Impact of serum C-reactive protein measurements in the first 2 days on the 30-day mortality in hospitalized patients with severe community-acquired pneumonia: A cohort study

Enhancing pneumonia prognosis in the emergency department: a novel machine learning approach using complete blood count and differential leukocyte count combined with CURB-65 score

BACKGROUND

Pneumonia poses a major global health challenge, necessitating accurate severity assessment tools. However, conventional scoring systems such as CURB-65 have inherent limitations. Machine learning (ML) offers a promising approach for prediction. We previously introduced the Blood Culture Prediction Index (BCPI) model, leveraging solely on complete blood count (CBC) and differential leukocyte count (DC), demonstrating its effectiveness in predicting bacteremia. Nevertheless, its potential in assessing pneumonia remains unexplored. Therefore, this study aims to compare the effectiveness of BCPI and CURB-65 in assessing pneumonia severity in an emergency department (ED) setting and develop an integrated ML model to enhance efficiency.

METHODS

This retrospective study was conducted at a 3400-bed tertiary medical center in Taiwan. Data from 9,352 patients with pneumonia in the ED between 2019 and 2021 were analyzed in this study. We utilized the BCPI model, which was trained on CBC/DC data, and computed CURB-65 scores for each patient to compare their prognosis prediction capabilities. Subsequently, we developed a novel Cox regression model to predict in-hospital mortality, integrating the BCPI model and CURB-65 scores, aiming to assess whether this integration enhances predictive performance.

RESULTS

The predictive performance of the BCPI model and CURB-65 score for the 30-day mortality rate in ED patients and the in-hospital mortality rate among admitted patients was comparable across all risk categories. However, the Cox regression model demonstrated an improved area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.713 than that of CURB-65 (0.668) for in-hospital mortality (p<0.001). In the lowest risk group (CURB-65=0), the Cox regression model outperformed CURB-65, with a significantly lower mortality rate (2.9% vs. 7.7%, p<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The BCPI model, constructed using CBC/DC data and ML techniques, performs comparably to the widely utilized CURB-65 in predicting outcomes for patients with pneumonia in the ED. Furthermore, by integrating the CURB-65 score and BCPI model into a Cox regression model, we demonstrated improved prediction capabilities, particularly for low-risk patients. Given its simple parameters and easy training process, the Cox regression model may be a more effective prediction tool for classifying patients with pneumonia in the emergency room.

C-Reactive Protein as a Predictor of Survival and Length of Hospital Stay in Community-Acquired Pneumonia

Introduction: Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) presents high mortality rates and high healthcare costs worldwide. C-reactive protein (CRP) has been widely used as a biomarker for the management of CAP. We evaluated the performance of CRP threshold values and ΔCRP as predictors of CAP survival and length of hospital stay. Methods: A total of 173 adult patients with CAP were followed for up to 30 days. We measured serum CRP levels on days 1, 4, and 7 (D1, D4, and D7) of hospitalization, and their variations between different days were calculated (ΔCRP). A multivariate logistic regression model was created with CAP 30-day survival and length of hospital stay as dependent variables, and absolute CRP values and ΔCRP, age, sex, smoking habit (pack-years), pO2/FiO2 ratio on D1, WBC on D1, and CURB-65 score as independent variables. Results: A total of six patients with CAP died (30-day mortality 3.47%). No difference was found in CRP levels and ΔCRP between survivors and non-survivors. Using a cut-off level of 9 mg/dL, the AUC (95% CI) for the prediction of survival of CRP on D4 and D7 were 0.765 (0.538−0.992) and 0.784 (0.580−0.989), respectively. A correlation between CRP values on any day and length of hospital stay was found, with it being stronger for CRPD4 and CRPD7 (p < 0.0001 and p = 0.0024, respectively). A reduction of CRP > 50% from D1 to D4 was associated with 4.11 fewer days of hospitalization (p = 0.0308). Conclusions: CRP levels on D4 and D7, but not ΔCRP, could fairly predict CAP survival. A reduction of CRP > 50% by the fourth day of hospitalization could predict a shorter hospital stay.

The effect of dietary fiber on gut barrier function, gut microbiota, short-chain fatty acids, inflammation and clinical outcomes in critically ill patients: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Although some studies have explored the relationships between dietary fiber (DF) supplement and gut barrier function, changes of gut microbiota and other clinical outcomes in critically ill patients, the results from different studies were not consistent.

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to explore the effect of dietary fiber on gut barrier function, gut microbiota, short-chain fatty acids (SCFAs), inflammation and clinical outcomes in critically ill patients.

METHODS

A search was performed through PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane Central Register of Clinical Trials, Web of Science and EBSCO-host that includes Health Sciences Research from inception to July 12, 2021. Data were pooled using fixed effects model for low heterogeneity and random effects model for high heterogeneity. Data were expressed as mean difference (MD) or odds ratio (OR) with confidence interval.

RESULTS

A total of 21 studies involving 2084 critically ill patients were included. The results showed that there was a significant reduction in intestinal permeability demonstrated by lactulose/rhamnose ratio (MD:-0.04; 95%CI:-0.08, -0.00; P = 0.03) on day 8 in DF supplement group. Three studies reported the relative abundance (RA) of gut microbiota and the results showed the RA of some SCFAs producers increased higher in DF supplement group. There was a significant decrease in C-reactive protein on day 14 (MD:-36.66; 95%CI:-44.40, -28.93; P<0.001) and the duration of hospital stay (MD:-3.16; 95%CI:-5.82, -0.49; P<0.05) after DF supplement. There were no significant differences on SCFAs levels, the duration of mechanical ventilation and mortality between the two groups. However, in subgroup analysis, the results indicated there was a significant reduction on the duration of mechanical ventilation in fiber combined probiotic group (MD:-13; 95%CI:-19.69, -6.31; P<0.001). Besides, significant decreases in the duration of hospital stay and risk of mortality were seen in the subgroups with fiber supplementary dose ≥20 g/d (MD:-5.62; 95%CI: -8.04, -3.21; P<0.0001; OR: 0.18, 95%CI: 0.06, 0.57, P = 0.004), as well as in medical ICU (MD:-4.77; 95%CI: -7.48, -2.07; P<0.01; OR: 0.13; 95%CI: 0.03, 0.65; P<0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Dietary fiber may improve the gut barrier function, modulate the intestinal microbiota, decrease systemic inflammatory response and may advance the clinical outcomes in critically ill patients. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and 30-day all-cause mortality in adult patients with community-acquired pneumonia

BACKGROUND

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a common and serious form of chronic liver disease. Risk factors of NAFLD include obesity and type 2 diabetes which are associated with infections.

AIM

We aimed to determine the association of NAFLD with 30-day all-cause mortality in adult patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP).

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study on hospitalized patients with CAP that was conducted during a period of 4 years. We included patients aged ≥18 years with CAP who underwent abdominal ultrasonography. We compared between patients with and without NAFLD in term of age, gender, body mass index (BMI), comorbidities, CURB-65, pneumonia severity index (PSI), liver enzymes, C-reactive protein (CRP) and 30-day all-cause mortality. We used fibrosis score to distinguish between patients with NAFLD who have advanced fibrosis (F3-F4) and do not have (F0-F2).

RESULTS

A total of 561 patients were included in this study. The overall prevalence of NAFLD was 200/561 (35.6%). Significant differences were found between the groups with and without NAFLD in term of BMI, CURB-65, ALT, GGT and CRP. The 30-day all-cause mortality rate was 9.8% (55/561). Among the NAFLD group 34/200 (17%) subjects died vs. 21/361 (5.82%) among patients without NAFLD, P < 0.001. Multi-variate logistic regression analysis after adjusting for other multiple covariates showed that NAFLD with fibrosis score 0-2 [odds ratio (OR) 1.38, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.12-1.51, P = 0.04], NAFLD with fibrosis score> 2 (1.52; 1.25-1.70, P = 0.03) were associated with 30-day all-cause mortality among patients with CAP.

CONCLUSIONS

NAFLD was associated with 30-day all-cause mortality in patients with CAP. This association was more significant in patients with advanced hepatic fibrosis.

Management of community-acquired pneumonia in immunocompetent adults: updated Swedish guidelines 2017

Based on expert group work, Swedish recommendations for the management of community-acquired pneumonia in adults are here updated. The management of sepsis-induced hypotension is addressed in detail, including monitoring and parenteral therapy. The importance of respiratory support in cases of acute respiratory failure is emphasized. Treatment with high-flow oxygen and non-invasive ventilation is recommended. The use of statins or steroids in general therapy is not found to be fully supported by evidence. In the management of pleural infection, new data show favourable effects of tissue plasminogen activator and deoxyribonuclease installation. Detailed recommendations for the vaccination of risk groups are afforded.

Inpatient rehabilitation improves functional capacity, peripheral muscle strength and quality of life in patients with community-acquired pneumonia: a randomised trial

QUESTION

Among people who are hospitalised for community-acquired pneumonia, does an inpatient exercise-based rehabilitation program improve functional outcomes, symptoms, quality of life and length of hospital stay more than a respiratory physiotherapy regimen?

DESIGN

Randomised trial with concealed allocation, intention-to-treat analysis and blinding of some outcomes.

PARTICIPANTS

Forty-nine adults hospitalised for community-acquired pneumonia.

INTERVENTION

The experimental group (n=32) underwent a physical training program that included warm-up, stretching, peripheral muscle strength training and walking at a controlled speed for 15 minutes. The control group (n=17) underwent a respiratory physiotherapy regimen that included percussion, vibrocompression, respiratory exercises and free walking. The intervention regimens lasted 8 days.

OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary outcome was the Glittre Activities of Daily Living test, which assesses the time taken to complete a series of functional tasks (eg, rising from a chair, walking, stairs, lifting and bending). Secondary outcomes were distance walked in the incremental shuttle walk test, peripheral muscle strength, quality of life, dyspnoea, lung function, C-reactive protein and length of hospital stay. Measures were taken 1 day before and 1 day after the intervention period.

RESULTS

There was greater improvement in the experimental group than in the control group on the Glittre Activities of Daily Living test (mean between-group difference 39 seconds, 95% CI 20 to 59) and the incremental shuttle walk test (mean between-group difference 130 m, 95% CI 77 to 182). There were also significantly greater improvements in quality of life, dyspnoea and peripheral muscle strength in the experimental group than in the control group. There were no between-group differences in lung function, C-reactive protein or length of hospital stay.

CONCLUSION

The improvement in functional outcomes after an inpatient rehabilitation program was greater than the improvement after standard respiratory physiotherapy. The exercise training program led to greater benefits in functional capacity, peripheral muscle strength, dyspnoea and quality of life.

REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT02103400.

Impact of Surgical Infection Society/Infectious Disease Society of America-recommended antibiotics on postoperative intra-abdominal abscess with image-guided percutaneous abscess drainage following gastrointestinal surgery

PURPOSE

The aims of this study were to reveal how using the antibiotics recommended by the 2010 Surgical Infection Society (SIS) and Infectious Disease Society of America (IDSA) guidelines can affect the therapeutic outcomes.

METHODS

We reviewed the cases of 53 patients with a postoperative intra-abdominal abscess without anastomotic leakage after gastrointestinal surgery who underwent image-guided percutaneous abscess drainage (PAD) and concomitant antibiotic therapy. The type of antibiotic initially administered was determined based on the surgeon's judgment. A persistent abscess was defined as one or more PAD procedures resulting in complete resolution after 21 or more days. The recommended antibiotics were defined according to 2010 SIS/IDSA guidelines.

RESULTS

All 53 patients had complete resolution without the need for surgery. The results of a multivariable analysis revealed that a C-reactive protein level ≥12 mg/dL and non-recommended antibiotics were significant risk factors for a persistent abscess (P = 0.042 and 0.013, respectively). With regard to a fever lasting more than 48 h, there was a significant difference between the recommended (45.1%) and non-recommended (72.7 %) antibiotic groups (P = 0.046).

CONCLUSIONS

Using the recommended antibiotics may shorten the time to defervescence and reduce the risk of a persistent abscess in patients undergoing PAD for a postoperative abscess after gastrointestinal surgery.

Serum mannose-binding lectin and C-reactive protein are potential biomarkers for patients with community-acquired pneumonia

AIM

The aim of this study was to identify whether mannose-binding lectin (MBL) and C-reactive protein (CRP) may be used as clinical biomarkers for predicting outcome of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) by tracking serum MBL and CRP level changes during a time course.

METHODS

One hundred four patients with CAP and 100 healthy individuals were enrolled in this study. The patients were further divided into Survivor and Death groups based on 30-day mortality. The MBL and CRP levels in these patients at pre- and post-treatments at days 4 and 7 were determined using an immunoturbidimetric assay and an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA).

RESULTS

Compared to the control group, the MBL and CRP levels in the CAP group were significantly higher. CRP levels in the CAP group significantly reduced within 1 week following anti-infection and other supporting therapies including anti-phlegm and liquidation. MBL levels were significantly higher in the Survivor group than in the Death group (p<0.05). On the contrary, CRP levels were significantly higher in the Death group than in the Survivor group (p<0.05). There was a negative correlation between the serum MBL and CRP levels in all patients following the treatments.

CONCLUSION

Both the MBL and CRP can serve as inflammatory markers in predicting the outcome of patients with CAP.