Exacerbation of prothrombin time-international normalized ratio before second polymyxin B cartridge hemoperfusion predicts poor outcome of patients with severe sepsis and/or septic shock

Early predicting 30-day mortality in sepsis in MIMIC-III by an artificial neural networks model

OBJECTIVE

Early identifying sepsis patients who had higher risk of poor prognosis was extremely important. The aim of this study was to develop an artificial neural networks (ANN) model for early predicting clinical outcomes in sepsis.

METHODS

This study was a retrospective design. Sepsis patients from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-III (MIMIC-III) database were enrolled. A predictive model for predicting 30-day morality in sepsis was performed based on the ANN approach.

RESULTS

A total of 2874 patients with sepsis were included and 30-day mortality was 29.8%. The study population was categorized into the training set (n = 1698) and validation set (n = 1176) based on the ratio of 6:4. 11 variables which showed significant differences between survivor group and nonsurvivor group in training set were selected for constructing the ANN model. In training set, the predictive performance based on the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC) were 0.873 for ANN model, 0.720 for logistic regression, 0.629 for APACHEII score and 0.619 for SOFA score. In validation set, the AUCs of ANN, logistic regression, APAHCEII score, and SOFA score were 0.811, 0.752, 0.607, and 0.628, respectively.

CONCLUSION

An ANN model for predicting 30-day mortality in sepsis was performed. Our predictive model can be beneficial for early detection of patients with higher risk of poor prognosis.

The effects of direct hemoperfusion using a polymyxin B-immobilized column in a pig model of severe Pseudomonas aeruginosa pneumonia

Background

Hemoperfusion through a column containing polymyxin B-immobilized fiber (PMX-HP) is beneficial in abdominal sepsis. We assessed the effects of PMX-HP in a model of severe Pseudomonas aeruginosa pneumonia.

Methods

Eighteen pigs with severe P. aeruginosa pneumonia were mechanically ventilated for 76 h. Pigs were randomized to receive standard treatment with fluids and vasoactive drugs, or standard treatment with two 3-h PMX-HP sessions. Antibiotics against P. aeruginosa were never administered. We assessed endotoxemia through the endotoxin activity assay (EA). We measured the static lung elastance, ratio of arterial partial pressure per inspiratory fraction of oxygen (PaO₂/FIO₂), mean arterial pressure, cardiac output, systemic vascular resistance and inotropic score. Finally, every 24 h, we assessed complete blood count.

Results

In comparison with the control group, PMX-HP decreased percentage of circulating neutrophils from 47.4 ± 13.8 to 40.8 ± 11.5 % (p = 0.009). In a subgroup of animals with the worst hemodynamic impairment, EA in the control and PMX-HP groups was 0.50 ± 0.29 and 0.29 ± 0.14, respectively (p = 0.018). Additionally, in the control and PMX-HP groups, static lung elastance was 26.9 ± 8.7 and 25.3 ± 7.5 cm H₂O/L (p = 0.558), PaO₂/FIO₂ was 347.3 ± 61.9 and 356.4 ± 84.0 mmHg (p = 0.118), mean arterial pressure was 81.2 ± 10.3 and 81.6 ± 13.1 mmHg (p = 0.960), cardiac output was 3.30 ± 1.11 and 3.28 ± 1.19 L/min (p = 0.535), systemic vascular resistance was 1982.6 ± 608.4 and 2011.8 ± 750.0 dyne/s/cm^–5 (p = 0.939), and inotropic score was 0.25 ± 0.10 and 0.26 ± 0.18 (p = 0.864).

Conclusions

In mechanically ventilated pigs with severe P. aeruginosa pneumonia, PMX-HP does not have any valuable clinical benefit, and studies are warranted to fully evaluate a potential role of PMX-HP in septic shock associated with severe pulmonary infections.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s13613-016-0155-3) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.