Dynamic trend or static variable: Shock Index Pediatric-Adjusted (SIPA) in warzone trauma

Shock index and shock index, pediatric age-adjusted as predictors of mortality in pediatric patients with trauma: A systematic review and meta-analysis

This study aimed to assess the predictive ability of the shock index (SI) and the shock index, pediatric age-adjusted (SIPA) for mortality among pediatric patients with trauma (aged ≤ 18 years). A systematic search used PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library databases to identify pertinent articles published from their inception to 13 February 2023. For each SI and SIPA, the pooled sensitivity, specificity, diagnostic odds ratio (DOR), and area under the summary receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) with the corresponding 95% confidence intervals were calculated. We planned a priori meta-regression analyses to explore heterogeneity using the following covariates: country, clinical setting, type of center, data source, and cutoff value. Twelve studies were included based on the inclusion criteria. Among them, nine studies with 195,469 patients were included for the SIPA at the hospital, four studies with 4,970 patients were included for the pre-hospital SIPA, and seven studies with 606,445 patients were included to assess the ability of the SI in predicting mortality. The pooled sensitivity and specificity with 95% confidence interval for predicting mortality were as follows: 0.58 (0.44-0.70) and 0.72 (0.60-0.82), respectively, for the SIPA at the hospital; 0.61 (0.47-0.74) and 0.67 (0.61-0.73), respectively, for the pre-hospital SIPA; and 0.71 (0.59-0.81) and 0.45 (0.31-0.59), respectively for the SI. The DOR were 3.80, 3.28, and 2.06 for the SIPA at the hospital, pre-hospital SIPA, and SI, respectively. The AUC were 0.693, 0.689, and 0.618 for the SIPA at the hospital, pre-hospital SIPA, and SI, respectively. The SI and SIPA are simple predictive tools with sufficient accuracy that can be readily applied to pediatric patients with trauma, but SIPA and SI should be utilized cautiously due to their limited sensitivity and specificity, respectively.

Pediatric Age-adjusted Shock Index (SIPA): From Injury to Outcome in Blunt Abdominal Trauma

Purpose

The Shock Index Pediatric Age-Adjusted (SIPA) score is a useful tool for identifying pediatric trauma patients at a risk of poor outcomes and for triaging. We are studying the relationship between elevated SIPA score and specific outcomes in pediatric trauma patients.

Materials and Methods

A retrospective study was conducted in which case records of 58 pediatric patients with blunt abdominal trauma were evaluated and tabulated for their SIPA scores only at the time of their initial presentation and categorized into two groups - normal SIPA and elevated SIPA. The primary outcomes were need for blood transfusion, need for any intervention, and need for emergency surgery, and the secondary outcomes were need for computed tomography (CT) scan, need for a ventilator, intensive care unit (ICU) stay, length of hospital stay, and mortality. Statistical methods were applied to find a relationship between elevated SIPA score and the primary and secondary outcomes.

Results

An elevated SIPA score was noted in 27 (46%) patients. There was a significant relationship between elevated SIPA scores and patients needing blood transfusion (68.75%, n = 11) and length of hospital stay (10.48 ± 7.54 days). A significant relationship between elevated SIPA score and need for emergency surgery (54.54%, n = 6), need for a CT scan (56%, n = 14), and ICU stay (50%, n = 2) was not found.

Conclusion

We have seen in our study that elevated SIPA scores at presentation are significantly related to need for blood transfusion and length of hospital stay. In more than half of the patients, elevated SIPA was associated with need for emergency surgery and requirement of CT scan, but it was statistically not significant. Therefore, assessment of this parameter can help in identifying such poor outcomes.

Which Trauma Severity Scores Are Useful in Predicting Pediatric Mortality?

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Trauma is the leading cause of death in children. Several trauma severity scores exist: the shock index (SI), age-adjusted SI (SIPA), reverse SI (rSI), and rSI multiplied by Glasgow Coma Score (rSIG). However, it is unknown which is the best predictor of clinical outcomes in children. Our goal was to determine the association between trauma severity scores and mortality in pediatric trauma.

DESIGN AND METHODS

A multicenter retrospective study was performed using the 2015 US National Trauma Data Bank, including patients 1 to 18 years old and excluding patients with unknown emergency department dispositions. The scores were calculated using initial emergency department parameters. Descriptive analysis was carried out. Variables were stratified by outcome (hospital mortality). Then, for each trauma score, a multivariate logistic regression was conducted to determine its association with mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 67,098 patients with a mean age of 11 ±5 years were included. Majority of the patients were male (66%) and had an injury severity score <15 (87%). Eighty-four percent of patients were admitted: 15% to the intensive care unit and 17% directly to the operating room. The mortality at hospital discharge was 3%.There was a statistically significant association between SI, rSI, rSIG, and mortality ( P < 0.05). The highest adjusted odds ratio for mortality corresponded to rSIG, followed by rSI then SI (8.51, 1.9, and 1.3, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Several trauma scores may help predict mortality in children with trauma, the best being rSIG. Introduction of these scores in algorithms for pediatric trauma evaluations can impact clinical decision-making.

The effect of time of measurement on the discriminant ability for mortality in trauma of a pre-hospital shock index multiplied by age and divided by the Glasgow Coma Score: a registry study

BACKGROUND

The shock index (SI) and its derivatives have been shown to predict mortality in severely injured patients, both in pre-hospital and in-hospital settings. However, the impact of the time of measurement on the discriminative ability of the pre-hospital SI is unknown. The aim of this study was to evaluate whether the time of measurement influences the discriminative ability of the SI multiplied by age (SIA) and divided by the Glasgow Coma Score (SIA/G).

METHODS

Registry data were obtained from the national helicopter emergency medical services (HEMS) on trauma patients aged ≥ 18 years. The SI values were calculated based on the first measured vitals of the trauma patients by the HEMS unit. The discriminative ability of the SIA/G, with 30-day mortality as the endpoint, was evaluated according to different delay times (0 - 19, 20 - 39 and ≥ 40 min) from the initial incident. Sub-group analyses were performed for trauma patients without a traumatic brain injury (TBI), patients with an isolated TBI and patients with polytrauma, including a TBI.

RESULTS

In total, 3,497 patients were included in the study. The SIA/G was higher in non-survivors (median 7.8 [interquartile range 4.7-12.3] vs. 2.4 [1.7-3.6], P < 0.001). The overall area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUROC) for the SIA/G was 0.87 (95% CI: 0.85-0.89). The AUROC for the SIA/G was similar in the short (0.88, 95% CI: 0.85-0.91), intermediate (0.86, 95% CI: 0.84-0.89) and long (0.86, 95% CI: 0.82-0.89) measurement delay groups. The findings were similar in the three trauma sub-groups.

CONCLUSIONS

The discriminative ability of the SIA/G in predicting 30-day mortality was not significantly affected by the measurement time of the index in the pre-hospital setting. The SIA/G is a simple and reliable tool for assessing the risk of mortality among severely injured patients in the pre-hospital setting.

Pediatric Blast Trauma: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Factors Associated with Mortality and Description of Injury Profiles

Introduction:

Blast polytrauma is among the most serious mechanisms of injury confronted by medical providers. There are currently no specific studies or guidelines that define risk factors for mortality in the context of pediatric blast injuries or describe pediatric blast injury profiles.

Objective:

The objectives of this study were to evaluate risk factors for pediatric mortality and to describe differences in injury profiles between explosions related to terrorism versus unrelated to terrorism within the pediatric population.

Methods:

A PRISMA systematic review and meta-analysis was performed where articles published from the years 2000-2021 were extracted from PubMed. Mortality and injury profile data were extracted from articles that met inclusion criteria. A bivariant unadjusted odds ratio (OR) analysis was performed to establish protective and harmful factors associated with mortality and to describe the injury profiles of blasts related to terrorism. Statistical significance was established at P < .05.

Results:

Thirty-eight articles were included and described a total of 222,638 unique injuries. Factors associated with increased mortality included if the explosion was related to terrorism (OR = 32.73; 95% CI, 28.80-37.21; P < .05) and if the explosion involved high-grade explosives utilized in the Global War on Terror ([GWOT] OR = 1.28; 95% CI, 1.04-1.44; P < .05). Factors associated with decreased mortality included if the patient was resuscitated in a North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)-affiliated combat trauma hospital (OR = 0.48; 95% CI, 0.37-0.62; P < .05); if the explosive was fireworks (OR = 3.20×10-5; 95% CI, 2.00×10-6-5.16×10-4; P < .05); and if the explosion occurred in the United States (OR = 2.40×10-5; 95% CI, 1.51×10-6-3.87×10-4; P < .05). On average, victims of explosions related to terrorism were 10.30 years old (SD = 2.73) with 68.96% (SD = 17.58%) of victims reported as male. Comparison of victims of explosions related to terrorism revealed a higher incidence of thoracoabdominal trauma (30.2% versus 8.6%), similar incidence of craniocerebral trauma (39.5% versus 43.1%), and lower incidence of extremity trauma (31.8% versus 48.3%) compared to victims of explosions unrelated to terrorism.

Conclusion:

Explosions related to terrorism are associated with increased mortality and unique injury profiles compared to explosions unrelated to terrorism in the pediatric population. Such findings are important for optimizing disaster medical education of pediatric providers in preparation for and management of acute sequelae of blast injuries—terror-related and otherwise.

Shock Index, Pediatric Age-Adjusted Predicts Morbidity and Mortality in Children Admitted to the Intensive Care Unit

Background: The shock index, pediatric age-adjusted (SIPA), defined as the maximum normal heart rate divided by the minimum normal systolic blood pressure by age, can help predict the risk of morbidity and mortality after pediatric trauma. This study investigated whether the SIPA can be used as an early index of prognosis for non-traumatic children visiting the pediatric emergency department (ED) and were directly admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU). We hypothesized that an increase in SIPA values in the first 24 h of ICU admission would correlate with mortality and adverse outcomes. Methods: This multicenter retrospective study enrolled non-traumatic patients aged 1-17 years who presented to the pediatric ED and were directly admitted to the ICU from January 1, 2016, to December 31, 2018, in Taiwan. The SIPA value was calculated at the time of arrival at the ED and 24 h after ICU admission. Cutoffs included SIPA values >1.2 (patient age: 1-6), >1.0 (patient age: 7-12), and >0.9 (patient age: 12-17). The utility of the SIPA and the trends in the SIPA during the first 24 h of ICU admission were analyzed to predict outcomes. Results: In total, 1,732 patients were included. Of these, 1,050 (60.6%) were under 6 years old, and the median Pediatric Risk of Mortality score was 7 (5-10). In total, 4.7% of the patients died, 12.9% received mechanical ventilator (MV) support, and 11.1% received inotropic support. The SIPA value at 24 h after admission was associated with increased mortality [odds ratio (OR): 4.366, 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.392-7.969, p < 0.001], MV support (OR: 1.826, 95% CI: 1.322-2.521, p < 0.001), inotropic support (OR: 2.306, 95% CI: 1.599-3.326, p < 0.001), and a long hospital length of stay (HLOS) (2.903 days, 95% CI: 1.734-4.271, p < 0.001). Persistent abnormal SIPA value was associated with increased mortality (OR: 2.799, 95% CI: 1.566-5.001, p = 0.001), MV support (OR: 1.457, 95% CI: 1.015-2.092, p = 0.041), inotropic support (OR: 1.875, 95% CI: 1.287-2.833, p = 0.001), and a long HLOS (3.2 days, 95% CI: 1.9-4.6, p < 0.001). Patients with abnormal to normal SIPA values were associated with decreased mortality (OR: 0.258, 95% CI: 0.106-0.627, p = 0.003), while patients with normal to abnormal SIPA values were associated with increased mortality (OR: 3.055, 95% CI: 1.472-5.930, p = 0.002). Conclusions: In non-traumatic children admitted to the ICU from the ED, increased SIPA values at 24 h after ICU admission predicted high mortality and bad outcomes. Monitoring the trends in the SIPA could help with prognostication and optimize early management.