Cost-Effectiveness of Rotavirus Vaccination in France-Accounting for Indirect Protection

Projected Public Health Impact of a Universal Rotavirus Vaccination Program in France

OBJECTIVE

In June 2022, French health authorities issued a universal recommendation for routine administration and reimbursement of rotavirus vaccines in infants. Given this recent recommendation by French health authorities, we sought to understand the public health impact of a universal rotavirus vaccination strategy compared with no vaccination.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A deterministic, age-structured, nonlinear dynamic transmission model, accounting for herd immunity, was developed. We considered 3 vaccination coverage scenarios: high (95%), medium (75%) and low (55%). Model parameter values were based on published modeling and epidemiological literature. Model outcomes included rotavirus gastroenteritis (RVGE) cases and healthcare resource utilization due to RVGE (hospitalizations, general practitioner or emergency department visits), as well as the number needed to vaccinate to prevent 1 RVGE case (mild or severe) and 1 RVGE-related hospitalization. Model calibration and analyses were conducted using Mathematica 11.3.

RESULTS

Over 5 years following implementation, RVGE cases for children under 5 years are estimated to be reduced by 84% under a high vaccination coverage scenario, by 72% under a medium vaccination coverage scenario and by 47% under a low vaccination coverage scenario. Across all scenarios, the number needed to vaccinate to avert 1 RVGE case and hospitalization varied between 1.86-2.04 and 24.15-27.44, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Rotavirus vaccination with high vaccination coverage in France is expected to substantially reduce the number of RVGE cases and associated healthcare resource utilization.

Systematic review of rotavirus vaccination cost-effectiveness in high income settings utilising dynamic transmission modelling techniques

PURPOSE

This systematic review presents cost-effectiveness studies of rotavirus vaccination in high-income settings based on dynamic transmission modelling to inform policy decisions about implementing rotavirus vaccination programmes.

METHODS

We searched CEA Registry, MEDLINE, Embase, Health Technology Assessment Database, Scopus, and the National Health Service Economic Evaluation Database for studies published since 2002. Full economic evaluation studies based on dynamic transmission models, focusing on high-income countries, live oral rotavirus vaccine and children ≤ 5 years of age were eligible for inclusion. Included studies were appraised for quality and risk of bias using the Consensus on Health Economic Criteria (CHEC) list and the Philips checklist. The review protocol was prospectively registered with PROSPERO (CRD42020208406).

RESULTS

A total of four economic evaluations were identified. Study settings included England and Wales, France, Norway, and the United States. All studies compared either pentavalent or monovalent rotavirus vaccines to no intervention. All studies were cost-utility analyses that reported incremental cost per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained. Included studies consistently concluded that rotavirus vaccination is cost-effective compared with no vaccination relative to the respective country's willingness to pay threshold when herd protection benefits are incorporated in the modelling framework.

CONCLUSIONS

Rotavirus vaccination was found to be cost-effective in all identified studies that used dynamic transmission models in high-income settings where child mortality rates due to rotavirus gastroenteritis are close to zero. Previous systematic reviews of economic evaluations considered mostly static models and had less conclusive findings than the current study. This review suggests that modelling choices influence cost-effectiveness results for rotavirus vaccination. Specifically, the review suggests that dynamic transmission models are more likely to account for the full impact of rotavirus vaccination than static models in cost-effectiveness analyses.

Accounting for Adverse Events Following Immunization in Economic Evaluation: Systematic Review of Economic Evaluations of Pediatric Vaccines Against Pneumococcus, Rotavirus, Human Papillomavirus, Meningococcus and Measles-Mumps-Rubella-Varicella

OBJECTIVES

Economic evaluations of vaccines should accurately represent all relevant economic and health consequences of vaccination, including losses due to adverse events following immunization (AEFI). We investigated to what extent economic evaluations of pediatric vaccines account for AEFI, which methods are used to do so and whether inclusion of AEFI is associated with study characteristics and the vaccine's safety profile.

METHODS

A systematic literature search (MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane Systematic Reviews and Trials, Database of the Centre for Reviews and Dissemination of the University of York, EconPapers, Paediatric Economic Database Evaluation, Tufts New England Cost-Effectiveness Analysis Registry, Tufts New England Global Health CEA, International Network of Agencies for Health Technology Assessment Database) was performed for economic evaluations published between 2014 and 29 April 2021 (date of search) pertaining to the five groups of pediatric vaccines licensed in Europe and the United States since 1998: the human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccines, the meningococcal vaccines (MCV), the measles-mumps-rubella-varicella (MMRV) combination vaccines, the pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCV) and the rotavirus vaccines (RV). Rates of accounting for AEFI were calculated, stratified by study characteristics (e.g., region, publication year, journal impact factor, level of industry involvement) and triangulated with the vaccine's safety profile (Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices [ACIP] recommendations and information on safety-related product label changes). The studies accounting for AEFI were analyzed in terms of the methods used to account for both cost and effect implications of AEFI.

RESULTS

We identified 112 economic evaluations, of which 28 (25%) accounted for AEFI. This proportion was significantly higher for MMRV (80%, four out of five evaluations), MCV (61%, 11 out of 18 evaluations) and RV (60%, nine out of 15 evaluations) compared to HPV (6%, three out of 53 evaluations) and PCV (5%, one out of 21 evaluations). No other study characteristics were associated with a study's likelihood of accounting for AEFI. Vaccines for which AEFI were more frequently accounted for also had a higher frequency of label changes and a higher level of attention to AEFI in ACIP recommendations. Nine studies accounted for both the cost and health implications of AEFI, 18 studies considered only costs and one only health outcomes. While the cost impact was usually estimated based on routine billing data, the adverse health impact of AEFI was usually estimated based on assumptions.

DISCUSSION

Although (mild) AEFI were demonstrated for all five studied vaccines, only a quarter of reviewed studies accounted for these, mostly in an incomplete and inaccurate manner. We provide guidance on which methods to use to better quantify the impact of AEFI on both costs and health outcomes. Policymakers should be aware that the impact of AEFI on cost-effectiveness is likely to be underestimated in the majority of economic evaluations.

Сost-effectiveness of pentavalent rotavirus vaccination in the Russian Federation

   One of the main causes of acute gastroenteritis in children under 5 years of age is rotavirus infection (RVI). Vaccines against RVI significantly reduce the incidence.   Aim. To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of mass vaccination of children with a 5-valent RVI vaccine in the Russian Federation.   Materials and methods. The assessment was carried out using modeling based on published data on the effectiveness of the vaccine and epidemiological indicators in the Russian Federation. The analysis was carried out from the perspective of the health care system and society as a whole with a 5-year horizon. The cost of RVI therapy corresponded to the compulsory health insurance tariffs for St. Petersburg for 2022, the price of 1 dose of the vaccine was the registered price, including VAT. Costs and life expectancy, taking into account quality, were discounted at 3.5 % per year.   Results. Given the assumptions made, routine vaccination will prevent an average of 468,637 cases of RVI over 5 years. Avoided direct medical costs, i. e. RVI treatment costs will amount to 53,4 %, and lost income due to temporary disability – 46,6 % of the total avoided costs. At the same time, the volume of avoided costs is 61,4 % due to a decrease in morbidity in the vaccinated population, and 38.6 % due to the development of a indirect effect. The predicted avoided costs per 1 vaccinated person is 2,975 thousand rubles. From a societal perspective, the cost-effectiveness of the Rota-V-Aid vaccine will be 364,813 thousand rubles / QALY (quality-adjusted life year), and from a healthcare perspective – 1726,399 thousand rubles / QALY. Thus, in both cases, the cost-effectiveness of RVI vaccination will not exceed the generally accepted threshold of willingness to pay, equal to three times the gross domestic product per capita in the Russian Federation (according to data for 2021 – ~2,7 million rubles). The predicted cost-effectiveness of selective vaccination is significantly lower than that of mass vaccination.   Conclusions. Mass vaccination of children with a 5-valent vaccine against RVI will not only reduce the incidence in the Russian Federation, but, taking into account the assumptions made, can also be considered as a cost-effective intervention.

Rotavirus vaccination impact, Ireland, implications for vaccine confidence and screening

BACKGROUND

Rotavirus vaccine efficacy is well established. However, it is important to consistently demonstrate the positive impact of vaccination programmes in order to optimize uptake rates and combat vaccine hesitancy.

METHODS

Routine data were used to examine rotavirus vaccine effectiveness in Ireland, including changes in age-specific crude incidence rates (CIRs), hospitalizations and hospital length of stay. National intussusception incidence was interrogated. Vaccination status of vaccine-eligible cases of rotavirus infection was determined.

RESULTS

Nationally, a reduction in the CIR of rotavirus infection of 77.2% [95% confidence interval (CI) 57.8-88.5%, P<0.001] was observed post-inclusion of the rotavirus vaccine in the primary immunization schedule. A decrease in hospitalizations of 85.5% (95% CI 79.3-90.2%, P<0.001), 86.5% (95% CI 82.9-89.4%, P<0.001) and 78.5% (95% CI 74.7-81.9%, P<0.001) was observed in children aged <1, <2 and <5 years, respectively. Most hospitalizations occurred in infants too young to have been vaccinated. There was no significant difference in median length of stay for children hospitalized with rotavirus infection. Decreased CIRs and hospitalization rates in unvaccinated children aged between 2 and 5 years suggest community immunity. Vaccine non-protection was 0.13%. No increase in the national CIR of intussusception was observed.

CONCLUSIONS

Inclusion of the rotavirus vaccine in the Irish primary immunization schedule has resulted in a significant reduction in the burden of rotavirus infection. However, vaccine hesitancy remains a concern. With new vaccination programmes, risk of vaccine harms should be considered and mitigated in order to protect individuals and the integrity of the programme.

Accounting for indirect protection in the benefit-risk ratio estimation of rotavirus vaccination in children under the age of 5 years, France, 2018

Background Rotavirus is a major cause of severe gastroenteritis in children worldwide. The disease burden has been substantially reduced in countries where rotavirus vaccines are used. Given the risk of vaccine-induced intussusception, the benefit–risk balance of rotavirus vaccination has been assessed in several countries, however mostly without considering indirect protection effects. Aim We performed a benefit–risk analysis of rotavirus vaccination accounting for indirect protection in France among the 2018 population of children under the age of 5 years. Methods To incorporate indirect protection effects in the benefit formula, we adopted a pseudo-vaccine approach involving mathematical approximation and used a simulation design to provide uncertainty intervals. We derived background incidence distributions from quasi-exhaustive health claim data. We examined different coverage levels and assumptions regarding the waning effects and intussusception case fatality rate. Results With the current vaccination coverage of < 10%, the indirect effectiveness was estimated at 6.4% (+/− 0.4). For each hospitalisation for intussusception, 277.0 (95% uncertainty interval: (165.0–462.1)) hospitalisations for rotavirus gastroenteritis were prevented. Should 90% of infants be vaccinated, indirect effectiveness would reach 57.9% (+/− 3.7) and the benefit–risk ratio would be 192.4 (95% uncertainty interval: 116.4–321.3). At a coverage level of 50%, indirect protection accounted for 27% of the prevented rotavirus gastroenteritis cases. The balance remained in favour of the vaccine even in a scenario with a high assumption for intussusception case fatality. Conclusions These findings contribute to a better assessment of the rotavirus vaccine benefit–risk balance.

Rotavirus gastroenteritis surveillance in Azerbaijan, 2011-2016

INTRODUCTION

Rotavirus is a leading cause of acute gastroenteritis and mortality among children worldwide but data describing rotavirus disease in Azerbaijan are lacking. This analysis describes the rotavirus disease burden in Baku, the largest city in Azerbaijan.

METHODS

We conducted active, prospective, sentinel hospital surveillance with laboratory confirmation for rotavirus among children under 5 years of age hospitalized at a large pediatric hospital in Baku during 2011-2016. Children with bloody diarrhea, or prior use of antibiotics or intravenous fluids were excluded. The guardians of enrolled children completed a questionnaire documenting clinical and demographic information. A stool specimen was collected from each enrolled child. We report the number and proportion of rotavirus positive hospitalizations during the surveillance period and a clinical description of rotavirus-positive and rotavirus-negative children.

RESULTS

From July 2011 through June 2016, 3139 children <5 years of age were enrolled into the surveillance system. Of these, 523 (17%) were positive for rotavirus, varying from 13% to 21% by surveillance year, with a median of 16% over the surveillance period. Increase in rotavirus detections occurred during December-May. Most rotavirus infections (303/523; 58%) occurred in children aged 6-23 months.

CONCLUSION

Rotavirus is responsible for approximately 16% of annual hospital admissions for acute gastroenteritis in children <5 years of age in Baku. This is lower than regional estimates. Exclusion of children with a history of antibiotic use or intravenous fluids may be accounting for this lower prevalence, and expansion of surveillance to include these groups could provide a more comprehensive picture of acute rotavirus gastroenteritis in Baku.