Diagnostic accuracy of monitoring tests of fellow eyes in patients with unilateral neovascular age related macular degeneration (EDNA study)

Effect of Low-Dose Aspirin on the Course of Age-Related Macular Degeneration: A Secondary Analysis of the ASPREE Randomized Clinical Trial

Importance

Age-related macular degeneration (AMD) is the leading cause of irreversible vision loss in old age. There is no proven intervention to prevent AMD and, apart from lifestyle, nutritional, and supplement advice, there is no intervention to delay its progression.

Objective

To determine the impact of long-term low-dose aspirin on the incidence and progression of AMD.

Design, Setting and Participants

The Aspirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly-AMD (ASPREE-AMD) study was an Australian-based substudy of the ASPREE trial, a multicenter, international, randomized, double-masked, placebo-clinical trial investigating the efficacy of low-dose aspirin in prolonging disability-free survival among older individuals. Retinal photography was conducted at baseline from March 2010 to January 2015, then 3 and 5 years after randomization. AMD status was determined using color retinal images and treatment records. Australian participants in ASPREE aged 70 years and older without dementia, independence-limiting physical disability, cardiovascular disease, or chronic illness limiting 5-year survival and with gradable retinal images at baseline were included. Data were analyzed from December 2022 to December 2023.

Interventions

Aspirin (100 mg daily, enteric coated) or placebo.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Incidence of AMD and progression from early/intermediate to late AMD. Outcomes were analyzed by modified intention-to-treat analysis.

Results

A total of 4993 participants were enrolled in this substudy. Baseline characteristics were similar between groups. At the time of sponsor-determined trial termination, retinal follow-up data were available for 3208 participants, 3171 of whom were analyzed for AMD incidence and progression, with a median (IQR) age of 73.5 (71.5-76.4) years and even sex distribution (1619 [51%] female). Median (IQR) follow-up time was 3.1 (3.0-3.5) years. Cumulative AMD incidence was 195 of 1004 (19.4%) in the aspirin group and 187 of 979 (19.1%) in the placebo group (relative risk [RR], 1.02; 95% CI, 0.85-1.22; P = .86). Cumulative progression from early/intermediate AMD to late AMD was observed in 14 of 615 (2.3%) participants in the aspirin group and 18 of 573 (3.1%) in the placebo group (RR, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.36-1.44; P = .36).

Conclusions and Relevance

In this trial, low-dose aspirin administered for 3 years did not affect the incidence of AMD. The evidence was weaker for progression of AMD due to low number of progressed cases. Overall, these results do not support suggestion that low-dose daily aspirin prevents the development or progression of AMD.

Trial Registration

anzctr.org Identifier: ACTRN12613000755730.

Improved Structure and Function in Early-Detected Second-Eye Neovascular Age-Related Macular Degeneration: FASBAT/Early Detection of Neovascular Age-Related Macular Degeneration Report 1

PURPOSE

Visual acuity (VA) and structural biomarker assessment before and 24-months after early detection and routine treatment of second-eye involvement with neovascular age-related macular degeneration (nAMD) and additional comparison with the first eye affected.

DESIGN

Prospective, 22-center observational study of participants with unilateral nAMD in the Early Detection of Neovascular AMD (EDNA) study, coenrolled into the Observing Fibrosis, Macular Atrophy and Subretinal Highly Reflective Material, Before and After Intervention with anti-VEGF Treatment (FASBAT) study for an additional 2-year follow-up.

PARTICIPANTS

Older adults (> 50 years) with new onset nAMD in the first eye.

METHODS

Assessment of both eyes with OCT, color fundus photography (CFP), clinic-measured VA, and quality of life (QoL).

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Prevalence of atrophy, subretinal hyperreflective material (SHRM), intraretinal fluid (IRF), subretinal fluid (SRF), and changes in VA over the study duration in both the first and second eyes affected with nAMD. Composite QoL scores over time.

RESULTS

Of 431 participants recruited to the FASBAT study, the second eye converted to nAMD in 100 participants at a mean of 18.9 months. Visual acuity was 18 letters better at the time of early diagnosis in the second eye compared with conventional diagnosis in the first eye (72.9 vs. 55.6 letters). Visual acuity remained better in the second eye 24.9 months postconversion, at 69.5 letters compared with 59.7 letters at a similar matched time point in the first eye (18.9 months). A greater proportion of participants had vision > 70 letters in the second eye versus the first eye, 24.9 months postconversion (61 vs. 35). Prevalence of SHRM and IRF was lower in the second eye compared with the first eye 24.9 months postconversion. However, SRF prevalence was greater in the second eye 24.9 months postconversion. The development and progression of total area of atrophy appears similar in both eyes. Mean composite QoL scores increased over time, with a significant correlation between VA for the second eye only 24.9 months postconversion.

CONCLUSION

This study has shown that early detection of exudative AMD in the second eye is associated with reduced prevalence of SHRM and IRF and greater VA, which is significantly correlated with maintained QoL.

FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE(S)

Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found in the Footnotes and Disclosures at the end of this article.

Factors associated with loss to follow-up in patients with advanced age-related macular degeneration: A telehealth recall initiative

INTRODUCTION

Patients with advanced age-related macular degeneration (AMD) frequently experience loss to follow-up (LTFU), heightening the risk of vision loss from treatment delays. This study aimed to identify factors contributing to LTFU in patients with advanced AMD and assess the effectiveness of telephone-based outreach in reconnecting them with eye care.

METHODS

A custom reporting tool identified patients with advanced AMD who had not returned for eye care between 31 October 2021 and 1 November 2022. Potentially LTFU patients were enrolled in a telephone outreach programme conducted by a telehealth extender to encourage their return for care. Linear regression analysis identified factors associated with being LTFU and likelihood of accepting care post-outreach.

RESULTS

Out of 1269 patients with advanced AMD, 105 (8.3%) did not return for recommended eye care. Patients LTFU were generally older (89.2 ± 8.9 years vs. 87.2 ± 8.5 years, p = 0.02) and lived farther from the clinic (25 ± 43 miles vs. 17 ± 30 miles, p = 0.009). They also had a higher rate of advanced dry AMD (26.7% vs. 18.5%, p = 0.04) and experienced worse vision in both their better-seeing (0.683 logMAR vs. 0.566 logMAR, p = 0.03) and worse-seeing (1.388 logMAR vs. 1.235 logMAR, p = 0.04) eyes. Outreach by a telehealth extender reached 62 patients (59%), 43 through family members or healthcare proxies. Half of the cases where a proxy was contacted revealed that the patient in question had died. Among those contacted directly, one third expressed willingness to resume eye care (20 patients), with 11 scheduling appointments (55%). Despite only two patients returning for in-person eye care through the intervention, the LTFU rate halved to 4.4% by accounting for those patients who no longer needed eye care at the practice.

CONCLUSIONS

There is a substantial risk that older patients with advanced AMD will become LTFU. Targeted telephone outreach can provide a pathway for vulnerable patients to return to care.

The Double Layer Sign Is Highly Predictive of Progression to Exudation in Age-Related Macular Degeneration

PURPOSE

The presences of a double layer sign (DLS) and a shallow irregular retinal pigment epithelium (RPE) elevation (SIRE) were investigated using spectral domain-OCT (SD-OCT) imaging to determine their ability to predict progression to exudative macular neovascularization (eMNV) in the unaffected fellow eyes (study eye) of participants with age-related macular degeneration (AMD) with newly diagnosed unilateral eMNV.

DESIGN

Retrospective, reanalysis of SD-OCT scans of study eyes from the Early Detection of Neovascular AMD (EDNA) study with 3 years follow-up (FU).

PARTICIPANTS

The EDNA study repository of SD-OCT scans was assessed for inclusion. Cases with incomplete data sets, low quality scans, or exhibiting other pathology were excluded, which resulted in 459 eligible cases.

METHODS

Spectral domain-OCT volume scans of study eyes were graded for irregular elevation of the RPE (IE), with length, and height measurements made on the most affected B-scan. Eyes with heterogeneous reflectivity within the IE were classified as exhibiting the DLS. Eyes with DLS where the length of separation between RPE and Bruch's membrane was ≥ 1000 μm in length and < 100 μm in height were subclassified as SIRE.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Hazard of progression to eMNV for DLS and SIRE.

RESULTS

Of the 459 eyes, 268 had IE, of which 101 were DLS-like and 51 also fulfilled criteria for SIRE. Over the 3 years FU period, 104 (23%) eyes progressed to eMNV. After an FU of 18 months, a significantly higher proportion of study eyes (P < 0.001) with IE, DLS, and SIRE developed eMNV compared with those without these features (IE: 17% vs. no IE 6.3%; DLS: 23% vs. no DLS 9.9%; SIRE: 22% vs. no SIRE 11%). In the adjusted Cox regression models, a significantly greater hazard of progression (P < 0.001) was associated with the presence of IE (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 3.01; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.88-4.82), DLS (adjusted HR, 3.41; 95% CI, 2.26-5.14), or SIRE (adjusted HR, 2.83; 95% CI, 1.68-4.75).

CONCLUSION

The DLS is a highly sensitive predictor of progression to eMNV, and the use of SIRE does not improve predictability.

FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE(S)

Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found in the Footnotes and Disclosures at the end of this article.

Age-Related Macular Degeneration: A Review

Importance

Age-related macular degeneration (AMD) affects approximately 20 million people in the US and 196 million people worldwide. AMD is a leading cause of severe vision impairment in older people and is expected to affect approximately 288 million people worldwide by 2040.

Observations

Older age, genetic factors, and environmental factors, such as cigarette smoking, are associated with development of AMD. AMD occurs when extracellular deposits accumulate in the outer retina, ultimately leading to photoreceptor degeneration and loss of central vision. The late stages of AMD are characterized by outer retinal atrophy, termed geographic atrophy, or neovascularization associated with subretinal and/or intraretinal exudation, termed exudative neovascular AMD. The annual incidence of AMD ranges from 0.3 per 1000 in people who are aged 55 to 59 years to 36.7 per 1000 in people aged 90 years or older. The estimated heritability of late-stage AMD is approximately 71% (95% CI, 18%-88%). Long-term prospective cohort studies show a significantly higher AMD incidence in people who smoke more than 20 cigarettes per day compared with people who never smoked. AMD is diagnosed primarily with clinical examination that includes a special lens that focuses light of the slit lamp through the pupil. Exudative neovascular AMD is best identified using angiography and by optical coherence tomography. Individuals with AMD who take nutritional supplements consisting of high-dose vitamin C, vitamin E, carotenoids, and zinc have a 20% probability to progress to late-stage AMD at 5 years vs a 28% probability for those taking a placebo. In exudative neovascular AMD, 94.6% of patients receiving monthly intravitreal anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (anti-VEGF) injections experience less than a 15-letter visual acuity loss after 12 months compared with 62.2% receiving sham treatment.

Conclusions and Relevance

The prevalence of AMD is anticipated to increase worldwide to 288 million individuals by 2040. Intravitreally administered anti-VEGF treatment is first-line therapy for exudative neovascular AMD.

Telehealth improves follow-up and monitoring of age-related macular degeneration during the COVID-19 pandemic

PURPOSE

To prevent vision loss, it is important to monitor patients with age-related macular degeneration (AMD) for the development of choroidal neovascularization. The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic caused many patients to miss or delay visits. To offset those gaps in care, providers utilized telehealth (TH) to evaluate patients for symptoms of disease progression and provide health education on the importance of continuous monitoring.

METHODS

This study evaluates the impact of TH encounters on the rate of return for recommended in-person examinations for 1103 patients with non-neovascular (dry) AMD seen in an outpatient ophthalmology clinic in 2019 and due for return evaluation after the outbreak of COVID-19 in 2020. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify demographic, clinical, and sociomedical factors associated with TH utilization and in-person return.

RESULTS

422 patients (38%) utilized TH during the study period. Patients who completed a TH encounter were more likely to return for an in-person examination as compared with those who did not receive TH (OR: 1.8, CI 95%: 1.4-2.3, P < 0.001). Completing a TH visit was associated with the detection of new wet AMD (OR: 3.3, 95% CI 1.04-10.6, P = 0.043), as well as with an earlier return for those patients who were found to have disease progression (62 ± 54 days vs. 100 ± 57 days, P = 0.049).

CONCLUSION

Completing a TH visit increased the rate at which patients with dry AMD returned for recommended in-person eye examinations. In many cases, this permitted the earlier detection of wet AMD, which is linked with achieving better outcomes.

Assessing Change in Exudative Age-Related Macular Degeneration With Macular Thickness Maps as a Surrogate Strategy for Remote Patient Monitoring

PURPOSE

To determine if macular thickness maps (MTMs) are sufficient to guide management of eyes with exudative age-related macular degeneration (eAMD), we compared the ability to detect change using MTMs with the ability to detect change using the entire optical coherence tomography (OCT) scan in patients undergoing therapy.

DESIGN

Retrospective, comparative diagnostic analysis.

METHODS

Patients with eAMD were imaged using macula-centered 6 × 6-mm OCT scans (CIRRUS HD-OCT 5000; Zeiss). In each case, graders were asked to determine if there were changes that warranted a full clinical assessment after viewing 2 consecutive scans using one of 3 different imaging strategies: MTMs alone, individual foveal-centered B scans alone, or 5 macular B scans including the foveal-centered B scan. Graders were told the 2 scans were taken 2 weeks apart. The consensus ground truth was reached by the graders using a CIRRUS review station to evaluate all the information contained within the OCT scans.

RESULTS

A total of 53 eyes were included in this study with 1385 imaging sessions. The Fleiss kappa was highest when graders were given MTMs alone compared with the ground truth. When the averages of all 5 graders were compared with the ground truth, the MTMs alone showed the highest level of agreement (90.05%, SD 0.78%) followed by the central B scans (87.87%, SD 1.59%) and the 5-B scan method (86.512%, SD 0.64%).

CONCLUSION

MTMs alone provide sufficient information to easily identify recurrent exudation in patients with eAMD, and these maps may be all that is needed for remote monitoring.

Correlation of Aqueous, Vitreous, and Serum Protein Levels in Patients With Retinal Diseases

Purpose

To further establish aqueous humor (AH) as a clinically suitable source of protein biomarkers in retinal diseases by evaluating the correlation of a large panel of proteins between AH, vitreous humor (VH), and serum (SE).

Methods

We enrolled 60 subjects (eyes) with various non-infectious retinal diseases. AH, VH, and SE proteins were analyzed using the Olink Target 96 platform (1196 protein assays in total). We compared these three matrices in terms of quantification overlap, principal component analysis, and correlation.

Results

In the AH, VH, and SE samples, 841, 917, and 1133 proteins, respectively, were consistently quantified above the limit of detection in more than 30% of patients. AH and VH shared 812 of these proteins. AH and VH samples overlapped along principal component 1, but SE samples were distinct. We identified 490 proteins with significant (false discovery rate [FDR]-adjusted P < 0.05) and relevant correlations (correlation coefficient > 0.5) between AH and VH, compared to only 33 and 40 proteins for VH and SE and for AH and SE, respectively.

Conclusions

Due to a close correlation between protein concentrations in the AH and VH and a clear difference from the SE, AH has the potential to serve as a substitute for VH and may hold significance in identifying protein biomarkers and novel targets related to retinal diseases.

Translational Relevance

This study further supports AH as a clinically suitable source of protein biomarkers in retinal diseases. In addition, the identified AH and VH correlations can inform the selection of protein biomarker candidates in future translational research.

Optical coherence tomography imaging biomarkers associated with neovascular age-related macular degeneration: a systematic review

The aim of this systematic literature review is twofold, (1) detail the impact of retinal biomarkers identifiable via optical coherence tomography (OCT) on disease progression and response to treatment in neovascular age-related macular degeneration (nAMD) and (2) establish which biomarkers are currently identifiable by artificial intelligence (AI) models and the utilisation of this technology. Following the PRISMA guidelines, PubMed was searched for peer-reviewed publications dated between January 2016 and January 2022.

POPULATION

Patients diagnosed with nAMD with OCT imaging.

SETTINGS

Comparable settings to NHS hospitals.

STUDY DESIGNS

Randomised controlled trials, prospective/retrospective cohort studies and review articles. From 228 articles, 130 were full-text reviewed, 50 were removed for falling outside the scope of this review with 10 added from the author's inventory, resulting in the inclusion of 90 articles. From 9 biomarkers identified; intraretinal fluid (IRF), subretinal fluid, pigment epithelial detachment, subretinal hyperreflective material (SHRM), retinal pigmental epithelial (RPE) atrophy, drusen, outer retinal tabulation (ORT), hyperreflective foci (HF) and retinal thickness, 5 are considered pertinent to nAMD disease progression; IRF, SHRM, drusen, ORT and HF. A number of these biomarkers can be classified using current AI models. Significant retinal biomarkers pertinent to disease activity and progression in nAMD are identifiable via OCT; IRF being the most important in terms of the significant impact on visual outcome. Incorporating AI into ophthalmology practice is a promising advancement towards automated and reproducible analyses of OCT data with the ability to diagnose disease and predict future disease conversion.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION

This review has been registered with PROSPERO (registration ID: CRD42021233200).

Second eyes to develop neovascular age-related macular degeneration have fewer symptoms and better one-year visual outcomes

BACKGROUND

This study compares the visual and anatomical outcomes for the eyes of patients who developed sequential neovascular age-related macular degeneration (nAMD), both at the time of diagnosis and at one year after treatment.

METHODS

The study comprised a retrospective case series of 52 patients whose eyes were diagnosed sequentially with nAMD. All eyes were treated with three monthly loading doses of anti-vascular endothelial growth factor agents, followed by further intravitreal injections, as required. Baseline characteristics and outcomes at one year after diagnosis and initial treatment were compared between first and second eyes and included visual acuity (VA), central macular thickness (CMT), and pigment epithelial detachment (PED) height on optical coherence tomography (OCT) imaging.

RESULTS

VA at diagnosis was better for second eyes compared with first eyes to develop nAMD (logMAR 0.68 ± 0.51 versus logMAR 0.41 ± 0.34, P = 0.002) and remained so at one year (logMAR 0.61 ± 0.60 versus logMAR 0.42 ± 0.37, P = 0.041). Similarly, PED height at diagnosis was higher in first eyes (225 ± 176 μm versus 155 ± 144 μm, P = 0.003) and also at one year (188 ± 137 μm versus 140 ± 112 μm, P = 0.019). Whereas most patients reported symptoms at first eye diagnosis (71.2%), half as many second eyes were symptomatic (28.8%, P < 0.001). Significantly more symptomatic first eyes experienced visual distortions (32.4% versus 13.3%) or scotomas (29.4% versus 6.7%), compared with a less specific visual complaint of blurry vision (38.2% versus 80.0%, P = 0.006).

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with first eyes to develop nAMD, second eyes tended to have better vision, smaller PED heights, and fewer symptoms likely because monitoring permitted earlier diagnosis.

Associations with baseline visual acuity in 12,414 eyes starting treatment for neovascular AMD

AIMS

To determine baseline visual acuity before the start of treatment for neovascular age-related macular degeneration (AMD), compare median and visual acuity states between treatment sites and investigate the association of socio-demographic and clinical characteristics with baseline acuity.

METHODS

Anonymised demographic and clinical data, collected as part of routine clinical care, were extracted from electronic medical records at treating National Health Service (NHS) Trusts. Analyses were restricted to eyes with baseline visual acuity recorded at treatment initiation. Associations with baseline acuity were investigated using multivariate linear regression.

RESULTS

Analysis included 12,414 eyes of 9116 patients at 13 NHS Trusts. Median baseline acuity was LogMAR 0.46 (interquartile range = 0.26-0.80) and 34.5% of eyes had good acuity, defined as LogMAR ≤0.3. Baseline acuity was positively associated with second-treated eye status, younger age, lower socio-economic deprivation, independent living, and female sex. There was little evidence of association between baseline acuity and distance to the nearest treatment centre, systemic or ocular co-morbidity. Despite case-mix adjustments, there was evidence of significant variation of baseline visual acuity between sites.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite access to publicly funded treatment within the NHS, variation in visual acuity at the start of neovascular AMD treatment persists. Identifying the characteristics associated with poor baseline acuity, targeted health awareness campaigns, professional education, and pathway re-design may help to improve baseline acuity, the first eye gap, and visual acuity outcomes.

Prognostic Optical Coherence Tomography Biomarkers in Neovascular Age-Related Macular Degeneration

Optical coherence tomography has revolutionized the diagnosis and management of neovascular age-related macular degeneration. OCT-derived biomarkers have the potential to further guide therapeutic advancements with anti-vascular endothelial growth factor; however, the clinical convergence between these two tools remains suboptimal. Therefore, the aim of this review of literature was to examine the current data on OCT biomarkers and their prognostic value. Thirteen biomarkers were analyzed, and retinal fluid had the strongest-reported impact on clinical outcomes, including visual acuity, clinic visits, and anti-VEGF treatment regimens. In particular, intra-retinal fluid was shown to be associated with poor visual outcomes. Consistencies in the literature with regard to these OCT prognostic biomarkers can lead to patient-specific clinical decision making, such as early-initiated treatment and proactive monitoring. An integrated analysis of all OCT components in combination with new efforts toward automated analysis with artificial intelligence has the potential to further improve the role of OCT in nAMD therapy.

FIVE-YEAR INCIDENCE OF FELLOW EYE NEOVASCULAR INVOLVEMENT IN AGE-RELATED MACULAR DEGENERATION AND POLYPOIDAL CHOROIDAL VASCULOPATHY IN AN ASIAN POPULATION

PURPOSE

To assess 5-year cumulative incidence and risk factors of fellow eye involvement in Asian neovascular age-related macular degeneration (nAMD) and polypoidal choroidal vasculopathy.

METHODS

In a prospective cohort study of Asian nAMD and polypoidal choroidal vasculopathy, the fellow eyes were evaluated for exudation. The 5-year incidence of exudation was compared between nAMD and polypoidal choroidal vasculopathy.

RESULTS

A total of 488 patients were studied. The 5-year incidence of exudation in fellow eyes was 16.2% (95% confidence interval: 12.0-20.2). Polypoidal choroidal vasculopathy compared with nAMD in the first eye was associated with lower fellow eye progression (9.8% [95% confidence interval: 5.1-14.3]) vs. 22.9% [95% confidence interval: 15.8-29.3], P < 0.01). Drusen (hazards ratio 2.11 [95% confidence interval: 1.10-4.06]), shallow irregular retinal pigment epithelium elevation (2.86 [1.58-5.18]), and pigment epithelial detachment (3.01 [1.27-7.17]) were associated with greater progression. A combination of soft drusens and subretinal drusenoid deposits, and specific pigment epithelial detachment subtypes (multilobular, and sharp peaked) were associated with progression. Pigment epithelial detachment, shallow irregular retinal pigment epithelium elevation, and new subretinal hyperreflective material occurred at 10.4 ± 4.2 months, 11.1 ± 6.0 months, and 6.9 ± 4.3 months, respectively, before exudation.

CONCLUSION

The 5-year incidence of fellow eye involvement in Asian nAMD is lower than among Caucasians because of a higher polypoidal choroidal vasculopathy prevalence. Drusens, shallow irregular retinal pigment epithelium elevation, and pigment epithelial detachment are risk factors for fellow eye progression.

Consequences of Real-World Surveillance of Fellow Eyes in Neovascular Age-Related Macular Degeneration

This study investigated whether the interval of monitoring at-risk, fellow eyes of patients with unilateral neovascular age-related macular degeneration (nAMD) has any bearing on the severity of the disease at the time of diagnosis. The study comprised a retrospective, cross-sectional comparative case series of treatment-naïve eyes in patients who were diagnosed sequentially with nAMD. We compared the visual acuity (VA) and central macular thickness (CMT) of patients who were actively receiving intravitreal injections (IVIs) of anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (anti-VEGF) agents at the time of second eye diagnosis with the VA and CMT of patients who had ceased treatment in their first eye because of reaching end-stages of disease. Intervals of visits and frequency of monitoring the macula of fellow eyes by means of optical coherence tomography (OCT) were abstracted from the medical record. We found that the at-risk fellow eyes of patients who had stopped treatment for nAMD in their first eye prior to fellow eye conversion were monitored significantly less frequently than the fellow eyes of patients who continued to receive treatment at the time of second eye diagnosis. Despite less frequent monitoring, VA and CMT were similar at the time of fellow eye diagnosis for both groups.

Non-invasive testing for early detection of neovascular macular degeneration in unaffected second eyes of older adults: EDNA diagnostic accuracy study

BACKGROUND

Neovascular age-related macular degeneration is a leading cause of sight loss, and early detection and treatment is important. For patients with neovascular age-related macular degeneration in one eye, it is usual practice to monitor the unaffected eye. The test used to diagnose neovascular age-related macular degeneration, fundus fluorescein angiography, is an invasive test. Non-invasive tests are available, but their diagnostic accuracy is unclear.

OBJECTIVES

The primary objective was to determine the diagnostic monitoring performance of tests for neovascular age-related macular degeneration in the second eye of patients with unilateral neovascular age-related macular degeneration. The secondary objectives were the cost-effectiveness of tests and to identify predictive factors of developing neovascular age-related macular degeneration.

DESIGN

This was a multicentre, prospective, cohort, comparative diagnostic accuracy study in a monitoring setting for up to 3 years. A Cox regression risk prediction model and a Markov microsimulation model comparing cost-effectiveness of the index tests over 25 years were used.

SETTING

This took place in hospital eye services.

PARTICIPANTS

Participants were adults (aged 50-95 years) with newly diagnosed (within the previous 6 weeks) neovascular age-related macular degeneration in one eye and an unaffected second (study) eye who were attending for treatment injections in the first eye and who had a study eye baseline visual acuity of ≥ 68 Early Treatment Diabetic Retinopathy Study letters.

INTERVENTIONS

The index tests were Amsler chart (completed by participants), fundus clinical examination, optical coherence tomography, self-reported vision assessment (completed by participants) and visual acuity. The reference standard was fundus fluorescein angiography.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The main outcome measures were sensitivity and specificity; the performance of the risk predictor model; and costs and quality-adjusted life-years.

RESULTS

In total, 552 out of 578 patients who consented from 24 NHS hospitals (n = 16 ineligible; n = 10 withdrew consent) took part. The mean age of the patients was 77.4 years (standard deviation 7.7 years) and 57.2% were female. For the primary analysis, 464 patients underwent follow-up fundus fluorescein angiography and 120 developed neovascular age-related macular degeneration on fundus fluorescein angiography. The diagnostic accuracy [sensitivity (%) (95% confidence interval); specificity (%) (95% confidence interval)] was as follows: optical coherence tomography 91.7 (85.2 to 95.6); 87.8 (83.8 to 90.9)], fundus clinical examination [53.8 (44.8 to 62.5); 97.6 (95.3 to 98.9)], Amsler [33.7 (25.1 to 43.5); 81.4 (76.4 to 85.5)], visual acuity [30.0 (22.5 to 38.7); 66.3 (61.0 to 71.1)] and self-reported vision [4.2 (1.6 to 9.8); 97.0 (94.6 to 98.5)]. Optical coherence tomography had the highest sensitivity across all secondary analyses. The final prediction model for neovascular age-related macular degeneration in the non-affected eye included smoking status, family history of neovascular age-related macular degeneration, the presence of nodular drusen with or without reticular pseudodrusen, and the presence of pigmentary abnormalities [c-statistic 0.66 (95% confidence interval 0.62 to 0.71)]. Optical coherence tomography monitoring generated the greatest quality-adjusted life-years gained per patient (optical coherence tomography, 5.830; fundus clinical examination, 5.787; Amsler chart, 5.736, self-reported vision, 5.630; and visual acuity, 5.600) for the lowest health-care and social care costs (optical coherence tomography, £19,406; fundus clinical examination, £19,649; Amsler chart, £19,751; self-reported vision, £20,198; and visual acuity, £20,444) over the lifetime of the simulated cohort. Optical coherence tomography dominated the other tests or had an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio below the accepted cost-effectiveness thresholds (£20,000) across the scenarios explored.

LIMITATIONS

The diagnostic performance may be different in an unselected population without any history of neovascular age-related macular degeneration; the prediction model did not include genetic profile data, which might have improved the discriminatory performance.

CONCLUSIONS

Optical coherence tomography was the most accurate in diagnosing conversion to neovascular age-related macular degeneration in the fellow eye of patients with unilateral neovascular age-related macular degeneration. Economic modelling suggests that optical coherence tomography monitoring is cost-effective and leads to earlier diagnosis of and treatment for neovascular age-related macular degeneration in the second eye of patients being treated for neovascular age-related macular degeneration in their first eye.

FUTURE WORK

Future works should investigate the role of home monitoring, improved risk prediction models and impact on long-term visual outcomes.

STUDY REGISTRATION

This study was registered as ISRCTN48855678.

FUNDING

This project was funded by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment programme and will be published in full in Health Technology Assessment; Vol. 26, No. 8. See the NIHR Journals Library website for further project information.