Survival prediction after upfront surgery in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma: Radiomic, clinic-pathologic and body composition analysis

The Value of Biological and Conditional Factors for Staging of Patients with Resectable Pancreatic Cancer Undergoing Upfront Resection: A Nationwide Analysis

BACKGROUND

Novel definitions suggest that resectability status for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) should be assessed beyond anatomical criteria, considering both biological and conditional factors. This has, however, yet to be validated on a nationwide scale. This study evaluated the prognostic value of biological and conditional factors for staging of patients with resectable PDAC.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A nationwide observational cohort study was performed, including all consecutive patients who underwent upfront resection of National Comprehensive Cancer Network resectable PDAC in the Netherlands (2014-2019) with complete information on preoperative carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9 and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status. PDAC was considered biologically unfavorable (RB+) if CA19-9 ≥ 500 U/mL and favorable (RB-) otherwise. ECOG ≥ 2 was considered conditionally unfavorable (RC+) and favorable otherwise (RC-). Overall survival (OS) was assessed using Kaplan-Meier and Cox-proportional hazard analysis, presented as hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence interval (CI).

RESULTS

Overall, 688 patients were analyzed with a median overall survival (OS) of 20 months (95% CI 19-23). OS was 14 months (95% CI 10 months-median not reached) in 20 RB+C+ patients (3%; HR 1.61, 95% CI 0.86-2.70), 13 months (95% CI 11-15) in 156 RB+C- patients (23%; HR 1.86, 95% CI 1.50-2.31), and 21 months (95% CI 12-41) in 47 RB-C+ patients (7%; HR 1.14, 95% CI 0.80-1.62) compared with 24 months (95% CI 22-27) in 465 patients with RB-C- PDAC (68%; reference).

CONCLUSIONS

Survival after upfront resection of anatomically resectable PDAC is worse in patients with CA19-9 ≥ 500 U/mL, while performance status had no impact. This supports consideration of CA19-9 in preoperative staging of resectable PDAC.

Re-assessing the role of peri-operative nutritional therapy in patients with pancreatic cancer undergoing surgery: a narrative review

Pancreatic cancer is the most common medical condition that requires pancreatic resection. Over the last three decades, significant improvements have been made in the conditions and procedures related to pancreatic surgery, resulting in mortality rates lower than 5%. However, it is important to note that the morbidity in pancreatic surgery remains r latively high, with a percentage range of 30-60%. Pre-operative malnutrition is considered to be an independent risk factor for post-operative complications in pancreatic surgery, such as impaired wound healing, higher infection rates, prolonged hospital stay, hospital readmission, poor prognosis, and increased morbidity and mortality. Regarding the post-operative period, it is crucial to provide the best possible management of gastrointestinal dysfunction and to handle the consequences of alterations in food digestion and nutrient absorption for those undergoing pancreatic surgery. The European Society for Clinical Nutrition and Metabolism (ESPEN) suggests that early oral feeding should be the preferred way to initiate nourishing surgical patients as it is associated with lower rates of complications. However, there is ongoing debate about the optimal post-operative feeding approach. Several studies have shown that enteral nutrition is associated with a shorter time to recovery, superior clinical outcomes and biomarkers. On the other hand, recent data suggest that nutritional goals are better achieved with parenteral feeding, either exclusively or as a supplement. The current review highlights recommendations from existing evidence, including nutritional screening and assessment and pre/post-operative nutrition support fundamentals to improve patient outcomes. Key areas for improvement and opportunities to enhance guideline implementation are also highlighted.

Preoperative evaluating early recurrence in resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma by using CT radiomics

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the feasibility of a radiomics model based on contrast-enhanced CT for preoperatively predicting early recurrence after curative resection in patients with resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC).

METHODS

One hundred and eighty-six patients with resectable PDAC who underwent curative resection were included and allocated to training set (131 patients) and validation set (55 patients). Radiomics features were extracted from arterial phase and portal venous phase images. The Mann-Whitney U test and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression were used for feature selection and radiomics signature construction. The radiomics model based on radiomics signature and clinical features was developed by the multivariate logistic regression analysis. Performance of the radiomics model was investigated by the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.

RESULTS

The radiomics signature, consisting of three arterial phase and three venous phase features, showed optimal prediction performance for early recurrence in both training (AUC = 0.73) and validation sets (AUC = 0.66). Multivariate logistic analysis identified the radiomics signature (OR, 2.58; 95% CI 2.36-3.17; p = 0.002) and clinical stage (OR, 1.60; 95% CI 1.15-2.30; p = 0.007) as independent predictors. The AUC values for risk evaluation of early recurrence using the radiomics model incorporating clinical stage were 0.80 (training set) and 0.75 (validation set).

CONCLUSION

The radiomics-based model integrating with clinical stage can predict early recurrence after upfront surgery in patients with resectable PDAC.

Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma: Update of CT-Based Radiomics Applications in the Pre-Surgical Prediction of the Risk of Post-Operative Fistula, Resectability Status and Prognosis

BACKGROUND

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is the seventh leading cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide. Surgical resection is the main driver to improving survival in resectable tumors, while neoadjuvant treatment based on chemotherapy (and radiotherapy) is the best option-treatment for a non-primally resectable disease. CT-based imaging has a central role in detecting, staging, and managing PDAC. As several authors have proposed radiomics for risk stratification in patients undergoing surgery for PADC, in this narrative review, we have explored the actual fields of interest of radiomics tools in PDAC built on pre-surgical imaging and clinical variables, to obtain more objective and reliable predictors.

METHODS

The PubMed database was searched for papers published in the English language no earlier than January 2018.

RESULTS

We found 301 studies, and 11 satisfied our research criteria. Of those included, four were on resectability status prediction, three on preoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) prediction, and four on survival prediction. Most of the studies were retrospective.

CONCLUSIONS

It is possible to conclude that many performing models have been developed to get predictive information in pre-surgical evaluation. However, all the studies were retrospective, lacking further external validation in prospective and multicentric cohorts. Furthermore, the radiomics models and the expression of results should be standardized and automatized to be applicable in clinical practice.

A primer on artificial intelligence in pancreatic imaging

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is set to transform medical imaging by leveraging the vast data contained in medical images. Deep learning and radiomics are the two main AI methods currently being applied within radiology. Deep learning uses a layered set of self-correcting algorithms to develop a mathematical model that best fits the data. Radiomics converts imaging data into mineable features such as signal intensity, shape, texture, and higher-order features. Both methods have the potential to improve disease detection, characterization, and prognostication. This article reviews the current status of artificial intelligence in pancreatic imaging and critically appraises the quality of existing evidence using the radiomics quality score.

Comprehensive multimodal management of borderline resectable pancreatic cancer: Current status and progress

Borderline resectable pancreatic cancer (BRPC) is a complex clinical entity with specific biological features. Criteria for resectability need to be assessed in combination with tumor anatomy and oncology. Neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) for BRPC patients is associated with additional survival benefits. Research is currently focused on exploring the optimal NAT regimen and more reliable ways of assessing response to NAT. More attention to management standards during NAT, including biliary drainage and nutritional support, is needed. Surgery remains the cornerstone of BRPC treatment and multidisciplinary teams can help to evaluate whether patients are suitable for surgery and provide individualized management during the perioperative period, including NAT responsiveness and the selection of surgical timing.

Development and external validation of a radiomics combined with clinical nomogram for preoperative prediction prognosis of resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma patients

PURPOSE

To develop and externally validate a prognosis nomogram based on contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT) combined clinical for preoperative prognosis prediction of patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC).

METHODS

184 patients from Center A with histopathologically confirmed PDAC who underwent CECT were included and allocated to training cohort (n=111) and internal validation cohort (n=28). The radiomic score (Rad - score) for predicting overall survival (OS) was constructed by using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO). Univariate and multivariable Cox regression analysis was used to construct clinic-pathologic features. Finally, a radiomics nomogram incorporating the Rad - score and clinical features was established. External validation was performed using Center B dataset (n = 45). The validation of nomogram was evaluated by calibration curve, Harrell's concordance index (C-index) and decision curve analysis (DCA). The Kaplan-Meier (K-M) method was used for OS analysis.

RESULTS

Univariate and multivariate analysis indicated that Rad - score, preoperative CA 19-9 and postoperative American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) TNM stage were significant prognostic factors. The nomogram based on Rad - score and preoperative CA19-9 was found to exhibit excellent prediction ability: in the training cohort, C-index was superior to that of the preoperative CA19-9 (0.713 vs 0.616, P< 0.001) and AJCC TNM stage (0.713 vs 0.614, P< 0.001); the C-index was also had good performance in the validation cohort compared with CA19-9 (internal validation cohort: 0.694 vs 0.555, P< 0.001; external validation cohort: 0.684 vs 0.607, P< 0.001) and AJCC TNM stage (internal validation cohort: 0.694 vs 0.563, P< 0.001; external validation cohort: 0.684 vs 0.596, P< 0.001). The calibration plot and DCA showed excellent predictive accuracy in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSION

We established a well-designed nomogram to accurately predict OS of PDAC preoperatively. The nomogram showed a satisfactory prediction effect and was worthy of further evaluation in the future.

Setting the Research Agenda for Clinical Artificial Intelligence in Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma Imaging

Simple Summary

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is one of the deadliest cancers worldwide, associated with a 98% loss of life expectancy and a 30% increase in disability-adjusted life years. Image-based artificial intelligence (AI) can help improve outcomes for PDAC given that current clinical guidelines are non-uniform and lack evidence-based consensus. However, research on image-based AI for PDAC is too scattered and lacking in sufficient quality to be incorporated into clinical workflows. In this review, an international, multi-disciplinary team of the world’s leading experts in pancreatic cancer breaks down the patient pathway and pinpoints the current clinical touchpoints in each stage. The available PDAC imaging AI literature addressing each pathway stage is then rigorously analyzed, and current performance and pitfalls are identified in a comprehensive overview. Finally, the future research agenda for clinically relevant, image-driven AI in PDAC is proposed.

Abstract

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), estimated to become the second leading cause of cancer deaths in western societies by 2030, was flagged as a neglected cancer by the European Commission and the United States Congress. Due to lack of investment in research and development, combined with a complex and aggressive tumour biology, PDAC overall survival has not significantly improved the past decades. Cross-sectional imaging and histopathology play a crucial role throughout the patient pathway. However, current clinical guidelines for diagnostic workup, patient stratification, treatment response assessment, and follow-up are non-uniform and lack evidence-based consensus. Artificial Intelligence (AI) can leverage multimodal data to improve patient outcomes, but PDAC AI research is too scattered and lacking in quality to be incorporated into clinical workflows. This review describes the patient pathway and derives touchpoints for image-based AI research in collaboration with a multi-disciplinary, multi-institutional expert panel. The literature exploring AI to address these touchpoints is thoroughly retrieved and analysed to identify the existing trends and knowledge gaps. The results show absence of multi-institutional, well-curated datasets, an essential building block for robust AI applications. Furthermore, most research is unimodal, does not use state-of-the-art AI techniques, and lacks reliable ground truth. Based on this, the future research agenda for clinically relevant, image-driven AI in PDAC is proposed.

Using Quantitative Imaging for Personalized Medicine in Pancreatic Cancer: A Review of Radiomics and Deep Learning Applications

Simple Summary

With a five-year survival rate of only 3% for the majority of patients, pancreatic cancer is a global healthcare challenge. Radiomics and deep learning, two novel quantitative imaging methods that treat medical images as minable data instead of just pictures, have shown promise in advancing personalized management of pancreatic cancer through diagnosing precursor diseases, early detection, accurate diagnosis, and treatment personalization. Radiomics and deep learning methods aim to collect hidden information in medical images that is missed by conventional radiology practices through expanding the data search and comparing information across different patients. Both methods have been studied and applied in pancreatic cancer. In this review, we focus on the current progress of these two methods in pancreatic cancer and provide a comprehensive narrative review on the topic. With better regulation, enhanced workflow, and larger prospective patient datasets, radiomics and deep learning methods could show real hope in the battle against pancreatic cancer through personalized precision medicine.

Abstract

As the most lethal major cancer, pancreatic cancer is a global healthcare challenge. Personalized medicine utilizing cutting-edge multi-omics data holds potential for major breakthroughs in tackling this critical problem. Radiomics and deep learning, two trendy quantitative imaging methods that take advantage of data science and modern medical imaging, have shown increasing promise in advancing the precision management of pancreatic cancer via diagnosing of precursor diseases, early detection, accurate diagnosis, and treatment personalization and optimization. Radiomics employs manually-crafted features, while deep learning applies computer-generated automatic features. These two methods aim to mine hidden information in medical images that is missed by conventional radiology and gain insights by systematically comparing the quantitative image information across different patients in order to characterize unique imaging phenotypes. Both methods have been studied and applied in various pancreatic cancer clinical applications. In this review, we begin with an introduction to the clinical problems and the technology. After providing technical overviews of the two methods, this review focuses on the current progress of clinical applications in precancerous lesion diagnosis, pancreatic cancer detection and diagnosis, prognosis prediction, treatment stratification, and radiogenomics. The limitations of current studies and methods are discussed, along with future directions. With better standardization and optimization of the workflow from image acquisition to analysis and with larger and especially prospective high-quality datasets, radiomics and deep learning methods could show real hope in the battle against pancreatic cancer through big data-based high-precision personalization.

Pre-operative radiomics model for prognostication in resectable pancreatic adenocarcinoma with external validation

OBJECTIVES

In resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), few pre-operative prognostic biomarkers are available. Radiomics has demonstrated potential but lacks external validation. We aimed to develop and externally validate a pre-operative clinical-radiomic prognostic model.

METHODS

Retrospective international, multi-center study in resectable PDAC. The training cohort included 352 patients (pre-operative CTs from five Canadian hospitals). Cox models incorporated (a) pre-operative clinical variables (clinical), (b) clinical plus CT-radiomics, and (c) post-operative TNM model, which served as the reference. Outcomes were overall (OS)/disease-free survival (DFS). Models were assessed in the validation cohort from Ireland (n = 215, CTs from 34 hospitals), using C-statistic, calibration, and decision curve analyses.

RESULTS

The radiomic signature was predictive of OS/DFS in the validation cohort, with adjusted hazard ratios (HR) 2.87 (95% CI: 1.40-5.87, p < 0.001)/5.28 (95% CI 2.35-11.86, p < 0.001), respectively, along with age 1.02 (1.01-1.04, p = 0.01)/1.02 (1.00-1.04, p = 0.03). In the validation cohort, median OS was 22.9/37 months (p = 0.0092) and DFS 14.2/29.8 (p = 0.0023) for high-/low-risk groups and calibration was moderate (mean absolute errors 7%/13% for OS at 3/5 years). The clinical-radiomic model discrimination (C = 0.545, 95%: 0.543-0.546) was higher than the clinical model alone (C = 0.497, 95% CI 0.496-0.499, p < 0.001) or TNM (C = 0.525, 95% CI: 0.524-0.526, p < 0.001). Despite superior net benefit compared to the clinical model, the clinical-radiomic model was not clinically useful for most threshold probabilities.

CONCLUSION

A multi-institutional pre-operative clinical-radiomic model for resectable PDAC prognostication demonstrated superior net benefit compared to a clinical model but limited clinical utility at external validation. This reflects inherent limitations of radiomics for PDAC prognostication, when deployed in real-world settings.

KEY POINTS

• At external validation, a pre-operative clinical-radiomics prognostic model for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) outperformed pre-operative clinical variables alone or pathological TNM staging. • Discrimination and clinical utility of the clinical-radiomic model for treatment decisions remained low, likely due to heterogeneity of CT acquisition parameters. • Despite small improvements, prognosis in PDAC using state-of-the-art radiomics methodology remains challenging, mostly owing to its low discriminative ability. Future research should focus on standardization of CT protocols and acquisition parameters.