De novo malignancy in heart transplant recipients: A single center experience in Japan

Incidence of de novo malignancy and all-cause mortality among heart transplant recipients

BACKGROUND

Heart transplant recipients develop cancer at two-times the rate compared to the general population. However, the incidence and mortality rates and the adjusted association between cancer and mortality remains unclear.

METHODS

We estimated the incidence and mortality rates and the adjusted association between developing cancer (any, skin, hematologic, and solid tumor subtypes) and the all-cause mortality rates among adult heart transplant recipients from the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients from October 1, 1987, until June 28, 2020.

RESULTS

Among 51,597 adult heart transplant recipients, 13,191 (25.6%) were diagnosed with de novo malignancy throughout the follow-up period. The cumulative incidence cancer at years 1, 5, 10, and 20 was 3%, 16.4%, 32.8%, and 56.6%, respectively. Among those with cancer, the cumulative mortality was 17.5%, 42.3%, 65%, and 91% at years 1, 5, 10, and 20, respectively. The incidence rate of any de novo malignancy was 38.7 cases per 1000 person-years and the mortality rate (for those with cancer) was 115.2 cases per 1000 person-years. Compared to those without cancer, those with cancer had a higher adjusted mortality association [HR: 2.14 (2.07, 2.21)]. The strongest associations were estimated for pancreatic [10.63 (8.34, 13.54)], leukemia [8.06 (4.33, 15.00)], and esophagus [6.94 (5.43, 8.87)] malignancies. The association between de novo malignancies and mortality was higher in the earlier years of follow-up.

CONCLUSION

Compared to not developing cancer, those with de novo malignancy have a 2-fold higher mortality rate, on average. The strength of the association varies by cancer subtype and by follow-up time.

Prevalence of Post-Heart Transplant Malignancies: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

The prevalence of different cancers after heart transplant (HT) is unclear due to small and conflicting prior studies. Herein, we report a systematic review and meta-analysis to highlight the prevalence and pattern of malignancies post-HT. We conducted an extensive literature search on PubMed, Scopus, Cochrane databases for prospective or retrospective studies reporting malignancies after HT. The proportions from each study were subjected to random effects model that yielded the pooled estimate with 95% confidence intervals (CI). Fifty-five studies comprising 60,684 HT recipients reported 7,759 total cancers during a mean follow-up of 9.8 ± 5.9 years, with an overall incidence of 15.3% (95% CI = 12.7%-18.1%). Mean time from HT to cancer diagnosis was 5.1 ± 4 years. The most frequent cancers were gastrointestinal (7.6%), skin (5.7%), and hematologic/blood (2.5%). Meta-regression showed no association between incidence of cancer and mean age at HT (coeff: -0.008; p=0.25), percentage of male recipients (coeff: -0.001; p=0.81), donor age (coeff: -0.011; p=0.44), 5-year (coeff: 0.003; p=0.12) and 10-year (coeff: 0.02; p=0.68) post-transplant survival. There is a substantial risk of malignancies in HT recipients, most marked for gastrointestinal, skin, and hematologic. Despite their occurrence, survival is not significantly impacted.

Association between infectious event and de novo malignancy after heart transplantation

The aim of the study was to investigate the incidence of and risk factors for de novo malignancy after heart transplantation (HTx) in a single center. We assessed 102 consecutive patients who received HTx and were followed-up in our center regularly for > 1 year from June 2006 to May 2018. We investigated the incidence of and risk factors for de novo malignancy. The cumulative incidence of each malignancy type during the follow-up period was one (0.98%) for skin cancer, four (3.92%) for nonskin solid organ cancer, and six (5.88%) for posttransplant lymphoproliferative disorder (PTLD). The percentage of patients with more than one infectious event ≤ 1 year after HTx was higher in the malignancy group than in the non-malignancy group. Furthermore, Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that the incidence rate of infectious events was higher in patients with malignancies than in those without (log-rank P < 0.001). After dividing malignancies into a PTLD group and a solid organ malignancy group, we found that negative Epstein-Barr virus serostatus, cytomegalovirus-positive antigenemia, and the occurrence of any viral or gastrointestinal infectious event at ≤ 1 year were more frequent in patients with PTLD than in patients without it. The survival rate was significantly lower for patients with solid organ malignancy than for patients without malignancy. In conclusion, there was a correlation between infectious events and de novo malignancy, particularly in patients with PTLD. We should confirm this finding by conducting a larger cohort study.