Factors influencing survival of patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma and synchronous liver metastases receiving palliative care

Systemic Chemotherapy With or Without Hepatic Arterial Infusion Chemotherapy for Liver Metastases From Pancreatic Cancer: A Propensity Score Matching Analysis

BACKGROUND

The significance of systemic chemotherapy (SCT) combined with hepatic arterial infusion (HAI) chemotherapy in the treatment of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma with liver metastases (PACLM) remains unclear. Based on previous studies, this single-center propensity score matching (PSM) study aimed to explore the efficacy of SCT with or without HAI for PACLM.

PATIENT AND METHODS

The PSM method was used to screen 661 cases of PACLM who received SCT at Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital from 2001 to 2020. According to the 1:6 ratio with PSM, 385 patients were divided into the SCT+HAI group (n = 55) and the SCT group (n = 330). After a median follow-up of 49 (range 7-153) months, overall survival (OS) and survival-related prognostic factors were analyzed.

RESULTS

The main baseline characteristics of the SCT+HAI group and the SCT alone group were matched appropriately (P > .05). After PSM, the median OS for patients in the 2 groups was 10.6 and 7.6 months, respectively (P = .02). Multivariate analysis revealed that peritoneal metastases (P = .03), CA199 ≥ 500U/mL (P = .03), and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) ≥ 250U/L (P = .03) were prognostic factors of poor survival, modern SCT plus HAI (P = .04) was a protective factor.

CONCLUSION

Our findings indicated that adequate cycles of SCT+HAI result in better survival than SCT alone in patients with PACLM. Patients with peritoneal metastases, markedly elevated CA19-9 and LDH have a poorer prognosis. The conclusion has yet to be validated in randomized controlled clinical trials.

Is lung involvement a favorable prognostic factor for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma with synchronous liver metastases?-A propensity score analysis

BACKGROUND

For advanced pancreatic cancer, pulmonary metastases (PM) have been considered favorable factors compared to metastases of other sites, but it remains unknown whether the prognosis of patients with synchronous liver and lung metastases is better than that of non-PM.

METHODS

Data was derived from a two-decade cohort and included 932 cases of pancreatic adenocarcinoma with synchronous liver metastases (PACLM). Propensity score matching (PSM) was applied to balance 360 selected cases, grouped into PM (n = 90) and non-PM (n = 270). Overall survival (OS) and survival-related factors were analyzed.

RESULTS

In PSM-adjusted data, the median OS was 7.3 and 5.8 months, for PM and non-PM, respectively (p = 0.16). Multivariate analysis revealed that male gender, poor performance status, higher hepatic tumor burden, ascites, elevated carbohydrate antigen 19-9, and lactate dehydrogenase were factors of poor survival (p < 0.05). Chemotherapy was the only independent significant factor of favorable prognosis (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Although lung involvement was indicated to be a favorable prognostic factor for patients with PACLM in the whole cohort, PM were not associated with better survivals in the subset of cases subjected to PSM adjustment.

Thoracic Surgery in the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Novel Approach to Reach Guideline Consensus

The COVID-19 pandemic challenges international and national healthcare systems. In the field of thoracic surgery, procedures may be deferred due to mandatory constraints of the access to diagnostics, staff and follow-up facilities. There is a lack of prospective data on the management of benign and malignant thoracic conditions in the pandemic. Therefore, we derived recommendations from 14 thoracic societies to address key questions on the topic of COVID-19 in the field of thoracic surgery. Respective recommendations were extracted and the degree of consensus among different organizations was calculated. A high degree of consensus was found to temporarily suspend non-critical elective procedures or procedures for benign conditions and to prioritize patients with symptomatic or advanced cancer. Prior to hospitalization, patients should be screened for respiratory symptoms indicating possible COVID-19 infection and most societies recommended to screen all patients for COVID-19 prior to admission. There was a weak consensus on the usage of serology tests and CT scans for COVID-19 diagnostics. Nearly all societies suggested to postpone elective procedures in patients with suspected or confirmed COVID-19 and recommended constant reevaluation of these patients. Additionally, we summarized recommendations focusing on precautions in the theater and the management of chest drains. This study provides a novel approach to informed guidance for thoracic surgeons during the COVID-19 pandemic in the absence of scientific evidence-based data.

Nomogram for predicting overall survival of patients with bladder cancer: A population-based study

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to develop and validate a reliable nomogram to estimate overall survival in bladder cancer.

METHOD

Patients diagnosed with bladder cancer identified in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database were randomly divided into training and validation cohorts. The powerful prognostic variables were examined using Cox regression analyses. A nomogram was developed on the prognostic factors.

RESULTS

The results suggested that age, sex, race, grade, histologic type, primary site, pathological stage, surgical treatment, and number of primary tumors, were the powerful prognostic factors. All these factors were integrated to construct the nomogram. The nomogram for predicting overall survival showed better discrimination power than the tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stage system 8th edition.

CONCLUSION

The nomogram has the potential to provide an individualized prediction of overall survival in patients with bladder cancer.

Analysis of Clinical Predictive Factors Affecting the Outcome of Second-Line Chemotherapy for Gemcitabine-Refractory Advanced Pancreatic Cancer

Background/Aims: The benefit of second-line chemotherapy (SL) after failed first-line chemotherapy (FL) in patients with advanced pancreatic cancer has not yet been established. We evaluated the clinical characteristics affecting the benefits of SL compared to best supportive care (BSC), identified the prognostic factors, and ultimately devised a model of clinical parameters to assist in making decision between SL and BSC after the failure of gemcitabine-based FL. Methods: The records of patients who received gemcitabinebased FL for advanced pancreatic cancer at Yonsei University Hospital between January 2010 and December 2015 were retrospectively reviewed. Significant clinical parameters were assessed for their potential as predictive factors. Results: SL patients received a longer duration of FL compared with BSC patients with median duration being 16.0 weeks (range, 8.0 to 26.0 weeks) and 8.0 weeks (range, 4.0 to 16.0 weeks), respectively (p<0.001). When the SL group was stratified by their modified overall survival (mOS) (longer and shorter than 6 months), we found significant differences for several clinical factors, namely, metastasis to the peritoneum (p<0.001), number of metastases (p<0.001), thrombotic events (p=0.003), and level of carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19- 9; p=0.011). In multivariate analysis, more than one site of metastasis, occurrence of thrombotic event during FL, and a CA19-9 level above 90 U/mL were significant independent prognostic factors for mOS in the SL group (p<0.05). When an attempt was made to devise a prognostic nomogram, Harrell's C-index of the final prognosis prediction model was 0.62. Conclusions: SL may be beneficial for patients without peritoneal metastasis or thrombotic events who have a single metastasis and a level of CA19-9 less than 90 U/mL. This prognostic nomogram can be used to predict mOS before the administration of SL after the failure of gemcitabinebased FL.

The Diverse Involvement of Cigarette Smoking in Pancreatic Cancer Development and Prognosis

Despite extensive research in the pathogenesis, early detection, and therapeutic approaches of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), it remains a devastating and incurable disease. As the global incidence and prevalence of PDAC continue to rise, there is a pressing need to place strong emphasis on its prevention. Although it is widely recognized that cigarette smoking, a potentially modifiable risk factor, has been linked to PDAC development, its contribution to prognosis is still uncertain. Moreover, the mechanistic pathways of PDAC progression secondary to smoking are various and lack a summative narration. Herein, we update and summarize the direct and indirect roles cigarette smoking plays on PDAC development, review literature to conclude the impact cigarette smoking has on prognosis, and postulate a comprehensive mechanism for cigarette smoking-induced PDAC.

The relationship between pain, analgesics and survival in patients with advanced cancer; a secondary data analysis of the international European palliative care Cancer symptom study

PURPOSE

Opioids reduce cancer-related pain but an association with shorter survival is variably reported.

AIM

To investigate the relationship between pain, analgesics, cancer and survival within the European Palliative Care Cancer Symptom (EPCCS) study to help inform clinical decision making.

METHODS

Secondary analysis of the international prospective, longitudinal EPCCS study which included 1739 adults with advanced, incurable cancer receiving palliative care. In this secondary analysis, for all participants with date of death or last follow up, a multilevel Weibull survival analysis examined whether pain, analgesics, and other relevant variables are associated with time to death.

RESULTS

Date of death or last follow-up was available for 1404 patients (mean age 65.7 [SD:12.3];men 50%). Secondary analysis of this group showed the mean survival from baseline was 46.5 (SD:1.5) weeks (95% CI:43.6-49.3). Pain was reported by 76%; 60% were taking opioids, 51% non-opioid analgesics and 24% co-analgesics. Opioid-use was associated with decreased survival in the multivariable model (HR = 1.59 (95% CI:1.38-1.84), p < 0.001). An exploratory subgroup analysis of those with C-reactive protein (CRP) measures (n = 219) indicated higher CRP was associated with poorer survival (p = 0.001). In this model, the strength of relationship between survival and opioid-use weakened (p = 0.029).

CONCLUSION

Opioid-use and survival were associated; this relationship weakened in a small sensitivity-testing subgroup analysis adjusting for CRP. Thus, the observed relationship between survival and opioid-use may partly be due to tumour-related inflammation. Larger studies, measuring disease activity, are needed to confirm this finding to more accurately judge the benefits and risks of opioids in advanced progressive disease.

Systemic chemotherapy in combination with liver-directed therapy improves survival in patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma and synchronous liver metastases

OBJECTIVES

We investigated whether the combination of systemic chemotherapy (SCT) and liver-directed therapy (LDT) was superior to chemotherapy alone for patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma and synchronous liver metastases (PACLM).

METHODS

We reviewed the medical records of 184 patients treated with SCT ± LDT at Tianjin Medical University Cancer Hospital from 2001 to 2015. Overall survival (OS) was the primary end-point. The role of treatment modality and other clinical factors was evaluated by univariate and Cox regression analyses.

RESULTS

Sixty-four (34.8%) patients in the SCT-LDT group and 120 (65.2%) patients in the SCT group were included in the analysis. Baseline clinical characteristics were similar between the groups (all P > 0.05). The median survival was 8.7 months in the SCT-LDT group and was 6.3 months in the SCT group. The 0.5-, 1-, 2- and 3-year survival rates were 67.2%, 33.4%, 13.3% and 8.9%, respectively, after SCT-LDT, and were 54.9%, 19.0%, 4.5% and 2.0%, respectively, after SCT (P = 0.01). Primary tumor size, ascites, and treatment modality (SCT + LDT vs. SCT) independently predicted survival (P < 0.05). The clinical efficacy congruously favored the SCT-LDT group across the majority of subgroups.

CONCLUSIONS

SCT combined with LDT was well tolerated and may be effective to improve survival of patients with PACLM. Ascites and large primary tumor size were poor prognostic factors associated with survival.

Prognostic value of pretreatment serum lactate dehydrogenase level in pancreatic cancer patients: A meta-analysis of 18 observational studies

BACKGROUND

Several studies were conducted to investigate the prognostic value of pretreatment serum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) level in pancreatic cancer (PC), but the results were inconsistent. This study aims to comprehensively assess the prognostic value of pretreatment serum LDH level in PC patients by combining the data of the published literatures on this topic.

METHODS

Embase, PubMed, and Web of Science were completely retrieved until June, 2018. The observational studies focusing on the prognostic value of pretreatment serum LDH level in PC patients were eligible. STATA version 12.0 was used to undertake the statistical analysis.

RESULTS

Eighteen studies with a total of 3345 patients were included in this meta-analysis. The meta-analysis was conducted to generate pooled hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for overall survival (OS). Our analysis results suggested that high serum LDH level predicted worse OS (HR 1.57, 95% CI 1.30-1.90, P < .001) in PC patients. Moreover, for patients with advanced PC, the prognostic relevance of pretreatment serum LDH level not only existed in those receiving palliative chemotherapy (HR 1.72, 95% CI 1.35-2.18, P < .001), but also in those who were precluded from chemotherapy (HR 1.91, 95% CI 1.4219-2.58, P < .001).

CONCLUSION

The meta-analysis results demonstrated that pretreatment serum LDH level is closely associated with OS, and it may be a useful biomarker for assessing the prognosis of PC patients.

Post-progression survival following second-line chemotherapy in patients with advanced pancreatic cancer previously treated with gemcitabine: a meta-analysis

Background Post-progression survival (PPS) could be a confounding element in interpreting data from clinical trials of second-line chemotherapy in patients with advanced pancreatic cancer (PC) previously treated with gemcitabine (GEM) because a recent meta-analysis of oxaliplatin combination therapy showed statistical heterogeneity for overall survival (OS) but not for progression-free survival (PFS). This study aimed to improve the understanding of the impact of PPS on OS in this setting. Methods Databases were searched to identify randomized controlled trials (RCTs) in the salvage setting. We evaluated relationships between OS and PFS, PPS, and other variables. Results Totally, 17 RCTs with 3253 patients were identified. Median OS was strongly and moderately associated with median PPS and PFS, respectively (r = 0.913; p < 0.001 and 0.780; p < 0.001, respectively). The proportion of patients with good performance status was significantly associated with both PPS and PFS (r = 0.574, p < 0.001 and 0.492, p < 0.001, respectively). The induction rate of subsequent chemotherapy was related to the duration of PPS and OS (r = 0.640, p < 0.001 and 0.647, p < 0.001, respectively). Median PPS and OS were significantly longer in recent trials than those in older trials (3.55 versus 2.78 months, p < 0.001 and 6.29 versus 5.02 months, p < 0.001). Conclusions Median PPS was strongly correlated with median OS. Given the recently increased opportunity for subsequent chemotherapy and supportive care, PPS may serve as an important element to clarify problems in this setting.

Nomogram for predicting survival in patients with pancreatic cancer

Background

The purpose of this study was to develop a nomogram to predict cancer-specific survival (CSS) in pancreatic cancer (PC).

Patients and methods

We used the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database to analyze 53,028 patients diagnosed with PC from 2004 to 2014 and randomly divided them into the training (n=26,583) cohort and validation (n=26,445) cohort. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to select independent prognostic factors. We used significant prognostic factors for constructing a nomogram based on Cox regression analyses. Validation of the nomogram was assessed by discrimination and calibration.

Results

According to the multivariate models of training cohort, a nomogram that combined age, race, tumor location, marital status, tumor size, TNM stage, tumor grade, and surgery was constructed for predicting CSS. The internally validated and externally validated C-indexes were 0.741 and 0.734, respectively. The calibration curves showed that the nomogram was able to predict 1-, 3-, and 5-year CSS accurately.

Conclusion

A nomogram effectively predicts survival in patients with PC. This prognostic model may be considered for use in clinical practice.