Healthcare resource utilization and costs of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis patients with advanced liver disease in Italy

Costs associated with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis disease progression in Medicare patients: a retrospective cohort study

Aim: Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), or metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH), is a severe form of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) or metabolic dysfunction-associated liver disease (MASLD), that may progress to advanced liver disease. Costs associated with progression are not well characterized. This study sought to quantify costs and healthcare resource utilization (HRU) associated with NASH progression. Methods: Patients were included if diagnosed with NASH (ICD-10: K75.81) in 100% Medicare claims data (2015-2021) who were ≥66 years at index (diagnosis), continuously enrolled in Parts A, B and D for ≥12 months prior to and 6 months following index (unless death) and who had no evidence of other causes of liver disease. Patient-time was categorized into five severity states: non-cirrhotic NASH, compensated cirrhosis (CC), decompensated cirrhosis (DCC), hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and liver transplant (LT). Annualized HRU and costs were calculated during the study periods overall and stratified by occurrence and timing of progression. Results: In 14,806 unique patients (n = 12,990 non-cirrhotic NASH; 1899 CC; 997 DCC; 209 HCC; 140 LT), mean age and follow-up were 72.2 and 2.8 years, respectively. Average annualized costs increased from baseline following diagnosis, generally scaling with severity: $16,231 to $27,044; $25,122 to $57,705; $40,613 to $181,036; $36,549 to $165,121 and $35,626 to $108,918 in NASH; CC; DCC; HCC; and LT; respectively. Non-cirrhotic NASH and CC patients with progression had higher follow-up spending (1.6x for NASH; 1.7x for CC) than non-progressors (both p < 0.001), 2.8 and 6.1-times higher odds of an inpatient stay and 2.6 and 3.6-times higher odds to be in the top 20% of spenders, respectively, relative to non-progressors (both p < 0.001). Patients progressing within a year had costs 1.4, 1.6, 1.7 and 2.2-times more than year 2, 3, 4 and 5 progressors' costs, respectively, for non-cirrhotic NASH and 1.3, 1.8, 2.0 and 2.2-times more than year 2, 3, 4 and 5 progressors' costs, respectively, for CC. Conclusion: NASH progression is associated with high costs that increase in more severe disease states. Slower progression is associated with lower costs, suggesting a potential benefit of therapies that may delay or prevent progression.

Screening for advanced liver disease incorporating the use of transitional elastography in primary care

OBJECTIVES

To describe the proportion of patients with liver fibrosis in at-risk populations in primary care (PC). To know the agreement between FIB-4 and transitional elastography (TE), interobserver agreement between PC and hospital care (HC) in TE, and associated risk Factors (RF).

METHODS

Observational, descriptive, cross-sectional study in ≥16 years of age with RF for chronic liver disease. Sex and age, RF (alteration of liver tests [LT], metabolic syndrome, diabetes, obesity, alcohol consumption, hepatic steatosis), and FIB-4, controlled attenuation parameter and TE in PC and in HC, were collected. According to a consensus algorithm, vibration-controlled TE was performed in PC in patients with FIB-4≥1,3, and those with measurement ≥8kPa were referred to HC.

RESULTS

326 patients were studied. 71% were not referred to HC, due to liver stiffness <8kPa. 83 of the 95 derivations did TE in HC. 45 (54%) had TE ≥8, and 25 (30%) ≥12. The proportion of patients with stiffness ≥8kPa was 13,8% (45/326) and ≥12kPa, 7,6% (25/326). The predictive values of the FIB-4 were low. The interobserver correlation coefficient between TE in PC and HC was 0,433. Variables associated with TE ≥8 in PC: LT alteration, diabetes and steatosis. With TE ≥12: LT alteration, diabetes and obesity.

PREDICTOR VARIABLES

LT alteration and obesity.

CONCLUSIONS

The study supports the sequential performance of serum indices and TE as a screening for fibrosis in the at-risk population in PC, which allows a reduction in the percentage of patients referred to AH, and a better stratification of risk patients.

Australians with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease have a twofold increase in the incidence of cancer

Background and Aim

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is associated with an increased risk of extrahepatic morbidity. We compared the incidence of cancers in adults admitted to Queensland hospitals with MASLD with that for the Queensland population and examined the association between cirrhosis and type 2 diabetes and the development of extrahepatic cancers.

Methods

In this retrospective study, we identified all cancers (Queensland Cancer Registry) after the first hospitalization with MASLD during Jul-2007 to Dec-2019, estimated age-standardized incidence (ASI) of cancers, and compared that with the ASI in the Queensland population (incidence rate ratios [IRR]). Among the MASLD cohort, we examined the association between diabetes and cancer risk (Cox regression). Median follow-up was 3.8 years (54 204 person-years).

Results

Totally 1104 new cancers were diagnosed in 1018 patients (8.9% of 9771 non-cirrhotic and 1712 adults with cirrhosis). The ASI (all cancers) of 1668.2 per 100 000 person-years in men (95% CI 1523.7-1827.4) and 1284.0 per 100 000 person-years in women (95% CI 1169.6-1408.2) was 2-fold higher than that of the Queensland population (IRR = 1.94, 95% CI 1.75-2.16 and IRR = 1.99, 95% CI 1.78-2.22, respectively). Incidence of stomach cancer, unknown primary, and pancreas was 3- to 5-fold higher compared to the general population (all P < 0.001). In multivariable analysis of the MASLD cohort, older age (e.g. ≥70 years adjusted hazard ratio [adj-HR] = 4.59, 95% CI 3.61-5.83), male gender (adj-HR = 1.20, 95% CI 1.05-1.37), and cirrhosis (adj-HR = 1.37, 95% CI 1.11-1.70) were independently associated with extrahepatic cancer risk, while diabetes was not.

Conclusions

Our findings will help to raise awareness among clinicians about the importance of cancer vigilance in this patient group.

Global perspective on nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis - prevalence, clinical impact, economic implications and management strategies

BACKGROUND

The metabolically-based liver disease, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), is the most common cause of chronic liver disease currently affecting 38% of the world's adult population. NAFLD can be progressive leading to nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), liver transplantation, liver cancer, liver-related mortality and is associated with decreased quality of life from impaired physical functioning and increased healthcare resource utilisation. However, screening for NAFLD is cost-prohibitive but screening for high risk NAFLD (NAFLD with F2 fibrosis or greater) is imperative.

AIM

To review the global perspective on NAFLD and NASH METHODS: We retrieved articles from PubMed using search terms NAFLD, prevalence, clinical burden, economic burden and management strategies.

RESULTS

NAFLD/NASH shows geographical variation across the globe. Highest prevalence rates are in South America and the Middle East and North Africa; lowest prevalence is in Africa. NAFLD's economic impact is from direct and indirect medical costs and loss in worker productivity. It is projected that, over the next two decades, the total cost of NAFLD and diabetes will exceed $1.5 trillion (USD). Risk stratification algorithms identifying "high risk NAFLD" were made following non-invasive tests for NAFLD identification and fibrosis development. These algorithms should be used in primary care and endocrinology settings so timely and appropriate interventions (lifestyle and cardiometabolic risk factor management) can be initiated.

CONCLUSIONS

To reduce the burgeoning burden of NAFLD/NASH, management should include risk stratification algorithms for accurate identification of patients, linkage to appropriate settings, and initiation of effective treatment regimens.

High prevalence of diabetes among young First Nations Peoples with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease: a population-based study in Australia

BACKGROUND

Liver disease is an important contributor to the mortality gap between First Nations Peoples and non-Indigenous Australian adults. Despite a high burden of metabolic comorbidities among First Nations Peoples, data about the epidemiology of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) in this population is scarce.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of all adults hospitalized with MASLD or metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) with/without cirrhosis during 2007-2019 in the state of Queensland was performed. Patients were followed from the first admission with MASLD/MASH (identified based on validated algorithms) to decompensated cirrhosis and overall mortality. We explored differences according to Indigenous status using Multivariable Cox regression.

FINDINGS

439 First Nations Peoples and 7,547 non-Indigenous Australians were followed for a median of 4.6 years (interquartile range 2.7-7.2). Overall, women were overrepresented, but more so in the First Nations cohort (72.7% vs. 57.0%, p < 0.001). First Nations patients were younger, a higher proportion lived in remote and socioeconomic disadvantaged areas, and had higher comorbidity compared to non-Indigenous Australians (all p < 0.001). Diabetes, the most common comorbidity affecting both groups, was overrepresented in First Nations Peoples versus non-Indigenous Australians (43.5% vs. 30.8%, p < 0.001, respectively). Nineteen (4.3%) First Nations Peoples and 332 (4.4%) of non-Indigenous patients progressed to cirrhosis decompensation (9.0% [95%CI 4.5-17.7] vs. 7.7% [95%CI 6.6-8.9; p = 0.956] respectively within 10 years). In multivariable analysis, there was no association between Indigenous status and progression to decompensated cirrhosis (p = 0.759) and survival (p = 0.437).

CONCLUSIONS

This study provides the first population-based epidemiological data on MASLD in First Nations Australians. The high prevalence of diabetes (that is associated with advanced fibrosis and liver disease mortality) among young First Nations Peoples with MASLD raises concern about future risk of progressive liver disease in this patient population. These data highlight the importance of early identification of MASLD, and providing culturally appropriate intervention to reduce disease progression in parallel with the management of cardiometabolic comorbidities.

Risk of liver-related events in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) patients with fibrosis: A comparative analysis of various risk stratification criteria

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

International regulatory agencies recommend testing drug therapy for patients with noncirrhotic high-risk metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) because they are at risk of liver-related events (LRE). We aimed to compare the risk of LRE in patients with MASLD stratified for F2-F4 fibrosis and MASH.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

Overall, 1938 consecutive patients with biopsy-proven MASLD were enrolled. High-risk MASH was defined as MASH with F2-F4 fibrosis. LSM was measured by transient elastography. LRE were recorded during follow-up. Cox multivariate models were used to assess the association between high-risk MASH or F2-F4 fibrosis without MASH, of LSM (≥8 or ≥10 Kpa), and of AGILE 3+ with LRE. The diagnostic performance for the prediction of LRE was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curves. The observed 5-year actuarial rate of LRE was 0.4%, 0.2%, 5.1%, and 6.6% in patients with F0-F1 fibrosis without MASH, F0-F1 fibrosis with MASH, F2-F4 fibrosis without MASH, and high-risk MASH, respectively. At multivariate Cox regression analysis using F0-F1 fibrosis without MASH as a reference, both F2-F4 fibrosis without MASH [adjusted HR (aHR) 9.96] and high-risk MASH (aHR 10.14) were associated with LRE. In the 1074 patients with available LSM, LSM ≥ 10 kPa (aHR 6.31) or AGILE 3+ > 0.67 (aHR 27.45) independently predicted the development of LRE and had similarly acceptable 5-year area under the receiver operating characteristic to high-risk MASH and F2-F4 fibrosis (0.772, 0.818, 0.739, and 0.780, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of LRE is similar in patients with high-risk MASH and with F2-F4 fibrosis without MASH. The use of LSM ≥ 10 kPa or AGILE 3+ > 0.67 could be an accurate option to identify patients with MASLD worthy to be included in clinical trials.

Long-term follow-up of web-based and group-based behavioural intervention in NAFLD in a real world clinical setting

BACKGROUND

The long-term results of web-based behavioural intervention in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) have not been described in patients followed in specialised centres.

AIMS

To analyse the long-term effectiveness of web education compared with the results achieved by a group-based behavioural intervention in the same years 2012-2014.

METHODS

We followed 679 patients with NAFLD (web-based, n = 290; group-based, n = 389) for 5 years. Weight loss ≥10% was the primary outcome; secondary outcomes were attrition, changes in liver enzymes and in biomarkers of steatosis (Fatty liver Index) and fibrosis (Fibrosis-4 index).

RESULTS

The cohorts differed in age, education, working status and presence of diabetes. Attrition was higher in the web-based cohort (hazard ratio: 1.53; 95% CI: 1.24-1.88), but not different after adjustment for confounders. Among patients in active follow-up, 50% lost ≥5% of initial body weight and 19% lost ≥10%, without difference between cohorts. Alanine aminotransferase levels fell to within the normal range in 51% and 45% of web- and group-based cohorts, respectively. Fatty Liver Index declined progressively and, by year 5, it ruled out steatosis in 4.8%, whereas 24.9% were in the indeterminate range. Fibrosis-4 index increased in both cohorts, driven by age, but the prevalence of cases ruling-in advanced fibrosis remained very low (around 1%). Improvements in the class of both surrogate biomarkers were associated with ≥5% weight loss.

CONCLUSIONS

Although burdened by attrition, web-based behavioural intervention is feasible and effective in NAFLD, expanding the cohort involved in behavioural programs and reducing the risk of progressive disease.

The Involvement of Calcium Channels in the Endoplasmic Reticulum Membrane in Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Pathogenesis

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a prevalent and complex condition that affects millions of people globally. It occurs when fat, primarily triglycerides, accumulates in liver cells, leading to inflammation and damage. Calcium, an essential mineral, is involved in various physiological processes, including the regeneration process following liver injury. The endoplasmic reticulum (ER), a complex organelle involved in protein synthesis and lipid metabolism, regulates intracellular calcium levels. Dysregulation of this process can lead to calcium overload, oxidative stress, and cellular damage, all of which are hallmarks of NAFLD. Inositol 1,4,5-trisphosphate receptor (IP3R), a type of calcium ion channel, is found throughout the body, including the liver. IP3R is classified into three subtypes: IP3R1, IP3R2, and IP3R3, and it plays a critical role in regulating intracellular calcium levels. However, excessive calcium accumulation in the mitochondria due to an overload of calcium ions or increased IP3R activity can lead to NAFLD. Therefore, targeting calcium channels in the ER membrane may represent a promising therapeutic strategy for preventing and treating this increasingly prevalent metabolic disorder. It may help prevent mitochondrial calcium accumulation and reduce the risk of hepatic damage. This review article aimed to review the relationship between IP3R modulation and the pathogenicity of NAFLD, providing valuable insights to help researchers develop more effective treatments for the condition.

Diabetes mellitus and the progression of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease to decompensated cirrhosis: a retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To determine the incidence of decompensated cirrhosis and associated risk factors in people hospitalised with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) or non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) with or without cirrhosis.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study; analysis of linked Queensland Hospital Admitted Patient Data Collection, Queensland Registry of Births, Deaths and Marriages, and Queensland Cancer Register data.

SETTING, PARTICIPANTS

Queensland residents aged 20 years or older admitted to Queensland hospitals with NAFLD/NASH during 1 July 2009 - 31 December 2018.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Progression to decompensated cirrhosis (ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, or oesophageal variceal bleeding).

RESULTS

We included data for 8006 patients in our analysis (10 082 admissions), including 4632 women (58%) and 2514 people with diabetes mellitus (31%); median follow-up time was 4.6 years (interquartile range, 2.7-7.2 years). Three hundred and fifty-one people (4.4%) experienced decompensated cirrhosis during the follow-up period. Of the 6900 people without cirrhosis, 4.5% (95% confidence interval [CI], 3.6-5.7%) experienced decompensated cirrhosis within ten years (mean, 0.5% per year; 95% CI, 0.4-0.6% per year); risk of progression was greater for people aged 70 years or older (v 20-39 years: adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 4.7; 95% CI, 2.0-11.0) and those who had extrahepatic cancers (aHR, 5.0; 95% CI, 3.0-8.2), history of major cardiovascular events (aHR, 1.9; 95% CI, 1.2-3.1), or diabetes mellitus (aHR, 2.8; 95% CI, 2.0-3.9). Of the 1106 people with cirrhosis, 32.4% (95% CI, 27.2-38.3%) experienced decompensated cirrhosis within ten years (mean, 5.5% per year; 95% CI, 4.8-6.3% per year); risk of progression was greater for those with portal hypertension (aHR, 1.8; 95% CI, 1.3-2.7), extrahepatic cancer (aHR, 1.8; 95% CI, 1.1-2.9), or diabetes mellitus (aHR, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.1-2.0). Compared with people who had neither cirrhosis nor diabetes mellitus, the risk of decompensation was greater for people with cirrhosis (aHR, 10.7; 95% CI, 7.6-15.0) or cirrhosis and diabetes mellitus (aHR, 14.4; 95% CI, 10.1-20.6).

CONCLUSIONS

Given the greater risk of progression to cirrhosis decompensation in people with diabetes mellitus, a disorder common in people with NAFLD/NASH, identifying advanced fibrosis and providing appropriate treatment for averting disease progression is vital.

Oesophageal varices predict complications in compensated advanced non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

Background & Aims

We aimed to evaluate the impact of oesophageal varices (OV) and their evolution on the risk of complications of compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) caused by non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). We also assessed the accuracy of non-invasive scores for predicting the development of complications and for identifying patients at low risk of high-risk OV.

Methods

We performed a retrospective assessment of 629 patients with NAFLD-related cACLD who had baseline and follow-up oesophagogastroduodenoscopy and clinical follow-up to record decompensation, portal vein thrombosis (PVT), and hepatocellular carcinoma.

Results

Small and large OV were observed at baseline in 30 and 15.9% of patients, respectively. The 4-year incidence of OV from absence at baseline, and that of progression from small to large OV were 16.3 and 22.4%, respectively. Diabetes and a ≥5% increase in BMI were associated with OV progression. Multivariate Cox regression revealed that small (hazard ratio [HR] 2.24, 95% CI 1.47-3.41) and large (HR 3.86, 95% CI 2.34-6.39) OV were independently associated with decompensation. When considering OV status and trajectories, small (HR 2.65, 95% CI 1.39-5.05) and large (HR 4.90, 95% CI 2.49-9.63) OV at baseline and/or follow-up were independently associated with decompensation compared with the absence of OV at baseline and/or follow-up. The presence of either small (HR 2.8, 95% CI 1.16-6.74) or large (HR 5.29, 95% CI 1.96-14.2) OV was also independently associated with incident PVT.

Conclusion

In NAFLD-related cACLD, the presence, severity, and evolution of OV stratify the risk of developing decompensation and PVT.

Impact and implications

Portal hypertension is the main driver of liver decompensation in chronic liver diseases, and its non-invasive markers can help risk prediction. The presence, severity, and progression of oesophageal varices stratify the risk of complications of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. Easily obtainable laboratory values and liver stiffness measurement can identify patients at low risk for whom endoscopy may be withheld, and can also stratify the risk of liver-related complications.

Healthcare and socioeconomic costs of NAFLD: A global framework to navigate the uncertainties

Left unaddressed, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) will continue to have substantial health, economic and social implications. To address the challenge, a paradigm shift is needed in the way NAFLD is conceptualised. Concerted, collaborative action across medical specialities, industry sectors and governments will be vital in tackling this public health threat. To drive this change, in this review, we present data on the current global healthcare and socioeconomic costs of NAFLD and highlight priority actions. The estimated healthcare costs of patients with NAFLD are nearly twice as high as their age-matched counterparts without the disease and are highest in those with advanced fibrosis and end-stage liver disease. NAFLD is accountable for the highest increase in DALYs (disability-adjusted life years) among all liver diseases globally. NAFLD and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH)-specific drug therapies are not yet available and there is considerable uncertainty regarding cost, optimal length of treatment, and their impact on liver-related outcomes and mortality. Among the currently available bariatric procedures, sleeve gastrectomy is reported to be the most cost-effective for NASH resolution. Gastric bypass remains very expensive, while data on bariatric endoscopy are limited. Lastly, we propose a global NAFLD/NASH investment framework to guide the development of achievable yet ambitious country-specific targets and strategic actions to optimise resource allocation and reduce the prevalence of NAFLD and NASH. Its focus on high-level inputs will be critical to enabling a political and financial environment that supports clinical-level implementation of NAFLD prevention, treatment and care efforts, across all settings.

Comparison of cardiovascular mortality between MAFLD and NAFLD: A cohort study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

A new diagnostic criterion of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) has been proposed. However, only few studies have shown that MAFLD predicts cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality better than non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Therefore, a cohort study was conducted to assess this relationship.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Health examination data from health care centers in South Korea were assessed after excluding participants with missing covariates and cancer history (n = 701,664). Liver ultrasonography reports, laboratory and anthropometric data were extracted. Diagnoses of NAFLD and MAFLD were performed according to standard definitions. Participants were categorized based on the presence of NAFLD and MAFLD. In addition, participants were classified into five categories: no fatty liver disease (no FLD), NAFLD-only, MAFLD-only, both FLDs, and alcoholic FLD (AFLD) and non-MAFLD. Multivariable regression modeling was performed. The median follow-up duration was 8.77 years, and 52.56% of participants were men. After stratifying the cohort into no-MAFLD and MAFLD groups, MAFLD was associated with increased CVD mortality (adjusted HR 1.14, 95% CI 1.02-1.28). When participants were divided into no-NAFLD and NAFLD groups, there was a non-significant trend towards an increase in CVD mortality in NAFLD group (adjusted HR 1.07, 95% CI 0.95-1.21). When participants were divided into five categories, MAFLD-only group showed increased CVD mortality (adjusted HR 1.35, 95% CI 1.07-1.70) while NAFLD-only group showed no significant association with CVD mortality (adjusted HR 0.67, 95% CI 0.38-1.19).

CONCLUSIONS

In conclusion, MAFLD is associated with increased CVD mortality in a relatively young Korean population.

Economic Burden and Patient-Reported Outcomes of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

In addition to adverse clinical outcomes such as liver-related morbidity and mortality, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is associated with a substantial public health and economic burden and could also potentially impair health-related quality of life and other patient-reported outcomes. The disease also affects multiple aspects of patients' quality of life which are the most pronounced in physical health-related and fatigue domains as well as work productivity, and get more severe in patients with advanced liver disease or with non-hepatic comorbidities. The economic burden of NAFLD is substantial and is increasing, with the highest costs in those with advanced disease.

Geographical similarity and differences in the burden and genetic predisposition of NAFLD

NAFLD has become a major public health problem for more than 2 decades with a growing prevalence in parallel with the epidemic of obesity and type 2 diabetes (T2D). The disease burden of NAFLD differs across geographical regions and ethnicities. Variations in prevalence of metabolic diseases, extent of urban-rural divide, dietary habits, lifestyles, and the prevalence of NAFLD risk and protective alleles can contribute to such differences. The rise in NAFLD has led to a remarkable increase in the number of cases of cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, hepatic decompensation, and liver-related mortality related to NAFLD. Moreover, NAFLD is associated with multiple extrahepatic manifestations. Most of them are risk factors for the progression of liver fibrosis and thus worsen the prognosis of NAFLD. All these comorbidities and complications affect the quality of life in subjects with NAFLD. Given the huge and growing size of the population with NAFLD, it is expected that patients, healthcare systems, and the economy will suffer from the ongoing burden related to NAFLD. In this review, we examine the disease burden of NAFLD across geographical areas and ethnicities, together with the distribution of some well-known genetic variants for NAFLD. We also describe some special populations including patients with T2D, lean patients, the pediatric population, and patients with concomitant liver diseases. We discuss extrahepatic outcomes, patient-reported outcomes, and economic burden related to NAFLD.

Stratification Of LIver Disease (SOLID): protocol for a prospective observational cohort study to determine the optimum biomarker strategies for the detection of advanced liver disease at the primary-secondary care interface

INTRODUCTION

Undiagnosed fatty liver disease is prevalent in the community, due to high rates of harmful alcohol consumption and/or obesity. Fatty liver disease can progress to cirrhosis and its complications. Early identification of liver disease and treatment may prevent progression to cirrhosis. Biomarkers including FIB-4, enhanced liver fibrosis (ELF), PRO-C3 and vibration controlled transient elastography (VCTE) can stage liver fibrosis, but it is not known how well they perform in a primary care population. Moreover, no assessment of long-term prognostic ability of these biomarkers has been conducted in primary care. We aim to evaluate the performance of fibrosis biomarkers in primary care to develop a pathway to detect advanced fibrosis.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

This prospective, observational cohort study will recruit 3000 individuals with fatty liver disease risk factors (obesity, type 2 diabetes or hazardous alcohol consumption) at their primary care 'annual chronic disease review'. Participants will have a 'liver health check'. Two pathways will be evaluated: (1) all have FIB-4, ELF and VCTE performed, and (2) patients have an initial assessment with FIB-4 and ELF, followed by VCTE in only those with increased FIB-4 and/or ELF. Individuals with suspected significant/advanced liver fibrosis (liver stiffness measurement>8 kPa), will be reviewed in secondary care to confirm their fibrosis stage and institute treatment. The performance of FIB-4, ELF, PRO-C3, VCTE and novel biomarkers alone or in combination for advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis will be evaluated. Participants will be followed longitudinally via their electronic health records to assess long-term clinical outcomes.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

Ethical approval was obtained from the London-Chelsea Research Ethics Committee (22/PR/0535; 27 June 2022). Recruitment began on 31 October 2022. Outcomes of this study will be published in peer-reviewed journals and presented at scientific meetings. A lay summary of the results will be available for study participants and will be disseminated widely by LIVErNORTH.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and non-liver comorbidities

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a chronic liver disease characterized by excess fat accumulation in the liver. It is closely associated with metabolic syndrome, and patients with NAFLD often have comorbidities such as obesity, type 2 diabetes mellitus, and dyslipidemia. In addition to liver-related complications, NAFLD has been associated with a range of non-liver comorbidities, including cardiovascular disease, chronic kidney disease, and sleep apnea. Cardiovascular disease is the most common cause of mortality in patients with NAFLD, and patients with NAFLD have a higher risk of developing cardiovascular disease than the general population. Chronic kidney disease is also more common in patients with NAFLD, and the severity of NAFLD is associated with a higher risk of developing chronic kidney disease. Sleep apnea, a disorder characterized by breathing interruptions during sleep, is also more common in patients with NAFLD and is associated with the severity of NAFLD. The presence of non-liver comorbidities in patients with NAFLD has important implications for the management of this disease. Treatment of comorbidities such as obesity, type 2 diabetes mellitus, and dyslipidemia may improve liver-related outcomes in patients with NAFLD. Moreover, treatment of non-liver comorbidities may also improve overall health outcomes in patients with NAFLD. Therefore, clinicians should be aware of the potential for non-liver comorbidities in patients with NAFLD and should consider the management of these comorbidities as part of the overall management of this disease.

Patients with NAFLD exhibit more advanced fibrosis in liver biopsy than patients with other chronic liver diseases

INTRODUCTION

Despite extremely high and seemingly rising prevalence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), awareness for this health condition is still low. In the present study we analyzed, if this is reflected in clinical routine for advanced diagnostic measures.

METHODS

Retrospective data of 93 patients with histologically determined fibrosis stage and confirmed etiology was analyzed. Patients were grouped according to chronic liver disease alone (n=40), concomitant chronic liver disease and NAFLD (n=29), or NAFLD alone (n=24). Fibrosis stage and presence of cirrhosis were main outcome measures.

RESULTS

Patients with NAFLD were significantly older and had significantly higher body mass index and CAP-values than patients with chronic liver disease. Significantly higher fibrosis stages were observed in patients with NAFLD than in those with chronic liver disease alone (p=0.003). Presence of cirrhosis was significantly higher in patients with NAFLD than in patients with chronic liver disease (p=0.01). This was not associated with a significantly different age distribution over fibrosis stages between chronic liver disease and NAFLD. Undergoing liver biopsy 10 years earlier could have possibly prevented progression to cirrhosis in up to 7 patients with NAFLD. This could have potentially saved 35,000 € yearly health care resources.

CONCLUSION

These findings suggest that the time course for development of liver fibrosis and cirrhosis is not fundamentally different between patients with NAFLD or with other chronic liver diseases. Higher rates of cirrhosis observed in patients with NAFLD could potentially be ameliorated by earlier diagnostic work-up and improved monitoring.

Effect of pharmacological interventions and placebo on liver Histology in nonalcoholic steatohepatitis: A network meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The aims of this study were to quantify the histological improvement and its risk factors in patients with NASH enrolled in the placebo arms of randomized controlled trials (RCTs), and to indirectly compare the effect of several investigational drugs for NASH on validated histological outcomes.

DATA SYNTHESIS

A comprehensive search was conducted to detect phase 2 and 3 RCTs comparing pharmacological interventions in patients with NASH. According to Food and Drug Administration (FDA) recommendations, primary outcomes included: 1) NASH resolution without worsening of fibrosis; 2) At least 1-point reduction in fibrosis without worsening of NASH. Meta-analysis and meta-regressions were conducted on placebo arms, while network meta-analysis was performed on intervention arms. A total of 15 RCTs met the eligibility criteria. The meta-analysis on placebo arms showed a pooled estimate rate of 17% (95%C.I. 12%-23%;I² = 86%; p < 0.01) for NASH resolution without worsening of fibrosis and of 21% (95%C.I. 13%-31%;I² = 84%; p < 0.01) for ≥1stage improvement of fibrosis without worsening of NASH. Phase 3 (vs Phase 2)RCTs, older age and higher AST levels were significantly associated with progression of liver disease by univariate meta-regression. At network meta-analysis, Semaglutide (P-score 0.906), Pioglitazione alone (score 0.890) and plus Vitamin E (0.826) had the highest probability of being ranked the most effective intervention for NASH resolution without worsening of fibrosis, while Aldafermin (0.776), Lanifibranor (0.773) and Obeticholic acid (0.771) had the highest probability to achieve ≥1 stage of fibrosis improvement without worsening of NASH.

CONCLUSION

This study confirms the heterogeneity of histological progression of untreated patients with NASH and provides evidence to stratify patients according to identified risk factors in future RCTs of combination therapies. PROSPERO CRD42021287205.

Economic Burden of Non-Alcoholic Steatohepatitis (NASH) Among Diabetic Population in Italy: Analysis and Perspectives

Background

Aim of our study is to evaluate the economic impact of NASH among diabetic population in Italy and potential benefits of treatments that can slow the disease progression.

Methods

A Markov model was conducted from the Italian National Healthcare System perspective reporting results at 3, 5, 10 and 15 years. The model included NASH and T2DM patients with all stages of fibrosis (F0-F3), compensated cirrhosis (CC), decompensated cirrhosis (DCC), hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), liver transplant (LT), post-LT and death. A 1-year model cycle length was considered, with each patient passing through the stages and exiting the model when reached one of mortality states. Transition probabilities and annual cost related to health states were derived from published literature. Moreover, the model made it possible to develop a scenario analysis to simulate the impact of treatments capable of slowing the disease progression in phases F0-F4 (CC).

Results

The results highlighted an economic burden of NASH in T2DM patients of approximately € 1.4 billion, € 3.1 billion, and € 9.4 billion, respectively, after 3, 5 and 10 years, reaching about € 17.3 billion after 15 years. The slowing down of the progression in the early stages of the disease (fibrosis F0-CC) has led to significant savings corresponding to € 2.3 billion at 15 years. These savings were generated by the reduction of the patients in the advanced stages of the disease, which is linked to a reduction in deaths, equal to 92,208 deaths avoided over a 15-year time horizon.

Conclusion

Patients with NASH and T2DM reported an important burden in Italy. It is important to investigate the potential clinical and economic benefits of antidiabetic drugs that have been shown to be effective in preventing the transition to advanced disease, simultaneously acting on the therapeutic goals of diabetic disease.

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease in adults 2021: A clinical practice guideline of the Italian Association for the Study of the Liver (AISF), the Italian Society of Diabetology (SID) and the Italian Society of Obesity (SIO)

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a common and emerging liver disease in adults, paralleling the epidemic of obesity and diabetes and leading to worrisome events (hepatocellular carcinoma and end-stage liver disease). In the past years, mounting evidence added insights about epidemiology, natural history, diagnosis and lifestyle-based or drug treatment of NAFLD. In this rapidly evolving scenario, members of the Associazione Italiana per lo Studio del Fegato, the Società Italiana di Diabetologia and the Società Italiana dell'Obesità reviewed current knowledge on NAFLD. The quality of the published evidence is graded, and practical recommendations are made following the rules and the methodology suggested in Italy by the Centro Nazionale per l'Eccellenza delle cure and Istituto Superiore di Sanità. Whenever possible, recommendations are placed within the context the Italian Healthcare system, with reference to specific experience and local diagnostic and management resources.Level of evidence Level of evidence of recommendations for each PICO question were reported according to available evidence.

The Association Between Metabolic Syndrome and Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Diagnosis Varies by Race

Objectives: This study investigated how the association between metabolic syndrome (MetS) and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) diagnosis varies between non-Hispanic African American and white patients. Methods: A retrospective cohort study was performed using electronic medical records from an integrated health care system (2010-2018). Adults with records for all MetS measurements (body mass index, lipids, blood pressure, and blood glucose) in 2011, who did not have a NAFLD diagnosis before their last MetS measurement, were included. Results: The study cohort consisted of 139,336 patients (age 56.1 ± 15.2 years, 57.9% female, 79.4% non-Hispanic white). The rate of NAFLD diagnosis was higher in MetS patients compared with non-MetS patients [adjusted hazards ratio (AHR) = 1.99, 95% CI = 1.91-2.09] with a significant interaction by race (AHR = 2.05, 95% CI = 1.95-2.15 in non-Hispanic whites vs. AHR = 1.76, 95% CI = 1.58-1.96 non-Hispanic African Americans, P = 0.017). Secondary analyses revealed that the relative NAFLD diagnosis rate was higher in non-Hispanic whites with MetS compared with non-Hispanic African Americans with MetS among females and patients 18-39 years of age and 40-59 years, but not among males and those ≥60 years of age. Conclusions: Non-Hispanic white patients with MetS, particularly females and those <60 years of age, may be at increased risk of NAFLD compared with non-Hispanic African American MetS patients and may benefit from extra attention regarding NAFLD screening.

Distinctive features of hepatocellular carcinoma in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is on the rise globally, causing more than 800 thousand deaths annually, with an estimated annual percent change of 0.51 for causes other than viral hepatitis, including nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). The incidence of NAFLD-related HCC is peaking in several Far East regions (6-12% vs. 2-3% in Western Europe and USA), HCC risk being mainly driven by the epidemic of obesity and diabetes, both favored by an unhealthy diet and sedentary lifestyle. Under inherited susceptibility outlined by such genetic markers as variants in PNPLA3, TM6SF2 and MBOAT7, neoplastic transformation of NAFLD is driven by sublethal lipotoxicity consequent to hepatocyte lipid overload, whereas a myriad of factors spanning from subverted circadian homeostasis and gut dysbiosis to alcohol abuse and tobacco may interact as risk modifiers. At variance with viral HCC, NAFLD-HCC shows a frequent association with cardiovascular co-morbidities, absence of cirrhosis in up to half of patients and an association with persistently normal transaminase values. All these misleading features of NAFLD-related HCC account for the low uptake of surveillance and linkage to curative treatments that has been reported in patients with this cancer, a downside that could be attenuated when scores for cost-effective risk stratification become available.

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease in adults 2021: A clinical practice guideline of the Italian Association for the Study of the Liver (AISF), the Italian Society of Diabetology (SID) and the Italian Society of Obesity (SIO)

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a common and emerging liver disease in adults, paralleling the epidemic of obesity and diabetes, and leading to worrisome events (hepatocellular carcinoma and end-stage liver disease). In the last years, mounting evidence added insights about epidemiology, natural history, diagnosis and lifestyle-based or drug treatment of NAFLD. In this rapidly evolving scenario, members of the Associazione Italiana per lo Studio del Fegato (AISF), the Società Italiana di Diabetologia (SID) and the Società Italiana dell'Obesità (SIO) reviewed current knowledge on NAFLD. The quality of the published evidence is graded, and practical recommendations are made following the rules and the methodology suggested in Italy by the Centro Nazionale per l'Eccellenza delle cure (CNEC) and Istituto Superiore di Sanità (ISS). Whenever possible, recommendations are placed within the context the Italian Healthcare system, with reference to specific experience and local diagnostic and management resources. Level of evidence: Level of evidence of recommendations for each PICO question were reported according to available evidence.

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease in adults 2021: A clinical practice guideline of the Italian Association for the Study of the Liver (AISF), the Italian Society of Diabetology (SID) and the Italian Society of Obesity (SIO)

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a common and emerging liver disease in adults, paralleling the epidemic of obesity and diabetes, and leading to worrisome events (hepatocellular carcinoma and end-stage liver disease). In the last years, mounting evidence added insights about epidemiology, natural history, diagnosis and lifestyle-based or drug treatment of NAFLD. In this rapidly evolving scenario, members of the Associazione Italiana per lo Studio del Fegato (AISF), the Società Italiana di Diabetologia (SID) and the Società Italiana dell'Obesità (SIO) reviewed current knowledge on NAFLD. The quality of the published evidence is graded, and practical recommendations are made following the rules and the methodology suggested in Italy by the Centro Nazionale per l'Eccellenza delle cure (CNEC) and Istituto Superiore di Sanità (ISS). Whenever possible, recommendations are placed within the context the Italian Healthcare system, with reference to specific experience and local diagnostic and management resources. Level of evidence: Level of evidence of recommendations for each PICO question were reported according to available evidence.

Real-world Comorbidity Burden, Health Care Utilization, and Costs of Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis Patients With Advanced Liver Diseases

GOALS

This study evaluates the real-world comorbidity burden, health care resource utilization (HRU), and costs among nonalcoholic fatty liver disease/nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NAFLD/NASH) patients with advanced liver diseases [compensated cirrhosis (CC), decompensated cirrhosis (DCC), liver transplantation (LT), hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC)].

BACKGROUND

NAFLD/NASH is a leading cause of liver diseases.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Adult NAFLD/NASH patients were identified retrospectively from MarketScan Commercial claims (2006-2016). Following initial NAFLD/NASH diagnosis, advanced liver diseases were identified using the first diagnosis as their index date. Mean annual all-cause HRU and costs (2016 USD) were reported. Adjusted costs were estimated through generalized linear models. Cumulative costs were illustrated for patient subsets with variable follow-up for each stage.

RESULTS

Within the database, 485,774 NAFLD/NASH patients met eligibility criteria. Of these, 93.4% (453,564) were NAFLD/NASH patients without advanced liver diseases, 1.6% (7665) with CC, 3.3% (15,833) with DCC, 0.1% (696) with LT, and 0.1% (428) with HCC. Comorbidity burden was high and increased as patients progressed through liver disease severity stages. Compared with NAFLD/NASH without advanced liver diseases (adjusted costs: $23,860), the annual cost of CC, DCC, LT, and HCC were 1.22, 5.64, 8.27, and 4.09 times higher [adjusted costs: $29,078, $134,448, $197,392, and $97,563 (P<0.0001)]. Inpatient admissions significantly drove increasing HRU.

CONCLUSION

Study findings suggest the need for early identification and effective management of NAFLD/NASH patients to minimize comorbidity burden, HRU, and costs in the privately insured US population.

Uncovering undiagnosed liver disease: prevalence and opportunity for intervention in a population attending colonoscopy

OBJECTIVE

Due to high rates of obesity and alcohol consumption, the prevalence of fatty liver disease is increasing. There is no widely adopted approach to proactively screen for liver disease in the community. We aimed to assess the burden of potentially undiagnosed liver disease in individuals attending for colonoscopy to develop a pathway to identify and manage individuals with undiagnosed liver disease.

DESIGN

The OSCAR Study was a cross-sectional study recruiting patients attending for colonoscopy. Patients' metabolic and liver risk factors were measured. The prevalence of undiagnosed significant fatty liver disease was measured using the Fatty Liver Index (FLI) and Fibrosis-4 score (FIB-4).

RESULTS

1429 patients (mean age 59±14 years; 48.8% men) were recruited. 73.3% were overweight/obese, 12.7% had diabetes and 17.9% had metabolic syndrome. 19% were consuming more than recommenced alcohol levels (<14 units/week) and 41% had an AUDIT-C score ≥5. After excluding those with known liver disease, 43.2% of the cohort had a high FLI (high likelihood of fatty liver). 5.3% of these had a high FIB-4 score (>2.67, high probability of advanced fibrosis) and 90% of these were previously undiagnosed. 818 patients had a predicted 10-year cardiovascular event risk of ≥10%, however only 377 (46.1%) were on statin therapy.

CONCLUSION

High levels of obesity, metabolic dysfunction and undiagnosed fatty liver disease were found in individuals attending for colonoscopy. Clinical encounters in the endoscopy unit may represent an opportunity to risk assess for liver and metabolic disease and provide an environment to develop targeted interventions.

Healthcare resource utilization and costs among nonalcoholic fatty liver disease patients in Germany

Background

Patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) are associated with progression to advanced liver diseases that include compensated cirrhosis, decompensated cirrhosis, liver transplantation, and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study characterized comorbidities, healthcare resource utilization (HRU), and associated costs among NAFLD patients in Germany.

Methods

German healthcare claims data between 2011 and 2016 were analyzed retrospectively. Adult patients diagnosed with NAFLD and/or NASH were categorized as NAFLD, NAFLD non-progressors, compensated cirrhosis, decompensated cirrhosis, liver transplant, or HCC. Within each stage, annual all-cause HRU and costs were measured during the pre- and post-index periods.

Results

Among 4,580,434 patients in the database, proportion of NAFLD was 4.7% (n=215,655). Of them, 36.8% were non-progressors, 0.2% compensated cirrhosis, 9.6% decompensated cirrhosis, 0.0005% liver transplant, and 0.2% HCC. Comorbidity rates were significantly higher in compensated cirrhosis, decompensated cirrhosis, and HCC compared with non-progressors (52.07%, 56.46%, 57.58% vs. 27.49% for cardiovascular disease; 77.13%, 76.61%, 83.47% vs. 54.89% for hypertension; 47.20%, 53.81%, 52.89% vs. 35.21% for hyperlipidemia; 49.88%, 36.67%, 48.21% vs. 20.38% for type 2 diabetes mellitus). The mean annual numbers of post-index outpatient visits and inpatient hospitalizations were significantly higher in patients with advanced liver diseases versus non-progressors. Mean annual costs were significantly higher among patients with advanced liver diseases (compensated cirrhosis, €10,291; decompensated cirrhosis, €22,561; liver transplant, €34,089; HCC, €35,910) than non-progressors (€3,818, P<0.001, except liver transplant cohort). This trend remained consistent after adjusting for baseline demographics and comorbidities.

Conclusions

NAFLD patients in Germany are grossly underdiagnosed and exert substantial healthcare resource use and economic burden, particularly those with advanced liver diseases. Optimal strategies for early identification and management are needed to prevent disease progression and limit the rising costs.

Direct medical costs of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease in Catalonia at the hospital level: a retrospective multicenter study

Background: The prevalence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is increasing worldwide, which is expected to correlate with significant medical and social costs. This study aimed to evaluate the clinical and economic burden of NAFLD in Catalonia at the hospital level.Methods: Records of all patients diagnosed with NAFLD and treated in Catalan hospitals between the year 2007 and 2018 were extracted from a patient-level healthcare database.Results: Admission files of 24,172 individual patients were obtained. High comorbidity rates were found across age groups, with a mean Charlson Comorbidity Index of 5.1. In-hospital mortality rate increased over the study period, and was associated to a higher comorbidity rate. Disease complexity was increased in this patient group, which is associated with larger medical costs. The mean annual cost per patient was €4073, with a total annual direct medical cost of €27,370,827. The greatest portion of costs was attributed to surgical interventions (€14,429,336).Conclusions: The high level of comorbidity and disease complexity in this patient group versus the general population is expected to correlate with a more intensive use of medical resources and costs. This study provides novel data to inform resource allocation and disease management decisions at the regional level.

Disease severity predicts higher healthcare costs among hospitalized nonalcoholic fatty liver disease/nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NAFLD/NASH) patients in Spain

The rising prevalence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) presents many public health challenges, including a substantial impact on healthcare resource utilization and costs. There are important regional differences in the burden of NAFLD/NASH, and Spain-specific data are lacking. This retrospective, observational study examined the impact of liver disease severity, comorbidities, and demographics on healthcare resource utilization and costs in Spain.NAFLD/NASH patients in the Spanish National Health System's Hospital Discharge Records Database (1/1/2006 to 4/30/2017) were categorized into disease severity cohorts as NAFLD/NASH overall, NAFLD/NASH non-progressors, compensated cirrhosis (CC), decompensated cirrhosis (DCC), liver transplant (LT), or hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Patients were followed from index date until the earliest of 6 months, disease progression, end of coverage, death, or end of study. Within each cohort, pre- and post-index healthcare resource utilization and costs per patient per month (PPPM) were calculated.A total of 8,205 patients (mean age 58.4; 54% male) were identified; 5,984 (72.9%) were non-progressors, 139 (1.7%) progressed to CC, 2,028 (24.7%) to DCC, 115 (1.4%) to LT, and 61 (0.7%) to HCC. Pre-index comorbidity burden was high across disease cohorts, and the frequency of comorbidities increased with disease severity. From pre- to post-index, average length of stay (LOS) increased significantly (23%-41%) as did all-cause PPPM costs (44%-46%), with significantly longer LOS and costs in patients with increasing disease severity.Progression of NAFLD/NASH was associated with significantly higher costs and longer LOS. A coordinated approach is needed to manage resources and costs in Spain.