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Gaddy H, Ingholt MM. Did the 1918 influenza pandemic cause a 1920 baby boom? Demographic evidence from neutral Europe. POPULATION STUDIES 2024; 78:269-287. [PMID: 37011659 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2023.2192041] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/15/2022] [Accepted: 11/22/2022] [Indexed: 04/05/2023]
Abstract
In 1919-20, the European countries that were neutral in the First World War saw a small baby bust followed by a small baby boom. The sparse literature on this topic attributes the 1919 bust to individuals postponing conceptions during the peak of the 1918-20 influenza pandemic and the 1920 boom to recuperation of those conceptions. Using data from six large neutral countries of Europe, we present novel evidence contradicting that narrative. In fact, the subnational populations and maternal birth cohorts whose fertility was initially hit hardest by the pandemic were still experiencing below-average fertility in 1920. Demographic evidence, economic evidence, and a review of post-pandemic fertility trends outside Europe suggest that the 1920 baby boom in neutral Europe was caused by the end of the First World War, not by the end of the pandemic.
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Hsiao CJ, Quinn EB, Maisha FM, Nevell LD, Mulligan CJ. Associations of maternal stress, gene expression, and newborn birthweight in the Democratic Republic of Congo. AMERICAN JOURNAL OF BIOLOGICAL ANTHROPOLOGY 2024; 183:e24862. [PMID: 39101464 PMCID: PMC11292139 DOI: 10.1002/ajpa.24862] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/14/2023] [Accepted: 10/02/2023] [Indexed: 08/06/2024]
Abstract
Objectives Maternal stress has long been associated with lower birthweight, which is associated with adverse health outcomes including many adult diseases. The underlying mechanisms remain elusive although changes in gene expression may play a role. Studies are only beginning to test how maternal stress impacts gene expression as reflected in the transcriptome. Materials and Methods In a cohort of mothers and newborns in the eastern Democratic Republic of Congo (n=93), we studied the effects of four maternal stress measures (chronic stress, war trauma, sexual trauma, and general trauma) on the transcriptomes of maternal venous blood, newborn venous blood, and placental tissues, and on newborn birthweight. Maternal stress was investigated as independent measures, principal components, and clusters identified through machine learning. The transcriptome was assayed using the ClariomD chip. Multiple regression models were used to test for associations between maternal stress measures, the transcriptome, and newborn birthweight. Results None of the maternal stress measures showed an association with expression of individual genes. In contrast, when testing global gene expression, war trauma was significantly associated with the placental transcriptome. War trauma was also significantly associated with birthweight in multiple models. Mediation analysis indicated that ~14% of the effect of war trauma on birthweight was mediated by a placental gene expression component. Discussion Our results suggest that gene expression in the placenta, which represents the interface between mother and developing fetus, may partially mediate the negative impact of maternal stress on newborn birthweight.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chu J. Hsiao
- Department of Anthropology, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32608
- Genetics Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32608
- College of Medicine, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32608
| | - Edward B. Quinn
- Department of Anthropology, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32608
- Genetics Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32608
| | - Felicien M. Maisha
- Department of Anthropology, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32608
- Genetics Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32608
- HEAL Africa Hospital, Goma, Democratic Republic of Congo
- Maisha Institute, Goma, Democratic Republic of Congo
| | - Lisa D. Nevell
- Department of Anthropology, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32608
- Genetics Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32608
| | - Connie J. Mulligan
- Department of Anthropology, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32608
- Genetics Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32608
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Le Vu M, Matthes KL, Brabec M, Riou J, Skrivankova VW, Hösli I, Rohrmann S, Staub K. Health of singleton neonates in Switzerland through time and crises: a cross-sectional study at the population level, 2007-2022. BMC Pregnancy Childbirth 2024; 24:218. [PMID: 38528502 DOI: 10.1186/s12884-024-06414-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/21/2023] [Accepted: 03/12/2024] [Indexed: 03/27/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Being exposed to crises during pregnancy can affect maternal health through stress exposure, which can in return impact neonatal health. We investigated temporal trends in neonatal outcomes in Switzerland between 2007 and 2022 and their variations depending on exposure to the economic crisis of 2008, the flu pandemic of 2009, heatwaves (2015 and 2018) and the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS Using individual cross-sectional data encompassing all births occurring in Switzerland at the monthly level (2007-2022), we analysed changes in birth weight and in the rates of preterm birth (PTB) and stillbirth through time with generalized additive models. We assessed whether the intensity or length of crisis exposure was associated with variations in these outcomes. Furthermore, we explored effects of exposure depending on trimesters of pregnancy. RESULTS Over 1.2 million singleton births were included in our analyses. While birth weight and the rate of stillbirth have remained stable since 2007, the rate of PTB has declined by one percentage point. Exposure to the crises led to different results, but effect sizes were overall small. Exposure to COVID-19, irrespective of the pregnancy trimester, was associated with a higher birth weight (+12 grams [95% confidence interval (CI) 5.5 to 17.9 grams]). Being exposed to COVID-19 during the last trimester was associated with an increased risk of stillbirth (odds ratio 1.24 [95%CI 1.02 to 1.50]). Exposure to the 2008 economic crisis during pregnancy was not associated with any changes in neonatal health outcomes, while heatwave effect was difficult to interpret. CONCLUSION Overall, maternal and neonatal health demonstrated resilience to the economic crisis and to the COVID-19 pandemic in a high-income country like Switzerland. However, the effect of exposure to the COVID-19 pandemic is dual, and the negative impact of maternal infection on pregnancy is well-documented. Stress exposure and economic constraint may also have had adverse effects among the most vulnerable subgroups of Switzerland. To investigate better the impact of heatwave exposure on neonatal health, weekly or daily-level data is needed, instead of monthly-level data.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mathilde Le Vu
- Institute of Evolutionary Medicine, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
| | - Katarina L Matthes
- Institute of Evolutionary Medicine, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
| | - Marek Brabec
- Institute of Computer Science of the Czech Academy of Sciences, Prague, Czech Republic
| | - Julien Riou
- Center for Primary Care and Public Health (Unisanté), University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland
| | - Veronika W Skrivankova
- Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine (ISPM), University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
| | - Irene Hösli
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, University Hospital of Basel, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Sabine Rohrmann
- Epidemiology, Biostatistics, and Prevention Institute, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
| | - Kaspar Staub
- Institute of Evolutionary Medicine, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
- Swiss School of Public Health (SSPH+), Zurich, Switzerland.
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Salvisberg V, Le Vu M, Floris J, Matthes KL, Staub K. Health of neonates born in the maternity hospital in Bern, Switzerland, 1880-1900 and 1914-1922. PLoS One 2023; 18:e0289157. [PMID: 37585406 PMCID: PMC10431681 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0289157] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/06/2023] [Accepted: 07/12/2023] [Indexed: 08/18/2023] Open
Abstract
The identification of factors impeding normal fetal development and growth is crucial for improving neonatal health. Historical studies are relevant because they show which parameters have influenced neonatal health in the past in order to better understand the present. We studied temporal changes of neonatal health outcomes (birth weight, gestational age, stillbirth rate) and the influence of different cofactors in two time periods. Moreover, we investigated particularly neonatal health in the wake of the 1918/19 influenza pandemic. Data were transcribed from the Bern Maternity Hospital and consists of two time periods: A) The years 1880, 1885, 1890, 1895 and 1900 (N = 1530, births' coverage 20%); B) The years 1914-1922 (N = 6924, births' coverage 40-50%). Linear regression models were used to estimate the effect of birth year on birth weight, and logistic regression models to estimate the effect of birth year and of the exposure to the pandemic on premature birth, stillborn and low birth weight (LBW). Mean birth weight increased only minimally between the two datasets; whereas, in the years 1914-1922, the preterm birth and stillbirth rates were markedly reduced compared with the years 1880-1900. Sex, parity, gestational age and maternal age were significantly associated with birth weight in both time periods. The probability of LBW was significantly increased in 1918 (OR 1.49 (95% CI 1.00-2.23)) and in 1919 (OR 1.55 (95% CI 1.02-2.36)) compared to 1914. Mothers who were heavily exposed to the influenza pandemic during pregnancy had a higher risk of stillbirth (OR 2.27 (95% CI 1.32-3.9)). This study demonstrated that factors influencing neonatal health are multifactorial but similar in both time periods. Moreover, the exposure to the 1918/19 pandemic was less associated with LBW and more associated with an increased risk of stillbirth. If this trend is confirmed by further studies, it could indicate some consistency across pandemics, as similar patterns have recently been shown for COVID-19.
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Affiliation(s)
- Vivienne Salvisberg
- Institute of Evolutionary Medicine, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
| | - Mathilde Le Vu
- Institute of Evolutionary Medicine, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
| | - Joël Floris
- Institute of Evolutionary Medicine, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
- Department of History, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
| | - Katarina L. Matthes
- Institute of Evolutionary Medicine, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
| | - Kaspar Staub
- Institute of Evolutionary Medicine, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
- Institute of History, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
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Floris J, Matthes KL, Le Vu M, Staub K. Intergenerational transmission of height in a historical population: From taller mothers to larger offspring at birth (and as adults). PNAS NEXUS 2023; 2:pgad208. [PMID: 37388921 PMCID: PMC10306274 DOI: 10.1093/pnasnexus/pgad208] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/17/2022] [Revised: 06/06/2023] [Accepted: 06/16/2023] [Indexed: 07/01/2023]
Abstract
Changes in growth and height reflect changes in nutritional status and health. The systematic surveillance of growth can suggest areas for interventions. Moreover, phenotypic variation has a strong intergenerational component. There is a lack of historical family data that can be used to track the transmission of height over subsequent generations. Maternal height is a proxy for conditions experienced by one generation that relates to the health/growth of future generations. Cross-sectional/cohort studies have shown that shorter maternal height is closely associated with lower birth weight of offspring. We analyzed the maternal height and offspring weight at birth in the maternity hospital in Basel, Switzerland, from 1896 to 1939 (N = ∼12,000) using generalized additive models (GAMs). We observed that average height of the mothers increased by ∼4 cm across 60 birth years and that average birth weight of their children shows a similarly shaped and upward trend 28 years later. Our final model (adjusted for year, parity, sex of the child, gestational age, and maternal birth year) revealed a significant and almost linear association between maternal height and birth weight. Maternal height was the second most important variable modeling birth weight, after gestational age. In addition, we found a significant association between maternal height and aggregated average height of males from the same birth years at time of conscription, 19 years later. Our results have implications for public health: When (female/maternal) height increases due to improved nutritional status, size at birth-and subsequently also the height in adulthood of the next generation-increases as well. However, the directions of development in this regard may currently differ depending on the world region.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Mathilde Le Vu
- Institute of Evolutionary Medicine, University of Zurich, CH-8057 Zurich, Switzerland
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Matthes KL. Long-term mortality effects of century crises: A warning from the past for the decades after COVID-19? Swiss Med Wkly 2023; 153:40057. [PMID: 36971660 DOI: 10.57187/smw.2023.40057] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 03/29/2023] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Katarina L Matthes
- Anthropometrics and Historical Epidemiology Research Group, Institute of Evolutionary Medicine, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
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De Geyter C. Live birth numbers undulate as crises come and go. Hum Reprod 2022; 37:2728-2729. [PMID: 36228657 PMCID: PMC9619654 DOI: 10.1093/humrep/deac232] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/04/2022] [Indexed: 12/14/2022] Open
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Wu Y, Furuya S, Wang Z, Nobles JE, Fletcher JM, Lu Q. GWAS on birth year infant mortality rates provides evidence of recent natural selection. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 2022; 119:e2117312119. [PMID: 35290122 PMCID: PMC8944929 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2117312119] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/20/2021] [Accepted: 02/07/2022] [Indexed: 01/17/2023] Open
Abstract
Following more than a century of phenotypic measurement of natural selection processes, much recent work explores relationships between molecular genetic measurements and realized fitness in the next generation. We take an innovative approach to the study of contemporary selective pressure by examining which genetic variants are “sustained” in populations as mortality exposure increases. Specifically, we deploy a so-called “regional GWAS” (genome-wide association study) that links the infant mortality rate (IMR) by place and year in the United Kingdom with common genetic variants among birth cohorts in the UK Biobank. These cohorts (born between 1936 and 1970) saw a decline in IMR from above 65 to under 20 deaths per 1,000 live births, with substantial subnational variations and spikes alongside wartime exposures. Our results show several genome-wide significant loci, including LCT and TLR10/1/6, related to area-level cohort IMR exposure during gestation and infancy. Genetic correlations are found across multiple domains, including fertility, cognition, health behaviors, and health outcomes, suggesting an important role for cohort selection in modern populations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yuchang Wu
- Department of Biostatistics and Medical Informatics, University of Wisconsin–Madison, Madison, WI 53706
- Center for Demography of Health and Aging, University of Wisconsin–Madison, Madison, WI 53706
| | - Shiro Furuya
- Department of Sociology, University of Wisconsin–Madison, Madison, WI 53706
| | - Zihang Wang
- Department of Statistics, University of Wisconsin–Madison, Madison, WI 53706
| | - Jenna E. Nobles
- Center for Demography of Health and Aging, University of Wisconsin–Madison, Madison, WI 53706
- Department of Sociology, University of Wisconsin–Madison, Madison, WI 53706
| | - Jason M. Fletcher
- Center for Demography of Health and Aging, University of Wisconsin–Madison, Madison, WI 53706
- Department of Sociology, University of Wisconsin–Madison, Madison, WI 53706
- La Follette School of Public Affairs, University of Wisconsin–Madison, Madison, WI 53706
| | - Qiongshi Lu
- Department of Biostatistics and Medical Informatics, University of Wisconsin–Madison, Madison, WI 53706
- Center for Demography of Health and Aging, University of Wisconsin–Madison, Madison, WI 53706
- Department of Statistics, University of Wisconsin–Madison, Madison, WI 53706
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Assessing the effects of autarchic policies on the biological well-being: Analysis of deviations in cohort male height in the Valencian Community (Spain) during Francoist regime. Soc Sci Med 2021; 273:113771. [PMID: 33621755 DOI: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2021.113771] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Revised: 02/04/2021] [Accepted: 02/09/2021] [Indexed: 01/04/2023]
Abstract
This article aims to assess the impact of autarchic policies on the biological dimensions of human well-being during Francoist regime in Spain. This is done by examining the nutritional status of the population through the study of male adult heights. Our case study is the Valencian Community with the focus on the period 1940-59 which witnessed the implementation of such policies. The heights of 21-year old draftees born between 1900 and 1954 from nine municipalities (N = 87,510) were analyzed in the light of inter-cohort deviations from a secular trend established for cohorts that were not exposed to autarchy-related hardships. Height was regressed on infant mortality as a way to control for infection and therefore approach the net effect of nutrition on height outcomes. Contrarily to what was displayed by cohort height trends in themselves, the results reveal a significant worsening of the nutritional status of the male population at the time. Deviations from the expected height trend across municipalities ranged between -0.5 and -3.4 mm per year. The effects of malnutrition are found to be larger among cohorts born in the period 1920-34 in coherence with a longer exposure to autarchy hardships during adolescence. Pre-autarchy nutrition levels observed among the cohorts of 1900-14 were not regained until the cohorts 1945-49. The results also show that malnutrition had an unequal impact with the large industrial towns of our sample experiencing the poorest height outcomes. Overall, these results invite to revise conclusions obtained from the sole evidence of height trends and they question the efficiency of intervention policies implemented in Spain during the 1940s.
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