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Nafarrate A, Petisco-Ferrero S, Idoeta R, Herranz M, Sáenz J, Ulazia A, Ibarra-Berastegui G. Applying the Kolmogorov-Zurbenko filter followed by random forest models to 7Be observations in Spain (2006-2021). Heliyon 2024; 10:e30820. [PMID: 38765117 PMCID: PMC11101855 DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e30820] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/29/2023] [Revised: 04/18/2024] [Accepted: 05/06/2024] [Indexed: 05/21/2024] Open
Abstract
In this study, we analysed 7Be weekly surface measurements from six Spanish laboratories from 2006 to 2021. The Kolmogorov-Zurbenko filter was applied to the six 7Be time series, and following an iterative process, the original data were divided into two fractions: one related to variations characterized by periods above 33 days (including, among others, the seasonal cycle) and the second noisier fraction related to mechanisms originating from variations with periods below 33 days. Both fractions were independent at the six locations. The second machine-based step using random forest models was applied with the aim of identifying the most influential inputs to the observed 7Be concentrations, and machine learning-inspired regression models were fitted. With respect to seasonal components, the results indicated that the memory of the system was the most influential input, as expected by the large fraction of variance explained by the seasonal cycle, followed by that of humidity and wind-related variables. For the fraction corresponding to periods below 33 d, precipitation-, humidity-, and radiation-related variables were the most influential. This methodology has made it possible to successfully describe the major mechanisms known to be involved in the generation of the surface 7Be concentrations observed in Spain.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ander Nafarrate
- Energy Engineering Department, University of the Basque Country, UPV/EHU, Plaza Torres Quevedo, s/n, Bilbao, 48013, Spain
| | - Susana Petisco-Ferrero
- Energy Engineering Department, University of the Basque Country, UPV/EHU, Plaza Torres Quevedo, s/n, Bilbao, 48013, Spain
| | - Raquel Idoeta
- Energy Engineering Department, University of the Basque Country, UPV/EHU, Plaza Torres Quevedo, s/n, Bilbao, 48013, Spain
| | - Margarita Herranz
- Energy Engineering Department, University of the Basque Country, UPV/EHU, Plaza Torres Quevedo, s/n, Bilbao, 48013, Spain
| | - Jon Sáenz
- Department of Physics, University of the Basque Country, UPV/EHU, Barrio Sarriena, s/n, Leioa, 48940, Spain
- Plentzia Itsas Estazioa (PIE), University of the Basque Country, UPV/EHU, Areatza Hiribidea 47, Plentzia, 48620, Spain
| | - Alain Ulazia
- Energy Engineering Department, University of the Basque Country (UPV/EHU), Otaola, Hiribidea, 29, Eibar, 20600, Spain
| | - Gabriel Ibarra-Berastegui
- Energy Engineering Department, University of the Basque Country, UPV/EHU, Plaza Torres Quevedo, s/n, Bilbao, 48013, Spain
- Plentzia Itsas Estazioa (PIE), University of the Basque Country, UPV/EHU, Areatza Hiribidea 47, Plentzia, 48620, Spain
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Hernández-Ceballos MA, Brattich E, Ajtić J. Airflow and teleconnection patterns driving the spatial and temporal variability of high 7Be air concentrations in Europe. CHEMOSPHERE 2022; 303:135194. [PMID: 35660056 DOI: 10.1016/j.chemosphere.2022.135194] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/15/2022] [Revised: 05/25/2022] [Accepted: 05/30/2022] [Indexed: 06/15/2023]
Abstract
The long-term monitoring of the cosmogenic 7Be activity concentrations has been used to better understand the influence of large-scale atmospheric circulation dynamics in the troposphere. With an aim, this study analyzes weekly 7Be data from 15 sampling stations in Europe over 2005-2014. We first define peak (or extremely high) events in each station as those activity concentrations above the 90th percentile, and then investigate their temporal and spatial variability. These events are most frequent in the spring and summer seasons, with a notable latitudinal variability in their number. Next, we use back-trajectory cluster analysis to identify the main advection pathways associated with these high concentrations. To achieve this, persistent periods, i.e., sampling periods over which at least 60% of the calculated backward trajectories arriving at a given site correspond to the same airflow pattern, are taken as reference. This method reveals large differences in the association between the airflow patterns observed at different stations in connection with the 7Be peaks. A comparison between stations shows no clear spatial pattern, which suggests a further influence of mesoscale/local physical processes on the surface 7Be activity concentrations. Finally, the main airflow pattern at each sampling site and the associated 7Be peaks, are related to the main teleconnection patterns of large scale and regional climate variability in Europe: North Atlantic Oscillation, Arctic Oscillation, East Atlantic, East Atlantic/Western Russia, Scandinavian pattern and Western Mediterranean Oscillation. The results point out the connection between the negative phases of NAO and We-MO, and the positive phase of EA with the spatial and temporal variability and occurrence of the 7Be peak activity concentrations. These results show a latitudinal division between northern and southern sites, with similar influence of teleconnection patterns, while those located in the central part of Europe present larger variability in the impact of teleconnection patterns.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - E Brattich
- Department of Physics and Astronomy "Augusto Righi", Alma Mater Studiorum University of Bologna, via Irnerio 46, 40126, Bologna (BO), Italy
| | - J Ajtić
- Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, University of Belgrade, Bulevar oslobođenja 18, 11000, Belgrade, Serbia
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Narazaki Y, Sakoda A, Akata N, Itoh H, Momoshima N. Analysis of Factors Contributing to the Increase in 7Be Activity Concentrations in the Atmosphere. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2022; 19:10128. [PMID: 36011766 PMCID: PMC9408209 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph191610128] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/18/2022] [Accepted: 08/09/2022] [Indexed: 06/15/2023]
Abstract
In March 2013, increased 7Be activity concentrations in the atmosphere were observed for successive days in Dazaifu, western Japan. The daily 7Be activity concentration ranged from 0.93 to 14 mBq/m3, with a monthly average of 8.3 mBq/m3. This average was the highest among the monthly averages observed between 1999 and 2015, and higher than the monthly average over this period (4.7 mBq/m3) plus twice the standard deviation. Also, this exceeded the monthly average (6.0 mBq/m3) only for March 1999-2015 (excluding 2013, when the cosmic-ray intensity, a component producing 7Be, decreased). Based on the backward trajectory analysis etc. results, the inflow of air from the stratosphere and upper troposphere at high latitudes that frequently occurred in March 2013 was considered the reason for the 7Be activity concentration increase.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yukinori Narazaki
- Fukuoka Institute of Health and Environmental Sciences, 39 Mukaizano, Dazaifu 818-0135, Japan
| | - Akihiro Sakoda
- Ningyo-toge Environmental Engineering Center, Japan Atomic Energy Agency, 1550 Kamisaibara, Kagamino-cho, Tomata-gun 708-0698, Japan
| | - Naofumi Akata
- Institute of Radiation Emergency Medicine, Hirosaki University, 66-1 Hon-cho, Hirosaki 036-8564, Japan
| | - Hisanori Itoh
- Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Kyushu University, 744 Motooka, Nishi-ku, Fukuoka 819-0395, Japan
| | - Noriyuki Momoshima
- Central Institute of Radioisotope Science and Safety Management, Kyushu University, 744 Motooka, Nishi-ku, Fukuoka 819-0395, Japan
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Liu X, Fu Y, Wang Q, Bi Y, Zhang L, Zhao G, Xian F, Cheng P, Zhang L, Zhou J, Zhou W. Unraveling the process of aerosols secondary formation and removal based on cosmogenic beryllium-7 and beryllium-10. THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 2022; 821:153293. [PMID: 35090914 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.153293] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/24/2021] [Revised: 01/16/2022] [Accepted: 01/16/2022] [Indexed: 06/14/2023]
Abstract
The secondary formation and diffusion processes of aerosol are extraordinarily complex and significantly impact the environment and human health. Therefore, exploring the process of aerosol formation and diffusion based on independent new tracer has always been a concern. The 7Be and 10Be, which are generated only by the action of cosmic rays, are chemically stable and adsorbed on aerosol for transmission, so they have the potential characteristics of aerosol tracers. Here, we obtained the daily resolution atmospheric 7Be, 10Be, and 10Be/7Be without dust interference in Xi'an autumn and winter (heavy pollution period in a typical polluted area) by accelerator mass spectrometry. It is found that during the rapid formation of secondary aerosols (SA) under the stable 10Be/7Be ratio, which indicates the stable atmospheric vertical structure, the concentration of 7Be and 10Be is significantly negatively correlated (R2 > 0.9) with the aerosol concentration. Therefore, SA relative content in aerosols can be estimated by the dilution amount of 7Be and 10Be to reveal the secondary-formation process of aerosol (33% average contribution to aerosols during the winter heavy air pollution period). Furthermore, we also revealed the physical removal process of aerosols based on 7Be, 10Be, and 10Be/7Be, including precipitation removal and diffusion of vertical atmospheric movement caused by stratospheric air intrusion. In summary, meteoric cosmogenic 7Be and 10Be will provide a new way to study the secondary chemical formation and physical removal of aerosols.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xuke Liu
- State Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology, Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences (IEECAS), Xi'an 710061, China; Shaanxi Key Laboratory of Accelerator Mass Spectrometry Technology and Application, Xi'an AMS Center of IEECAS, Xi'an 710061, China; University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China; Xi'an Earth Environment Innovation Research Institute, Xi'an 710061, China.
| | - Yunchong Fu
- State Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology, Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences (IEECAS), Xi'an 710061, China; Shaanxi Key Laboratory of Accelerator Mass Spectrometry Technology and Application, Xi'an AMS Center of IEECAS, Xi'an 710061, China; Institute of Global Environmental Change, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an 710049, China.
| | - Qiyuan Wang
- State Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology, Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences (IEECAS), Xi'an 710061, China
| | - Yanting Bi
- Xi'an Earth Environment Innovation Research Institute, Xi'an 710061, China
| | - Li Zhang
- State Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology, Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences (IEECAS), Xi'an 710061, China; Shaanxi Key Laboratory of Accelerator Mass Spectrometry Technology and Application, Xi'an AMS Center of IEECAS, Xi'an 710061, China
| | - Guoqing Zhao
- State Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology, Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences (IEECAS), Xi'an 710061, China; Shaanxi Key Laboratory of Accelerator Mass Spectrometry Technology and Application, Xi'an AMS Center of IEECAS, Xi'an 710061, China
| | - Feng Xian
- State Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology, Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences (IEECAS), Xi'an 710061, China; Shaanxi Key Laboratory of Accelerator Mass Spectrometry Technology and Application, Xi'an AMS Center of IEECAS, Xi'an 710061, China
| | - Peng Cheng
- State Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology, Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences (IEECAS), Xi'an 710061, China; Shaanxi Key Laboratory of Accelerator Mass Spectrometry Technology and Application, Xi'an AMS Center of IEECAS, Xi'an 710061, China; Institute of Global Environmental Change, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an 710049, China
| | - Luyuan Zhang
- State Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology, Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences (IEECAS), Xi'an 710061, China; Shaanxi Key Laboratory of Accelerator Mass Spectrometry Technology and Application, Xi'an AMS Center of IEECAS, Xi'an 710061, China
| | - Jiamao Zhou
- State Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology, Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences (IEECAS), Xi'an 710061, China
| | - Weijian Zhou
- State Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology, Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences (IEECAS), Xi'an 710061, China; Shaanxi Key Laboratory of Accelerator Mass Spectrometry Technology and Application, Xi'an AMS Center of IEECAS, Xi'an 710061, China; Xi'an Earth Environment Innovation Research Institute, Xi'an 710061, China; Institute of Global Environmental Change, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an 710049, China.
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Meteorological Factors Controlling 7Be Activity Concentrations in the Atmospheric Surface Layer in Northern Spain. ATMOSPHERE 2020. [DOI: 10.3390/atmos11121340] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
This work presents the analysis of weekly 7Be activity concentrations in the air measured in Bilbao (northern Spain) by collecting aerosols in filters over a ten years period (2009–2018). 7Be level is in the 0.35–7.3 mBq/m3 range, with a mean of 3.20 ± 1.12 mBq/m3. The trend, cycle, seasonal and monthly variability are evaluated using time series analysis techniques. The results indicate the impact of sunspots (24th solar cycle) on interannual 7Be activity concentrations, and a significant seasonal and monthly variation, with maximum concentrations occurring in spring-summer and minimum in the winter. The correlation of different 7Be ranges with local meteorological parameters, such as precipitation, temperature, relative humidity, and pressure, is also addressed, with precipitation having the greatest impact on 7Be activity values. The analysis of synoptic airflows, by calculating the back-trajectory clusters, and local winds at surface level reveals the important influence of the arrival of slow northwest Atlantic flows and the development of breezes on reaching high 7Be activity concentrations in this area.
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Temporal variation of atmospheric 7Be and 210Pb concentrations and their activity size distributions at Astana, Kazakhstan in Central Asia. J Radioanal Nucl Chem 2019. [DOI: 10.1007/s10967-019-06968-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
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7
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Bianchi S, Plastino W, Brattich E, Djurdjevic V, Longo A, Hernández-Ceballos MA, Sarvan D, Ajtić J. Analysis of trends, periodicities, and correlations in the beryllium-7 time series in Northern Europe. Appl Radiat Isot 2019; 148:160-167. [PMID: 30959353 DOI: 10.1016/j.apradiso.2019.03.038] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/12/2018] [Revised: 02/27/2019] [Accepted: 03/28/2019] [Indexed: 10/27/2022]
Abstract
The activity concentrations of beryllium-7, a natural radiotracer that is considered as a tracer of the stratospheric-tropospheric exchange, shows a distinct behaviour in Northern Europe compared to the central and southern parts of the continent. In this study, we use the measurements collected at four sampling stations in Scandinavia (Ivalo, Umea, Kista, Risoe) between 2001 and 2010 and investigate their trends, periodicities and residuals with the aim to further understand the common features in the beryllium-7 data records in northern sampling sites. The beryllium-7 activity concentrations exhibit statistically significant positive trends that range from an average value of 1.50%/year to an average value of 2.96%/year. We detect a one-year periodicity in all the sites, and in the southernmost site, Risoe in Denmark, additional higher-frequency harmonics. In the residual time series, we find outliers that represent occurrences of extremely high beryllium-7 activity concentration. Cross-correlations of the beryllium-7 residuals across the four sites decrease with increasing distance; similarly, as indicated by local Hurst exponents the records exhibit long-range correlations that weaken towards the end of the investigated period. To investigate the causes of the detected trends, we also calculate correlations between beryllium-7 and factors related to its production, transport and removal from the atmosphere: in particular, cross-correlations of the beryllium-7 residuals with residuals in sunspot number, local temperature, atmospheric pressure and precipitation, as well as Arctic Oscillation index and North Atlantic Oscillation index. Most of the obtained correlations, however, are not statistically significant, highlighting the need to analyse a longer time period in order to evaluate the impact of different factors on the airborne beryllium-7 activity concentration.
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Affiliation(s)
- Stefano Bianchi
- Department of Mathematics and Physics, Roma Tre University, Via 'della Vasca Navale, 84, I-00146, Rome, Italy.
| | - Wolfango Plastino
- Department of Mathematics and Physics, Roma Tre University, Via 'della Vasca Navale, 84, I-00146, Rome, Italy.
| | - Erika Brattich
- Department of Physics and Astronomy, Alma Mater Studiorum University of Bologna, Via Irnerio 46, 40126, Bologna, BO, Italy.
| | - Vladimir Djurdjevic
- Institute of Meteorology, Faculty of Physics, University of Belgrade, Studentski trg 18, 11000, Belgrade, Serbia.
| | - Alessandro Longo
- Department of Mathematics and Physics, Roma Tre University, Via 'della Vasca Navale, 84, I-00146, Rome, Italy.
| | - Miguel A Hernández-Ceballos
- European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Knowledge for Nuclear Security and Safety Unit Radioactivity Environmental Monitoring Group, Via Enrico Fermi 2749, I-21027, Ispra, VA, Italy.
| | - Darko Sarvan
- Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, University of Belgrade, Bulevar oslobođenja 18, 11000, Belgrade, Serbia.
| | - Jelena Ajtić
- Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, University of Belgrade, Bulevar oslobođenja 18, 11000, Belgrade, Serbia.
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Chham E, Piñero-García F, Brattich E, El Bardouni T, Ferro-García MA. 7Be spatial and temporal pattern in southwest of Europe (Spain): Evaluation of a predictive model. CHEMOSPHERE 2018; 205:194-202. [PMID: 29698830 DOI: 10.1016/j.chemosphere.2018.04.099] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/13/2017] [Revised: 03/27/2018] [Accepted: 04/16/2018] [Indexed: 06/08/2023]
Abstract
This study presents a comprehensive statistical analysis of the cosmogenic radioisotope 7Be measured in surface air in ten stations over Spain for a 9 years period (from January 2006 to December 2014). Besides the analysis of 7Be seasonal and inter-annual variability, 7Be frequency distributions and its correlations with meteorological variables observed in the 10 sampling sites were investigated. The second part of this paper focuses on a feasibility study for the application of the Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) to predict monthly 7Be activity concentrations using meteorological variables, PM10 concentrations and the sunspot number as input parameters. Notwithstanding the low correlations found between 7Be and input parameter, the performance of the ANNs, as evaluated by the relevant statistical parameters, demonstrates their capability to correctly predict 7Be monthly activities in the 10 Spanish sampling sites.
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Affiliation(s)
- E Chham
- Radiochemistry and Environmental Radiology Laboratory, Inorganic Chemical Department, Faculty of Sciences, University of Granada, 18077, Granada, Spain; Physics Department (ERSN), Faculty of Sciences, Abdelmalek Essaadi University, 93002, Tétouan, Morocco.
| | - F Piñero-García
- Radiochemistry and Environmental Radiology Laboratory, Inorganic Chemical Department, Faculty of Sciences, University of Granada, 18077, Granada, Spain
| | - E Brattich
- Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Bologna, 40126, Bologna, BO, Italy
| | - T El Bardouni
- Physics Department (ERSN), Faculty of Sciences, Abdelmalek Essaadi University, 93002, Tétouan, Morocco
| | - M A Ferro-García
- Radiochemistry and Environmental Radiology Laboratory, Inorganic Chemical Department, Faculty of Sciences, University of Granada, 18077, Granada, Spain
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Ajtić J, Brattich E, Sarvan D, Djurdjevic V, Hernández-Ceballos MA. Factors affecting the 7Be surface concentration and its extremely high occurrences over the Scandinavian Peninsula during autumn and winter. CHEMOSPHERE 2018; 199:278-285. [PMID: 29448195 DOI: 10.1016/j.chemosphere.2018.02.052] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/10/2017] [Revised: 02/04/2018] [Accepted: 02/08/2018] [Indexed: 06/08/2023]
Abstract
Relationships between the beryllium-7 activity concentrations in surface air and meteorological parameters (temperature, atmospheric pressure, and precipitation), teleconnection indices (Arctic Oscillation, North Atlantic Oscillation, and Scandinavian pattern) and number of sunspots are investigated using two multivariate statistical techniques: hierarchical cluster and factor analysis. The beryllium-7 surface measurements over 1995-2011, at four sampling sites located in the Scandinavian Peninsula, are obtained from the Radioactivity Environmental Monitoring Database. In all sites, the statistical analyses show that the beryllium-7 concentrations are strongly linked to temperature. Although the beryllium-7 surface concentration exhibits the well-characterised spring/summer maximum, our study shows that extremely high beryllium-7 concentrations, defined as the values exceeding the 90th percentile in the data records for each site, also occur over the October-March period. Two types of autumn/winter extremes are distinguished: type-1 when the number of extremes in a given month is less than three, and type-2 when at least three extremes occur in a month. Factor analysis performed for these autumn/winter events shows a weaker effect of temperature and a stronger impact of the transport and production signal on the beryllium-7 concentrations. Further, the majority of the type-2 extremes are associated with a very high monthly Scandinavian teleconnection index. The type-2 extremes that occurred in January, February and March are also linked to sudden stratospheric warmings of the Arctic vortex. Our results indicate that the Scandinavian teleconnection index might be a good indicator of the meteorological conditions facilitating extremely high beryllium-7 surface concentrations over Scandinavia during autumn and winter.
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Affiliation(s)
- J Ajtić
- Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, University of Belgrade, Bulevar oslobođenja 18, 11000, Belgrade, Serbia.
| | - E Brattich
- Department of Physics and Astronomy, Alma Mater Studiorum University of Bologna, Via Irnerio 46, 40126, Bologna, BO, Italy.
| | - D Sarvan
- Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, University of Belgrade, Bulevar oslobođenja 18, 11000, Belgrade, Serbia.
| | - V Djurdjevic
- Institute of Meteorology, Faculty of Physics, University of Belgrade, Studentski trg 18, 11000, Belgrade, Serbia.
| | - M A Hernández-Ceballos
- European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Knowledge for Nuclear Security and Safety Unit Radioactivity Environmental Monitoring Group, Via Enrico Fermi 2749, I-21027, Ispra, VA, Italy.
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