The BIG Score and Prediction of Mortality in Pediatric Blunt Trauma

Prognosis and assessment of the predictive value of severity scores in paediatric abdominal trauma: A French national cohort study

BACKGROUND

Paediatric closed abdominal trauma is common, however, its severity and influence on survival are difficult to determine. No prognostic score integrating abdominal involvement exists to date in paediatrics.

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the severity and short-term and medium-term prognosis of closed abdominal trauma in children, and the performance of severity scores in predicting mortality.

DESIGN

Retrospective, cohort, observational study.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

Patients aged 0 to 18 years presenting at the trauma room of a French paediatric Level I Trauma Centre over the period 2015 to 2019 with an isolated closed abdominal trauma or as part of a polytrauma.

MAIN OUTCOMES

Primary outcome was the six months mortality. Secondary outcomes were related complications and therapeutic interventions, and performance for predicting mortality of the scores listed. Paediatric Trauma Score (PTS), Revised Trauma Score (RTS), Shock Index Paediatric Age-adjusted (SIPA) score, Reverse shock index multiplied by Glasgow Coma Scale score (rSIG), Base Deficit, International Normalised Ratio, and Glasgow Coma Scale (BIG), Injury Severity Score (ISS) and Trauma Score and the Injury Severity (TRISS) score.

DATA COLLECTION

Data collected include clinical, biological and CT scan data at admission, first 24 h management and prognosis. The PTS, RTS, SIPA, rSIG, BIG and ISS scores were calculated and mortality was predicted according to BIG score and TRISS methodology.

RESULTS

Of 1145 patients, 149 met the inclusion criteria and 12 (8.1%) died. Of the 12 deceased patients, 11 (91.7%) presented with severe head injury, 11 (91.7%) had blood products transfusion and 7 received tranexamic acid. ROC curves analysis concluded that PTS, RTS, rSIG and BIG scores accurately predict mortality in paediatric closed abdominal trauma with AUCs at least 0.92. The BIG score offered the best predictive performance for predicting mortality at a threshold of 24.8 [sensitivity 90%, specificity 92%, negative-predictive value (NPV) 99%, area under the curve (AUC) 0.93].

CONCLUSION

PEVALPED is the first French study to evaluate the prognosis of paediatric closed abdominal trauma. The use of PTS, rSIG and BIG scores are relevant from the acute phase and the pathophysiological interest and accuracy of the BIG score make it a powerful tool for predicting mortality of closed abdominal trauma in children.

Comparison of the BIG Score and Pediatric Trauma Score for Predicting Mortality

OBJECTIVES

The BIG score (base deficit + [2.5 × international normalized ratio] + [15 - Glasgow Coma Score]) was compared with the Pediatric Trauma Score (PTS) for predicting mortality in pediatric patients with multiple trauma.

METHODS

This retrospective, single-center study included 318 consecutive pediatric patients (aged 1-18 years) with multiple trauma who were admitted to the emergency department between January 1, 2021, and December 31, 2023. The demographic characteristics, clinical characteristics, and trauma scores (BIG score and PTS) were compared between survivors and nonsurvivors to identify factors associated with mortality.

RESULTS

A PTS of 7 had 100% sensitivity and 81.03% specificity for predicting mortality, with an area under the curve of 0.97 (95% confidence interval 0.9-0.99). Although the positive predictive value (PPV) was low (33.7%), the negative predictive value (NPV) was 100%. A BIG score of 13.7 was identified as the cutoff for mortality, with 92.86% sensitivity and 95.52% specificity (area under the curve 0.98, 95% confidence interval 0.96-0.99). The PPV was 66.7% and the NPV was 99.3%.

CONCLUSIONS

Both the PTS and the BIG score were strong predictors of mortality in pediatric patients with multiple trauma. The BIG score had a higher specificity and PPV, whereas a PTS of 7 had 100% sensitivity and a higher NPV.

Comparison of Scoring Systems for Mortality Prediction in Pediatric Multitrauma Patients

The aim of this study was to compare scoring systems for mortality prediction and determine the threshold values of these scoring systems in pediatric multitrauma patients. A total of 57 multitrauma patients referred to the pediatric intensive care unit from January 2020 to August 2021 were included. The pediatric trauma score (PTS), injury severity score (ISS), base deficit (B), international normalized ratio (I), Glasgow coma scale (G) (BIG) score, and pediatric risk of mortality 3 (PRISM 3) score were analyzed for all patients. Of the study group, 35% were female and 65% were male with a mean age of 72 months (interquartile range: 140). All groups' mortality ratio was 12.2%. All risk scores based on mortality prediction were statistically significant. Cutoff value for PTS was 3.5 with 96% sensitivity and 62% specificity; for the ISS, it was 20.5 with 92% sensitivity and 43% specificity; threshold of the BIG score was 17.75 with 85.7% sensitivity and 34% specificity; and 12.5 for PRISM 3 score with 87.6% sensitivity and 28% specificity. PTS, ISS, BIG score, and PRISM 3 score were accurate risk predictors for mortality in pediatric multitrauma patients. ISS was superior to PTS, PRISM 3 score, and BIG score for discrimination between survivors and nonsurvivors.

How significant is the BIG score in childhood traumatic brain injury?

BACKGROUND

This study aims to evaluate the reliability of the BIG score in predicting mortality in children with traumatic brain injury (TBI) and to compare it with the literature and other scoring systems.

METHODS

Patients who were followed up in the Pediatric Intensive Care Unit (PICU) for TBI between 2014 and 2019 in a tertiary reference hospital were evaluated retrospectively.

RESULTS

One hundred fifty-nine patients met the inclusion criteria. The most common injury mechanisms were falling from a height (39.6%). The mortality rate was 12.6% (n = 20). The mean BIG score, ISS, and PRISM III were statistically significantly higher in the mortality group (p < 0.001). The AUC values found in the ROC analysis in the whole study group, respectively, 0.962 (CI 0.920-0.986) for the BIG score, 0.952 (CI 0.906-0.979) for the ISS, 0.957 (CI 0.913-0.983) for the GCS, and 0.981 (CI 0.946-0.996) for the PRISM III. In the patients with isolated TBI, the AUC value for the BIG score was 0.988 (0.967-1.000) and higher than the ISS and PRISM 3 [0.983 (0.956-1.000), 0.969 (0.932-1.000) respectively]). The cut-off point for the BIG score in the whole group was 19 (sensitivity 95%, specificity 88%, positive predictive value 0.58, negative predictive value 0.99). In logistic regression model, we found that BIG score is an independent variable for mortality (AOR:1.4, 95%CI 1.22-1.63).

CONCLUSION

In children with traumatic brain injury, the BIG score is simple, quickly calculated, and a good predictor of mortality and disease severity. Prospective studies with more extensive series are needed on this subject.

Evaluation of activation criteria in paediatric multi-trauma

Objective

To explore the optimal set of trauma activation criteria predicting paediatric patients' need for acute care following multi-trauma, with particular attention to Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) cut-off value.

Methods

A retrospective cohort study of paediatric multi-trauma patients aged 0 to 16 years, performed at a Level 1 paediatric trauma centre. Trauma activation criteria and GCS levels were examined with respect to patients' need for acute care, defined as: direct to operating room disposition, intensive care unit admission, need for acute interventions in the trauma room, or in-hospital death.

Results

We enrolled 436 patients (median age 8.0 years). The following predicted need for acute care: GCS <14 (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 23.0, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 11.5 to 45.9, P < 0.001), hemodynamic instability: (aOR 3.7, 95% CI: 1.2-8.1, P = 0.01), open pneumothorax/flail chest (aOR: 20.0, 95% CI: 4.0 to 98.7, P < 0.001), spinal cord injury (aOR 15.4, 95% CI; 2.4 to 97.1, P = 0.003), blood transfusion at the referring hospital (aOR: 7.7, 95% CI: 1.3 to 44.2, P = 0.02) and GSW to the chest, abdomen, neck, or proximal extremities (aOR 11.0, 95% CI; 1.7 to 70.8, P = 0.01). Using these activation criteria would have decreased over- triage by 10.7%, from 49.1% to 37.2% and under-triage by 1.3%, from 4.7% to 3.5%, in our cohort of patients.

Conclusions

Using GCS<14, hemodynamic instability, open pneumothorax/flail chest, spinal cord injury, blood transfusion at the referring hospital, and GSW to the chest, abdomen, neck of proximal extremities, as T1 activation criteria could decrease over- and under-triage rates. Prospective studies are needed to validate the optimal set of activation criteria in paediatric patients.

Performance of the BIG Score in Predicting Mortality in Normotensive Children With Trauma

OBJECTIVES

Children have a larger reserve for traumatic hemorrhagic shock, requiring a score that uses physiologic variables other than hypotension. Recently, the BIG score comprising admission base deficit, international normalized ratio, and the Glasgow Coma Scale has been reported to predict traumatic mortality. We aimed to validate the performance of the BIG score in mortality prediction of normotensive children with trauma.

METHODS

We reviewed 1046 injured children (<18 years) who visited a Korean academic hospital from 2010 to 2018, excluding those with age-adjusted hypotension. In-hospital mortality, the BIG score and its predicted mortality, Revised Trauma Score, and Pediatric Trauma Score were calculated. We compared areas under the curve (AUCs) for in-hospital mortality of the 3 scores and did in-hospital and BIG-predicted mortalities.

RESULTS

Of the 1046 children, 554 were enrolled with a 4.9% in-hospital mortality rate. The median BIG score was higher in the nonsurvivors (6.4 [interquartile range, 4.4-9.2] vs 20.1 [16.5-24.8]; P < 0.001). The AUC of the BIG score was 0.94 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.92-0.96), which was higher than that of Pediatric Trauma Score (0.87 [95% CI, 0.84-0.90]; P < 0.001). The AUC of the BIG score tended to be higher than that of Revised Trauma Score without statistical significance (0.90 [95% CI, 0.87-0.92]; P = 0.130). We noted a parallel between in-hospital and BIG-predicted mortalities. The hemorrhage-related nonsurvivors showed higher median base deficit and BIG score than did the isolated traumatic brain injury-related ones.

CONCLUSIONS

The BIG score can predict mortality with excellent accuracy in normotensive children with trauma.

Prehospital coagulation measurement by a portable blood analyzer in a helicopter emergency medical service (HEMS)

In helicopter emergency medical services, HEMS, coagulopathy presents both in trauma (e.g. consumption of coagulation factors) and non-trauma cases (e.g. anticoagulant use). Therefore, in HEMS coagulation measurements appear promising and Prothrombin Time (PT) and derived INR are attractive variables herein. We tested the feasibility of prehospital PT/INR coagulation measurements in HEMS. This study was performed at the Dutch HEMS, using a portable blood analyzer (i-Stat®1, Abbott). PT/INR measurements were performed on (hemodiluted) author's blood, and both trauma- and non-trauma HEMS patients. Device-related benefits of the i-Stat PT/INR system were portability, speed and ease of handling. Limitations included a rather narrow operational temperature range (16-30 °C). PT/INR measurements (n = 15) were performed on hemodiluted blood, and both trauma and non-trauma patients. The PT/INR results confirmed effects of hemodilution and anticoagulation, however, most measurement results were in the normal INR-range (0.9-1.2). We conclude that prehospital PT/INR measurements, although with limitations, are feasible in HEMS operations.

The Base Deficit, International Normalized Ratio, and Glasgow Coma Scale (BIG) Score, and Functional Outcome at Hospital Discharge in Children With Traumatic Brain Injury

OBJECTIVES

To examine the association of the base deficit, international normalized ratio, and Glasgow Coma Scale (BIG) score on emergency department arrival with functional dependence at hospital discharge (Pediatric Cerebral Performance Category ≥ 4) in pediatric multiple trauma patients with traumatic brain injury.

DESIGN

A retrospective cohort study of a pediatric trauma database from 2001 to 2018.

SETTING

Level 1 trauma program at a university-affiliated pediatric institution.

PATIENTS

Two to 17 years old children sustaining major blunt trauma including a traumatic brain injury and meeting trauma team activation criteria.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

Two investigators, blinded to the BIG score, determined discharge Pediatric Cerebral Performance Category scores. The BIG score was measured on emergency department arrival. The 609 study patients were 9.7 ± 4.4 years old with a median Injury Severity Score 22 (interquartile range, 12). One-hundred seventy-one of 609 (28%) had Pediatric Cerebral Performance Category greater than or equal to 4 (primary outcome). The BIG constituted a multivariable predictor of Pediatric Cerebral Performance Category greater than or equal to 4 (odds ratio, 2.39; 95% CI, 1.81-3.15) after adjustment for neurosurgery requirement (odds ratio, 2.83; 95% CI, 1.69-4.74), pupils fixed and dilated (odds ratio, 3.1; 95% CI, 1.49-6.38), and intubation at the scene or referral hospital (odds ratio, 2.82; 95% CI, 1.35-5.87) and other postulated predictors of poor outcome. The area under the BIG receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.87 (0.84-0.90). Using an optimal BIG cutoff less than or equal to 8, sensitivity and negative predictive value for functional dependence at discharge were 93% and 96%, respectively, compared with a sensitivity of 79% and negative predictive value of 91% with Glasgow Coma Scale less than or equal to 8. In children with Glasgow Coma Scale 3, the BIG score was associated with brain death (odds ratio, 2.13; 95% CI, 1.58-2.36). The BIG also predicted disposition to inpatient rehabilitation (odds ratio, 2.26; 95% CI, 2.17-2.35).

CONCLUSIONS

The BIG score is a simple, rapidly obtainable severity of illness score that constitutes an independent predictor of functional dependence at hospital discharge in pediatric trauma patients with traumatic brain injury. The BIG score may benefit Trauma and Neurocritical care programs in identifying ideal candidates for traumatic brain injury trials within the therapeutic window of treatment.

Mortality prediction in pediatric trauma

BACKGROUND

In trauma research, accurate estimates of mortality that can be rapidly calculated prior to enrollment are essential to ensure appropriate patient selection and adequate sample size. This study compares the accuracy of the BIG (Base Deficit, International normalized ratio and Glasgow Coma scale) score in predicting mortality in pediatric trauma patients to Pediatric Risk of Mortality III (PRISM III) score, Pediatric Index of Mortality 2 (PIM2) score and Pediatric Logistic Organ Dysfunction (PELOD) score.

METHODS

Data were collected from Virtual Pediatric Systems (VPS, LLC) database for children between 2004 and 2015 from 149 PICUs. Logistic regression models were developed to evaluate mortality prediction. The Area under the Curve (AUC) of Receiver Operator Characteristic (ROC) curves were derived from these models and compared between scores.

RESULTS

A total of 45,377 trauma patients were analyzed. The BIG score could only be calculated for 152 patients (0.33%). PRISM III, PIM2, and PELOD scores were calculated for 44,360, 45,377 and 14,768 patients respectively. The AUC of the BIG score was 0.94 compared to 0.96, 0.97 and 0.93 for the PRISM III, PIM2, and PELOD respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The BIG score is accurate in predicting mortality in pediatric trauma patients.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level I prognosis.

Retrospective evaluation of the BIG score to predict mortality in pediatric blunt trauma

OBJECTIVES

This study's objective was to measure the criterion validity of the BIG score (a new pediatric trauma score composed of the initial base deficit [BD], international normalized ratio [INR], and Glasgow Coma Scale [GCS]) to predict in-hospital mortality among children admitted to the emergency department with blunt trauma requiring an admission to the intensive care unit, knowing that a score <16 identifies children with a high probability of survival.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study performed in a single tertiary care pediatric hospital between 2008 and 2016. Participants were all children admitted to the emergency department for a blunt trauma requiring intensive care unit admission or who died in the emergency department. The primary analysis was the association between a BIG score ≥16 and in-hospital mortality.

RESULTS

Twenty-eight children died among the 336 who met the inclusion criteria. Two hundred eighty-four children had information on the three components of the BIG score, and they were included in the primary analysis. A BIG score ≥16 demonstrated a sensitivity of 0.93 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.76-0.98) and specificity of 0.83 (95% CI: 0.78-0.87) to identify mortality. Using receiver operating characteristic curves, the area under the curve was higher for the BIG score (0.97; 95% IC: 0.95-0.99) in comparison to the Injury Severity Score (0.78; 95% IC: 0.71-0.85).

CONCLUSION

In this retrospective cohort, the BIG score was an excellent predictor of survival for children admitted to the emergency department following a blunt trauma.

Systematic review and need assessment of pediatric trauma outcome benchmarking tools for low-resource settings

INTRODUCTION

Trauma is a leading cause of mortality and disability in children worldwide. The World Health Organization reports that 95% of all childhood injury deaths occur in Low-Middle-Income Countries (LMIC). Injury scores have been developed to facilitate risk stratification, clinical decision making, and research. Trauma registries in LMIC depend on adapted trauma scores that do not rely on investigations that require unavailable material or human resources. We sought to review and assess the existing trauma scores used in pediatric patients. Our objective is to determine their wideness of use, validity, setting of use, outcome measures, and criticisms. We believe that there is a need for an adapted trauma score developed specifically for pediatric patients in low-resource settings.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A systematic review of the literature was conducted to identify and compare existing injury scores used in pediatric patients. We constructed a search strategy in collaboration with a senior hospital librarian. Multiple databases were searched, including Embase, Medline, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials. Articles were selected based on predefined inclusion criteria by two reviewers and underwent qualitative analysis.

RESULTS

The scores identified are suboptimal for use in pediatric patients in low-resource settings due to various factors, including reliance on precise anatomic diagnosis, physiologic parameters maladapted to pediatric patients, or laboratory data with inconsistent accessibility in LMIC.

CONCLUSION

An important gap exists in our ability to simply and reliably estimate injury severity in pediatric patients and predict their associated probability of outcomes in settings, where resources are limited. An ideal score should be easy to calculate using point-of-care data that are readily available in LMIC, and can be easily adapted to the specific physiologic variations of different age groups.