Incidence of SARS-CoV-2 over four epidemic waves in a low-resource community in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil: A prospective cohort study

Seroprevalence trends of anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in the adult population of the São Paulo Municipality, Brazil: Results from seven serosurveys from June 2020 to April 2022. The SoroEpi MSP Study

BACKGROUND

Sequential population-based household serosurveys of SARS-CoV-2 covering the COVID-19 pre- and post-vaccination periods are scarce in Brazil. This study investigated seropositivity trends in the municipality of São Paulo.

METHODS

We conducted seven cross-sectional surveys of adult population-representative samples between June 2020 and April 2022. The study design included probabilistic sampling, test for SARS-CoV-2 antibodies using the Roche Elecsys anti-nucleocapsid assay, and statistical adjustments for population demographics and non-response. The weighted seroprevalences with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated by sex, age group, race, schooling, and mean income study strata. Time trends in seropositivity were assessed using the Joinpoint model. We compared infection-induced seroprevalences with COVID-19 reported cases in the pre-vaccination period.

RESULTS

The study sample comprised 8,134 adults. The overall SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence increased from 11.4% (95%CI: 9.2-13.6) in June 2020 to 24.9% (95%CI: 21.0-28.7) in January 2021; from 38.1% (95%CI: 34.3-41.9) in April 2021 to 77.7% (95%CI: 74.4-81.0) in April 2022. The prevalence over time was higher in the subgroup 18-39 years old than in the older groups from Survey 3 onwards. The self-declared Black or mixed (Pardo) group showed a higher prevalence in all surveys compared to the White group. Monthly prevalence rose steeply from January 2021 onwards, particularly among those aged 60 years or older. The infection-to-case ratios ranged from 8.9 in June 2020 to 4.3 in January 2021.

CONCLUSIONS

The overall seroprevalence rose significantly over time and with age and race subgroup variations. Increases in the 60 years or older age and the White groups were faster than in younger ages and Black or mixed (Pardo) race groups in the post-vaccination period. Our data may add to the understanding of the complex and changing population dynamics of the SARS-CoV-2 infection, including the impact of vaccination strategies and the modelling of future epidemiological scenarios.

The Role of Children in Household Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 Across Four Waves of the Pandemic

BACKGROUND

It is important to understand the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 transmission in close-contact settings such as households. We hypothesized that children would most often acquire SARS-CoV-2 from a symptomatic adult caregiver.

METHODS

This prospective cohort study was conducted from April 2020 to July 2022 in a low-resource, urban settlement in Brazil. We recruited families who brought their children to a public clinic. We collected nasopharyngeal and oral swabs from household members and tracked symptoms and vaccination.

RESULTS

In total, 1256 participants in 298 households were tested for SARS-CoV-2. A total of 4073 RT-PCR tests were run with 893 SARS-CoV-2 positive results (21.9%). SARS-CoV-2 cases were defined as isolated cases (N = 158) or well-defined transmission events (N = 175). The risk of household transmission was lower if the index case was a child (OR: 0.3 [95% CI: 0.16-0.55], P < .001) or was vaccinated (OR: 0.29 [95% CI: 0.1-0.85], P = .024), and higher if the index was symptomatic (OR: 2.53 [95% CI: 1.51-4.26], P < .001). The secondary attack rate for child index cases to child contacts was 0.29, whereas the secondary attack rate for adult index cases to child contacts was 0.47 (P = .08).

CONCLUSIONS

In this community, children were significantly less infectious to their household contacts than adolescents or adults. Most children were infected by a symptomatic adult, usually their mother. There was a double benefit of vaccination as it protected the vaccine from severe illness and prevented onward transmission to household contacts. Our findings may also be valid for similar populations throughout Latin America.

Reduced ability to neutralize the Omicron variant among adults after infection and complete vaccination with BNT162b2, ChAdOx1, or CoronaVac and heterologous boosting

COVID-19 vaccines have dramatically reduced rates of severe infection requiring hospitalization. However, SARS-CoV-2 variants have reduced vaccine effectiveness at preventing any symptomatic infection. This real-world study analyzed binding and neutralizing antibodies generated after complete vaccination and boosting across three vaccine platforms. Binding antibodies decayed most slowly in people under 60 with hybrid immunity. Neutralizing antibodies against Omicron BA.1 were reduced compared to other variants. The anamnestic anti-spike IgG response to the first boost was more pronounced than after the second boost. Monitoring of the effects of SARS-CoV-2 mutations on disease severity and the effectiveness of therapeutics is warranted.

Severe maternal morbidity and mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic: a cohort study in Rio de Janeiro

Objectives

To identify factors associated with adverse maternal outcomes during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic.

Methods

This was a single-centre prospective cohort study at a maternity department in a public general hospital in Rio de Janeiro. All pregnant women evaluated for emergency care, labour and delivery, respiratory symptoms, obstetric reasons or medical reasons between May 2020 and March 2022 at the study institution were invited to enrol in this study. The endpoint was maternal mortality or intensive care unit (ICU) admission.

Results

In total, 1609 pregnant women were enrolled in this study. Of these, 25.5% (n=410) were infected with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) based on reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction or an antigen test. There were 21 deaths and 67 ICU admissions in 4% of the cohort. The incidence of severe maternal morbidity and mortality was higher during the Gamma wave than during the Delta wave (P=0.003). Vaccination conferred protection against the endpoint [relative risk (RR) 0.4, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.1-0.9; P=0.0169]. Factors associated with severe morbidity and mortality included caesarean section (RR 3.7, 95% CI 1.7-7.9; P=0.0008), SARS-CoV-2 infection in the third trimester (RR 2.4, 95% CI 1.1-5.6; P=0.0006) and comorbidities (RR 3, 95% CI 1.8-5.2; P<0.0001).

Conclusions

COVID-19 was significantly associated with the risk of severe maternal morbidity and mortality. Immunization of pregnant women against COVID-19 was highly protective against adverse outcomes, and should be encouraged during pregnancy.

Dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 Variants of Concern in Vaccination Model City in the State of Sao Paulo, Brazil

From a country with one of the highest SARS-CoV-2 morbidity and mortality rates, Brazil has implemented one of the most successful vaccination programs. Brazil's first model city vaccination program was performed by the CoronaVac vaccine (Sinovac Biotech) in the town of Serrana, São Paulo State. To evaluate the vaccination effect on the SARS-CoV-2 molecular dynamics and clinical outcomes, we performed SARS-CoV-2 molecular surveillance on 4375 complete genomes obtained between June 2020 and April 2022 in this location. This study included the period between the initial SARS-CoV-2 introduction and during the vaccination process. We observed that the SARS-CoV-2 substitution dynamics in Serrana followed the viral molecular epidemiology in Brazil, including the initial identification of the ancestral lineages (B.1.1.28 and B.1.1.33) and epidemic waves of variants of concern (VOC) including the Gamma, Delta, and, more recently, Omicron. Most probably, as a result of the immunization campaign, the mortality during the Gamma and Delta VOC was significantly reduced compared to the rest of Brazil, which was also related to lower morbidity. Our phylogenetic analysis revealed the evolutionary history of the SARS-CoV-2 in this location and showed that multiple introduction events have occurred over time. The evaluation of the COVID-19 clinical outcome revealed that most cases were mild (88.9%, 98.1%, 99.1% to Gamma, Delta, and Omicron, respectively) regardless of the infecting VOC. In conclusion, we observed that vaccination was responsible for reducing the death toll rate and related COVID-19 morbidity, especially during the gamma and Delta VOC; however, it does not prevent the rapid substitution rate and morbidity of the Omicron VOC.