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Aransiola TJ, Cavalcanti D, Ordoñez JA, Hessel P, Moncayo AL, Chivardi C, Sironi A, Tasca R, Campello T, Paes-Sousa R, Azevedo e Silva G, Rubio FA, de Souza LE, Macinko J, Rasella D. Current and Projected Mortality and Hospitalization Rates Associated With Conditional Cash Transfer, Social Pension, and Primary Health Care Programs in Brazil, 2000-2030. JAMA Netw Open 2024; 7:e247519. [PMID: 38648059 PMCID: PMC11036142 DOI: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.7519] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/26/2023] [Accepted: 02/21/2024] [Indexed: 04/25/2024] Open
Abstract
Importance The health outcomes of increased poverty and inequalities in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) have been substantially amplified as a consequence of converging multiple crises. Brazil has some of the world's largest conditional cash transfer (Programa Bolsa Família [PBF]), social pension (Beneficio de Prestacão Continuada [BPC]), and primary health care (Estratégia de Saúde da Família [ESF]) programs that could act as mitigating interventions during the current polycrisis era of increasing poverty, slow or contracting economic growth, and conflicts. Objective To evaluate the combined association of the Brazilian conditional cash transfer, social pension, and primary health care programs with the reduction of morbidity and mortality over the last 2 decades and forecast their potential mitigation of the current global polycrisis and beyond. Design, Setting, and Participants This cohort study used a longitudinal ecological design with multivariable negative binomial regression models (adjusted for relevant socioeconomic, demographic, and health care variables) integrating the retrospective analysis from 2000 to 2019, with dynamic microsimulation models to forecast potential child mortality scenarios up to 2030. Participants included a cohort of 2548 Brazilian municipalities from 2004 to 2019, projected from 2020 to 2030. Data analysis was performed from September 2022 to February 2023. Exposure PBF coverage of the target population (those who were poorest) was categorized into 4 levels: low (0%-29.9%), intermediate (30.0%-69.9%), high (70.0%-99.9%), and consolidated (≥100%). ESF coverage was categorized as null (0), low (0.1%-29.9%), intermediate (30.0%-69.9%), and consolidated (70.0%-100%). BPC coverage was categorized by terciles. Main outcomes and measures Age-standardized, all-cause mortality and hospitalization rates calculated for the entire population and by age group (<5 years, 5-29 years, 30-69 years, and ≥70 years). Results Among the 2548 Brazilian municipalities studied from 2004 to 2019, the mean (SD) age-standardized mortality rate decreased by 16.64% (from 6.73 [1.14] to 5.61 [0.94] deaths per 1000 population). Consolidated coverages of social welfare programs studied were all associated with reductions in overall mortality rates (PBF: rate ratio [RR], 0.95 [95% CI, 0.94-0.96]; ESF: RR, 0.93 [95% CI, 0.93-0.94]; BPC: RR, 0.91 [95% CI, 0.91-0.92]), having all together prevented an estimated 1 462 626 (95% CI, 1 332 128-1 596 924) deaths over the period 2004 to 2019. The results were higher on mortality for the group younger than age 5 years (PBF: RR, 0.87 [95% CI, 0.85-0.90]; ESF: RR, 0.89 [95% CI, 0.87-0.93]; BPC: RR, 0.84 [95% CI, 0.82-0.86]), on mortality for the group aged 70 years and older, and on hospitalizations. Considering a shorter scenario of economic crisis, a mitigation strategy that will increase the coverage of PBF, BPC, and ESF to proportionally cover the newly poor and at-risk individuals was projected to avert 1 305 359 (95% CI, 1 163 659-1 449 256) deaths and 6 593 224 (95% CI, 5 534 591-7 651 327) hospitalizations up to 2030, compared with fiscal austerity scenarios that would reduce the coverage of these interventions. Conclusions and relevance This cohort study's results suggest that combined expansion of conditional cash transfers, social pensions, and primary health care should be considered a viable strategy to mitigate the adverse health outcomes of the current global polycrisis in LMICs, whereas the implementation of fiscal austerity measures could result in large numbers of preventable deaths.
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Affiliation(s)
- Temidayo James Aransiola
- Institute of Collective Health (ISC) at the Federal University of Bahia (UFBA), Salvador, Brazil
| | - Daniella Cavalcanti
- Institute of Collective Health (ISC) at the Federal University of Bahia (UFBA), Salvador, Brazil
| | - José Alejandro Ordoñez
- Institute of Collective Health (ISC) at the Federal University of Bahia (UFBA), Salvador, Brazil
| | - Philipp Hessel
- Alberto Lleras Camargo School of Government at the Universidad de los Andes, Bogotá, Colombia
- Swiss Tropical & Public Health Institute, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Ana L. Moncayo
- Centro de Investigación para la Salud en América Latina (CISeAL), Pontificia Universidad Católica del Ecuador, Ecuador
| | - Carlos Chivardi
- Health Research Consortium (CISIDAT), Cuernavaca, Mexico
- Center for Health Economics, University of York, York, United Kingdom
| | - Alberto Sironi
- Barcelona Institute for Global Health (ISGlobal), Hospital Clínic–Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Renato Tasca
- Institute of Studies for Health Policies, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
| | - Tereza Campello
- Center for Epidemiological Research in Nutrition and Health (NUPENS) at the University of São Paulo (USP), São Paulo, Brazil
| | | | - Gulnar Azevedo e Silva
- Hesio Cordeiro Institute of Social Medicine at the State University of Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
| | - Felipe Alves Rubio
- Barcelona Institute for Global Health (ISGlobal), Hospital Clínic–Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Luis Eugenio de Souza
- Institute of Collective Health (ISC) at the Federal University of Bahia (UFBA), Salvador, Brazil
| | | | - Davide Rasella
- Institute of Collective Health (ISC) at the Federal University of Bahia (UFBA), Salvador, Brazil
- Barcelona Institute for Global Health (ISGlobal), Hospital Clínic–Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
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SeyedAlinaghi S, Afsahi AM, Mirzapour P, Afzalian A, Shahidi R, Dashti M, Ghasemzadeh A, Paranjkhoo P, Parsaei Z, Pashaei A, Mohammadi P, Najafi MS, Mahrokhi S, Matini P, Moradi A, Karimi A, Afroughi S, Mehraeen E, Dadras O. Comparison of Omicron and Delta Variants of SARS-CoV-2: A Systematic Review of Current Evidence. Infect Disord Drug Targets 2024; 24:e050324227686. [PMID: 38445691 DOI: 10.2174/0118715265279242240216114548] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/23/2023] [Revised: 01/21/2024] [Accepted: 02/07/2024] [Indexed: 03/07/2024]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus type 2 (SARS-CoV-2) caused the outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in late 2019 in Wuhan, China. In early 2020, the disease spread rapidly around the world. Since the pandemic, SARS-CoV-2 has evolved dramatically into a wide variety of variants endowed with devastating properties. As of March 6, 2022, five SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern, including Alpha, Beta, Gamma, Delta, and Omicron strains have been identified. Due to the crucial importance of understanding the differences between the Omicron and Delta variants, this systematic review was conducted. METHODS This systematic review investigated new variants of Omicron SARS-CoV-2 based on current studies. Online databases were searched for English articles as of January 03, 2023. Selection of publications was a two-step process of title/abstract and full-text assessment against eligibility criteria. The relevant data from the included articles were systematically collected and organized in a designed table for analysis. To ensure the quality of the review, the PRISMA checklist and Newcastle- Ottawa Scale (NOS) of quality assessment were utilized. RESULTS The data extracted from 58 articles were analyzed, including 10003 pieces of evidence. Lower risk of hospitalization, ICU admission, and mortality after vaccination were reported in the Omicron variant compared to the Delta variant. Additionally, the Delta variant led to more severe clinical symptoms in comparison to the Omicron variant. CONCLUSION The Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 results in less severe disease outcomes as compared to Delta. Nevertheless, it remains crucial to maintain ongoing monitoring, implement containment measures, and adapt vaccination protocols to effectively address the evolving variants.
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Affiliation(s)
- SeyedAhmad SeyedAlinaghi
- Iranian Research Center for HIV/AIDS, Iranian Institute for Reduction of High-Risk Behaviors, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Amir Masoud Afsahi
- Department of Radiology, School of Medicine, University of California, San Diego (UCSD), California, USA
| | - Pegah Mirzapour
- Iranian Research Center for HIV/AIDS, Iranian Institute for Reduction of High-Risk Behaviors, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Arian Afzalian
- School of medicine, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Ramin Shahidi
- School of Medicine, Bushehr University of Medical Sciences, Bushehr, Iran
| | - Mohsen Dashti
- Department of Radiology, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, Iran
| | - Afsaneh Ghasemzadeh
- Department of Radiology, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, Iran
| | - Parinaz Paranjkhoo
- Turpanjian College of Health Sciences, American University of Armenia, Yerevan, 0019, Armenia
| | - Zahra Parsaei
- Health Information Technology Research Center, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran
| | - Ava Pashaei
- School of Nursing, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
| | - Parsa Mohammadi
- School of Medicine, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Mohammad Sadeq Najafi
- Research Center for Advanced Technologies in Cardiovascular Medicine, Cardiovascular Diseases Research Institute, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Sona Mahrokhi
- Iranian Research Center for HIV/AIDS, Iranian Institute for Reduction of High-Risk Behaviors, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Parisa Matini
- School of Medicine, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Ali Moradi
- School of Medicine, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Amirali Karimi
- School of Medicine, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Solaiman Afroughi
- Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, School of Health and Social Determinants of Health Research Center, Postal Code 7591875114, Yasuj University of Medical Sciences, Yasuj, Iran
| | - Esmaeil Mehraeen
- Department of Health Information Technology, Khalkhal University of Medical Sciences, Khalkhal, Iran
| | - Omid Dadras
- Department of Global Public Health and Primary Care, University of Bergen, Bergen, 5007, Norway
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3
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Dash DP, Sethi N. Pandemics, economy and health in Asia-A scenario of post 2020. MethodsX 2023; 11:102347. [PMID: 37693655 PMCID: PMC10491638 DOI: 10.1016/j.mex.2023.102347] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/15/2022] [Accepted: 08/24/2023] [Indexed: 09/12/2023] Open
Abstract
Utilizing a daily data of 29 Asian Economies from June 2021 to June 2022, this study investigates the impacts of economic growth, health infrastructures and Government measures on COVID-19 cases. Our results demonstrate that GDP, Government intervention, testing and vaccination exert positive impacts on COVID-19 cases. We incorporate factors like weather to know how temperature impacts COVID-19 Cases. Our results demonstrate that magnitude of COVID-19 cases goes on upward fashion in winter days more. With reference to co-morbid conditions like diabetes, we notice that people with diabetes are more vulnerable to the infections, however due to the greater behavioral response, we obtain a negative association between co-morbid conditions and new COVID-19 cases. However, the intensity of COVID-19 cases is decimated with the improvement in health facilities and behavioral changes. Besides basic regression estimates, our instrumental variable estimates hold true in the line of regression results while underlying the relation with the COVID-19 cases. Interestingly, our results from alternate specification ensures that high human development with greater openness has resulted in more COVID-19 cases. Overall, our study belies the fact that vaccination and higher govt intervention can prevent COVID-19. Rather, a comprehensive policy is recommended on cross-country basis to overcome such challenge.•The Study analyzes the relation among COVID-19, economic growth and health infrastructure on a daily basis from June 2021 to June 2022 for 29 Asian Economies•Our empirical strategy involves regression followed by robustness tests of instrumental variable regression model.•Results show that higher growth, human development, lesser vaccination and trivial govt intervention post 2020 have resulted in more COVID-19 cases.
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Affiliation(s)
- Devi Prasad Dash
- School of Management and Entrepreneurship, Indian Institute of Technology, Jodhpur, Rajasthan, India
| | - Narayan Sethi
- Department of Humanities and Social Sciences, National Institute of Technology, Rourkela, Odisha, India
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4
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Naveed HM, HongXing Y, Memon BA, Ali S, Alhussam MI, Sohu JM. Artificial neural network (ANN)-based estimation of the influence of COVID-19 pandemic on dynamic and emerging financial markets. TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE 2023; 190:122470. [PMID: 36896408 PMCID: PMC9977627 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2023.122470] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/23/2022] [Revised: 11/30/2022] [Accepted: 02/24/2023] [Indexed: 06/18/2023]
Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic is a serious global issue destroying financial markets awfully. The proper estimation effect of COVID-19 pandemic on dynamic emerging financial markets is a big challenge due to a complex multidimensional data. However, the present study proposes a Deep Neural Network (DNN)-based multivariate regression approach with backpropagation algorithm and structural learning-based Bayesian network with constraint-based algorithm to investigate the influence of COVID-19 pandemic on the currency and derivatives markets of an emerging economy. The output shows that the COVID-19 pandemic has negatively influenced the financial markets as indicated by sharply depreciating currency value around 10 % to 12 % and reducing short-position of futures derivatives around 3 % to 5 % for currency risk hedging. The robustness estimation shows that there have probabilistic distributed between Traded Futures Derivatives Contracts (TFDC), Currency Exchange Rate (CER), and Daily Covid Cases (DCC) and Daily Covid Deaths (DCD). Moreover, the output represents that the futures derivatives market conditionally depends on the currency market volatility given percentage of COVID-19 pandemic. This study may help to policymakers of financial markets in decision-making to control CER volatility that may promote currency market stability to enhance currency market activities and boost confidence of foreign investors in extreme financial crisis circumstances.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hafiz Muhammad Naveed
- School of Finance and Economics, Jiangsu University, 301 Xuefu Road, Zhenjiang, Jiangsu 212013, China
| | - Yao HongXing
- School of Finance and Economics, Jiangsu University, 301 Xuefu Road, Zhenjiang, Jiangsu 212013, China
| | - Bilal Ahmed Memon
- School of Business and Economics, Westminster International University in Tashkent,Uzbekistan
| | - Shoaib Ali
- School of Management Sciences, Jiangsu University, 301 Xuefu Road, Zhenjiang 212013, Jiangsu, China
| | | | - Jan Muhammad Sohu
- School of Management Sciences, Jiangsu University, 301 Xuefu Road, Zhenjiang 212013, Jiangsu, China
- Department of Business Administration, Sukkur IBA University, Pakistan
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5
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Giannetti BF, Fonseca T, Agostinho F, Santos LCT, Almeida CMVB. How has the sustainability of countries changed after COVID-19? Evidence from the pandemics' first year. THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 2023; 855:158766. [PMID: 36116669 PMCID: PMC9474979 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.158766] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/02/2022] [Revised: 09/09/2022] [Accepted: 09/10/2022] [Indexed: 06/15/2023]
Abstract
The Covid-19 crisis has caused several social-related issues; the sanitary is, perhaps, the most significant one. Lockdowns and vaccination were implemented to fight the Covid-19 virus. From a sustainability perspective, Covid-19 has been considered a meaningful crisis driver that has affected nations' economies and social and natural capitals. The literature presents clues that effects appear to be different among countries. Recognizing its importance as public policies for sustainability, this study aims to assess how the sustainability of countries has changed after Covid-19, focusing on countries' economic power that reflects their capacity to face the crisis. A sample of 89 countries is considered, and 2019-2020 are set as base years for data gathering, which covers the first year of the Covid-19 crisis. Sustainability is conceptually supported and represented by a 3-D cube. The natural environment is expressed by the ecological footprint (EF) method, the economic capital by the gross domestic product (GDP), and the social capital by the happiness index. Results show that sustainability of economies was negatively affected after first year of Covid-19 crisis, but in different magnitudes, according to nations' economic power. While the sustainability of the wealthiest economies was slightly changed during 2019-2020 but maintained within the named 'useful-order' world (environmentally unsustainable, productive, and happy), the poorest economies pushed about 169 million people into the worst performance, reaching the 'ineffective' world (environmentally unsustainable, unproductive, and unhappy). Numbers highlight the inequalities of sustainability performance among countries, according to their capacity to face the Covid-19 crisis. The shield of the richest evaluated countries comprising 5 % of the world population is more powerful than the shield of the poorest evaluated countries carrying 67 % of the world population. Results claims for efforts to make different policies and provide economic support differently for countries, since although we are all under the same storm, but in different boats.
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Affiliation(s)
- B F Giannetti
- Post-graduation Program on Production Engineering, Paulista University (UNIP), Brazil.
| | - T Fonseca
- Metropolitan University of Santos (UNIMES), Santos, Brazil; Aquaculture Center, São Paulo State University (UNESP), Jaboticabal, Brazil
| | - F Agostinho
- Post-graduation Program on Production Engineering, Paulista University (UNIP), Brazil
| | - L C T Santos
- Post-graduation Program on Production Engineering, Paulista University (UNIP), Brazil
| | - C M V B Almeida
- Post-graduation Program on Production Engineering, Paulista University (UNIP), Brazil
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6
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Sevilla JP. The value of vaccines. Curr Opin Immunol 2022; 78:102243. [PMID: 36156412 DOI: 10.1016/j.coi.2022.102243] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/06/2022] [Revised: 06/24/2022] [Accepted: 08/11/2022] [Indexed: 01/28/2023]
Abstract
Optimizing vaccine spending depends on recognizing the full value of vaccination (VoV). Existing taxonomies of such value are not comprehensive because they are not guided by general theories. I rely on two such theories: subjective-value theory claims that what has value is determined by what people actually or ideally want in life. A welfarist theory of government states that a fundamental objective of government is to promote social value (or social welfare). These jointly imply that any aspect of life that individuals actually or ideally value and that could be negatively affected by vaccine-preventable diseases (and therefore positively affected by preventive vaccines) is an element of VoV. I build a more comprehensive-value taxonomy than currently exists based on this implication.
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Affiliation(s)
- J P Sevilla
- Data for Decisions, LLC, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, USA.
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7
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Wang J, Zhang L, Sun Y, Lu G, Chen Y, Zhang S. Exploring the Impacts of Urban Community Leisure on Subjective Well-Being during COVID-19: A Mixed Methods Case Study. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2022; 19:8514. [PMID: 35886365 PMCID: PMC9324131 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph19148514] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/20/2022] [Revised: 07/06/2022] [Accepted: 07/07/2022] [Indexed: 02/01/2023]
Abstract
Participating in community leisure activities has become an important way for the public to pursue good health and a high quality of life. However, few studies have focused on the health and welfare effects of participating in urban leisure activities during the COVID-19 pandemic. In response to this gap in the literature, this study drew on the stimulus-organism-response (SOR) theory to examine the effects of community leisure on subjective well-being during the pandemic from the perspective of urban residents. A sample of 1041 urban residents in Beijing, China, was empirically analyzed by applying partial least squares structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM) and fuzzy set qualitative comparative analysis (fsQCA). The PLS-SEM results revealed the net effects of the pandemic influence, leisure satisfaction, leisure environment, and community identity on subjective well-being. The fsQCA provided causal methods for realizing subjective well-being and a necessary condition analysis supplemented the necessary antecedents. The results showed that (1) higher levels of pandemic influence and leisure environment increased leisure satisfaction; (2) pandemic influence, leisure environment, and leisure satisfaction had a positive effect on community identity; (3) pandemic influence, leisure satisfaction, and community identity also combined with leisure environment and leisure time to positively influence subjective well-being; and (4) leisure satisfaction and community identity mediated the impacts of pandemic influence and leisure environment on subjective well-being. This paper contributes not only to empirical evidence but also to theory by constructing and enriching the research models of community leisure and subjective well-being. The practical implications for the public, community managers, and policymakers are also discussed.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jinwei Wang
- Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 11A, Datun Road, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100101, China;
- School of Tourism Sciences, Beijing International Studies University, No.1 Dingfuzhuang Nanli, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100024, China; (Y.S.); (G.L.)
- Research Center for Beijing Tourism Development, No.1 Dingfuzhuang Nanli, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100024, China
| | - Liyan Zhang
- MTA/MBA Education Center, Beijing International Studies University, No.1 Dingfuzhuang Nanli, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100024, China;
| | - Yue Sun
- School of Tourism Sciences, Beijing International Studies University, No.1 Dingfuzhuang Nanli, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100024, China; (Y.S.); (G.L.)
- Research Center for Beijing Tourism Development, No.1 Dingfuzhuang Nanli, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100024, China
| | - Guangjuan Lu
- School of Tourism Sciences, Beijing International Studies University, No.1 Dingfuzhuang Nanli, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100024, China; (Y.S.); (G.L.)
- Research Center for Beijing Tourism Development, No.1 Dingfuzhuang Nanli, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100024, China
| | - Yanbin Chen
- College of Geography and Environment, Shandong Normal University, No.1 Daxue Road, University Science Park, Changqing District, Jinan 250358, China;
| | - Saiyin Zhang
- School of Statistics, Capital University of Economics and Business, Flower-Town, Fengtai District, Beijing 100070, China
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8
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Wu N. Governance Quality, Public Health, Education, and Innovation: Study for Novel Implications. Front Public Health 2022; 10:940036. [PMID: 35875001 PMCID: PMC9301235 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2022.940036] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/09/2022] [Accepted: 05/31/2022] [Indexed: 11/25/2022] Open
Abstract
Pandemic or worldwide disease is the greatest issue of all time that not only affects human health but also influences the economic, educational, and other activities of the countries, since malaria is among the leading health disease that disrupts the economic system of the country. Therefore, this study aimed to analyze whether educational expenditure and technological innovation influence malarial incidence in emerging economies. This study also examined the role of government effectiveness, government health expenditure, gross domestic growth, human capital, and research and development during the period 2000-2018. Employing panel data approaches, including the slope heterogeneity and cross-sectional dependence, the second-generation unit root test reveals the stationarity of all variables. The study also validated the existence of a long-run relationship between the variables. Based on the asymmetrical distribution properties, this study employed the quantile regression approach. The empirical results asserted that education and technological innovation significantly reduce malarial incidents in the panel economies. Also, government effectiveness, research and development, and human capital adversely affect incidences of malaria. In contrast, gross domestic product is the only factor found that increases malarial incidents during the selected period. Based on the empirical results, this study suggested policy measures that could benefit the governors, policymakers, and scholars.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ning Wu
- School of Journalism and Communication, Hubei University, Wuhan, China
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9
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Sun J, Cai K, Shen H. Pandemics and Human Capital: Panel Data Evidence From 122 Countries. Front Public Health 2022; 10:885957. [PMID: 35548078 PMCID: PMC9082271 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2022.885957] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/28/2022] [Accepted: 03/18/2022] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
This study investigates the determinants of human capital stocks, measured by the Penn World Table data, in the panel dataset of 122 countries from 1996 to 2019. The special role is given to the World Pandemics Uncertainty index to measure pandemics uncertainty across countries. The paper finds that per capita gross domestic product and population increase human capital stocks. The decline in fertility rates leads to a higher level of human capital. The interesting evidence is that pandemics' uncertainty decreases human capital. These findings are valid when we focus on both the high-income and the middle/low-income economies. These results are against the Becker-Lewis theory's validity since sources of uncertainty are negatively related to human capital.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jianmin Sun
- School of Management, Nanjing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Nanjing, China
| | - Kaihao Cai
- International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC, United States
| | - Hongzhou Shen
- School of Management, Nanjing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Nanjing, China
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10
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Duong BV, Larpruenrudee P, Fang T, Hossain SI, Saha SC, Gu Y, Islam MS. Is the SARS CoV-2 Omicron Variant Deadlier and More Transmissible Than Delta Variant? INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2022; 19:4586. [PMID: 35457468 PMCID: PMC9032753 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph19084586] [Citation(s) in RCA: 58] [Impact Index Per Article: 29.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/02/2022] [Revised: 04/06/2022] [Accepted: 04/07/2022] [Indexed: 12/20/2022]
Abstract
Genetic variants of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) have been globally surging and devastating many countries around the world. There are at least eleven reported variants dedicated with inevitably catastrophic consequences. In 2021, the most dominant Delta and Omicron variants were estimated to lead to more severity and deaths than other variants. Furthermore, these variants have some contagious characteristics involving high transmissibility, more severe illness, and an increased mortality rate. All outbreaks caused by the Delta variant have been rapidly skyrocketing in infection cases in communities despite tough restrictions in 2021. Apart from it, the United States, the United Kingdom and other high-rate vaccination rollout countries are still wrestling with this trend because the Delta variant can result in a significant number of breakthrough infections. However, the pandemic has changed since the latest SARS-CoV-2 variant in late 2021 in South Africa, Omicron. The preliminary data suggest that the Omicron variant possesses 100-fold greater than the Delta variant in transmissibility. Therefore, this paper aims to review these characteristics based on the available meta-data and information from the first emergence to recent days. Australia and the five most affected countries, including the United States, India, Brazil, France, as well as the United Kingdom, are selected in order to review the transmissibility, severity and fatality due to Delta and Omicron variants. Finally, the vaccination programs for each country are also reviewed as the main factor in prevention.
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Affiliation(s)
- Bao V. Duong
- School of Mechanical and Mechatronic Engineering, University of Technology Sydney, Ultimo, NSW 2007, Australia; (B.V.D.); (P.L.); (T.F.); (S.C.S.)
| | - Puchanee Larpruenrudee
- School of Mechanical and Mechatronic Engineering, University of Technology Sydney, Ultimo, NSW 2007, Australia; (B.V.D.); (P.L.); (T.F.); (S.C.S.)
| | - Tianxin Fang
- School of Mechanical and Mechatronic Engineering, University of Technology Sydney, Ultimo, NSW 2007, Australia; (B.V.D.); (P.L.); (T.F.); (S.C.S.)
| | - Sheikh I. Hossain
- School of Life Sciences, University of Technology Sydney, Ultimo, NSW 2007, Australia;
| | - Suvash C. Saha
- School of Mechanical and Mechatronic Engineering, University of Technology Sydney, Ultimo, NSW 2007, Australia; (B.V.D.); (P.L.); (T.F.); (S.C.S.)
| | - Yuantong Gu
- School of Mechanical, Medical and Process Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, QLD 4000, Australia;
| | - Mohammad S. Islam
- School of Mechanical and Mechatronic Engineering, University of Technology Sydney, Ultimo, NSW 2007, Australia; (B.V.D.); (P.L.); (T.F.); (S.C.S.)
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Sathya K, Nagarajan K, Carlin Geor Malar G, Rajalakshmi S, Raja Lakshmi P. A comprehensive review on comparison among effluent treatment methods and modern methods of treatment of industrial wastewater effluent from different sources. APPLIED WATER SCIENCE 2022; 12:70. [PMID: 35340731 PMCID: PMC8935115 DOI: 10.1007/s13201-022-01594-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 22] [Impact Index Per Article: 11.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/25/2021] [Accepted: 02/11/2022] [Indexed: 05/27/2023]
Abstract
In recent years, rapid development in the industrial sector has offered console to the people but at the same time, generates numerous amounts of effluent composed of toxic elements like nitrogen, phosphorus, hydrocarbons, and heavy metals that influences the environment and mankind hazardously. While the technological advancements are made in industrial effluent treatment, there arising stretch in the techniques directing on hybrid system that are effective in resource recovery from effluent in an economical, less time consuming and viable manner. The key objective of this article is to study, propose and deliberate the process and products obtained from different industries and the quantity of effluents produced, and the most advanced and ultra-modern theoretical and scientific improvements in treatment methods to remove those dissolved matter and toxic substances and also the challenges and perspectives in these developments. The findings of this review appraise new eco-friendly technologies, provide intuition into the efficiency in contaminants removal and aids in interpreting degradation mechanism of toxic elements by various treatment assemblages.
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Affiliation(s)
- K. Sathya
- Department of Biotechnology, Rajalakshmi Engineering College, Thandalam, India
| | - K. Nagarajan
- Department of Chemical Engineering, Rajalakshmi Engineering College, Thandalam, India
| | | | - S. Rajalakshmi
- Department of Biotechnology, Rajalakshmi Engineering College, Thandalam, India
| | - P. Raja Lakshmi
- Department of Biotechnology, Rajalakshmi Engineering College, Thandalam, India
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12
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Mehta A, Kumar Ratre Y, Sharma K, Soni VK, Tiwari AK, Singh RP, Dwivedi MK, Chandra V, Prajapati SK, Shukla D, Vishvakarma NK. Interplay of Nutrition and Psychoneuroendocrineimmune Modulation: Relevance for COVID-19 in BRICS Nations. Front Microbiol 2021; 12:769884. [PMID: 34975797 PMCID: PMC8718880 DOI: 10.3389/fmicb.2021.769884] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/02/2021] [Accepted: 11/16/2021] [Indexed: 11/21/2022] Open
Abstract
The consequences of COVID-19 are not limited to physical health deterioration; the impact on neuropsychological well-being is also substantially reported. The inter-regulation of physical health and psychological well-being through the psychoneuroendocrineimmune (PNEI) axis has enduring consequences in susceptibility, treatment outcome as well as recuperation. The pandemic effects are upsetting the lifestyle, social interaction, and financial security; and also pose a threat through perceived fear. These consequences of COVID-19 also influence the PNEI system and wreck the prognosis. The nutritional status of individuals is also reported to have a determinative role in COVID-19 severity and convalescence. In addition to energetic demand, diet also provides precursor substances [amino acids (AAs), vitamins, etc.] for regulators of the PNEI axis such as neurotransmitters (NTs) and immunomodulators. Moreover, exaggerated immune response and recovery phase of COVID-19 demand additional nutrient intake; widening the gap of pre-existing undernourishment. Mushrooms, fresh fruits and vegetables, herbs and spices, and legumes are few of such readily available food ingredients which are rich in protein and also have medicinal benefits. BRICS nations have their influences on global development and are highly impacted by a large number of confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths. The adequacy and access to healthcare are also low in BRICS nations as compared to the rest of the world. Attempt to combat the COVID-19 pandemic are praiseworthy in BRICS nations. However, large population sizes, high prevalence of undernourishment (PoU), and high incidence of mental health ailments in BRICS nations provide a suitable landscape for jeopardy of COVID-19. Therefore, appraising the interplay of nutrition and PNEI modulation especially in BRICS countries will provide better understanding; and will aid in combat COVID-19. It can be suggested that the monitoring will assist in designing adjunctive interventions through medical nutrition therapy and psychopsychiatric management.
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Affiliation(s)
- Arundhati Mehta
- Department of Biotechnology, Guru Ghasidas Vishwavidyalaya, Bilaspur, India
| | | | - Krishna Sharma
- Department of Psychology, Government Bilasa Girls Post Graduate Autonomous College, Bilaspur, India
| | - Vivek Kumar Soni
- Department of Biotechnology, Guru Ghasidas Vishwavidyalaya, Bilaspur, India
| | - Atul Kumar Tiwari
- Department of Zoology, Bhanwar Singh Porte Government Science College, Pendra, India
| | - Rajat Pratap Singh
- Department of Biotechnology, Guru Ghasidas Vishwavidyalaya, Bilaspur, India
| | - Mrigendra Kumar Dwivedi
- Department of Biochemistry, Government Nagarjuna Post Graduate College of Science, Raipur, India
| | - Vikas Chandra
- Department of Biotechnology, Guru Ghasidas Vishwavidyalaya, Bilaspur, India
| | | | - Dhananjay Shukla
- Department of Biotechnology, Guru Ghasidas Vishwavidyalaya, Bilaspur, India
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Science Mapping of the Global Knowledge Base on Management, Leadership, and Administration Related to COVID-19 for Promoting the Sustainability of Scientific Research. SUSTAINABILITY 2021. [DOI: 10.3390/su13179631] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/05/2023]
Abstract
The pandemic caused by the COVID-19 virus has resulted in inevitable radical changes across almost all areas of daily life, with the pandemic having revealed perhaps the greatest crisis humanity has faced in modern history. This study aims to provide thematic and methodological recommendations for future sustainable research programs through a bibliometric analysis of publications focused on management, leadership, and administration related to COVID-19. The data for the study were obtained from the Web of Science Core Collection (WoSCC) bibliographic database and then analyzed according to thematic content analysis and bibliometric methodology. The study’s units of analysis include countries, journals, keywords, research models, sample/study group, and time to publication. VOSviewer software and visualization maps were used to report the findings obtained from the analyzed data. When the study’s results are evaluated regarding the number of related publications and total citations, it can be revealed that Anglo-American-, Chinese-, and European-centered dominance continues in COVID-19-related studies. The vast majority of publications on this subject area are concentrated in the field of health. In addition, the study’s findings revealed that the examined articles were generally published in journals considered as prestigious, have high impact factors, are published in the English language, and with articles published in a short time after a much-reduced editorial/review and publishing process. Unlike previous bibliometric reviews, this research comprehensively analyzed the management-, leadership-, and administration-oriented publications related to COVID-19 with a holistic approach, providing essential findings and recommendations for future sustainable thematic research opportunities.
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Towards a GDPR-Compliant Blockchain-Based COVID Vaccination Passport. APPLIED SCIENCES-BASEL 2021. [DOI: 10.3390/app11136132] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/19/2023]
Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic has shaken the world and limited work/personal life activities. Besides the loss of human lives and agony faced by humankind, the pandemic has badly hit different sectors economically, including the travel industry. Special arrangements, including COVID test before departure and on arrival, and voluntary quarantine, were enforced to limit the risk of transmission. However, the hope for returning to a normal (pre-COVID) routine relies on the success of the current COVID vaccination drives administered by different countries. To open for tourism and other necessary travel, a need is realized for a universally accessible proof of COVID vaccination, allowing travelers to cross the borders without any hindrance. This paper presents an architectural framework for a GDPR-compliant blockchain-based COVID vaccination passport (VacciFi), whilst considering the relevant developments, especially in the European Union region.
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