Clinical characteristics and prognosis of HCC occurrence after antiviral therapy for HCV patients between sustained and non-sustained responders

Fibrosis-4 index stratifies risks of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with chronic hepatitis C

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Risk stratification for patients with a higher risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is crucial. We aimed to investigate the role of the Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index in predicting chronic hepatitis C (CHC)-related HCC.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study consecutively included treatment-naive CHC patients receiving longitudinal follow-up at the National Taiwan University Hospital from 1986 to 2014. The clinical data were collected and traced for HCC development. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was used to investigate the predictors for HCC.

RESULTS

A total of 1285 patients in the ERADICATE-C cohort were included. The median age was 54, 56% were females, and 933 had HCV viremia. There were 33%, 38%, and 29% of patients having FIB-4 index <1.45, 1.45-3.25, and ≥3.25, respectively. After a median of 9-year follow-up, 186 patients developed HCC. Multivariable analysis revealed that older age, AFP≥20 ng/mL, cirrhosis, and a higher FIB-4 index were independent predictors for HCC. Compared with patients with FIB-4 index <1.45, those with FIB-4 1.45-3.25 had a 5.51-fold risk (95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.65-11.46), and those with FIB-4 ≥ 3.25 had 7.45-fold risk (95% CI: 3.46-16.05) of HCC. In CHC patients without viremia, FIB-4 index 1.45-3.25 and FIB-4 ≥ 3.25 increased 6.78-fold and 16.77-fold risk of HCC, respectively, compared with those with FIB-4 < 1.45.

CONCLUSION

The baseline FIB-4 index can stratify the risks of HCC in untreated CHC patients, even those without viremia. The FIB-4 index should thus be included in the management of CHC.

Secular Trends of Clinical Characteristics and Survival of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Taiwan from 2011 to 2019

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a major cause of cancer death in Taiwan, and in the past 30-40 years, Taiwan has been committed to its prevention and treatment. We aimed to investigate the secular trends of characteristics and the survival of HCC in recent decades after making increased efforts. Between 2011 and 2019, a total of 73,817 cases were enrolled from the TCR database. The overall male-to-female ratio was 7/3. The overall, male and female mean ages increased from 63.8 to 66.1 years, 62.0 to 64.3 years and 68.3 to 70.4 years, respectively. After dividing by viral etiologies and gender, the mean age showed increasing trends in all subgroups. The proportions of HBV-HCC, HCV-HCC, HBV+HCV-HCC and Non-HBV+non-HCV-HCC were 48.3%, 25.2%, 5.3% and 21.3% in males, compared with 25.5%, 48.6%, 5.3% and 20.5% in females, respectively. The 5-year survival rates of BCLC stages 0, A, B, C and D were 70%, 58%, 34%, 11% and 4%, respectively. The proportion of BCLC stage 0 increased from 6.2% to 11.3%. Multivariate analysis showed that being female, older age, diagnostic year, BCLC stages, hospital level, body mass index, smoking, alcohol consumption, AFP, Child-Pugh classification and HBV/HCV status were independent predictors for survival. In recent decades, the overall survival of HCC in Taiwan has been improving and might be partly associated with increased BCLC 0 and Child-Pugh A patients, while with the consequent age of patients increasing over time. The proportion of viral-related HCC is decreasing, while nonviral-related HCC is increasing.

Effects of Achieving SVR on Clinical Characteristics and Surgical Outcomes in Patients Who Developed Early-Stage HCV-Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Received Curative Resection: Preoperative versus Postoperative SVR

The high accessibility to healthcare and increasing awareness of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance after sustained virologic response (SVR) to HCV treatment allow early detection of operable HCC in Taiwan. However, the effects of achieving SVR on patient characteristics and surgical outcomes after curative resection remain elusive. We aimed to compare the clinical presentation and postoperative prognosis among patients with early-stage HCV-related HCC and different viral status. We retrospectively analyzed 208 patients with BCLC stage 0 or A-HCC, including 44 patients who remained HCV viremic, 90 patients who developed HCC after achieving SVR (post-SVR HCC), and 74 patients who subsequently achieved SVR after resection. Patients with post-SVR HCC had a lower degree of hepatitis and better liver function than those who achieved SVR or remained viremic after resection. Notably, 75.6% of patients with post-SVR HCC did not have cirrhosis. Patients with post-SVR HCC and those achieving SVR after resection exhibited comparable recurrence rates and recurrence-free survival, while patients with persistent viremia had the worst surgical outcomes. We concluded that patients with post-SVR HCC had a better liver function but similar surgical outcomes compared with patients who achieved SVR after resection. The low prevalence of cirrhosis in patients with post-SVR HCC highlights the importance of regular surveillance after SVR.

Medicaid expansion is associated with a higher likelihood of early diagnosis, resection, transplantation, and overall survival in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

We examined the association between Medicaid expansion (ME) and the diagnosis, treatment, and survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

We identified patients with HCC <65yrs with Medicaid or without insurance within the National Cancer Database before (2010-2013) or after (2015-2017) ME with early (cT1) or intermediate/advanced (cT2-T4 or M1) disease.

RESULTS

We identified 4848 patients with HCC before and 4526 after ME. Prior to ME, there was no association between future ME status and diagnosis of early HCC (34.5% vs. 32.9%). There was no association between future ME status and treating early HCC with ablation, resection, or transplantation. Patients with early HCC in future ME states were less likely to die (HR = 0.81, 95% CI: 0.67-0.98). After ME, patients in ME states were more likely to be diagnosed with early HCC (39.2% vs. 32.1%). Patients with early disease in ME states were more likely to undergo resection (OR=1.78, 95% CI: 1.16-2.75) or transplantation (OR=3.20, 95% CI: 1.40-7.33). There was a further associated decrease in the hazard of death (HR=0.68, 95% CI: 0.54-0.86).

CONCLUSION

ME was associated with early diagnosis of HCC. For early HCC, ME was associated with increased utilization of resection and transplantation and improvement in survival.

Antiviral Therapy Improves Hepatocellular Cancer Survival

Background

Chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is a common risk factor for hepatocellular cancer (HCC). Patients with HCV infection are at a higher risk of developing HCC because the virus induces fibrosis in the liver, which may lead to cirrhosis. Early treatment of HCV and achieving a sustained virologic response (SVR) may lead to decreased incidence and mortality associated with HCC.

Methods

We performed a retrospective review of patients at the Memphis Veterans Affairs Medical Center (VAMC) in Tennessee from November 2008 to March 2019 to determine whether treatment of HCV infection makes a difference in overall survival (OS) among patients who develop HCC. Patients were treated with an interferon-based regimen or direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs). Among the patients with HCV infection who were treated, we identified those who did achieve or did not achieve SVR.

Results

We identified 111 patients with HCV and HCC; 68 were treated for HCV infection. Forty-eight patients received DAA and 20 patients received an interferon-based regimen and 51 achieved SVR. In a multivariate analysis accounting for severity of liver disease, treated patients had an improved 5-year OS rate, median 1338 days (95% CI, 966-3202) when compared with untreated patients whose median OS was 452 days (95% CI, 242-853) (P = .0005). The treatment group had a longer median progression-free survival (PFS) than did the nontreatment group (460 days [95% CI, 294-726] vs 286 days [95% CI, 205-405], P = .04). Patients with SVR had an increased 5-year OS compared with patients without SVR (median 1973 days [95% CI, 1222-NA] vs 470 days [95% CI, 242-853], P < .001). HCV treatment type (interferon vs DAA) was not found to be associated with either OS or PFS, regardless of time period. Advanced liver disease stage as characterized by a high model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score (> 10) or high Child-Pugh score (B or C) was associated with worse survival outcome.

Conclusions

A retrospective analysis of patients with HCV infection and HCC confirms that treatment of HCV infection leads to OS benefit among patients with HCC. We further demonstrate that patients with HCV infection who achieve SVR have an OS benefit over patients unable to achieve SVR. The type of treatment, DAA vs an interferon-based regimen, did not show a significant survival benefit.

Inverse relationship between the level of miRNA 148a-3p and both TGF-β1 and FIB-4 in hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a major health burden globally. Dysregulation of miRNA 148a-3p is engaged in carcinogenesis. TGF-β is a profibrogenic cytokine. This study assesses the expression level of miRNA 148a-3p and its relationship with serum TGF-β1 and fibrosis index based on four factors (FIB-4) in Egyptian patients with HCV-associated HCC.

SUBJECTS

and Methods: The study included 72 HCC patients with HCV, 48 HCV cirrhotic patients, and 47 healthy controls. Serum TGF-β1 was assessed by ELISA and the expression of miRNA 148a-3p was measured by RT-PCR.

RESULTS

Patients with HCC had lower plasma miRNA 148a-3p, higher serum TGF-β1, and higher FIB-4 levels than patients with cirrhosis and controls. miRNA 148a-3p discriminated HCC either from control (AUC: 0.997, 95.83% sensitivity, 85.11% specificity) or from cirrhosis (AUC: 0.943, 91.67% sensitivity, 81.25% specificity). Moreover, it distinguished metastatic from nonmetastatic patients (AUC: 0.800, 88.89% sensitivity, 60.0% specificity). The decreased miRNA 148a-3p and the increased TGF-β1 levels were related to distant metastasis, multinodular lesions, advanced TNM stage, and BCLC score (C). A negative correlation between miRNA 148a-3p and each of FIB-4 and TGF-β1 was detected. The decreased miRNA 148a-3p was associated with poor overall survival and poor progression-free survival.

CONCLUSION

An inverse relationship between miRNA 148a-3p and both TGF-β1 and FIB-4 was observed, which could be involved in HCC pathogenesis. Moreover, this miRNA is a potential diagnostic and prognostic biomarker for HCC.

Non-invasive tests for predicting liver outcomes in chronic hepatitis C patients: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Liver fibrosis leads to liver-related events in patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) infection. Although non-invasive tests (NITs) are critical to early detection of the development of liver fibrosis, the prognostic role of NITs remains unclear due to the limited types of NITs and liver outcomes explored in previous studies.

AIM

To determine the prognostic value of NITs for risk stratification in CHC patients.

METHODS

The protocol was registered in PROSPERO (International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews; no. CRD42019128176). The systematic review was performed in accordance with Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. Search was performed using MEDLINE and EMBASE databases under a timeframe from the inception of the databases through February 25, 2020. We restricted our search to CHC cohort studies reporting an association between liver fibrosis assessed by NITs and the development of hepatocellular carcinoma, decompensation, or mortality. Pooled hazard ratios (HR) and area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) for each NIT were estimated using a random effects model. Subgroup analyses were performed for NITs assessed at pre-treatment or post-treatment with sustained virologic response (SVR), treatment with either pegylated interferon and ribavirin or direct acting antiviral, Eastern or Western countries, and different cutoff points.

RESULTS

The present meta-analysis included 29 cohort studies, enrolling 69339 CHC patients. Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index, aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio (APRI) score, and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) were found to have hepatocellular carcinoma predictive potential with pooled adjusted HRs of 2.48 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.91-3.23, I² = 96%], 4.24 (95%CI: 2.15-8.38, I² = 20%) and 7.90 (95%CI: 3.98-15.68, I² = 52%) and AUROCs of 0.81 (95%CI: 0.73-0.89, I² = 77%), 0.81 (95%CI: 0.75-0.87, I² = 68%), and 0.79 (95%CI: 0.63-0.96, I² = 90%), respectively. Pooled adjusted HR with a pre-treatment FIB-4 cutoff of 3.25 was 3.22 (95%CI: 2.32-4.47, I² = 80%). Pooled adjusted HRs for post-treatment with SVR FIB-4, APRI, and LSM were 3.01 (95%CI: 0.32-28.61, I² = 89%), 9.88 (95%CI: 2.21-44.17, I² = 24%), and 6.33 (95%CI: 2.57-15.59, I² = 17%), respectively. Pooled adjusted HRs for LSM in patients with SVR following direct acting antiviral therapy was 5.55 (95%CI: 1.47-21.02, I² = 36%). Pooled AUROCs for post-treatment with SVR FIB-4 and LSM were 0.75 (95%CI: 0.55-0.95, I² = 88%) and 0.84 (95%CI: 0.66-1.03, I² = 88%), respectively. Additionally, FIB-4 and LSM were associated with overall mortality, with pooled adjusted HRs of 2.07 (95%CI: 1.49-2.88, I² = 27%) and 4.04 (95%CI: 2.40-6.80, I² = 63%), respectively.

CONCLUSION

FIB-4, APRI, and LSM showed potential for risk stratification in CHC patients. Cutoff levels need further validation.

Characteristics and Survival Outcomes of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Developed after HCV SVR

Simple Summary

It is important to understand the impact of viremia on the survival of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in hepatitis C patients. This study aimed to investigate the characteristics and survival between hepatitis C patients with and without viremia at HCC diagnosis. We enrolled 1,389 HCC patients, including 301 with HCC developed after hepatitis C eradication (post-SVR HCC) and 1,088 with hepatitis C viremia (viremic HCC). Post-SVR HCC patients had better liver function, earlier tumor stages and higher median survival than viremic HCC patients. But post-SVR HCC was not independently associated with survival on further multivariate analysis. On sub-analysis, viremic HCC patients who subsequently eradicated hepatitis C had higher median survival and was also significantly associated with lower mortality as compared to post-SVR HCC. Therefore, the advantages in clinical and tumor characters determined the better overall survival of post-SVR HCC patients; however, eradication of hepatitis C after HCC also improved survival.

Abstract

The clinical presentation and survival of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after hepatitis C virus (HCV) eradication as compared to HCC in viremic patients are not well characterized. We aimed to investigate the characteristics and survival between HCV patients with and without viremia at HCC diagnosis.: We retrospectively analyzed overall survival outcomes in 1389 HCV-related HCC patients, including 301 with HCC developed after HCV eradication (post-SVR HCC) and 1088 with HCV viremia at HCC diagnosis (viremic HCC). We also evaluated overall survival in the two groups using propensity score-matching methods.: At HCC diagnosis, post-SVR HCC patients were older, less obese, less likely cirrhotic, with better liver function, lower alfa-fetoprotein levels, earlier BCLC stages, and higher rate of treatment with surgery. Overall, post-SVR HCC patients had higher median survival than viremic patients (153.3 vs. 55.6 months, p < 0.01), but post-SVR HCC was not independently associated with survival on multivariate analysis (adjusted HR: 1.05, 95% CI: 0.76–1.47). However, on sub-analysis, viremic HCC patients who subsequently received anti-viral treatment and achieved SVR had higher median survival than post-SVR HCC patients (p < 0.01). Viremic HCC with subsequent SVR was also significantly associated with lower mortality as compared to post-SVR HCC (adjusted HR: 0.18, 95% CI: 0.11–0.29). In addition, we observed similar findings in our analysis of the propensity score-matched cohorts.: The advantages in clinical and tumor characters at HCC diagnosis determined the better overall survival of post-SVR HCC patients; however, HCV eradication after HCC development was also associated with improved survival.

Non-invasive tests for the prediction of primary hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common malignancies in the world and it is one of the main complications of cirrhosis and portal hypertension. Even in the presence of a well-established follow-up protocol for cirrhotic patients, to date poor data are available on predictive markers for primary HCC occurrence in the setting of compensated advanced chronic liver disease patients (cACLD). The gold standard method to evaluate the prognosis of patients with cACLD, beyond liver fibrosis assessed with histology, is the measurement of the hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG). An HVPG ≥10 mmHg has been related to an increased risk of HCC in cACLD patients. However, these methods are burdened by additional costs and risks for patients and are mostly available only in referral centers. In the last decade increasing research has focused on the evaluation of several, simple, non-invasive tests (NITs) as predictors of HCC development. We reviewed the currently available literature on biochemical and ultrasound-based scores developed for the non-invasive evaluation of liver fibrosis and portal hypertension in predicting primary HCC. We found that the most reliable methods to assess HCC risk were the liver stiffness measurement, the aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index score and the fibrosis-4 index. Other promising NITs need further investigations and validation for different liver disease aetiologies.

2020 Taiwan consensus statement on the management of hepatitis C: part (I) general population

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection remains a major public health issue with high prevalence in Taiwan. Recently, the advent of direct-acting antiviral (DAA) agents, with higher efficacy, excellent safety profile, and truncated treatment duration, has revolutionized the paradigm of hepatitis C treatment and made HCV elimination possible. To provide timely guidance for optimal hepatitis C management, the Taiwan Association for the Study of the Liver (TASL) established an expert panel to publish a 2-part consensus statement on the management of hepatitis C in the DAA era. After comprehensive literature review and a consensus meeting, patient-oriented, genotype-guided recommendations on hepatitis C treatment for the general and special populations have been provided based on the latest indications and scientific evidence. In the first part of this consensus, we present the epidemiology and treatment situation of hepatitis C in Taiwan, the development of DAA, pre-treatment evaluation, post sustained virologic response (SVR) monitoring, and most importantly the treatment recommendations for the general population with compensated liver disease. The second part will focus on the treatment recommendations for the special populations.

Association between Aspartate Aminotransferase-to-Platelet Ratio Index and Hepatocellular Carcinoma Risk in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis: A Meta-Analysis of Cohort Study

Background and Aim

Aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) is widely used in the assessment of fibrosis and cirrhosis, especially in patients with chronic hepatitis. However, the prognostic value of APRI in patients with chronic hepatitis with regard to the prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) occurrence remains controversial. The objective of this meta-analysis is to investigate the association between APRI and HCC risk on the basis of cohort studies.

Methods

We systematically reviewed PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, and Chinese National Knowledge Infrastructure databases for relevant cohort studies up to May 1, 2019. Pooled hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for total and subgroup analyses were calculated with Stata 12.0 software for the assessment of the relationship between APRI and HCC risk.

Results

A total of 13 studies, involving 8897 patients, were included in the meta-analysis, of which 11 explored the association between pretreatment APRI and HCC risk and four reported the relationship between posttreatment APRI and HCC risk. Pooled results showed that an elevated level of pretreatment APRI was associated with increased HCC risk (HR = 2.56, 95% CI: 1.78–3.68). When stratified by hepatitis type, high pretreatment APRI predicted HCC development in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) and C (CHC) but not in alcoholic liver cirrhosis (ALC). In the subgroup analyses of study region, cut-off value, sample size, and analysis method, the relationship between high pretreatment APRI and increased HCC risk was significant. Meanwhile, patients with a high level of posttreatment APRI suffered from high HCC risk (HR = 3.69, 95% CI: 2.52–5.42). Conclusion: Results revealed a significant association between elevated APRI and HCC development in patients with chronic hepatitis, suggesting that APRI might serve as a valuable predictor for HCC risk in patients with chronic hepatitis.