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Rudan I, Katikireddi SV, Kerr S, Millington T, Grange Z, Sullivan C, Fagbamigbe AF, Swallow B, Kurdi A, Morrison K, Jeffrey K, Simpson CR, Ritchie L, Robertson C, Sheikh A. Selecting the most informative positive and negative controls for self-controlled case series (SCCS): Rationale, approach, and lessons from studies investigating the safety of COVID-19 vaccines. J Glob Health 2024; 14:03037. [PMID: 39105317 DOI: 10.7189/jogh.14.03037] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 08/07/2024] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Igor Rudan
- Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
- Algebra University College, Zagreb, Croatia
| | | | - Steven Kerr
- Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | | | | | | | | | - Ben Swallow
- School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of St Andrews, St. Andrews, UK
| | - Amanj Kurdi
- Strathclyde Institute of Pharmacy and Biomedical Sciences, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, United Kingdom
- Department of Clinical Pharmacy, College of Pharmacy, Hawler Medical University, Erbil, Iraq
- College of Pharmacy, Al-Kitab University, Kirkuk, Iraq
- School of Pharmacy, Sefako Makgatho Health Sciences University, Pretoria, South Africa
| | | | - Karen Jeffrey
- Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Colin R Simpson
- School of Health, Wellington Faculty of Health, Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand
| | - Lewis Ritchie
- School of Medicine, Medical Sciences & Nutrition, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, UK
| | - Chris Robertson
- Public Health Scotland, Glasgow, UK
- Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, UK
| | - Aziz Sheikh
- Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
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Lu W, Zeng S, Yao Y, Luo Y, Ruan T. The effect of COVID-19 vaccine to the Omicron variant in children and adolescents: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Front Public Health 2024; 12:1338208. [PMID: 38660347 PMCID: PMC11041831 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2024.1338208] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/14/2023] [Accepted: 03/27/2024] [Indexed: 04/26/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Omicron (B.1.1.529), a variant of SARS-CoV-2, has emerged as a dominant strain in COVID-19 pandemic. This development has raised concerns about the effectiveness of vaccination to Omicron, particularly in the context of children and adolescents. Our study evaluated the efficacy of different COVID-19 vaccination regimens in children and adolescents during the Omicron epidemic phase. Methods We searched PubMed, Cochrane, Web of Science, and Embase electronic databases for studies published through March 2023 on the association between COVID-19 vaccination and vaccine effectiveness (VE) against SARS-CoV-2 infection in children and adolescents at the Omicron variant period. The effectiveness outcomes included mild COVID-19 and severe COVID-19. This study followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines and was prospectively registered in PROSPERO (CRD42023390481). Results A total of 33 studies involving 16,532,536 children were included in the analysis. First, in children and adolescents aged 0-19 years, the overall VE of the COVID-19 vaccine is 45% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 40 to 50%). Subgroup analysis of VE during Omicron epidemic phase for different dosage regimens demonstrated that the VE was 50% (95% CI: 44 to 55%) for the 2-dose vaccination and 61% (95% CI: 45 to 73%) for the booster vaccination. Upon further analysis of different effectiveness outcomes during the 2-dose vaccination showed that the VE was 41% (95% CI: 35 to 47%) against mild COVID-19 and 71% (95% CI: 60 to 79%) against severe COVID-19. In addition, VE exhibited a gradual decrease over time, with the significant decline in the efficacy of Omicron for infection before and after 90 days following the 2-dose vaccination, registering 54% (95% CI: 48 to 59%) and 34% (95% CI: 21 to 56%), respectively. Conclusion During the Omicron variant epidemic, the vaccine provided protection against SARS-CoV-2 infection in children and adolescents aged 0-19 years. Two doses of vaccination can provide effective protection severe COVID-19, with booster vaccination additionally enhancing VE.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wenting Lu
- Institute of Respiratory Health and Multimorbidity, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China
- Integrated Care Management Center, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China
| | - Shuai Zeng
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, National Clinical Research Center for Obstetrics and Gynecology (Peking University Third Hospital), National Center for Healthcare Quality Management in Obstetrics, Peking University Third Hospital, Peking University, Beijing, China
| | - Yuan Yao
- General Practice Ward/International Medical Center Ward, General Practice Medical Center, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Yiting Luo
- Institute of Respiratory Health and Multimorbidity, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China
- Integrated Care Management Center, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China
| | - Tiechao Ruan
- Department of Pediatrics, West China Second University Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
- Key Laboratory of Obstetrics & Gynecologic and Pediatric Diseases and Birth Defects of the Ministry of Education, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
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3
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Millington T, Morrison K, Jeffrey K, Sullivan C, Kurdi A, Fagbamigbe AF, Swallow B, Shi T, Shah SA, Kerr S, Simpson CR, Ritchie LD, Robertson C, Sheikh A, Rudan I. Caveats in reporting of national vaccine uptake. J Glob Health 2024; 14:03006. [PMID: 38330197 PMCID: PMC10852533 DOI: 10.7189/jogh.14.03006] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/10/2024] Open
Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Karen Jeffrey
- Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | | | - Amanj Kurdi
- Strathclyde Institute of Pharmacy and Biomedical Sciences, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, United Kingdom
- Department of Clinical Pharmacy, College of Pharmacy, Hawler Medical University, Erbil, Iraq
- College of Pharmacy, Al-Kitab University, Kirkuk, Iraq
- School of Pharmacy, Sefako Makgatho Health Sciences University, Pretoria, South Africa
| | | | - Ben Swallow
- School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of St Andrews, UK
| | - Ting Shi
- Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | | | - Steven Kerr
- Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Colin R Simpson
- Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
- School of Health, Wellington Faculty of Health, Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, NZ
| | - Lewis D Ritchie
- School of Medicine, Medical Sciences & Nutrition, Academic Primary Care, University of Aberdeen, UK
| | - Chris Robertson
- Public Health Scotland, Glasgow, UK
- Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, UK
| | - Aziz Sheikh
- Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Igor Rudan
- Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
- Algebra University College, Zagreb, Croatia
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Wu Q, Tong J, Zhang B, Zhang D, Chen J, Lei Y, Lu Y, Wang Y, Li L, Shen Y, Xu J, Bailey LC, Bian J, Christakis DA, Fitzgerald ML, Hirabayashi K, Jhaveri R, Khaitan A, Lyu T, Rao S, Razzaghi H, Schwenk HT, Wang F, Gage Witvliet MI, Tchetgen Tchetgen EJ, Morris JS, Forrest CB, Chen Y. Real-World Effectiveness of BNT162b2 Against Infection and Severe Diseases in Children and Adolescents. Ann Intern Med 2024; 177:165-176. [PMID: 38190711 DOI: 10.7326/m23-1754] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/10/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The efficacy of the BNT162b2 vaccine in pediatrics was assessed by randomized trials before the Omicron variant's emergence. The long-term durability of vaccine protection in this population during the Omicron period remains limited. OBJECTIVE To assess the effectiveness of BNT162b2 in preventing infection and severe diseases with various strains of the SARS-CoV-2 virus in previously uninfected children and adolescents. DESIGN Comparative effectiveness research accounting for underreported vaccination in 3 study cohorts: adolescents (12 to 20 years) during the Delta phase and children (5 to 11 years) and adolescents (12 to 20 years) during the Omicron phase. SETTING A national collaboration of pediatric health systems (PEDSnet). PARTICIPANTS 77 392 adolescents (45 007 vaccinated) during the Delta phase and 111 539 children (50 398 vaccinated) and 56 080 adolescents (21 180 vaccinated) during the Omicron phase. INTERVENTION First dose of the BNT162b2 vaccine versus no receipt of COVID-19 vaccine. MEASUREMENTS Outcomes of interest include documented infection, COVID-19 illness severity, admission to an intensive care unit (ICU), and cardiac complications. The effectiveness was reported as (1-relative risk)*100, with confounders balanced via propensity score stratification. RESULTS During the Delta period, the estimated effectiveness of the BNT162b2 vaccine was 98.4% (95% CI, 98.1% to 98.7%) against documented infection among adolescents, with no statistically significant waning after receipt of the first dose. An analysis of cardiac complications did not suggest a statistically significant difference between vaccinated and unvaccinated groups. During the Omicron period, the effectiveness against documented infection among children was estimated to be 74.3% (CI, 72.2% to 76.2%). Higher levels of effectiveness were seen against moderate or severe COVID-19 (75.5% [CI, 69.0% to 81.0%]) and ICU admission with COVID-19 (84.9% [CI, 64.8% to 93.5%]). Among adolescents, the effectiveness against documented Omicron infection was 85.5% (CI, 83.8% to 87.1%), with 84.8% (CI, 77.3% to 89.9%) against moderate or severe COVID-19, and 91.5% (CI, 69.5% to 97.6%) against ICU admission with COVID-19. The effectiveness of the BNT162b2 vaccine against the Omicron variant declined 4 months after the first dose and then stabilized. The analysis showed a lower risk for cardiac complications in the vaccinated group during the Omicron variant period. LIMITATION Observational study design and potentially undocumented infection. CONCLUSION This study suggests that BNT162b2 was effective for various COVID-19-related outcomes in children and adolescents during the Delta and Omicron periods, and there is some evidence of waning effectiveness over time. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE National Institutes of Health.
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Affiliation(s)
- Qiong Wu
- The Center for Health Analytics and Synthesis of Evidence (CHASE), Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Informatics, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (Q.W., J.T., D.Z., J.C., Y.Lei, Y.W.)
| | - Jiayi Tong
- The Center for Health Analytics and Synthesis of Evidence (CHASE), Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Informatics, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (Q.W., J.T., D.Z., J.C., Y.Lei, Y.W.)
| | - Bingyu Zhang
- The Center for Health Analytics and Synthesis of Evidence (CHASE), The Graduate Group in Applied Mathematics and Computational Science, School of Arts and Sciences, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (B.Z., Y.Lu, L.L., Y.S.)
| | - Dazheng Zhang
- The Center for Health Analytics and Synthesis of Evidence (CHASE), Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Informatics, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (Q.W., J.T., D.Z., J.C., Y.Lei, Y.W.)
| | - Jiajie Chen
- The Center for Health Analytics and Synthesis of Evidence (CHASE), Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Informatics, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (Q.W., J.T., D.Z., J.C., Y.Lei, Y.W.)
| | - Yuqing Lei
- The Center for Health Analytics and Synthesis of Evidence (CHASE), Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Informatics, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (Q.W., J.T., D.Z., J.C., Y.Lei, Y.W.)
| | - Yiwen Lu
- The Center for Health Analytics and Synthesis of Evidence (CHASE), The Graduate Group in Applied Mathematics and Computational Science, School of Arts and Sciences, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (B.Z., Y.Lu, L.L., Y.S.)
| | - Yudong Wang
- The Center for Health Analytics and Synthesis of Evidence (CHASE), Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Informatics, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (Q.W., J.T., D.Z., J.C., Y.Lei, Y.W.)
| | - Lu Li
- The Center for Health Analytics and Synthesis of Evidence (CHASE), The Graduate Group in Applied Mathematics and Computational Science, School of Arts and Sciences, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (B.Z., Y.Lu, L.L., Y.S.)
| | - Yishan Shen
- The Center for Health Analytics and Synthesis of Evidence (CHASE), The Graduate Group in Applied Mathematics and Computational Science, School of Arts and Sciences, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (B.Z., Y.Lu, L.L., Y.S.)
| | - Jie Xu
- Department of Health Outcomes Biomedical Informatics, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida (J.X., J.B., T.L.)
| | - L Charles Bailey
- Applied Clinical Research Center, Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (L.C.B., K.H., H.R., C.B.F.)
| | - Jiang Bian
- Department of Health Outcomes Biomedical Informatics, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida (J.X., J.B., T.L.)
| | - Dimitri A Christakis
- Center for Child Health, Behavior, and Development, Seattle Children's Research Institute, Seattle, Washington (D.A.C.)
| | - Megan L Fitzgerald
- Department of Medicine, Grossman School of Medicine, New York University, New York, New York (M.L.F.)
| | - Kathryn Hirabayashi
- Applied Clinical Research Center, Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (L.C.B., K.H., H.R., C.B.F.)
| | - Ravi Jhaveri
- Division of Pediatric Infectious Diseases, Ann & Robert H. Lurie Children's Hospital of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois (R.J.)
| | - Alka Khaitan
- Department of Pediatrics, Ryan White Center for Pediatric Infectious Diseases and Global Health, Indiana University School of Medicine, Indianapolis, Indiana (A.K.)
| | - Tianchen Lyu
- Department of Health Outcomes Biomedical Informatics, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida (J.X., J.B., T.L.)
| | - Suchitra Rao
- Department of Pediatrics, University of Colorado School of Medicine and Children's Hospital Colorado, Aurora, Colorado (S.R.)
| | - Hanieh Razzaghi
- Applied Clinical Research Center, Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (L.C.B., K.H., H.R., C.B.F.)
| | - Hayden T Schwenk
- Department of Pediatrics, Stanford School of Medicine, Stanford, California (H.T.S.)
| | - Fei Wang
- Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, New York, New York (F.W.)
| | - Margot I Gage Witvliet
- Department of Sociology, Social Work and Criminal Justice, Lamar University, Beaumont, Texas (M.I.G.W.)
| | - Eric J Tchetgen Tchetgen
- Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Informatics, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (E.J.T.T., J.S.M.)
| | - Jeffrey S Morris
- Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Informatics, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (E.J.T.T., J.S.M.)
| | - Christopher B Forrest
- Applied Clinical Research Center, Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (L.C.B., K.H., H.R., C.B.F.)
| | - Yong Chen
- The Center for Health Analytics and Synthesis of Evidence (CHASE), Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Informatics, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, and The Graduate Group in Applied Mathematics and Computational Science, School of Arts and Sciences, University of Pennsylvania, Leonard Davis Institute of Health Economics, Penn Medicine Center for Evidence-based Practice (CEP), and Penn Institute for Biomedical Informatics (IBI), Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (Y.C.)
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Kerr S, Greenland S, Jeffrey K, Millington T, Bedston S, Ritchie L, Simpson CR, Fagbamigbe AF, Kurdi A, Robertson C, Sheikh A, Rudan I. Understanding and reporting odds ratios as rate-ratio estimates in case-control studies. J Glob Health 2023; 13:04101. [PMID: 37712381 PMCID: PMC10502767 DOI: 10.7189/jogh.13.04101] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 09/16/2023] Open
Abstract
Background We noted that there remains some confusion in the health-science literature on reporting sample odds ratios as estimated rate ratios in case-control studies. Methods We recap historical literature that definitively answered the question of when sample odds ratios (ORs) from a case-control study are consistent estimators for population rate ratios. We use numerical examples to illustrate the magnitude of the disparity between sample ORs in a case-control study and population rate ratios when sufficient conditions for them to be equal are not satisfied. Results We stress that in a case-control study, sampling controls from those still at risk at the time of outcome event of the index case is not sufficient for a sample OR to be a consistent estimator for an intelligible rate ratio. In such studies, constancy of the exposure prevalence together with constancy of the hazard ratio (HR) (i.e., the instantaneous rate ratio) over time is sufficient for this result if sampling time is not controlled; if time is controlled, constancy of the HR will suffice. We present numerical examples to illustrate how failure to satisfy these conditions adds a small systematic error to sample ORs as estimates of population rate ratios. Conclusions We recommend that researchers understand and critically evaluate all conditions used to interpret their estimates as consistent for a population parameter in case-control studies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Steven Kerr
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, Scotland, UK
| | - Sander Greenland
- Department of Epidemiology and Department of Statistics, University of California, Los Angeles, California, USA
| | - Karen Jeffrey
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, Scotland, UK
| | - Tristan Millington
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, Scotland, UK
| | - Stuart Bedston
- Population Data Science, Swansea University Medical School, Swansea, Wales, UK
| | - Lewis Ritchie
- Academic Primary Care, University of Aberdeen School of Medicine and Dentistry, Aberdeen, Scotland, UK
| | - Colin R Simpson
- Wellington Faculty of Health, Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, NZ
| | - Adeniyi Francis Fagbamigbe
- Institute of Applied Health Sciences, University of Aberdeen School of Medicine and Dentistry, Aberdeen, Scotland, UK
| | - Amanj Kurdi
- Strathclyde Institute of Pharmacy and Biomedical Sciences, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, Scotland, UK
- Department of Clinical Pharmacy, College of Pharmacy, Hawler Medical University, Erbil, Iraq
- College of Pharmacy, Al-Kitab University, Kirkuk, Iraq
- School of Pharmacy, Sefako Makgatho Health Sciences University, Pretoria, South Africa
| | - Chris Robertson
- Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, Scotland
- Public Health Scotland, Glasgow, Scotland, UK
| | - Aziz Sheikh
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, Scotland, UK
| | - Igor Rudan
- Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, Scotland, UK
- University College Algebra, Zagreb, Croatia
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Wittawatmongkol O, Bunjoungmanee P, Kosalaraksa P, Laoprasopwattana K, Boonsathorn S, Chantasrisawad N, Sudjaritruk T, Niyomnaitham S, Senawong S, Srisutthisamphan K, Quan Toh Z, Rungmaitree S, Nanthapisal S, Phanthanawiboon S, Khantee P, Techasaensiri C, Hirankarn N, Pangprasertkul S, Chokephaibulkit K. Immunogenicity and reactogenicity of fractional, heterologous primary COVID-19 vaccination schedules with BNT162b2 boosters in 5-11-year-old Thai children: A multicenter, prospective, double-blind, randomized control trial. Vaccine 2023; 41:5834-5840. [PMID: 37586956 DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2023.08.021] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/11/2023] [Revised: 07/17/2023] [Accepted: 08/08/2023] [Indexed: 08/18/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To evaluate immunogenicity and safety of heterologous COVID-19 primary vaccination regimens of CoronaVac with fractional and standard BNT162b2 dosages in 5-11-year-old Thai children. METHODS This prospective, multicenter, double-blind, randomized control trial divided participants 1:1:1:1 to receive a second dose of either standard (10-μg) or half-dose (5-μg) BNT162b2 vaccines as follows: CoronaVac/10-μg-BNT162b2 (Group 1), CoronaVac/5-μg-BNT162b2 (Group 2), 10-μg-BNT162b2/10-μg-BNT162b2 (Group 3), or 10-μg-BNT162b2/5-μg-BNT162b2 (Group 4). A subset of participants from each arm received 10-μg-BNT162b2 booster (third) doses 16 weeks after their second vaccination. Humoral and cellular immunogenicity were assessed and adverse events (AEs) digitally self-reported. RESULTS Of 553 enrolled participants, 50 % were male, the median (interquartile range) age was 8.65 (7.00, 10.00) years, and a majority (91 %) had normal weight-for-height. All participants exhibited similarly robust neutralizing antibodies (NAb) against the ancestral Wuhan strain two weeks after the second vaccination, with titers highest in Group 1 (737.60, 95% CI [654.80, 830.88]), followed by Groups 3 (630.42, 95% CI [555.50, 715.45]), 2 (593.98, 95% CI [506.02, 697.23]), and 4 (451.79, 95% CI [388.62, 525.23]), as well as 56.01 % and 49.68 % seroconversion for BA.1 and BA.5, respectively. Half-dose BNT162b2 as a second dose induced significantly lower NAb titers compared to their respective full-dose regimens (p = 0.03 for Groups 1 vs 2 and p < 0.001 for Groups 3 vs 4). 77.71 % of participants developed SARS-CoV-2 ancestral spike protein-specific T-cell responses two weeks after the second vaccination. This was similar across arms. Booster doses generated NAb titers 5.69-11.51-folds higher than the second vaccination against BA.1. AEs were similar across arms, all mild or moderate, and fully resolved 2-3 days thereafter. CONCLUSION Standard and fractional heterologous regimens of CoronaVac-BNT162b2 induced similar or higher humoral immunity than homologous BNT162b2 and represent alternative vaccine regimens for children. These findings are highly relevant in settings concurrently using both vaccines.
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Affiliation(s)
- Orasri Wittawatmongkol
- Department of Pediatrics, Faculty of Medicine Siriraj Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok 10700, Thailand
| | - Pornumpa Bunjoungmanee
- Department of Pediatrics, Faculty of Medicine, Thammasat University, Pathum Thani 12120, Thailand; Clinical Research Center, Faculty of Medicine, Thammasat University, Pathum Thani 12120, Thailand
| | - Pope Kosalaraksa
- Department of Pediatrics, Faculty of Medicine, Khon Kaen University, Khon Kaen 40002, Thailand
| | | | - Sophida Boonsathorn
- Department of Pediatrics, Faculty of Medicine Ramathibodi Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok 10400, Thailand
| | - Napaporn Chantasrisawad
- Center of Excellence for Pediatric Infectious Diseases and Vaccines, Faculty of Medicine, Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok 10330, Thailand
| | - Tavitiya Sudjaritruk
- Department of Pediatrics, Faculty of Medicine, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai 50200, Thailand
| | - Suvimol Niyomnaitham
- Department of Pharmacology, Faculty of Medicine Siriraj Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok 10700, Thailand; Siriraj Institute of Clinical Research (SICRES), Faculty of Medicine Siriraj Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok 10700, Thailand
| | - Sansnee Senawong
- Department of Immunology, Faculty of Medicine Siriraj Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok 10700, Thailand
| | - Kanjana Srisutthisamphan
- Virology and Cell Technology Research Team, National Center for Genetic Engineering and Biotechnology (BIOTEC), National Science and Technology Development Agency (NSTDA), Pathum Thani 12120, Thailand
| | - Zheng Quan Toh
- Department of Pediatrics, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, Victoria 3010, Australia; Infection and Immunity, Murdoch Children's Research Institute, Parkville, Victoria 3052, Australia
| | - Supattra Rungmaitree
- Department of Pediatrics, Faculty of Medicine Siriraj Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok 10700, Thailand
| | - Sira Nanthapisal
- Department of Pediatrics, Faculty of Medicine, Thammasat University, Pathum Thani 12120, Thailand; Clinical Research Center, Faculty of Medicine, Thammasat University, Pathum Thani 12120, Thailand; Research Unit in Infectious and Immunology, Faculty of Medicine, Thammasat University, Pathum Thani 12120, Thailand
| | - Supranee Phanthanawiboon
- Department of Microbiology, Faculty of Medicine, Khon Kaen University, Khon Kaen 40002, Thailand
| | - Puttichart Khantee
- Department of Pediatrics, Faculty of Medicine, Prince of Songkla University, Songkhla 90110, Thailand
| | - Chonnamet Techasaensiri
- Department of Pediatrics, Faculty of Medicine Ramathibodi Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok 10400, Thailand
| | - Nattiya Hirankarn
- Department of Microbiology, Faculty of Medicine, Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok 10330, Thailand
| | - Sipang Pangprasertkul
- Department of Pediatrics, Faculty of Medicine, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai 50200, Thailand
| | - Kulkanya Chokephaibulkit
- Department of Pediatrics, Faculty of Medicine Siriraj Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok 10700, Thailand; Siriraj Institute of Clinical Research (SICRES), Faculty of Medicine Siriraj Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok 10700, Thailand.
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7
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Menegale F, Manica M, Zardini A, Guzzetta G, Marziano V, d'Andrea V, Trentini F, Ajelli M, Poletti P, Merler S. Evaluation of Waning of SARS-CoV-2 Vaccine-Induced Immunity: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. JAMA Netw Open 2023; 6:e2310650. [PMID: 37133863 PMCID: PMC10157431 DOI: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.10650] [Citation(s) in RCA: 95] [Impact Index Per Article: 95.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/02/2022] [Accepted: 03/13/2023] [Indexed: 05/04/2023] Open
Abstract
Importance Estimates of the rate of waning of vaccine effectiveness (VE) against COVID-19 are key to assess population levels of protection and future needs for booster doses to face the resurgence of epidemic waves. Objective To quantify the progressive waning of VE associated with the Delta and Omicron variants of SARS-CoV-2 by number of received doses. Data Sources PubMed and Web of Science were searched from the databases' inception to October 19, 2022, as well as reference lists of eligible articles. Preprints were included. Study Selection Selected studies for this systematic review and meta-analysis were original articles reporting estimates of VE over time against laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection and symptomatic disease. Data Extraction and Synthesis Estimates of VE at different time points from vaccination were retrieved from original studies. A secondary data analysis was performed to project VE at any time from last dose administration, improving the comparability across different studies and between the 2 considered variants. Pooled estimates were obtained from random-effects meta-analysis. Main Outcomes and Measures Outcomes were VE against laboratory-confirmed Omicron or Delta infection and symptomatic disease and half-life and waning rate associated with vaccine-induced protection. Results A total of 799 original articles and 149 reviews published in peer-reviewed journals and 35 preprints were identified. Of these, 40 studies were included in the analysis. Pooled estimates of VE of a primary vaccination cycle against laboratory-confirmed Omicron infection and symptomatic disease were both lower than 20% at 6 months from last dose administration. Booster doses restored VE to levels comparable to those acquired soon after the administration of the primary cycle. However, 9 months after booster administration, VE against Omicron was lower than 30% against laboratory-confirmed infection and symptomatic disease. The half-life of VE against symptomatic infection was estimated to be 87 days (95% CI, 67-129 days) for Omicron compared with 316 days (95% CI, 240-470 days) for Delta. Similar waning rates of VE were found for different age segments of the population. Conclusions and Relevance These findings suggest that the effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines against laboratory-confirmed Omicron or Delta infection and symptomatic disease rapidly wanes over time after the primary vaccination cycle and booster dose. These results can inform the design of appropriate targets and timing for future vaccination programs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Francesco Menegale
- Center for Health Emergencies, Bruno Kessler Foundation, Trento, Italy
- Department of Mathematics, University of Trento, Trento, Italy
| | - Mattia Manica
- Center for Health Emergencies, Bruno Kessler Foundation, Trento, Italy
- Epilab-JRU, FEM-FBK Joint Research Unit, Trento, Italy
| | - Agnese Zardini
- Center for Health Emergencies, Bruno Kessler Foundation, Trento, Italy
| | - Giorgio Guzzetta
- Center for Health Emergencies, Bruno Kessler Foundation, Trento, Italy
- Epilab-JRU, FEM-FBK Joint Research Unit, Trento, Italy
| | | | - Valeria d'Andrea
- Center for Health Emergencies, Bruno Kessler Foundation, Trento, Italy
| | - Filippo Trentini
- Center for Health Emergencies, Bruno Kessler Foundation, Trento, Italy
- Dondena Centre for Research on Social Dynamics and Public Policy, Bocconi University, Milan, Italy
| | - Marco Ajelli
- Laboratory for Computational Epidemiology and Public Health, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Indiana University School of Public Health, Bloomington
| | - Piero Poletti
- Center for Health Emergencies, Bruno Kessler Foundation, Trento, Italy
- Epilab-JRU, FEM-FBK Joint Research Unit, Trento, Italy
| | - Stefano Merler
- Center for Health Emergencies, Bruno Kessler Foundation, Trento, Italy
- Epilab-JRU, FEM-FBK Joint Research Unit, Trento, Italy
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Nordström P, Ballin M, Nordström A. Safety and effectiveness of monovalent COVID-19 mRNA vaccination and risk factors for hospitalisation caused by the omicron variant in 0.8 million adolescents: A nationwide cohort study in Sweden. PLoS Med 2023; 20:e1004127. [PMID: 36802397 PMCID: PMC9990916 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004127] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/18/2022] [Revised: 03/07/2023] [Accepted: 01/30/2023] [Indexed: 02/23/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Real-world evidence on the safety and effectiveness of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccination against severe disease caused by the omicron variant among adolescents is sparse. In addition, evidence on risk factors for severe COVID-19 disease, and whether vaccination is similarly effective in such risk groups, is unclear. The aim of the present study was therefore to examine the safety and effectiveness of monovalent COVID-19 mRNA vaccination against COVID-19 hospitalisation, and risk factors for COVID-19 hospitalisation in adolescents. METHODS AND FINDINGS A cohort study was conducted using Swedish nationwide registers. The safety analysis included all individuals in Sweden born between 2003 and 2009 (aged 11.3 to 19.2 years) given at least 1 dose of monovalent mRNA vaccine (N = 645,355), and never vaccinated controls (N = 186,918). The outcomes included all-cause hospitalisation and 30 selected diagnoses until 5 June 2022. The vaccine effectiveness (VE) against COVID-19 hospitalisation, and risk factors for hospitalisation, were evaluated in adolescents given 2 doses of monovalent mRNA vaccine (N = 501,945), as compared to never vaccinated controls (N = 157,979), for up to 5 months follow-up during an omicron predominant period (1 January 2022 to 5 June 2022). Analyses were adjusted for age, sex, baseline date, and whether the individual was born in Sweden. The safety analysis showed that vaccination was associated with 16% lower (95% confidence interval (CI) [12, 19], p < 0.001) risk of all-cause hospitalisation, and with marginal differences between the groups regarding the 30 selected diagnoses. In the VE analysis, there were 21 cases (0.004%) of COVID-19 hospitalisation among 2-dose recipients and 26 cases (0.016%) among controls, resulting in a VE of 76% (95% CI [57, 87], p < 0.001). Predominant risk factors for COVID-19 hospitalisation included previous infections (bacterial infection, tonsillitis, and pneumonia) (odds ratio [OR]: 14.3, 95% CI [7.7, 26.6], p < 0.001), and cerebral palsy/development disorders (OR: 12.7, 95% CI [6.8, 23.8], p < 0.001), with similar estimates of VE in these subgroups as in the total cohort. The number needed to vaccinate with 2 doses to prevent 1 case of COVID-19 hospitalisation was 8,147 in the total cohort and 1,007 in those with previous infections or developmental disorders. None of the individuals hospitalised due to COVID-19 died within 30 days. Limitations of this study include the observational design and the possibility of unmeasured confounding. CONCLUSIONS In this nationwide study of Swedish adolescents, monovalent COVID-19 mRNA vaccination was not associated with an increased risk of any serious adverse events resulting in hospitalisation. Vaccination with 2 doses was associated with a lower risk of COVID-19 hospitalisation during an omicron predominant period, also among those with certain predisposing conditions who should be prioritised for vaccination. However, COVID-19 hospitalisation in the general population of adolescents was extremely rare, and additional doses in this population may not be warranted at this stage.
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Affiliation(s)
- Peter Nordström
- Department of Public Health and Caring Sciences, Clinical Geriatrics, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden
- Department of Community Medicine and Rehabilitation, Unit of Geriatric Medicine, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden
- * E-mail:
| | - Marcel Ballin
- Department of Community Medicine and Rehabilitation, Unit of Geriatric Medicine, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden
| | - Anna Nordström
- Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Section of Sustainable Health, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden
- School of Sport Sciences, UiT the Arctic University of Norway, Tromsø, Norway
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