The Impact of COVID-19 on Hospital Admissions for Twelve High-Burden Diseases and Five Common Procedures in the Philippines: A National Health Insurance Database Study 2019-2020

Spatiotemporal models of dengue epidemiology in the Philippines: Integrating remote sensing and interpretable machine learning

Previous dengue epidemiological analyses have been limited in spatiotemporal extent or covariate dimensions, the latter neglecting the multifactorial nature of dengue. These constraints, caused by rigid and traditional statistical tools which collapse amidst 'Big Data', prompt interpretable machine-learning (iML) approaches. Predicting dengue incidence and mortality in the Philippines, a data-limited yet high-burden country, the mlr3 universe of R packages was used to build and optimize ML models based on remotely sensed provincial and dekadal 3 NDVI and 9 rainfall features from 2016 to 2020. Between two tasks, models differ across four random forest-based learners and two clustering strategies. Among 16 candidates, rfsrc-year-case and ranger-year-death significantly perform best for predicting dengue incidence and mortality, respectively. Therefore, temporal clustering yields the best models, reflective of dengue seasonality. The two best models were subjected to tripartite global exploratory model analyses, which encompass model-agnostic post-hoc methods such as Permutation Feature Importance (PFI) and Accumulated Local Effects (ALE). PFI reveals that the models differ in their important explanatory aspect, rainfall for rfsrc-year-case and NDVI for ranger-year-death, among which long-term average (lta) features are most relevant. Trend-wise, ALE reveals that average incidence predictions are positively associated with 'Rain.lta', reflective of dengue cases peaking during the wet season. In contrast, those for mortality are negatively associated with 'NDVI.lta', reflective of urban spaces driving dengue-related deaths. By technologically addressing the challenges of the human-animal-ecosystem interface, this study adheres to the One Digital Health paradigm operationalized under Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Leveraging data digitization and predictive modeling for epidemiological research paves SDG 3, which prioritizes holistic health and well-being.

Current status of hypertension care and management in the Philippines

AIMS

In this paper, we discuss the existing data on the burden of hypertension in the Philippines and present the status of management, prevention, and control of hypertension in the country.

METHODS

A literature review was conducted to synthesize the status of hypertension care in the Philippines.

RESULTS

Hypertension continues to contribute to the country's leading causes of death. Similar to the global trend, almost half of hypertensive Filipinos are still not aware of their condition, and only 27 % have it under control. The prevalence of hypertension has steadily increased from 22 % in 1993 to 25.15 % in 2013. The 2020 Philippine Society for Hypertension clinical practice guideline defines hypertension as an office BP of 140/90 mm Hg or above following the proper standard BP measurement. During the past decade, monotherapy has been the mode of treatment in more than 80 % of Filipino patients. This could also explain why the BP control rates have been low. The most prevalent complications of hypertension in the Philippines were stroke (11.6 %), ischemic heart disease (7.7 %), chronic kidney disease (6.30 %), and hypertensive retinopathy (2.30 %). Hypertension causes economic tolls on patients, from the cost of drugs to hospitalization and complications. Hospitalization from hypertensive complications can easily wipe out the savings of middle-class families and is catastrophic for lower-income Filipinos.

CONCLUSION

In this review, we summarize the existing data on the burden of hypertension among Filipinos and the risk factors associated with the disease. We present the current screening tools, diagnostics, treatment, and prevention strategies for hypertension in the Philippines. Lastly, we propose solutions to meet the global targets of hypertension management and help relieve the growing burden of this disease.

Effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the Implementation of NCD Care at the Primary Care Level in the Philippines: A Qualitative Inquiry

Background and Objective

The focusing of resources to COVID-19 response hampered and disadvantaged primary care services including that for Non-Communicable Diseases (NCDs), compromising continuity of care and hence, patients' disease status. However, studies from low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) remain sparse; therefore, evidence generation on how the pandemic impacted the provision of these primary care services in LMICs will help further understand how policies can be reframed, and programs be made more efficient and effective despite similar crises. To bridge this gap, the study investigated how the pandemic affected the implementation of NCD care at the primary care level in the Philippines.

Methods

Thirty-one online focus group discussions via Zoom Meetings were conducted among 113 consenting physicians, nurses, midwives, and community health workers from various facilities - community health centers and stations, free-standing clinics, infirmaries, and level 1 hospitals - located within two provinces in the Philippines. All interviews were video-recorded upon participants' consent and transcribed verbatim. Inductive thematic analysis was employed through NViVo 12® to generate themes, identify categories, and describe codes.

Results

The impact of COVID-19 on NCD care at the primary care level revolved around heightened impediments to service delivery, alongside worsening of pre-existing challenges experienced by the healthcare workforce; subsequently compelling the public to resort to unhealthy practices. These detriments to the primary healthcare system involved resource constraints, discontinued programs, referral difficulties, infection, overburden among workers, and interrupted training activities. Citizens were also observed to adopt poor healthcare seeking behavior, thereby discontinuing treatment regimen.

Conclusion

Healthcare workers asserted that disadvantages caused by the pandemic in their NCD services at the primary care level possibly threaten patients' health status. Besides the necessity to address such detriments, this also emphasizes the need for quantitative studies that will aid in drawing inferences and evaluating the effect of health crises like the pandemic on such services to bridge gaps in improving quality of care.

Variations in Hospital Admissions of Non-Communicable Disease Patients Before and During The COVID-19 Pandemic (A Tertiary Care Setting, January 2018-June 2021)

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to analyze the variations (if any) in hospital admissions of patients with any of the five common non-communicable diseases (NCDs), based on secondary analysis of electronic health records of patients admitted to Hacettepe University Hospitals at least once, from January 1, 2018 through June 15, 2021.

DESIGN

Data were recruited from hospital's electronic health records on patients with diagnoses of ischemic heart disease, hypertension, diabetes, cancer, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, using relevant ICD-10 codes.

RESULTS

Compared to the corresponding time span in the pre-pandemic period, the number of hospital admissions of patients with selected five NCDs significantly decreased during the pandemic, with an official start in Turkey on March 11, 2020. Number of total-, out-patient-, and in-patient admissions of NCD patients were significantly lower in the pandemic period compared to the expected values in time series analysis, controlling for patient characteristics, and seasonality.

CONCLUSIONS

Study findings suggest that there has been a prominent impediment in NCD patients' access to, and/or use of health care services over the pandemic, which might evolve to higher admission rates, severity and fatality of such patients in the upcoming years. Further studies are warranted for confirmation of our findings in other care settings, with individual-based data on care compensation through settings other than regular admission sites (if any), and/or the reasons for under-use of services.

Healthcare Encounters and Outcomes of Filipino Patients with Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Managed at a Tertiary COVID-19 Referral Center

Objective

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has limited healthcare delivery for patients with chronic diseases, including Systemic Lupus Erythematosus (SLE). This study aims to describe the outcomes of patients with SLE in a national COVID-19 referral center in the Philippines.

Methods

A review of records of all adult patients with SLE seen in the University of the Philippines-Philippine General Hospital (UP-PGH) from March 2020 to December 2021 was done. Data about patient characteristics, health encounters, and outcomes before and after the first visit during the study period were extracted. Descriptive statistics were employed.

Results

Our population of 403 patients was predominantly young (mean age 34.53 ± 11.14 years), female, and unemployed. This consisted of 370 known cases of SLE, 92 were diagnosed in institutions outside UP-PGH, and 33 new patients. Over the 22-month study period, there were 2,093 medical encounters, most of which were teleconsultations (81.70%). During an average gap of 53.6 ± 26.7 weeks between the last consultation and the first visit within the pandemic study period, 84 patients (22.70%) discontinued at least one of their SLE control medications, 68 (18.38%) patients developed a lupus flare, and 79 (21.35%) were hospitalized for various reasons. On their return to the rheumatology clinic during the pandemic, 37.47% were in lupus flare, 28.29% needed to be hospitalized, and 20 died. However, 86.75% of flares were controlled. During subsequent health encounters, 48 patients had a new flare (43 of these were controlled) and 20 died. The most common reason for hospitalization (n=160) was lupus disease flare and the most common cause of death (n=40) was pneumonia. Sixty patients acquired COVID-19 infection from which most recovered and four died.

Conclusion

Audio teleconsultation was the most common method used by our lupus cohort to interact with their doctors during the pandemic. There was an average of a year-long interruption in medical care for 62.70%. More than a third developed a disease flare and 15% acquired COVID-19 but outcomes were good in more than 85%. Despite the challenges posed by the pandemic, the majority of our lupus cohort who were able to continue their treatment had favorable outcomes.

Perception towards the implementation of telemedicine during COVID-19 pandemic: a cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

The COVID-19 pandemic has led to a surge in the use of telemedicine as a means of delivering healthcare services remotely. Healthcare providers play a key role in the adoption and implementation of telemedicine for its effectiveness. Despite its benefits, there have been unclear concerns about its effectiveness and acceptance in the process of implementing telemedicine. The objective of the study was to assess health professionals' perceptions towards the implementation of telemedicine during the COVID-19 pandemic.

METHODS

A cross-sectional study design was conducted among eight hundred forty-five study participants from December 2020 to February 2021. A pre-test was performed on 5% of the total sample size, and the quality of the data was ensured by checking its completeness and consistency. Descriptive statistics and bivariable and multivariable logistic regression were used. The Variables with a P-value equal to or less than 0.25 in bivariable logistic regression were entered into a multivariable logistic regression, and model fitness was assessed.

RESULT

The study revealed that 60.9% of professionals had a good perception toward telemedicine implementation, with an 87.2% response rate. Health professionals with IT support staff, ICT training, who use social media platforms regularly, and availability of computer or smartphone within/outside their health facility were 4.7, 3.3, 3.7, and 13.2 times more likely to have a positive association towards telemedicine implementation respectively.

CONCLUSION

More than half of the health professionals had a good perception of telemedicine. Social media use, ICT training, computer accessibility, and the presence of IT support staff were all found to have positive associations with the telemedicine perception. In the era of the COVID-19 pandemic, the government should take the initiative to strengthen opportunities for health professionals to learn and apply telemedicine in their medical practice by providing ICT training, IT infrastructure and support staff, improving computer access, and recommending health professionals' positive use of social media in the health facility.

One-Year Temporal Changes in Long COVID Prevalence and Characteristics: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to explore the 1-year temporal change in prevalence, variety, and potential risk factors of long COVID symptoms and to further predict the prognostic trends of long COVID.

METHODS

We searched electronic databases for related studies published from January 2020 to February 2022 and conducted 1-group meta-analysis and locally weighted regression to explore the monthly temporal change in the prevalence of each long COVID symptom in 1-year follow-up period.

RESULTS

A total of 137 studies were included in meta-analysis, including 134 093 participants. The temporal change of any long COVID symptom showed a steep decrease initially (from 92% at acute phase to 55% at 1-month follow-up), followed by stabilization at approximately 50% during 1-year follow-up. Six months or more after the acute phase, the odds ratio of population characteristic-related factors increased, such as female (from 1.62 to 1.82), whereas the odds ratio value of acute phase-related factors (severe or critical cases and hospitalization) decreased. As for specific symptoms, approximately two-thirds of the symptoms did not significantly reduce during the 1-year follow-up, and the neuropsychiatric symptoms showed a higher long-term prevalence (approximately 25%) and longer persistence than physical symptoms.

CONCLUSIONS

The temporal changes in the prevalence and characteristics speculate that long COVID may persist longer than expected. In particular, we should pay more attention to neuropsychiatric symptoms and other symptoms for which there is no significant downward trend in prevalence. The influence of acute phase-related factors for long COVID gradually decreases over time, whereas the influence of population characteristic-related factors gradually increases.

Impact of COVID-19 on health services utilization in mainland China and its different regions based on S-ARIMA predictions

Global health services are disrupted by the COVID-19 pandemic. We evaluated extent and duration of impacts of the pandemic on health services utilization in different economically developed regions of mainland China. Based on monthly health services utilization data in China, we used Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (S-ARIMA) models to predict outpatient and emergency department visits to hospitals (OEH visits) per capita without pandemic. The impacts were evaluated by three dimensions:1) absolute instant impacts were evaluated by difference between predicted and actual OEH visits per capita in February 2020 and relative instant impacts were the ratio of absolute impacts to baseline OEH visits per capita; 2) absolute and relative accumulative impacts from February 2020 to March 2021; 3) duration of impacts was estimated by time that actual OEH visits per capita returned to its predicted value. From February 2020 to March 2021, the COVID-19 pandemic reduced OEH visits by 0.4676 per capita, equivalent to 659,453,647 visits, corresponding to a decrease of 15.52% relative to the pre-pandemic average annual level in mainland China. The instant impacts in central, northeast, east and west China were 0.1279, 0.1265, 0.1215, and 0.0986 visits per capita, respectively; and corresponding relative impacts were 77.63%, 66.16%, 44.39%, and 50.57%, respectively. The accumulative impacts in northeast, east, west and central China were up to 0.5898, 0.4459, 0.3523, and 0.3324 visits per capita, respectively; and corresponding relative impacts were 23.72%, 12.53%, 13.91%, and 16.48%, respectively. The OEH visits per capita has returned back to predicted values within the first 2, 6, 9, 9 months for east, central, west and northeast China, respectively. Less economically developed areas were affected for a longer time. Safe and equitable access to health services, needs paying great attention especially for undeveloped areas.

Access to Surgical Treatment for Breast Cancer in the Philippines

Female breast cancer is the most commonly diagnosed cancer worldwide; however, while high-income countries have the highest incidence rates, lower-middle income countries have the highest mortality rates. In this article, we describe the landscape of disparities in access to surgical care for patients with breast cancer in the Philippines, a lower-middle income country in Southeast Asia. We describe the payment landscape that allows access to care for patients with non-metastatic disease, and draw attention to the fact that despite some degree of insurance for most Filipinos, great barriers to access remain in the form of a low number of surgical providers, geographic disparities, and persistent socioeconomic barriers. Lastly, we suggest steps forward to improve equity in access to surgical care for Filipino patients with breast cancer.

Impact of Socioeconomic Status on the Perception of Accessibility to and Quality of Healthcare Services during the COVID-19 Pandemic among Poles—Pilot Study

This pilot study was conducted on the reported hypothesis that the COVID-19 pandemic outbreak had an impact on the accessibility and quality of healthcare services and exacerbated socioeconomic inequalities. The aim was to determine whether economic status and education had an impact on the perception of access and quality to healthcare services during the COVID-19 pandemic and whether, according to patients, accessibility and quality had changed significantly compared to the pre-pandemic period in Poland. The study was based on the authors’ questionnaire and the results were statistically analyzed. Two hundred forty-seven feedback responses were received with a responsiveness rate of 93 percent. Statistically significant differences were found when comparing education level and utilization of healthcare services during the COVID-19 pandemic. A comparison of gender and economic situation, and average monthly income found no statistically significant differences. The outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic has undoubtedly affected the provision of health services in many countries around the world. One result of the pandemic crisis has been widening socioeconomic inequalities among patients.