The impact of body mass index dynamics on survival of patients with advanced pancreatic cancer receiving chemotherapy

Preoperative Rapid Weight Loss as a Prognostic Predictor After Surgical Resection for Pancreatic Cancer

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the study is to evaluate the influence of cachexia at the time of diagnosis of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) on prognosis in patients undergoing surgical resection.

METHODS

Patients with data on preoperative body weight (BW) change followed by surgical resection during 2008-2017 were selected. Large BW loss was defined as weight loss >5% or >2% in individuals with body mass index less than 20 kg/m2 within 1 year preoperatively. Influence of large BW loss, ΔBW defined as preoperative BW change (%) per month, prognostic nutrition index, and indices of sarcopenia.

RESULTS

We evaluated 165 patients with PDAC. Preoperatively, 78 patients were categorized as having large BW loss. ΔBW was ≤ -1.34% per month (rapid) and > -1.34% per month (slow) in 95 and 70 patients, respectively. The median postoperative overall survival of rapid and slow ΔBW groups was 1.4 and 4.4 years, respectively (P < 0.001). In multivariate analyses rapid ΔBW (hazard ratio [HR], 3.88); intraoperative blood loss ≥430 mL (HR, 1.89); tumor size ≥2.9 cm (HR, 1.74); and R1/2 resection (HR, 1.77) were independent predictors of worse survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Preoperative rapid BW loss ≥1.34% per month was an independent predictor of worse survival of patients with PDAC.

Development of a Clinical-Biological Model to Assess Tumor Progression in Metastatic Pancreatic Cancer: Post Hoc Analysis of the PRODIGE4/ACCORD11 Trial

Background: The follow-up of pancreatic cancer (PC) is based on computed tomography (CT) assessment; however, there is no consensus on the use of clinical and biological criteria in tumor progression. We aimed to establish a clinical−biological model to highlight the progression of metastatic PC during first-line treatment. Methods: The patients treated with first-line chemotherapy in the phase 2/3 PRODIGE4/ACCORD11 clinical trial were evaluated retrospectively. Clinical and biological markers were evaluated at the time of CT scans and during treatment to determine tumor progression. Results: In total, 196 patients were analyzed, with 355 available tumor assessments. The clinical and biological factors associated with tumor progression in multivariate analysis included gemcitabine, global health status ≤ 33 (OR = 3.38, 95%CI [1.15; 9.91], p = 0.028), quality of life score between 34 and 66 (OR = 2.65, 95%CI [1.06; 6.59], p = 0.037), carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) ≥ 3 times the standard value without any increase in the CEA level from inclusion (OR = 2.22, 95%CI [1.01; 4.89], p = 0.048) and with an increase in the CEA level from inclusion (OR = 6.56, 95%CI [2.73; 15.78], p < 0.001), and an increase in the carbohydrate antigen 19-9 level from inclusion (OR = 2.59, 95%CI [1.25; 5.36], p = 0.016). Conclusions: The self-assessment of patients’ general health status alongside tumor markers is an interesting approach to the diagnosis of the tumor progression of metastatic pancreatic cancer patients during first-line treatment.

Is Weight Loss During Chemotherapy for Pancreatic Cancer Prognostic?

BACKGROUND

Predicting poor survival outcomes early in palliative chemotherapy is important to the timing of palliative care. Weight loss during chemotherapy if prognostic would lead to early palliative care.

METHOD

We collected demographics, stage, chemotherapy, chemotherapy cycles, weight, healthcare utilization, comorbidities (Charleson Comorbid Index), tumor markers, and weight changes over 60 days. We defined 3 groups of patients: 1. Weight gain to <.5% weight loss, 2. Weight loss< 2% and 3. Weight loss of >2%. A Chi-square test assessed differences in weight during treatment. Time-to-event analysis was expressed in a Kaplan Meier curve.

RESULTS

93 individuals died of pancreatic cancer in 2018 and 2019. The median age was 71.2 years. Forty-three had stage I and II, 40 stages III and IV cancers, and 10 had unknown stages. Most received FOLFIRINOX and gemcitabine/nab-paclitaxel chemotherapy. Thirty-six gained to lost < .5% during chemotherapy,8 lost < 2% and 49 patients lost > 2% of their weight. Mortality was available in 55 of 93 patients. Median survival was 16.6 months in those with weight gain to < .5% weight loss, 17.28 months for those with < 2% weight loss, and 20.5 months for those with > 2% weight loss (P = .42).

DISCUSSION

Weight loss over 60 days did not predict a poor prognosis in this small retrospective study; larger prospective studies may clarify the prognostic importance of weight loss during chemotherapy.

CONCLUSION

In this small retrospective study, weight loss over 60 days did not predict poor survival.

Impact of sarcopenia in borderline resectable and locally advanced pancreatic cancer patients receiving stereotactic body radiation therapy

Background

Total psoas area (TPA), a marker of sarcopenia, has been used as an independent predictor of clinical outcomes in gastrointestinal (GI) cancers as a proxy for frailty and nutritional status. Our study aimed to evaluate whether TPA, in contrast to traditional measurements of nutrition like body mass index (BMI) and body surface area (BSA), was predictive of outcomes in borderline resectable pancreatic cancer (BRPC) and locally advanced pancreatic cancer (LAPC) patients receiving stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT).

Methods

Retrospective analysis of an institutional review board approved database of 222 BRPC and LAPC treated with SBRT from 2009-2016 yielded 183 patients that met our selection criteria of pre-SBRT computed tomography (CT) imaging with an identifiable L4 vertebra. Once the L4 vertebral level was identified, the bilateral psoas muscles were manually contoured. This area was normalized by patient height, with units described in mm²/m². Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were generated for TPA, BMI, and BSA to elicit clinically relevant cutoffs. Regression and Kaplan-Meier analyses were used to correlate toxicity with survival functions.

Results

Low TPA (OR =1.903, P=0.036) was predictive of acute toxicities, and only TPA was predictive of Grade 3 or higher acute toxicities (OR =10.24, P=0.007). Both findings were independent of tumor resectability. Pain (P=0.003), fatigue (P=0.040), and nausea (P=0.039) were significantly associated with low TPA. No association was identified between any measurement of nutritional status and the development of late toxicities, overall survival, local progression or local recurrence. However, BRPC patients survived longer (median =21.98 months) than their LAPC (median =16.2 months) counterparts (P=0.002), independent of nutritional status.

Conclusions

TPA measurement is readily available and more specific than BMI or BSA as a predictor of acute radiotoxic complications following SBRT in BRPC/LAPC patients. A TPA of <500 mm²/m² is a clinically relevant cutoff that can direct physicians to address expected complications of pain, fatigue, and nausea. However, tumor resectability remains as the only predictor of overall survival in this cohort.

Nationwide trends in chemotherapy use and survival of elderly patients with metastatic pancreatic cancer

Despite an aging population and underrepresentation of elderly patients in clinical trials, studies on elderly patients with metastatic pancreatic cancer are scarce. This study investigated the use of chemotherapy and survival in elderly patients with metastatic pancreatic cancer. From the Netherlands Cancer Registry, all 9407 patients diagnosed with primary metastatic pancreatic adenocarcinoma in 2005–2013 were selected to investigate chemotherapy use and overall survival (OS), using Kaplan–Meier and Cox proportional hazard regression analyses. Over time, chemotherapy use increased in all age groups (<70 years: from 26 to 43%, 70–74 years: 14 to 25%, 75–79 years: 5 to 13%, all P < 0.001, and ≥80 years: 2 to 3% P = 0.56). Median age of 2,180 patients who received chemotherapy was 63 years (range 21–86 years, 1.6% was ≥80 years). In chemotherapy‐treated patients, with rising age (<70, 70–74, 75–79, ≥80 years), microscopic tumor verification occurred less frequently (91‐88‐87‐77%, respectively, P = 0.009) and OS diminished (median 25‐26‐19‐16 weeks, P = 0.003). After adjustment for confounding factors, worse survival of treated patients ≥75 years persisted. Despite limited chemotherapy use in elderly age, suggestive of strong selection, elderly patients (≥75 years) who received chemotherapy for metastatic pancreatic cancer exhibited a worse survival compared to younger patients receiving chemotherapy.

Positive Effect of Higher Adult Body Mass Index on Overall Survival of Digestive System Cancers Except Pancreatic Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

High body mass index (BMI) has been inconsistently associated with overall survival (OS) of digestive system cancers (DSCs). This meta-analysis was conducted to investigate whether high BMI was associated with DSCs prognosis. 34 studies were accepted, with a total of 23,946 DSC cases. Hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) for OS in BMI categories from individual studies were extracted and pooled by random-effect model. The overall HR of DSCs except pancreatic cancer for OS of adult overweight cases was 0.76 (95% CI = 0.67–0.85). DSC individuals except pancreatic cancer with adult obesity were at decreased risk for OS (HR = 0.85, 95% CI = 0.72–0.98). Among DSC patients except pancreatic cancer, the overall HR for the highest versus the lowest BMI category was 0.82 (95% CI = 0.71–0.92). Additionally, comparing the highest and lowest BMI categories, the combined HR of pancreatic cancer was 1.22 (95% CI = 1.01–1.43). Our meta-analysis suggested an increased OS among adult overweight and obese DSC survivors except pancreatic cancer. Overweight and obesity in adulthood may be important prognostic factors that indicate an increased survival from DSC patients except pancreatic cancer.

Association between Body Mass Index and Cancer Survival in a Pooled Analysis of 22 Clinical Trials

BACKGROUND

Data are inconsistent on the association between body mass index (BMI) at time of cancer diagnosis and prognosis. We used data from 22 clinical treatment trials to examine the association between BMI and survival across multiple cancer types and stages.

METHODS

Trials with ≥5 years of follow-up were selected. Patients with BMI < 18.5 kg/m2 were excluded. Within a disease, analyses were limited to patients on similar treatment regimens. Variable cutpoint analysis identified a BMI cutpoint that maximized differences in survival. Multivariable Cox regression analyses compared survival between patients with BMI above versus below the cutpoint, adjusting for age, race, sex, and important disease-specific clinical prognostic factors.

RESULTS

A total of 11,724 patients from 22 trials were identified. Fourteen analyses were performed by disease site and treatment regimen. A cutpoint of BMI = 25 kg/m2 maximized survival differences. No statistically significant trend across all 14 analyses was observed (mean HR = 0.96; P = 0.06). In no cancer/treatment combination was elevated BMI associated with an increased risk of death; for some cancers there was a survival advantage for higher BMI. In sex-stratified analyses, BMI ≥ 25 kg/m2 was associated with better overall survival among men (HR = 0.82; P = 0.003), but not women (HR = 1.04; P = 0.86). The association persisted when sex-specific cancers were excluded, when treatment regimens were restricted to dose based on body surface area, and when early-stage cancers were excluded.

CONCLUSION

The association between BMI and survival is not consistent across cancer types and stages.

IMPACT

Our findings suggest that disease, stage, and gender-specific body size recommendations for cancer survivors may be warranted. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev; 26(1); 21-29. ©2016 AACR SEE ALL THE ARTICLES IN THIS CEBP FOCUS SECTION, "THE OBESITY PARADOX IN CANCER EVIDENCE AND NEW DIRECTIONS".

Weight loss at the first month of palliative chemotherapy predicts survival outcomes in patients with advanced gastric cancer

BACKGROUND

Weight loss during chemotherapy is a significant prognostic factor for poor survival in patients with advanced gastric cancer (AGC). However, in most studies, weight loss was measured at the end of chemotherapy, limiting its clinical use. In this study, we evaluated whether weight loss during the first month of chemotherapy could predict survival outcomes in patients with AGC.

METHODS

We analyzed 719 patients with metastatic or recurrent AGC who were receiving palliative chemotherapy. We calculated the initial body mass index (BMIi), percent weight loss after 1 month of chemotherapy (ΔW 1m), percent weight loss after last administration of chemotherapy (ΔW end), and average weight loss per month during chemotherapy (ΔW/m). We correlated these data with overall survival (OS) by receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves and Kaplan-Meier curves, and performed a subgroup analysis using Cox regression.

RESULTS

The probabilities of longer OS had stronger correlations with ΔW/m and ΔW 1m than with ΔW end or BMIi. A significant positive correlation between ΔW 1m and ΔW/m (r (2) = 0.591, p < 0.001) was observed. Median OS of patients with ΔW 1m more than 3 % was significantly shorter than in patients with less weight loss (OS: 9.7 vs. 16.3 months, p < 0.001). Subgroup analysis revealed that ΔW 1m accompanied poor survival irrespective of other clinical characteristics.

CONCLUSION

Weight loss at the very first month of palliative chemotherapy could predict unfavorable survival outcomes in AGC.

Effect of Body Mass Index on Overall Survival of Pancreatic Cancer: A Meta-Analysis

Although obesity has been identified as a risk factor for pancreatic cancer, the important question of whether obesity influences the prognosis of pancreatic cancer has not been explicated thoroughly. We therefore performed a meta-analysis to investigate the association between body mass index (BMI) and survival outcomes of patients with pancreatic cancer.Studies that described the relationship between BMI and overall survival (OS) of pancreatic cancer were searched in PubMed, Embase, Ovid, and Cochrane Library Databases from the earliest available date to May 12, 2015. Hazard ratios (HRs) for OS in each BMI category from individual studies were extracted and pooled by a random-effect model. Dose-response meta-analysis was also performed to estimate summary HR and 95% confidence interval (CI) for every 5-unit increment. Publication bias was evaluated by Begg funnel plot and Egger linear regression test.Ten relevant studies involving 6801 patients were finally included in the meta-analysis. Results showed that obesity in adulthood significantly shortened OS of pancreatic cancer patients (HR: 1.29, 95% CI: 1.17-1.41), whereas obesity at diagnosis was not associated with any increased risk of death (HR: 1.10, 95% CI: 0.78-1.42). For every 5-kg/m increment in adult BMI, the summary HR was 1.11 (95% CI: 1.05-1.18) for death risk of pancreatic cancer. However, no dose-response relationship was found in the BMI at diagnosis. Egger regression test and Begg funnel plot both revealed no obvious risk of publication bias.In conclusion, increased adult BMI is associated with increased risk of death for pancreatic cancer patients, which suggested that obesity in adulthood may be an important prognostic factor that indicates an abbreviated survival from pancreatic cancer. More studies are needed to validate this finding, and the mechanism behind the observation should be evaluated in further studies.

Oncogenic role of leptin and Notch interleukin-1 leptin crosstalk outcome in cancer

Obesity is a global pandemic characterized by high levels of body fat (adiposity) and derived-cytokines (i.e., leptin). Research shows that adiposity and leptin provide insight on the link between obesity and cancer progression. Leptin’s main function is to regulate energy balance. However, obese individuals routinely develop leptin resistance, which is the consequence of the breakdown in the signaling mechanism controlling satiety resulting in the accumulation of leptin. Therefore, leptin levels are often chronically elevated in human obesity. Elevated leptin levels are related to higher incidence, increased progression and poor prognosis of several human cancers. In addition to adipose tissue, cancer cells can also secrete leptin and overexpress leptin receptors. Leptin is known to act as a mitogen, inflammatory and pro-angiogenic factor that induces cancer cell proliferation and tumor angiogenesis. Moreover, leptin signaling induces cancer stem cells, which are involved in cancer recurrence and drug resistance. A novel and complex signaling crosstalk between leptin, Notch and interleukin-1 (IL-1) [Notch, IL-1 and leptin crosstalk outcome (NILCO)] seems to be an important driver of leptin-induced oncogenic actions. Leptin and NILCO signaling mediate the activation of cancer stem cells that can affect drug resistance. Thus, leptin and NILCO signaling are key links between obesity and cancer progression. This review presents updated data suggesting that adiposity affects cancer incidence, progression, and response to treatment. Here we show data supporting the oncogenic role of leptin in breast, endometrial, and pancreatic cancers.

Effect of Diabetes Mellitus on Survival in Patients with Pancreatic Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Concurrent diabetes has been linked with an increased risk of death in many cancers, but findings in pancreatic cancer have been inconsistent. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the effect of diabetes on survival in patients with pancreatic cancer. Of 4, 463 original articles, 41 were included in the review; 29 studies with 33 risk estimates were included in the meta-analysis. In the overall comparison of patients with pancreatic cancer and diabetes with their nondiabetic counterparts, the former had significantly higher all-cause mortality (pooled HR: 1.13; 95% CI: 1.04-1.22). Subgroup analyses showed that diabetes was associated with poor survival in patients with resectable disease (HR: 1.37; 95% CI: 1.15-1.63) but not in those with unresectable disease (HR: 1.07; 95% CI: 0.89-1.29). The HR (95% CI) was 1.52 (1.20-1.93) for patients with new-onset diabetes (≤ 2 years of diabetes duration) and 1.22 (0.83-1.80) for those with longstanding diabetes (> 2 years). Diabetes was associated with higher mortality overall in patients with pancreatic cancer. The effect of diabetes on overall survival was associated with the stages of tumor and the duration of diabetes.

Skeletal Muscle Depletion Predicts the Prognosis of Patients with Advanced Pancreatic Cancer Undergoing Palliative Chemotherapy, Independent of Body Mass Index

Introduction

Body composition has emerged as a prognostic factor in cancer patients. We investigated whether sarcopenia at diagnosis and loss of skeletal muscle during palliative chemotherapy were associated with survival in patients with pancreatic cancer.

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed the clinical outcomes of pancreatic cancer patients receiving palliative chemotherapy between 2003 and 2010. The cross-sectional area of skeletal muscle at L3 by computed tomography was analyzed with Rapidia 3D software. We defined sarcopenia as a skeletal muscle index (SMI)< 42.2 cm²/m² (male) and < 33.9 cm²/m² (female) using ROC curve.

Results

Among 484 patients, 103 (21.3%) patients were sarcopenic at diagnosis. Decrease in SMI during chemotherapy was observed in 156 (60.9%) male and 65 (40.6%) female patients. Decrease in body mass index (BMI) was observed in 149 patients (37.3%), with no gender difference. By multivariate analysis, sarcopenia (P< 0.001), decreasedBMI and SMI during chemotherapy (P = 0.002, P = 0.004, respectively) were poor prognostic factors for overall survival (OS). While the OS of male patients was affected with sarcopenia (P< 0.001) and decreased SMI (P = 0.001), the OS of female patients was influenced with overweight at diagnosis (P = 0.006), decreased BMI (P = 0.032) and decreased SMI (P = 0.014). Particularly, while the change of BMI during chemotherapy did not have impact on OS within the patients with maintained SMI (P = 0.750), decrease in SMI was associated with poor OS within the patients with maintained BMI (HR 1.502; P = 0.002).

Conclusions

Sarcopenia at diagnosis and depletion of skeletal muscle, independent of BMI change, during chemotherapy were poor prognostic factors in advanced pancreatic cancer.

Impact of celiac neurolysis on survival in patients with pancreatic cancer

BACKGROUND

Pancreatic cancer (PC) often produces pain that is difficult to control. Celiac neurolysis (CN) is performed with the goal of improving pain control and quality of life while reducing opioid-related side effects.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to evaluate whether CN provides a survival advantage for PC patients.

DESIGN

Retrospective case-control study.

SETTING

Single tertiary-care referral center.

PATIENTS

Review of a prospectively maintained database identified patients with unresectable PC who underwent CN over a 12-year period. Each patient was matched to 2 control patients with unresectable PC.

INTERVENTION

CN, which included both celiac plexus neurolysis (CPN) and celiac ganglia neurolysis (CGN).

MAIN OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS

Median survival in Kaplan-Meier curves and hazard ratios.

RESULTS

A total of 417 patients underwent CN and were compared with 840 controls with PC. Baseline characteristics were similar except the CN group had greater weight loss and pain requiring opioids. A mean of 16.6 ± 5.8 mL of alcohol was administered. For patients who underwent CN, the median survival from the time of presentation was shorter compared with controls (193 vs 246 days; hazard ratio 1.32; 95% confidence interval, 1.13-1.54). There was no difference in survival with unilateral or bilateral injection. However, EUS-guided CN was associated with longer survival compared with non-EUS approaches, and those who received CPN had longer survival compared with CGN.

LIMITATIONS

Single center, retrospective.

CONCLUSION

Our study suggests that CN is an independent predictor of shortened survival in PC patients. A prospective study is needed to verify the findings and determine whether shortened survival results from CN or from other features such as performance status and tumor-related characteristics. It is also imperative to verify our finding that EUS-guided CN provides a survival advantage over other approaches and whether CPN prolongs survival compared with CGN.

Predicting early mortality in resectable pancreatic adenocarcinoma: A cohort study

BACKGROUND

Survival after surgical resection for pancreatic cancer remains poor. A subgroup of patients die early (<6 months), and understanding factors associated with early mortality may help to identify high-risk patients. The Khorana score has been shown to be associated with early mortality for patients with solid tumors. In the current study, the authors evaluated the role of this score and other prognostic variables in this setting.

METHODS

The current study was a cohort study of patients who underwent surgical resection for pancreatic cancer from January 2006 through June 2013. Baseline (diagnosis ±30 days) parameters were used to define patients as high risk (Khorana score ≥3). Statistically significant univariable associations and a priori prognostic variables were tested in multivariable models; adjusted hazard ratios (HR) were calculated.

RESULTS

The study population comprised 334 patients. The median age was 67 years, 50% of the study population was female, and 86% of the patients were white. The pancreatic head was the primary tumor site for 73% of patients; 67% of tumors were T3 and 63% were N1. The median Khorana score was 2; 152 patients (47%) were determined to be high risk. Adjunctive treatment included chemotherapy (70%) and radiotherapy (40%). The postoperative (30-day) mortality rate was 0.9%. The 6-month mortality rate for the entire cohort was 9.4%, with significantly higher rates observed for high-risk patients (13.4% vs 5.6%; P = .02). On multivariable analyses (examining a total of 326 patients), the Khorana score (HR for high risk, 2.31; P = .039) and elevated blood urea nitrogen (HR, 4.34; P<.001) were associated with early mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients at high risk of early mortality after surgical resection of pancreatic adenocarcinoma can be identified using simple baseline clinical and laboratory parameters. Future studies should address preoperative interventions in these patients at high risk of early mortality.