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Al-Zaiti SS, Martin-Gill C, Zègre-Hemsey JK, Bouzid Z, Faramand Z, Alrawashdeh MO, Gregg RE, Helman S, Riek NT, Kraevsky-Phillips K, Clermont G, Akcakaya M, Sereika SM, Van Dam P, Smith SW, Birnbaum Y, Saba S, Sejdic E, Callaway CW. Machine learning for ECG diagnosis and risk stratification of occlusion myocardial infarction. Nat Med 2023; 29:1804-1813. [PMID: 37386246 PMCID: PMC10353937 DOI: 10.1038/s41591-023-02396-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/24/2023] [Accepted: 05/11/2023] [Indexed: 07/01/2023]
Abstract
Patients with occlusion myocardial infarction (OMI) and no ST-elevation on presenting electrocardiogram (ECG) are increasing in numbers. These patients have a poor prognosis and would benefit from immediate reperfusion therapy, but, currently, there are no accurate tools to identify them during initial triage. Here we report, to our knowledge, the first observational cohort study to develop machine learning models for the ECG diagnosis of OMI. Using 7,313 consecutive patients from multiple clinical sites, we derived and externally validated an intelligent model that outperformed practicing clinicians and other widely used commercial interpretation systems, substantially boosting both precision and sensitivity. Our derived OMI risk score provided enhanced rule-in and rule-out accuracy relevant to routine care, and, when combined with the clinical judgment of trained emergency personnel, it helped correctly reclassify one in three patients with chest pain. ECG features driving our models were validated by clinical experts, providing plausible mechanistic links to myocardial injury.
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Affiliation(s)
- Salah S Al-Zaiti
- Department of Acute & Tertiary Care Nursing, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, USA.
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, USA.
- Department of Electrical & Computer Engineering, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, USA.
- Division of Cardiology, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, USA.
| | - Christian Martin-Gill
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, USA
- University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, Pittsburgh, PA, USA
| | | | - Zeineb Bouzid
- Department of Electrical & Computer Engineering, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, USA
| | - Ziad Faramand
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Northeast Georgia Health System, Gainesville, GA, USA
| | - Mohammad O Alrawashdeh
- School of Nursing, Jordan University of Science and Technology, Irbid, Jordan
- Department of Population Medicine, Harvard Medical School and Harvard Pilgrim Health Care Institute, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Richard E Gregg
- Advanced Algorithm Development Center, Philips Healthcare, Cambridge, MA, USA
| | - Stephanie Helman
- Department of Acute & Tertiary Care Nursing, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, USA
| | - Nathan T Riek
- Department of Electrical & Computer Engineering, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, USA
| | | | - Gilles Clermont
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, USA
| | - Murat Akcakaya
- Department of Electrical & Computer Engineering, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, USA
| | - Susan M Sereika
- Department of Acute & Tertiary Care Nursing, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, USA
| | - Peter Van Dam
- Division of Cardiology, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands
| | - Stephen W Smith
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Hennepin Healthcare, Minneapolis, MN, USA
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA
| | - Yochai Birnbaum
- Division of Cardiology, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, USA
| | - Samir Saba
- Division of Cardiology, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, USA
- University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, Pittsburgh, PA, USA
| | - Ervin Sejdic
- Department of Electrical & Computer Engineering, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
- Artificial Intelligence for Health Outcomes at Research & Innovation, North York General Hospital, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Clifton W Callaway
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, USA
- University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, Pittsburgh, PA, USA
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Nakamura T, Aiba T, Shimizu W, Furukawa T, Sasano T. Prediction of the Presence of Ventricular Fibrillation From a Brugada Electrocardiogram Using Artificial Intelligence. Circ J 2023; 87:1007-1014. [PMID: 36372400 DOI: 10.1253/circj.cj-22-0496] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Brugada syndrome is a potential cause of sudden cardiac death (SCD) and is characterized by a distinct ECG, but not all patients with A Brugada ECG develop SCD. In this study we sought to examine if an artificial intelligence (AI) model can predict a previous or future ventricular fibrillation (VF) episode from a Brugada ECG.Methods and Results: We developed an AI-enabled algorithm using a convolutional neural network. From 157 patients with suspected Brugada syndrome, 2,053 ECGs were obtained, and the dataset was divided into 5 datasets for cross-validation. In the ECG-based evaluation, the precision, recall, and F1score were 0.79±0.09, 0.73±0.09, and 0.75±0.09, respectively. The average area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUROC) was 0.81±0.09. On per-patient evaluation, the AUROC was 0.80±0.07. This model predicted the presence of VF with a precision of 0.93±0.02, recall of 0.77±0.14, and F1score of 0.81±0.11. The negative predictive value was 0.94±0.11 while its positive predictive value was 0.44±0.29. CONCLUSIONS This proof-of-concept study showed that an AI-enabled algorithm can predict the presence of VF with a substantial performance. It implies that the AI model may detect a subtle ECG change that is undetectable by humans.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tomofumi Nakamura
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Tokyo Medical and Dental University
| | - Takeshi Aiba
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center
| | - Wataru Shimizu
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Nippon Medical School
| | - Tetsushi Furukawa
- Department of Bio-informational Pharmacology, Medical Research Institute, Tokyo Medical and Dental University
| | - Tetsuo Sasano
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Tokyo Medical and Dental University
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Al-Zaiti S, Martin-Gill C, Zégre-Hemsey J, Bouzid Z, Faramand Z, Alrawashdeh M, Gregg R, Helman S, Riek N, Kraevsky-Phillips K, Clermont G, Akcakaya M, Sereika S, Van Dam P, Smith S, Birnbaum Y, Saba S, Sejdic E, Callaway C. Machine Learning for the ECG Diagnosis and Risk Stratification of Occlusion Myocardial Infarction at First Medical Contact. RESEARCH SQUARE 2023:rs.3.rs-2510930. [PMID: 36778371 PMCID: PMC9915770 DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-2510930/v1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/31/2023]
Abstract
Patients with occlusion myocardial infarction (OMI) and no ST-elevation on presenting ECG are increasing in numbers. These patients have a poor prognosis and would benefit from immediate reperfusion therapy, but we currently have no accurate tools to identify them during initial triage. Herein, we report the first observational cohort study to develop machine learning models for the ECG diagnosis of OMI. Using 7,313 consecutive patients from multiple clinical sites, we derived and externally validated an intelligent model that outperformed practicing clinicians and other widely used commercial interpretation systems, significantly boosting both precision and sensitivity. Our derived OMI risk score provided superior rule-in and rule-out accuracy compared to routine care, and when combined with the clinical judgment of trained emergency personnel, this score helped correctly reclassify one in three patients with chest pain. ECG features driving our models were validated by clinical experts, providing plausible mechanistic links to myocardial injury.
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Al-Zaiti SS, Alghwiri AA, Hu X, Clermont G, Peace A, Macfarlane P, Bond R. A clinician's guide to understanding and critically appraising machine learning studies: a checklist for Ruling Out Bias Using Standard Tools in Machine Learning (ROBUST-ML). EUROPEAN HEART JOURNAL. DIGITAL HEALTH 2022; 3:125-140. [PMID: 36713011 PMCID: PMC9708024 DOI: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztac016] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/20/2021] [Revised: 02/11/2022] [Indexed: 05/06/2023]
Abstract
Developing functional machine learning (ML)-based models to address unmet clinical needs requires unique considerations for optimal clinical utility. Recent debates about the rigours, transparency, explainability, and reproducibility of ML models, terms which are defined in this article, have raised concerns about their clinical utility and suitability for integration in current evidence-based practice paradigms. This featured article focuses on increasing the literacy of ML among clinicians by providing them with the knowledge and tools needed to understand and critically appraise clinical studies focused on ML. A checklist is provided for evaluating the rigour and reproducibility of the four ML building blocks: data curation, feature engineering, model development, and clinical deployment. Checklists like this are important for quality assurance and to ensure that ML studies are rigourously and confidently reviewed by clinicians and are guided by domain knowledge of the setting in which the findings will be applied. Bridging the gap between clinicians, healthcare scientists, and ML engineers can address many shortcomings and pitfalls of ML-based solutions and their potential deployment at the bedside.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Alaa A Alghwiri
- Data Science Core, The Provost Office, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh PA, USA
| | - Xiao Hu
- Center for Data Science, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Gilles Clermont
- Departments of Critical Care Medicine, Mathematics, Clinical and Translational Science, and Industrial Engineering, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, USA
| | - Aaron Peace
- The Clinical Translational Research and Innovation Centre, Northern Ireland, UK
| | - Peter Macfarlane
- Institute of Health and Wellbeing, Electrocardiology Section, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - Raymond Bond
- School of Computing, Ulster University, Ulster, UK
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Stracina T, Ronzhina M, Redina R, Novakova M. Golden Standard or Obsolete Method? Review of ECG Applications in Clinical and Experimental Context. Front Physiol 2022; 13:867033. [PMID: 35547589 PMCID: PMC9082936 DOI: 10.3389/fphys.2022.867033] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/31/2022] [Accepted: 03/15/2022] [Indexed: 12/14/2022] Open
Abstract
Cardiovascular system and its functions under both physiological and pathophysiological conditions have been studied for centuries. One of the most important steps in the cardiovascular research was the possibility to record cardiac electrical activity. Since then, numerous modifications and improvements have been introduced; however, an electrocardiogram still represents a golden standard in this field. This paper overviews possibilities of ECG recordings in research and clinical practice, deals with advantages and disadvantages of various approaches, and summarizes possibilities of advanced data analysis. Special emphasis is given to state-of-the-art deep learning techniques intensely expanded in a wide range of clinical applications and offering promising prospects in experimental branches. Since, according to the World Health Organization, cardiovascular diseases are the main cause of death worldwide, studying electrical activity of the heart is still of high importance for both experimental and clinical cardiology.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tibor Stracina
- Department of Physiology, Faculty of Medicine, Masaryk University, Brno, Czech Republic
| | - Marina Ronzhina
- Department of Biomedical Engineering, Faculty of Electrical Engineering and Communication, Brno University of Technology, Brno, Czech Republic
| | - Richard Redina
- Department of Biomedical Engineering, Faculty of Electrical Engineering and Communication, Brno University of Technology, Brno, Czech Republic.,International Clinical Research Center, St. Anne's University Hospital Brno, Brno, Czech Republic
| | - Marie Novakova
- Department of Physiology, Faculty of Medicine, Masaryk University, Brno, Czech Republic
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