Predicting Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events in Children With Age-Adjusted NT-proBNP

Prediction of adverse cardiovascular events in children using artificial intelligence-based electrocardiogram

BACKGROUND

Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have emerged as a novel method for evaluating heart failure (HF) in adult electrocardiograms (ECGs). However, such CNNs are not applicable to pediatric HF, where abnormal anatomy of congenital heart defects plays an important role. ECG-based CNNs reflecting neurohormonal activation (NHA) may be a useful marker of pediatric HF. This study aimed to develop and validate an ECG-derived marker of pediatric HF that reflects the risk of future cardiovascular events.

METHODS

Based on 21,378 ECGs from 8324 children, a CNN was trained using B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) and the occurrence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs). The output of the model, or the electrical heart failure indicator (EHFI), was compared with the BNP regarding its ability to predict MACEs in 813 ECGs from 295 children.

RESULTS

EHFI achieved a better area under the curve than BNP in predicting MACEs within 180 days (0.826 versus 0.691, p = 0.03). On Cox univariable analyses, both EHFI and BNP were significantly associated with MACE (log10 EHFI: hazard ratio [HR] = 16.5, p < 0.005 and log10 BNP: HR = 4.4, p < 0.005). The time-dependent average precisions of EHFI in predicting MACEs were 32.4%-67.9% and 1.6-7.5-fold higher than those of BNP in the early period. Additionally, the MACE rate increased monotonically with EHFI, whereas the rate peaked at approximately 100 pg/mL of BNP and decreased in the higher range.

CONCLUSIONS

ECG-derived CNN is a novel marker of HF with different prognostic potential from BNP. CNN-based ECG analysis may provide a new guide for assessing pediatric HF.

Quantification of ventricular stress in univentricular hearts during early childhood using age-independent zlog-NT-proBNP

BACKGROUND

Children with univentricular hearts (UVH) undergo up to three palliative surgical procedures to achieve complete circulatory separation (Fontan circulation). As a marker of cardiac wall stress, NT-proBNP is a promising tool to assess systemic ventricular load in these patients. However, different reference intervals (RI) apply to each stage, as NT-proBNP is highly age-dependent.

METHODS

Children undergoing systemic-to-pulmonary (SP) shunt placement (stage 1), bidirectional cavopulmonary shunt (BCPS, stage 2) or total cavopulmonary connection (TCPC, stage 3) between 2011 and 2021 with NT-proBNP measurement within 7 days before surgery were included. Furthermore, outpatients after TCPC with NT-proBNP measurement were enrolled. Biomarker levels were evaluated using its age-adjusted z-score ("zlog-NT-proBNP"; age-independent RI, -1.96 to +1.96), allowing comparison between different stages and revealing changes in systemic ventricular load independent of the marked physiological decline in RI with age.

RESULTS

Overall, 289 children (227 before, 62 after TCPC) met the eligibility criteria. Median time between blood sampling and surgery (SP shunt/BCPS/TCPC) was 2 [1-3] days and 3.2 [2.0-4.5] years after TCPC. Age-adjusted zlog-NT-proBNP levels were 3.47 [2.79-3.93] in children with native UVH (before SP shunt), 3.10 [1.89-3.58] at stage 1 (before BCPS), 1.08 [0.51-1.88] at stage 2 (before TCPC), and 1.09 [0.72-1.75] at stage 3 (after TCPC/Fontan completion). Consequently, BCPS revealed the strongest decrease (median - 2.02 logarithmized standard deviations, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In children with UVH undergoing staged Fontan palliation, zlog-NT-proBNP is a highly promising tool for course assessment of systemic ventricular load, independent of the age-related decline in physiological NT-proBNP concentration.

Effect of Ciprofol on Left Ventricular Myocardial Strain and Myocardial Work in Children Undergoing Cardiac Surgery: A Single-center Double-blind Randomized Noninferiority Study

OBJECTIVE

The current work was designed to compare the effects of ciprofol and propofol on left ventricular systolic function and myocardial work by noninvasive speckle-tracking echocardiography in children undergoing surgical repair of atrial septal or ventricular septal defects.

DESIGN

A single-center double-blind randomized noninferiority study was conducted.

SETTING

The research occurred at a tertiary care center affiliated with Shanghai Jiao Tong University, China.

PARTICIPANTS

One hundred and twelve children aged 1 month to 16 years undergoing atrial septal or ventricular septal defect surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass were included.

INTERVENTIONS

One hundred and twelve children were allocated randomly to receive ciprofol (n = 67) or propofol (n = 45) in a 1.5:1 ratio. Ciprofol or propofol were intravenously infused at loading doses of 0.4 mg/kg or 2.0 mg/kg, respectively, over 30 seconds, depending on the physical condition of each patient. When the bispectral index was maintained between 45 and 55 after induction, transthoracic echocardiography, including apical two-chamber, three-chamber, and four-chamber views, were collected bedside.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

Of the 112 patients enrolled, 104 completed the study. Global longitudinal strain in the ciprofol and propofol groups after anesthesia was -17.3% (95% confidence interval [CI] -18.0% to -16.6%) and -17.8% (95% CI -18.7 to -17.0%) in the full analysis set and -17.5% (95% CI -18.2% to -16.9%) and -17.8% (95% CI -18.7% to -17.0%) in the per-protocol set, respectively. The noninferiority margin was set at 2% and confirmed with a lower limit of two-sided 95% CI for the intergroup difference of 1.58% in the full analysis set and 1.34% in the per-protocol set. There were no significant differences between the groups in left ventricular systolic and diastolic function and myocardial work indices. Postoperative vasoactive-inotropic score, NT-proBNP, duration of mechanical ventilation, and the length of stay in the cardiac intensive care unit and hospital were also comparable between the two groups (all p > 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Ciprofol did not show different effects on myocardial function and postoperative outcomes from propofol. Further, on the sensitive cardiac systole marker global longitudinal strain, ciprofol demonstrated noninferiority to propofol. Ciprofol might be an alternative solution for cardiac anesthesia in children with congestive heart disease with mild lesion.

Predictive value of NT-proBNP and hs-TnT for outcomes after pediatric congenital cardiac surgery

BACKGROUND

The available evidence regarding the predictive value of troponins and natriuretic peptides for early postoperative outcomes in pediatrics is limited, controversial, and based on small sample sizes. The authors aimed to investigate the association of N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and high-sensitivity troponin T (hs-TnT) with the in-hospital adverse outcomes after congenital cardiac surgeries.

METHODS

A secondary analysis based on a prospective study of pediatric congenital heart disease (CHD) patients was conducted to investigate the association of NT-proBNP and hs-TnT tested within 6 h postoperatively with in-hospital adverse events. A multivariate logistic regression analysis with a minimum P value approach was used to identify the optimal thresholds of NT-proBNP and hs-TnT for risk stratification.

RESULTS

NT-proBNP and hs-TnT are positively correlated with cardiopulmonary bypass time, mechanical ventilation duration, and pediatric intensive care unit stay. The predictive performance of NT-proBNP is excellent for adverse events in both patients younger than 1 year [area under the curve (AUC): 0.771, 0.693-0.850] and those older than 1 year (AUC: 0.839, 0.757-0.922). However, hs-TnT exhibited a satisfactory predictive value solely in patients aged over 1 year. (AUC: 0.784, 0.717-0.852). NT-proBNP levels of 2000-10 000 ng/l [odds ratio (OR): 3.79, 1.47-9.76] and exceeding 10 000 ng/l (OR: 12.21, 3.66-40.80) were associated with a higher risk of postoperative adverse events in patients younger than 1 year. Patients older than 1 year, with NT-proBNP higher than 500 ng/l (OR: 15.09, 6.05-37.66) or hs-TnT higher than 1200 ng/l (OR: 5.50, 1.47-20.59), had a higher incidence of postoperative adverse events.

CONCLUSIONS

NT-proBNP and hs-TnT tested within postoperative 6 h demonstrated significant predictive value for postoperative adverse events in CHD patients older than 1 year. However, among CHD patients younger than 1 year, only NT-proBNP exhibited commendable predictive performance for postoperative adverse events.

Natriuretic Peptide Normative Levels and Deficiency: The National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey

BACKGROUND

Natriuretic peptides (NPs) are hormones with a range of key functions vital for cardiometabolic health. However, the reference ranges of NPs and the prevalence of NP deficiency in the healthy United States population remains poorly defined.

OBJECTIVES

This study aims to establish the reference range for N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) values and to assess the prevalence of NP deficiency in a nationally representative healthy United States population.

METHODS

Healthy participants with NT-proBNP measurements from the 1999-2004 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey were included. Weighted multivariable-adjusted linear regression models were used to assess the adjusted percentage difference of NT-proBNP concentrations by sex and race and ethnicity. NP deficiency was defined as concentrations <2.5th percentile in the study cohort.

RESULTS

Among 18,145 individuals (median age: 33.9 years [IQR: 17.1-49.0 years], 49.8% males, and 68.5% non-Hispanic White individuals), females had similar NT-proBNP concentrations in the 1-10 years group (4.2% [95% CI: -3.3% to 12.2%]), and highest differences in the 20-30 years group (150.5% [95% CI: 123.5%-180.8%]) compared with males in their respective age groups. Compared with non-Hispanic White individuals, non-Hispanic Black individuals had lower NT-proBNP concentrations in the 1- to 10-years group (19.6% [95% CI: 10.7%-27.6%]), and these differences were most pronounced in the 30-40 years group (40.2% [95% CI: 33.7%-46.0%]). An estimated 9.1 million United States individuals had NP deficiency. NP deficiency was associated with a higher risk of cardiometabolic diseases such as hypertension, dyslipidemia, obesity, and insulin resistance.

CONCLUSIONS

This study establishes the normative NP concentrations across the lifespan of a healthy United States population.