sequences (T2WI, DWI, and ADC), and pathological features were extracted from tissue sections (hematoxylin and eosin [H&E] staining, 10 × 20). A deep learning (DL) model using ResNet 50 was employed to extract deep transfer learning (DTL) features. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression method was utilized for feature selection, feature construction, and reducing feature dimensions. Different machine learning classifiers were used to build predictive models. The performance of the models was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic curves. The net clinical benefit was assessed using decision curve analysis (DCA). The goodness of fit was evaluated using calibration curves. A joint model nomogram was eventually developed by combining clinically independent risk factors.

RESULTS

The best prediction models based on DTL and pathomics features showed area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.89 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.799-0.989) and 0.85 (95% CI, 0.714-0.989), respectively. The AUC for the best prediction model based on radiomics features and combining radiomics features, DTL features, and pathomics features were 0.86 (95% CI, 0.735-0.979) and 0.93 (95% CI, 0.854-1.000), respectively. Based on DCA and calibration curves, the model demonstrated good net clinical benefit and fit.

CONCLUSION

Multimodal radiomics and pathomics serve as valuable predictors of the risk of bone metastases in patients with primary PCa.

Development and Validation of a Pathomics Model Using Machine Learning to Predict CXCL8 Expression and Prognosis in Head and Neck Cancer

OBJECTIVES

The necessity to develop a method for prognostication and to identify novel biomarkers for personalized medicine in patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) cannot be overstated. Recently, pathomics, which relies on quantitative analysis of medical imaging, has come to the forefront. CXCL8, an essential inflammatory cytokine, has been shown to correlate with overall survival (OS). This study examined the relationship between CXCL8 mRNA expression and pathomics features and aimed to explore the biological underpinnings of CXCL8.

METHODS

Clinical information and transcripts per million mRNA sequencing data were obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA)-HNSCC dataset. We identified correlations between CXCL8 mRNA expression and patient survival rates using a Kaplan-Meier survival curve. A retrospective analysis of 313 samples diagnosed with HNSCC in the TCGA database was conducted. Pathomics features were extracted from hematoxylin and eosin-stained images, and then the minimum redundancy maximum relevance, with recursive feature elimination (mRMR-RFE) method was applied, followed by screening with the logistic regression algorithm.

RESULTS

Kaplan-Meier curves indicated that high expression of CXCL8 was significantly associated with decreased OS. The logistic regression pathomics model incorporated 16 radiomics features identified by the mRMR-RFE method in the training set and demonstrated strong performance in the testing set. Calibration plots showed that the probability of high gene expression predicted by the pathomics model was in good agreement with actual observations, suggesting the model's high clinical applicability.

CONCLUSION

The pathomics model of CXCL8 mRNA expression serves as an effective tool for predicting prognosis in patients with HNSCC and can aid in clinical decision-making. Elevated levels of CXCL8 expression may lead to reduced DNA damage and are associated with a pro-inflammatory tumor microenvironment, offering a potential therapeutic target.