The Effect of a Comprehensive Care Transition Model on Cost and Utilization for Medically Complex Children With Cerebral Palsy

Identifying the Prevalence and Causes of 30-Day Hospital Readmission in Children: A Case Study from a Tertiary Pediatric Hospital

Introduction

The objectives of this study were to determine the prevalence of unplanned readmissions in the pediatric population within 30 days of discharge, identify the possible reasons behind them, and develop a predictive model for unplanned admissions.

Methods

A retrospective chart review study of 25,211 patients was conducted to identify the prevalence of readmissions occurring within 30 days of discharge from the King Abdullah Specialized Children's Hospital (KASCH) in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, between Jan 1, 2019, and Dec 31, 2021. The data were collected using the BestCare electronic health records system and analyzed using Jamovi statistical software version 1.6.

Results

Among the 25,211 patients admitted to the hospital during the study period, the prevalence of unplanned readmission within 30 days was 1291 (5.12%). Of the 1291 patients, 1.91% had subsequent unplanned readmissions. In 57.8% of the cases, the cause of the first unplanned readmission was related to the cause of the first admission, and in 90.64% of the cases, the cause of the subsequent unplanned readmission was related to the cause of the first unplanned readmission. The most common reason for the first unplanned readmission was postoperative complications (18.75%), whereas pneumonia (10.81%) was the most common reason for subsequent unplanned readmissions. Most patients with subsequent unplanned readmissions were also found to have either isolated central nervous system pathology or chronic complex medical conditions.

Conclusion

Internationally, the rate of unplanned readmissions in pediatric patients has been estimated to be 6.5% within 30 days, which is comparable to the results of our study (5.12%). Most of the causes of first and subsequent unplanned readmission were found to be related to primary admission. The diagnosis/causes of readmission vary depending on the patient's age. A predictive model for pediatric readmission should be established so that preventive measures can be implemented.

Hospital-to-home transitions for children with medical complexity: part 1, a systematic review of reported outcomes

Outcome selection to evaluate interventions to support a successful transition from hospital to home of children with medical complexity (CMC) may be difficult due to the variety in available outcomes. To support researchers in outcome selection, this systematic review aimed to summarize and categorize outcomes currently reported in publications evaluating the effectiveness of hospital-to-home transitional care interventions for CMC. We searched the following databases: Medline, Embase, Cochrane library, CINAHL, PsychInfo, and Web of Science for studies published between 1 January 2010 and 15 March 2023. Two reviewers independently screened the articles and extracted the data with a focus on the outcomes. Our research group extensively discussed the outcome list to identify those with similar definitions, wording or meaning. Consensus meetings were organized to discuss disagreements, and to summarize and categorize the data. We identified 50 studies that reported in total 172 outcomes. Consensus was reached on 25 unique outcomes that were assigned to six outcome domains: mortality and survival, physical health, life impact (the impact on functioning, quality of life, delivery of care and personal circumstances), resource use, adverse events, and others. Most frequently studied outcomes reflected life impact and resource use. Apart from the heterogeneity in outcomes, we also found heterogeneity in designs, data sources, and measurement tools used to evaluate the outcomes.     Conclusion: This systematic review provides a categorized overview of outcomes that may be used to evaluate interventions to improve hospital-to-home transition for CMC. The results can be used in the development of a core outcome set transitional care for CMC.

Multidisciplinary coordination of care for children with esophageal atresia and tracheoesophageal fistula

Esophageal Atresia/Tracheoesophageal Atresia (EA/TEF) is a multisystem congenital anomaly. Historically, children with EA/TEF lack coordinated care. A multidisciplinary clinic was established in 2005 to provide coordinated care and improve access to outpatient care. This single-center retrospective cohort study was conducted to describe our cohort of patients with EA/TEF born between March 2005 and March 2011, assess coordination of care, and to compare outcomes of children in the multidisciplinary clinic to the previous cohort without a multi-disciplinary clinic. A chart review identified demographics, hospitalizations, emergency visits, clinic visits, and coordination of outpatient care. Twenty-seven patients were included; 75.9% had a C-type EA/TEF. Clinics provided multidisciplinary care and compliance with the visit schedule was high with a median of 100% (IQR 50). Compared to the earlier cohort, the new cohort (N = 27) had fewer hospital admissions and LOS was reduced significantly in the first 2 years of life. Multidisciplinary care clinics for medically complex children can improve coordination of visits with multiple health care providers and may contribute to reduced use of acute care services.

Barriers to Discharge After Hip Reconstruction Surgery in Non-ambulatory Children With Neurological Complex Chronic Conditions

BACKGROUND

Hip reconstruction surgery in patients with neurological complex chronic conditions (CCC) is associated with prolonged hospitalization and extensive resource utilization. This population is vulnerable to cognitive, developmental, and medical comorbidities which can increase length of stay (LOS). The aims of this study were to characterize barriers to discharge for a cohort of children with neurological CCC undergoing hip reconstruction surgery and to identify patient risk factors for prolonged hospitalization and delayed discharge.

METHODS

Retrospective chart review of nonambulatory patients with neurological CCC undergoing hip reconstruction surgery between 2007-2016 was conducted. Hospitalization ≥1 day past medical clearance was characterized as delayed discharge. Barriers were defined as unresolved issues at the time of medical clearance and categorized as pertaining to the caregiver and patient education, durable medical equipment, postdischarge transportation/placement, and patient care needs.

RESULTS

The cohort of 116 patients was 53% male, 16% non-English speaking, and 49% Gross Motor Function Classification System (GMFCS) V with the mean age at surgery of 9.1±3.64 years. Median time from admission to medical clearance was 5 days with median LOS of 6 days. Approximately three-quarters of patients experienced delayed discharge (73%) with barriers identified for 74% of delays. Most prevalent barriers involved education (30%) and durable medical equipment (29%). Postdischarge transportation and placement accounted for 26% of barriers and 3.5 times longer delays ( P <0.001). Factors associated with delayed discharge included increased medical comorbidities ( P <0.05) and GMFCS V ( P <0.001). Longer LOS and medical clearance times were found for female ( P =0.005), older age ( P <0.001), bilateral surgery ( P =0.009), GMFCS V ( P =0.003), and non-English-speaking patients ( P <0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with neurological CCC frequently encounter postoperative barriers contributing to increased LOS and delayed discharge. Patients that may be at higher risk for prolonged hospitalization and greater resource utilization include those who are female sex, adolescent, GMFCS V, non-English speaking, have additional comorbidities, and are undergoing bilateral surgery. Standardized preoperative assessment of educational needs, perioperative equipment requirements, and posthospital transportation may decrease the LOS, reduce caregiver and patient burden/distress, cost, and ultimately reduce variation in care delivery.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level III, Retrospective Case Series.

Programmes to support transitions in community care for children with complex care needs: a scoping review

OBJECTIVE

This scoping review aimed to map the range of programmes in the literature to support children and youth with complex care needs and their families during transitions in care in the community.

DESIGN

A scoping review of the literature.

CONTEXT

This review included programmes that supported the transition in care to home and between settings in the community.

DATA SOURCES

We implemented our strategy to search five databases: (1) PubMed; (2) CINAHL; (3) ERIC; (4) PyscINFO and (5) Social Work Abstracts. The search was last implemented on 29 April 2021.

STUDY SELECTION

Our search results were imported into Covidence Systematic Review Software. First, two reviewers assessed titles and abstracts against our eligibility criteria. Relevant articles were then retrieved in full and reviewed by two reviewers for inclusion. Disagreements were resolved by a third reviewer.

DATA EXTRACTION

Relevant data were extracted related to population, concept, context, methods and key findings pertinent to our review objective.

RESULTS

A total of 2482 records were identified. After our two-stage screening process, a total of 27 articles were included for analysis. Articles ranged in the type of transitions being supported and target population. The most common transition reported was the hospital-to-home transition. Intervention components primarily consisted of care coordination using a teams-based approach. The most reported barriers and enablers to implementing these transition care programmes were related to physical opportunities.

LIMITATIONS

Included articles were limited to English and French.

CONCLUSIONS

This review identified important gaps within the literature, as well as areas for future consideration to ensure the effective development and implementation of programmes to support children and youth with complex care needs during transitions in care.

Care Coordination for Children with Special Health Care Needs: A Scoping Review to Inform Strategies for Students with Traumatic Brain Injuries

BACKGROUND

Chronic and complex medical issues, including traumatic brain injuries (TBIs), have significant educational implications. The purpose of this study was to identify and summarize the literature on care coordination strategies among health care professionals, educators, and caregivers for children with special health care needs (CSHCN). Clarifying factors that influence care coordination for CSHCN can inform future studies on care coordination for students with TBI. Improved understanding of these factors may lead to better communication, reduction of unmet needs, more efficient service access, and improved long-term outcomes for children.

METHODS

A scoping review was conducted, guided by PRISMA-ScR methodology. Five databases (CINAHL, PSYCINFO, EMBASE, ERIC, PubMed) were searched to identify relevant studies that focused on care coordination and educational settings.

RESULTS

Twelve articles met inclusion criteria. Care coordination interventions for CSHCN used in educational settings focused on relationship-building strategies, clear procedures and roles, and education of members of the school community.

CONCLUSIONS

Findings highlight strategies to coordinate care for CSHCN and factors that may moderate effects of these interventions. Key stakeholders should now study these strategies specifically in children with TBI.

Low-Resource Emergency Department Visits for Children With Complex Chronic Conditions

OBJECTIVE

Reducing emergency department (ED) use in children with complex chronic conditions (CCC) is a national health system priority. Emergency department visits with minimal clinical intervention may be the most avoidable. We assessed characteristics associated with experiencing such a low-resource ED visit among children with a CCC.

METHODS

A retrospective study of 271,806 ED visits between 2014 and 2017 among patients with a CCC in the Pediatric Health Information System database was performed. The main outcome was a low-resource ED visit, where no medications, laboratory, procedures, or diagnostic tests were administered and the patient was not admitted to the hospital. χ2 Tests and generalized linear models were used to assess bivariable and multivariable relationships of patients' demographic, clinical, and health service characteristics with the likelihood of a low- versus higher-resource ED visit.

RESULTS

Sixteen percent (n = 44,111) of ED visits among children with CCCs were low-resource. In multivariable analysis, the highest odds of experiencing a low- versus higher-resource ED visit occurred in patients aged 0 year (vs 16+ years; odds ratio [OR], 3.9 [95% confidence interval {CI}, 3.7-4.1]), living <5 (vs 20+) miles from the ED (OR, 1.7 [95% CI, 1.7-1.8]), and who presented to the ED in the day and evening versus overnight (1.5 [95% CI, 1.4-1.5]).

CONCLUSIONS

Infant age, living close to the ED, and day/evening-time visits were associated with the greatest likelihood of experiencing a low-resource ED visit in children with CCCs. Further investigation is needed to assess key drivers for ED use in these children and identify opportunities for diversion of ED care to outpatient and community settings.

A scoping review to inform care coordination strategies for youth with traumatic brain injuries: Care coordination personnel

Introduction & Importance:

Effective, patient-centered care coordination has been shown to improve outcomes for children with special healthcare needs (CSHCN), who often have complex, long-term involvement with multiple service providers. Traumatic brain injury (TBI) can result in long-term physical, intellectual, social, and emotional disabilities that persist long after acute treatment. Yet, even though it is a chronic condition, TBI remains an area with scarce standardization and research surrounding the complex, long-term care coordination need in this population. The purpose of this scoping review is to summarize current research on outcomes in CSHCN after implementation of care coordinators, whether individual or teams, to inform future research for youth with TBI.

Methods:

OVID/Medline, CINAHL, PsycINFO, EMBASE, and ERIC databases were searched for articles relevant to care coordination and CSHCN.

Results:

31 articles met inclusion criteria. Outcomes for children and families were grouped into 5 major categories: healthcare utilization, cost of care, disease status, parent and child quality of life, and healthcare satisfaction and perception of care.

Discussion:

Implementation of care coordinators, whether in the form of individuals, dyads, or teams, resulted in overall positive outcomes for CSHCN and their families across all 5 major outcome domains. Future research should be focused on the efficacy of care coordinators differing in profession, qualifications, and educational attainment specifically for the unique needs of children with TBI. Additionally, the application of care coordination within medical homes should be further investigated to increase proactive, preventative care of children with TBI and further reduce reactive, need-based treatment only.

Readmissions after ventricular shunting in pediatric patients with hydrocephalus: a Nationwide Readmissions Database analysis

OBJECTIVE

Cerebrospinal fluid diversion via ventricular shunting is a common surgical treatment for hydrocephalus in the pediatric population. No longitudinal follow-up data for a multistate population-based cohort of pediatric patients undergoing ventricular shunting in the United States have been published. In the current review of a nationwide population-based data set, the authors aimed to assess rates of shunt failure and hospital readmission in pediatric patients undergoing new ventricular shunt placement. They also review patient- and hospital-level factors associated with shunt failure and readmission.

METHODS

Included in this study was a population-based sample of pediatric patients with hydrocephalus who, in 2010-2014, had undergone new ventricular shunt placement and had sufficient follow-up, as recorded in the Nationwide Readmissions Database. The authors analyzed the rate of revision within 6 months, readmission rates at 30 and 90 days, and potential factors associated with shunt failure including patient- and hospital-level variables and type of hydrocephalus.

RESULTS

A total of 3520 pediatric patients had undergone initial ventriculoperitoneal shunt placement for hydrocephalus at an index admission. Twenty percent of these patients underwent shunt revision within 6 months. The median time to revision was 44.5 days. Eighteen percent of the patients were readmitted within 30 days and 31% were readmitted within 90 days. Different-hospital readmissions were rare, occurring in ≤ 6% of readmissions. Increased hospital volume was not protective against readmission or shunt revision. Patients with grade 3 or 4 intraventricular hemorrhage were more likely to have shunt malfunctions. Patients who had private insurance and who were treated at a large hospital were less likely to be readmitted.

CONCLUSIONS

In a nationwide, population-based database with longitudinal follow-up, shunt failure and readmission were common. Although patient and hospital factors were associated with readmission and shunt failure, system-wide phenomena such as insufficient centralization of care and fragmentation of care were not observed. Efforts to reduce readmissions in pediatric patients undergoing ventricular shunt procedures should focus on coordinating care in patients with complex neurological diseases and on reducing healthcare disparities associated with readmission.

Preventing Emergency Department Visits for Children With Medical Complexity Through Ambulatory Care: A Systematic Review

BACKGROUND

Children with medical complexity (CMC) represent a growing population with high emergency department (ED) utilization. How to reduce preventable ED visits is poorly understood.

OBJECTIVE

We sought to determine what components of ambulatory care programs focused on CMC were most effective in preventing ED visits.

DATA SOURCES

PubMed Plus, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Web of Science, Scopus, and Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature databases through October 2019, and hand search of bibliographies.

STUDY ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA

Two independent reviewers used a structured screening protocol to include English language articles summarizing studies that included CMC, emergency care, or ED utilization. Data on ED utilization were extracted.

RESULTS

Sixteen included studies described outpatient interventions to prevent ED utilization. Of these, studies that included 24/7 access to knowledgeable providers for acute care needs by phone (telehealth) or expedited or next-day appointments were the most consistently successful in reducing ED visits.

LIMITATIONS

Risk of bias was mixed across studies. The evidence base is currently small and observational nature of interventions and their evaluations limit definitive, generalizable recommendations.

CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS OF KEY FINDINGS

Current research suggests that real-time access to knowledgeable providers and expedited appointments can prevent ED visits. Further study is needed to generalize these findings as well as investigate novel strategies such as telehealth to improve quality of care, decrease utilization, and provide cost-effective care for this vulnerable population.

Identification of congenital CMV cases in administrative databases and implications for monitoring prevalence, healthcare utilization, and costs

OBJECTIVE

To critically review researchers' use of diagnosis codes to identify congenital cytomegalovirus (cCMV) infection or disease in healthcare administrative databases. Understanding the limitations of cCMV ascertainment in those databases can inform cCMV surveillance and health services research.

METHODS

We identified published studies that used diagnosis codes for cCMV or CMV in hospital discharge or health insurance claims and encounters records for infants to assess prevalence, use of services, or healthcare costs. We reviewed estimates of prevalence and of charges, costs, or expenditures associated with cCMV diagnosis codes.

RESULTS

Five studies assessed hospitalizations with cCMV diagnosis codes recorded in hospital discharge databases, from the United States (n = 3), Australia (n = 1), and the United Kingdom (n = 1). Six other studies analyzed claims or encounters data from the United States (n = 5) or Japan (n = 1) to identify infants with cCMV codes. Prevalence estimates of recognized cCMV ranged from 0.6 to 3.8 per 10,000 infants. Economic analyses reported a wide range of per-hospitalization or per-infant cost estimates, which lacked standardization or comparability.

CONCLUSIONS

The administrative prevalence of cCMV cases reported in published analyses of administrative data from North America, Western Europe, Japan, and Australia (0.6-3.8 per 10,000 infants) is an order of magnitude lower than the estimates of the true birth prevalence of 3-7 per 1,000 newborns based on universal newborn screening pilot studies conducted in the same regions. Nonetheless, in the absence of systematic surveillance for cCMV, administrative data might be useful for assessing trends in testing and clinical diagnosis. To the extent that cCMV cases recorded in administrative databases are not representative of the full spectrum of cCMV infection or disease, per-child cost estimates generated from those data may not be generalizable. On the other hand, claims data may be useful for estimating patterns of healthcare use and expenditures associated with combinations of diagnoses for cCMV and known complications of cCMV.

Transition from child-centred to adult-oriented healthcare systems for young people with neurodisability: a scoping review protocol

Background: The transition from child-centred to adult-oriented healthcare is a challenging time for young people with neurodisability. As the prevalence of neurodisability increases, greater numbers of young people will eventually transfer to the adult healthcare system. While there is a growing recognition of the importance of providing quality, transitional care, little is known about how to manage and optimise this process for young people with neurodisability. The objective of this scoping review is to examine and map existing literature related to the transition from child-centred to adult-oriented healthcare systems for young people with neurodisability.

Methods: Systematic literature searches of OVID MEDLINE, EMBASE, PsycINFO, CINAHL, Cochrane Library and Web of Science will be conducted from inception to present. A structured iterative search of grey literature will be conducted. This review will consider all study designs examining the transition from child to adult health services in neurodisability. Two reviewers will independently screen each retrieved title and abstract and assess full-text articles against the inclusion criteria to determine eligibility. Data will be extracted and synthesised quantitatively and qualitatively. The process and reporting will follow PRISMA-ScR guidelines.

Conclusion: This review will provide a broad and systematically mapped synthesis of the extent and nature of the available published and unpublished literature on transition from child-centred to adult-oriented healthcare systems in neurodisability. The results will be used to determine gaps in the current evidence base in order to prioritise areas for future research.

Compassion Fatigue in Nurses Caring for Medically Complex Children

The number of children living with chronic, complex medical needs is steadily increasing secondary to advances in clinical technology and disease management. As a result, patient care requirements become multifaceted with the need for specific therapies and treatments that require extensive knowledge and skills. As these children are managed throughout the health care continuum, nurses are challenged to offer specialized care for complex conditions, while meeting the personnel and financial demands of the changing health care environment. It is well established that medically complex children can put a burden on family life, resulting in compassion fatigue for nonclinical caregivers. It is possible that, secondary to frequent and lengthy hospitalizations, nurses may also be affected. Therefore, a review of compassion fatigue or professional burnout in nurses caring for medically complex children was conducted. Appropriate identification of nurses at risk for compassion fatigue is imperative to provide the necessary interventions and support. Reducing compassion fatigue is likely to improve outcomes, including nursing turnover, nursing professional engagement, and job satisfaction, thus improving the care delivery experience for children with complex conditions.

Transitioning Children With Medical Complexity From Hospital to Home Health Care: Implications for Hospital-Based Clinicians

OBJECTIVES

There is limited research about best practices for transitioning children with medical complexity (CMC) from hospital to home. Our objectives were to describe issues related to transitioning CMC from hospital to home health care and identify strategies to improve this transition.

METHODS

This qualitative study was conducted in western North Carolina between 2012 and 2014 and involved a focus group of 14 hospital- and community-based stakeholders and 4 focus groups of 18 home health nurses. Focus groups were audio-recorded and transcribed verbatim, and transcriptions were managed in ATLAS.ti software. By using content analysis, recurrent themes related to transitioning CMC from hospital to home were identified.

RESULTS

Themes in 4 domains emerged. (1) Home health orders: home health care providers desired hospital-based providers to write accurate and specific orders, notify them in advance about discharge to order specialized supplies, and avoid changing orders at the last minute. (2) Communication: participants found discharge summaries useful but did not always receive them. Communication between hospital-based clinicians, home health care providers, and the child's primary care physician about the hospitalization and home care was important. (3) Resources: home health care providers needed hospital-based clinicians to be a resource during the early period of transition home. (4) Caregiver preparation: participants emphasized caregiver preparation about medical care of CMC, home health nursing, and the differences between hospital and home care practices in the care of CMC.

CONCLUSIONS

There are gaps in the system of transitional care of CMC. Potential strategies to improve transitional care of CMC between the hospital and home health care services exist.

Continuity of Care Is Associated with Medical Costs and Inpatient Days in Children with Cerebral Palsy

Background: Children with cerebral palsy (CP) place a considerable burden on medical costs and add to an increased number of inpatient days in Taiwan. Continuity of care (COC) has not been investigated in this population thus far. Materials and Methods: We designed a retrospective population-based cohort study using Taiwan’s National Health Insurance Research Database. Patients aged 0 to 18 years with CP catastrophic illness certificates were enrolled. We investigated the association of COC index (COCI) with medical costs and inpatient days. We also investigated the possible clinical characteristics affecting the outcome. Results: Over five years, children with CP with low COCI levels had higher medical costs and more inpatient days than did those with high COCI levels. Younger age at CP diagnosis, more inpatient visits one year before obtaining a catastrophic illness certificate, pneumonia, and nasogastric tube use increased medical expenses and length of hospital stay. Conclusions: Improving COC reduces medical costs and the number of inpatient days in children with CP. Certain characteristics also influence these outcomes.

A Statistical-Learning Model for Unplanned 7-Day Readmission in Pediatrics

OBJECTIVES

The rate of pediatric 7-day unplanned readmissions is often seen as a measure of quality of care, with high rates indicative of the need for improvement of quality of care. In this study, we used machine learning on electronic health records to study predictors of pediatric 7-day readmissions. We ranked predictors by clinical significance, as determined by the magnitude of the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression coefficients.

METHODS

Data consisting of 50 241 inpatient and observation encounters at a single tertiary pediatric hospital were retrieved; 50% of these patients' data were used for building a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression model, whereas the other half of the data were used for evaluating model performance. The categories of variables included were demographics, social determinants of health, severity of illness and acuity, resource use, diagnoses, medications, psychosocial factors, and other variables such as primary care no show.

RESULTS

Previous hospitalizations and readmissions, medications, multiple comorbidities, longer current and previous lengths of stay, certain diagnoses, and previous emergency department use were the most significant predictors modifying a patient's risk of 7-day pediatric readmission. The model achieved an area under the curve of 0.778 (95% confidence interval 0.763-0.793).

CONCLUSIONS

Predictors such as medications, previous and current health care resource use, history of readmissions, severity of illness and acuity, and certain psychosocial factors modified the risk of unplanned 7-day readmissions. These predictors are mostly unmodifiable, indicating that intervention plans on high-risk patients may be developed through discussions with patients and parents to identify underlying modifiable causal factors of readmissions.

A Novel Model for Enhanced Prediction and Understanding of Unplanned 30-Day Pediatric Readmission

OBJECTIVES

To develop a model to assist clinicians in reducing 30-day unplanned pediatric readmissions and to enhance understanding of risk factors leading to such readmissions.

METHODS

Data consisting of 38 143 inpatient clinical encounters at a tertiary pediatric hospital were retrieved, and 50% were used for training on a multivariate logistic regression model. The pediatric Rothman Index (pRI) was 1 of the novel candidate predictors considered. Multivariate model selection was conducted by minimization of Akaike Information Criteria. The area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) and values for sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, relative risk, and accuracy were computed on the remaining 50% of the data.

RESULTS

The multivariate logistic regression model of readmission consists of 7 disease diagnosis groups, 4 measures of hospital resource use, 3 measures of disease severity and/or medical complexities, and 2 variables derived from the pRI. Four of the predictors are novel, including history of previous 30-day readmissions within last 6 months (P < .001), planned admissions (P < .001), the discharge pRI score (P < .001), and indicator of whether the maximum pRI occurred during the last 24 hours of hospitalization (P = .005). An AUC of 0.79 (0.77-0.80) was obtained on the independent test data set.

CONCLUSIONS

Our model provides significant performance improvements in the prediction of unplanned 30-day pediatric readmissions with AUC higher than the LACE readmission model and other general unplanned 30-day pediatric readmission models. The model is expected to provide an opportunity to capture 39% of readmissions (at a selected operating point) and may therefore assist clinicians in reducing avoidable readmissions.