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Jiang A, Wu W, Ma L, Yan M, Zhao Z, Chen Q. Effect of Electroacupuncture on the Treatment of Pneumonia in Patients with Hypertensive Intracerebral Hemorrhage. World Neurosurg 2023; 175:e1124-e1132. [PMID: 37094709 DOI: 10.1016/j.wneu.2023.04.078] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/19/2023] [Revised: 04/17/2023] [Accepted: 04/18/2023] [Indexed: 04/26/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Pneumonia is a serious postoperative complication of hypertensive intracerebral hemorrhage (HICH), and there is no specific treatment for pneumonia. In this study, we conducted randomized controlled trials to evaluate the effects of electroacupuncture (EA) on the treatment of pneumonia in patients with HICH. METHODS An equal number of patients with HICH complicated with pneumonia (n = 80 in total) were randomly placed in either the EA group (EA treatment and routine basic treatment) or the control group (routine basic treatment). After 14 days of treatment, clinical symptoms and signs, blood oxygen saturation, the level of inflammatory factors, the effective rate, the scores of the Barthel Index, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale and Glasgow Coma Scale, the hospitalization time, and expenses were compared between the groups. RESULTS The general information of the patients in the control and EA groups were similar. After 14 days of intervention, the patients in the EA group showed better symptom and sign scores, blood oxygen saturation levels, Barthel Index scores, Glasgow Coma Scale scores, and National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale scores than the patients in the control group. Furthermore, the EA treatment also lowered the levels of inflammatory factors and white blood cell count. Additionally, the patients in the EA group showed higher effective rates than those in the control group. CONCLUSIONS EA benefits the treatment of pneumonia in patients with HICH.
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Affiliation(s)
- Aiyu Jiang
- Department of Mental Health, Zhejiang Hospital, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China
| | - Wanzhen Wu
- Department of Mental Health, Zhejiang Hospital, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China
| | - Liling Ma
- Department of Mental Health, Zhejiang Hospital, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China
| | - Miaofang Yan
- Department of Nursing of Cardiovascular, Zhejiang Hospital, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China
| | - Zhulin Zhao
- Department of Mental Health, Zhejiang Hospital, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China
| | - Qinping Chen
- Department of Neurology, Zhejiang Hospital, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China.
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Chen S, Dai M, Hu J, Cheng J, Duan Y, Zou X, Su Y, Liu N, Jingesi M, Chen Z, Yin P, Huang S, He Q, Wang P. Evaluating the predictive ability of temperature-related indices on the stroke morbidity in Shenzhen, China: Under cross-validation methods framework. THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 2022; 838:156425. [PMID: 35660600 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.156425] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/10/2022] [Revised: 05/29/2022] [Accepted: 05/30/2022] [Indexed: 06/15/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Composite temperature-related indices have been utilized to comprehensively reflect the impact of multiple meteorological factors on health. We aimed to evaluate the predictive ability of temperature-related indices, choose the best predictor of stroke morbidity, and explore the association between them. METHODS We built distributed lag nonlinear models to estimate the associations between temperature-related indices and stroke morbidity and then applied two types of cross-validation (CV) methods to choose the best predictor. The effects of this index on overall stroke, intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), and ischemic stroke (IS) morbidity were explored and we explained how this index worked using heatmaps. Stratified analyses were conducted to identify vulnerable populations. RESULTS Among 12 temperature-related indices, the alternative temperature-humidity index (THIa) had the best overall performance in terms of root mean square error when combining the results from two CVs. With the median value of THIa (25.70 °C) as the reference, the relative risks (RRs) of low THIa (10th percentile) reached a maximum at lag 0-10, with RRs of 1.20 (95%CI:1.10-1.31), 1.49 (95%CI:1.29-1.73) and 1.12 (95%CI:1.03-1.23) for total stroke, ICH and IS, respectively. According to the THIa formula, we matched the effects of THIa on stroke under various combinations of temperature and relative humidity. We found that, although the low temperature (<20 °C) had the greatest adverse effect, the modification effect of humidity on it was not evident. In contrast, lower humidity could reverse the protective effect of temperature into a harmful effect at the moderate-high temperature (24 °C-27 °C). Stratification analyses showed that the female was more vulnerable to low THIa in IS. CONCLUSIONS THIa is the best temperature-related predictor of stroke morbidity. In addition to the most dangerous cold weather, the government should pay more attention to days with moderate-high temperature and low humidity, which have been overlooked in the past.
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Affiliation(s)
- Siyi Chen
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China
| | - Mengyi Dai
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China
| | - Jing Hu
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China
| | - Jinquan Cheng
- Shenzhen Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shenzhen, China
| | - Yanran Duan
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China
| | - Xuan Zou
- Shenzhen Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shenzhen, China
| | - Youpeng Su
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China
| | - Ning Liu
- Department of Environment and Health, Shenzhen Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shenzhen, China
| | - Maidina Jingesi
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China
| | - Ziwei Chen
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China
| | - Ping Yin
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China
| | - Suli Huang
- Shenzhen Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shenzhen, China
| | - Qingqing He
- School of Resource and Environmental Engineering, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan, China
| | - Peng Wang
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.
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Li W, Xu L, Zhao H, Zhu S. Analysis of clinical distribution and drug resistance of klebsiella pneumoniae pulmonary infection in patients with hypertensive intra cerebral hemorrhage after minimally invasive surgery. Pak J Med Sci 2022; 38:237-242. [PMID: 35035432 PMCID: PMC8713240 DOI: 10.12669/pjms.38.1.4439] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/27/2021] [Revised: 07/12/2021] [Accepted: 07/30/2021] [Indexed: 11/15/2022] Open
Abstract
Objectives: To investigate the clinical distribution and drug resistance of Klebsiella pneumoniae pulmonary infection in patients with hypertensive intracerebral hemorrhage after minimally invasive surgery. Methods: A total of 658 patients with hypertensive intracerebral hemorrhage who underwent minimally invasive surgery admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) and the Department of Neurology of Affiliated Hospital of Hebei University from January 2015 to January 2020 were enrolled and divided into two groups: the observation group and the control group. Three hundred and thirty-three cases with postoperative pulmonary infection were included into the observation group, and 325 cases without postoperative pulmonary infection were divided into the control group. The intubation time, neurological deficiency score and Glasgow coma scale (GCS) of the two groups were analyzed and compared. Automatic microbial identification system was utilized to isolate bacteria from patients in the observation group, identify Klebsiella pneumoniae, and analyze Klebsiella pneumoniae infection, clinical department distribution, and age distribution. The Kirby-Bauer method was adopted to carry out the drug susceptibility test of Klebsiella pneumoniae infection. Results: The intubation time and neurological deficiency score of patients with hypertensive cerebral hemorrhage in the observation group were significantly higher than those in the control group (p<0.05), while the GCS score was significantly lower than that in the control group (p<0.05). A total of 403 strains of pathogenic bacteria were isolated from 325 patients in the observation group, of which 52 strains of Klebsiella pneumoniae were detected in 52 patients with postoperative pulmonary infection, accounting for 12.90%. The detection rates of Klebsiella pneumoniae in ICU and neurology department were 53.85% and 46.15%, respectively. Klebsiella pneumoniae had the highest detection rate (40.38%) in people aged 70 years and above. Moreover, fifty-two strains of Klebsiella pneumoniae showed low drug resistance rate (<20%) to cefoperazone/sulbactam, piperacillin/tazobactam, cefoxitin, imipenem, meropenem, amikacin, ciprofloxacin, and levofloxacin. Conclusion: For patients with hypertensive cerebral hemorrhage who have pulmonary infection after minimally invasive surgery, risk factors causing infection should be identified in time, their Klebsiella pneumoniae infection should be correctly monitored, and antibiotics should be taken rationally to effectively promote the elimination of brain edema in patients and protect the cranial nerve function of patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wei Li
- Wei Li, Clinical Laboratory, Affiliated Hospital of Hebei University, Baoding, 071000, Hebei, China
| | - Li Xu
- Li Xu, Clinical Laboratory, Baoding Children's Hospital, Baoding, 071000, Hebei, China
| | - Haige Zhao
- Haige Zhao, Clinical Laboratory, Affiliated Hospital of Hebei University, Baoding, 071000, Hebei, China
| | - Shanshan Zhu
- Shanshan Zhu, Clinical Laboratory, Affiliated Hospital of Hebei University, Baoding, 071000, Hebei, China
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Wang P, Cheng S, Song W, Li Y, Liu J, Zhao Q, Luo S. Daily Meteorological Parameters Influence the Risk of Intracerebral Hemorrhage in a Subtropical Monsoon Basin Climate. Risk Manag Healthc Policy 2021; 14:4833-4841. [PMID: 34916860 PMCID: PMC8667755 DOI: 10.2147/rmhp.s331314] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/14/2021] [Accepted: 11/02/2021] [Indexed: 11/23/2022] Open
Abstract
Background and Purpose The correlation between meteorological parameters and intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) occurrence is controversial. Our research explored the effect of daily meteorological parameters on ICH risk in a subtropical monsoon basin climate. Methods We retrospectively analyzed patients with ICH in a teaching hospital. Daily meteorological parameters including temperature (TEM), atmospheric pressure (PRE), relative humidity (RHU), and sunshine duration (SSD) were collected, with the diurnal variation (daily maximum minus minimum) and day-to-day variation (average of the day minus the previous day) calculated to represent their fluctuation. We adopted a time-stratified case-crossover approach and selected conditional logistic regression to explore the effect of meteorological parameters on ICH risk. The influence of monthly mean temperature proceeded via stratified analysis. Air pollutants were gathered as covariates. Results Our study included 1052 eligible cases with ICH. In a single-factor model, the risk of ICH decreased by 5.9% (P<0.001) for each 1°C higher of the daily mean TEM, and the risk increased by 2.4% (P=0.002) for each 1hPa higher of the daily mean PRE. Prolongation of daily SSD inhibited the risk of ICH, and OR was 0.959 (P=0.007). The risk was raised by 7.5% (P=0.0496) with a 1°C increment of day-to-day variation of TEM. In a two-factor model, the effect of daily mean TEM or daily SSD on ICH risk was still statistically significant after adjusting another factor. The influence of meteorological parameters on ICH risk continued in cold months but disappeared in warm months after stratified analysis. Conclusion This research indicates daily TEM and SSD had an inverse correlation to ICH risk in a subtropical monsoon basin climate. They were independent when adjusted by another factor. Daily PRE and day-to-day TEM variation were positively related to ICH risk. The correlation of daily meteorological factors on ICH risk was affected by the monthly thermal background.
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Affiliation(s)
- Peng Wang
- Department of Neurosurgery, Chengdu Fifth People's Hospital/Affiliated Chengdu No.5 People's Hospital of Chengdu University of TCM, Chengdu, People's Republic of China
| | - Shuwen Cheng
- Department of Neurosurgery, Chengdu Fifth People's Hospital/Affiliated Chengdu No.5 People's Hospital of Chengdu University of TCM, Chengdu, People's Republic of China
| | - Weizheng Song
- Department of Neurosurgery, Chengdu Fifth People's Hospital/Affiliated Chengdu No.5 People's Hospital of Chengdu University of TCM, Chengdu, People's Republic of China
| | - Yaxin Li
- West China Fourth Hospital/West China School of Public Health, Sichuan University, Chengdu, People's Republic of China
| | - Jia Liu
- Department of Neurosurgery, Chengdu Fifth People's Hospital/Affiliated Chengdu No.5 People's Hospital of Chengdu University of TCM, Chengdu, People's Republic of China
| | - Qiang Zhao
- Department of Neurosurgery, Chengdu Fifth People's Hospital/Affiliated Chengdu No.5 People's Hospital of Chengdu University of TCM, Chengdu, People's Republic of China
| | - Shuang Luo
- Department of Neurosurgery, Chengdu Fifth People's Hospital/Affiliated Chengdu No.5 People's Hospital of Chengdu University of TCM, Chengdu, People's Republic of China
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Alghamdi SAM, Aldriweesh MA, Al Bdah BA, Alhasson MA, Alsaif SA, Alluhidan WA, Almutairi FM, Alskaini MA, Alotaibi N, Al Khathaami AM. Stroke Seasonality and Weather Association in a Middle East Country: A Single Tertiary Center Experience. Front Neurol 2021; 12:707420. [PMID: 34733227 PMCID: PMC8558216 DOI: 10.3389/fneur.2021.707420] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/10/2021] [Accepted: 09/16/2021] [Indexed: 11/22/2022] Open
Abstract
Background: Stroke is a medical condition that leads to major disability and mortality worldwide. Some evidence suggests that weather and seasonal variations could have an impact on stroke incidence and outcome. However, the current evidence is inconclusive. Therefore, this study examines the seasonal variations and meteorological influences on stroke incidence and outcome in the largest city in Saudi Arabia. Methods: From February 2016 to July 2019, we retrospectively reviewed data from all patients with acute ischemic (AIS) or hemorrhagic stroke (HS) admitted to the stroke unit in a tertiary academic center in Saudi Arabia. The corresponding daily meteorological data were obtained for the same period. We considered the months from November to March as the cold season and April to October as the hot season. Results: The final cohort included 1,271 stroke patients; 60.89% (n = 774) cases occurred in the hot season, while 39.1% (n = 497) in the cold season. Males accounted for 69.6% (n = 884) of the cases. The proportion of ischemic stroke was 83.2% [hot season 83.9% (n = 649) vs. cold season 82.3% (n = 409)]. We found no statistically significant difference between seasons (hot or cold) in stroke incidence, severity [National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS)], hospital course (pneumonia, thromboembolism, intensive care stay, or length of stay), or outcome [modified Rankin scale (mRS) on discharge and death]. Conclusions: In Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, our study found no impact of weather or seasonal variations on stroke incidence, hospital course, or outcomes. However, our findings warrant further research in different country regions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Saeed A M Alghamdi
- Division of Neurology, Department of Medicine, King Abdulaziz Medical City, National Guard Health Affairs, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia.,College of Medicine, King Saud Bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia.,King Abdullah International Medical Research Center, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia
| | - Mohammed A Aldriweesh
- College of Medicine, King Saud Bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.,King Abdullah International Medical Research Center, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - Bayan A Al Bdah
- College of Medicine, King Saud Bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - Muath A Alhasson
- Unaizah College of Medicine, Qassim University, Qassim, Saudi Arabia
| | - Sultan A Alsaif
- College of Medicine, Almaarefa University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - Waleed A Alluhidan
- College of Medicine, Imam Mohammad Ibn Saud Islamic University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - Faisal M Almutairi
- College of Medicine, King Saud Bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.,King Abdullah International Medical Research Center, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - Mohammed A Alskaini
- Department of Neurology, Prince Sultan Military Medical City, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - Naser Alotaibi
- College of Medicine, King Saud Bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.,King Abdullah International Medical Research Center, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.,Division of Neurology, Department of Medicine, King Abdulaziz Medical City, National Guard Health Affairs, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - Ali M Al Khathaami
- College of Medicine, King Saud Bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.,King Abdullah International Medical Research Center, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.,Division of Neurology, Department of Medicine, King Abdulaziz Medical City, National Guard Health Affairs, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
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Abstract
Objective It has been established that stroke occurrence is influenced by seasonality. Stroke is divided into three subtypes: cerebral hemorrhage (CH), cerebral infarction (CI), and subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). The purpose of this paper was to analyze stroke events by subtype and month, in order to clarify the biggest factors that affect seasonal differences and thereby gain insight into stroke prevention. Methods Initial stroke events in the Akita Stroke Registry from 1991 to 2010 (58,684 cases; male 30,549, female 28,135) were classified by subtype and the month of onset, and correlations were estimated based on 115 healthy volunteers' monthly mean resting blood pressure (BP) at home and outdoor temperature measured by the Akita Meteorological Observatory in 2001. Results Systolic BP showed monthly variation in both morning and evening measurements. BP and outdoor temperature showed significant correlations with hemorrhagic stroke events by month (CH: r=0.87, r=-0.82; SAH: r=0.68, r=-0.82). Among the stroke subtypes, seasonal differences were the greatest in CH. Systolic BP was the most important factor for monthly and seasonal variation in stroke events. By comparing monthly BP variations with CH incidence throughout the year, we concluded that a decrease in home BP of 5 mmHg can reduce the risk of CH by 35%. Conclusion Our findings suggest that lowering BP would be the best strategy for CH prevention. Simple daily actions may be affected by cold stress. As physicians, we must strive to help patients lower their BP throughout the year not only with medication but with lifestyle guidance, especially in winter.
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Affiliation(s)
- Manabu Izumi
- Department of General Medicine, Saiseikai Utsunomiya Hospital, Japan
| | - Kazuo Suzuki
- Department of Health Preservation, Yuri Kumiai General Hospital, Japan
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Amiri M, Peinkhofer C, Othman MH, De Vecchi T, Nersesjan V, Kondziella D. Global warming and neurological practice: systematic review. PeerJ 2021; 9:e11941. [PMID: 34430087 PMCID: PMC8349167 DOI: 10.7717/peerj.11941] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/28/2021] [Accepted: 07/19/2021] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Climate change, including global warming, will cause poorer global health and rising numbers of environmental refugees. As neurological disorders account for a major share of morbidity and mortality worldwide, global warming is also destined to alter neurological practice; however, to what extent and by which mechanisms is unknown. We aimed to collect information about the effects of ambient temperatures and human migration on the epidemiology and clinical manifestations of neurological disorders. Methods We searched PubMed and Scopus from 01/2000 to 12/2020 for human studies addressing the influence of ambient temperatures and human migration on Alzheimer’s and non-Alzheimer’s dementia, epilepsy, headache/migraine, multiple sclerosis, Parkinson’s disease, stroke, and tick-borne encephalitis (a model disease for neuroinfections). The protocol was pre-registered with PROSPERO (2020 CRD42020147543). Results Ninety-three studies met inclusion criteria, 84 of which reported on ambient temperatures and nine on migration. Overall, most temperature studies suggested a relationship between increasing temperatures and higher mortality and/or morbidity, whereas results were more ambiguous for migration studies. However, we were unable to identify a single adequately designed study addressing how global warming and human migration will change neurological practice. Still, extracted data indicated multiple ways by which these aspects might alter neurological morbidity and mortality soon. Conclusion Significant heterogeneity exists across studies with respect to methodology, outcome measures, confounders and study design, including lack of data from low-income countries, but the evidence so far suggests that climate change will affect the practice of all major neurological disorders in the near future. Adequately designed studies to address this issue are urgently needed, requiring concerted efforts from the entire neurological community.
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Affiliation(s)
- Moshgan Amiri
- Department of Neurology, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Costanza Peinkhofer
- Department of Neurology, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark.,Medical Faculty, University of Trieste, Trieste, Italy
| | - Marwan H Othman
- Department of Neurology, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Teodoro De Vecchi
- Department of Neurology, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark.,Medical Faculty, University of Trieste, Trieste, Italy
| | - Vardan Nersesjan
- Department of Neurology, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Daniel Kondziella
- Department of Neurology, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark.,Department of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
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Helsper M, Agarwal A, Aker A, Herten A, Darkwah-Oppong M, Gembruch O, Deuschl C, Forsting M, Dammann P, Pierscianek D, Jabbarli R, Sure U, Wrede KH. The Subarachnoid Hemorrhage-Weather Myth: A Long-Term Big Data and Deep Learning Analysis. Front Neurol 2021; 12:653483. [PMID: 34025556 PMCID: PMC8131675 DOI: 10.3389/fneur.2021.653483] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/14/2021] [Accepted: 03/22/2021] [Indexed: 12/12/2022] Open
Abstract
Objective: The frequency of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) presents complex fluctuations that have been attributed to weather and climate changes in the past. In the present long-term big data and deep learning analysis, we have addressed this long-held myth. Methods: Bleeding dates and basic demographic data for all consecutive patients (n = 1,271) admitted to our vascular center for treatment of aSAH between January 2003 and May 2020 (6,334 days) were collected from our continuously maintained database. The meteorological data of the local weather station, including 13 different weather and climate parameters, were retrieved from Germany's National Meteorological Service for the same period. Six different deep learning models were programmed using the Keras framework and were trained for aSAH event prediction with meteorological data from January 2003 to June 2017, with 10% of this dataset applied for data validation and model improvement. The dataset from July 2017 to May 2020 was tested for aSAH event prediction accuracy for all six models using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) as the metric. Results: The study group comprised of 422 (33.2%) male and 849 (66.8%) female patients with an average age of 55 ± 14 years. None of the models showed an AUROC larger than 60.2. From the presented data, the influence of weather and climate on the occurrence of aSAH events is extremely unlikely. Conclusion: The myth of special weather conditions influencing the frequency of aSAH is disenchanted by this long-term big data and deep learning analysis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Moritz Helsper
- Department of Neurosurgery and Spine Surgery, University Hospital Essen, University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany
| | - Aashish Agarwal
- Department of Computer Science and Applied Cognitive Science, University of Duisburg-Essen, Duisburg, Germany
| | - Ahmet Aker
- Department of Computer Science and Applied Cognitive Science, University of Duisburg-Essen, Duisburg, Germany
| | - Annika Herten
- Department of Neurosurgery and Spine Surgery, University Hospital Essen, University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany
| | - Marvin Darkwah-Oppong
- Department of Neurosurgery and Spine Surgery, University Hospital Essen, University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany
| | - Oliver Gembruch
- Department of Neurosurgery and Spine Surgery, University Hospital Essen, University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany
| | - Cornelius Deuschl
- Institute of Diagnostic and Interventional Radiology and Neuroradiology, University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany
| | - Michael Forsting
- Institute of Diagnostic and Interventional Radiology and Neuroradiology, University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany
| | - Philipp Dammann
- Department of Neurosurgery and Spine Surgery, University Hospital Essen, University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany
| | - Daniela Pierscianek
- Department of Neurosurgery and Spine Surgery, University Hospital Essen, University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany
| | - Ramazan Jabbarli
- Department of Neurosurgery and Spine Surgery, University Hospital Essen, University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany
| | - Ulrich Sure
- Department of Neurosurgery and Spine Surgery, University Hospital Essen, University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany
| | - Karsten Henning Wrede
- Department of Neurosurgery and Spine Surgery, University Hospital Essen, University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany
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Meteorological factors for subarachnoid hemorrhage in the greater Düsseldorf area revisited: a machine learning approach to predict the probability of admission of patients with subarachnoid hemorrhage. Acta Neurochir (Wien) 2020; 162:187-195. [PMID: 31760531 DOI: 10.1007/s00701-019-04128-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/09/2019] [Accepted: 10/29/2019] [Indexed: 10/25/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Reported data regarding the relation between the incidence of spontaneous subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) and weather conditions are conflicting and do so far not allow prognostic models. METHODS Admissions for spontaneous SAH (ICD I60.*) 2009-2018 were retrieved form our hospital data base. Historical meteorological data for the nearest meteorological station, Düsseldorf Airport, was retrieved from the archive of the Deutsche Wetterdienst (DWD). Airport is in the center of our catchment area with a diameter of approximately 100 km. Pearson correlation matrix between mean daily meteorological variables and the daily admissions of one or more patients with subarachnoid hemorrhage was calculated and further analysis was done using deep learning algorithms. RESULTS For the 10-year period from January 1, 2009 until December 31, 2018, a total of 1569 patients with SAH were admitted. No SAH was admitted on 2400 days (65.7%), 1 SAH on 979 days (26.7%), 2 cases on 233 days (6.4%), 3 SAH on 37 days (1.0%), 4 in 2 days (0.05%), and 5 cases on 1 day (0.03%). Pearson correlation matrix suggested a weak positive correlation of admissions for SAH with precipitation on the previous day and weak inverse relations with the actual mean daily temperature and the temperature change from the previous days, and weak inverse correlations with barometric pressure on the index day and the day before. Clustering with admission of multiple SAH on a given day followed a Poisson distribution and was therefore coincidental. The deep learning algorithms achieved an area under curve (AUC) score of approximately 52%. The small difference from 50% appears to reflect the size of the meteorological impact. CONCLUSION Although in our data set a weak correlation of the probability to admit one or more cases of SAH with meteorological conditions was present during the analyzed time period, no helpful prognostic model could be deduced with current state machine learning methods. The meteorological influence on the admission of SAH appeared to be in the range of only a few percent compared with random or unknown factors.
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Lee S, Guth M. Associations between Temperature and Hospital Admissions for Subarachnoid Hemorrhage in Korea. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2017; 14:ijerph14040449. [PMID: 28430143 PMCID: PMC5409649 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph14040449] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/10/2017] [Revised: 04/17/2017] [Accepted: 04/19/2017] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
The relationship between temperature and subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) is less studied than that between temperature and myocardial infarction or other cardiovascular diseases. This study investigated the association between daily temperature and risk of SAH by analyzing the hospital admission records of 111,316 SAH patients from 2004 to 2012 in Korea. A Poisson regression model was used to examine the association between temperature and daily SAH hospital admissions. To analyze data and identify vulnerable groups, we used the following subgroups: sex, age, insurance type, area (rural or urban), and different climate zones. We confirmed a markedly higher SAH risk only for people of low socioeconomic status in both hot and cold temperatures; the relative risk (RR) in the Medicaid group was significantly increased and ranged from 1.04 to 1.11 for cold temperatures and 1.10 to 1.11 for hot temperatures. For the National Health Insurance group, the RR was increased to 1.02 for the maximum temperature only. The increased risk for SAH was highest in the temperate zone. An increase above the heat threshold temperature and a decrease below the cold threshold temperature were correlated with an increased risk of SAH in susceptible populations and were associated with different lag effects and RRs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Suji Lee
- Institute of Health and Environment, Seoul National University, Gwanak-gu, Seoul 151-742, Korea.
| | - Matthias Guth
- School of Medicine, Technische Universität München, Arcisstraße 21, 80333 Munich, Germany.
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