Left Atrial Volume Predicts the Risk of Atrial Fibrillation After Cardiac Surgery

Clinical Outcome of Cryoballoon Ablation for Long-Standing Persistent Atrial Fibrillation: From the Korean Cryballoon Ablation Registry

INTRODUCTION

Pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) by cryoballoon ablation (CBA) is considered an effective primary strategy for early persistent atrial fibrillation (AF). However, data regarding CBA for long-standing persistent AF (PeAF) are limited. We evaluated the efficacy and safety of CBA for long-standing PeAF compared to PeAF.

METHODS

The study included 1484 patients with non-paroxysmal AF from Korean CBA registry data with follow-up of > 12 months after de novo CBA. The primary outcome was recurrence of atrial tachyarrhythmias (ATs) of ≥ 30-s after a 3-month blanking period.

RESULTS

A total of 367 PeAF (25%) and 1117 long-standing PeAF (75.3%) patients (mean age 61.9 ± 9.6 years, 80% men) underwent de novo CBA. Compared to patients with PeAF, patients with long-standing PeAF had more heart failure, previous stroke or transient ischemic attack, chronic kidney disease, higher CHA2DS2-VASc score, and larger left atrium (LA). During a mean follow-up period of 15.1 ± 10.9 months, ATs recurrence occurred in 41.4% of PeAF and 40.1% of long-standing PeAF. Multivariate analysis showed that female gender (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.31, p = 0.01), larger LA ≥ 45 mm (HR: 1.53, p < .001) and LA volume index ≥ 51 mL/m2 (HR: 1.77, p < 0.001), and longer AF duration ≥ 5 years (HR: 1. 33, p = .003) were associated with ATs recurrence. After propensity score matching, larger LA was an independent factor for ATs recurrence.

CONCLUSIONS

During a long-term follow-up period after index CBA in patients with non-paroxysmal AF, ATs recurrence rate was similar between PeAF and long-standing PeAF. CBA might be an effective strategy as an initial rhythm control therapy regardless of AF type.

Predictors of Atrial Fibrillation After Thoracic Radiotherapy

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) has been associated with thoracic radiotherapy, but the specific risk with irradiating different cardiac substructures remains unknown.

Objectives

This study sought to examine the relationship between irradiation of cardiac substructures and the risk of clinically significant (grade ≥3) AF.

Methods

We analyzed data from patients who underwent definitive radiotherapy for localized cancers (non-small cell lung, breast, Hodgkin lymphoma, or esophageal) at our institution between 2004 and 2022. The 2-Gy fraction equivalent dose was calculated for cardiac substructures, including the pulmonary veins (PVs), left atrium, sinoatrial node, and left coronary arteries (the left main, left anterior descending, and left circumflex arteries). Competing risk models (subdistribution HRs [sHRs]) for AF incidence were adjusted for the Mayo AF risk score (MAFRS).

Results

Among 539 patients, the median follow-up was 58.8 months. The 5-year cumulative incidence of AF was 11.1% for non-small cell lung cancer, 8.3% for esophageal cancer, 1.3% for breast cancer, and 0.8% for Hodgkin lymphoma. Increased AF risk was associated with a higher PV maximum dose (dmax) (sHR: 1.22; P < 0.001), larger left atrial volume (sHR: 1.01; P = 0.002), greater smoking history in pack-years (sHR: 1.01; P = 0.010), and higher MAFRS (sHR: 1.16; P < 0.001). PV dmax remained a significant predictor of AF across different MAFRS subgroups (P interaction = 0.11), and a PV dmax >39.7 Gy was linked to a higher AF risk, even when stratified by MAFRS.

Conclusions

PV dmax is a significant predictor of grade ≥3 AF regardless of underlying risk factors. These findings highlight the importance of cardiac substructures in radiation toxicity and suggest that various PV dose metrics should be further validated in clinical settings.

Left Atrial Strain to Predict Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation in Patients Undergoing Off-pump Coronary Artery Bypass Graft

OBJECTIVE

Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is associated with increased morbidity, mortality, and length of hospital stay. The objective of this study was to assess the utility of left atrial strain (LAS) to predict POAF in patients undergoing off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting (OPCABG).

DESIGN

Retrospective observational study.

SETTING

Tertiary care hospital.

PARTICIPANTS

103 patients undergoing OPCABG.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND RESULTS

In addition to comprehensive transthoracic echocardiography, LAS was measured for reservoir (R), conduction (CD), and contraction (CT) components. POAF was defined as new electrocardiographic evidence of AF requiring treatment. Logistic regression was done to assess factors associated with POAF. The diagnostic accuracy of variables in predicting POAF was assessed by receiver operating characteristic analysis. POAF was documented in 24 (23.3%) patients. There was no difference in ejection fraction, average global longitudinal strain, or proportion of left ventricular diastolic dysfunction grades between patients with POAF and patients without POAF. All three components of LAS: LAS R (19.2 ± 4.7 v 23.5 ± 4.8, p < 0.001), LAS CD (8.9 ± 3.7 v 12.3 ± 4.8, p = 0.1), and LAS CT (10.3 ± 3.9 v 12.1 ± 4.1, p = 0.04), were significantly lower among patients with POAF compared with patients without POAF, respectively. According to univariate analysis, all components of LAS were statistically significant predictors of POAF. In multivariate analysis, only age (odds ratio = 1.08, p = 0.025) and LAS R (odds ratio = 0.84, p = 0.004) were independently associated with POAF. LAS R was a better predictor of POAF, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.758, than LAS CD (AUC = 0.67) and LAS CT (AUC = 0.62). LAS R had an optimal cutoff of 23% with sensitivity of 95.8% (confidence interval: 78.9-99.9%) and specificity of 49.4% (37.9-60.9%) to predict POAF.

CONCLUSIONS

LAS R is a significant predictor of POAF, and its use can be recommended for screening of OPCABG patients at high risk of POAF.

Postoperative QRS duration to left ventricular end-diastolic diameter ratio as a predictor for the risk of postoperative atrial fibrillation in cardiac surgery: A single-center prospective study

Background and aims

Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is a frequent complication following cardiac surgery and is associated with adverse clinical outcomes. Our study aimed at determining the clinical and echocardiographic predictors of POAF in patients with cardiac surgery and management of this group of patients may improve their outcome.

Methods

We prospectively enrolled patients from the department of cardiovascular surgery in the Second Hospital of Tianjin Medical University from October 23, 2020 to October 30, 2022, without a history of atrial fibrillation. Cox regression was used to identify significant predictors of POAF.

Results

A total of 217 patients (79 [36.41 %] were female, 63.96 ± 12.32 years) were included. 88 (40.55 %) patients met the criteria for POAF. Cox regression showed that preoperative left atrial diameter (LAD) (HR: 1.040, 95 % CI 1.008-1.073, p = 0.013) and postoperative QRS/LVEDD (HR: 0.398, 95 % CI 0.193-0.824, p = 0.013) and E/e' (HR: 1.029, 95 % CI 1.002-1.057，p = 0.033) were predictors of POAF.

Conclusion

Preoperative LAD and postoperative QRS/LVEDD and E/e' were predictors of POAF in patients undergoing cardiac surgery.

Trial registration site

http://www.chictr.org.cn.

Registration number

ChiCTR2200063344.

Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation Prediction by Left Atrial Size in Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting and Five-Year Survival Outcome

Background: Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation (POAF) is a common complication in cardiac surgery. Despite its multifactorial origin, the left atrial (LA) size is closely linked to POAF, raising the question of a valid cut-off value and its impact on the long-term outcome. Methods: Patients without a history of AF who underwent coronary artery bypass grafting between 2014 and 2016 were selected for this retrospective study. LA size was preoperatively assessed using the left atrial anterior-posterior diameter (LAAPd). Correlation and logistic regression analyses were performed, following a receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Propensity score matching (PSM) was applied to ensure group comparability, followed by a comparison analysis regarding the primary endpoint of POAF and the secondary endpoints of all-cause mortality and stroke during a five-year follow-up. Results: A total of 933 patients were enrolled in the study eventually revealing a significant correlation between LAAPd and POAF (cor = 0.09, p < 0.01). A cut-off point of 38.5 mm was identified, resulting in groups with 366 patients each after PSM. Overall, patients with a dilated LA presented a significantly higher rate of POAF (22.3% vs. 30.4%, p = 0.02). In a five-year follow-up, a slightly higher rate of all-cause mortality (9.8% vs. 13.7%, HR 1.4 [0.92-2.29], p = 0.10) was observed, but there was no difference in the occurrence of strokes (3.6% vs. 3.3%, p = 0.87). Conclusions: An LAAPd of >38.5 mm was found to be an independent predictor of POAF after coronary artery bypass grafting and resulted in a non-significant tendency towards a worse outcome regarding all-cause mortality in a five-year follow-up.

Left atrial volume index and interleukin-6 as predictors for postoperative atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is a common complication after cardiac surgery. However, the predictive value of single indictor still remains controversial. This study aimed to assess the predictive value of combining preoperative left atrial volume index (LAVI) and postoperative interleukin-6 (IL-6) for POAF in the patients receiving cardiac surgery.

METHODS

Patients who admitted to Nanjing First Hospital during the study period between December 2022 and June 2023, and underwent open-heart surgery without a history of atrial fibrillation (AF) were enrolled. The relationships between predictors and POAF were investigated using logistic regression analysis. We determined the combined predictive value of LAVI and IL-6 for POAF by measuring the changes in the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and calculating the net reclassification improvements (NRIs) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDIs).

RESULTS

102 patients were enrolled in this study, and 50 participants developed POAF (49.0%). Patients who experienced POAF had higher levels of preoperative LAVI and postoperative IL-6 than those who did not. Regression analysis revealed that larger LAVI and higher level of IL-6 were independently associated with increased risk of POAF. The combined addition of LAVI and IL-6 to the predictive model resulted in an evident increase in the AUC. Incorporating both LAVI and IL-6 increased IDIs in all models.

CONCLUSION

Our results demonstrated that combined LAVI and IL-6 achieved a higher prediction performance for POAF.

Enhanced Recovery After Surgery Cardiac Society turnkey order set for prevention and management of postoperative atrial fibrillation after cardiac surgery: Proceedings from the American Association for Thoracic Surgery ERAS Conclave 2023

Background

Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is a prevalent complication following cardiac surgery that is associated with increased adverse events. Several guidelines and expert consensus documents have been published addressing the prevention and management of POAF. We aimed to develop an order set to facilitate widespread implementation and adoption of evidence-based practices for POAF following cardiac surgery.

Methods

Subject matter experts were consulted to translate existing guidelines and literature into a sample turnkey order set (TKO) for POAF. Orders derived from consistent class I or IIA or equivalent recommendations across referenced guidelines and consensus manuscripts appear in the TKO in bold type. Selected orders that were inconsistently class I or IIA, class IIB, or supported by published evidence appear in italic type.

Results

Preoperatively, the recommendation is to screen patients for paroxysmal or chronic atrial fibrillation and initiate appropriate treatment based on individual risk stratification for the development of POAF. This may include the administration of beta-blockers or amiodarone, tailored to the patient's specific risk profile. Intraoperatively, surgical interventions such as posterior pericardiotomy should be considered in selected patients. Postoperatively, it is crucial to focus on electrolyte normalization, implementation strategies for rate or rhythm control, and anticoagulation management. These comprehensive measures aim to optimize patient outcomes and reduce the occurrence of POAF following cardiac surgery.

Conclusions

Despite the well-established benefits of implementing a multidisciplinary care pathway for POAF in cardiac surgery, its adoption and implementation remain inconsistent. We have developed a readily applicable order set that incorporates recommendations from existing guidelines.

Left atrial dysfunction in bicuspid aortic valve patients with severe aortic stenosis is associated with post-operative atrial fibrillation following aortic valve replacement

Aims

To investigate (i) the association between pre-operative left atrial (LA) reservoir strain and post-operative atrial fibrillation (AF) and (ii) the incidence of post-operative ischaemic stroke events separately in bicuspid aortic valve (BAV) and tricuspid aortic valve (TAV) patients after surgical aortic valve replacement for isolated severe aortic stenosis (AS).

Methods and results

We prospectively enrolled 227 patients (n = 133 BAV and n = 94 TAV) with isolated severe AS scheduled for aortic valve replacement. A comprehensive intra- and inter-observer validated pre-operative echocardiogram with an analysis of LA reservoir strain was performed. Post-operative AF was defined as a sustained (>30 s) episode of AF or atrial flutter. The timing of neurological events was defined in accordance with the Valve Academic Research Consortium-3 criteria for stroke. Post-operative AF occurred in 114 of 227 patients (50.2%), with no difference between BAV and TAV patients (48.1 vs. 53.1%, P = 0.452). Persisting post-operative AF at discharge was more frequent in BAV patients (29.7 vs. 8.0%, P = 0.005). Pre-operative LA reservoir strain was independently associated with post-operative AF (odds ratio = 1.064, 95% confidence interval 1.032-1.095, P < 0.001), with a significant interaction between LA reservoir strain and aortic valve morphology (Pinteraction = 0.002). The cumulative transient ischemic attack (TIA)/stroke incidence during follow-up was significantly higher in BAV patients (19.1 vs. 5.8% at 5 years).

Conclusion

Pre-operative LA function was associated with post-operative AF after aortic valve replacement in BAV AS patients, while post-operative AF in TAV AS patients likely depends on transient post-operative alterations and traditional cardiovascular risk factors. TIA/stroke during follow-up was more common in BAV AS patients.

Prospective Study of Risk Factors for Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation After Cardiac Surgery

INTRODUCTION

To examine risk factors for new-onset postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) after cardiac surgery.

METHODS

Patients enrolled in the Cardiothoracic Surgical Trials Network multicenter, randomized trial of rate control versus rhythm control for POAF were included. Predictors of POAF were determined using multivariable logistic regression.

RESULTS

Among the 2104 patients who were enrolled preoperatively, 695 developed POAF (33.0%). Rates of POAF were 28.1% after isolated coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), 33.7% after isolated valve repair or replacement, and 47.3% after CABG plus valve repair or replacement. Baseline characteristics associated with an increased risk of POAF identified on multivariable analysis included older age (odds ratio [OR] 1.57; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.42-1.73, per 10 y), White race or non-Hispanic ethnicity (OR 1.52; CI: 1.11-2.07), history of heart failure (OR 1.55; CI: 1.16-2.08), and history of hypothyroidism (OR 1.42; CI 1.04-1.94). The type of cardiac procedure was associated with an increased risk of POAF with both isolated valve repair or replacement (OR 1.33, CI 1.08-1.64) and combined CABG plus valve repair or replacement (OR 1.64, CI 1.24-2.17) having increased risk of POAF compared to isolated CABG. No preoperative cardiac medication was associated with POAF.

CONCLUSIONS

In this prospective cohort of patients, older age, a history of hypothyroidism, a history of heart failure, and valve repair or replacement, with or without CABG, and White non-Hispanic race were associated with an increased risk of POAF.

Racial Disparities in Atrial Fibrillation After Coronary Artery Bypass: Impact of Left Atrial Volume

Background

Prior studies have demonstrated a lower prevalence of postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) in Black, Hispanic, Asian, and Native American patients compared with White cohorts after coronary artery bypass grafting. We hypothesized that preoperative differences in left atrial size may explain this disparity.

Methods

We assessed the incidence of new POAF in 1218 patients (215 minority patients and 1003 White patients) undergoing isolated, first-time coronary artery bypass grafting from January 2017 through September 2022. Preoperative left atrial volume index (LAVi) was assessed by transthoracic echocardiography.

Results

Minority patients were younger and more likely to be female, with more comorbidities, including diabetes, prior stroke, and dialysis. There was no difference in postoperative mortality, stroke, renal failure, or reoperation for bleeding between minority and White patients. Whereas minority patients had higher blood product use and longer intensive care unit and postoperative lengths of stay, they experienced a lower incidence of new POAF (19.5% [42/215] vs 29.5% [292/1003]; P = 0.02). Mean LAVi was similar between minority and White patients (30.3 ± 12.6 mL/m2 vs 29.9 ± 10.1 mL/m2; P = .64). However, for White patients, LAVi was higher for patients with POAF than for patients without POAF (31.3 ± 10.9 mL/m2 vs 29.3 ± 9.7 mL/m2; P = .007), whereas for minority patients, LAVi was similar for patients with and without POAF (30.7 ± 26.0 mL/m2 vs 30.3 ± 11.7 mL/m2; P = .84).

Conclusions

Despite more comorbidities, higher transfusion rates, and longer length of stay, minority patients had a significantly lower incidence of POAF compared with White patients but no difference in preoperative LAVi. Larger LAVi may be predictive of POAF in White patients but not in minority patients.

New-onset postoperative atrial fibrillation after mitral valve surgery: Determinants and the effect on survival

Objective

Mitral valve surgery (MVS) carries substantial risk of postoperative atrial fibrillation (PAF). Identifying patients who benefit from prophylactic left atrial appendage amputation (LAAA) or maze is ill-defined. To guide such interventions, we determined preoperative predictors of PAF and investigated 3-year survival of patients with PAF.

Methods

We performed a retrospective analysis of patients undergoing isolated MVS (N = 670) between 2011 and 2021. Patients with preoperative atrial fibrillation, LAAA or pulmonary vein isolation were excluded. Patient characteristics were compared between those without PAF and those who developed transient or prolonged PAF. Predictors of any PAF and prolonged PAF were identified using multivariable regression analysis.

Results

In total, 504 patients without preoperative atrial fibrillation underwent isolated MVS. Of them, 303 patients (60.2%) developed PAF; 138 (27.3%) developed transient and 165 (32.7%) developed prolonged (beyond 30 days) PAF. Patients with PAF were older (65.7 vs 54.3 years, P < .001), with larger left atria (4.8 vs 4.3 cm, P < .001), greater prevalence of hypertension (60% vs 47.8%, P < .05), and were New York Heart Association class III/IV (36% vs 8.5%, P < .001). Independent predictors of PAF included left atria volume index (odds ratio [OR], 1.02; P < .003), older age (OR, 1.04; P < .001), heart failure (OR, 6.73; P < .001), and sternotomy (OR, 2.19; P < .002). Age, heart failure, and sternotomy were independent predictors of prolonged PAF. Patients with PAF had greater mortality at 3 years compared with those without PAF (5.3% vs 0.5%, P < .005). On multivariable analysis, PAF was associated with increased mortality (hazard ratio, 7.81; P < .046).

Conclusions

PAF is common after MVS and associated with late mortality. Older age, advanced heart failure, and sternotomy are associated with prolonged PAF. These factors may identify patients who would benefit from prophylactic LAAA or ablation during MVS.

Myocardial Blush Grade Predicts Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation following Mitral Valve Replacement: A Novel Perspective

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) remains the most common arrhythmia following mitral valve surgery. Although numerous clinical and laboratory indicators and possible mechanisms of postoperative AF (PoAF) have been described, the role of microvascular dysfunction in pathogenesis has not been assessed. We aimed to evaluate the association between microvascular dysfunction and PoAF in patients undergoing isolated mitral valve replacement. Methods: 188 patients undergoing mitral valve replacement were included in this retrospective study. Demographic characteristics of the patients were recorded. Angiographic assessment of microvascular perfusion was performed using the myocardial blush grading technique for each patient. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were utilized to determine predictors of PoAF. Results: Of 188 patients (56.69 ± 8.9 years, 39.4% male) who underwent mitral valve replacement, 64 (34%) patients developed PoAF. In the PoAF group, a lower basal hemoglobin level (12.64 ± 0.89 vs. 14.46 ± 0.91 g/dL; p < 0.001), a higher left atrial diameter [5.9 (5.2-6.47) vs. 4.9 (4.5-5.8) cm; p < 0.001], and a lower total blush score (TBS) (8.33 ± 0.84 vs. 8.9 ± 0.31; p < 0.001) were detected. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that preoperative LA diameter (OR:2.057; 95% CI: 1.166-3.63; p = 0.013), preoperative hemoglobin (OR:0.12; 95% CI: 0.058-0.245; p < 0.001), and abnormal TBS (OR:15.1; 95% CI: 1.602-142.339; p = 0.018) were independent predictors of PoAF. Conclusions: Our findings demonstrated that TBS at the preoperative period was an independent predictor of PoAF in patients undergoing isolated mitral valve replacement.

L1 cell adhesion molecule may be a protective molecule for atrial fibrillation in patients with valvular heart disease

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most prevalent sustained arrhythmia. L1 cell adhesion molecule (L1CAM) served as a crucial regulator of signaling pathways. This research sought to examine the clinical value and functions of soluble L1CAM in the serum of AF patients.

Methods

In total, 118 patients (valvular heart disease patients [VHD, total: n = 93; AF: n = 47; sinus rhythm (SR): n = 46] and healthy controls [n = 25]) were recruited in this retrospective study. Plasma levels of L1CAM were detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays. The Pearson's correlation approach, as applicable, was used for analyzing the correlations. The L1CAM was shown to independently serve as a risk indicator of AF in VHD after being analyzed by the multivariable logistic regression. To examine the specificity and sensitivity of AF, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and the area under the curve (AUC) were used. A nomogram was developed for the visualisation of the model. We further evaluate the prediction model for AF using calibration plot and decision curve analysis.

Results

The plasma level of L1CAM was substantially decreased in AF patients as opposed to healthy control and SR patients (healthy control = 46.79 ± 12.55 pg/ml, SR = 32.86 ± 6.11 pg/ml, AF = 22.48 ± 5.39 pg/ml; SR vs. AF, P < 0.001; control vs. AF, P < 0.001). L1CAM was significantly and negatively correlated with LA and NT-proBNP (LA: r = -0.344, P = 0.002; NT-proBNP: r = -0.380, P = 0.001). Analyses using logistic regression showed a substantial correlation between L1CAM and AF in patients with VHD (For L1CAM, Model 1: OR = 0.704, 95%CI = 0.607-0.814, P < 0.001; Model 2: OR = 0.650, 95% CI = 0.529-0.798, P < 0.001; Model 3: OR = 0.650, 95% CI = 0.529-0.798, P < 0.001). ROC analysis showed that inclusion of L1CAM in the model significantly improved the ability of other clinical indicators to predict AF. The predictive model including L1CAM, LA, NT-proBNP and LVDd had excellent discrimination and a nomogram was developed. The model had good the calibration and clinical utility.

Conclusion

L1CAM was shown to independently serve as a risk indicator for AF in VHD. In AF patients with VHD, the prognostic and predictive effectiveness of models incorporating L1CAM was satisfactory. Collectively, L1CAM may be a protective molecule for atrial fibrillation in patients with valvular heart disease.

Left Volume Atrial Index and P-wave Dispersion as Predictors of Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation After Coronary Artery Bypass Graft: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Preoperative left atrial remodeling as Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) predisposing factors could be measured by left atrial volume index (LAVI) and P-wave dispersion. This study aimed to assess P-wave dispersion and LAVI as preoperative predictors of POAF among patients who underwent Coronary Artery Bypass Graft (CABG). An analytical retrospective cohort study was performed on patients who underwent CABG. The P-wave dispersion and POAF were evaluated based on documented ECG results. LAVI size was collected from echocardiographic reports. Hazard ratios of P-wave dispersion and LAVI for POAF were analyzed using Cox proportional hazard model. A total of 42 subjects (57 ± 1 years) were included in this study. POAF occurred in 28.6% of patients at a median of 2 days after CABG. P-wave dispersion was significantly longer in patients in whom AF was developed (53.03 ± 3.82 ms vs 44.01 ± 1.98ms, p:0.028), while LAVI difference was not significant. The Cox proportional hazard model showed a significant association between P-wave dispersion and risk of POAF (HR 1.05, CI95%, 1.001-1.103; P = 0.048). There was no association between LAVI and risk of POAF (HR 1.003, CI 95%, 0.965-1.044; P = 0.864). P-wave dispersion is a predictor of POAF in patients who underwent CABG. Risk stratification using P-wave dispersion enables clinicians to identify high-risk patients before CABG surgery.

Predicting atrial fibrillation after cardiac surgery: a scoping review of associated factors and systematic review of existing prediction models

INTRODUCTION

Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is common after cardiac surgery and associated with increased hospital length of stay, patient morbidity and mortality. We aimed to identify factors associated with POAF and evaluate the accuracy of available POAF prediction models.

METHODS

We screened articles from Ovid MEDLINE® and PubMed Central® (PMC) and included studies that evaluated risk factors associated with POAF or studies that designed or validated POAF prediction models. We only included studies in cardiac surgical patients with sample size n ⩾ 50 and a POAF outcome group ⩾20. We summarised factors that were associated with POAF and assessed prediction model performance by reviewing reported calibration and discriminative ability.

RESULTS

We reviewed 232 studies. Of these, 142 fulfilled the inclusion criteria. Age was frequently found to be associated with POAF, while most other variables showed contradictory findings, or were assessed in few studies. Overall, 15 studies specifically developed and/or validated 12 prediction models. Of these, all showed poor discrimination or absent calibration in predicting POAF in externally validated cohorts.

CONCLUSIONS

Except for age, reporting of factors associated with POAF is inconsistent and often contradictory. Prediction models have low discrimination, missing calibration statistics, are at risk of bias and show limited clinical applicability. This suggests the need for studies that prospectively collect AF relevant data in large cohorts and then proceed to validate findings in external data sets.

Preoperative left atrial volume index may be associated with postoperative atrial fibrillation in non-cardiac surgery

BACKGROUND

Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is related to mortality after non-cardiac surgery. Left atrial volume index (LAVI) is known to be associated with prognosis and development of atrial fibrillation, but it has not been fully investigated in patients undergoing non-cardiac surgery.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 203,787 consecutive adult patients underwent non-cardiac surgery at our institution between January 2011 and June 2019. After identifying those with available LAVI estimated during preoperative echocardiography, we divided them into those with LAVI higher and lower than 34 mL/m2. The primary outcome was incidence of POAF.

RESULTS

A total of 83,097 patients were enrolled in this study. The study patients were divided into the low (57,838 [69.6%]) and high (25,259 [30.4%]) LAVI groups. After an adjustment, higher LAVI was associated with increased incidence of POAF (5.1% vs. 8.1%; odds ratio [OR], 1.33; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.25-1.41; p < 0.001). In 24,549 pairs of propensity-score-matched population, the result was similar (6.2% vs. 7.9%; OR, 1.30; 95% CI, 1.21-1.39; p < 0.001). The estimated threshold of LAVI associated with POAF was 36.4 mL/m2 with an area under the curve of 0.571. Subgroup analysis in non-thoracic and thoracic surgery showed that the association between preoperative LAVI and POAF significantly interacted with diastolic dysfunction (p for interaction < 0.001), and the observed association was valid in patients without diastolic dysfunction.

CONCLUSION

Preoperative LAVI was shown to be associated with POAF in non-cardiac surgery. Our result needs verification in further studies.

A novel predictive model for new-onset atrial fibrillation in patients after isolated cardiac valve surgery

Background

Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is a severe complication after cardiac surgery and is associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke and mortality. The main aim of this study was to identify the independent predictors associated with POAF after isolated valve operation and to develop a risk prediction model.

Methods

This retrospective observational study involved patients without previous AF who underwent isolated valve surgery from November 2018 to October 2021. Patients were stratified into two groups according to the development of new-onset POAF. Baseline characteristics and perioperative data were collected from the two groups of patients. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were applied to identify independent risk factors for the occurrence of POAF, and the results of the multivariate analysis were used to create a predictive nomogram.

Results

A total of 422 patients were included in the study, of which 163 (38.6%) developed POAF. The Multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that cardiac function (odds ratio [OR] = 2.881, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.595–5.206; P &lt; 0.001), Left atrial diameter index (OR = 1.071, 95%CI = 1.028–1.117; P = 0.001), Operative time (OR = 1.532, 95%CI = 1.095–2.141; P = 0.013), Neutrophil count (OR = 1.042, 95%CI = 1.006–1.08; P = 0.021) and the magnitude of fever (OR = 3.414, 95%CI = 2.454–4.751; P &lt; 0.001) were independent predictors of POAF. The above Variables were incorporated, and a nomogram was successfully constructed with a C-index of 0.810. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.817.

Conclusion

Cardiac function, left atrial diameter index, operative time, neutrophil count, and fever were independent predictors of POAF in patients with isolated valve surgery. Establishing a nomogram model based on the above predictors helps predict the risk of POAF and may have potential clinical utility in preventive interventions.

Quantification of Left Atrial Size and Function in Cardiac MR in Correlation to Non-Gated MR and Cardiovascular Risk Factors in Subjects without Cardiovascular Disease: A Population-Based Cohort Study

Background: In magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), the comparability of gated and non-gated measurements of the left atrial (LA) area and function and their association with cardiovascular risk factors have not been firmly established. Methods: 3-Tesla MRIs were performed on 400 subjects enrolled in the KORA (Cooperative Health Research in the Augsburg Region) MRI study. The LA maximum and minimum sizes were segmented in gated CINE four-chamber sequences (LAmax and LAmin) and non-gated T1 VIBE-Dixon (NGLA). The area-based LA function was defined as LAaf = (LAmax − LAmin)/LAmax. Inter-and intra-reader reliability tests were performed (n = 31). Linear regression analyses were conducted to link LA size and function with cardiovascular risk factors. Results: Data from 378 subjects were included in the analysis (mean age: 56.3 years, 57.7 % male). The measurements were highly reproducible (all intraclass correlation coefficients ≥ 0.98). The average LAmax was 19.6 ± 4.5 cm2, LAmin 11.9 ± 3.5 cm2, NGLA 16.8 ± 4 cm2 and LAaf 40 ± 9%. In regression analysis, hypertension was significantly associated with larger gated LAmax (β = 1.30), LAmin (β = 1.07), and non-gated NGLA (β = 0.94, all p ≤ 0.037). Increasing age was inversely associated with LAaf (β = −1.93, p < 0.001). Conclusion: LA enlargement, as measured in gated and non-gated CMR is associated with hypertension, while the area-based LA function decreases with age.

Anthracycline Treatment and Left Atrial Function in Children: A Real-Time 3-Dimensional Echocardiographic Study

Anthracycline (AC) therapy is associated with left ventricular (LV) dysfunction. Left atrial (LA) size and function are used to assess LV diastolic function in heart failure in adults. Data on LA size and function following AC therapy in children is limited. We hypothesized that LA size and function will be abnormal in children following AC chemotherapy. This retrospective review included patients who received AC for pediatric cancers. Controls had normal echocardiograms performed for evaluation of chest pain, murmur, or syncope. Real-time three-dimensional echocardiography was performed to evaluate LA reservoir, conduit, and booster pump function parameters. In addition to LA volume data, LV shortening fraction, spectral and tissue Doppler variables assessing diastolic function as well as myocardial performance index was obtained. Groups with and without AC therapy were compared by student t-test and chi-square test. We evaluated 136 patients, 55 (40.4%) had received AC. There was no significant difference between the groups in LV shortening fraction, diastolic as well as global function indices. LA reservoir and conduit function parameters were significantly lower in AC group compared to controls. The booster function parameters showed variable results. It is intriguing that AC-treated children have smaller LA reservoir and abnormal booster function. We speculate that these findings may reflect early changes in LA compliance associated with AC exposure. Assessment of LA volumes and function as prognostic markers of AC-induced cardiotoxicity in children is warranted.

Strain Echocardiography to Predict Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation

Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) complicates 15% to 40% of cardiovascular surgeries. Its incidence progressively increases with aging, reaching 50% in octogenarians. This arrhythmia is usually transient but it increases the risk of embolic stroke, prolonged hospital stay, and cardiovascular mortality. Though many pathophysiological mechanisms are known, POAF prediction is still a hot topic of discussion. Doppler echocardiogram and, lately, strain echocardiography have shown significant capacity to predict POAF. Alterations in oxidative stress, calcium handling, mitochondrial dysfunction, inflammation, fibrosis, and tissue aging are among the mechanisms that predispose patients to the perfect "atrial storm". Manifestations of these mechanisms have been related to enlarged atria and impaired function, which can be detected prior to surgery. Specific alterations in the atrial reservoir and pump function, as well as atrial dyssynchrony determined by echocardiographic atrial strain, can predict POAF and help to shed light on which patients could benefit from preventive therapy.

The value of atrial electromechanical delay in predicting atrial fibrillation development after coronary artery bypass surgery

OBJECTIVE

Predicting postoperative atrial fibrillation (PoAF) in the preoperative period will provide a serious advantage in preventing the morbidity and mortality associated with this arrhythmia and in planning the treatment. In this study, we investigated the value of atrial electromechanical delay (AEMD) in predicting the development of PoAF.

METHODS

A total of 93 patients who underwent isolated coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) operation were included in this prospective study. Patients' demographic characteristics, laboratory parameters, echocardiographic data, and AEMD durations that could be measured by the co-use of electrocardiography and echocardiography were recorded. The patients at sinus rhythm during the postoperative period were identified as "Group 1", and those who developed PoAF were identified as "Group 2".

RESULTS

PoAF incidence was 26.88% (n = 25). Left ventricle (LV) lateral AEMD, LV medial AEMD, right ventricle lateral AEMD, and left atrium (LA) lateral AEMD durations of Group 2 were significantly higher than Group 1 (p < 0.001, p = 0.004, p = 0.004, p < 0.001; respectively). In Univariate Logistic Regression Analysis, the age, hypertension, LA maximum volume, LA lateral AEMD and pulmonary artery pressure were significantly associated with PoAF development (p = 0.01, p = 0.004, p = 0.004, p = 0.001, p = 0.01; respectively). However, only LA lateral AEMD was found as an independent predictive factor for the development of PoAF in the Multivariate Logistic Regression Analysis (OR:1.03, 95% CI:1.001-1.06, p = 0.04). AUC was .741 for LA lateral AEMD in ROC Curve Analysis (95% CI: .633-.849, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The development of PoAF can be predicted by AEMD durations measured in the preoperative period in patients undergoing isolated CABG.

The prognostic value of P-wave dispersion and left atrial functions assessed with three-dimensional echocardiography in patients with cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Cirrhotic cardiomyopathy (CCM) is a well-known entity. The aim of this study was to compare left atrial three-dimensional (3D) volume and P-wave dispersion (PWd) in patients with cirrhosis and a healthy population. The secondary purpose was to assess the left phasic volumes and reservoir functions with 3D echocardiography for the prediction of an increased risk of poor outcomes in patients with cirrhosis.

METHODS

The study included 50 patients with cirrhosis and 43 healthy control subjects without atrial fibrillation. All patients were assessed with two-dimensional (2D), 3D, and tissue Doppler transthoracic echocardiography. The PWd was calculated using a 12-lead surface electrocardiogram (ECG). Cirrhotic patients were followed up for 2.5 years for the evaluation of poor outcomes and the development of atrial fibrillation.

RESULTS

Patients with cirrhosis were observed to have significantly higher left atrial phasic volumes such as minimal left atrial volume (3D-LAVmin, P = 0.004) and indexed LAVmin (3D-LAVImin, P = 0.0001), and significantly decreased left atrial reservoir functions such as left atrial emptying volume (3D-LAEV, P = 0,001), left atrial ejection fraction (3D-LAEF, P = 0,001) on 3D echocardiography. PWd was determined to be significantly longer in the cirrhotic group compared with the control group (P = 0.003). In the 2.5-year follow-up period, poor outcomes occurred in 34 patients (22 patients died, six patients had liver transplantation, six patients developed atrial fibrillation/AHRE episodes). In Cox regression analysis, the MELD score (HR, 1.16 (1.06-1.26), P = 0.001) and 3D-LAVImin (HR, 0.95 (0.86-1.00), P = 0.040) were significantly associated with all-cause mortality. Cirrhotic patients with LAVImin of >15 ml/m2 were seen to have poor survival (long rank P = 0.033).

CONCLUSION

The results of this study showed that patients with cirrhosis had higher left atrial volume, longer PWd and worse diastolic functions compared with the control group. Higher disease severity scores were associated with left atrial function and volume. In addition, left atrial volume measured with 3DE was a strong predictor of future adverse events, and minimal left atrial volumes had a higher prognostic value than any other left atrial function indices.

Patient-Reported Atrial Fibrillation Following Septal Myectomy for Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy

BACKGROUND

Patient-reported outcomes are important metrics of medical and surgical care. In this study, we investigated the prevalence and risk factors of patient-reported postdischarge atrial fibrillation (AF) following septal myectomy for obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy.

METHODS

Patients undergoing transaortic septal myectomy from August 2001 to January 2017 were contacted regarding postdischarge AF through questionnaire-based surveys sent at 3, 5, and 10 years post procedure. For each patient, the most recent survey response was analyzed.

RESULTS

Among 949 patients, 248 (26.1%) last responded at 3 years post procedure, 353 (37.2%) at 5 years, and 348 (36.7%) at 10 years. The overall incidence of patient-reported postdischarge AF was 34.4% (n=326), and at 3, 5, and 10 years, the incidences were 22.2%, 34.8%, and 42.5% (P<0.001). After multivariable adjustment, history of preoperative AF (OR 5.566, P<0.001), early postoperative AF within the first 30 days (OR 2.211, P<0.001), preoperative left atrial volume index (OR 1.014, P=0.005), postoperative right ventricular systolic pressure (OR 1.021, P=0.013), postoperative moderate or greater mitral valve regurgitation (OR 1.893, P=0.022), and preoperative septal thickness (OR 1.043, P=0.036) were independently associated with patient-reported postdischarge AF.

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of patient-reported postdischarge AF increases with increasing length of follow-up after septal myectomy. We identified several risk factors for late postdischarge AF that were associated with chronicity of left ventricular outflow tract obstruction, and earlier intervention may mitigate late atrial arrhythmias.

Clinical and electrophysiological predictors of device-detected new-onset atrial fibrillation during 3 years after cardiac surgery

Aims

Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) after cardiac surgery is an independent predictor of stroke and mortality late after discharge. We aimed to determine the burden and predictors of early (up to 5th postoperative day) and late (after 5th postoperative day) new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) using implantable loop recorders (ILRs) in patients undergoing open chest cardiac surgery.

Methods and results

Seventy-nine patients without a history of AF undergoing cardiac surgery underwent peri-operative high-resolution mapping of electrically induced AF and were followed 36 months after surgery using an ILR (Reveal XT™). Clinical and electrophysiological predictors of late POAF were assessed. POAF occurred in 46 patients (58%), with early POAF detected in 27 (34%) and late POAF in 37 patients (47%). Late POAF episodes were short-lasting (mostly between 2 min and 6 h) and showed a circadian rhythm pattern with a peak of episode initiation during daytime. In POAF patients, electrically induced AF showed more complex propagation patterns than in patients without POAF. Early POAF, right atrial (RA) volume, prolonged PR time, and advanced age were independent predictors of late POAF.

Conclusions

Late POAF occurred in 47% of patients without a history of AF. Patients who develop early POAF, with higher age, larger RA, or prolonged PR time have a higher risk of developing late POAF and may benefit from intensified rhythm follow-up after cardiac surgery.

Clinicaltrials.gov number

NCT01530750.

Predictive value of preoperative echocardiographic assessment for postoperative atrial fibrillation after esophagectomy for esophageal cancer

BACKGROUND

Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) after esophagectomy for esophageal cancer is not uncommon. The aim of this study is to examine whether preoperative transthoracic echocardiography is useful for predicting new-onset POAF in esophageal cancer.

METHODS

In this prospective observational study, we evaluated 200 patients with esophageal cancer who underwent esophagectomy at our hospital between January 2016 and July 2019. Conventional echocardiographic assessment and tissue Doppler imaging were performed before surgery. We investigated the utility of preoperative transthoracic echocardiography for predicting new-onset POAF in esophageal cancer.

RESULTS

New-onset POAF occurred in 51 (25.5%) of 200 patients. POAF was significantly associated with older age (p = 0.007), higher body mass index (p = 0.020), preoperative hypertensive disease (p = 0.021), and lower hemoglobin level (p = 0.028). The incidence of postoperative complications was significantly higher in patients with POAF than in patients without POAF (43.1% vs. 24.2%, p = 0.013). Transthoracic echocardiography showed that left atrial diameter (LAD) and E wave/e' wave ratio (E/e') were significantly higher in patients with POAF than in patients without POAF (34.1 vs. 31.3 mm, p < 0.001 and 11.6 vs. 10.5, p = 0.003, respectively). Multivariate analysis showed that LAD ≥ 36.0 mm, E/e' ≥ 8.4 are independent risk factors for POAF (odds ratios 2.47 and 3.64; p values 0.035 and 0.027, respectively) CONCLUSIONS: Preoperative echocardiographic evaluation is useful for predicting the onset of POAF after esophagectomy for esophageal cancer. Risk stratification using LAD and E/e' enables clinicians to identify patients at high risk for POAF before esophagectomy.

Role of pre-operative transthoracic echocardiography in predicting post-operative atrial fibrillation after cardiac surgery: a systematic review of the literature and meta-analysis

AIMS

This systematic review and meta-analysis aims to evaluate the role of pre-operative transthoracic echocardiography in predicting post-operative atrial fibrillation (POAF) after cardiac surgery.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Electronic databases were searched for studies reporting on pre-operative echocardiographic predictors of POAF in PubMed, Cochrane library, and Embase. A meta-analysis of echocardiographic predictors of POAF that were identified by at least five different publications was performed. Forty-three publications were included in this systematic review. Echocardiographic predictors for POAF included surrogate parameters for total atrial conduction time (TACT), structural cardiac changes, and functional disturbances. Meta-analysis showed that prolonged pre-operative PA-TDI interval [5 studies, Cohen's d = 1.4, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.9-1.9], increased left atrial volume indexed for body surface area (LAVI) (23 studies, Cohen's d = 0.8, 95% CI 0.6-1.0), and reduced peak atrial longitudinal strain (PALS) (5 studies, Cohen's d = 1.4, 95% CI 1.0-1.8), were associated with POAF incidence. Left atrial volume indexed for body surface was the most important predicting factor in patients without a history of AF. These parameters remained important predictors of POAF in heterogeneous populations with variable age and comorbidities such as coronary artery disease and valvular disease.

CONCLUSION

This meta-analysis shows that increased TACT, increased LAVI, and reduced PALS are valuable parameters for predicting POAF in the early post-operative phase in a large variety of patients.

Predicting atrial fibrillation after cardiac surgery using a simplified risk index

BACKGROUND

Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is a common complication after cardiac surgery and can lead to increased risk of postoperative adverse events. However, atrial fibrillation and postoperative adverse events are preventable. In this study, a risk index was developed to predict atrial fibrillation after cardiac surgery.

METHODS

A prospective cohort study of 405 patients who had undergone adult cardiac surgery from 2015 September to 2016 August at Heart Institute of HCMC and Cho Ray Hospital were obtained. In order to predict POAF, a logistic regression model was developed, and a risk score was derived and validated by bootstrap.

RESULTS

In our study, 98 patients developed POAF (24.2%). The risk score included three significant risk factors (age ≥ 60, left atrial diameter > 41 mm, Coronary Artery Bypass Graft with concomitant mitral valve replacement or repair) that were consistent with other reports. Each of these risk factors was assigned one point. The total risk score ranges from 0 to 3 (AUC = 0.69, 95% CI: 0.63-0.75) with the best cutoff point at 1. According to this scoring system, the incidences of POAF in patients associated with each score of 0, 1, 2, and 3 were 8.6%, 30.1%, 40.8%, and 58.3% respectively. Bootstrapping with 5000 samples confirmed the final model provided was consistent with predictions.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed and validated a simple risk score based on clinical variables that can be obtained before surgery in order to accurately predict the risk of POAF in patients undergoing cardiac surgery.

Importance of left atrial mechanical function as a predictor of atrial fibrillation risk following cardiac surgery

Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) after cardiac surgery is a major health problem that is associated with a significant financial burden and increased early morbidity and mortality. We investigated the accuracy of new echocardiographic derived indices to predict patients at higher risk of developing POAF. 84 consecutive patients (age 57.9 ± 6.9, 32% female) hospitalized for isolated CABG underwent comprehensive echocardiographic evaluation before surgery. Left atrial (LA) function was quantified through the assessment of phasic LA volumes to calculate LATEF. Speckle tracking echocardiography STE was used to measure LA reservoir strain, conduit strain and booster strain. Patients who developed POAF had increased LA volumes and impaired LA functions assessed by both the volumetric phasic changes and STE. By univariable analysis, all LA function parameters significantly predicted POAF. Multivariate regression analysis showed that age (P = 0.03, OR 1.134, 95% CI 1.012-1.271) and LATEF (P = 0.001, OR 0.814, 95% CI 0.725-0.914) were strong independent factors for POAF with LATEF showing the highest predictive accuracy. After multivariable adjustment to include LA strain indices to the base model, LA contractile strain LACtS (23.93 ± 4.19 vs 37.0 ± 3.35, p < 0.001) was the best discriminated for the highest predictive accuracy (OR 0.429, 95% CI 0.26-0.708). The ROC Curve was calculated for the greatest performance for prediction of POAF (AUC LACtS: 0.992; LATEF: 0.899). Adding new left atrial mechanics parameters is a more sensitive, independent tool that provides an incremental predictive value to discriminate patients at more risk for POAF.

Overweight and aging increase the risk of atrial fibrillation after cardiac surgery independently of left atrial size and left ventricular ejection fraction

BACKGROUND

Body mass index (BMI), age, left atrium (LA) dimension and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) have been linked to post-operative atrial fibrillation (POAF) after cardiac surgery. The aim of this study was to better define the role of these risk factors.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study evaluated 249 patients (without prior atrial dysrhythmia) undergoing cardiac or aortic surgery. Prior to surgery, the following data were collected: age, BMI, LA diameter, LA area, LVEF, thyroid stimulating hormone (TSH), creatinine and the presence of arterial hypertension (AH) and diabetes. Intraoperative data such as operation time, total clamp time, cardiopulmonary bypass time, and presence of pericardial/pleural effusion were also collected. Only patients without pre- and post-surgery prophylactic anti-arrhythmic therapy were included.

RESULTS

Patients with (N = 127, 51%) and without POAF (N = 122, 49%) were compared. No difference was observed for sex, LA diameter, LA area, LVEF, TSH, diabetes and use of ACE inhibitors or statins prior to intervention. Moreover, no difference was observed in terms of operation time, total clamp time, cardiopulmonary bypass time, and presence of pericardial/pleural effusion. However, patients with POAF were older (70.6 ± 10.7 vs. 60.4 ± 16.4 years, p = 0.001), had higher BMI (26.8 ± 4.5 vs. 24.9 ± 3.6 kg/m2, p = 0.001), higher baseline creatinine (1.06 ± 0.91 vs. 0.88 ± 0.32 mg/dL, p = 0.038) and a higher frequency of arterial hypertension (73.2% vs. 50%, p = 0.001) and Bentall procedure (24.4% vs. 9.8%, p = 0.023). Multivariate analysis showed that the only independent predictors of POAF were age (OR = 1.05, 95%CI 1.02-1.07, p = 0.001) and BMI (OR = 1.11 95%CI 1.03-1.2,p = 0.006).

CONCLUSIONS

These findings suggest that advanced age and a higher BMI are strong risk factors for POAF in patients without previous AF even in the presence of comparable LA dimensions and LVEF.

Preoperative left atrial strain abnormalities are associated with the development of postoperative atrial fibrillation following isolated coronary artery bypass surgery

OBJECTIVE

Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is a common complication after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). Currently, there is no reliable way to determine preoperatively which patients will develop POAF following CABG. The aim of this study was to determine whether preoperative left atrial (LA) strain analysis might identify patients destined to develop POAF following CABG.

METHODS

From 2016 to 2018, 211 patients who had a preoperative left ventricular ejection fraction >50% and adequate preoperative, predischarge, and follow-up echo images for interpretation underwent isolated CABG surgery. Postoperatively, patients had continuous rhythm monitoring until hospital discharge. Retrospective speckle-tracking analysis of preoperative echocardiograms was performed to calculate preoperative left ventricular global longitudinal strain and LA compliance and contraction strains in 92 matched patients. Multivariate logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards models were used to determine the predictors of POAF after CABG.

RESULTS

POAF occurred in 50 patients (24%). They were older, had longer intensive care unit and hospital stays, and a slightly greater 30-day mortality (P = .07). Preoperative LA volume index was larger in the patients with POAF but still "normal" as defined by current guidelines. However, preoperative LA compliance and contraction strains were significantly lower in patients who developed POAF after CABG.

CONCLUSIONS

Decreased preoperative LA strain measurements, especially LA-fractional area change, LA-emptying fraction, and LA-reservoir strain, taken jointly, are more specific and sensitive than other preoperative parameters in identifying patients who will develop POAF following CABG. The ability to identify patients preoperatively who are destined to develop POAF following CABG provides a basis for limiting POAF prophylactic therapy to only those patients undergoing CABG who are most likely to benefit from it rather than to all patients undergoing CABG.

Assessment of left atrial volume and function in patients with Sjögren's syndrome using three-dimensional echocardiography

OBJECTIVE

We used real time, three-dimensional transthoracic echocardiography (3DTTE) to evaluate left atrial (LA) volume and mechanical function in patients with primary Sjögren's syndrome (SS).

METHODS

We prospectively included 42 consecutive patients with primary SS and 42 controls who were similar in terms of basal characteristics. 3DTTE was used to assess LA function.

RESULTS

Maximum LA volume, minimum LA volume, pre-atrial contraction LA volume, LA Active Stroke Volume (ASV), LA Total Stroke Volume (TSV), maximal left atrial volume index (LAVImax), Left atrial pre-contraction volume index, and Left atrial minimum volume index, ASV index, and TSV index were significantly higher in the SS group, and the LA Total Emptying Fraction, LA Expansion Index, and LA Passive Emptying Fraction were significantly lower. Although the active emptying fraction was higher in the SS group, the difference was not statistically significant. LAVImax was positive correlated with disease duration (r = .753).

CONCLUSION

Left atrial function is impaired in SS patients and serves as an early marker of subclinical cardiac involvement.

Left Atrial End-Diastolic Volume Index as a Predictor of Cardiovascular Outcomes: The Heart and Soul Study

BACKGROUND

The left atrial end-systolic volume index (LAESVI) is a predictor of cardiovascular outcomes and is the recommended measurement of left atrial size. The left atrial end-diastolic volume index (LAEDVI), representing the minimum or residual left atrial volume, has not been fully evaluated as a predictor of cardiovascular events. This study evaluated the predictive power of LAEDVI compared with LAESVI for heart failure (HF) hospitalizations, a composite of HF hospitalizations, myocardial infarction, stroke, and heart disease death, and all-cause mortality.

METHODS

We measured LAESVI and LAEDVI in subjects without atrial fibrillation or flutter or significant mitral valve disease. Using Cox proportional-hazard models, the association of LAESVI and LAEDVI with the stated outcomes was examined.

RESULTS

After a mean of 7.3±2.6 years of follow-up, there were 147 HF hospitalizations, 118 myocardial infarctions, 45 strokes, 96 heart disease deaths, and 351 deaths from all causes in 938 subjects. When comparing the highest and the lowest quartiles of LAEDVI, there was a near 6-fold increase in the hazard ratio (HR) for HF hospitalization (HR, 5.96; P<0.001). This was higher than what was seen with LAESVI (HR, 4.85; P<0.001). Similar associations were noted for the composite cardiovascular outcome (HR for LAEDVI, 2.97; P<0.001) and for all-cause mortality (HR for LAEDVI, 2.08; P<0.001). In adjusted models, LAEDVI demonstrated equal or better predictive power than LAESVI for HF hospitalization and the composite cardiovascular outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

LAEDVI is a strong predictor of cardiovascular events in ambulatory patients with stable coronary heart disease and may merit routine use.

Comparison of expected and observed outcomes for septal myectomy in hypertrophic obstructive cardiomyopathy

BACKGROUND

Septal myectomy remains the criterion standard for treatment of symptomatic, medically refractory hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM). There is no specific surgical risk calculator for septal myectomy.

METHODS

This study compares the outcomes of septal myectomy at a tertiary referral center with predicted outcomes of mitral valve (MV) repair and aortic valve replacement (AVR) using the Society of Thoracic Surgeons Adult Cardiac Surgery Risk Calculator (STS Calculator). A total of 298 consecutive patients with HCM underwent isolated septal myectomy from 2011 to 2014. Observed outcomes of septal myectomy were compared with the STS Calculator predicted risk of isolated MV repair and AVR predicted within this population using 1-sample tests of proportions.

RESULTS

Thirty-day mortality for myectomy in this cohort was zero. STS Calculator predicted risk of mortality for MV repair was 0.7% (P = .14) and for AVR = 1.1% (P = .06). Follow-up for vital status was 6.0 ± 0.7 years, at which 294 (98.7%) patients were alive. Hospital stay length was 4.9 ± 1.9 days. One (0.3%) patient experienced a postoperative deep sternal wound infection, and 1 (0.3%) patient experienced a prolonged ventilated state. Postoperative atrial fibrillation occurred in 64 (21.5%) patients. During 30 days of follow-up, no patients experienced stroke, renal failure, or needed dialysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Septal myectomy, performed in a tertiary referral center, had a 30-day mortality rate of 0% and low morbidity rate. There was no difference between observed myectomy mortality and STS Calculator predicted risk for AVR and MV repair. It is possible that a larger sample could reveal lower mortality than STS prediction.

Importância do Desenvolvimento de Fibrilação Atrial no Pós-Operatório em Cirurgia Cardíaca: Desfechos Intra-Hospitalares em Centro Terciário de Cardiologia Catarinense

Objetivo: Determinar a incidência de fibrilação atrial no pós-operatório (FAPO) de cirurgia cardíaca, seu impacto sobre a morbimortalidade e o tempo de internação hospitalar em um centro terciário de cardiologia do estado de Santa Catarina, Brasil. Métodos: Estudo de coorte com 134 pacientes adultos submetidos à cirurgia cardíaca. Resultados: A incidência foi de 32,8%. Após análise multivariada, os pacientes que não receberam betabloqueador estiveram associados à FAPO com razão de chances risco relativo (RR) 10,73 (p < 0,001). A maior taxa de eventos cardiovasculares (acidente vascular cerebral, mortalidade e síndrome coronariana aguda) foi de 25% no grupo FAPO vs. 10% (RR 3,21; p = 0,035) o que, consequentemente, gerou tempo de internação maior nesses pacientes (19,1 vs. 12,5; p = 0,01). Conclusão: A incidência de FAPO foi elevada, ocasionou significativo aumento de morbimortalidade e tempo de internação hospitalar e consolidou o papel da terapia betabloqueadora na sua prevenção, podendo servir como base a futuras políticas de prevenção dessa intercorrência.

Importance of Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation Development in Heart Surgery: Intra-Hospital Outcomes in Santa Catarina Tertiary Cardiology Center

Objective: To determine the incidence of postoperative atrial fibrillation (PAF) of cardiac surgery, its impact on morbimortality and duration of hospital stay in a tertiary cardiology center of the state of Santa Catarina, Brazil. Methods: Cohort study with 134 adult patients submitted to cardiac surgery. Results: the incidence was 32.8%. After multivariate analysis, patients who did not receive beta-blockers were associated with PAF with a relative risk odds ratio (RR) 10.73 (p <0.001). The highest rate of cardiovascular events (cerebrovascular accident, mortality, and acute coronary syndrome) was 25% in the PAF group. 10% (RR 3.21; p = 0.035) which, consequently, generated longer hospitalization time in these patients (19.1 vs. 12.5; p = 0.01). Conclusion: the incidence of PAF was high, caused a significant increase in morbimortality and duration of hospital stay, and consolidated the role of beta-blocker therapy in its prevention, and may serve as a basis for future prevention policies.

Non-Transfemoral Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement Approach is Associated with a Higher Risk of New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

New-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) is a frequent arrhythmic complication following transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR). Choice of access routes for TAVR could be a factor that determines the risk of NOAF although the data is still not well-characterised. We aimed to assess the association between different access routes for TAVR (transfemoral versus non-transfemoral) and the risk of NOAF.

METHODS

A comprehensive literature review was performed through September 2018 using EMBASE and Medline. Eligible studies must compare the incidence of NOAF in patients without pre-existing atrial fibrillation who underwent TAVR. Relative risk (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were extracted from each study and combined together using the random-effects model, generic inverse variance method of DerSimonian and Laird.

RESULTS

Seven (7) retrospective studies with 18,425 patients who underwent TAVR (12,744 with the transfemoral approach and 5,681 with the non-transfemoral approach) met the eligibility criteria. After the procedures, 2,205 (12.0%) patients developed NOAF (656 [5.1%] patients in the transfemoral group and 1,549 [27.3%] patients in the non-transfemoral group). There was a significant association between the non-transfemoral approach and an increased risk of NOAF with the pooled RR of 2.94 (95%CI, 2.53-3.41; p < 0.00001). Subgroup analysis showed the highest risk of NOAF in the transapical subgroup with the pooled RR of 3.20 (95% CI, 2.69-3.80; I² 33%).

CONCLUSIONS

A significantly increased risk of NOAF following TAVR among those who underwent a non-transfemoral approach compared with transfemoral approach was observed in this meta-analysis.

Incremental Value of Left Atrial Geometric Remodeling in Predicting Late Atrial Fibrillation Recurrence After Pulmonary Vein Isolation: A Cardiovascular Magnetic Resonance Study

Background Left atrial ( LA ) enlargement is a marker for increased risk of atrial fibrillation ( AF ). However, LA remodeling is a complex process that is poorly understood, and LA geometric remodeling may also be associated with the development of AF . We sought to determine whether LA spherical remodeling or its temporal change predict late AF recurrence after pulmonary vein isolation ( PVI ). Methods and Results Two hundred twenty-seven consecutive patients scheduled for their first PVI for paroxysmal or persistent AF who underwent cardiovascular magnetic resonance before and within 6 months after PVI were retrospectively identified. The LA sphericity index was computed as the ratio of the measured LA maximum volume to the volume of a sphere with maximum LA length diameter. During mean follow-up of 25 months, 88 patients (39%) experienced late recurrence of AF . Multivariable Cox regression analyses identified an increased pre- PVI LA sphericity index as an independent predictor of late AF recurrence (hazard ratio, 1.32; 95% confidence interval, 1.07-1.62, P=0.009). Patients in the highest LA sphericity index tertile were at highest risk of late recurrence (highest versus lowest: 59% versus 28%; P<0.001). The integration of the LA sphericity index to the LA minimum volume index and passive emptying fraction provided important incremental prognostic information for predicting late AF recurrence post PVI (categorical net reclassification improvement, 0.43; 95% confidence interval, 0.16-0.69, P=0.001). Conclusions The assessment of pre- PVI LA geometric remodeling provides incremental prognostic information regarding late AF recurrence and may be useful to identify those for whom PVI has reduced success or for whom more aggressive ablation or medications may be useful.

Clinical Risk Factors for Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation among Patients after Cardiac Surgery

BACKGROUND

Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is a common arrhythmia following cardiac surgery and is associated with increased health-care costs, complications, and mortality. The etiology of POAF is incompletely understood and its prediction remains suboptimal. Using data from published studies, we performed a systemic review and meta-analysis to identify preoperative clinical risk factors associated with patients at increased risk of POAF.

METHODS

A systematic search of PubMed, MEDLINE, and EMBASE databases was performed.

RESULTS

Twenty-four studies that reported univariate analysis results regarding POAF risk factors, published from 2001 to May 2017, were included in this meta-analysis with a total number of 36,834 subjects. Eighteen studies were performed in the United States and Europe and 16 studies were prospective cohort studies. The standardized mean difference (SMD) between POAF and non-POAF groups was significantly different (reported as [SMD: 95% confidence interval, CI]) for age (0.55: 0.47-0.63), left atrial diameter (0.45: 0.15-0.75), and left ventricular ejection fraction (0.30: 0.14-0.47). The pooled odds ratios (ORs) (reported as [OR: 95% CI]) demonstrated that heart failure (1.56: 1.31-1.96), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (1.36: 1.13-1.64), hypertension (1.29: 1.12-1.48), and myocardial infarction (1.18: 1.05-1.34) were significant predictors of POAF incidence, while diabetes was marginally significant (1.06: 1.00-1.13).

CONCLUSION

The present analysis suggested that older age and history of heart failure were significant risk factors for POAF consistently whether the included studies were prospective or retrospective datasets.

Left Atrial Epicardial Fat Volume Is Associated With Atrial Fibrillation: A Prospective Cardiovascular Magnetic Resonance 3D Dixon Study

BACKGROUND

Recent studies demonstrated a strong association between atrial fibrillation (AF) and epicardial fat around the left atrium (LA). We sought to assess whether epicardial fat volume around the LA is associated with AF, and to determine the additive value of LA-epicardial fat measurements to LA structural remodeling for identifying patients with AF using 3-dimensional multi-echo Dixon fat-water separated cardiovascular magnetic resonance.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 105 subjects were studied: 53 patients with a history of AF and 52 age-matched patients with other cardiovascular diseases but no history of AF. The 3-dimensional multi-echo Dixon fat-water separated sequence was performed for LA-epicardial fat measurements. AF patients had significantly greater LA-epicardial fat (28.9±12.3 and 14.2±7.3 mL for AF and non-AF, respectively; P<0.001) and LA volume (110.8±38.2 and 89.7±30.3 mL for AF and non-AF, respectively; P=0.002). LA-epicardial fat adjusted for LA volume was still higher in patients with AF compared with those without AF (P<0.001). LA-epicardial fat and hypertension were independently associated with the risk of AF (odds ratio, 1.17; 95% confidence interval, 1.10%-1.25%, P<0.001, and odds ratio, 3.29; 95% confidence interval, 1.17%-9.27%, P=0.03, respectively). In multivariable logistic regression analysis adjusted for body surface area, LA-epicardial fat remained significant and an increase per mL was associated with a 42% increase in the odds of AF presence (odds ratio, 1.42; 95% confidence interval, 1.23%-1.62%, P<0.001). Combined assessment of LA-epicardial fat and LA volume provided greater discriminatory performance for detecting AF than LA volume alone (c-statistic=0.88 and 0.74, respectively, DeLong test; P<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Cardiovascular magnetic resonance 3-dimensional Dixon-based LA-epicardial fat volume is significantly increased in AF patients. LA-epicardial fat measured by 3-dimensional Dixon provides greater performance for detecting AF beyond LA structural remodeling.

Assessment of left atrial mechanical function and synchrony in paroxysmal atrial fibrillation with two-dimensional speckle tracking echocardiography

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to investigate left atrial (LA) function and synchrony in paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF) patients using two-dimensional speckle tracking echocardiography (STE).

METHODS

Forty-five PAF patients and 30 healthy controls were enrolled. LA peak ventricular systolic longitudinal strain (LA_S-S ) and strain rate (LA_SR-S ) and left atrial longitudinal strain (LA_S-A ) and strain rate (LA_SR-A ) during late diastole were determined using STE, and the standard deviation of the time to peak (TPSD) of the regional strains was calculated to quantify LA dyssynchrony. TPSD during ventricular systole and late diastole were named SDs and SDa, respectively.

RESULTS

Left atrial peak longitudinal strain during ventricular systole (LA_S-S ) (29.34±8.57 vs 36.73±6.13), LA_SR-S (1.27±0.311 vs 1.57±0.25), LA_S-A (13.11±4.91 vs 17.86±3.57), and LA_SR-A (-1.51±0.58 vs -1.90±0.30) were reduced in the PAF group compared with the controls (P<.05 for all). SDs (8.11±3.00% vs 4.67±1.48%) and SDa (5.57±2.26% vs 3.11±1.13%) were greater in PAF patients than in the controls (P<.05 for both). Furthermore, PAF patients with normal LA sizes exhibited lower LA_S-S (P<.05), LA_SR-S (P<.05), LA_S-A (P<.05), and LA_SR-A (P<.05) values and increased SDs (P<.05) and SDa (P<.05) values compared with the controls. Multivariate regression confirmed that SDs and SDa were powerful parameters for differentiating PAF patients from controls (SDs: sensitivity, 83%; specificity, 72%; SDa: sensitivity, 81%; specificity, 76%).

CONCLUSIONS

Left atrial (LA) dysfunction and dyssynchrony in PAF patients can be detected with STE even in the absence of LA enlargement. STE-derived SDs and SDa were powerful parameters for identifying PAF patients.

Echocardiographic predictors of atrial fibrillation after mitral valve replacement

Objectives

Detection of the echocardiographic predictors of post-operative atrial fibrillation in patients with rheumatic mitral valve disease undergoing mitral valve replacement.

Methods

The study included 50 patients with rheumatic mitral valve disease undergoing mitral valve replacement. Preoperative assessment included standard two-dimensional echocardiography to assess LA diameter, volume, and emptying fraction, LV volume and ejection fraction. TDI derived velocity, strain of the left atrium and speckle tracking to assess left ventricular function then postoperative follow up for 1 month for occurrence of atrial fibrillation.

Results

The incidence of postoperative AF was 44%; these patients were significantly older (P = 0.001) and show higher prevalence of DM (P = 0.001) and HTN (P = 0.001). Also, LA diameters (antero-posterior, transverse and longitudinal) and LA volumes (maximal and minimal) were increased (P < 0.001), but no difference in LA emptying fraction (P > 0.05). Systolic LA strain and left ventricular global longitudinal strain were significantly reduced in those patients (P value <0.001). Echocardiographic predictors of AF were LA systolic strain (P value <0.001) and LV global longitudinal strain (P value = 0.003). Cutoff value for systolic LA strain ≤23 had sensitivity 90.91% and specificity 93.33% in predicting POAF. While, left ventricular global longitudinal strain ≤−14.9% had sensitivity 63.6% and specificity 100.0% in predicting AF.

Conclusion

LA systolic strain and LV global longitudinal strain were significant predictors of POAF. Echocardiographic parameters can identify patients at greater risk of developing POAF who can benefit from preventive measure and guide the selection of prosthesis.

Prognostic factors of atrial fibrillation following coronary artery bypass graft surgery

OBJECTIVE

Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is the most common complication after cardiac surgery. To prevent this complication, routine pharmacological prophylactic drugs could be administered. Our study aimed to analyze the various perioperative factors associated with the development of POAF after coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery.

METHODS

This prospective study included 617 patients, who received CABG surgery in the year 2014.

RESULTS

There were 429 (69.5%) male and 188 (30.5%) female patients. Mean patient age was 67.2 (9.4) years, and 365 patients (59.2%) were more than 65 years. Incidence of POAF was 24.1% (N = 149). Multivariable analysis showed that independent predictors of POAF after CABG surgery were: age >65 (P  = 0.008; OR 2.089; 95% CI 1.208-3.613), AF in the past (P < 0.001; OR 10.838; 95% CI 5.28-22.247), preoperative hypertrophy or dilation of left atrium (P = 0.002; OR 4.996; 95% CI 1.823-13.691), CABG surgery using 4 or more bypass grafts (P = 0.042; OR 1.669; 95% CI 0.972-2.866), preoperative hypokalemia (P = 0.001; OR 3.317; 95% CI 1.678-6.559), >trivial mitral (P = 0.024; OR 7.556; 95% CI 0.964-20.376), and aortic (P = 0.009; OR 1.937; 95% CI 1.178-3.187) valve regurgitation.

CONCLUSIONS

The profile of patients affected by POAF was considerably different with regard to the demographics, preoperative heart condition, history of previous heart rhythm disorders, and operative data. The most important independent factors that predicted POAF after CABG surgery were associated with structural heart defects, advanced age, history of previous AF, and preoperative hypokalemia.

Factors influencing postoperative atrial fibrillation in patients undergoing on-pump coronary artery bypass grafting, single center experience

BACKGROUND

The reported incidence of AF after CABG surgery varies from 20 to 40%, with the arrhythmia usually occurring between second and fourth postoperative days. Postoperative AF after CABG was associated with greater in-hospital mortality and worse survival at long-term follow-up. Therefore, intensive attention has focused on the prevention of AF in high-risk patients. Many perioperative factors have been suggested to increase the incidence of postoperative AF after conventional CABG. In this study we are trying to examine some of these risk factors as predictors for Post-operative AF in our patients. In this study, our aim was to identify the perioperative predictors of AF in our patients who underwent Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting.

METHODS

Our Patients were divided into two groups; Group A included patients who did not develop PO AF (168 patients) and Group B patients who developed PO AF (84 patients). Perioperative Data, including gender, age, demographic variables and postoperative morbidity and mortality were extracted from the medical records.

RESULTS

This retrospective cohort study was conducted on 252 consecutive adult patients underwent CABG, in King Faisal Specialist Hospital and Research Center in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia. The mean age for patients with PO AF was 65 years (P = .0001). Eight-three patients (49.4%) were diabetics in group A and 56 patients (66.7%) in group B (P = .0001). Patients who developed POAF had a lower ejection fraction (44.8 ± 5.7%) (P = .0001), diastolic dysfunction (P = .0001), Larger Left atrial volume (P = .0001). Bleeding requiring re-opening for exploration and Postoperative shock were identified as significant predictors for POAF. Multivariate logistic regression (odds ratio, ±95% CI, P value) was performed to identify the effect of age, preoperative heart rate, ejection fraction, postoperative bleeding, Shock, ventilator time, Sensitivity was 89.5%, specificity was 94.6%, positive predictive value was 89.5%, and negative predictive value was 94.6%.

CONCLUSION

In our study, advanced age, enlarged LA volume, low ejection fraction, combined surgeries and prolonged ventilation time were found to be predictors of atrial fibrillations after coronary artery bypass grafting.