AST/platelet ratio index associates with progression to hepatic failure and correlates with histological fibrosis stage in Japanese patients with primary biliary cirrhosis

Prognostic scores in primary biliary cholangitis

Aim: Evaluating prognostic scores' utility in predicting ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) biochemical response (BR) and long-term liver-related complications in primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) patients. Patients & methods: This retrospective single-center study included 50 predominantly female PBC patients (median age: 56) on UDCA treatment. BR was defined by Paris II criteria. Liver-related complications during a median 76-month follow-up were assessed. APRI, ALBI, Mayo, GLOBE and UK-PBC scores were calculated. Results: 64% achieved BR, while 40% experienced liver-related complications. All scores showed good BR prediction (concordance statistics: 0.76-0.94) and excellent negative predictive values for 5-year liver complications (concordance statistics: 0.73-0.89). Conclusion: Implementing these scores in clinical practice is encouraged due to their effectiveness in predicting BR- and liver-related events.

The gamma-glutamyl transferase to platelet ratio for noninvasive evaluation of liver fibrosis in patients with primary biliary cholangitis

The gamma-glutamyl transferase to platelet ratio (GPR) has been reported to be as effective as the aspartate transaminase to platelet ratio index (APRI) and fibrosis index based on the 4 factors (FIB-4) in showing the fibrosis stage in patients with chronic hepatitis B. It has been demonstrated that APRI and FIB-4 are successful in the assessment of fibrosis in primary biliary cholangitis (PBC). We investigated the effectiveness of GPR in predicting advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis in patients with biopsy-proven untreated PBC. A total of 35 patients with biopsy-proven PBC were included in this study. The biopsy fibrosis stages of all patients at diagnosis were compared using the APRI, FIB-4, and GPR values. The diagnostic accuracy of GPR for detecting advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis was also investigated. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of GPR was 0.84, the cutoff point was 4.81, the sensitivity was 0.41, and the specificity was 0.96 for detecting advanced fibrosis. Our study showed that GPR was more sensitive than APRI and FIB-4 in detecting advanced fibrosis in patients with PBC. GPR could be used as an effective noninvasive marker in PBC to show advanced fibrosis at the time of diagnosis.

Distinct prognostic value of different portal hypertension-associated features in patients with primary biliary cholangitis

BACKGROUND

Primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) may progress to cirrhosis and clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH). This study assesses different features of CSPH and their distinct prognostic impact regarding decompensation and survival in patients with PBC.

METHODS

Patients with PBC were identified during a database query of our digital patient reporting system.

RESULTS

A total of 333 PBC patients (mean age 54.3 years, 86.8% females, median follow-up 5.8 years) were retrospectively assessed and 127 (38.1%) showed features of CSPH: 63 (18.9%) developed varices, 98 (29.4%) splenomegaly, 62 (18.6%) ascites and 20 (15.7%) experienced acute variceal bleeding. Splenomegaly, portosystemic collaterals and esophageal varices were associated with an increased 5-year (5Y) risk of decompensation (15.0%, 17.8% and 20.9%, respectively). Patients without advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) had a similar 5Y-transplant free survival (TFS) (96.6%) compared to patients with compensated ACLD (cACLD) but without CSPH (96.9%). On the contrary, PBC patients with cACLD and CSPH (57.4%) or decompensated ACLD (dACLD) (36.4%) had significantly decreased 5Y survival rates. The combination of LSM < 15 kPa and platelets ≥ 150G/L indicated a negligible risk for decompensation (5Y 0.0%) and for mortality (5Y 0.0%). Overall, 44 (13.2%) patients died, with 18 (40.9%) deaths attributed to CSPH-related complications.

CONCLUSION

In PBC, features of CSPH may occur early and indicate an increased risk for subsequent decompensation and mortality. Hence, regular screening and on-time treatment for CSPH is crucial. Combining LSM and platelets serves as a valuable preliminary assessment, as LSM < 15 kPa and platelets ≥ 150G/L indicate an excellent long-term outcome.

aMAP score prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma occurrence and incidence-free rate after a sustained virologic response in chronic hepatitis C

AIMS

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) can still occur in hepatitis C virus (HCV) patients who have achieved a sustained virologic response (SVR), which remains an important clinical issue in the direct-acting antivirals era. The current study investigated the clinical utility of the aMAP score (consisting of age, male, albumin-bilirubin, and platelets) for predicting HCC occurrence in HCV patients achieving an SVR by direct-acting antivirals.

METHODS

A total of 1113 HCV patients without HCC history, all of whom achieved an SVR, were enrolled for clinical comparisons.

RESULTS

Hepatocellular carcinoma was recorded in 50 patients during a median follow-up period of 3.7 years. The aMAP score was significantly higher in the HCC occurrence group than in the HCC-free group (53 vs. 47, p < 0.001). According to risk stratification based on aMAP score, the cumulative incidence of HCC occurrence for the low-, medium-, and high-risk groups was 0.14%, 4.49%, and 9.89%, respectively, at 1 year and 1.56%, 6.87%, and 16.17%, respectively, at 3 years (low vs. medium, low vs. high, and medium vs. high: all p < 0.01). Cox proportional hazard analysis confirmed aMAP ≥ 50 (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.78, p = 0.014), age≥ 70 years (HR: 2.41, p = 0.028), ALT ≥ 17 U/L (HR: 2.14, p < 0.001), and AFP ≥ 10 ng/mL (HR: 2.89, p = 0.005) as independent risk factors of HCC occurrence. Interestingly, all but one patient (99.5%) with aMAP less than 40 was HCC-free following an SVR.

CONCLUSION

The aMAP score could have clinical utility for predicting HCC occurrence in HCV patients achieving an SVR.

Clinical utility of FibroScan as a non-invasive diagnostic test for primary biliary cholangitis

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) is a chronic, slowly progressive, autoimmune liver disease. Some PBC patients display disease progression regardless of medical treatment. Therefore, it is important to accurately diagnose the clinical stage of PBC. This study investigated clinical merits of vibration-controlled transient elastography using FibroScan for assessing disease stage in PBC.

METHODS

A total of 74 treatment-naïve PBC patients (84% female, median age: 64 years), 69 of whom having undergone histological assessment and five clinically diagnosed as at the cirrhosis stage, were enrolled for clinical comparisons of liver stiffness measurement (LSM) with other established indices.

RESULTS

The number of patients with Nakanuma stages 1, 2, 3, and 4 was 18, 33, 17, and 6, respectively. The median LSM values for Nakanuma stages 1, 2, 3, and 4 were 5.05, 5.90, 8.90, and 23.70 kPa, respectively, and correlated significantly with disease progression based on Nakanuma's classification (r = 0.501, P < 0.001). LSM was also significantly related to other non-invasive serological markers (Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer: r = 0.606, FIB-4 index: r = 0.493, and aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index: r = 0.577; all P < 0.001). The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve for diagnosing Nakanuma stage ≥ 2, stage ≥ 3, and stage 4 were 0.744, 0.763, and 0.907, respectively. A combination of LSM ≥ 7.0 kPa and Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer ≥ 1.00 cut-off index could predict late-stage PBC (i.e. moderate to advanced disease progression) with a sensitivity of 0.58, specificity of 0.82, and accuracy of 0.74.

CONCLUSIONS

Liver stiffness measurement using FibroScan provided simple, accurate, and non-invasive assessment of disease stage in PBC patients.

Total bile acid to platelet ratio: A noninvasive index for predicting liver fibrosis in primary biliary cholangitis

The aim of the study was to develop a new early noninvasive diagnostic model for primary biliary cholangitis (PBC).A total of 118 PBC patients who had undergone a liver biopsy were enrolled in the study, and were randomized into a model group (78 patients) and a validation group (40 patients). The patients' histological stages were based on the classifications of the Scheuer's stage. All common parameters and liver pathological results were analyzed. And total bile acid to platelet ratio, aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index, fibrosis index based on 4 factors and red cell distribution width to platelet ratio were calculated.There were 106 (89.8%) women and 12 men in this study, and the number of patients in Scheuer stage I, II, III, and IV hepatic fibrosis was 52 (44.1%), 36 (30.5%), 26 (22.0%), and 4 (3.4%), respectively. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves of the total bile acid to platelet ratio (TPR), the aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index, the fibrosis index based on 4 factors , and the red cell distribution width to platelet ratio for predicting advanced liver fibrosis were 0.771, 0.715, 0.618, and 0.517 respectively. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves of the TPR was higher than other non-invasive serological models.As a simple, inexpensive and easily accessible non-invasive liver fibrosis diagnostic model, the TPR may be a new noninvasive marker for predicting histologic severity of PBC.

Factors Associated With Progression and Outcomes of Early Stage Primary Biliary Cholangitis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Patients usually receive a diagnosis of primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) at an early stage, based on biochemical analyses. We investigated the proportion of patients who progress to moderate or advanced PBC and factors associated with progression and patient survival.

METHODS

We obtained data from 1615 patients (mean age, 55.4 y) with early stage PBC (based on their normal levels of albumin and bilirubin), collected at the time of initial evaluation or treatment, from the Global PBC Study Group database (comprising patients at 19 liver centers in North American and European countries). We collected data from health care evaluations on progression to moderate PBC (abnormal level of bilirubin or albumin) or advanced-stage PBC (abnormal level of both). The median follow-up time was 7.9 years. The composite end point was decompensation, hepatocellular carcinoma, liver transplantation, or death.

RESULTS

Of the 1615 patients identified with early stage PBC, 904 developed moderate PBC and 201 developed advanced disease over the study period. The proportions of patients who transitioned to moderate PBC at 1, 3, and 5 years were 12.9%, 30.2%, and 45.8%. The proportions of these patients who then transitioned to advanced PBC at 1, 3, and 5 years later were 3.4%, 12.5%, and 16.0%, respectively. During the follow-up period, 236 patients had a clinical event. The proportions of patients with moderate PBC and event-free survival were 97.9%, 95.1%, and 91.5% at 1, 3, and 5 years, respectively, and the proportions of patients with advanced PBC and event-free survival were 90.6%, 71.2%, and 58.3% at 1, 3, and 5 years later, respectively. Variables associated with transition from early to moderate PBC included baseline levels of bilirubin, albumin, and alkaline phosphatase; aspartate to alanine aminotransferase ratio; platelet count; and treatment with ursodeoxycholic acid. Transitions from early to moderate PBC and from moderate to advanced PBC were associated with higher probabilities of a clinical event (time-dependent hazard ratios, 3.0; 95% CI, 2.0-4.5; and 4.6; 95% CI, 3.5-6.2).

CONCLUSIONS

Approximately half of patients with early stage PBC progress to a more severe stage within 5 years. Progression is associated with an increased risk of a clinical event, so surveillance is important for patients with early stage PBC.

Assessing the Validity of Adult-derived Prognostic Models for Primary Sclerosing Cholangitis Outcomes in Children

BACKGROUND

Natural history models for primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) are derived from adult patient data, but have never been validated in children. It is unclear how accurate such models are for children with PSC.

METHODS

We utilized the pediatric PSC consortium database to assess the Revised Mayo Clinic, Amsterdam-Oxford, and Boberg models. We calculated the risk stratum and predicted survival for each patient within each model using patient data at PSC diagnosis, and compared it with observed survival. We evaluated model fit using the c-statistic.

RESULTS

Model fit was good at 1 year (c-statistics 0.93, 0.87, 0.82) and fair at 10 years (0.78, 0.75, 0.69) in the Mayo, Boberg, and Amsterdam-Oxford models, respectively. The Mayo model correctly classified most children as low risk, whereas the Amsterdam-Oxford model incorrectly classified most as high risk. All of the models underestimated survival of patients classified as high risk. Albumin, bilirubin, AST, and platelets were most associated with outcomes. Autoimmune hepatitis was more prevalent in higher risk groups, and over-weighting of AST in these patients accounted for the observed versus predicted survival discrepancy.

CONCLUSIONS

All 3 models offered good short-term discrimination of outcomes but only fair long-term discrimination. None of the models account for the high prevalence of features of autoimmune hepatitis overlap in children and the associated elevated aminotransferases. A pediatric-specific model is needed. AST, bilirubin, albumin, and platelets will be important predictors, but must be weighted to account for the unique features of PSC in children.

Clinical impact of normal alanine aminotransferase on direct-acting antiviral outcome in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus infection

Background and Aims

This study aimed to clarify the clinical picture of hepatitis C virus (HCV) carriers with normal alanine aminotransferase (CNALT) and those with ALT elevation (non‐CNALT) under direct‐acting antivirals (DAAs).

Methods

We enrolled 1002 patients with HCV (427 men, median age: 69 years) who had received DAAs for comparisons between CNALT (ALT ≤33 U/L in males and ≤25 U/L in females; n = 374) and non‐CNALT (n = 628) groups.

Results

CNALT patients displayed a higher platelet count (PLT) (170 000 vs 146 000/μL, P < 0.0001) and albumin (4.1 vs 4.1 g/dL, P = 0.0006) but lower AST (25 vs 51 U/L, P < 0.0001), alpha fetoprotein (3.2 vs 5.4 ng/mL, P < 0.0001), and liver fibrosis marker scores (all P < 0.0001). The sustained virologic response rate was comparable between the CNALT and non‐CNALT groups (97.8 vs 95.3%, P = 0.106). The cumulative incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after DAA treatment was comparable between the CNALT and non‐CNALT groups (P = 0.117, log‐rank test). In CNALT patients with HCC history, PLT ≥150 000/μL was an independent risk factor of HCC recurrence (P = 0.019). In non‐CNALT patients without HCC history, male gender (P = 0.021) and albumin <4.0 g/dL (P = 0.007) were independent risk factors, while PLT < 150 000/μL (P = 0.081) was a marginal risk factor of HCC occurrence.

Conclusion

CNALT patients displayed a milder degree of liver fibrosis. Combinations of CNALT and PLT status might be useful as markers for HCC occurrence or recurrence surveillance.

Changes in serum levels of leucine-rich α2-glycoprotein predict prognosis in primary biliary cholangitis

AIMS

A non-invasive biomarker for patients with primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) is needed. The association between leucine-rich α2 glycoprotein (LRG) and PBC has not been investigated. We aimed to assess the predictive value of LRG for the development of cirrhosis-related conditions in PBC.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed clinical data of 129 individuals with biopsy-confirmed PBC. Leucine-rich α2 glycoprotein was analyzed by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays using stored sera at biopsy (n = 129) and after treatment (n = 80).

RESULTS

Levels of LRG decreased significantly after treatment (55.8 μg/mL vs. 39.8 μg/mL, P < 0.001). Neither LRG nor delta-LRG was associated with transaminase or histological findings. Delta-LRG >0 (hazard ratio [HR] 4.61, P = 0.013), delta-LRG >0 and an aspartate aminotransferase/platelet ratio index (APRI) >0.76 (HR 458, P < 0.001) were associated with the development of a cirrhosis-related condition. Patients with a delta-LRG >0 and an APRI >0.76 had a significantly increased rate of developing cirrhosis-related conditions (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Changes in LRG levels after treatment predicted PBC prognosis but were not associated with histological stage. Changes in LRG in addition to the APRI could be a useful combination of tools for clinicians as a non-invasive biomarker.

Past history of hepatocellular carcinoma is an independent risk factor of treatment failure in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus infection receiving direct-acting antivirals

Direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment can achieve a high sustained virological response (SVR) rate in patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection regardless of a history of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC [+]). We examined 838 patients (370 men, median age: 69 years) who were treated with DAAs for comparisons of clinical findings between 79 HCC (+) (9.4%) and 759 HCC (-) (90.6%) patients and associations with treatment outcome. Male frequency was significantly higher in the HCC (+) group (60.8% vs 42.4%, P = 0.006). There were significant differences between the HCC (+) and HCC (-) groups for platelet count (115 vs 152 ×10⁹ /L, P < 0.001), baseline alpha fetoprotein (AFP) (9.9 vs 4.5 ng/mL, P < 0.001) and the established fibrosis markers of FIB-4 index (4.7 vs 3.0, P < 0.001), AST-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) (1.1 vs 0.7, P = 0.009), M2BPGi (3.80 vs 1.78 COI, P < 0.001) and autotaxin (1.91 vs 1.50 mg/L, P < 0.001). The overall SVR rate was 94.7% and significantly lower in the HCC (+) group (87.3 vs 95.5%, P = 0.001). Multivariate analysis revealed that a history of HCC was independently associated with DAA treatment failure (odds ratio: 3.56, 95% confidence interval: 1.32-9.57, P = 0.01). In conclusion, patients with chronic HCV infection and prior HCC tended to exhibit more advanced disease progression at DAA commencement. HCC (+) status at the initiation of DAAs was significantly associated with adverse therapeutic outcomes. DAA treatment for HCV should therefore be started as early as possible, especially before complicating HCC.

Increased red cell width distribution to lymphocyte ratio is a predictor of histologic severity in primary biliary cholangitis

Primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) is a chronic disease that is increasingly being recognized in recent years. In this study, we sought to identify noninvasive markers of the severity of cirrhosis in patients with PBC based on routinely investigated laboratory parameters.Ninety-four patients with histologically-confirmed PBC based on liver biopsy performed between January 2013 and December 2017 at the First Hospital of Jilin University were divided into 2 groups: early-stage cirrhosis (fibrosis stage F1 and F2; n = 74) and advanced-stage cirrhosis (fibrosis stage F3 and F4; n = 20).Patients with advanced-stage had significantly higher red blood cell distribution width (RDW) (15.2 vs 13.7; P = .003) and significantly lower platelet (163.35 vs 202.73; P = .032) and lymphocyte counts (1.47 vs 1.79; P = .018) as compared with patients with early-stage cirrhosis. Advanced-stage cirrhosis was associated with significantly higher RDW to platelet ratio (RPR), RDW to lymphocyte ratio (RLR), aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI), and fibrosis index based on the 4 factors (FIB-4) as compared with early-stage cirrhosis. RLR showed the highest area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) (0.744). The sensitivity and specificity of RLR were 65% and 78.3%, respectively. RLR had higher AUROC than the other 3 noninvasive markers.The noninvasive markers RPR, RLR, APRI, and FIB-4 showed good diagnostic accuracy for advanced-stage cirrhosis. These markers are easily acquired by routine laboratory tests and are reproducible predictors of the severity of PBC. RLR is a novel marker that may serve as a valuable supplement to APRI and FIB-4 for predicting the severity of cirrhosis.

Biomarkers for primary biliary cholangitis: current perspectives

Primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) is a chronic progressive cholestatic disease characterized by destruction of small- and medium-sized intrahepatic bile ducts. It is no longer a rare disease, since many new asymptomatic cases are incidentally identified. Liver biopsy is diagnostically critical but not always feasible or practical to be performed. Many potential, noninvasive, markers have been proposed to replace liver biopsy and further provide the assessment of disease severity and ultimate prognosis. In this review, we evaluated serum biomarkers proposed for diagnosis, extent of fibrosis, disease prognosis and attempts for early prediction of treatment response. Older biochemical and immunological markers are presented along with recent reports including the role of microRNAs and promising results based on proteomics and metabolomics.

Patterns of disease progression and incidence of complications in primary biliary cholangitis (PBC)

Clinical outcome for patients with primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) is dictated by development of cirrhosis, portal hypertension and its associated complications; including for some, a predisposition toward hepatocellular carcinoma. However rates of clinical progression vary, and accurately identifying disease course is of critical importance to patients, clinicians, as well as industry, who are committed to developing new effective and life-prolonging therapy as well as treating symptoms that appear disproportionate to underlying disease severity. Patients seek reassurance and guidance as to their own prognosis, and clinicians wish to confidently recognise those at highest risk of poor outcomes as equally as they strive to reassure individuals with a more favourable disease trajectory. International registries have facilitated a much greater knowledge of disease incidence and heterogeneity of presenting phenotypes. In so doing they highlight the opportunity to provide a more individualized estimate of the clinical course that patients experience, and have led to a renewed approach to risk stratification; both in terms of 'hard outcomes' and also disease-associated complications in PBC specifically.

Primary biliary cholangitis is more severe in previous hepatitis B virus infection patients

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between previous hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection and the severity of primary biliary cholangitis (PBC).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of 379 HBsAg-negative PBC patients were investigated between 2012 and 2017 in this study. Fifty-two of these patients underwent liver biopsy. The enrolled patients were divided into an anti-HBc-positive group and an anti-HBc-negative group; the patients with liver biopsy were further divided into early stage (stage I) and advanced stage (stages II, III, and IV) according to histological assessment. Liver fibrosis was also assessed by noninvasive prognosis scores including the Mayo Risk Score, the Newcastle model, the aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index, the fibrosis index based on the four factors (FIB-4), and the albumin-bilirubin score. The difference in disease stage between the two groups was assessed by histological stage and noninvasive scores predicting fibrosis.

RESULTS

The histology showed that more patients in the anti-HBc-positive group had advanced stage compared with anti-HBc-negative patients (P<0.05). Higher Mayo Risk Score, the Newcastle model, aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index, and fibrosis index based on the four factors (all P<0.05) were obtained in all patients except for the albumin-bilirubin score (P=0.096).

CONCLUSION

Previous HBV infection was associated with a worse histological stage and advanced fibrosis score of PBC. It appears that the previous HBV infection may have aggravated the PBC severity, potentially leading to poorer outcomes.

Concomitant nonalcoholic fatty liver disease does not alter the activity, severity or course of primary biliary cholangitis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The impact of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) on the natural history of primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) has yet to be described. The aim of this study was to document the activity, severity and progression of PBC in patients with concomitant NAFLD and compare the findings to those with PBC alone.

METHODS

Disease activity was assessed by serum liver enzyme levels; severity, by Fib-4 scores and percent of patients with APRI >1.5; and progression, by changes in Fib-4 and prevalence of APRI >1.5 during follow-up.

RESULTS

The study populations consisted of 168 PBC alone and 68 PBC/NAFLD patients. The mean ages and gender distributions of the two cohorts were similar. At presentation, PBC alone patients had greater disease activity (higher serum ALP and GGT values, P = .003 and 0.01, respectively) and advanced disease (higher Fib-4 (P = .04) scores) than PBC/NAFLD patients. Although the prevalence of APRI >1.5 was also higher in PBC alone (11.1%) vs PBC/NAFLD (4.7%) patients, the difference was not significant (P = .16). During mean follow-up of 6.7 ± 5.5 (PBC alone) and 6.4 ± 4.4 (PBC/NAFLD) years (ranges: 0.5-21 years) annual increases in Fib-4 and prevalence of ≥ APRI 1.5 were greater in PBC alone patients but the differences did not reach statistical significance.

CONCLUSIONS

The results of this retrospective, single centre study suggest that the activity, severity and progression of PBC are not adversely affected by concomitant NAFLD.

Serum Autotaxin Is a Useful Disease Progression Marker in Patients with Primary Biliary Cholangitis

Autotaxin (ATX) is a secreted enzyme metabolized by liver sinusoidal endothelial cells that has been associated with liver fibrosis. We evaluated serum ATX values in 128 treatment-naïve, histologically assessed primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) patients and 80 healthy controls for comparisons of clinical parameters in a case-control study. The median ATX concentrations in controls and PBC patients of Nakanuma’s stage I, II, III, and IV were 0.70, 0.80, 0.87, 1.03, and 1.70 mg/L, respectively, which increased significantly with disease stage (r = 0.53, P < 0.0001) as confirmed by Scheuer’s classification (r = 0.43, P < 0.0001). ATX correlated with Wisteria floribunda agglutinin-positive Mac-2 binding protein (M2BPGi) (r = 0.51, P < 0.0001) and fibrosis index based on four factors (FIB-4) index (r = 0.51, P < 0.0001). While ALP and M2BPGi levels had decreased significantly (both P < 0.001) by 12 months of ursodeoxycholic acid treatment, ATX had not (0.95 to 0.96 mg/L) (P = 0.07). We observed in a longitudinal study that ATX increased significantly (P < 0.00001) over 18 years in an independent group of 29 patients. Patients succumbing to disease-related death showed a significantly higher ATX increase rate (0.05 mg/L/year) than did survivors (0.02 mg/L/year) (P < 0.01). ATX therefore appears useful for assessing disease stage and prognosis in PBC.

Serum autotaxin is a useful liver fibrosis marker in patients with chronic hepatitis B virus infection

AIM

Autotaxin (ATX) is a secreted enzyme that is considered to be associated with liver damage as well as fibrosis. This study assessed the ability of ATX to diagnose liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection.

METHODS

Serum ATX levels were retrospectively evaluated in 101 treatment-naïve patients with HBV-related chronic hepatitis or cirrhosis, all of whom had undergone liver biopsy at our hospital.

RESULTS

Serum ATX concentration increased significantly according to liver fibrosis stage in overall (r = 0.46, P < 0.0001), male (r = 0.55, P < 0.0001), and female (r = 0.52, P = 0.0006) patient groups. When analyzed by gender, serum ATX was one of the most reliable markers for all fibrosis stages compared with other tested non-invasive markers, which included hyaluronic acid, type IV collagen 7S, aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index, and fibrosis index based on four factors, according to receiver operating characteristic curve analysis.

CONCLUSION

Based on this histologically proven data, ATX represents a novel non-invasive biomarker for liver fibrosis in HBV-infected patients.

Major Hepatic Complications in Ursodeoxycholic Acid-Treated Patients With Primary Biliary Cholangitis: Risk Factors and Time Trends in Incidence and Outcome

OBJECTIVES

In this era of near universal ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) treatment for primary biliary cholangitis (PBC), progression to cirrhosis still occurs in an important proportion of patients. The aim of this study was to describe the incidence of cirrhosis-associated complications in patients with PBC and assess risk factors and impact on survival.

METHODS

Cohorts of UDCA-treated patients from 16 European and North-American liver centers were included. We used Cox proportional hazards assumptions and Kaplan-Meier estimates.

RESULTS

During 8.1 years' median follow-up, 278 of 3,224 patients developed ascites, variceal bleeding, and/or encephalopathy (incidence rate of 9.7 cases/1,000 patient years). The overall cumulative incidence was 9.1% after 10 years of follow-up, but decreased over time to 5.8% after the year 2000. Earlier calendar year of diagnosis (P<0.001), high aspartate aminotransferase to platelets ratio index (APRI; P<0.001) and biochemical non-response (P<0.001) were independently associated with future complications. Patients with both biochemical non-response and an APRI >0.54 after 12 months of UDCA had a 10-year complication rate of 37.4%, as compared to 3.2% in biochemical responders with an APRI ≤0.54. The 10-year transplantation-free survival after a complication was 9% (time-dependent hazard ratio 21.5; 20.1-22.8). Prognosis after variceal bleeding has improved over time.

CONCLUSIONS

In this large international cohort, up to 15% of UDCA-treated PBC patients developed major non-neoplastic, cirrhosis-associated hepatic complications within 15 years, but cumulative incidence has decreased over time. Biochemical non-response to UDCA and APRI were independent risk factors for these complications. Subsequent long-term outcome after complications is generally poor, but has improved over the past decades.

Genetics and epigenetics in the pathogenesis of primary biliary cholangitis

Primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) is a chronic, slowly progressive cholestatic autoimmune liver disease predominantly afflicting women. PBC is characterized by the presence of disease-specific antimitochondrial antibodies and the histological destruction of intrahepatic bile ducts, which eventually lead to cirrhosis and hepatic failure. Fortunately, ursodeoxycholic acid therapy has improved the outcome of the vast majority of PBC cases. Although the etiology of PBC has not yet been elucidated, human leukocyte antigen (HLA) class II alleles have been consistently associated with disease onset for decades. PBC patients may also have genetically determined risk factors in non-HLA regions. Meanwhile, exposure to environmental factors, such as infectious diseases and harmful chemicals, can produce epigenetic alterations in some individuals and subsequent PBC onset. In this review, we describe the influence of HLA alleles and other gene polymorphisms on PBC along with the results of genome-wide association studies on this disease and its future prospects in terms of epigenetics.

Genetic Contribution to the Pathogenesis of Primary Biliary Cholangitis

Formerly termed primary biliary cirrhosis, primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) is a chronic and progressive cholestatic liver disease characterized by the presence of antimitochondrial antibodies. Ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) therapy is the most effective and approved treatment for PBC and leads to a favorable outcome in the vast majority of cases. Although the etiology of PBC has not yet been elucidated, human leukocyte antigen (HLA) class II alleles have been consistently associated with disease onset for decades. Individuals in different geographic regions of the world may have varying susceptibility alleles that reflect indigenous triggering antigens. In this review, we describe the influence of HLA alleles and other gene polymorphisms on PBC along with the results of genome-wide association studies (GWAS) on this disease.

The relationship between liver histology and noninvasive markers in primary biliary cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC) is a disease that affects liver with various severity and progression rates. It is important to diagnose advanced stage of the disease to lower liver-related morbidity and mortality. Since liver biopsy is an invasive method, liver biopsy tends to be replaced by noninvasive methods. In this study, we aim to show the role of aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI) and fibrosis index on the basis of the four factors (FIB-4) scores, laboratory values, and their effectiveness in predicting advanced disease.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

PBC patients diagnosed pathologically at Numune Education and Research Hospital were included in the study between the years 1995 and 2013. Patients were grouped according to their fibrosis level: group 1 (early stage) included 18 patients with F1 and F2 fibrosis and group 2 (advanced stage) included 22 patients with F3 and F4 fibrosis. APRI and FIB-4 scores, routine laboratory values, and their proportions were compared. The effectiveness of parameters showing advanced stage was further compared.

RESULTS

There were statistically significant differences in APRI, FIB-4 scores, and aspartate aminotransferase (AST) levels between the groups with early and advanced stages of disease. Receiver operating curve analysis was used to determine APRI, FIB-4 and AST levels. The most effective parameters for diagnosing an advanced stage were APRI, AST levels, and FIB-4 scores, respectively.

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, APRI and FIB-4 scores can be calculated simply and easily by routine laboratory tests at low cost and also these scores may be a predictor of advanced stage of the disease in PBC. These tests may be reproducible and may be used to monitor disease progression.

Red Blood Cell Distribution Width to Platelet Ratio is Related to Histologic Severity of Primary Biliary Cirrhosis

We aimed to investigate whether red blood cell distribution width (RDW) and RDW to platelet ratio (RPR) were related to the histologic severity of primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC). Seventy-three treatment-naïve PBC patients who had undergone a liver biopsy between January 2010 and January 2015 were enrolled in our study. The patients' histological stages were based on the classifications of Ludwig and Scheuer. The patients were divided into early stage (Stage I) and advanced stage (Stage II, III, and IV) hepatic fibrosis according to their histological stage. All common patient demographics, clinical characteristics, hematological parameters, liver biochemistry, and antimitochondrial M2 antibody levels (AMA-M2) were retrospectively analyzed, and RDW, RPR, aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), and fibrosis index based on the 4 factors (FIB-4) were calculated. A total of 28 (38.4%) patients had early stage PBC, whereas 45 (62.6%) were classified as advanced stage. Regarding age, no significant differences between the early and advanced stages were observed. Patients with advanced stage PBC had significantly higher RDW (13.6 vs 14.4; P = 0.019), conjugated bilirubin (10.1 vs 23.4; P = 0.029), and significantly lower cholinesterase (7901.1 vs 6060.8; P = 0.001) and platelets (212.6 vs 167.0; P = 0.006). However, no significant differences (P > 0.05) in other routine parameters previously evaluated in PBC, including aspartate aminotransferase (AST) and mean platelet volume, were found between the groups. The sensitivity and specificity of RDW were 33.3% and 92.9%, respectively, and the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUROC) was 0.66. However, the sensitivity and specificity of RPR were 46.7% and 96.4%, respectively, and the corresponding AUROC was 0.74 (P < 0.001). Hence, compared with preexisting indicators, RPR showed a higher AUROC than APRI (0.648; P = 0.035) and FIB-4 (0.682; P = 0.009). RDW and RPR may be a new noninvasive marker for predicting histologic severity of PBC.

Risk stratification in autoimmune cholestatic liver diseases: Opportunities for clinicians and trialists

Primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC) and primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) are infrequent autoimmune cholestatic liver diseases, that disproportionate to their incidence and prevalence, remain very important causes of morbidity and mortality for patients with liver disease. Mechanistic insights spanning genetic risks and biological pathways to liver injury and fibrosis have led to a renewed interest in developing therapies beyond ursodeoxycholic acid that are aimed at both slowing disease course and improving quality of life. International cohort studies have facilitated a much greater understanding of disease heterogeneity, and in so doing highlight the opportunity to provide patients with a more individualized assessment of their risk of progressive liver disease, based on clinical, laboratory, or imaging findings. This has led to a new approach to patient care that focuses on risk stratification (both high and low risk); and furthermore allows such stratification tools to help identify patient subgroups at greatest potential benefit from inclusion in clinical trials. In this article, we review the applicability and validity of risk stratification in autoimmune cholestatic liver disease, highlighting strengths and weaknesses of current and emergent approaches. (Hepatology 2016;63:644-659).

Development and Validation of a Scoring System to Predict Outcomes of Patients With Primary Biliary Cirrhosis Receiving Ursodeoxycholic Acid Therapy

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Approaches to risk stratification for patients with primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC) are limited, single-center based, and often dichotomous. We aimed to develop and validate a better model for determining prognoses of patients with PBC.

METHODS

We performed an international, multicenter meta-analysis of 4119 patients with PBC treated with ursodeoxycholic acid at liver centers in 8 European and North American countries. Patients were randomly assigned to derivation (n = 2488 [60%]) and validation cohorts (n = 1631 [40%]). A risk score (GLOBE score) to predict transplantation-free survival was developed and validated with univariate and multivariable Cox regression analyses using clinical and biochemical variables obtained after 1 year of ursodeoxycholic acid therapy. Risk score outcomes were compared with the survival of age-, sex-, and calendar time-matched members of the general population. The prognostic ability of the GLOBE score was evaluated alongside those of the Barcelona, Paris-1, Rotterdam, Toronto, and Paris-2 criteria.

RESULTS

Age (hazard ratio = 1.05; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.04-1.06; P < .0001); levels of bilirubin (hazard ratio = 2.56; 95% CI: 2.22-2.95; P < .0001), albumin (hazard ratio = 0.10; 95% CI: 0.05-0.24; P < .0001), and alkaline phosphatase (hazard ratio = 1.40; 95% CI: 1.18-1.67; P = .0002); and platelet count (hazard ratio/10 units decrease = 0.97; 95% CI: 0.96-0.99; P < .0001) were all independently associated with death or liver transplantation (C-statistic derivation, 0.81; 95% CI: 0.79-0.83, and validation cohort, 0.82; 95% CI: 0.79-0.84). Patients with risk scores >0.30 had significantly shorter times of transplant-free survival than matched healthy individuals (P < .0001). The GLOBE score identified patients who would survive for 5 years and 10 years (responders) with positive predictive values of 98% and 88%, respectively. Up to 22% and 21% of events and nonevents, respectively, 10 years after initiation of treatment were correctly reclassified in comparison with earlier proposed criteria. In subgroups of patients aged <45, 45-52, 52-58, 58-66, and ≥66 years, age-specific GLOBE-score thresholds beyond which survival significantly deviated from matched healthy individuals were -0.52, 0.01, 0.60, 1.01 and 1.69, respectively. Transplant-free survival could still be accurately calculated by the GLOBE score with laboratory values collected at 2-5 years after treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed and validated scoring system (the GLOBE score) to predict transplant-free survival of ursodeoxycholic acid-treated patients with PBC. This score might be used to select strategies for treatment and care.

Increased mean platelet volume is related to histologic severity of primary biliary cirrhosis

AIM

To evaluate the main platelet volume (MPV) as a severity marker in patients with primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Thirty-nine patients with biopsy-proven and as yet untreated PBC followed between January 2008 and January 2015 were included in this study. Liver biopsies were categorized as early stage (stage 1 and 2 according to Scheuer's histological stage) and late stage (Scheuer's stage 3 and 4). As part of the routine evaluation, all PBC patients had their full blood count and biochemistry profile determined, where MPV, white blood cell count, hemoglobin, platelet count, red cell distribution width (RDW), alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase (AST), gamma glutamyl transferase, alkaline phosphatase, and total bilirubin values were evaluated. Both groups were compared in terms of the RDW/platelet ratio, the AST platelet ratio index, and the neutrophil lymphocyte ratio.

RESULTS

Eighteen patients had early-stage disease (46.2%), whereas 21 PBC patients had late-stage disease (53.8%). There were no differences between groups in terms of routine hematological parameters (white blood cell count, platelet count, hemoglobin, RDW) or biochemical parameters (alanine aminotransferase, AST, gamma glutamyl transferase, alkaline phosphatase, total bilirubin, albumin) (P>0.05). Similarly, there were no differences in AST platelet ratio index, RDW/platelet ratio, or neutrophil lymphocyte ratio values between groups (P values 0.08, 0.19, and 0.14, respectively). The MPV and direct bilirubin were significantly higher in the advanced stage group compared with the early-stage group (11.08 vs. 9.73 fl, respectively, P=0.01 and 0.44 vs. 0.28 mg/dl, respectively, P=0.03). The area under the curve, cut-off value, sensitivity, and specificity of MPV and direct bilirubin for detecting advanced stage were 0.721, 10.3, 71%, and 66%, respectively, and 0.698, 0.23, 71%, and 66%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

MPV can be used as a noninvasive, simple, and effective parameter in patients with PBC to predict histological severity of the disease.