Allele-Specific Thresholds of Eluted Ligands for T-Cell Epitope Prediction

Tumor Neoepitope-Based Vaccines: A Scoping Review on Current Predictive Computational Strategies

Therapeutic cancer vaccines have been considered in recent decades as important immunotherapeutic strategies capable of leading to tumor regression. In the development of these vaccines, the identification of neoepitopes plays a critical role, and different computational methods have been proposed and employed to direct and accelerate this process. In this context, this review identified and systematically analyzed the most recent studies published in the literature on the computational prediction of epitopes for the development of therapeutic vaccines, outlining critical steps, along with the associated program's strengths and limitations. A scoping review was conducted following the PRISMA extension (PRISMA-ScR). Searches were performed in databases (Scopus, PubMed, Web of Science, Science Direct) using the keywords: neoepitope, epitope, vaccine, prediction, algorithm, cancer, and tumor. Forty-nine articles published from 2012 to 2024 were synthesized and analyzed. Most of the identified studies focus on the prediction of epitopes with an affinity for MHC I molecules in solid tumors, such as lung carcinoma. Predicting epitopes with class II MHC affinity has been relatively underexplored. Besides neoepitope prediction from high-throughput sequencing data, additional steps were identified, such as the prioritization of neoepitopes and validation. Mutect2 is the most used tool for variant calling, while NetMHCpan is favored for neoepitope prediction. Artificial/convolutional neural networks are the preferred methods for neoepitope prediction. For prioritizing immunogenic epitopes, the random forest algorithm is the most used for classification. The performance values related to the computational models for the prediction and prioritization of neoepitopes are high; however, a large part of the studies still use microbiome databases for training. The in vitro/in vivo validations of the predicted neoepitopes were verified in 55% of the analyzed studies. Clinical trials that led to successful tumor remission were identified, highlighting that this immunotherapeutic approach can benefit these patients. Integrating high-throughput sequencing, sophisticated bioinformatics tools, and rigorous validation methods through in vitro/in vivo assays as well as clinical trials, the tumor neoepitope-based vaccine approach holds promise for developing personalized therapeutic vaccines that target specific tumor cancers.

A Bayesian approach to estimate MHC-peptide binding threshold

Major histocompatibility complex (MHC)-peptide binding is a critical step in enabling a peptide to serve as an antigen for T-cell recognition. Accurate prediction of this binding can facilitate various applications in immunotherapy. While many existing methods offer good predictive power for the binding affinity of a peptide to a specific MHC, few models attempt to infer the binding threshold that distinguishes binding sequences. These models often rely on experience-based ad hoc criteria, such as 500 or 1000nM. However, different MHCs may have different binding thresholds. As such, there is a need for an automatic, data-driven method to determine an accurate binding threshold. In this study, we proposed a Bayesian model that jointly infers core locations (binding sites), the binding affinity and the binding threshold. Our model provided the posterior distribution of the binding threshold, enabling accurate determination of an appropriate threshold for each MHC. To evaluate the performance of our method under different scenarios, we conducted simulation studies with varying dominant levels of motif distributions and proportions of random sequences. These simulation studies showed desirable estimation accuracy and robustness of our model. Additionally, when applied to real data, our results outperformed commonly used thresholds.

Susceptibility and Severity of COVID-19 Are Both Associated With Lower Overall Viral-Peptide Binding Repertoire of HLA Class I Molecules, Especially in Younger People

An important number of studies have been conducted on the potential association between human leukocyte antigen (HLA) genes and COVID-19 susceptibility and severity since the beginning of the pandemic. However, case-control and peptide-binding prediction methods tended to provide inconsistent conclusions on risk and protective HLA alleles, whereas some researchers suggested the importance of considering the overall capacity of an individual's HLA Class I molecules to present SARS-CoV-2-derived peptides. To close the gap between these approaches, we explored the distributions of HLA-A, -B, -C, and -DRB1 1st-field alleles in 142 Iranian patients with COVID-19 and 143 ethnically matched healthy controls, and applied in silico predictions of bound viral peptides for each individual's HLA molecules. Frequency comparison revealed the possible predisposing roles of HLA-A*03, B*35, and DRB1*16 alleles and the protective effect of HLA-A*32, B*58, B*55, and DRB1*14 alleles in the viral infection. None of these results remained significant after multiple testing corrections, except HLA-A*03, and no allele was associated with severity, either. Compared to peptide repertoires of individual HLA molecules that are more likely population-specific, the overall coverage of virus-derived peptides by one's HLA Class I molecules seemed to be a more prominent factor associated with both COVID-19 susceptibility and severity, which was independent of affinity index and threshold chosen, especially for people under 60 years old. Our results highlight the effect of the binding capacity of different HLA Class I molecules as a whole, and the more essential role of HLA-A compared to HLA-B and -C genes in immune responses against SARS-CoV-2 infection.