Long-Term Mortality and Prognostic Factors in Aspiration Pneumonia

Extremely Poor Post-discharge Prognosis in Aspiration Pneumonia and Its Prognostic Factors: A Retrospective Cohort Study

There is little evidence regarding the long-term prognosis of patients with aspiration pneumonia. This study aimed to investigate post-discharge survival time and prognostic factors in older patients hospitalized for aspiration pneumonia. This retrospective cohort study included patients aged ≥ 65 years hospitalized for aspiration pneumonia and discharged alive from a tertiary care hospital in Japan between April 2009 and September 2014. Candidate prognostic factors were patient's age, sex, body mass index (BMI), performance status, chronic conditions, CURB-65 score, serum albumin level, hematocrit concentration, nutritional pathway at discharge, and discharge location. Kaplan-Meier curves were determined and multivariable survival analysis using Cox regression model was performed to analyze the effect of each factor on mortality. In total, 209 patients were included in this study. The median age was 85 years, 58% of the patients were males, 33% had a performance status of 4 and 34% were discharged home. Among the patients, 65% received oral intake, 23% received tube feeding, and 21% received parenteral nutrition at discharge. During the follow-up period, 77% of the patients died, and the median post-discharge survival time was 369 days. Besides male sex and low BMI, tube feeding (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) = 1.70, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.11-2.59) and parenteral nutrition (aHR = 4.42, 95% CI 2.57-7.60) were strongly associated with mortality. Long-term prognosis of patients hospitalized for aspiration pneumonia was extremely poor. The nutritional pathway at discharge was a major prognostic factor. These results may be useful for future care and research.

Dental Care to Reduce Aspiration Pneumonia Recurrence: A Prospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Aspiration pneumonia has a high recurrence rate, and oral care by dentists has been found effective in preventing its onset; however, this has not been evaluated using prospective studies. Therefore, we conducted a prospective study to evaluate the effectiveness of professional oral care by dentists in reducing aspiration pneumonia recurrence in older adult patients.

METHODS

In this prospective cohort study, we evaluated a dental oral care intervention, using a historical control group (control group). It was conducted at a single-centre regional core hospital in Japan that serves a large number of patients aged older than 80 years. Patients who were hospitalised for aspiration pneumonia were included in this study. During the study period (1 April 2021 to 31 March 2022), the clinical group received weekly professional cleaning by a dentist and the control group received standard oral care by a nurse as usual from 1 April 2020 to 31 March 2021. The dentist oral care group received weekly professional oral care from a dentist and was followed prospectively for 1 year. A Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to evaluate the timing of recurrent aspiration pneumonia or death. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to obtain a hazard ratio and determine the 95% confidence intervals.

RESULTS

There were 91 participants in the clinical group and 94 in the control group. The mean age of participants was 85 years, and 75 (40.5%) were female. The recurrence rate was 27.5% in the clinical group and 44.7% in the control group (P = .005). Professional cleaning by a dentist reduced the risk of recurrence of aspiration pneumonia by approximately 50% (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.465; 95% confidence interval, 0.278-0.78).

CONCLUSIONS

Professional cleaning by a dentist was associated with a lower rate of aspiration pneumonia recurrence than nurse-provided conventional oral care.

Pneumonia in Geriatric Patients and Prediction of Mortality Based on the Pneumonia Severity Index (PSI), CURB-65, Frailty Index (FI), and FI-Lab21 Scores

Background Elderly individuals have higher rates of morbidity, death, and financial burden due to community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). Objectives The study aimed to assess the outcomes of geriatric pneumonia patients and the prediction of mortality based on the pneumonia severity index (PSI), CURB-65 (confusion, urea, respiratory rate, blood pressure, and 65-year-old score), frailty index (frailty index), and FI-Lab21 (21-item frailty index based on laboratory) scores. Methods A prospective observational study was conducted on 100 elderly patients (≥ 65 years) with CAP. PSI, CURB-65, FI, and FI-Lab21 scores were determined. The outcome measures were 30-day mortality and the risk factors of mortality. The mortality predictive value of scores were compared. Results The mean age of the study subjects was 72.14 ± 6.1 years. Specifically, 76 (76%) were male, and 24 (24%) were females. During the follow-up, there was a 30-day mortality rate of 57%. On performing multivariate regression, the PSI score and severely frail were significant independent risk factors of mortality, with an odds ratio of 1.046 and 52.213, respectively. Area under the ROC curve (AUC) showed that the performance of the PSI score (AUC: 0.952; 95% CI: 0.910-0.994), CURB-65 score (AUC: 0.936; 95% CI: 0.893-0.978), and severely frail (AUC: 0.907; 95% CI: 0.851-0.962) was outstanding, while FI-Lab21 (AUC: 0.515; 95% CI: 0.400-0.631) was non-significant. Among all the parameters, the PSI score was the best predictor of mortality at the cutoff points of >121 with a diagnostic accuracy of 92%. Conclusion CAP in the elderly carries a high mortality rate. Out of PSI, CURB-65, FI, and FI-Lab21 scores, the PSI holds the best predicting ability for mortality.

Prognostic factors of poor outcomes in pneumonia in older adults: aspiration or frailty?

PURPOSE

Little is known about the long-term and functional prognoses of older adults with pneumonia, which complicates their management. There is a common belief that aspiration is a poor prognostic factor; however, the diagnosis of aspiration pneumonia (AP) lacks consensus criteria and is mainly based on clinical characteristics typical of the frailty syndrome. Therefore, the poor prognosis of AP may also be a result of frailty rather than aspiration. This study investigated the impact of AP and other prognostic factors in older patients with pneumonia.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study of patients aged 75 years and older, admitted with pneumonia in 2021. We divided patients according to their initial diagnosis (AP or non-AP), compared outcomes using Kaplan-Meier curves, and used logistic regression to identify independent prognostic factors.

RESULTS

803 patients were included, with a median age of 84 years and 52.7% were male. 17.3% were initially diagnosed with AP. Mortality was significantly higher in those diagnosed with AP than non-AP during admission (27.6% vs 19.0%, p = 0.024) and at 1 year (64.2% vs 53.1%, p = 0.018), with survival analysis showing a median survival time of 62 days and 274 days in AP and non-AP, respectively (χ2 = 9.2, p = 0.002). However, the initial diagnosis of AP was not an independent risk factor for poor prognosis in multivariable analysis. Old age, frailty and cardio-respiratory comorbidities were the main factors associated with death.

CONCLUSION

The greater mortality in AP may be a result of increased frailty rather than the diagnosis of aspiration itself. This supports our proposal for a paradigm shift from making predictions based on the potentially futile labelling of AP or non-AP, to considering frailty and overall condition of the patient.

Effect of poor oral health status at hospital admission on in-hospital outcomes of older patients with aspiration pneumonia

PURPOSE

To investigate the effects of oral health status at admission on in-hospital outcomes and how it varies during hospitalization in older patients with aspiration pneumonia.

METHODS

This prospective cohort study involved patients aged ≥ 65 years who were admitted to an acute care hospital with a diagnosis of aspiration pneumonia. The patients' basic health information, length of hospital stay (LOS), and oral health assessment tool (OHAT), functional oral intake scale (FOIS), pneumonia severity index, and clinical frailty scale scores were recorded. Patients were divided into two groups based on their median OHAT scores, and intergroup changes were analyzed as a function of time. The relationship between the LOS, FOIS score upon discharge, and OHAT scores at admission was examined using multiple regression analysis.

RESULTS

Of the 89 participants (52 were men, with a mean age of 84.8 ± 7.9 years), 75 were discharged. The patients' oral health was measured weekly for 3 weeks after the initial assessment via the OHAT, wherein the median score was 7, with a significant between-group difference. Moreover, OHAT scores improved within both groups throughout their stay. OHAT scores at admission were independently associated with the LOS (B = 5.51, P = 0.009).

CONCLUSION

Poor oral health status at admission was associated with longer hospital stays. Both the high- and low-OHAT groups showed OHAT score improvements. Oral health status is critical in preventing the onset of and treating aspiration pneumonia.

"Diagnose, Treat, and SUPPORT". Clinical competencies in the management of older adults with aspiration pneumonia: a scoping review

BACKGROUND

Aspiration pneumonia in older adults is increasingly common, with a high care burden and morbidity. However, clinical competencies in its management have not been developed, and healthcare professionals struggle on how to care for these patients with multimodal treatment needs. Therefore, we conducted a scoping review to investigate what is known about the desired clinical competencies for the management of older adults with aspiration pneumonia, to utilise in clinical practice, education, and future research.

METHODS

First, we defined aspiration pneumonia according to a preliminary search. We then searched the literature on MEDLINE and CINAHL, focusing on studies involving patients aged 65 years old and older diagnosed with aspiration pneumonia. All settings were included, with the exception of intensive care units. Publication dates were limited to January 2011 to July 2022 and languages to English and Japanese. The extracted data were used to refine the preliminary competency framework developed by the Japan Aspiration pneumonia inter-Professional team Educational Program (JAPEP) in preparation of this study.

RESULTS

Ninety-nine studies were included. Following data extraction from these studies, 3 competencies were renamed, and 3 new competencies were added, to create a list of 12 competencies. These were Diagnosis, Treatment, Swallow Assessment, Underlying condition management, Nutrition, Oral management, Rehabilitation, Multidisciplinary team, Decision making, Prevention, Prognosis, and Palliative care.

CONCLUSIONS

Our scoping review identified 12 clinical competencies required in the management of older adults with aspiration pneumonia, outlined in the phrase 'Diagnose, Treat and SUPPORT'. We encourage healthcare professionals to share these competencies as a team to identify areas of unmet need and improve their patient care, with an emphasis on supportive care.

Practical Utility of a Clinical Pathway for Older Patients with Aspiration Pneumonia: A Single-Center Retrospective Observational Study

Introduction: Clinical pathways (CPWs) are patient management tools based on a standardized treatment plan aimed at improving quality of care. This study aimed to investigate whether CPW-guided treatment has a favorable impact on the outcomes of hospitalized older patients with aspiration pneumonia. Method: This retrospective study included patients with aspiration pneumonia, aged ≥ 65 years, and hospitalized at a community hospital in Japan. CPW implementation was arbitrarily determined by the attending physician upon admission. Outcomes were compared according to with or without the CPW (CPW-group and non-CPW groups). Propensity score (PS)-based analyses were used to control for confounding factors. Logistic regression analyses were conducted to evaluate the impact of CPW on the clinical course and outcomes. Results: Of 596 included patients, 167 (28%) received the CPW-guided treatment. The mortality rate was 16.4%. In multivariable model, CPW implementation did not increase the risk for total and 30-day mortality, and resulted in shorter antibiotic therapy duration (≤9 days) (PS matching (PSM): odds ratio (OR) 0.50, p = 0.001; inverse provability of treatment weighting (IPTW): OR 0.48, p < 0.001) and length of hospital stay (≤21 days) (PSM: OR 0.67, p = 0.05; IPTW: OR 0.66, p = 0.03). Conclusions: This study support CPW utility in this population.

Predictors of aspiration pneumonia: developing a new matrix for speech and language therapists

INTRODUCTION

The contributing factors of aspiration pneumonia have been well documented. However, there are gaps in the literature regarding identifying the weight associated with each factor and the relationship between factors.

METHOD

In this study, 20 potential predictors of aspiration pneumonia (with four additional variables) have been applied to historic Speech and Language Therapy records to greater understand the significance of each contributor of aspiration pneumonia. 152 cases with an oropharyngeal dysphagia, and a Speech and Language Therapy recommendation of eating and drinking with known aspiration and the associated potential risk of developing an aspiration pneumonia, were included in the data. These were inpatients and outpatients, and had various diagnoses but all had had a videofluoroscopy.

RESULTS

Logistic regression analysis found seven factors that were individually significant in predicting the development of aspiration pneumonia with 84.93% sensitivity and 91.03% specificity DISCUSSION: Logistic regression and random forest analyses led to the proposal of a new matrix of predictors of aspiration pneumonia with respective scoring weights for individual and cumulative contributors (a direction for future research).

In-hospital Outcomes of Aspiration Pneumonia Hospitalizations With Acute Heart Failure: A Nationwide Analysis

Background and Objectives

There is a paucity of data regarding the impact of acute heart failure (AHF) on the outcomes of aspiration pneumonia (AP).

Methods

Using National Inpatient Sample datasets (2016 to 2019), we identified admissions for AP with AHF vs. without AHF using relevant International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision codes. We compared the demographics, comorbidities, and outcomes between the two groups.

Results

Out of the 121,097,410 weighted adult hospitalizations, 488,260 had AP, of which 13.25% (n=64,675) had AHF. The AHF cohort consisted predominantly of the elderly (mean age 80.4 vs. 71.1 years), females (47.8% vs. 42.2%), and whites (81.6% vs. 78.5%) than non-AHF cohort (all p<0.001). Complicated diabetes and hypertension, dyslipidemia, obesity, chronic pulmonary disease, and prior myocardial infarction were more frequent in AHF than in the non-AHF cohort. AP-AHF cohort had similar adjusted odds of all-cause mortality (adjusted odds ratio [AOR], 0.9; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.78-1.03; p=0.122), acute respiratory failure (AOR, 1.0; 95% CI, 0.96-1.13; p=0.379), but higher adjusted odds of cardiogenic shock (AOR, 2.2; 95% CI, 1.30-3.64; p=0.003), and use of mechanical ventilation (MV) (AOR, 1.3; 95% CI, 1.17-1.56; p<0.001) compared to AP only cohort. AP-AHF cohort more frequently required longer durations of MV and hospital stays with a higher mean cost of the stay.

Conclusions

Our study from a nationally representative database demonstrates an increased morbidity burden, worsened complications, and higher hospital resource utilization, although a similar risk of all-cause mortality in AP patients with AHF vs. no AHF.

Long-Term Survival After Aspiration Pneumonia in Older Inpatients: A Comparative Study

OBJECTIVES

Aspiration pneumonia (AsP), a leading cause of death in older people, remains poorly studied. We aimed to evaluate short- and long-term prognosis after AsP in older inpatients.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

All consecutive patients aged ≥75 years hospitalized in a 62-bed acute geriatric unit during a 1-year period.

METHODS

We compared clinical characteristics and overall 2-year survival between patients with a main diagnosis of AsP, patients with other types of acute pneumonia (non-AsP), and patients hospitalized for another cause.

RESULTS

Among the 1774 patients hospitalized over 1 year (median age: 87 years, 41% female), 125 (7%) had a primary diagnosis of acute pneumonia, of whom 39 (31%) had AsP and 86 (69%) non-AsP. Patients with AsP were more frequently male, lived more frequently in a nursing home, and had a more frequent history of stroke or neurocognitive disorders. Mortality rates were much higher after AsP, reaching 31% at 30 days (vs 15% after Non-AsP and 11% in the rest of the cohort, P < .001), and 69% 2 years after admission (vs 56% and 49%, P < .001). After adjustment for confounders, AsP was significantly associated with mortality but non-AsP was not [adjusted hazard ratio (95% CI): 3.09 (1.72-5.57) at 30 days and 1.67 (1.13-2.45) at 2 years for AsP; 1.36 (0.77-2.39) and 1.14 (0.85-1.52) for non-AsP]. However, among patients who survived at 30 days, mortality did not significantly differ between the 3 groups (P = .1).

CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS

In an unselected cohort of patients hospitalized in an acute geriatric unit, a third of AsP patients died within the first month after admission. However, among those surviving at 30 days, long-term mortality did not significantly differ from the rest of the cohort. These findings underline the importance of optimizing the early management of AsP.

Incidence and characteristics of aspiration pneumonia in adults in Beijing, China, 2011-2017

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to estimate aspiration pneumonia (AP) incidence and describe comorbid characteristics and mortality in Beijing, China.

STUDY DESIGN

A historical cohort study was conducted based on medical claim records.

METHODS

Patients admitted with a primary diagnosis of AP were identified from approximately 12 million adults who enrolled in the Urban Employee Basic Medical Insurance program in Beijing, China, from January 2011 to December 2017. The incidences of AP and pneumonia with risk factors for aspiration (PRFA) were estimated by a Poisson distribution. The estimated annual percentage change was reported to represent the average percentage change in incidence per year. Characteristics and 6-month and 1-year all-cause mortality rates for AP and suspected AP patients were described and compared with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP).

RESULTS

The incidence rates of hospitalized AP and PRFA were 9.4 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 7.6, 11.3) and 102.9 (95% CI: 95.8, 110.3) per 100,000 person-years, respectively. The incidences increased rapidly with age and were stable across the observed years. Patients with AP and PRFA possessed a greater burden of comorbidities than CAP (mean age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity indices for AP: 7.72, PRFA: 7.83, and CAP: 2.84). The 6-month and 1-year all-cause mortality rates for those with AP and PRFA were higher than those for patients with CAP (6-month mortality, AP: 35.2%, PRFA: 21.8%, CAP: 11.1%; 1-year mortality, AP: 42.7%, PRFA: 26.6%, CAP: 13.2%).

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of AP and PRFA in Beijing was reported, presenting a full picture of the disease burden. The results provide baseline information for AP prevention.

Development and validation of prediction models for the discharge destination of elderly patients with aspiration pneumonia

BACKGROUND

Discharge planning enhances the safe and timely transfer of inpatients between facilities. Predicting the discharge destination of inpatients with aspiration pneumonia is important for discharge planning. We aimed to develop and validate prediction models for the discharge destination of elderly patients with aspiration pneumonia.

METHODS

Using a nationwide inpatient database, we identified aspiration pneumonia cases for patients aged ≥65 years who had been admitted to hospital from their home or from a nursing home between April 2020 and March 2021. We divided the cases into derivation and validation cohorts according to the location of the admitting hospital. We developed two prediction models by dividing the cases based on the patient's place of residence prior to admission, one model to predict the home discharge of cases admitted from home and the other to predict the home or to a nursing home discharge of cases admitted from a nursing home. The models were internally validated with bootstrapping and internal-externally validated using a validation cohort. Nomograms that could be used easily in clinical practice were also created.

RESULTS

The derivation cohort included 19,746 cases admitted from home and 14,359 cases admitted from a nursing home. Of the former, 10,760 (54.5%) cases were discharged home; from the latter, 7,071 (49.2%) were discharged to either home or a nursing home. The validation cohort included 6,262 cases admitted from home and 6,352 cases admitted from a nursing home. In the internal-external validation, the C-statistics of the final model for the cases admitted from home and the cases admitted from a nursing home were 0.71 and 0.67, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed and validated new prediction models for the discharge of elderly patients with aspiration pneumonia either to home or to a nursing home. Our models and nomograms could facilitate the early implementation of discharge planning.

Early platelet level reduction as a prognostic factor in intensive care unit patients with severe aspiration pneumonia

Introduction: This study investigates risk factors underlying the prognosis of severe aspiration pneumonia (SAP) in intensive care unit (ICU) patients and attempts to provide early prognosis reference for clinical tasks. Methods: Patients diagnosed with SAP and admitted to the ICU of Jinshan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, China, between January 2021 and December 2021 were recruited in this retrospective cohort study. Clinical data on a patient's general condition, underlying diseases, laboratory indicators, and 90-day outcomes (survival or death) were recorded. Results: Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that a low platelet count was an independent risk factor affecting the prognosis of death (OR = 6.68, 95% CI:1.10-40.78, β = 1.90, P = 0.040). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to evaluate the predictive value of variables; cut-off values were calculated and the area under the curve was 0.7782 [(95% CI:0.686-0.871), p < 0.001] for the prediction of death at 90 days in all patients. The Kaplan-Meier curve used for survival analysis showed that, compared with the normal platelet group, the overall survival rate of patients with low platelet levels was significantly lower, and the difference was statistically significant [HR = 2.11, (95% CI:1.47-3.03), p = 0.0001, z = 4.05, X ² = 14.89]. Cox regression analysis, used to further verify the influence of prognostic risk factors, showed that a concurrent low platelet count was the most important independent risk factor affecting the prognosis of SAP (HR = 2.12 [95% CI:1.12-3.99], X² = 50.95, p = 0.021). Conclusion: These findings demonstrate an association between SAP mortality and platelet levels on admission. Thus, platelet level at admission may be used as a readily available marker for assessing the prognosis of patients with SAP.

Computed tomographic findings in dogs with suspected aspiration pneumonia: 38 cases (2014‐2019)

OBJECTIVES

To describe computed tomographic (CT) findings in dogs diagnosed with aspiration pneumonia and to assess for any correlation with patient outcome.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Retrospective analysis of 38 cases with a presumptive diagnosis of aspiration pneumonia at two UK referral centres. Medical records were reviewed for signalment, history, physical examination and clinicopathologic data. CT examinations of the thorax were reviewed by the European College of Veterinary Diagnostic Imaging board-certified radiologist for all dogs to describe the characteristics and distribution of the pulmonary lesions.

RESULTS

The most common CT findings were lung lobe consolidation associated with air bronchograms (100%) followed by ground-glass attenuation (89.4%), bronchial wall thickening (36.8%), bronchiolectasis (31.5%) and bronchiectasis (15.7%). Large-breed dogs were overrepresented. Duration of hospitalisation ranged between 0 and 8 days (mean 3 days). Overall, 89.4% of dogs survived the aspiration event and were discharged from the hospital. The four dogs that did not survive to discharge had five or more lobes affected on CT.

CLINICAL SIGNIFICANCE

CT findings in dogs with aspiration pneumonia are described. CT is a useful imaging modality to diagnose aspiration pneumonia.

Pneumonia, Aspiration Pneumonia, or Frailty-Associated Pneumonia?

Pneumonia is a common reason for admission afflicting frail older adults. Those who are the frailest are more likely to be provided with a diagnosis of aspiration pneumonia. This diagnosis has no clear definition and no clinical consensus. It is therefore time to stop attempting to differentiate between pneumonia type and use the term frailty-associated pneumonia.

Risk factors for mortality in aspiration pneumonia: a single-center retrospective observational study

Aspiration pneumonia (AP) is the leading cause of death among the elderly in Japan. The factors associated with the survival of elderly patients with AP are investigated in this retrospective observational study. Patients with AP over the age of 60 who were assessed for swallowing function in our hospital between April 2015 and March 2016 were eligible. Data on patients' body mass index (BMI), food consistency, and Karnofsky performance status were collected from medical records in hospital and again after recovery. Following hospital discharge, eligible patients were sent questionnaires containing information about their physical conditions, such as body weight and the Japanese version of the functional independence measure. Respondents were divided into two groups: those who died and those who survived, and the factors associated with patient mortality were investigated. There were 19 responses from 50 eligible patients, and seven patients died. The participants' average age was 81 years (SD 9.32). There were ten male participants (52.6%, p=1.00), and there were no significant differences in the mortality and survival groups. The most significant finding was that BMI was significantly lower in the patients who died (p=0.037, Cohen’s d=1.10). Fisher's exact tests clearly demonstrated that patients with a BMI <19.9 had a higher mortality rate (p=0.017). Lower BMI may be associated with increased mortality in elderly patients with a history of AP. In general practice, BMI is simple to measure and may allow for an easy assessment of the risk of AP-related mortality 

Dietary Habits, Food Product Selection Attributes, Nutritional Status, and Depression in Middle-Aged and Older Adults with Dysphagia

Dysphagia, which increases the risk of malnutrition and depression, is an important health concern. A total of 304 people aged 50 years or above (148 subjects with dysphagia and 156 non-dysphagia subjects) were recruited for this survey of dietary habits, meal product selection attributes, nutritional status, and depression. For group comparisons, chi-square tests were performed. Exploratory factor analysis was conducted for the meal product selection attributes. Correlation analyses were performed to investigate links between EAT-10 (The 10-item Eating Assessment Tool), nutrition (Nutrition Quotient/Nutrition Quotient for the Elderly, NQ/NQ-E) and depression (The Short-Form Geriatric Depression Scale for Koreans, SGDS-K). Logistic regression analysis was performed to investigate links between EAT-10, nutritional status, and depressive status. Finally, a correlation analysis and logistic regression analysis of nutritional status, depression status, and some dietary factors were performed, targeting only the responses of the dysphagia patients. The average ages were 73.79 years in the dysphagia group and 70.15 years in the non-dysphagia group, and the total average age was 71.88 years. The overall age range was 50 to 92 years. Dysphagia (EAT-10) had significant effects on malnutrition (β = 0.037, OR = 1.095) and depression (β = 0.090, OR = 1.095) (p < 0.001). There was a significant correlation between SGDS-K, needing help with meals, and the amount of food consumed at mealtimes (p < 0.01). The correlation coefficient between SGDS-K and the need for help with meals was 0.474. Dietary factors that affected depression in dysphagia patients were the increase in the need for meal assistance (β = 1.241, OR = 3.460, p < 0.001) and the amount of food eaten at mealtimes (β = −0.494, OR = 0.702, p < 0.05). Dysphagia can increase the risk of depression and malnutrition. To reduce depression in dysphagia patients, it is necessary to develop meal products that address dietary discomfort among patients with dysphagia.

A Paradigm Shift in the Diagnosis of Aspiration Pneumonia in Older Adults

In older adults, community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is often aspiration-related. However, as aspiration pneumonia (AP) lacks clear diagnostic criteria, the reported prevalence and clinical management vary greatly. We investigated what clinical factors appeared to influence the diagnosis of AP and non-AP in a clinical setting and reconsidered a more clinically relevant approach. Medical records of patients aged ≥75 years admitted with CAP were reviewed retrospectively. A total of 803 patients (134 APs and 669 non-APs) were included. The AP group had significantly higher rates of frailty, had higher SARC-F scores, resided in institutions, had neurologic conditions, previous pneumonia diagnoses, known dysphagia, and were more likely to present with vomiting or coughing on food. Nil by mouth orders, speech therapist referrals, and broad-spectrum antibiotics were significantly more common, while computed tomography scans and blood cultures were rarely performed; alternative diagnoses, such as cancer and pulmonary embolism, were detected significantly less. AP is diagnosed more commonly in frail patients, while aspiration is the underlying aetiology in most types of pneumonia. A presumptive diagnosis of AP may deny patients necessary investigation and management. We suggest a paradigm shift in the way we approach older patients with CAP; rather than trying to differentiate AP and non-AP, it would be more clinically relevant to recognise all pneumonia as just pneumonia, and assess their swallowing functions, causative organisms, and investigate alternative diagnoses or underlying causes of dysphagia. This will enable appropriate clinical management.

Kinetics of inflammatory biomarkers to predict one-year mortality in older patients hospitalized for pneumonia: a multivariable analysis

OBJECTIVES

Long-term mortality is increased in older patients with pneumonia. We aimed to test whether residual inflammation is predictive of one-year mortality after pneumonia.

METHODS

Inflammation biomarkers (C-reactive protein [CRP], interleukin [IL]-6 and IL-8, tumor necrosis factor-α, serum amyloid A, neopterin, myeloperoxidase, anti-apolipoprotein A-1, and anti-phosphorylcholine IgM) were measured at admission and discharge in older patients hospitalized for pneumonia in a prospective study. Univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted using absolute level at discharge and relative and absolute differences between admission and discharge for all biomarkers, along with usual prognostic factors.

RESULTS

In the 133 included patients (median age, 83 years [interquartile range: 78-89]), one-year mortality was 26%. In univariate analysis, the relative difference of CRP levels had the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.70; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.60-0.80). A decrease of CRP levels of more than 67% between admission and discharge had 68% sensitivity and 68% specificity to predict survival. In multivariate analysis, lower body mass index (hazard ratio=0.87 [CI 95% 0.79-0.96], P-value=0.01), higher IL-8 (hazard ratio=1.02 [CI 95% 1.00-1.04], P-value=0.02), and higher CRP (1.01 [95% CI 1.00-1.02], P=0.01) at discharge were independently associated with mortality.

CONCLUSION

Higher IL-8 and CRP levels at discharge were independently associated with one-year mortality. The relative CRP difference during hospitalization was the best individual biomarker for predicting one-year mortality.

Prognostic value of geriatric nutritional risk index for aspiration pneumonia: a retrospective observational cohort study

BACKGROUND

The clinical characteristics and prognostic factors of aspiration pneumonia remain poorly defined. Geriatric nutrition risk index (GNRI) has recently been reported to exhibit a prognostic value for several diseases in older adults.

AIMS

We investigated the clinical characteristics and prognostic significance of GNRI for aspiration pneumonia in older adult patients.

METHODS

In this retrospective observational cohort study, conducted in a single-institute acute-phase community hospital, patients with aspiration pneumonia diagnosed at our institute between April 2014 and March 2016 were enrolled. Data on patient characteristics, microbiological findings, and clinical course were collected. The outcome was in-hospital mortality. Receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis was conducted to compare the predictive value of each parameter. Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify independent prognostic factors.

RESULTS

Overall, 587 aspiration pneumonia patients aged ≥ 65 years were enrolled. Their mean age was 86 years. Among them, 97 (16.5%) died. In ROC analysis for in-hospital mortality, as compared to albumin, body mass index, and A-DROP score, GNRI had a greater area under the curve value, with a significant difference between GNRI and albumin (p = 0.0058). Male sex (p = 0.028), chronic heart failure (p = 0.023), history of malignancy (p = 0.0025), lower GNRI (p < 0.001), and initial antibiotic change (p < 0.001) were identified as independent adverse prognostic factors in multivariate analysis.

DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS

Our findings indicate that GNRI is a potential prognostic marker for older adults with aspiration pneumonia and may act as a proxy for disease severity. Our results support the use of GNRI in the clinical management of aspiration pneumonia.

Survival status and predictor of mortality among adult stroke patients in Saint Paul’s hospital millennium medical college, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia

Objective:

In Africa, there is up to 316 per 100,000 annual incidence rate of stroke, a prevalence of up to 1460 per 100,000, and a 3-year mortality rate higher than 80%. The incidence of stroke mortality in Ethiopia is 19.2%. Stroke is a major cause of disability and death worldwide. Early mortality in-hospital and deprived functional outcomes are common in acute stroke. This study aims to assess survival status and predictors of mortality among adult stroke patients.

Methods:

Institution-based retrospective cohort was conducted on patients who were admitted to Saint Paul’s Hospital Millennium Medical College. A simple random sampling technique was used. Bivariate and multivariable cox regression analysis were used to identify predictors of stroke mortality. For multivariable cox regression analysis statistically, significance was declared at p-value <0.05 and 95% CI.

Results:

A total of 251 adult stroke patient charts were included in the study. The overall Kaplan–Meier estimate showed that the probability of in-hospital stroke patients’ survival on the 41st day was nearly 50%. In this study, 77 (30.7%) of the study participants died. Decreased Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) with adjusted hazard ratio (AHR) 4.26 (95% CI: 2.25–8.07) and p-value ⩽ 0.01 and presence of pneumonia with AHR 3.05 (95% CI: 1.29–7.21) and p-value ⩽ 0.01 are the predictor of mortality.

Conclusion:

The probability of survival relatively falls as follow-up time increases. The overall incidence of mortality among adult stroke patients was high. The decreased GCS and the presence of pneumonia are predictors of mortality among adult stroke patients.

Role of Clinical Characteristics and Biomarkers at Admission to Predict One-Year Mortality in Elderly Patients with Pneumonia

BACKGROUND

A hospitalization for community-acquired pneumonia results in a decrease in long-term survival in elderly patients. We assessed biomarkers at admission to predict one-year mortality in a cohort of elderly patients with pneumonia.

METHODS

A prospective observational study included patients >65 years hospitalized with pneumonia. Assessment of PSI, CURB-65, and biomarkers (C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT), NT-pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), interleukin (IL)-6 and -8, tumor necrosis factor alpha (TNF-α), serum amyloid A (SAA), neopterin (NP), myeloperoxidase (MPO), anti-apolipoprotein A-1 IgG (anti-apoA-1), and anti-phosphorylcholine IgM (anti-PC IgM)) was used to calculate prognostic values for one-year mortality using ROC curve analyses. Post hoc optimal cutoffs with corresponding sensitivity (SE) and specificity (SP) were determined using the Youden index.

RESULTS

A total of 133 patients were included (median age 83 years [IQR: 78-89]). Age, dementia, BMI, NT-proBNP (AUROC 0.65 (95% CI: 0.55-0.77)), and IL-8 (AUROC 0.66 (95% CI: 0.56-0.75)) were significantly associated with mortality, with NT-proBNP (HR 1.01 (95% CI 1.00-1.02) and BMI (HR 0.92 (95% CI 0.85-1.000) being independent of age, gender, comorbidities, and PSI with Cox regression. At the cutoff value of 2200 ng/L, NT-proBNP had 67% sensitivity and 70% specificity. PSI and CURB-65 were not associated with mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

NT-proBNP levels upon admission and BMI displayed the highest prognostic accuracy for one-year mortality and may help clinicians to identify patients with poor long-term prognosis.

Factors related to dysphagia-specific quality of life in aged patients with neurologic disorders: A cross-sectional study

This cross-sectional study aimed to analyze dysphagia-specific quality of life and its influencing factors in aged patients with neurologic disorders, and is reported according to the STROBE checklist for observational research. The study included 120 outpatients, aged ≥65 years, diagnosed with neurologic diseases at a general hospital Neurology Department in Seoul, Korea. Data collected during a one-month (March and April 2021) questionnaire survey were statistically analyzed using SPSS. Factors related to dysphagia-specific quality of life were gender, education level, neurological diagnosis, type of diet, subjective swallowing disturbance, and affectionate support-a subscale of social support. The combined explanatory power of these factors was 42.1%. It is essential to note that the factors related to the emotional, functional, and physical domains-the subscales of dysphagia-specific quality of life-are different. Therefore, each factor should be considered when planning nursing interventions to improve dysphagia-specific quality of life.

Risk Factors for Aspiration Pneumonia among Elderly Patients in a Community-Based Integrated Care Unit: A Retrospective Cohort Study

We aimed to clarify the physical factors associated with the incidence of aspiration pneumonia in a community-based integrated care unit. This retrospective cohort study included 412 patients aged 65 years or older admitted to a community-based integrated care unit. A new diagnosis of aspiration pneumonia made by the attending physician based on physical examination, imaging findings, and blood test data after 48 h of admission was considered as an incidence of aspiration pneumonia. Basic patient information, activities of daily living, swallowing function, nutritional status, cognitive function, oral health-related factors, and energy intake were retrospectively investigated. We classified the patients into a pneumonia group and a non-pneumonia group, and examined the factors associated with the development of aspiration pneumonia. The mean age was 86.9 ± 8.1 years, and the pneumonia group comprised 49 participants. Comparison between the groups showed significant differences in oral environment, denture use, cognitive functional independence measure, and discharge to home. In multivariate logistic regression analysis, oral environment (odds ratio (OR) = 0.229, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.070–0.753, p = 0.015) and use of dentures (OR = 0.360, 95% CI: 0.172–0.754, p = 0.007) were independently associated with aspiration pneumonia. Oral care and the use of dentures may be effective in preventing aspiration pneumonia.

How Do Geriatric Scores Predict 1-Year Mortality in Elderly Patients with Suspected Pneumonia?

Background: Pneumonia has an impact on long-term mortality in elderly patients. The risk factors associated with poor long-term outcomes are understated. We aimed to assess the ability of scores that evaluate patients’ comorbidities (cumulative illness rating scale—geriatric, CIRS-G), malnutrition (mini nutritional assessment, MNA) and functionality (functional independence measure, FIM) to predict 1-year mortality in a cohort of older patients having a suspicion of pneumonia. Methods: Our prospective study included consecutive patients over 65 years old and hospitalized with a suspicion of pneumonia enrolled in a monocentric cohort from May 2015 to April 2016. Each score was analysed in univariate and multivariate models and logistic regressions were used to identify contributors to 1-year mortality. Results: 200 patients were included (51% male, mean age 83.8 ± 7.7). Their 1-year mortality rate was 30%. FIM (p < 0.01), CIRS-G (p < 0.001) and MNA (p < 0.001) were strongly associated with poorer long-term outcomes in univariate analysis. CIRS-G (p < 0.05) and MNA (p < 0.05) were significant predictors of 1-year mortality in multivariate analysis. Conclusion: Long-term prognosis of patients hospitalized for pneumonia was poor and we identified that scores assessing comorbidities and malnutrition seem to be important predictors of 1-year mortality. This should be taken into account for evaluating elderly patients’ prognosis, levels and goals of care.

Assessment of pharyngeal motor function using a novel velopharyngeal squeeze maneuver and a novel endoscopic pharyngeal contraction grade scale in patients with dysphagia after radiotherapy for nasopharyngeal carcinoma

Background

To investigate a novel velopharyngeal squeeze maneuver (VPSM) and novel endoscopic pharyngeal contraction grade (EPCG) scale for the evaluation of pharyngeal motor function.

Methods

During endoscopic examination of 77 post‐irradiated nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients and control subjects, VPSM was rated and lateral pharyngeal wall movement graded with EPCG scale during swallowing. Pharyngeal constriction ratio (PCR) measured by videofluoroscopy was used for correlation.

Results

VPSM and EPCG scale showed almost perfect intra‐rater and inter‐rater reliability (Kappa: >0.90). VPSM was present in 61% of patients suggesting good pharyngeal motor function. VPSM was predictive of EPCG scale (Wald statistic = 29.99, p < 0.001). EPCG scale also correlated strongly with PCR (r: 0.812) and was predictive for aspiration (odds ratio: 22.14 [95% CI 5.01–97.89, p < 0.001]).

Conclusions

VPSM and EPCG scale are two novel tools to assess pharyngeal motor function, and both correlate well with pharyngeal contractility and aspiration.

Association Between the Swallowing Reflex and the Incidence of Aspiration Pneumonia in Patients With Dysphagia Admitted to Long-term Care Wards: A Prospective Cohort Study of 60 Days

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the association between the Simple Swallowing Provocation Test (SSPT) and the incidence of aspiration pneumonia in patients with dysphagia in long-term care (LTC) wards.

DESIGN

The study design was a prospective cohort study. Participants were followed for 60 days from admission.

SETTING

LTC wards.

PARTICIPANTS

Study participants were patients with dysphagia aged ≥65 years who were admitted to LTC wards between August 2018 and August 2019. In total, 39 participants were included in the analysis (N=39; 20 male, 19 female; mean age, 83.8±8.5y). Participants were divided into 2 groups based on SSPT results: normal swallowing reflex (SSPT normal group) and abnormal swallowing reflex (SSPT abnormal group). The covariates were age and sex, primary disease, history of cerebrovascular disease, Glasgow Coma Scale, body mass index, Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index, the Mann Assessment of Swallowing Ability, Food Intake Level Scale, FIM, and Oral Health Assessment Tool.

INTERVENTIONS

Not applicable.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The outcome was the incidence of aspiration pneumonia during the first 60 days of hospitalization, and the predictive factor was SSPT: 0.4 mL.

RESULTS

The incidence of aspiration pneumonia was 33.3% in the SSPT normal group and 76.2% in the SSPT abnormal group. The φ coefficient (a measure of association for 2 binary variables) was 0.43, the risk ratio (the ratio of the probability of an outcome in an exposed group to the probability of an outcome in an unexposed group) was 2.29, and the 95% confidence interval was 1.14-4.58 for the SSPT abnormal group.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that the SSPT provides a valid index for the development of aspiration pneumonia in older patients with dysphagia admitted to LTC wards.

Risk and mortality of aspiration pneumonia in Parkinson's disease: a nationwide database study

This retrospective cohort study investigated the risk and mortality rate due to aspiration pneumonia in patients with Parkinson's disease (PD) using a nationwide database. We identified 10,159 newly diagnosed PD patients between 2004 and 2006, and four age- and sex-matched controls for each PD patient from the National Health Insurance Service database in Korea. We analyzed the relative risk of aspiration pneumonia and mortality after the first occurrence of aspiration pneumonia until 2017. Throughout the study period, PD patients showed a higher incidence of aspiration pneumonia than their matched controls (3.01 vs. 0.59 events per 1,000 person-years), and they were at an increased risk of aspiration pneumonia (hazard ratio = 4.21; 95% confidence interval, 3.87-4.58). After the first occurrence of aspiration pneumonia, the mortality rate of PD patients was 23.9% after one month, 65.2% after 1 year, and 91.8% after 5 years, while that of controls was 30.9%, 67.4%, and 88.9%, respectively. Patients with PD are at an increased risk of aspiration pneumonia, and approximately two-thirds of the patients die within a year after experiencing aspiration pneumonia. Further studies are warranted to prevent aspiration pneumonia and implement proper treatments to prevent death after aspiration pneumonia in patients with PD.

Prognostic factors of 90-day mortality in older people with healthcare-associated pneumonia

AIM

The Quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment, and confusion, urea, respiratory rate, blood pressure and age (CURB-65) scores have been used as prognostic factors of mortality related to healthcare-associated pneumonia. However, aspiration pneumonia remains unclear.

METHODS

A cross-sectional, prospective cohort study was carried out with 130 inpatients aged ≥75 years at a Geriatric ward of Kyorin University Hospital, Japan. We investigated the utility of aspiration pneumonia-related factors, latency of swallowing reflex and cough reflex sensitivity, serum albumin levels, the neutrophil-to- lymphocyte ratio, and conventional scores of pneumonia severity, for predicting 30- and 90-day healthcare-associated pneumonia mortality. Patient demographics, cognition, physical activity (Barthel Index), eating ability (Food Intake Level Scale), dementia stage (Functional Assessment Staging Tool), performance status (Zubrod score), current medications and comorbidities were collected. Pneumonia severity was evaluated using the Quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment, CURB-65 and Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome criteria scores.

RESULTS

Age, Barthel Index, Zubrod, Functional Assessment Staging Tool and Food Intake Level Scale scores were significantly associated with mortality, whereas the conventional scores were not. The Kaplan-Meier method with the log-rank test using Cox proportional hazards analysis showed that serum albumin levels <2.75 and the comorbidity of atrial fibrillation were associated with a lower survival rate in deceased versus surviving individuals at 90 days. In addition, a deteriorated latency of swallowing reflex and a blunted cough reflex sensitivity were associated with 90-day mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Hypoalbuminemia, atrial fibrillation, deteriorated latency of swallowing reflex and blunted cough reflex sensitivity values were better predictors of 90-day mortality than traditional scores in older individuals with healthcare-associated pneumonia. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2020; 20: 1036-1043..