Pitfalls of post-treatment PET after de-intensified chemoradiotherapy for HPV-associated oropharynx cancer: Secondary analysis of a phase 2 trial

Clinical Utility of Second-Look FDG PET-CT to Stratify Incomplete Metabolic Response Post (Chemo) Radiotherapy in Oropharyngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Incomplete response on FDG PET-CT following (chemo)radiotherapy (CRT) for head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) hinders optimal management. The study assessed the utility of an interval (second look) PET-CT.

METHODS

Patients with oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma cancer (OPSCC) treated with CRT at a single centre between 2013 and 2020 who underwent baseline, response, and second-look PET-CT were included. Endpoints were conversion rate to complete metabolic response (CMR) and test characteristics of second-look PET-CT.

RESULTS

In total, 714 patients with OPSCC underwent PET-CT post-radiotherapy. In total, 88 patients with incomplete response underwent second-look PET-CT a median of 13 weeks (interquartile range 10-15 weeks) after the initial response assessment. In total, 27/88 (31%) second-look PET-CTs showed conversion to CMR, primary tumour CMR in 20/60 (30%), and nodal CMR in 13/37 (35%). In total, 1/34 (3%) with stable tumour/nodal uptake at the second-look PET-CT relapsed. Sensitivity, specificity, positive (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) of second-look PET-CT were 95%, 49%, 50%, and 95% for tumour and 92%, 50%, 50%, and 92% for nodes, respectively. Primary tumour progression following CMR occurred in one patient, two patients with residual nodal uptake at second-look PET-CT progressed locoregionally, and one patient developed metastatic disease following CMR in residual nodes.

CONCLUSION

Most patients undergoing second-look PET-CT converted to CMR or demonstrated stable PET signal. NPV was high, suggesting the potential to avoid unnecessary surgical intervention.

Qualitative and quantitative methods in post-chemoradiation PET for head and neck cancer

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to determine whether quantitative methods could aid in the evaluation of post-treatment head and neck scans, particularly taking human papillomavirus status into account.

METHODS

Clinical readings of positron emission tomography/computed tomography scans as well as standardized uptake value (SUV)max (and other metrics) of nodes visible on PET conducted on a total of 172 patients with head and neck squamous cell cancer were examined. Locoregional recurrence at 2 years was assessed. In total 88 of these patients had close enough follow-up to determine whether individual nodes were positive or negative, and 233 nodes on these patients were compared to surgical pathology notes or follow-up (if no path was available).

RESULTS

General negative predictive value (NPV) of complete response was 93% and an equivocal response was 89%; focusing on nodal recurrence, NPV was found to be 97% and positive predictive value (PPV) 46% if equivocal reads were treated as negative and NPV 98% and PPV 16% if equivocal reads were treated as positive. Using SUVmax of the hottest node with a cutoff of 3.4 gave NPV 97% and PPV 26%; a direct re-read (using 2 observers) gave NPV 98% and PPV 32% if equivocal reads were treated as negative, and NPV 99% and PPV 18% if equivocal reads were treated as positive. Using other first-order radiomics data such as SD and skewness did not improve this.

CONCLUSIONS

Quantitative data such as SUVmax does not show additional value over qualitative evaluation of response to chemoradiation in head and neck tumors.

Advances in Imaging for HPV-Related Oropharyngeal Cancer: Applications to Radiation Oncology

While there has been an overall decline of tobacco and alcohol-related head and neck cancer in recent decades, there has been an increased incidence of HPV-associated oropharyngeal cancer (OPC). Recent research studies and clinical trials have revealed that the cancer biology and clinical progression of HPV-positive OPC is unique relative to its HPV-negative counterparts. HPV-positive OPC is associated with higher rates of disease control following definitive treatment when compared to HPV-negative OPC. Thus, these conditions should be considered unique diseases with regards to treatment strategies and survival. In order to sufficiently characterize HPV-positive OPC and guide treatment strategies, there has been a considerable effort to diagnose, prognose, and track the treatment response of HPV-associated OPC through advanced imaging research. Furthermore, HPV-positive OPC patients are prime candidates for radiation de-escalation protocols, which will ideally reduce toxicities associated with radiation therapy and has prompted additional imaging research to detect radiation-induced changes in organs at risk. This manuscript reviews the various imaging modalities and current strategies for tackling these challenges as well as provides commentary on the potential successes and suggested improvements for the optimal treatment of these tumors.

Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Post-Treatment PET/CT in HPV-Associated Oropharyngeal Cancer

OBJECTIVE

To perform a systematic review with meta-analysis to investigate the utility of post-treatment PET/CT specifically in HPV-associated oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma following curative intent treatment.

METHODS

Random-effects meta-analysis was used to pool data from 7 observational studies (2013-2019) obtained from a database search of PubMed, Web of Science, and EMBASE using an a priori protocol with dual independent evaluation for inclusion, risk of bias assessment for acceptable methodology, and extraction of data for analysis. PET/CT results, treatment failure, imaging and interventions subsequent to PET/CT findings, and efficacy of salvage therapy were extracted.

RESULTS

Of the 907 post-treatment scans, PET/CT results were largely negative (76.2%; 95% CI, 63.4-85.6) and least often positive (11.3%; 95% CI, 8.8-14.4). PET/CT results were equivocal for 22.5% (95% CI, 12.5-36.9) and equivocal/positive for 34.2% of patients (95% CI, 25.1-44.5). Patients with an initial positive scan had the highest treatment failure rates (43.1%; 95% CI, 21.4-67.7) and those with an initial negative scan had the lowest rates (7.4%; 95% CI, 5.7-9.7). The equivocal and equivocal/positive scans had intermediate prevalence of 16.5% (95% CI, 9.4-27.6) and 16.7% (95% CI, 9.1-28.7), respectively.

CONCLUSION

The low treatment failure rate following a negative PET/CT scan is reassuring, but the data are consistent with treatment failure rates up to 9.7% suggesting follow-up of these patients is prudent. Additionally, the low positive predictive value for treatment failure observed alludes to use of post-treatment PET/CT in HPV-associated disease frequently leading to unnecessary subsequent imaging and intervention.

A cost-utility analysis comparing CT surveillance, PET-CT surveillance, and planned postradiation neck dissection for advanced nodal HPV-positive oropharyngeal cancer

BACKGROUND

The cost utility of image-guided surveillance using computed tomography (CT) and positron emission tomography (PET)-CT to planned postradiation neck dissection (PRND) was compared for the management of advanced nodal human papillomavirus-positive oropharyngeal cancer following chemoradiation.

METHODS

A universal payer perspective was adopted. A Markov model was designed to simulate four treatment approaches with 3-month cycles over a lifetime horizon: 1) CT surveillance, 2) standard PET-CT surveillance, 3) a novel PET-CT approach with repeat PET at 6 months postchemoradiation for equivocal responders, and 4) PRND. Parameters including probabilities of CT nodal progression/resolution, PET avidity, recurrence, and survival were obtained from the literature. Costs were reported in 2019 Canadian dollars and utilities were expressed in quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to evaluate model uncertainty.

RESULTS

PET-CT surveillance dominated CT surveillance and PRND in the base case scenario, and the novel PET-CT approach was the most cost-effective strategy across a wide range of variables tested in one-way sensitivity analysis. On probabilistic sensitivity analysis, novel PET-CT surveillance was the most cost-effective strategy in 78.1% of model iterations at a willingness-to-pay of $50,000/QALYs. Novel PET-CT surveillance resulted in a 49% lower rate of neck dissection compared with traditional PET-CT, and yielded an incremental benefit of 0.14 QALYs with average cost savings of $1309.

CONCLUSIONS

Image-guided surveillance including PET-CT and CT are more cost effective than PRND. The novel PET-CT approach with repeat PET for equivocal responders was the dominant strategy and yielded both higher benefit and lower costs compared with standard PET-CT surveillance.

cfDNA detection for HPV+ squamous cell carcinomas

High-risk human papillomavirus (HPV) is an etiologic factor in a spectrum of squamous cell carcinomas including anal, cervical, and oropharyngeal. HPV cell free DNA (cfDNA) is shed from the primary tumor into systemic circulation and can be detected using several platforms including quantitative PCR, digital droplet PCR, or next generation sequencing. Levels of HPV cfDNA at time of initial presentation is associated with known poor prognostic clinicopathologic variables, such as advanced stage and, locoregional and distant metastases. Moreover, longitudinal sampling revealed that persistent or increasing HPV cfDNA levels are indicative of treatment relapse and, in some studies, HPV cfDNA detection predicted treatment failures prior to routine post-treatment clinical imaging. A liquid biopsy platform using HPV cfDNA offers unique advantages over traditional approaches and may have clinical utility for detection of minimum residual disease, treatment response, and disease progression in patients with HPV+ cancers.

Head and neck imaging surveillance strategy for HPV-positive oropharyngeal carcinoma following definitive (chemo)radiotherapy

PURPOSE

To describe the utilization pattern of head and neck (HN) surveillance imaging and explore the optimal strategy for radiologic "residual" lymph node (LN) surveillance following definitive (chemo)radiotherapy (RT/CRT) in human papillomavirus (HPV)+ oropharyngeal carcinoma (OPC).

METHODS

All HPV+ OPC patients who completed RT/CRT from 2012 to 2015 were included. Schedule and rationale for post-treatment HN-CT/MRI were recorded. Imaging findings and oncologic outcomes were evaluated.

RESULTS

A total of 1036 scans in 412 patients were reviewed: 414 scans for first post-treatment response assessment and 622 scans for the following reasons: follow-up of radiologic "residual" LN(s) (293 scans/175 patients); local symptoms (227/146); other (17/16); unknown (85/66). Rate of scans with "unstated" reason varied significantly among clinicians (3-28%, p < 0.001) and none of them yielded any positive imaging findings. First post-treatment scans identified 192 (47%) patients with radiologic "residual" LNs. Neck dissection (ND) was performed in 28 patients: 16 immediately (6/16 positive), 10 after one follow-up scan (2/10 positive), and 2 after 2nd follow-up scan (1/2 positive). Thirty patients had >2 consecutive follow-up scans at 2-3-month intervals, and none showed subsequent imaging progression or regional failure.

CONCLUSIONS

Pattern of HN imaging utilization for surveillance varied significantly among clinicians. Imaging surveillance reduces the need for ND. However, routine HN-CT/MR surveillance without clinical symptoms/signs does not demonstrate proven value in identifying locoregional failure or toxicity. Radiologic "residual" LNs without adverse features are common. If two subsequent follow-up scans demonstrate stable/regressing radiologic "residual" LNs, clinical surveillance without further imaging appears to be safe in this population.

Improving post-CRT neck assessment in patients with HPV-associated OPSCC (Review)

The positive predictive value (PPV) of 12-week post-therapy FDG-PET/CT is low in patients with Human Papillomavirus (HPV)-associated Oropharyngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma (OPSCC) after treatment with definitive chemoradiation (CRT). Moreover, the diagnostic performance of post-CRT fine needle aspiration (FNA) in detecting persistent disease is unknown in this population. Given these important shortcomings in post-CRT treatment assessment, head and neck oncologists are limited in appropriately selecting patients for consolidative neck dissection, which results in over-treatment of a favorable risk population. Using the PubMed database, we performed a literature review of published series in HPV-associated OPSCC to investigate potential strategies for improvement of post-CRT neck assessment. Several different approaches were found, including continued surveillance with PET/CT, delayed timing of restaging PET/CT, initial response evaluation with multimodality or alternative imaging, and detection of circulating HPV DNA. At present, the optimal approach to post-CRT treatment assessment is unclear; further investigation and incorporation of new technologies and surveillance protocols will be highly beneficial for patients with HPV-associated OPSCC.

Association of Fludeoxyglucose F 18-Labeled Positron Emission Tomography and Computed Tomography With the Detection of Oropharyngeal Cancer Recurrence

Importance

No guidelines at present describe when fludeoxyglucose F 18-labeled positron emission tomography and computed tomography (FDG PET-CT) should be used in the initial posttreatment period for evaluation of oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma treatment outcome and recurrence.

Objective

To compare accuracies of the initial posttreatment PET-CT between primary treatment groups and to define indicators of false-positive findings.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This retrospective cohort study identified adults with a new diagnosis of oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma who received treatment with curative intent from October 1, 2006, through November 30, 2016, using the Alberta Cancer Registry (n = 380). Patients who underwent PET-CT within 1 year of treatment completion were included (n = 190). Of these, 103 patients (54.2%) had PET-CT findings positive for residual or recurrent disease, and 61 (32.1%) had false-positive findings. Among the 61 patients, 42 (68.9%) had received chemoradiotherapy (CRT) and 19 (31.1%) had primary surgery. Forty-two patients had true-positive findings, indicating a prevalence rate of disease of 22.1%. Data were analyzed from July through October 2017.

Exposures

One of 2 primary treatment modalities (surgery with or without adjuvant therapy vs CRT). All patients had posttreatment FDG PET-CT.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Primary outcome measures included the diagnostic odds ratio, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) of PET-CT for detecting residual and/or recurrent disease. A multivariate analysis determined indicators of false-positive findings. Discriminative ability was assessed using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis of maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax) metabolic data.

Results

Of the 190 participants, 77.9% were men, with a mean (SD) age at diagnosis of 58.5 (8.5) years. The diagnostic odds ratio was 19.3 (95% CI, 5.7-65.1); pooled sensitivity, 93.3% (95% CI, 80.7%-98.3%); and pooled specificity, 57.9% (95% CI, 49.4%-66.0%). The PPV of detecting disease was 54.7% (95% CI, 38.8%-69.8%) for primary surgery and 31.1% (95% CI, 20.2%-44.4%) for CRT. The NPV was 100% (95% CI, 94.7%-100%) for primary surgery and 96.6% (95% CI, 89.5%-99.1%) for CRT. Multivariate analysis identified treatment type, p16 disease, and smoking status as indicative of false-positive findings. In the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis for primary tumors, the optimal cutoff SUVmax for indicating true- vs false-positive results was 5.1 for surgically treated patients (area under the curve, 0.729; 95% CI, 0.570-0.888) and 5.3 for patients treated with CRT (area under the curve, 0.844; 95% CI, 0.700-0.989).

Conclusions and Relevance

The results indicate a higher specificity for FDG PET-CT for initial posttreatment surveillance imaging among patients treated with primary surgery compared with nonsurgical management. Both sets of patients with posttreatment FDG PET-CT findings with an SUVmax greater than 5.0 should undergo close evaluation for possible residual or recurrent disease.

Management of the neck after definitive chemoradiation in patients with HPV-associated oropharyngeal cancer: An institutional experience

PURPOSE

To investigate the multidisciplinary management of patients with Human Papilloma Virus (HPV)-associated oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) and an incomplete nodal response on restaging PET/CT after definitive chemoradiation (CRT).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A retrospective chart review was performed of patients diagnosed with node-positive HPV-associated OPSCC from 2012 to 2017, who underwent definitive upfront CRT, and had an incomplete response on post-therapy PET/CT according to NCCN criteria. Post-CRT PET/CT results, management decisions, and clinical outcomes were recorded.

RESULTS

Seventy-four patients with node-positive HPV-associated OPSCC were identified; 20 patients with incomplete neck response on PET/CT according to NCCN criteria were included in the final case series. Median follow-up time was 33 months. Patients were managed as follows: 8 underwent observation and surveillance imaging, 6 underwent ultrasound-guided fine needle aspiration (FNA), and 6 had immediate neck dissection. All the observed patients were disease-free at most recent follow-up. None of the patients who underwent immediate neck dissection had residual neck disease on pathological examination; two patients in this group ultimately developed metastatic disease. Among the 6 who underwent FNA, 1 individual had positive pathology, along with residual primary disease, for which the patient underwent salvage surgery. The 5 remaining individuals had negative FNA results, were subsequently observed, and remained free of disease.

CONCLUSIONS

This institutional experience supports the notion of a high threshold for neck dissection in this low-risk population; only 1 of 20 patients with suspicious PET/CT findings had residual disease in the neck. Moreover, these patients should be managed by a multidisciplinary tumor board (MTB) since current algorithms do not universally include HPV status. Finally, the use of restaging PET/CT to guide management of the neck can be improved with changes in terminology and consideration of FDG-avidity at the primary site and on pre-therapy scans.

Second-look PET-CT following an initial incomplete PET-CT response to (chemo)radiotherapy for head and neck squamous cell carcinoma

OBJECTIVES

The limited positive predictive value of an incomplete response on PET-CT following (chemo)radiotherapy for head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) means that the optimal management strategy remains uncertain. The aim of the study is to assess the utility of a 'second-look' interval PET-CT.

METHODS

Patients with HNSCC who were treated with (chemo)radiotherapy between 2008 and 2017 and underwent (i) baseline and (ii) response assessment PET-CT and (iii) second-look PET-CT following incomplete (positive or equivocal scan) response were included. Endpoints were conversion rate to complete response (CR) and test characteristics of the second-look PET-CT.

RESULTS

Five hundred sixty-two patients with HNSCC underwent response assessment PET-CT at a median of 17 weeks post-radiotherapy. Following an incomplete response on PET-CT, 40 patients underwent a second-look PET-CT at a median of 13 weeks (range 6-25) from the first response PET-CT. Thirty-four out of 40 (85%) patients had oropharyngeal carcinoma. Twenty-four out of 40 (60%) second-look PET-CT scans converted to a complete locoregional response. The primary tumour conversion rate was 15/27 (56%) and the lymph node conversion rate was 14/19 (74%). The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value (NPV) of the second-look PET-CT were 75%, 75%, 25% and 96% for the primary tumour and 100%, 92%, 40% and 100% for lymph nodes. There were no cases of progression following conversion to CR in the primary site or lymph nodes.

CONCLUSIONS

The majority of patients who undergo a second-look PET-CT convert to a CR. The NPV of a second-look PET-CT is high, suggesting the potential to avoid surgical intervention.

KEY POINTS

• PET-CT is a useful tool for response assessment following (chemo)radiotherapy for head and neck squamous cell carcinoma. • An incomplete response on PET-CT has a limited positive predictive value and optimal management is uncertain. • These data show that with a 'second-look' interval PET-CT, the majority of patients convert to a complete metabolic response. When there is doubt about clinical and radiological response, a 'second-look' PET-CT can be used to spare patients unnecessary surgical intervention.

Posttreatment surveillance PET/CT for HPV-associated oropharyngeal cancer

BACKGROUND

Surveillance positron emission tomography-computed tomography (PET/CT) is commonly used for treatment assessment of radiation therapy in head and neck cancer. However, human papillomavirus-associated oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (HPV+OPSCC) patients represent a unique subpopulation, for which the utility of surveillance PET/CT has not been well studied.

METHODS

In this retrospective chart review comprising 233 HPV+OPSCC patients, we evaluated surveillance PET/CT for diagnostic accuracy, downstream clinical impact, and survival.

RESULTS

Surveillance PET/CT demonstrated 100% negative predictive value and sensitivity, 59.9% specificity, and 13.4% positive predictive value. Surveillance PET/CT led to 90 imaging studies and 31 biopsies; 91.1% and 77.4% were negative for recurrence, respectively. Surveillance PET/CT led to meaningful salvage therapy in 1.6% of cases. PET/CT-detected recurrences did not have improved survival compared to clinically detected recurrences.

CONCLUSION

For HPV+OPSCC patients, surveillance PET/CTs frequently lead to unnecessary testing and rarely to meaningful disease salvage. They have no demonstrated survival benefit and should be interpreted cautiously to prevent patient harm.

Assessing Novel Drugs and Radiation Technology in the Chemoradiation of Oropharyngeal Cancer

Integrating immunotherapy, proton therapy and biological dose escalation into the definitive chemoradiation of oropharyngeal cancer poses several challenges. Reliable and reproducible data must be obtained in a timely fashion. However, despite recent international radiotherapy contouring guidelines, controversy persists as to the applicability of such guidelines to all cases. Similarly, a lack of consensus exists concerning both the definition of the organ at risk for oral mucositis and the most appropriate endpoint to measure for this critical toxicity. Finally, the correlation between early markers of efficacy such as complete response on PET CT following treatment and subsequent survival needs elucidation for biological subsets of oropharyngeal cancer.