Studying the growth kinetics of untreated clinical tumors by using an advanced discrete simulation model

A Multidisciplinary Hyper-Modeling Scheme in Personalized In Silico Oncology: Coupling Cell Kinetics with Metabolism, Signaling Networks, and Biomechanics as Plug-In Component Models of a Cancer Digital Twin

The massive amount of human biological, imaging, and clinical data produced by multiple and diverse sources necessitates integrative modeling approaches able to summarize all this information into answers to specific clinical questions. In this paper, we present a hypermodeling scheme able to combine models of diverse cancer aspects regardless of their underlying method or scale. Describing tissue-scale cancer cell proliferation, biomechanical tumor growth, nutrient transport, genomic-scale aberrant cancer cell metabolism, and cell-signaling pathways that regulate the cellular response to therapy, the hypermodel integrates mutation, miRNA expression, imaging, and clinical data. The constituting hypomodels, as well as their orchestration and links, are described. Two specific cancer types, Wilms tumor (nephroblastoma) and non-small cell lung cancer, are addressed as proof-of-concept study cases. Personalized simulations of the actual anatomy of a patient have been conducted. The hypermodel has also been applied to predict tumor control after radiotherapy and the relationship between tumor proliferative activity and response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Our innovative hypermodel holds promise as a digital twin-based clinical decision support system and as the core of future in silico trial platforms, although additional retrospective adaptation and validation are necessary.

Three-dimensional tumor growth in time-varying chemical fields: a modeling framework and theoretical study

Background

Contemporary biological observations have revealed a large variety of mechanisms acting during the expansion of a tumor. However, there are still many qualitative and quantitative aspects of the phenomenon that remain largely unknown. In this context, mathematical and computational modeling appears as an invaluable tool providing the means for conducting in silico experiments, which are cheaper and less tedious than real laboratory experiments.

Results

This paper aims at developing an extensible and computationally efficient framework for in silico modeling of tumor growth in a 3-dimensional, inhomogeneous and time-varying chemical environment. The resulting model consists of a set of mathematically derived and algorithmically defined operators, each one addressing the effects of a particular biological mechanism on the state of the system. These operators may be extended or re-adjusted, in case a different set of starting assumptions or a different simulation scenario needs to be considered.

Conclusion

In silico modeling provides an alternative means for testing hypotheses and simulating scenarios for which exact biological knowledge remains elusive. However, finer tuning of pertinent methods presupposes qualitative and quantitative enrichment of available biological evidence. Validation in a strict sense would further require comprehensive, case-specific simulations and detailed comparisons with biomedical observations.

Approaches to combat hypoxia in cancer therapy and the potential for in silico models in their evaluation

AIM

The negative impact of tumour hypoxia on cancer treatment outcome has been long-known, yet there has been little success combating it. This paper investigates the potential role of in silico modelling to help test emerging hypoxia-targeting treatments in cancer therapy.

METHODS

A Medline search was undertaken on the current landscape of in silico models that simulate cancer therapy and evaluate their ability to test hypoxia-targeting treatments. Techniques and treatments to combat tumour hypoxia and their current challenges are also presented.

RESULTS

Hypoxia-targeting treatments include tumour reoxygenation, hypoxic cell radiosensitization with nitroimidazoles, hypoxia-activated prodrugs and molecular targeting. Their main challenges are toxicity and not achieving adequate delivery to hypoxic regions of the tumour. There is promising research toward combining two or more of these techniques. Different types of in silico therapy models have been developed ranging from temporal to spatial and from stochastic to deterministic models. Numerous models have compared the effectiveness of different radiotherapy fractionation schedules for controlling hypoxic tumours. Similarly, models could help identify and optimize new treatments for overcoming hypoxia that utilize novel hypoxia-targeting technology.

CONCLUSION

Current therapy models should attempt to incorporate more sophisticated modelling of tumour angiogenesis/vasculature and vessel perfusion in order to become more useful for testing hypoxia-targeting treatments, which typically rely upon the tumour vasculature for delivery of additional oxygen, (pro)drugs and nanoparticles.

In Silico Oncology: Quantification of the In Vivo Antitumor Efficacy of Cisplatin-Based Doublet Therapy in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC) through a Multiscale Mechanistic Model

The 5-year survival of non-small cell lung cancer patients can be as low as 1% in advanced stages. For patients with resectable disease, the successful choice of preoperative chemotherapy is critical to eliminate micrometastasis and improve operability. In silico experimentations can suggest the optimal treatment protocol for each patient based on their own multiscale data. A determinant for reliable predictions is the a priori estimation of the drugs’ cytotoxic efficacy on cancer cells for a given treatment. In the present work a mechanistic model of cancer response to treatment is applied for the estimation of a plausible value range of the cell killing efficacy of various cisplatin-based doublet regimens. Among others, the model incorporates the cancer related mechanism of uncontrolled proliferation, population heterogeneity, hypoxia and treatment resistance. The methodology is based on the provision of tumor volumetric data at two time points, before and after or during treatment. It takes into account the effect of tumor microenvironment and cell repopulation on treatment outcome. A thorough sensitivity analysis based on one-factor-at-a-time and latin hypercube sampling/partial rank correlation coefficient approaches has established the volume growth rate and the growth fraction at diagnosis as key features for more accurate estimates. The methodology is applied on the retrospective data of thirteen patients with non-small cell lung cancer who received cisplatin in combination with gemcitabine, vinorelbine or docetaxel in the neoadjuvant context. The selection of model input values has been guided by a comprehensive literature survey on cancer-specific proliferation kinetics. The latin hypercube sampling has been recruited to compensate for patient-specific uncertainties. Concluding, the present work provides a quantitative framework for the estimation of the in-vivo cell-killing ability of various chemotherapies. Correlation studies of such estimates with the molecular profile of patients could serve as a basis for reliable personalized predictions.

Less than 14% of medically treated patients with locally advanced and metastatic non-small cell lung cancer are expected to be alive 5 years after diagnosis. Standard therapeutic strategies include the administration of two drugs in combination, aiming at shrinking the tumor before surgery and improving overall survival. Knowing the sensitivity profile of each patient to different treatment strategies at diagnosis may help choose the most appropriate ones. We develop a methodology for the quantitative estimation of the cytotoxic efficacy of cisplatin-based doublets on cancer cells by applying a simulation model of cancer progression and response. The model incorporates the proliferation cycle, quiescence, differentiation and loss of tumor cells. We evaluate the effect of in vivo microenvironment of real tumors, as expressed by measurable tumor proliferation kinetics, such as how fast the tumor grows, the percentage of cells that are actively dividing, the resistance of stem cells, etc. on treatment outcome so as to derive more accurate estimates. A literature survey guides the selection of values. The methodology is applied to a real clinical dataset of patients. Correlation studies between the derived cytotoxicities and the patients’ molecular profile could lead to predictions of treatment response at the time of diagnosis.

Differentiation resistance through altered retinoblastoma protein function in acute lymphoblastic leukemia: in silico modeling of the deregulations in the G1/S restriction point pathway

BACKGROUND

As in many cancer types, the G1/S restriction point (RP) is deregulated in Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia (ALL). Hyper-phosphorylated retinoblastoma protein (hyper-pRb) is found in high levels in ALL cells. Nevertheless, the ALL lymphocyte proliferation rate for the average patient is surprisingly low compared to its normal counterpart of the same maturation level. Additionally, as stated in literature, ALL cells possibly reside at or beyond the RP which is located in the late-G1 phase. This state may favor their differentiation resistant phenotype. A major phenomenon contributing to this fact is thought to be the observed limited redundancy in the phosphorylation of retinoblastoma protein (pRb) by the various Cyclin Dependent Kinases (Cdks). The latter may result in partial loss of pRb functions despite hyper-phosphorylation.

RESULTS

To test this hypothesis, an in silico model aiming at simulating the biochemical regulation of the RP in ALL is introduced. By exploiting experimental findings derived from leukemic cells and following a semi-quantitative calibration procedure, the model has been shown to satisfactorily reproduce such a behavior for the RP pathway. At the same time, the calibrated model has been proved to be in agreement with the observed variation in the ALL cell cycle duration.

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed model aims to contribute to a better understanding of the complex phenomena governing the leukemic cell cycle. At the same time it constitutes a significant first step in the creation of a personalized proliferation rate predictor that can be used in the context of multiscale cancer modeling. Such an approach is expected to play an important role in the refinement and the advancement of mechanistic modeling of ALL in the context of the emergent and promising scientific domains of In Silico Oncology and more generally In Silico Medicine.

In silico oncology: exploiting clinical studies to clinically adapt and validate multiscale oncosimulators

This paper presents a brief outline of the notion and the system of oncosimulator in conjunction with a high level description of the basics of its core multiscale model simulating clinical tumor response to treatment. The exemplary case of lung cancer preoperatively treated with a combination of chemotherapeutic agents is considered. The core oncosimulator model is based on a primarily top-down, discrete entity - discrete event multiscale simulation approach. The critical process of clinical adaptation of the model by exploiting sets of multiscale data originating from clinical studies/trials is also outlined. Concrete clinical adaptation results are presented. The adaptation process also conveys important aspects of the planned clinical validation procedure since the same type of multiscale data - although not the same data itself- is to be used for clinical validation. By having exploited actual clinical data in conjunction with plausible literature-based values of certain model parameters, a realistic tumor dynamics behavior has been demonstrated. The latter supports the potential of the specific oncosimulator to serve as a personalized treatment optimizer following an eventually successful completion of the clinical adaptation and validation process.

Towards in silico oncology: adapting a four dimensional nephroblastoma treatment model to a clinical trial case based on multi-method sensitivity analysis

In the past decades a great progress in cancer research has been made although medical treatment is still widely based on empirically established protocols which have many limitations. Computational models address such limitations by providing insight into the complex biological mechanisms of tumor progression. A set of clinically-oriented, multiscale models of solid tumor dynamics has been developed by the In Silico Oncology Group (ISOG), Institute of Communication and Computer Systems (ICCS)-National Technical University of Athens (NTUA) to study cancer growth and response to treatment. Within this context using certain representative parameter values, tumor growth and response have been modeled under a cancer preoperative chemotherapy protocol in the framework of the SIOP 2001/GPOH clinical trial. A thorough cross-method sensitivity analysis of the model has been performed. Based on the sensitivity analysis results, a reasonable adaptation of the values of the model parameters to a real clinical case of bilateral nephroblastomatosis has been achieved. The analysis presented supports the potential of the model for the study and eventually the future design of personalized treatment schemes and/or schedules using the data obtained from in vitro experiments and clinical studies.