Burden of disease caused by keratinocyte cancer has increased in The Netherlands since 1989

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on international cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma incidence: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Non-melanoma skin cancer (NMSC) is the most common cancer globally in white ethinicity populations, and cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (cSCC) is the second most common subtype. The COVID-19 pandemic severely impacted public and private healthcare systems. Many studies have reported reduced cancer diagnoses during the pandemic. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on global cSCC and NMSC incidence is poorly reported.

Objectives

The aim was to conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on global cSCC and NMSC incidence rates, compared with 2019 incidence rates. Two primary outcome measures were used: crude incidence rate ratios (CIRR) and age-standardised incidence rate ratios (ASIRR).

Methods

A structured search was undertaken on 23 March 2023 using grey literature and four electronic databases: MEDLINE, CINAHL, EMBASE and Web of Science. Studies published before January 2020 were excluded. A quality assessment was undertaken using A. Lomas quality assessment tool. CIRR outcomes were synthesised in a meta-analysis, while ASIRR outcomes were narratively synthesised.

Results

Fourteen cancer registries were included, capturing data from 13 countries across Europe. Variation was observed in NMSC and cSCC incidence across the cancer registries. Pooled cSCC crude incidence rates in 2020 were equal to crude incidence rates in 2019 (cSCC-CIRR 1.00 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.94-1.06). In 2021, the pooled result indicated a non-significant 8% increase in cSCC crude incidence rates, compared with 2019 (cSCC-CIRR 1.08 (95% CI 0.98-1.19). Significant reductions were reported in NMSC incidence across all meta-analyses in 2020 and 2021 compared with 2019. Heterogeneity was observed across most pooled estimates (I 2>75%).

Conclusion

There was a lack of high quality data on cSCC incidence rates recorded during the pandemic outside of Europe. The COVID-19 pandemic resulted in no significant changes in cSCC incidence across Europe. By contrast, NMSC incidence fell across Europe following the pandemic. Significant reductions in pooled NMSC incidence rates may reflect a delay in basal cell carcinoma presentation, diagnosis and treatment. Although annual incidence rates for cSCC were not affected by the pandemic, delays in treatment may still have occurred, which may result in poorer outcomes yet to be fully understood.

Angiotensinogen, Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme, and Chymase Gene Polymorphisms as Biomarkers for Basal Cell Carcinoma Susceptibility

INTRODUCTION

The intake of angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors and specific antagonists of angiotensin II receptors, widely used as antihypertensive drugs, significantly reduces the risk of developing basal cell carcinoma (BCC), highlighting the possible tumorigenic role of angiotensin II (AngII). We present here the investigated genetic association between the development of BCC and functional DNA polymorphisms M235T, I/D, and A1903G in the genes of angiotensinogen (AGT), angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE), and chymase (CMA1), which mediate AngII production levels.

METHODS

DNA samples of 203 unrelated Greeks were studied, including 100 patients with BCC and 103 matched healthy controls.

RESULTS

The MT genotype of the AGT-M235T polymorphism was significantly more prevalent in the patient group (78.0%) versus the healthy control group (28.3%; p < 0.001). The DD genotype of the ACE-I/D polymorphism was also increased in BCC patients (72.8%) compared to controls (46.2%; p = 0.001). The heterozygous AG genotype of CMA1-A1903G was significantly more frequent in the BCC group (86%) than in the healthy controls (50.5%; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The MT, DD, and AG genotypes of the AGT- M235T, ACE-I/D, and CMA1-A1903G polymorphisms, respectively, were significantly increased in frequency within the group of cancer patients compared to the healthy controls. All three genotypes correspond to increased enzyme levels or activity and result in increased levels of AngII; therefore, they may be potentially utilized as reliable biomarkers associated with an individual's increased risk for BCC development.

Antihypertensive drugs and the risk of cancer: a critical review of available evidence and perspective

: The issue of a potential danger of antihypertensive drugs related to cancer susceptibility is currently generating a major debate in the scientific community, concerns in the public and emphasized interest from the media. The present article is a thorough review of what is known on the various classes of antihypertensive drugs concerning the risk of developing different neoplasms and about the suggested pathophysiological mechanisms, whenever available. The main limitations of evidence derived from studies currently available in this setting are also discussed, high-lightening the need for newly developed approaches to generate more accurate recommendations and informed advice for physicians.

Assessment of Cutaneous Squamous Cell Carcinoma (cSCC) In situ Incidence and the Risk of Developing Invasive cSCC in Patients With Prior cSCC In situ vs the General Population in the Netherlands, 1989-2017

Importance

The incidence rates of keratinocyte cancer are increasing globally; however, the incidence rates of cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (cSCC) in situ and the risk of developing subsequent invasive cSCC remain unknown.

Objective

To estimate annual population-based age-standardized incidence rates of histopathologically confirmed cSCC in situ stratified by sex, age, and body site and to assess the risk of developing invasive cSCC among patients with cSCC in situ compared with the general population.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This nationwide epidemiological population-based cohort study used cancer registry data to identify all patients with a first incident of histopathologically confirmed cSCC in situ between January 1, 1989, and December 31, 2017. In addition, all patients with cSCC in situ who subsequently had a first incident of invasive cSCC were identified up to June 11, 2019. Data were analyzed between March 18 and November 12, 2019.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Age-standardized incidence rates per year for cSCC in situ, standardized to the 2013 edition of the European Standard Population, were calculated by sex, age, and body site. Cumulative risks, standardized incidence ratios, and absolute excess risks were calculated to assess the risk of invasive cSCC in patients with cSCC in situ compared with the general population.

Results

In this population-based cohort study of 88 754 patients with a first incident of cSCC in situ between January 1, 1989, and December 31, 2017, 58.8% were women; the median age was 75 years (interquartile range [IQR], 67-82 years) for women and 73 years (IQR, 65-80 years) for men. Increasing incidence rates were observed, with the highest incidence rates in 2017 among women in general (71.7 cases per 100 000 person-years) and among men 80 years and older (540.9 cases per 100 000 person-years). The most common body site among women was the face (15.9 cases per 100 000 person-years) and among men was the scalp and/or neck (12.3 cases per 100 000 person-years). After 5 years of follow-up, among patients with cSCC in situ, the cumulative risk of developing an invasive cSCC at any anatomic location was 11.7% (95% CI, 11.6%-11.9%) in men and 6.9% (95% CI, 6.8%-7.0%) in women (P < .001). The standardized incidence ratio was highest in the first year of follow-up among both men (16.6; 95% CI, 15.7-17.5) and women (15.1; 95% CI, 14.2-16.1).

Conclusions and Relevance

This study reports the first nationwide incidence rates of cSCC in situ to date. The increasing incidence rates of cSCC in situ and the high risk of developing invasive cSCC among patients with cSCC in situ may increase the health care burden associated with precursors of keratinocyte cancer and highlight the need to include cutaneous skin cancer precursor lesions when exploring policies to address skin cancer care.

The global burden of skin cancer: A longitudinal analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study, 1990-2017

Background

Despite efforts toward the earlier detection and prevention of skin cancer, the prevalence of skin cancers continues to increase. Identifying trends in skin cancer burdens among populations can lead to impactful and sustainable interventions.

Methods

We assessed the global trends in skin cancer from 1990 to 2017 in 195 countries worldwide through the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2017 database.

Results

The rate of change in skin cancers between 1990 to 2017 varied among countries. Squamous cell carcinomas increased by 310% during this time, the highest among any neoplasm tracked by the GBD. Men experienced greater age-specific prevalence rates of keratinocyte carcinoma across all ages (P < .05). Women had a greater prevalence of melanoma until approximately age 50 years, after which the trend reversed until age 85 years. Men experienced greater age-specific death rates across all ages. The disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of melanoma and keratinocyte carcinoma increased exponentially with age (P < .05).

Conclusion

The incidence, prevalence, and DALYs of skin cancers are increasing disproportionately among different demographic groups. As a worldwide epidemiological assessment, the GBD 2017 provides frequently updated measures of the skin cancer burden, which may help to direct resources and allocate funding to close the gap in global skin cancer disparities.

β-HPV 8E6 combined with TERT expression promotes long-term proliferation and genome instability after cytokinesis failure

Human papillomavirus (HPV) is a family of viruses divided into five genera: alpha, beta, gamma, mu, and nu. There is an ongoing discussion about whether beta genus HPVs (β-HPVs) contribute to cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (cSCC). The data presented here add to this conversation by determining how a β-HPV E6 protein (β-HPV 8E6) alters the cellular response to cytokinesis failure. Specifically, cells were observed after cytokinesis failure was induced by dihydrocytochalasin B (H2CB). β-HPV 8E6 attenuated the immediate toxicity associated with H2CB but did not promote long-term proliferation after H2CB. Immortalization by telomerase reverse transcriptase (TERT) activation also rarely allowed cells to sustain proliferation after H2CB exposure. In contrast, TERT expression combined with β-HPV 8E6 expression allowed cells to proliferate for months following cytokinesis failure. However, this continued proliferation comes with genome destabilizing consequences. Cells that survived H2CB-induced cytokinesis failure suffered from changes in ploidy.

Preimplantation Genetic Testing for Polygenic Disease Relative Risk Reduction: Evaluation of Genomic Index Performance in 11,883 Adult Sibling Pairs

Preimplantation genetic testing for polygenic disease risk (PGT-P) represents a new tool to aid in embryo selection. Previous studies demonstrated the ability to obtain necessary genotypes in the embryo with accuracy equivalent to in adults. When applied to select adult siblings with known type I diabetes status, a reduction in disease incidence of 45-72% compared to random selection was achieved. This study extends analysis to 11,883 sibling pairs to evaluate clinical utility of embryo selection with PGT-P. Results demonstrate simultaneous relative risk reduction of all diseases tested in parallel, which included diabetes, cancer, and heart disease, and indicate applicability beyond patients with a known family history of disease.

Long-Term Risk of Skin Cancer Among Childhood Cancer Survivors: A DCOG-LATER Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Skin cancer is common after radiotherapy among childhood cancer survivors (CCSs). We studied risks and risk factors for subsequent skin cancers, with emphasis on radiation dose, exposed skin surface area, and chemotherapeutic agents.

METHODS

The DCOG-LATER cohort study includes 5-year Dutch CCSs diagnosed 1963-2001. Subsequent skin cancers were identified from record linkages with the Netherlands Cancer Registry and Dutch Pathology Registry. Incidence rates were compared with general population rates. Multivariable Cox regression models were used, applying a novel method of case-control sampling enabling use of tumor location in cohort analyses. All statistical tests were two-sided.

RESULTS

Among 5843 CCSs, 259 developed 1061 basal cell carcinomas (BCCs) (standardized incidence ratio [SIR] = 29.8, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 26.3 to 33.6; excess absolute risk per 10 000 person-years (EAR) = 24.6), 20 had melanoma (SIR = 2.3, 95% CI = 1.4 to 3.5; EAR = 1.1), and 10 had squamous cell carcinoma (SIR = 7.5, 95% CI = 3.6 to 13.8; EAR = 0.8). Cumulative incidence of BCC 40 years after childhood cancer was 19.1% (95% CI = 16.6 to 21.8%) after radiotherapy vs 0.6% expected based on general population rates. After a first BCC, 46.7% had more BCCs later. BCC risk was associated with any radiotherapy to the skin compartment of interest (hazard ratio [HR] = 14.32, 95% CI = 10.10 to 20.29) and with estimated percentage in-field skin surface area (26-75%: HR = 1.99, 95% CI = 1.24 to 3.20; 76-100%: HR = 2.16, 95% CI = 1.33 to 3.53, vs 1-25% exposed; Ptrend among exposed = .002), but not with prescribed radiation dose and likelihood of sun-exposed skin-area. Of all chemotherapy groups examined, only vinca alkaloids increased BCC risk (HR = 1.54, 95% CI = 1.04 to 2.27).

CONCLUSION

CCSs have a strongly, 30-fold increased BCC risk. BCC risk appears to increase with increasing skin surface area exposed. This knowledge underscores the need for awareness by survivors and their health care providers.

Predicting keratinocyte carcinoma in patients with actinic keratosis: development and internal validation of a multivariable risk-prediction model

BACKGROUND

Patients with actinic keratosis (AK) are at increased risk for developing keratinocyte carcinoma (KC) but predictive factors and their risk rates are unknown.

OBJECTIVES

To develop and internally validate a prediction model to calculate the absolute risk of a first KC in patients with AK.

METHODS

The risk-prediction model was based on the prospective population-based Rotterdam Study cohort. We hereto analysed the data of participants with at least one AK lesion at cohort baseline using a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model and included 13 a priori defined candidate predictor variables considering phenotypic, genetic and lifestyle risk factors. KCs were identified by linkage of the data with the Dutch Pathology Registry.

RESULTS

Of the 1169 AK participants at baseline, 176 (15·1%) developed a KC after a median follow-up of 1·8 years. The final model with significant predictors was obtained after backward stepwise selection and comprised the presence of four to nine AKs [hazard ratio (HR) 1·68, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1·17-2·42], 10 or more AKs (HR 2·44, 95% CI 1·65-3·61), AK localization on the upper extremities (HR 0·75, 95% CI 0·52-1·08) or elsewhere except the head (HR 1·40, 95% CI 0·98-2·01) and coffee consumption (HR 0·92, 95% CI 0·84-1·01). Evaluation of the discriminative ability of the model showed a bootstrap validated concordance index (c-index) of 0·60.

CONCLUSIONS

We showed that the risk of KC in patients with AK can be calculated with the use of four easily assessable predictor variables. Given the c-index, extension of the model with additional, currently unknown predictor variables is desirable. Linked Comment: Kim et al. Br J Dermatol 2020; 183:415-416.

Healthcare utilization and management of actinic keratosis in primary and secondary care: a complementary database analysis

Background

The high prevalence of actinic keratosis (AK) requires the optimal use of healthcare resources.

Objectives

To gain insight in to the healthcare utilization of people with AK in a population‐based cohort, and the management of AK in a primary and secondary care setting.

Methods

A retrospective cohort study using three complementary data sources was conducted to describe the use of care, diagnosis, treatment and follow‐up of patients with AK in the Netherlands. Data sources consisted of a population‐based cohort study (Rotterdam Study), routine general practitioner (GP) records (Integrated Primary Care Information) and nationwide claims data (DRG Information System).

Results

In the population‐based cohort (Rotterdam Study), 69% (918 of 1322) of participants diagnosed with AK during a skin‐screening visit had no previous AK‐related visit in their GP record. This proportion was 50% for participants with extensive AK (i.e. ≥ 10 AKs; n = 270). Cryotherapy was the most used AK treatment by both GPs (78%) and dermatologists (41–56%). Topical agents were the second most used treatment by dermatologists (13–21%) but were rarely applied in primary care (2%). During the first AK‐related GP visit, 31% (171 of 554) were referred to a dermatologist, and the likelihood of being referred was comparable between low‐ and high‐risk patients, which is inconsistent with the Dutch general practitioner guidelines for ‘suspicious skin lesions’ from 2017. Annually, 40 000 new claims representing 13% of all dermatology claims were labelled as cutaneous premalignancy. Extensive follow‐up rates (56%) in secondary care were registered, while only 18% received a claim for a subsequent cutaneous malignancy in 5 years.

Conclusions

AK management seems to diverge from guidelines in both primary and secondary care. Underutilization of field treatments, inappropriate treatments and high referral rates without proper risk stratification in primary care, combined with extensive follow‐up in secondary care result in the inefficient use of healthcare resources and overburdening in secondary care. Efforts directed to better risk differentiation and guideline adherence may prove useful in increasing the efficiency in AK management.

What's already known about this topic?

The prevalence of actinic keratosis (AK) is high and, in particular, multiple AKs are a strong skin cancer predictor.

The high prevalence of AK requires optimal use of healthcare resources.

Nevertheless, (population based) AK healthcare utilization and management data are very rare.

What does this study add?

Although AK‐related care already consumes substantial resources, about 70% of the AK population has never received care.

Primary care AK management demonstrated underutilization of topical therapies and high referral rates without proper risk stratification, while in secondary care the extensive follow‐up schedules were applied.

This inefficient use of healthcare resources highlights the need for better harmonization and risk stratification to increase the efficiency of AK care.

Linked Comment: https://doi.org/10.1111/bjd.17862.

https://doi.org/10.1111/bjd.18269 available online

https://www.bjdonline.com/article/

Non-genetic and genetic predictors of a superficial first basal cell carcinoma

Background

Several observational studies have suggested differences in the risk factor profile between patients with superficial basal cell carcinomas (BCCs) and non‐superficial BCCs.

Objective

To test the reproducibility of previous study findings and to find new genetic and non‐genetic predictors for patients with a superficial first BCC.

Methods

A total of 14.628 participants of northwestern European descent aged 45 years or older from a prospective population‐based cohort study (Rotterdam Study) were linked with the Dutch Pathology Registry (PALGA) of whom 1528 were identified as BCC patients. After exclusion, 948 eligible BCC patients remained for further non‐genetic analyses and 1014 for genetic analyses. We included 11 phenotypic, environmental and tumour‐specific characteristics, and 20 candidate single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP) as potential predictors for patients with a superficial first BCC. We performed binary logistic multivariable regression analyses.

Results

We found that patients with a superficial first BCC were significantly younger, almost two times more often female and 12–18 times more likely to have their BCC on the trunk or extremities than patients with a non‐superficial first BCC. One SNP (rs12203592), mapped to IRF4, looked promising (OR 1.83, 95% CI 1.13–2.97, P‐value <0.05), but after adjustment for multiple testing, no significant differences in genetic make‐up between superficial BCC and non‐superficial BCC patients were found.

Conclusion

We conclude that patients with a superficial BCC differ from non‐superficial BCC patients with respect to environmental factors (tumour localization as a proxy for UVR exposure) and phenotypic characteristics (age and sex), but we found no difference in genotype. As superficial BCC patients develop their first BCCs at a younger age, they could be at higher lifetime risk for subsequent skin cancers and therefore be an important group for secondary prevention.

Linked article: This article is commented on G. Argenziano et. al., p. 461 in this issue. To view this article visit https://doi.org/10.1111/jdv.15486.

Mediators of Inflammation in Topical Therapy of Skin Cancers

Taking into consideration that the immune system plays a very important role in the development of melanoma and non-melanoma skin cancers, which have a high prevalence in immunosuppressed patients and after prolonged ultraviolet radiation, the interest in developing novel therapies, in particular targeting the inflammation in cancer, has increased in the past years. The latest data suggest that therapies such as imiquimod (IMQ), ingenol mebutate (IM), 5-fluorouracil (5-FU), retinoids, and nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) have been used with success in the topical treatment of some cancers. Herein, we review the topical treatment targeting the inflammation in skin cancer and the mechanisms involved in these processes. Currently, various associations have shown a superior success rate than monotherapy, such as systemic acitretin and topical IMQ, topical 5-FU with tretinoin cream, or IMQ with checkpoint inhibitor cytotoxic T lymphocyte antigen 4. Novel therapies targeting Toll-like receptor-7 (TLR-7) with higher selectivity than IMQ are also of great interest.

Anti-hypertensive drugs and skin cancer risk: a review of the literature and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

Several anti-hypertensive drugs have photosensitizing properties, however it remains unclear whether long-term users of these drugs are also at increased risk of skin malignancies. We conducted a literature review and meta-analysis on the association between use of anti-hypertensive drugs and the risk of cutaneous melanoma and non-melanoma skin cancer (NMSC).

METHODS

We searched PubMed, EMBASE, Google Scholar and the Cochrane Library, and included observational and experimental epidemiological studies published until February 28th, 2017. We calculated summary relative risk (SRR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) through random effect models to estimate the risk of skin malignancies among users of the following classes of anti-hypertensive drugs: thiazide diuretics, angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEi), angiotensin receptor blockers (ARB), calcium channel blockers (CCB) and β-blockers. We conducted sub-group and sensitivity analysis to explore causes of between-studies heterogeneity, and assessed publication bias using a funnel-plot based approach.

RESULTS

Nineteen independent studies were included in the meta-analysis. CCB users were at increased skin cancer risk (SRR 1.14, 95% CI 1.07-1.21), and β-blockers users were at increased risk of developing cutaneous melanoma (SRR 1.21, 95% CI 1.05-1.40), with acceptable between-studies heterogeneity (I2 < 50%). There was no association between thiazide diuretics, ACEi or ARB use and skin cancer risk. We found no evidence of publication bias affecting the results.

CONCLUSION

Family doctors and clinicians should inform their patients about the increased risk of skin cancer associated with the use of CCB and β-blockers and instruct them to perform periodic skin self-examination. Further studies are warranted to elucidate the observed associations.

Occurrence of metachronous basal cell carcinomas: a prognostic model

BACKGROUND

A third of patients with a first basal cell carcinoma (BCC) will develop subsequent (metachronous) BCCs.

OBJECTIVES

To study the prognostic effect of the number of previous BCC diagnosis dates a patient has experienced to derive a prediction model to assess the risk of metachronous BCCs that may inform individualized decision making on surveillance.

METHODS

We considered participants of north-western European ancestry from a prospective population-based cohort study (Rotterdam Study). After linkage with the Dutch Pathology Registry, 1077 patients with a first BCC were included. Candidate predictors for metachronous BCCs included patient, lifestyle and tumour characteristics. The prognostic model was developed with Fine and Gray regression analysis to account for competing risk of death. We used bootstrapping to correct for within-patient correlation and statistical optimism in predictive performance.

RESULTS

Second to fifth BCCs occurred in 293, 122, 58 and 36 patients, with median follow-up times of 3·0, 2·1, 1·7 and 1·8 years after the previous BCC, respectively. The risk of a new BCC was higher for patients with more metachronous BCCs. Having more than one BCC at diagnosis was another strong predictor of metachronous BCCs. Discriminative ability of the model was reasonable with an optimism-corrected c-index of 0·70 at 3 years.

CONCLUSIONS

The number of previous BCC diagnosis dates was a strong prognostic factor and should be considered when predicting the risk of metachronous BCCs. When the number of previous BCC diagnosis dates is combined with other readily available characteristics into a prognostic model, patients at high risk of a new BCC can be identified.

Genome-Wide Association Studies of Multiple Keratinocyte Cancers

There is strong evidence for a role of environmental risk factors involved in susceptibility to develop multiple keratinocyte cancers (mKCs), but whether genes are also involved in mKCs susceptibility has not been thoroughly investigated. We investigated whether single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) are associated with susceptibility for mKCs. A genome-wide association study (GWAS) of 1,666 cases with mKCs and 1,950 cases with single KC (sKCs; controls) from Harvard cohorts (the Nurses' Health Study [NHS], NHS II, and the Health Professionals Follow-Up Study) and the Framingham Heart Study was carried-out using over 8 million SNPs (stage-1). We sought to replicate the most significant statistical associations (p-value≤ 5.5x10-6) in an independent cohort of 574 mKCs and 872 sKCs from the Rotterdam Study. In the discovery stage, 40 SNPs with suggestive associations (p-value ≤5.5x10-6) were identified, with eight independent SNPs tagging all 40 SNPs. The most significant SNP was located at chromosome 9 (rs7468390; p-value = 3.92x10-7). In stage-2, none of these SNPs replicated and only two of them were associated with mKCs in the same direction in the combined meta-analysis. We tested the associations for 19 previously reported basal cell carcinoma-related SNPs (candidate gene association analysis), and found that rs1805007 (MC1R locus) was significantly associated with risk of mKCs (p-value = 2.80x10-4). Although the suggestive SNPs with susceptibility for mKCs were not replicated, we found that previously identified BCC variants may also be associated with mKC, which the most significant association (rs1805007) located at the MC1R gene.