Transient elastography for screening of liver fibrosis: Cost-effectiveness analysis from six prospective cohorts in Europe and Asia

Diagnostic performance of new BAST score versus FIB-4 index in predicating of the liver fibrosis in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) formerly known as non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most common liver condition globally. The FIB-4 test is used to detect fibrosis in fatty liver disease but has limited accuracy in predicting liver stiffness, resulting in high rates of false positives and negatives. The new BAST scoring system, incorporating waist circumference, AST, and BMI, has been developed to assess the presence of fibrosis in NAFLD patients. This study compares the effectiveness of BAST and FIB-4 in predicting liver fibrosis in MASLD patients.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The study included 140 non-diabetic MASLD patients who underwent transient elastography measurement. BAST score and FIB-4 were calculated for each patient. Patients were grouped based on fibrosis severity; F1, F2, and F3-F4. The sensitivity and specificity of the BAST score and FIB-4 were assessed using receiver operating characteristic curves.

RESULTS

The BAST score increased significantly with fibrosis progression from F1 to F3-F4. In differentiating advanced fibrosis (F2-F3) from mild/moderate fibrosis (F1-F2), the BAST score at cutoff ≤ - 0.451 showed better diagnostic performance with 90.70% sensitivity, 74.07% specificity, 84.8% PPV and 83.3% NPV compared to FIB-4 that had 60.47% sensitivity, 50.0% specificity, 65.8% PPV and 44.3% NPV. Similarly, for differentiating between F1 and F2 fibrosis, the BAST score at cutoff ≤ - 1.11 outperformed FIB-4, with 80.23% sensitivity, 79.49% specificity, 89.6% PPV and 64.6% NPV, while FIB-4 had 59.30% sensitivity, 51.28% specificity, 72.9% PPV and 36% NPV.

CONCLUSIONS

The BAST score is a better predictor of liver fibrosis in MASLD compared to FIB-4, especially in cases of advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis.

Population screening for cirrhosis

In response to the growing health crisis of liver-related morbidity and mortality, screening for liver cirrhosis has emerged as a promising strategy for early detection and timely intervention. By identifying individuals with severe fibrosis or compensated cirrhosis, screening holds the promise of enhancing treatment outcomes, delaying disease progression, and ultimately improving the quality of life of affected individuals. Clinical practice guidelines from international scientific societies currently recommend targeted screening strategies, investigating high-risk populations with known risk factors of liver disease. While there is good evidence that screening increases case finding in the population, and a growing number of studies indicate that screening may motivate beneficial lifestyle changes in patients with steatotic liver disease, there are major gaps in knowledge in need of clarification before screening programs of cirrhosis are implemented. Foremost, randomized trials are needed to ensure that screening leads to improved liver-related morbidity and mortality. If not, screening for cirrhosis could be unethical due to overdiagnosis, overtreatment, increased health care costs, negative psychological consequences of screening, and futile invasive investigations. Moreover, the tests used for screening need to be optimized toward lower false positive rates than the currently used FIB-4 while retaining few false negatives. Finally, barriers to adherence to screening and implementation of screening programs need to be elucidated. This review provides a comprehensive overview of the current landscape of screening strategies for liver cirrhosis and the promises and pitfalls of current methods for early cirrhosis detection.

EASL-EASD-EASO Clinical Practice Guidelines on the management of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD)

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), previously termed non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), is defined as steatotic liver disease (SLD) in the presence of one or more cardiometabolic risk factor(s) and the absence of harmful alcohol intake. The spectrum of MASLD includes steatosis, metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH, previously NASH), fibrosis, cirrhosis and MASH-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This joint EASL-EASD-EASO guideline provides an update on definitions, prevention, screening, diagnosis and treatment for MASLD. Case-finding strategies for MASLD with liver fibrosis, using non-invasive tests, should be applied in individuals with cardiometabolic risk factors, abnormal liver enzymes, and/or radiological signs of hepatic steatosis, particularly in the presence of type 2 diabetes (T2D) or obesity with additional metabolic risk factor(s). A stepwise approach using blood-based scores (such as FIB-4) and, sequentially, imaging techniques (such as transient elastography) is suitable to rule-out/in advanced fibrosis, which is predictive of liver-related outcomes. In adults with MASLD, lifestyle modification - including weight loss, dietary changes, physical exercise and discouraging alcohol consumption - as well as optimal management of comorbidities - including use of incretin-based therapies (e.g. semaglutide, tirzepatide) for T2D or obesity, if indicated - is advised. Bariatric surgery is also an option in individuals with MASLD and obesity. If locally approved and dependent on the label, adults with non-cirrhotic MASH and significant liver fibrosis (stage ≥2) should be considered for a MASH-targeted treatment with resmetirom, which demonstrated histological effectiveness on steatohepatitis and fibrosis with an acceptable safety and tolerability profile. No MASH-targeted pharmacotherapy can currently be recommended for the cirrhotic stage. Management of MASH-related cirrhosis includes adaptations of metabolic drugs, nutritional counselling, surveillance for portal hypertension and HCC, as well as liver transplantation in decompensated cirrhosis.

Low-to-moderate alcohol consumption is associated with increased fibrosis in individuals with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Both metabolic dysfunction and alcohol consumption cause steatotic liver disease (SLD). The distinction between metabolic dysfunction-associated SLD (MASLD) and MetALD categories is based on arbitrary thresholds of alcohol intake. Thus, we assessed the impact of different levels of alcohol consumption on SLD severity and their interaction with metabolic comorbidities.

METHODS

We performed a population-based study with transient elastography (FibroScan®) data from participants in Spain (derivation cohort) and the US (validation cohort). A controlled attenuation parameter ≥275 dB/m was used to define SLD. At least one cardiometabolic risk factor was required to define MASLD. Among patients with MASLD, low alcohol consumption was defined as an average of 5-9 drinks/week, moderate consumption as 10-13 drinks/week for females and 10-20 drinks/week for males, and increased alcohol intake (MetALD) as 14-35 drinks/week for females and 21-42 drinks/week for males. Significant fibrosis was defined as a liver stiffness measurement ≥8 kPa and at-risk metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) as a FAST score ≥0.35.

RESULTS

The derivation cohort included 2,227 individuals with MASLD (9% reported low, 14% moderate alcohol consumption) and 76 cases with MetALD. Overall prevalences of significant fibrosis and at-risk MASH were 7.6% and 14.8%, respectively. In the multivariable analysis, alcohol consumption was independently associated with significant fibrosis and at-risk MASH. A dose-dependent increase in the prevalence of significant fibrosis and at-risk MASH was observed between the number of drinks/week and the number of cardiometabolic factors. The validation cohort included 1,732 participants with MASLD, of whom 17% had significant fibrosis and 13% at-risk MASH. This cohort validated the association between moderate intake and MASLD at risk of progression (odds ratio 1.69, 95% CI 1.06-2.71).

CONCLUSIONS

Moderate alcohol intake is commonly seen in MASLD and increases the risk of advanced disease to a level similar to that observed in MetALD.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

Metabolic risk factors such as overweight, diabetes or dyslipidemia, and alcohol consumption can cause liver disease. These factors frequently coexist, but their joint effects on liver fibrosis remain uncertain. In this study, we have analyzed individuals from the general population with MASLD (metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease) enrolled in Spain and the US. We show that moderate alcohol consumption has a supra-additive effect with metabolic risk factors, exponentially increasing the risk of liver fibrosis. These results suggest that there are no safe limits of daily alcohol intake in patients with unhealthy metabolic status and MASLD.

Screening for liver fibrosis: lessons from colorectal and lung cancer screening

Many countries have incorporated population screening programmes for cancer, such as colorectal and lung cancer, into their health-care systems. Cirrhosis is more prevalent than colorectal cancer and has a comparable age-standardized mortality rate to lung cancer. Despite this fact, there are no screening programmes in place for early detection of liver fibrosis, the precursor of cirrhosis. In this Perspective, we use insights from colorectal and lung cancer screening to explore the benefits, challenges, implementation strategies and pathways for future liver fibrosis screening initiatives. Several non-invasive methods and referral pathways for early identification of liver fibrosis exist, but in addition to accurate detection, screening programmes must also be cost-effective and demonstrate benefit through a reduction in liver-related mortality. Randomized controlled trials are needed to confirm this. Future randomized screening trials should evaluate not only the screening tests, but also interventions used to halt disease progression in individuals identified through screening.

EASL-EASD-EASO Clinical Practice Guidelines on the Management of Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease (MASLD)

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), previously termed non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), is defined as steatotic liver disease (SLD) in the presence of one or more cardiometabolic risk factor(s) and the absence of harmful alcohol intake. The spectrum of MASLD includes steatosis, metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH, previously NASH), fibrosis, cirrhosis and MASH-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This joint EASL-EASD-EASO guideline provides an update on definitions, prevention, screening, diagnosis and treatment for MASLD. Case-finding strategies for MASLD with liver fibrosis, using non-invasive tests, should be applied in individuals with cardiometabolic risk factors, abnormal liver enzymes, and/or radiological signs of hepatic steatosis, particularly in the presence of type 2 diabetes (T2D) or obesity with additional metabolic risk factor(s). A stepwise approach using blood-based scores (such as FIB-4) and, sequentially, imaging techniques (such as transient elastography) is suitable to rule-out/in advanced fibrosis, which is predictive of liver-related outcomes. In adults with MASLD, lifestyle modification - including weight loss, dietary changes, physical exercise and discouraging alcohol consumption - as well as optimal management of comorbidities - including use of incretin-based therapies (e.g. semaglutide, tirzepatide) for T2D or obesity, if indicated - is advised. Bariatric surgery is also an option in individuals with MASLD and obesity. If locally approved and dependent on the label, adults with non-cirrhotic MASH and significant liver fibrosis (stage ≥2) should be considered for a MASH-targeted treatment with resmetirom, which demonstrated histological effectiveness on steatohepatitis and fibrosis with an acceptable safety and tolerability profile. No MASH-targeted pharmacotherapy can currently be recommended for the cirrhotic stage. Management of MASH-related cirrhosis includes adaptations of metabolic drugs, nutritional counselling, surveillance for portal hypertension and HCC, as well as liver transplantation in decompensated cirrhosis.

Rapid appraisal of liver diseases using transient elastography, abdominal ultrasound, and microbiology in Côte d'Ivoire: A single-center study

BACKGROUND

Liver diseases of infectious and non-infectious etiology cause considerable morbidity and mortality, particularly in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). However, data on the prevalence of liver diseases and underlying risk factors in LMICs are scarce. The objective of this study was to elucidate the occurrence of infectious diseases among individuals with chronic liver damage in a rural setting of Côte d'Ivoire.

METHODOLOGY

In 2021, we screened 696 individuals from four villages in the southern part of Côte d'Ivoire for hepatic fibrosis and steatosis, employing transient elastography (TE) and controlled attenuation parameter (CAP). We classified CAP ≥248 dB/m as steatosis, TE ≥7.2 kPa as fibrosis, and did subgroup analysis for participants with TE ranging from 7.2 kPa to 9.1 kPa. Clinical and microbiologic characteristics were compared to an age- and sex-matched control group (TE <6.0 kPa; n = 109). Stool samples were subjected to duplicate Kato-Katz thick smears for diagnosis of Schistosoma mansoni. Venous blood samples were examined for hepatitis B and hepatitis C virus. Additionally, an abdominal ultrasound examination was performed.

PRINCIPAL FINDINGS

Among 684 individuals with valid TE measurements, TE screening identified hepatic pathologies in 149 participants (17% with fibrosis and 6% with steatosis). 419 participants were included for further analyses, of which 261 had complete microbiologic analyses available. The prevalence of S. mansoni, hepatitis B, and hepatitis C were 30%, 14%, and 7%, respectively. Logistic regression analysis revealed higher odds for having TE results between 7.2 kPa and 9.1 kPa in individuals with S. mansoni infection (odds ratio [OR] = 3.02, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.58-5.76, P = 0.001), while HCV infection (OR = 5.02, 95% CI = 1.72-14.69, P = 0.003) and steatosis (OR = 4.62, 95% CI = 1.60-13.35, P = 0.005) were found to be risk factors for TE ≥9.2 kPa.

CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE

Besides viral hepatitis, S. mansoni also warrants consideration as a pathogen causing liver fibrosis in Côte d'Ivoire. In-depth diagnostic work-up among individuals with abnormal TE findings might be a cost-effective public health strategy.

Agile scores in MASLD and ALD: External validation and their utility in clinical algorithms

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Agile scores, including liver stiffness measurements (LSM) and routine clinical/laboratory biomarkers, have been developed for advanced fibrosis (F≥3) and cirrhosis (F4), respectively, in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). We independently validated the diagnostic accuracy of these scores in MASLD, alcohol-related liver disease (ALD) and chronic hepatitis B or C (CHB/C) and assessed them in clinical algorithms with FIB-4 and LSM.

METHODS

We included 4,243 patients (MASLD: 912, ALD: 386, CHB: 597, CHC: 2,348) with LSM, liver biopsy and laboratory tests within 6 months. FIB-4, Agile 3+ and Agile 4 scores were calculated.

RESULTS

For F≥3, the diagnostic accuracy of Agile 3+ and LSM were similar in MASLD (AUC: 0.86 vs. 0.86, p = 0.831) and ALD (0.92 vs. 0.94, p = 0.123). For cirrhosis, Agile 4 was similar to LSM in MASLD (0.89 vs. 0.90, p = 0.412) and ALD (0.94 vs. 0.95, p = 0.513). Agile 3+/4 performed worse than LSM in CHB/C. Using predefined dual thresholds of 90% sensitivity/specificity, correct classification rates in MASLD were 66% vs. 61% using Agile 3+ vs. LS dual cut-offs and 71% vs. 67% in ALD, respectively. When using Agile 3+ or LSM as a second step after FIB-4 >1.3, correct classification rates were higher with Agile 3+ than LSM, both for MASLD (75% vs. 71%) and ALD (76% vs. 72%), with fewer indeterminate results. Positive agreement of LSM and Agile 3+/4 significantly increased the specificity of a diagnosis of advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis.

CONCLUSION

Agile 3+ and Agile 4 have equal diagnostic accuracy with LSM in both MASLD and ALD but result in fewer indeterminate results. Sequential use of FIB-4 and Agile 3+/4 or concurrent Agile 3+/4 and LSM can be used to further optimize F≥3 diagnosis.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

As of today, it is accepted that there will be no single non-invasive test or an isolated cut-off for identifying patients with advanced chronic liver disease. Here, we confirmed that Agile 3+ and Agile 4 scores are useful alternatives to simple liver stiffness measurement in diagnosing advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis in steatotic liver disease, but they do not perform as well in chronic viral hepatitis. Agile scores can help optimize the diagnosis of advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis in a dual cut-off strategy by reducing the number of indeterminate results either alone or in a sequential strategy after FIB-4. The combination of Agile scores and liver stiffness measurement can further increase our confidence in a positive diagnosis of advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis. These novel combination strategies can be useful tools to predict the likelihood of advanced stages of liver disease with the highest possible accuracy in a secondary/tertiary healthcare setting.

Screening for Fibrosis Promotes Lifestyle Changes: A Prospective Cohort Study in 4796 Individuals

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Early detection of liver fibrosis is believed to promote lifestyle changes. We evaluated self-reported changes in alcohol intake, diet, exercise, and weight after participating in a screening study for liver fibrosis.

METHODS

We conducted a prospective screening study of individuals at risk of alcohol-related liver disease (ALD) or metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). We provided lifestyle advice to all participants and evaluated lifestyle changes by questionnaires after 1 week and 6 months, with re-examination of a subgroup after 2 years.

RESULTS

A total of 1850 at risk of ALD and 2946 at risk of MASLD were included, of whom 383 (8%) were screening positive (transient elastography ≥8 kPa). A total of 84% replied to the 6-month questionnaire. In ALD participants, excessive drinking decreased from 46% to 32% after 6 months. Only 15% reported increased drinking, without differences between screening positive and negative individuals (P = .698). In high-risk drinkers, a positive screening test predicted abstinence or decreased alcohol use after 6 months (odds ratio, 2.45; 95% confidence interval, 1.32-4.57; P = .005). After 2 years, excessive drinking decreased from 52% to 41% in a subgroup of 752 individuals and a positive screening test predicted abstinence or decreased alcohol use after 2 years (odds ratio, 1.84; 95% confidence interval, 1.09-3.11, P = .023). MASLD participants showed similar improvements: 35% improved their diet, 22% exercised more, and 13% reported a weight loss ≥5% after 6 months.

CONCLUSIONS

Screening for liver fibrosis is associated with sustained improvements in alcohol consumption, diet, weight, and exercise in at-risk ALD and MASLD. The changes are most pronounced in screening positive participants but not limited to this group.

Accuracy of a sequential algorithm based on FIB-4 and ELF to identify high-risk advanced liver fibrosis at the primary care level

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the leading cause of chronic liver disease, and liver fibrosis is the strongest predictor of morbimortality. We aimed to assess the performance of a sequential algorithm encompassing the Fibrosis 4 (FIB-4) and Enhanced Liver Fibrosis (ELF) scores for identifying patients at risk of advanced fibrosis. This cross-sectional study included one hospital-based cohort with biopsy-proven NAFLD (n = 140) and two primary care cohorts from different clinical settings: Type 2 Diabetes (T2D) follow-up (n = 141) and chronic liver disease (CLD) initial study (n = 138). Logistic regression analysis was performed to assess liver fibrosis diagnosis models based on FIB-4 and ELF biomarkers. The sequential algorithm retrieved the following accuracy parameters in predicting stages F3-4 in the biopsy-confirmed cohort: sensitivity (85%), specificity (73%), negative predictive value (79%) and positive predictive value (81%). In both T2D and CLD cohorts, a total of 28% of patients were classified as stages F3-4. Furthermore, of all F3-4 classified patients in the T2D cohort, 80% had a diagnosis of liver disease and 44% were referred to secondary care. Likewise, of all F3-4 classified patients in the CLD cohort, 71% had a diagnosis of liver disease and 44% were referred to secondary care. These results suggest the potential utility of this algorithm as a liver fibrosis stratifying tool in primary care, where updating referral protocols to detect high-risk F3-4 is needed. FIB-4 and ELF sequential measurement is an efficient strategy to prioritize patients with high risk of F3-4 in populations with metabolic risk factors.

Electronic sanitary database: a new potential tool to identify occult chronic liver disease in general population

Chronic liver disease (CLD) is a leading global cause of mortality, morbidity, and healthcare resource utilization. However, the burden of CLD is underestimated because the course of the disease is often asymptomatic until clinical decompensation and the development of life-threatening complications. In this study, we assessed the use of available blood tests from electronic medical records for identifying individuals with undiagnosed CLD in the general population. We analyzed a total of 202,529 blood tests obtained from 99,848 adults recorded in the Electronic Health Records of the Padova Teaching Hospital. Transaminases levels > 1.5 times the normal value indicated occult CLD, while platelet counts < 120,000/μL identified occult cirrhosis. We characterized patients using Italian Medical Exemptions (IME), excluding oncologic cases. Overt and occult cirrhosis prevalence was 1% and 4.18%, respectively, while overt and occult CLD affected 2.85% and 4.61% of the population. The epidemiology of patients with overt and occult cirrhosis was similar but significantly different from that of the controls. Among subjects aged 60-70 years, working disability was twofold higher in those with occult cirrhosis compared to those with overt cirrhosis. Occult CLD and cirrhosis had higher prevalence rates than diagnosed cases in the general population. Electronic medical record data may serve as a valuable tool for CLD identification, potentially reducing cirrhosis development and clinical decompensation. This, in turn, may lead to a decrease in the economic impact on the healthcare system.

Economic evaluation of non-invasive liver tests for the diagnosis of liver fibrosis in chronic liver diseases: a systematic review protocol

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this review is to determine the costs and benefits of non-invasive liver tests vs liver biopsy in patients with chronic liver diseases.

INTRODUCTION

Hepatic diseases can lead to liver fibrosis, cirrhosis, and hepatocellular carcinoma. In the past, liver biopsy was the only option for diagnosing fibrosis degree. Liver biopsy is an invasive procedure that depends on the sample size to be able to deliver an accurate diagnosis. In recent years, non-invasive liver tests have been increasingly used to estimate liver fibrosis degree; however, there is a lack of economic assessments of technology implementation outcomes.

INCLUSION CRITERIA

This review will include partial (cost studies) and complete economic evaluation studies on hepatitis B, hepatitis C, alcoholic liver disease, and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease that compare non-invasive liver tests with liver biopsies. Studies published in English, French, Spanish, German, Italian, or Portuguese will be included. No date limits will be applied to the search.

METHODS

This review will identify published and unpublished studies. Published studies will be identified using MEDLINE (PubMed), Cochrane Library (CENTRAL), Embase, Web of Science, Scopus, and LILACS. Sources of unpublished studies and gray literature will include sources from health technology assessment agencies, clinical practice guidelines, regulatory approvals, advisories and warnings, and clinical trial registries, as well as Google Scholar. Two independent reviewers will screen and assess studies, and extract and critically appraise the data. Data extracted from the included studies will be analyzed and summarized to address the review objective using narrative text, and the JBI dominance ranking matrix.

REVIEW REGISTRATION

PROSPERO CRD42023404278.

Cost-effectiveness study of FIB-4 followed by transient elastography screening strategy for advanced hepatic fibrosis in a NAFLD at-risk population

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The cost-effectiveness to screen hepatic fibrosis in at-risk population as recommended by several professional societies has been limited. This study aimed to investigate the cost-effectiveness of this screening strategy in the expanded at-risk population recently proposed by several societies.

METHODS

A combined model of the decision tree and Markov models was developed to compare expected costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) between screening and no screening groups. The model included liver disease-related health states and cardiovascular disease (CVD) states as a base-case analysis. Screening strategy consisted of fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) followed by vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) and intensive lifestyle intervention (ILI) as a treatment for diagnosed patients.

RESULTS

Cost-effectiveness analysis showed that screening the at-risk population entailed $298 incremental costs and an additional 0.0199 QALY per patient compared to no screening (ICER $14 949/QALY). Screening was cost-effective based on the implicit ICER threshold of $25 000/QALY in Korea. When the effects of ILI on CVD and extrahepatic malignancy were incorporated into the cost-effectiveness model, the ICER decreased by 0.85 times from the base-case analysis (ICER $12 749/QALY). In contrast, when only the effects of liver disease were considered in the model, excluding cardiovascular disease effects, ICER increased from the baseline case analysis to $16 305. Even when replacing with medical costs in Japan and U.S., it remained cost-effective with the estimate below the countries' ICER threshold.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study provides compelling evidence supporting the cost-effectiveness of FIB-4-based screening the at-risk population for advanced hepatic fibrosis.

Noninvasive Models to Assess Liver Inflammation and Fibrosis in Chronic HBV Infected Patients with Normal or Mildly Elevated Alanine Transaminase Levels: Which One Is Most Suitable?

The prevalence of substantial inflammation or fibrosis in treatment-naïve patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) and normal alanine transaminase (ALT) levels is high. A retrospective analysis was conducted on 559 consecutive patients with hepatitis B virus infection, who underwent liver biopsy, to investigate the value of noninvasive models based on routine serum markers for evaluating liver histology in CHB patients with normal or mildly elevated ALT levels and to provide treatment guidance. After comparing 55 models, we identified the top three models that exhibited excellent performance. The APGA model, based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), demonstrated a superior ability to evaluate significant (AUROC = 0.750) and advanced fibrosis (AUROC = 0.832) and demonstrated a good performance in assessing liver inflammation (AUROCs = 0.779 and 0.874 for stages G ≥ 2 and G ≥ 3, respectively). APGA also exhibited significant correlations with liver inflammation and fibrosis stage (correlation coefficients, 0.452 and 0.405, respectively (p < 0.001)). When the patients were stratified into groups based on HBeAg status and ALT level, APGA consistently outperformed the other 54 models. The other top two models, GAPI and XIE, also outperformed models based on other chronic hepatitis diseases. APGA may be the most suitable option for detecting liver fibrosis and inflammation in Chinese patients with CHB.

Algorithms for Early Detection of Silent Liver Fibrosis in the Primary Care Setting

More than one-third of the adult world population has steatotic liver disease (SLD), with a few percent of individuals developing cirrhosis after decades of silent liver fibrosis accumulation. Lack of systematic early detection causes most patients to be diagnosed late, after decompensation, when treatment has limited effect and survival is poor. Unfortunately, no isolated screening test in primary care can sufficiently predict advanced fibrosis from SLD. Recent efforts, therefore, combine several parameters into screening algorithms, to increase diagnostic accuracy. Besides patient selection, for example, by specific characteristics, algorithms include nonpatented or patented blood tests and liver stiffness measurements using elastography-based techniques. Algorithms can be composed as a set of sequential tests, as recommended by most guidelines on primary care pathways. Future use of algorithms that are easy to interpret, cheap, and semiautomatic will improve the management of patients with SLD, to the benefit of global health care systems.

Tailored Model of Care for Patients with Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), formerly known as nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), is increasing globally, creating a growing public health concern. However, this disease is often not diagnosed, and accurate data on its epidemiology are limited in many geographical regions, making it challenging to provide proper care and implement effective national plans. To combat the increasing disease burden, screening and diagnosis must reach a significant number of high-risk subjects. Addressing MASLD as a health care challenge requires a multidisciplinary approach involving prevention, diagnosis, treatment, and care, with collaboration between multiple stakeholders in the health care system. This approach must be guided by national and global strategies, to be combined with efficient models of care developed through a bottom-up process. This review article highlights the pillars of the MASLD model of care (MoC), including screening, risk stratification, and establishing a clinical care pathway for management, in addition to discussing the impact of nomenclature change on the proposed MoC.

A prospective study on the prevalence of MASLD in people with type-2 diabetes in the community. Cost effectiveness of screening strategies

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

As screening for the liver disease and risk-stratification pathways are not established in patients with type-2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), we evaluated the diagnostic performance and the cost-utility of different screening strategies for MASLD in the community.

METHODS

Consecutive patients with T2DM from primary care underwent screening for liver diseases, ultrasound, ELF score and transient elastography (TE). Five strategies were compared to the standard of care: ultrasound plus abnormal liver function tests (LFTs), Fibrosis score-4 (FIB-4), NAFLD fibrosis score, Enhanced liver fibrosis test (ELF) and TE. Standard of care was defined as abnormal LFTs prompting referral to hospital. A Markov model was built based on the fibrosis stage, defined by TE. We generated the cost per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained and calculated the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) over a lifetime horizon.

RESULTS

Of 300 patients, 287 were included: 64% (186) had MASLD and 10% (28) had other causes of liver disease. Patients with significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis due to MASLD were 17% (50/287), 11% (31/287) and 3% (8/287), respectively. Among those with significant fibrosis classified by LSM≥8.1 kPa, false negatives were 54% from ELF and 38% from FIB-4. On multivariate analysis, waist circumference, BMI, AST levels and education rank were independent predictors of significant and advanced fibrosis. All the screening strategies were associated with QALY gains, with TE (148.73 years) having the most substantial gains, followed by FIB-4 (134.07 years), ELF (131.68 years) and NAFLD fibrosis score (121.25 years). In the cost-utility analysis, ICER was £2480/QALY for TE, £2541.24/QALY for ELF and £2059.98/QALY for FIB-4.

CONCLUSION

Screening for MASLD in the diabetic population in primary care is cost-effective and should become part of a holistic assessment. However, traditional screening strategies, including FIB-4 and ELF, underestimate the presence of significant liver disease in this setting.

ACG Clinical Guideline: Alcohol-Associated Liver Disease

ABSTRACT

Alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) is the most common cause of advanced hepatic disease and frequent indication for liver transplantation worldwide. With harmful alcohol use as the primary risk factor, increasing alcohol use over the past decade has resulted in rapid growth of the ALD-related healthcare burden. The spectrum of ALD ranges from early asymptomatic liver injury to advanced disease with decompensation and portal hypertension. Compared with those with other etiologies of liver disease, patients with ALD progress faster and more often present at an advanced stage. A unique phenotype of advanced disease is alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH) presenting with rapid onset or worsening of jaundice, and acute on chronic liver failure in severe forms conveying a 1-month mortality risk of 20%-50%. The model for end stage disease score is the most accurate score to stratify AH severity (>20 defined as severe disease). Corticosteroids are currently the only available therapeutic with proven efficacy for patients with severe AH, providing survival benefit at 1 month in 50%-60% of patients. Abstinence of alcohol use, a crucial determinant of long-term outcomes, is challenging to achieve in ALD patients with concurrent alcohol use disorder (AUD). As patients with ALD are rarely treated for AUD, strategies are needed to overcome barriers to AUD treatment in patients with ALD and to promote a multidisciplinary integrated care model with hepatology, addiction medicine providers, and social workers to comprehensively manage the dual pathologies of liver disease and of AUD. Liver transplantation, a definitive treatment option in patients with advanced cirrhosis, should be considered in selected patients with AH, who are unresponsive to medical therapy and have a low risk of relapse to posttransplant alcohol use. Level of evidence and strength of recommendations were evaluated using the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluations system. This guideline was developed under the American College of Gastroenterology Practice Parameters Committee.

A J-shaped relationship between body mass index and the risk of elevated liver stiffness: a cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

Liver stiffness (LS) is regarded as an indicator of the stages of liver fibrosis and liver cirrhosis. Numerous studies have investigated the relationship between body mass index (BMI) and LS; however, the conclusions remain controversial. In the current study, we utilized transient elastography (TE) technique, which could measure LS in a non-painful and noninvasive way, to explore the relationship between BMI and the risk of elevated LS in common community residents.

METHODS

5791 participants were included in the present study. To calculate BMI value, height and weight of the participants were carefully measured. Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) > 9.1 kPa was considered as a cutoff suggesting elevated LS. The relationship of BMI and risk of elevated LS was derived using generalized linear regression models, and the threshold effect was then analyzed by smooth curve fitting and segmented regression model.

RESULTS

Elevated LS was detected in 230 participants (3.97%) using the TE technique. After potential confounders were adjusted according to the individual's demographic variables, underlying comorbidities and blood biochemical test results, we observed a J-shaped relationship between BMI and the risk of elevated LS, with the inflection point at 23.05 kg/m2. The effect size (and confidence interval) was 0.84 (0.71, 0.98) on the left side of the inflection point, and 1.32 (1.24, 1.41) on the right side of it.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study found a novel J-shaped relationship between BMI and the risk of elevated LS assessed by TE technique. Abnormal BMI, either higher or lower, was associated with an increased risk of elevated LS.

Clinical study of standard residual liver volume and transient elastography in predicting poor prognosis of patients after hemihepatectomy

BACKGROUND

Liver cancer resection, especially in patients with hemihepatectomy or extended hemihepatectomy, often leads to poor prognosis, such as liver insufficiency and even liver failure and death, because the standard residual liver volume (SRLV) cannot be fully compensated after surgery.

AIM

To explore the risk factors of poor prognosis after hemihepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma and evaluate the application value of related prognostic approaches.

METHODS

The clinical data of 35 patients with primary liver cancer in Nantong Third People's Hospital from February 2016 to July 2020 were retrospectively analyzed. The receiver operating characteristic curve was created using medcac19.0.4 to compare the critical values of the SRLV in different stages of liver fibrosis after hemihepatectomy with those of liver dysfunction after hemihepatectomy. It was constructed by combining the Child-Pugh score to evaluate its application value in predicting liver function compensation.

RESULTS

The liver stiffness measure (LSM) value and SRLV were associated with liver dysfunction after hemihepatectomy. Logistic regression analysis showed that an LSM value ≥ 25 kPa [odds ratio (OR) = 6.254, P < 0.05] and SRLV ≤ 0.290 L/m2 (OR = 5.686, P < 0.05) were independent risk factors for postoperative liver dysfunction. The accuracy of the new liver reserve evaluation model for predicting postoperative liver function was higher than that of the Child-Pugh score (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

SRLV and LSM values can be used to evaluate the safety of hemihepatectomy. The new liver reserve evaluation model has good application potential in the evaluation of liver reserve function after hemihepatectomy.

Clinical practice guidelines of the Catalan Society of Gastroenterology about hepatic elastography 2022

INTRODUCTION

After almost 20 years using transient elastography (TE) for the non-invasive diagnosis of liver fibrosis, its use has been extended to population screening, evaluation of steatosis and complications of cirrhosis. For this reason, the «Catalan Society of Gastroenterology» commissioned a group of experts to update the first document carried out in 2011.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

The working group (8 doctors and 4 nurses) prepared a panel of questions based on the online survey «Hepatic Elastography in Catalonia 2022» following the PICO structure and the Delphi method.

RESULTS

The answers are presented with the level of evidence, the degree of recommendation and the final consensus after being evaluated by two external reviewers.

CONCLUSION

Transient elastography uses the simplest and most reliable elastographic method to quantify liver fibrosis, assess steatosis, and determine the risk of complications in patients with cirrhosis. The document has been endorsed by the "Catalan Society of Gastroenterology" and the "Col·legi Oficial d'Infermeres i Infermers de Barcelona".

Liver biopsy-based validation, confirmation and comparison of the diagnostic performance of established and novel non-invasive steatotic liver disease indexes: Results from a large multi-center study

BACKGROUND

Non-invasive tools (NIT) for metabolic-dysfunction associated liver disease (MASLD) screening or diagnosis need to be thoroughly validated using liver biopsies.

PURPOSE

To externally validate NITs designed to differentiate the presence or absence of liver steatosis as well as more advanced disease stages, to confirm fully validated indexes (n = 7 NITs), to fully validate partially validated indexes (n = 5 NITs), and to validate for the first time one new index (n = 1 NIT).

METHODS

This is a multi-center study from two Gastroenterology-Hepatology Departments (Greece and Australia) and one Bariatric-Metabolic Surgery Department (Italy). Overall, n = 455 serum samples of patients with biopsy-proven MASLD (n = 374, including 237 patients with metabolic-dysfunction associated steatohepatitis (MASH)) and Controls (n = 81) were recruited. A complete validation analysis was performed to differentiate the presence of MASLD vs. Controls, MASH vs. metabolic-dysfunction associated steatotic liver (MASL), histological features of MASH, and fibrosis stages.

RESULTS

The index of NASH (ION) demonstrated the highest differentiation ability for the presence of MASLD vs. Controls, with the area under the curve (AUC) being 0.894. For specific histological characterization of MASH, no NIT demonstrated adequate performance, while in the case of specific features of MASH, such as hepatocellular ballooning and lobular inflammation, ION demonstrated the best performance with AUC being close to or above 0.850. For fibrosis (F) classification, the highest AUC was reached by the aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI) being ~0.850 yet only with the potential to differentiate the severe fibrosis stages (F3, F4) vs. mild or moderate fibrosis (F0-2) with an AUC > 0.900 in patients without T2DM. When we excluded patients with morbid obesity, the differentiation ability of APRI was improved, reaching AUC = 0.802 for differentiating the presence of fibrosis F2-4 vs. F0-1. The recommended by current guidelines index FIB-4 seemed to differentiate adequately between severe (i.e., F3-4) and mild or moderate fibrosis (F0-2) with an AUC = 0.820, yet this was not the case when FIB-4 was used to classify patients with fibrosis F2-4 vs. F0-1. Trying to improve the predictive value of all NITs, using Youden's methodology, to optimize the suggested cut-off points did not materially improve the results.

CONCLUSIONS

The validation of currently available NITs using biopsy-proven samples provides new evidence for their ability to differentiate between specific disease stages, histological features, and, most importantly, fibrosis grading. The overall performance of the examined NITs needs to be further improved for applications in the clinic.

Costs of a structured early detection program for advanced liver fibrosis and cirrhosis: insights on the "plus" of Check-up 35

BACKGROUND

The implementation of an early detection program for liver cirrhosis in a general population has been discussed for some time. Recently, the effectiveness of a structured screening procedure, called SEAL (Structured Early detection of Asymptomatic Liver cirrhosis), using liver function tests (AST and ALT) and APRI to early detect advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis in participants of the German "Check-up 35" was investigated.

METHODS

This study identifies the expected diagnostic costs of SEAL in routine care and their drivers and reports on prevailing CLD etiologies in this check-up population. The analysis is based on theoretical unit costs, as well as on the empirical billing and diagnostic data of SEAL participants.

RESULTS

Screening costs are mainly driven by liver biopsies, which are performed in a final step in some patients. Depending on the assumed biopsy rates and the diagnostic procedure, the average diagnostic costs are between EUR 5.99 and 13.74 per Check-up 35 participant and between EUR 1,577.06 and 3,620.52 per patient diagnosed with fibrosis/cirrhosis (F3/F4). The prevailing underlying etiology in 60% of cases is non-alcoholic fatty liver disease.

DISCUSSION

A liver screening following the SEAL algorithm could be performed at moderate costs. Screening costs in routine care depend on actual biopsy rates and procedures, attendance rates at liver specialists, and the prevalence of fibrosis in the Check-up 35 population. The test for viral hepatitis newly introduced to Check-up 35 as once-in-a-lifetime part of Check-up 35 is no alternative to SEAL.

Development, validation, and prognostic evaluation of a risk score for long-term liver-related outcomes in the general population: a multicohort study

BACKGROUND

Liver cirrhosis is a major cause of death worldwide. Cirrhosis develops after a long asymptomatic period of fibrosis progression, with the diagnosis frequently occurring late, when major complications or cancer develop. Few reliable tools exist for timely identification of individuals at risk of cirrhosis to allow for early intervention. We aimed to develop a novel score to identify individuals at risk for future liver-related outcomes.

METHODS

We derived the LiverRisk score from an international prospective cohort of individuals from six countries without known liver disease from the general population, who underwent liver fibrosis assessment by transient elastography. The score included age, sex, and six standard laboratory variables. We created four groups: minimal risk, low risk, medium risk, and high risk according to selected cutoff values of the LiverRisk score (6, 10, and 15). The model's discriminatory accuracy and calibration were externally validated in two prospective cohorts from the general population. Moreover, we ascertained the prognostic value of the score in the prediction of liver-related outcomes in participants without known liver disease with median follow-up of 12 years (UK Biobank cohort).

FINDINGS

We included 14 726 participants: 6357 (43·2%) in the derivation cohort, 4370 (29·7%) in the first external validation cohort, and 3999 (27·2%) in the second external validation cohort. The score accurately predicted liver stiffness in the development and external validation cohorts, and was superior to conventional serum biomarkers of fibrosis, as measured by area under the receiver-operating characteristics curve (AUC; 0·83 [95% CI [0·78-0·89]) versus the fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4; 0·68 [0·61-0·75] at 10 kPa). The score was effective in identifying individuals at risk of liver-related mortality, liver-related hospitalisation, and liver cancer, thereby allowing stratification to different risk groups for liver-related outcomes. The hazard ratio for liver-related mortality in the high-risk group was 471 (95% CI 347-641) compared with the minimal risk group, and the overall AUC of the score in predicting 10-year liver-related mortality was 0·90 (0·88-0·91) versus 0.84 (0·82-0·86) for FIB-4.

INTERPRETATION

The LiverRisk score, based on simple parameters, predicted liver fibrosis and future development of liver-related outcomes in the general population. The score might allow for stratification of individuals according to liver risk and thus guide preventive care.

FUNDING

European Commission under the H20/20 programme; Fondo de Investigación Sanitaria de Salud; Instituto de Salud Carlos III; Spanish Ministry of Economy, Industry, and Competitiveness; the European Regional Development Fund; and the German Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF).

The first external validation of the Dallas steatosis index in biopsy-proven Non-alcoholic fatty liver Disease: A multicenter study

AIMS

A new non-invasive tool (NIT) for non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) proposed in 2022 by the multi-ethnic Dallas Heart Study, i.e. the Dallas Steatosis Index (DSI), was validated herein using for the first time the gold standard i.e. liver biopsy-proven NAFLD.

METHODS

This is a multicenter study based on samples and data from two Gastroenterology-Hepatology Clinics (Greece and Australia) and one Bariatric-Metabolic Surgery Clinic (Italy). Overall, n = 455 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD (n = 374) and biopsy-proven controls (n = 81) were recruited.

RESULTS

The ability of DSI to correctly classify participants as NAFLD or controls was very good, reaching an Area Under the Curve (AUC) = 0.887. The cut-off point that could best differentiate the presence vs. absence of NAFLD corresponded to DSI = 0.0 (risk threshold: 50% | Sensitivity: 0.88; Positive Predictive Value (PPV): 93.0%; F1-score = 0.91). DSI demonstrated significantly better performance characteristics than other liver steatosis indexes. Decision curve analysis revealed that the benefit of DSI as a marker to indicate the need for invasive liver assessment was confirmed only when higher DSI values, i.e. ≥ 1.4, were used as risk thresholds. DSI performance to differentiate disease progression was inadequate (all AUCs < 0.700).

CONCLUSIONS

DSI is more useful for disease screening (NAFLD vs. controls) than to differentiate diseases stages or progression. The value of any inclusion of DSI to guidelines needs to be further studied.

The prognosis of citrin deficiency differs between early-identified newborn and later-onset symptomatic infants

BACKGROUND

The prognosis for patients with citrin deficiency is not always benign. This study examined the differences between patients identified early by newborn screening and patients identified later with cholestasis/hepatitis.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective study included 42 patients with genetically confirmed SLC25A13 mutations who were born between May 1996 and August 2019. Fifteen patients were identified during newborn screening (NBS group) and 27 patients were identified through the onset of cholestasis/hepatitis in infancy (clinical group).

RESULTS

Overall, 90% of the patients presented with cholestasis, among whom 86% (31/36) recovered at a median age of 174 days. Compared with patients in the clinical group, patients in the NBS group were significantly younger at diagnosis and at cholestasis-free achievement; they also had significantly lower levels of peak direct bilirubin and liver enzymes. At the median follow-up age of 11.8 years, 21% of the patients had dyslipidemia, whereas 36% of the patients had failure to thrive. The overall mortality rate was 2.4%. Variant c.851_854del was the most frequent, constituting 44% of the mutant alleles.

CONCLUSION

Patients identified early by NBS had a better prognosis, demonstrating the importance of a timely diagnosis of NICCD and the need for careful follow-up.

IMPACT

Some cases of neonatal intrahepatic cholestasis caused by citrin deficiency (NICCD) are not benign. Compared with patients identified later based on the presence of cholestasis/hepatitis, patients identified early by newborn screening have less severe cholestasis and are cholestasis-free at a significantly younger age. A timely diagnosis is needed, along with follow-up examinations that assess metabolic profile and body weight, to improve the long-term prognosis of NICCD patients.

Application of multi-echo Dixon and MRS in quantifying hepatic fat content and staging liver fibrosis

This study associated the liver proton density fat fraction (PDFF), measured by multi-echo Dixon (ME-Dixon) and breath-hold single-voxel high-speed T2-corrected multi-echo 1H magnetic resonance spectroscopy (HISTO) at 1.5 T, with serum biomarkers and liver fibrosis stages. This prospective study enrolled 75 patients suspected of liver fibrosis and scheduled for liver biopsy and 23 healthy participants with normal liver function. The participant underwent ME-Dixon and HISTO scanning. The agreement of PDFF measured by ME-Dixon (PDFF-D) and HISTO (PDFF-H) were compared. Correlations between PDFF and serum fat biomarkers (total cholesterol, triglyceride, and high- and low-density lipoproteins) and the liver fibrosis stages were assessed. PDFF were compared among the liver fibrosis stages (F0-F4) based on clinical liver biopsies. The Bland-Altman plot showed agreement between PDFF-D and PDFF-H(LoA, - 4.44 to 6.75), which have high consistency (ICC 0.752, P < 0.001). The correlations with the blood serum markers were mild to moderate (PDFF-H: r = 0.261-0.410, P < 0.01; PDFF-D: r = 0.265-0.367, P < 0.01). PDFF-D, PDFF-H, and steatosis were distributed similarly among the liver fibrosis stages. PDFF-H showed a slight negative correlation with the liver fibrosis stages (r = - 0.220, P = 0.04). Both ME-Dixon and HISTO sequences measured liver fat content noninvasively. Liver fat content was not directly associated with liver fibrosis stages.

Healthcare and socioeconomic costs of NAFLD: A global framework to navigate the uncertainties

Left unaddressed, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) will continue to have substantial health, economic and social implications. To address the challenge, a paradigm shift is needed in the way NAFLD is conceptualised. Concerted, collaborative action across medical specialities, industry sectors and governments will be vital in tackling this public health threat. To drive this change, in this review, we present data on the current global healthcare and socioeconomic costs of NAFLD and highlight priority actions. The estimated healthcare costs of patients with NAFLD are nearly twice as high as their age-matched counterparts without the disease and are highest in those with advanced fibrosis and end-stage liver disease. NAFLD is accountable for the highest increase in DALYs (disability-adjusted life years) among all liver diseases globally. NAFLD and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH)-specific drug therapies are not yet available and there is considerable uncertainty regarding cost, optimal length of treatment, and their impact on liver-related outcomes and mortality. Among the currently available bariatric procedures, sleeve gastrectomy is reported to be the most cost-effective for NASH resolution. Gastric bypass remains very expensive, while data on bariatric endoscopy are limited. Lastly, we propose a global NAFLD/NASH investment framework to guide the development of achievable yet ambitious country-specific targets and strategic actions to optimise resource allocation and reduce the prevalence of NAFLD and NASH. Its focus on high-level inputs will be critical to enabling a political and financial environment that supports clinical-level implementation of NAFLD prevention, treatment and care efforts, across all settings.

Prospective study of a case-finding algorithm to detect NAFLD with advanced fibrosis in primary care patients

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Primary care providers need strategies to identify NAFLD patients and select for specialty referral, but proposed algorithms have only been studied in established NAFLD patients.

METHODS

We implemented an algorithm for all adults with diabetes mellitus in a large primary care practice and excluded hepatitis B and C or alcohol use. Applying annual Fibrosis-4 Index and NAFLD Fibrosis Score for 5 years, we categorized patients as low-risk, indeterminate-risk, or high-risk for advanced fibrosis. We targeted all high-risk and messaged each primary care provider, recommending hepatology linkage. We collected final diagnosis and fibrosis (F0-4) outcomes. Using multivariable logistic regression, we assessed risk factors for advanced fibrosis stage (F3-4).

RESULTS

Of 3028 patients, 1018 were low-risk, 577 indeterminate-risk, and 611 high-risk. There were 264 target patients; their 89 primary care providers received a message per patient suggesting hepatology referral. The majority (n=149) were referred; at triage, 118 were deemed likely NAFLD. Of these, 90 completed visits, 78/90 were diagnosed as NAFLD, and 69/78 underwent fibrosis staging, with F3 to 4 in 25/69. In multivariable analysis, hemoglobin A1c ≥8% (OR=7.02, 95% CI: 1.29-38.18) and Fibrosis-4 Index (OR=1.79, 95% CI: 1.07-2.99) were associated with increased risk of F3 to 4.

CONCLUSIONS

This is the first prospective study testing a case-finding strategy in primary care and almost 1/3 of diabetes mellitus were high-risk for advanced fibrosis. When prompted, 73% of primary care providers placed referrals and 76% of patients completed visits, revealing 86% NAFLD and 36% F3 to 4. This study demonstrates the readiness for such a strategy in primary care; integrating hemoglobin A1c into this algorithm may further improve the performance of Fibrosis-4 Index in this setting.

High prevalence of liver fibrosis among general population: a Romanian population-based study

BACKGROUND

Cirrhosis can be present undected for years prior to a symptomatic presentation. Early detection may result in improved outcomes. Data are lacking, however, regarding the yield of screening in many populations. We aimed to determined prevalence of significant liver fibrosis diagnosed by vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) in apparently healthy Romanians.

METHODS

Between December 2021 and March 2022, we prospectively screened 1,027 subjects from different counties of Northeastern Romania using VCTE and B-mode ultrasonagraphy after a comprehensive medical history questionnaire. Participants with abnormal liver stiffness measurement values were further evaluated by laboratory tests to identify the severity and etiology of chronic liver disease.

RESULTS

Overall, 17.9% of subjects had liver stiffness measurments (LSM) ≥8 kpa, including 55 with LSM ≥13.0 kpa. Among these subjects, 26.1% had a history of heavy alcohol intake, 22.3% tested positive for hepatitis B and/or C infection, and 49.5% were diagnosed with NAFLD. The prevalence of elevated LSM was highest among older subjects (>60 y old) and those with diabetes. Among those with LSM ≥13 kPa and ≥9.6 kpa, FIB-4 was <2.67 in 46.9% and 87.5% respectively.

CONCLUSION

There is high prevalence of significant liver fibrosis in the Romanian general population. VCTE is a usefool tool for early detection of liver disease and appears more sensitive than FIB-4.

Screening strategy for non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most common chronic liver disease, affecting approximately 25% of the general population worldwide, and is forecasted to increase global health burden in the 21st century. With the advancement of non-invasive tests for assessing and monitoring of steatosis and fibrosis, NAFLD screening is now feasible, and is increasingly highlighted in international guidelines related to hepatology, endocrinology, and pediatrics. Identifying high-risk populations (e.g., diabetes mellitus, obesity, metabolic syndrome) based on risk factors and metabolic characteristics for non-invasive screening is crucial and may aid in designing screening strategies to be more precise and effective. Many screening modalities are currently available, from serum-based methods to ultrasonography, transient elastography, and magnetic resonance imaging, although the diagnostic performance, cost, and accessibility of different methods may impact the actual implementation. A two-step assessment with serum-based fibrosis-4 index followed by imaging test vibration-controlled transient elastography can be an option to stratify the risk of liverrelated complications in NAFLD. There is a need for fibrosis surveillance, as well as investigating the cost-effectiveness of different screening algorithms and engaging primary care for first-stage triage screening.

Burden of significant liver damage in people living with HIV after microelimination of the hepatitis C virus

BACKGROUND

Once HIV/HCV-coinfection microelimination has been virtually achieved in some countries, there is no information about the burden of liver disease among people living with HIV (PLWH). The aim of this study was to define the current prevalence and causes of significant liver damage (SLD) in PLWH.

METHODS

Cross-sectional study including 619 PLWH. SLD was defined as liver stiffness (LS) ≥ 7.2 kPa measured by transient elastography. Nonviral liver damage (NVLD) was considered if there was no evidence injury due to chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, active hepatitis B (HBV) or E virus infections.

RESULTS

One hundred and twelve of 619 (18.2%) PLWH showed SLD, including 34/112 (5.5%) with LS ≥14 kPa. 72/112 (64.3%) had cured HCV infection, 4/112 (3.6%) active HBV infection, and 2/112 HBV/prior HCV coinfection. Thus, 40 (35.7%) showed NVLD. Metabolic associated steatohepatitis (MASH) was present in 29/40 (72.5%) of patients with NVLD, alcoholic liver damage in 2/40 (2.5%) and mixed steatohepatitis in 5/40 (12.5%).

CONCLUSIONS

After HIV/HCV microelimination the burden of liver damage is high among PLWH. Persistent injury after HCV is a very frequent cause of SLD. However, NVLD, mainly due to MASH, is also a common condition in this population.

Spectrum, Screening, and Diagnosis of Alcohol-related Liver Disease

Alcohol-related liver disease (ALD) represents one of the leading causes of chronic liver disease and is a major cause of liver-related deaths worldwide. ALD encompasses a range of disorders including simple steatosis, alcoholic steatohepatitis, fibrosis, cirrhosis, and hepatocellular carcinoma. Patients with underlying ALD and continued heavy alcohol consumption can also develop an episode of acute-on-chronic liver injury called alcohol-associated hepatitis, the most severe form of the disease, which portends a poor prognosis. The most important risk factor for the development of ALD is the amount of alcohol consumed. Individual susceptibility to progression to advanced fibrosis among heavy drinkers is likely determined by a combination of behavioral, environmental, genetic, and epigenetic factors, but the mechanisms are largely unknown. The only effective therapy for ALD is prolonged alcohol abstinence. Diagnosis of ALD involves assessing patients for alcohol use disorder and signs of advanced liver disease. In clinical practice, the histological assessment for ALD diagnosis is uncommon, and it is usually based on the medical history, clinical manifestations, and laboratory and imaging tests. Several promising biomarkers that can have both diagnostic and prognostic value in patients with ALD have been identified in recent years. This review provides an overview of the clinical spectrum of ALD, the diagnostic approach of the disease from different perspectives as well as current diagnostic and prognostic biomarkers.

Update on the role of elastography in liver disease

The diagnosis of liver fibrosis and the assessment of its severity are important to provide appropriate management, to determine the prognosis or the need for surveillance. Currently, for fibrosis staging, liver stiffness measurement (LSM) with the shear wave elastography (SWE) techniques is considered a reliable substitute for liver biopsy in several clinical scenarios. Nonetheless, it should be emphasized that stiffness value is a biomarker of diffuse liver disease that must be interpreted taking into consideration anamnesis, clinical and laboratory data. In patients with diffuse liver disease, it is more clinically relevant to determine the likelihood of advanced disease rather than to obtain an exact stage of liver fibrosis using a histologic classification. In this regard, a 'rule of five' for LSMs with vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) and a 'rule of four' for LSMs with the acoustic radiation force impulse (ARFI)-based techniques have been proposed. In patients with advanced chronic liver disease (CLD), the risk of liver decompensation increases with increasing liver stiffness value. SWE has been proposed as a tool to predict the risk of death or complications in patients with CLD. LSM by VCTE combined with platelets count is a validated non-invasive method for varices screening, with very good results in terms of invasive procedures being spared. ARFI-based techniques also show some promising results in this setting. LSM, alone or combined in scores or algorithms with other parameters, is used to evaluate the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma occurrence. Due to the high prevalence of CLD, screening the population at risk is of interest but further studies are needed.

Prognostic Value of Hepatic Native T1 and Extracellular Volume Fraction in Patients with Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension

Background

Right heart failure may lead to impaired liver perfusion and venous congestion, resulting in different extents of liver fibrosis. However, whether hepatic tissue deterioration determined by native T1 mapping and extracellular volume fraction using cardiac magnetic resonance imaging is associated with poor outcomes in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension remains unclear.

Methods and Results

A total of 131 participants with pulmonary arterial hypertension (mean age, 36±13 years) and 64 healthy controls (mean age, 44±18) between October 2013 and December 2019 were prospectively enrolled. Hepatic native T1 and extracellular volume fraction values were measured using modified Look–Locker inversion recovery T1 mapping sequences. The primary end point was all‐cause mortality; the secondary end point was all‐cause mortality and repeat hospitalization attributable to heart failure. Cox regression models and Kaplan–Meier survival analysis were used to identify the association between variables and clinical outcome. During a median follow‐up of 34.5 months (interquartile range: 25.3–50.8), hepatic native T1 (hazard ratio per 30‐ms increase, 1.22 [95% CI, 1.07–1.39]; P =0.003) and extracellular volume fraction (hazard ratio per 3% increase, 1.18 [95% CI, 1.04–1.34]; P =0.010) values were associated with a higher risk of death. In the multivariate Cox model, hepatic native T1 value (hazard ratio per 30‐ms increase, 1.15 [95% CI, 1.04–1.27]; P =0.009) remained as an independent prognostic factor for the secondary end point.

Conclusions

Hepatic T1 mapping values were predictors of adverse cardiovascular events in participants with pulmonary arterial hypertension and could be novel imaging biomarkers for poor prognosis recognition.

Low Accuracy of FIB-4 and NAFLD Fibrosis Scores for Screening for Liver Fibrosis in the Population

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) and the nonalcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (NFS) are the 2 most popular noninvasive blood-based serum tests proposed for widespread fibrosis screening. We therefore aimed to describe the accuracy of FIB-4 and NFS to detect elevated liver stiffness as an indicator of hepatic fibrosis in low-prevalence populations.

METHODS

This study included a total of 5129 patients with concomitant measurement of FIB-4, NFS, and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by Fibroscan (Echosens, France) from 5 independent population-based cohorts from Spain, Hong Kong, Denmark, England, and France; 3979 participants from the general population and 1150 from at-risk cohorts due to alcohol, diabetes, or obesity. We correlated LSM with FIB-4 and NFS, and calculated pre- and post-test predictive values of FIB-4 and NFS to detect elevated LSM at 8 kPa and 12 kPa cutoffs. The mean age was 53 ± 12 years, the mean body mass index was 27 ± 5 kg/m², and 2439 (57%) were women. One in 10 patients (552; 11%) had liver stiffness ≥8 kPa, but 239 of those (43%) had a normal FIB-4, and 171 (31%) had normal NFS. The proportion of false-negatives was higher in at-risk patients than the general population. FIB-4 was false-negative in 11% of diabetic subjects, compared with 2.5% false-negatives with NFS. Waist circumference outperformed FIB-4 and NFS for detecting LSM ≥8 kPa in the general population. Almost one-third (28%-29%) of elevated FIB-4/NFS were false-positive in both the general population and at-risk cohorts.

CONCLUSIONS

FIB-4 and NFS are suboptimal for screening purposes due to a high risk of overdiagnosis and a non-negligible percentage of false-negatives, especially in patients with risk factors for chronic liver disease. Waist circumference emerged as a potential first step to identify patients at risk for liver fibrosis in the general population.

Accuracy of FIB-4 to Detect Elevated Liver Stiffness Measurements in Patients with Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: A Cross-Sectional Study in Referral Centers

The identification of advanced fibrosis by applying noninvasive tests is still a key component of the diagnostic algorithm of NAFLD. The aim of this study is to assess the concordance between the FIB-4 and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) in patients referred to two liver centers for the ultrasound-based diagnosis of NAFLD. Fibrosis 4 Index for Liver Fibrosis (FIB-4) and LSM were assessed in 1338 patients. A total of 428 (32%) had an LSM ≥ 8 kPa, whereas 699 (52%) and 113 (9%) patients had an FIB-4 < 1.3 and >3.25, respectively. Among 699 patients with an FIB-4 < 1.3, 118 (17%) had an LSM ≥ 8 kPa (false-negative FIB-4). This proportion was higher in patients ≥60 years, with diabetes mellitus (DM), arterial hypertension or a body mass index (BMI) ≥ 27 kg/m2. In multiple adjusted models, age ≥ 60 years (odds ratio (OR) = 1.96, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.19−3.23)), DM (OR = 2.59, 95% CI 1.63−4.13), body mass index (BMI) ≥ 27 kg/m2 (OR = 2.17, 95% CI 1.33−3.56) and gamma-glutamyltransferase ≥ 25 UI/L (OR = 2.68, 95% CI 1.49−4.84) were associated with false-negative FIB-4. The proportion of false-negative FIB-4 was 6% in patients with none or one of these risk factors and increased to 16, 31 and 46% among those with two, three and four concomitant risk factors, respectively. FIB-4 is suboptimal to identify patients to refer to liver centers, because about one-fifth may be false negative at FIB-4, having instead an LSM ≥ 8 KPa.

A higher FIB-4 index is associated with an increased incidence of renal failure in the general population

The Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) is a recommended noninvasive fibrosis test in patients at risk of liver fibrosis. Chronic liver diseases are often associated with kidney diseases. This study aimed to investigate the association between FIB-4 and the development of renal failure among the general population. For this study, we used the Disease Analyzer database, which includes diagnoses and basic medical and demographic data of patients followed in general practices in Germany. Using these data, we extensively matched patients with a FIB-4 index ≥ 1.3 (n = 66,084) to patients with a FIB-4 index < 1.3 (n = 66,084). The primary outcome was the incidence of renal failure or chronic renal failure during a 10-year period. Within 10 years of the index date, 9.2% of patients with a FIB-4 < 1.3 and 10.6% of patients with a FIB-4 ≥ 1.3 were diagnosed with renal failure (p = 0.007). The endpoint chronic renal failure was reached by 7.9% with a FIB-4 < 1.3 and 9.5% with a FIB-4 ≥ 1.3 (p < 0.001). A FIB-4 index ≥ 1.3 was associated with a slight increase in renal failure incidence (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.08, p = 0.009). There was an increasing association between an increase in FIB-4 index and the incidence of renal failure with the strongest association for a FIB-4 index ≥ 2.67 (HR: 1.34, p = 0.001). In sensitivity analyses, a significant association was found for the age group of 51-60 years (HR: 1.38, p < 0.001), patients with arterial hypertension (HR: 1.15, p < 0.001), obese patients (HR: 1.25, p = 0.005), and patients with lipid metabolism disorders (HR:1.22, p < 0.001). Conclusion: A higher FIB-4 index is associated with an increased incidence of renal failure. Therefore, the FIB-4 index may be useful in identifying patients who are at risk not only for liver-related events but also for renal disease.

Diagnostic Accuracy of Elastography and Liver Disease: A Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Ultrasound-based transient elastography (TE) is a non-invasive alternative to liver biopsy for the staging of hepatic fibrosis due to various chronic liver diseases. This meta-analysis aims to assess the diagnostic accuracy of TE for detecting liver cirrhosis (F4) and severe fibrosis (F3) in patients with chronic liver diseases, in comparison to the gold standard liver biopsy.

METHODS

A systematic search was performed using PubMed search engine following Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) guidelines from inception to May 2021. The meta-analysis studies evaluating the diagnostic accuracy of TE for severe fibrosis and cirrhosis were identified. We conducted a meta-meta-analysis to generate pooled estimates of the sensitivity, specificity, and diagnostic odds ratios (ORs) for F3 and F4 fibrosis stage.

RESULTS

We included five studies with a total of 124 sub-studies and 20,341 patients in our analysis. Three studies have reported the diagnostic accuracy of TE in detecting F3/severe fibrosis stage and found 81.9% pooled sensitivity (95% confidence interval (CI): 79.9-83.7%; P < 0.001) (I2 = 0%), 84.7% pooled specificity (95% CI: 81.3-87.6%) (I2 = 81%; P = 0.02). All five studies reported the diagnostic accuracy of TE in detecting F4/liver cirrhosis stage. We found 84.8% pooled sensitivity (95% CI: 81.4-87.7%) (I2 = 86.4%; P < 0.001), 87.5% pooled specificity (95% CI: 85.4-89.3%) (I2 = 90%; P < 0.001) and pooled diagnostic OR (41.8; 95% CI: 3.9 - 56.5) (I2 = 87%; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Ultrasound-based TE has excellent diagnostic accuracy for identifying cirrhosis and liver fibrosis stages 3. Future studies should focus on estimating the diagnostic accuracy of other fibrosis stages in chronic liver disease patients. This will eventually decrease the risk associated with invasive liver biopsy.

Liver blood marker testing in UK primary care: a UK wide cohort study, 2004-2016

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to determine (1) the temporal trends of liver enzyme testing in UK general practice and (2) how these vary among different subgroups at risk of chronic liver disease (CLD).

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

UK primary care database (Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD)), 2004-2016.

PARTICIPANTS

Patients aged 18 years or over, registered in the CPRD from 1 January 2004 to 31 December 2016.

OUTCOME MEASURES

The frequency of testing recorded within the study period in general practice was calculated for: alanine aminotransferase (ALT); aspartate aminotransferase (AST); gamma glutamyl transferase (GGT); alkaline phosphatase (ALP); bilirubin and platelets. Analyses were conducted in subgroups of patients at high risk of developing liver disease.

RESULTS

The study cohort included 2 912 066 individuals with median follow-up of 3.2 years. The proportion of patients with at least one measurement for ALT, ALP, bilirubin or platelet test gradually increased over the course of the study period and fell for AST and GGT. By 2016, the proportion of the population receiving one of more tests in that year was: platelet count 28.0%, ALP 26.2%, bilirubin 25.6%, ALT 23.7%, GGT 5.1% and AST 2.2%. Those patients with risk factors for CLD had higher proportions receiving liver marker assessments than those without risk factors.

CONCLUSIONS

The striking finding that AST is now only measured in a fraction of the population has significant implications for routine guidance which frequently expects it. A more nuanced approach where non-invasive markers are targeted towards individuals with risk factors for CLD may be a solution.

Ammonium quantification in human plasma by proton nuclear magnetic resonance for staging of liver fibrosis in alcohol-related liver disease and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

Liver fibrosis staging is a key element driving the prognosis of patients with chronic liver disease. Currently, biopsy is the only technique capable of diagnosing liver fibrosis in patients with alcohol-related liver disease (ArLD) and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) unequivocally. Noninvasive (e.g. plasma-based) biomarker assays are attractive tools to diagnose and stage disease, yet must prove that they are reliable and sensitive to be used clinically. Here, we demonstrate proton nuclear magnetic resonance as a method to rapidly quantify the endogenous concentration of ammonium ions from human plasma extracts and show their ability to report upon early and advanced stages of ArLD and NAFLD. We show that, irrespective of the disease etiology, ammonium concentration is a more robust and informative marker of fibrosis stage than current clinically assessed blood hepatic biomarkers. Subject to validation in larger cohorts, the study indicates that the method can provide accurate and rapid staging of ArLD and NAFLD without the need for an invasive biopsy.

Structured Early detection of Asymptomatic Liver Cirrhosis: Results of the population-based liver screening program SEAL

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Detection of patients with early cirrhosis is of importance to prevent the occurrence of complications and improve prognosis. The SEAL program aimed at evaluating the usefulness of a structured screening procedure to detect cirrhosis as early as possible.

METHODS

SEAL was a prospective cohort study with a control cohort from routine care data. Individuals participating in the general German health check-up after the age of 35 ("Check-up 35") at their primary care physicians were offered a questionnaire, liver function tests (aspartate and alanine aminotransferase [AST and ALT]), and follow-up. If AST/ALT levels were elevated, the AST-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) score was calculated, and patients with a score >0.5 were referred to a liver expert in secondary and/or tertiary care.

RESULTS

A total of 11,859 participants were enrolled and available for final analysis. The control group comprised 349,570 participants of the regular Check-up 35. SEAL detected 488 individuals with elevated APRI scores (4.12%) and 45 incident cases of advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis. The standardized incidence of advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis in the screening program was slightly higher than in controls (3.83‰ vs. 3.36‰). The comparison of the chance of fibrosis/cirrhosis diagnosis in SEAL vs. in standard care was inconclusive (marginal odds ratio 1.141, one-sided 95% CI 0.801, +Inf). Of note, when patients with decompensated cirrhosis at initial diagnosis were excluded from both cohorts in a post hoc analysis, SEAL was associated with a 59% higher chance of early cirrhosis detection on average than routine care (marginal odds ratio 1.590, one-sided 95% CI 1.080, +Inf; SEAL 3.51‰, controls: 2.21‰).

CONCLUSIONS

The implementation of a structured screening program may increase the early detection rate of cirrhosis in the general population. In this context, the SEAL pathway represents a feasible and potentially cost-effective screening program.

REGISTRATION

DRKS00013460 LAY SUMMARY: Detection of patients with early liver cirrhosis is of importance to prevent the occurrence of complications and improve prognosis. This study demonstrates that the implementation of a structured screening program using easily obtainable measures of liver function may increase the early detection rate of cirrhosis in the general population. In this context, the 'SEAL' pathway represents a feasible and potentially cost-effective screening program.

Comparison of non-invasive fibrosis scores to predict increased liver stiffness in the general population with unknown liver disease: Searching for the primary physician's best friend

BACKGROUND

Serum-based scores (SBS) appear to be a high applicability strategy for assessment of liver fibrosis in primary care. Aim of the study was to evaluate their performance to detect ≥F2 in a general population and to design a highly-applicable strategy for screening.

METHODS

prospective population-based cohort study in randomly identified subjects, aged 40-70y. Medical history, blood tests and elastography were obtained, ≥F2 was determined by using LSM cutoff ≥9.2/7.8 kPa for M/XL probe and SBS diagnostic accuracies were evaluated.

RESULTS

986 patients were analyzed. LSM prevalence estimate suggestive of ≥F2 was 1.9% and Metabolic Sindrome (MS) (OR 3.4, 1.3-9.0;p = 0.01), was the only factor independently associated with ≥F2, with increasing prevalence according to the number of criteria (0 criterion:0%,1:0.3%,2:2.8%,3:2.4%,4:6.9%,5:14.3%;p<0.001). FLI and NFS were the two best-performing tests in the cross-sectional study, with AUROCs for ≥F2 of 0.89 (95%CI,0.84- 0.95) and 0.82 (95%CI,0.74-0.90), respectively. Predefined cutoff for FLI≥60 (Sn89.5%, Sp72.1%, NPV99.9%) and NFS≥-1.455 (Sn83.3%, Sp68%, NPV99.6%) showed adequate diagnostic accuracy. Based on these findings, a 3- step algorithm strategy to detect liver fibrosis in the community setting is proposed (Sn84.2%, Sp75.2%, NVP99.6%).

CONCLUSIONS

A staged risk-stratification model improves the detection of ≥F2 in the community setting, while reducing unnecessary referrals.

Prevalence estimation of significant fibrosis because of NASH in Spain combining transient elastography and histology

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has become a major public health problem, but the prevalence of fibrosis associated with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is largely unknown in the general population. This study aimed to provide an updated estimation of the prevalence of NASH fibrosis in Spain.

METHODS

This was an observational, retrospective, cross-sectional, population-based study with merged data from two Spanish datasets: a large (N = 12 246) population-based cohort (ETHON), including transient elastography (TE) data, and a contemporary multi-centric biopsy-proven NASH cohort with paired TE data from tertiary centres (N = 501). Prevalence for each NASH fibrosis stage was estimated by crossing TE data from ETHON dataset with histology data from the biopsy-proven cohort.

RESULTS

From the patients with valid TE in ETHON dataset (N = 11 440), 5.61% (95% confidence interval [95% CI]: 2.53-11.97) had a liver stiffness measurement (LSM) ≥ 8 kPa. The proportion attributable to NAFLD (using clinical variables and Controlled Attenuation Parameter) was 57.3% and thus, the estimated prevalence of population with LSM ≥ 8 kPa because of NAFLD was 3.21% (95% CI 1.13-8.75). In the biopsy-proven NASH cohort, 389 patients had LSM ≥ 8 kPa. Among these, 37% did not have significant fibrosis (F2-4). The estimated prevalence of NASH F2-3 and cirrhosis in Spain's adult population were 1.33% (95% CI 0.29-5.98) and 0.70% (95% CI 0.10-4.95) respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

These estimations provide an accurate picture of the current prevalence of NASH-related fibrosis in Spain and can serve as reference point for dimensioning the therapeutic efforts that will be required as NASH therapies become available.

LiverScreen project: study protocol for screening for liver fibrosis in the general population in European countries

Background

The development of liver cirrhosis is usually an asymptomatic process until late stages when complications occur. The potential reversibility of the disease is dependent on early diagnosis of liver fibrosis and timely targeted treatment. Recently, the use of non-invasive tools has been suggested for screening of liver fibrosis, especially in subjects with risk factors for chronic liver disease. Nevertheless, large population-based studies with cost-effectiveness analyses are still lacking to support the widespread use of such tools. The aim of this study is to investigate whether non-invasive liver stiffness measurement in the general population is useful to identify subjects with asymptomatic, advanced chronic liver disease.

Methods

This study aims to include 30,000 subjects from eight European countries. Subjects from the general population aged ≥ 40 years without known liver disease will be invited to participate in the study either through phone calls/letters or through their primary care center. In the first study visit, subjects will undergo bloodwork as well as hepatic fat quantification and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by vibration-controlled transient elastography. If LSM is ≥ 8 kPa and/or if ALT levels are ≥1.5 x upper limit of normal, subjects will be referred to hospital for further evaluation and consideration of liver biopsy. The primary outcome is the percentage of subjects with LSM ≥ 8kPa. In addition, a health economic evaluation will be performed to assess the cost-effectiveness and budget impact of such an intervention. The project is funded by the European Commission H2020 program.

Discussion

This study comes at an especially important time, as the burden of chronic liver diseases is expected to increase in the coming years. There is consequently an urgent need to change our current approach, from diagnosing the disease late when the impact of interventions may be limited to diagnosing the disease earlier, when the patient is asymptomatic and free of complications, and the disease potentially reversible. Ultimately, the LiverScreen study will serve as a basis from which diagnostic pathways can be developed and adapted to the specific socio-economic and healthcare conditions in each country.

Trial registration

This study is registered on Clinicaltrials.gov (NCT03789825).

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12889-022-13724-6.

Performance of a generative adversarial network using ultrasound images to stage liver fibrosis and predict cirrhosis based on a deep-learning radiomics nomogram

AIM

To investigate the performance of a generative adversarial network (GAN) model for staging liver fibrosis and its radiomics-based nomogram for predicting cirrhosis.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This two-centre retrospective study included 434 patients for whom input data of ultrasound images and histopathological data (obtained within 1 month of ultrasound examinations) were assigned to the training cohort (249 patients), the internal cohort (92 patients), and the external (93 patients) cohort. A data augmentation method based on a GAN model was used. The discriminative performance was evaluated for classifying fibrosis of S4 and ≥S3. Deep-learning radiomics features were extracted for the prediction of cirrhosis (S4). To perform feature reduction and selection, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) algorithm was applied. Radiomics scores, along with clinical factors, were incorporated into a nomogram using multivariable logistic regression analysis. The performance of the models was estimated with respect to discrimination power, calibration, and clinical benefits.

RESULTS

The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUCs) values of the GAN were 0.832/0.762 (≥S3), and 0.867/0.835 (S4) for internal/external test sets, respectively. The radiomics nomogram that intergrated radiomics scores and clinical factors showed good calibration and discrimination ability of 0.922 (AUC) in the training dataset, 0.896 in the internal dataset, and 0.861 in the external dataset. Decision curve analysis (DCA) demonstrated that the nomogram outperformed radiologist and haematological indices in terms of the most clinical benefits.

CONCLUSIONS

The GAN model could be applied to discriminate fibrosis stages, and a favourable predictive accuracy for diagnosing cirrhosis was achieved using a deep-learning radiomics nomogram.