1
|
Gong D, Fang L, Cai Y, Chong I, Guo J, Yan Z, Shen X, Yang W, Wang J. Development and evaluation of a risk prediction model for diabetes mellitus type 2 patients with vision-threatening diabetic retinopathy. Front Endocrinol (Lausanne) 2023; 14:1244601. [PMID: 37693352 PMCID: PMC10484608 DOI: 10.3389/fendo.2023.1244601] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/22/2023] [Accepted: 08/02/2023] [Indexed: 09/12/2023] Open
Abstract
Objective This study aims to develop and evaluate a non-imaging clinical data-based nomogram for predicting the risk of vision-threatening diabetic retinopathy (VTDR) in diabetes mellitus type 2 (T2DM) patients. Methods Based on the baseline data of the Guangdong Shaoguan Diabetes Cohort Study conducted by the Zhongshan Ophthalmic Center (ZOC) in 2019, 2294 complete data of T2DM patients were randomly divided into a training set (n=1605) and a testing set (n=689). Independent risk factors were selected through univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis on the training dataset, and a nomogram was constructed for predicting the risk of VTDR in T2DM patients. The model was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and area under the curve (AUC) in the training and testing datasets to assess discrimination, and Hosmer-Lemeshow test and calibration curves to assess calibration. Results The results of the multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that Age (OR = 0.954, 95% CI: 0.940-0.969, p = 0.000), BMI (OR = 0.942, 95% CI: 0.902-0.984, p = 0.007), systolic blood pressure (SBP) (OR =1.014, 95% CI: 1.007-1.022, p = 0.000), diabetes duration (10-15y: OR =3.126, 95% CI: 2.087-4.682, p = 0.000; >15y: OR =3.750, 95% CI: 2.362-5.954, p = 0.000), and glycated hemoglobin (HbA1C) (OR = 1.325, 95% CI: 1.221-1.438, p = 0.000) were independent risk factors for T2DM patients with VTDR. A nomogram was constructed using these variables. The model discrimination results showed an AUC of 0.7193 for the training set and 0.6897 for the testing set. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test results showed a high consistency between the predicted and observed probabilities for both the training set (Chi-square=2.2029, P=0.9742) and the testing set (Chi-square=7.6628, P=0.4671). Conclusion The introduction of Age, BMI, SBP, Duration, and HbA1C as variables helps to stratify the risk of T2DM patients with VTDR.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Di Gong
- Shenzhen Eye Hospital, Jinan University, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
- The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Jinan University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
| | - Lyujie Fang
- The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Jinan University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
| | - Yixian Cai
- The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Jinan University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
| | - Ieng Chong
- Macau University Hospital, Macao, Macao SAR, China
| | - Junhong Guo
- Shenzhen Eye Hospital, Jinan University, Shenzhen Eye Institute, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
| | - Zhichao Yan
- Shenzhen Eye Hospital, Jinan University, Shenzhen Eye Institute, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
| | - Xiaoli Shen
- Shenzhen Eye Hospital, Jinan University, Shenzhen Eye Institute, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
| | - Weihua Yang
- Shenzhen Eye Hospital, Jinan University, Shenzhen Eye Institute, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
| | - Jiantao Wang
- Shenzhen Eye Hospital, Jinan University, Shenzhen Eye Institute, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
| |
Collapse
|
2
|
Gameil MA, Elsherbiny HA, Youssry IE, Gawad SA, Arafat AAELH. Potential impact of epicardial fat thickness, pentraxin-3, and high-sensitive C-reactive protein on the risk of non-proliferative diabetic retinopathy. J Diabetes Metab Disord 2023; 22:735-742. [PMID: 37255764 PMCID: PMC10225378 DOI: 10.1007/s40200-023-01195-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/08/2022] [Accepted: 02/02/2023] [Indexed: 02/24/2023]
Abstract
Purpose We tried to clarify the potential association between systemic inflammatory markers like high-sensitive C-reactive protein (Hs-CRP), pentraxin-3 (PTX3), and epicardial fat thickness (EFT) with the non-proliferative diabetic retinopathy (NPDR) in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D). Previous studies dealt with diabetic retinopathy as a whole entity rather than early stages of diabetic retinopathy. Early detection of various determinants of NPDR is prioritized in clinical practice. Methods A case-control study was conducted at Mansoura University Hospital, included 207 Egyptian subjects divided into 3 groups; 69 diabetic patients without retinopathy, 69 diabetic patients with NPDR, and 69 healthy control subjects. Participants were subjected to clinical history taking, physical examination, and laboratory assessment of Hs-CRP and plasma PTX3. Transthoracic echocardiography was applied to estimate EFT. Results Hs-CRP, PTX3, and EFT were significantly higher in patients with T2D without retinopathy than control cohort (p = 0.033, p < 0.00 and p < 0.00, respectively). Moreover, patients with NPDR showed significantly higher values of Hs-CRP, PTX3, and EFT than diabetic comparators without retinopathy (p = 0.002, p = 0.012, and p < 0.001, respectively). Although, NPDR was positively correlated with Hs-CRP, PTX3, and EFT (p < 0.001), Hs-CRP was not an independent determinant of NPDR meanwhile, EFT (OR = 1.094, 95%CI: 1.036-1.154, P = 0.001) and PTX3 (OR = 16.145, 95%CI: 1.676-155.551, P = 0.016) were. Conclusion Plasma pentraxin-3 and epicardial fat thickness showed more significant association with NPDR than high-sensitive C-reactive protein in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Mohammed Ali Gameil
- Endocrinology Unit, Internal Medicine Department, Faculty of Medicine, Mansoura University, Mansoura, Dakahlia Egypt
| | - Hanan Abdelhay Elsherbiny
- Endocrinology Unit, Internal Medicine Department, Faculty of Medicine, Mansoura University, Mansoura, Dakahlia Egypt
| | - Ibrahim Elsayed Youssry
- Cardiovascular Medicine Department, Faculty of Medicine, Mansoura University, Mansoura, Dakahlia Egypt
| | - Sara Abdel Gawad
- Ophthalmology Department, Faculty of Medicine, Mansoura University, Mansoura, Dakahlia Egypt
| | - Ahmed Abd EL-Hakim Arafat
- Endocrinology Unit, Internal Medicine Department, Faculty of Medicine, Mansoura University, Mansoura, Dakahlia Egypt
| |
Collapse
|
3
|
Secular trends in the prevalence, incidence, and progression of diabetic retinopathy: the Hisayama Study. Graefes Arch Clin Exp Ophthalmol 2023; 261:641-649. [PMID: 36151342 DOI: 10.1007/s00417-022-05839-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/25/2022] [Revised: 09/08/2022] [Accepted: 09/13/2022] [Indexed: 11/04/2022] Open
Abstract
PURPOSE To examine the secular trends in the prevalence, incidence, and progression rates of diabetic retinopathy (DR) in a Japanese community. METHODS Community-dwelling Japanese residents aged ≥ 40 years with diabetes participated in comprehensive systemic and ophthalmological surveys, including an examination for DR, in 1998 (n = 220), 2007 (n = 511), 2012 (n = 515), and 2017 (n = 560). DR was assessed using colour fundus photographs after pupil dilation according to the modified Airlie House classification system. To compare the frequencies of newly developed or progressed DR between the studied decades, two eye cohorts were established (the 2000s cohort included 145 participants examined in 1998 and 2007; the 2010s cohort included 255 participants examined in 2007, 2012, and 2017). Trends in the prevalence, incidence, and progression rate of DR were tested by logistic regression analysis with a generalised estimating equation. RESULTS The age-adjusted prevalence of DR among individuals with diabetes decreased significantly with time from 1998 to 2017 (27.4% in 1998, 22.8% in 2007, 12.8% in 2012, and 6.4% in 2017; p for trend < 0.001). During this period, the prevalence of DR was decreasing in every haemoglobin A1c category, but it remained constant in the high systolic blood pressure category. In addition, the rates of new-onset of DR were significantly lower in the 2010s compared to the 2000s (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION Our findings suggest that the prevalence and incidence of DR among diabetic people significantly decreased with time over the past two decades in a general Japanese population.
Collapse
|
4
|
Ejigu T, Tsegaw A. Prevalence of Diabetic Retinopathy and Risk Factors among Diabetic Patients at University of Gondar Tertiary Eye Care and Training Center, North-West Ethiopia. Middle East Afr J Ophthalmol 2021; 28:71-80. [PMID: 34759663 PMCID: PMC8547671 DOI: 10.4103/meajo.meajo_24_21] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/22/2021] [Revised: 06/18/2021] [Accepted: 08/11/2021] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
Abstract
PURPOSE: Diabetic retinopathy (DR) is one of the most serious complications of diabetes mellitus (DM). It is the most common cause of blindness among the working age group in the developed world and the fifth leading cause of global blindness. In Sub-Saharan Africa, 2.8% of all blindness is caused by DR. Studies addressing the prevalence of DR and associated factors are scarce in Ethiopia. The objective of this study was to determine the Prevalence and associated factors of DR development among DM patients attending University of Gondar, Tertiary Eye Care and Training center. METHODS: A cross-sectional study was carried out from March 2019 to February 2020 involving all consecutive diabetes patients who visited the center during the study period. Data were collected using a semi-structured questionnaire and data extraction check list and entered into SPSS version 20 and analyzed. Univariate and multivariable logistic regression analysis were done to identify predictors of DR. Statistical significance was determined with 95% confidence interval (CI) using odds ratio and P < 0.05. RESULTS: A total of 225 DM patients with a mean age of 55.4 ± 13.5 years were studied, of whom 95 (42.2%) had DR. Duration of diabetes ≥6 years (AOR = 2.91: 95% CI; 1.01–8.35) and baseline age < 60 years (AOR = 3.2: 95% CI; 1.19–8.63) were significantly associated with DR. DR was significantly associated with the form of therapy. Those on insulin (P = 0.025) and oral hypoglycemic agents (OHA) with insulin combination (P = 0.014) had statistically significantly associated with the development of DR. Patients with systolic blood pressure of <140 mmHg were 3.6 times (AOR = 0.28: 95% CI: 0.09–0.82) less likely to have DR. A majority of patients had nonproliferative DR without diabetic macular edema (DME) (34.2%). DME and proliferative DR were seen in 5.7% and 3.6% of the patients, respectively. Vision threatening DR (VTDR) was seen in 10.7% of patients. There was a significant association between age <60 years and VTDR (AOR = 4.19: 95% CI; 1.23–14.35). CONCLUSION: The prevalence of DR among our study patients was very high. Longer duration of diabetes, higher systolic blood pressure, baseline age <60 years, use of insulin alone, and use of combination of insulin with OHA were independently associated with DR. Health education, early screening, and treatment are recommended.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Tesfahun Ejigu
- Department of Ophthalmology, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, University of Gondar, Gondar, Ethiopia
| | - Asamere Tsegaw
- Department of Ophthalmology, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, University of Gondar, Gondar, Ethiopia
| |
Collapse
|
5
|
Alemu Mersha G, Tsegaw Woredekal A, Tilahun Tesfaw M. Sight-threatening Diabetic Retinopathy and Associated Risk Factors Among Adult Diabetes Patients at Debre Tabor General Hospital, Northwest Ethiopia. Clin Ophthalmol 2020; 14:4561-4569. [PMID: 33408458 PMCID: PMC7779297 DOI: 10.2147/opth.s285606] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/07/2020] [Accepted: 11/20/2020] [Indexed: 11/23/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND People with diabetes have an increased risk of developing sight-threatening conditions. Sight threatening diabetic retinopathy (STDR) is an advanced microvascular of complication of diabetes on the eye. It remains one of the leading causes of preventable blindness among working age adults around the world. There is a paucity of evidence on the prevalence of STDR and its associated factors in Ethiopia, particularly in the study area. Therefore, the aim of our study was to determine the prevalence of STDR and its associated factors among adult diabetes patients at Debre Tabor General Hospital (DTGH), Northwest Ethiopia. MATERIALS AND METHODS An institution-based cross-sectional study was conducted on 306 diabetes patients at Debre Tabor General Hospital with systematic random sampling technique. Semi-structured questionnaire, document review and physical examination were applied to collect the data. Binary and multivariable logistic regression model were used to identify associated factors for STDR. RESULTS The majority of the participants 163 (53.3%) were type 1 diabetes (T1DM) and the mean age of T1 and T2 DM participants was 34.5 (12.8) and 58.7 (10.7) years respectively. The prevalence of STDR was 15.3% (95%CI: 9.6%-20.9%) and 11.9% (6.6-17.5) in T1DM and T2DM, respectively. Low family monthly income (adjusted odds ratio (AOR)=4.4, 95%CI: 1.05-18.40) among T2DM, longer duration of diabetes (AOR=10.9, 95%CI: 2.94-40.4) among T1DM (AOR=3.54, 95CI: 1.06-11.8) among T2DM and poor glycemic control (AOR=3.93, 95%CI: 1.06-14.5) and hypertension (AOR=5.86, 95%CI: 1.20-28.6) among T1DM and BMI (AOR=4.79, 95%CI: 1.35-17.00) among T2DM were significantly associated with STDR. CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION The prevalence of STDR was high. Low family monthly income, longer duration of diabetes, poor glycemic control, hypertension and obesity were positively associated with STDR. Early screening of STDR and improving diabetes self management in all diabetes patients were recommended.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Getasew Alemu Mersha
- Department of Optometry, School of Medicine, University of Gondar Comprehensive Specialized Hospital, Gondar, Ethiopia
| | - Asamere Tsegaw Woredekal
- Department of Ophthalmology, School of Medicine, University of Gondar Comprehensive Specialized Hospital, Gondar, Ethiopia
| | - Matyas Tilahun Tesfaw
- Department of Ophthalmology, School of Medicine, Debre Tabor University, Debre Tabor, Ethiopia
| |
Collapse
|
6
|
Laiginhas R, Madeira C, Lopes M, Neves JS, Barbosa M, Rosas V, Carvalho D, Falcão-Reis F, Falcão M. Risk factors for prevalent diabetic retinopathy and proliferative diabetic retinopathy in type 1 diabetes. Endocrine 2019; 66:201-209. [PMID: 31407162 DOI: 10.1007/s12020-019-02047-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/28/2018] [Accepted: 08/02/2019] [Indexed: 12/17/2022]
Abstract
PURPOSE Age at diagnosis of type 1 diabetes (DM1) has been implied as an important factor associated with the development of the microvascular complications. Our aim was to identify factors associated with prevalent diabetic retinopathy (DR) and proliferative diabetic retinopathy (PDR) in DM1 people with early and late-onset. METHODS We reviewed medical records from all DM1 people from the reference area of a tertiary center (about 340,000 persons). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression were used to assess the relationship between potential risk factors (sociodemographic, diabetes-related, co-morbidities, and laboratory parameters) and prevalent DR/PDR. We performed an analysis comparing patients diagnosed before (early-onset) and after (late-onset) 18 years of age. RESULTS We included 140 patients in early-onset DM1 group and 169 in late-onset DM1 group. Longer duration of diabetes and HbA1c remained associated with prevalent DR in both groups after adjusting for potential risk factors. Nephropathy was associated with prevalent DR in the late-onset group but not in the early-onset group. Peripheral neuropathy remained associated with prevalent PDR when modeled together in the multivariate model. High BMI demonstrated a significative association with PDR in early but not in the late-onset DM1 group. CONCLUSIONS Although previous reports suggest that age at DM1 diagnosis may have a role in DR prevalence, the risk factors for DR in early and late-onset DM1 were similar for both groups. Duration of disease and lifelong metabolic control were the major predictors for DR in both groups. Nephropathy was associated with DR in patients with late-onset disease. Neuropathy was associated with PDR occurrence in both groups. BMI was associated with PDR early-onset DM1 group.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Rita Laiginhas
- Faculty of Medicine, Porto University, Porto, Portugal
- Department of Ophthalmology, Centro Hospitalar de Entre o Douro e Vouga, Santa Maria da Feira, Portugal
| | - Carolina Madeira
- Department of Ophthalmology, Centro Hospitalar de São João, Porto, Portugal
| | - Miguel Lopes
- Faculty of Medicine, Porto University, Porto, Portugal
| | - João Sérgio Neves
- Department of Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism, Centro Hospitalar de São João, Porto, Portugal
- Department of Surgery and Physiology, Faculty of Medicine of Porto University, Porto, Portugal
| | - Margarida Barbosa
- Faculty of Medicine, Porto University, Porto, Portugal
- Department of Anesthesiology, Centro Hospitalar de São João, Porto, Portugal
- I3S Instituto de Investigação e Inovação em Saúde, University of Porto, Porto, Portugal
| | - Vitor Rosas
- Department of Ophthalmology, Centro Hospitalar de São João, Porto, Portugal
| | - Davide Carvalho
- Department of Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism, Centro Hospitalar de São João, Porto, Portugal
- Department of Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism, Faculty of Medicine of Porto University, Porto, Portugal
| | - Fernando Falcão-Reis
- Department of Ophthalmology, Centro Hospitalar de São João, Porto, Portugal
- Department of Surgery and Physiology, Faculty of Medicine of Porto University, Porto, Portugal
| | - Manuel Falcão
- Department of Ophthalmology, Centro Hospitalar de São João, Porto, Portugal.
- Department of Surgery and Physiology, Faculty of Medicine of Porto University, Porto, Portugal.
| |
Collapse
|
7
|
Flaxel CJ, Adelman RA, Bailey ST, Fawzi A, Lim JI, Vemulakonda GA, Ying GS. Diabetic Retinopathy Preferred Practice Pattern®. Ophthalmology 2019; 127:P66-P145. [PMID: 31757498 DOI: 10.1016/j.ophtha.2019.09.025] [Citation(s) in RCA: 327] [Impact Index Per Article: 65.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/20/2019] [Accepted: 09/20/2019] [Indexed: 12/15/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Steven T Bailey
- Casey Eye Institute, Oregon Health & Science University, Portland, OR
| | - Amani Fawzi
- Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL
| | | | - G Atma Vemulakonda
- Department of Ophthalmology, Palo Alto Medical Foundation, Palo Alto, CA
| | - Gui-Shuang Ying
- Center for Preventative Ophthalmology and Biostatistics, Department of Ophthalmology, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA
| |
Collapse
|
8
|
Burkemper B, Torres M, Jiang X, McKean-Cowdin R, Varma R. Factors Associated with Visual Impairment in Chinese American Adults: The Chinese American Eye Study. Ophthalmic Epidemiol 2019; 26:329-335. [PMID: 31146615 DOI: 10.1080/09286586.2019.1622737] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/26/2022]
Abstract
Purpose: To assess associations between multiple factors comprising a conceptual model of visual impairment (VI) in a population of Chinese Americans (CAs), and identify independent VI risk factors. Methods: A population-based study of 4582 CAs aged 50 years and older residing in Monterey Park, California. A comprehensive eye examination was performed. VI was defined as best-corrected visual acuity <20/40 (US definition) in the better-seeing eye. Results: Of five independent risk factors identified, age and self-reported history of ocular disease were most strongly associated with VI. Participants 70 years and older were 10.0 times as likely to have VI compared to those in their 50s (95% confidence interval (CI) 4.0-25.0), while those with a history of ocular disease were 4.2 times as likely to have VI (95% CI 2.2-7.8). Additional risk factors included low education (OR 2.8, 95% CI 1.7-4.8), low acculturation (OR 5.9, 95% CI 2.0-17.3) and self-reported history of diabetes (OR 2.0, 95% CI 1.2-3.2). A comparison to data previously described from the Los Angeles Latino Eye Study indicated that four of the factors that predict VI risk in CAs also represent clinically relevant risk factors for VI in Latinos. Conclusions: Screening programs for individuals with advanced age and a history of ocular disease have the potential to reduce the burden of VI in CAs, as do educational programs for those with fewer years in school, a history of diabetes, and low acculturation.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Bruce Burkemper
- Southern California Eye Institute, CHA Hollywood Presbyterian Medical Center , Los Angeles , CA , USA
| | - Mina Torres
- Southern California Eye Institute, CHA Hollywood Presbyterian Medical Center , Los Angeles , CA , USA
| | - Xuejuan Jiang
- Departments of Ophthalmology and Preventive Medicine, Keck School of Medicine of the University of Southern California , Los Angeles , CA , USA
| | - Roberta McKean-Cowdin
- Departments of Ophthalmology and Preventive Medicine, Keck School of Medicine of the University of Southern California , Los Angeles , CA , USA
| | - Rohit Varma
- Southern California Eye Institute, CHA Hollywood Presbyterian Medical Center , Los Angeles , CA , USA
| |
Collapse
|
9
|
Turan E, Kırboğa K, Turan Y, Göçmen AY. Pentraxin 3 and epicardial fat thickness are independently associated with diabetic retinopathy in diabetic patients. Int J Diabetes Dev Ctries 2018. [DOI: 10.1007/s13410-018-0695-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/01/2022] Open
|