Associations between opioid overdose deaths and drugs confiscated by law enforcement and submitted to crime laboratories for analysis, United States, 2014-2019: an observational study

Fentanyl, carfentanil and other fentanyl analogues in Canada's illicit opioid supply: A cross-sectional study

Background

Despite the increase in fentanyl-involved overdose deaths in Canada, there have been no national-level studies evaluating the proportion of illicit opioids containing fentanyl or fentanyl analogues in Canada.

Methods

This cross-sectional exploratory study characterized trends in fentanyl, carfentanil and other fentanyl analogues within opioids seized by law enforcement agencies in Canada from 2012 to 2022 and submitted to the Health Canada Drug Analysis Service (DAS). Analyses were stratified by province/region. Mann-Kandell tests were used to test for trends.

Results

A total of 157,616 samples containing any opioid ("opioid-containing samples") were submitted to the DAS from Canadian provinces between 2012 and 2022, of which 81,165 (51.5%) contained fentanyl or a fentanyl analogue. The percentage of opioid-containing samples that were positive for fentanyl or a fentanyl analogue increased from 3.0% (95% CI: 2.6-3.4%) in 2012-68.3% (67.7-68.9%) in 2022 (p < 0.001 for trend). The percentage of opioid-containing samples that were positive for fentanyl or a fentanyl analogue increased between 2012 and 2022 in all regions. In 2022, the percentage of samples containing fentanyl or an analogue followed an east-to-west gradient: 15.8% (13.3-18.6%) of samples in Atlantic Canada and 84.7% (83.6-85.7%) in British Columbia. Carfentanil was present in 4.9% (4.6-5.2%) of opioid-containing samples in Canada in 2022 and 19.7% (18.3-21.2%) of opioid-containing samples in Alberta.

Conclusions

The illicit opioid supply in Canada increasingly contains toxic synthetic opioids. As of 2022, important regional differences existed in the illicit opioid supply in Canada.

A scoping review of law enforcement drug seizures and overdose mortality in the United States

BACKGROUND

Leveraging law enforcement drug seizure data to better respond to the overdose crisis requires an understanding of available evidence and knowledge gaps regarding relationships between drug seizures and overdose mortality.

OBJECTIVE

This scoping review summarized peer-reviewed literature on associations between law enforcement drug seizures and drug-related mortality in the United States (US) in the era of illicitly-manufactured fentanyl, comparing study data sources, measures, methodologies, settings, and findings.

METHODS

We identified 388 non-duplicate records from three online databases searched on May 23, 2023. After title/abstract and full-text screening by two independent reviewers, 14 studies met the criteria for inclusion. The included studies tested the association between a measure related to law enforcement drug seizures and an overdose mortality outcome in the US and were published in English, in peer-reviewed journals, during or after 2013.

RESULTS

Four of 14 studies (29%) included data from the entire US, while the remaining studies focused on an individual state/city/county or a group of states/cities/counties. Synthetic opioid/fentanyl seizures represented the most frequently examined drug seizure category, and overdose deaths overall (involving any drugs) represented the most frequently examined outcome. Most studies used counts/rates of drug seizures, with fewer studies examining dosage/weight, drug combinations, the proportion of drug seizures involving a specific drug, or spatiotemporal distribution. The majority (86%) of studies reported at least one statistically significant positive association between a law enforcement drug seizure measure and an overdose mortality outcome, most consistently for fentanyl-related seizures. Results were relatively less consistent for seizures involving stimulants and other drugs.

CONCLUSIONS

Studies in this review provided consistent evidence that fentanyl-related seizure measures are positively associated with overdose mortality outcomes, despite the limitations inherent in drug seizure data, even in the absence of available information regarding seizure weight or dosage.

Xylazine in Overdose Deaths and Forensic Drug Reports in US States, 2019-2022

Importance

Xylazine is increasingly reported in street drugs and fatal overdoses in the US, yet state-level data are limited, hampering local public health responses.

Objective

To gather available state-level data on xylazine involvement in overdose deaths and in forensic drug reports.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This cross-sectional study was a secondary analysis of 2019 to 2022 data from the National Forensic Laboratory Information System (NFLIS), National Center for Health Statistics, and individual states' medical examiner or public health agency reports. Data were analyzed from August to October 2023.

Exposure

State.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Yearly xylazine-related overdose deaths per 100 000 residents; xylazine NFLIS drug reports, both per 100 000 residents and as a percentage of all NFLIS drug reports (from samples of drugs seized by law enforcement and analyzed by NFLIS-participating laboratories).

Results

A total of 63 state-years were included in analyses of mortality rates, while 204 state-years were included in analyses of NFLIS reports. According to the publicly available data compiled in this study, at least 43 states reported at least 1 xylazine-related overdose death from 2019 to 2022, yet yearly totals of xylazine-related deaths were available for only 21 states. Of states with data available, xylazine-involved overdose death rates were highest in Vermont (10.5 per 100 000 residents) and Connecticut (9.8 per 100 000 residents) in 2022. In 2019, 16 states had zero xylazine reports included in NFLIS reports; in 2022, only 2 states had zero xylazine reports and all but 3 states had recorded an increase in xylazine's representation in NFLIS reports. In 2022, xylazine represented 16.17% of all NFLIS reports in Delaware and between 5.95% and 7.00% of NFLIS reports in Connecticut, Maryland, District of Columbia, New Jersey, and Rhode Island, yet less than 1.0% of NFLIS reports in 35 different states.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this cross-sectional study of publicly available data on fatal overdoses and drugs analyzed by forensic laboratories, xylazine's reported presence in overdose deaths and forensic reports was concentrated in the eastern US yet extended across the country to encompass nearly all states. In spite of xylazine's geographic reach, yearly state-level numbers of xylazine-related overdose deaths were publicly available for less than half of all states.

Drug supply measures and drug overdose mortality in the era of fentanyl and stimulants

Background

Illicitly-manufactured fentanyl and stimulants have replaced prescription opioids as the primary contributors to fatal overdoses in the United States (US), yet the street supply of these substances is challenging to quantify. Building on the foundation of prior research on law enforcement drug reports, the present study compares publicly available forensic laboratory drug report measures to identify which measures account for the most variation in drug overdose mortality between states, within states over time, and in various demographic groups.

Methods

Drug reports from the National Forensic Laboratory Information System and drug overdose mortality rates from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention were examined for all US states and the District of Columbia, 2013-2021 (459 state-years). State- and year- fixed effects models regressed drug overdose mortality rates (in the overall population and subpopulations by sex, age, and race/ethnicity) on various drug report measures, including rates per population and proportional shares of drug reports positive for fentanyl/fentanyl-related compounds, heroin, cocaine, methamphetamine, and xylazine.

Results

For drug overdose death rates in the overall population and nearly all subpopulations examined by sex, race/ethnicity, and age, the model including all drug report proportional measures represented the best-performing model (as identified via the lowest Akaike Information Criterion and highest within R-squared value), followed by the model including only the fentanyl/fentanyl-related compounds proportion.

Conclusions

Findings support the utility of publicly available drug report composition measures, particularly the proportion of fentanyl/fentanyl-related compounds, as predictors of drug overdose mortality in the US and in various subpopulations.

Xylazine in Drug Seizure Reports and Overdose Deaths in the US, 2018-2022

Xylazine is increasingly reported in street drugs and fatal overdoses in the United States (US), often in combination with synthetic opioids, yet state-level xylazine data are limited, hampering local public health responses. The present study analyzed 2018-2022 state-level data from the National Forensic Laboratory Information System (xylazine-positive reports of seized drugs analyzed by forensic laboratories), the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (population estimates, synthetic opioid overdose mortality rates), and individual states' medical examiner/public health agency reports (numbers of xylazine-involved overdose deaths). An ordinary least squares regression model predicted state-level synthetic opioid overdose mortality rates by xylazine seizure report rates, adjusting for US Census Region. In 2018, relatively low rates of xylazine seizure reports were observed, with 21 states reporting zero xylazine seizures. In 2022, only three states reported zero xylazine seizures, and the highest xylazine seizure report rates (per 100,000 residents) were observed in New Jersey (30.4), Rhode Island (22.7), Maryland (18.9), Virginia (15.5), New Hampshire (13.0), and Ohio (10.9). Data on 2019-2022 xylazine-involved overdose deaths were available for 21 states/DC (60 state-years), with the highest 2022 xylazine-involved overdose death rates (per 100,000 residents) in Vermont (10.5) and Connecticut (9.8). Finally, in 2021, at the state level, each additional reported xylazine seizure per 100,000 residents was associated with a 2% higher synthetic opioid overdose mortality rate (b=0.02, robust standard error=0.01; p=0.049). Overall, study results emphasize xylazine's increasing involvement in US law enforcement drug seizure reports and overdose deaths, primarily in the East, yet also extending across the country.