Prediction of physical violence in schizophrenia with machine learning algorithms

Identification of male schizophrenia patients using brain morphology based on machine learning algorithms

BACKGROUND

Schizophrenia is a severe psychiatric disease, and its prevalence is higher. However, diagnosis of early-stage schizophrenia is still considered a challenging task.

AIM

To employ brain morphological features and machine learning method to differentiate male individuals with schizophrenia from healthy controls.

METHODS

The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator and t tests were applied to select important features from structural magnetic resonance images as input features for classification. Four commonly used machine learning algorithms, the general linear model, random forest (RF), k-nearest neighbors, and support vector machine algorithms, were used to develop the classification models. The performance of the classification models was evaluated according to the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).

RESULTS

A total of 8 important features with significant differences between groups were considered as input features for the establishment of classification models based on the four machine learning algorithms. Compared to other machine learning algorithms, RF yielded better performance in the discrimination of male schizophrenic individuals from healthy controls, with an AUC of 0.886.

CONCLUSION

Our research suggests that brain morphological features can be used to improve the early diagnosis of schizophrenia in male patients.

Effect of personality traits, psychological resilience and life adversities on lifetime violence trajectories: A novel classification model in schizophrenia

The risk of violence is higher in schizophrenia spectrum disorders (SSD) compared to the general population and it is a pressing and understudied issue. Several dispositional and environmental factors have been previously correlated with violence, however, there has been little success in assessing their ability to predict violence patterns across the life span. This study aims to assess violence prediction based on personality traits, psychological resilience, and life-course adversities in a non-forensic population of SSD patients. In a sample of 231 patients with SSD, we assessed violence using the Brown-Goodwin History of Lifetime Aggression Scale and conducted cross-sectional assessments of possible predictors such as childhood trauma, personality traits and resilience scores. We then utilized a logistic regression classification algorithm to predict different violence trajectories based on the proposed risk factors. Our model significantly predicted individuals with violence in both childhood and adulthood, as well as childhood-only violence (p < 0.001). However, the model did not show significance for adult-only violence (p = 0.604). In all given trajectories, female sex appeared to be protective against violence, while stressful life events appeared to contribute to it. These results suggest that distinct factors can better inform risk assessment of lifespan violence patterns for personalized interventions in SSD.

Exploring Characteristics of Homicide Offenders With Schizophrenia Spectrum Disorders Via Machine Learning

The link between schizophrenia and homicide has long been the subject of research with significant impact on mental health policy, clinical practice, and public perception of people with psychiatric disorders. The present study investigates factors contributing to completed homicides committed by offenders diagnosed with schizophrenia referred to a Swiss forensic institution, using machine learning algorithms. Data were collected from 370 inpatients at the Centre for Inpatient Forensic Therapy at the Zurich University Hospital of Psychiatry. A total of 519 variables were explored to differentiate homicidal and other (violent and non-violent) offenders. The dataset was split employing variable filtering, model building, and selection embedded in a nested resampling approach. Ten factors regarding criminal and psychiatric history and clinical factors were identified to be influential in differentiating between homicidal and other offenders. Findings expand the research on influential factors for completed homicide in patients with schizophrenia. Limitations, clinical relevance, and future directions are discussed.

Machine Learning for prediction of violent behaviors in schizophrenia spectrum disorders: a systematic review

Background

Schizophrenia spectrum disorders (SSD) can be associated with an increased risk of violent behavior (VB), which can harm patients, others, and properties. Prediction of VB could help reduce the SSD burden on patients and healthcare systems. Some recent studies have used machine learning (ML) algorithms to identify SSD patients at risk of VB. In this article, we aimed to review studies that used ML to predict VB in SSD patients and discuss the most successful ML methods and predictors of VB.

Methods

We performed a systematic search in PubMed, Web of Sciences, Embase, and PsycINFO on September 30, 2023, to identify studies on the application of ML in predicting VB in SSD patients.

Results

We included 18 studies with data from 11,733 patients diagnosed with SSD. Different ML models demonstrated mixed performance with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.56-0.95 and an accuracy of 50.27-90.67% in predicting violence among SSD patients. Our comparative analysis demonstrated a superior performance for the gradient boosting model, compared to other ML models in predicting VB among SSD patients. Various sociodemographic, clinical, metabolic, and neuroimaging features were associated with VB, with age and olanzapine equivalent dose at the time of discharge being the most frequently identified factors.

Conclusion

ML models demonstrated varied VB prediction performance in SSD patients, with gradient boosting outperforming. Further research is warranted for clinical applications of ML methods in this field.

Beyond Discrimination: Generative AI Applications and Ethical Challenges in Forensic Psychiatry

The advent and growing popularity of generative artificial intelligence (GenAI) holds the potential to revolutionise AI applications in forensic psychiatry and criminal justice, which traditionally relied on discriminative AI algorithms. Generative AI models mark a significant shift from the previously prevailing paradigm through their ability to generate seemingly new realistic data and analyse and integrate a vast amount of unstructured content from different data formats. This potential extends beyond reshaping conventional practices, like risk assessment, diagnostic support, and treatment and rehabilitation plans, to creating new opportunities in previously underexplored areas, such as training and education. This paper examines the transformative impact of generative artificial intelligence on AI applications in forensic psychiatry and criminal justice. First, it introduces generative AI and its prevalent models. Following this, it reviews the current applications of discriminative AI in forensic psychiatry. Subsequently, it presents a thorough exploration of the potential of generative AI to transform established practices and introduce novel applications through multimodal generative models, data generation and data augmentation. Finally, it provides a comprehensive overview of ethical and legal issues associated with deploying generative AI models, focusing on their impact on individuals as well as their broader societal implications. In conclusion, this paper aims to contribute to the ongoing discourse concerning the dynamic challenges of generative AI applications in forensic contexts, highlighting potential opportunities, risks, and challenges. It advocates for interdisciplinary collaboration and emphasises the necessity for thorough, responsible evaluations of generative AI models before widespread adoption into domains where decisions with substantial life-altering consequences are routinely made.

Association Between Adverse Childhood Experiences and a Combination of Psychosis and Violence Among Adults: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Relationships have been well established between adverse childhood experiences (ACEs) and later psychosis (29 systematic reviews) or violence (4 systematic reviews). To date, just one review has explored childhood maltreatment, specifically, and violence risk with psychosis. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analyses of a wider range of ACEs and later psychosis with actual violence compared with psychosis alone, violence alone or neither, completing searches in January 2021. In all, 15 studies met inclusion criteria, but only six included all four groups of interest. Two substantial studies recorded ACEs from sources independent of those affected and probably before emergent psychosis or violence; others relied on retrospective recall. Meta-analyses were possible only for within-psychosis-group comparisons; histories of physical abuse, sexual abuse, and having a criminal/violent parent or living with family alcohol/drug use were each associated with around twice the odds of psychosis with violence as psychosis alone. Although ACE measures in the four-way comparisons were too divergent for firm conclusions, abuse histories, and parental criminality emerged as likely antecedents, one study evidencing psychosis as mediating between ACEs and violence. Without longitudinal prospective study, pathways between ACEs and later problems remain unclear. Our findings add weight to the case for exploring ACEs in addition to abuse as possible indicators of later violence among people with psychosis and for trauma-informed interventions, which is important because some people are reluctant to disclose abuse histories.

Harnessing Artificial Intelligence: Strategies for Mental Health Nurses in Optimizing Psychiatric Patient Care

This narrative review explores the transformative impact of Artificial Intelligence (AI) on mental health nursing, particularly in enhancing psychiatric patient care. AI technologies present new strategies for early detection, risk assessment, and improving treatment adherence in mental health. They also facilitate remote patient monitoring, bridge geographical gaps, and support clinical decision-making. The evolution of virtual mental health assistants and AI-enhanced therapeutic interventions are also discussed. These technological advancements reshape the nurse-patient interactions while ensuring personalized, efficient, and high-quality care. The review also addresses AI's ethical and responsible use in mental health nursing, emphasizing patient privacy, data security, and the balance between human interaction and AI tools. As AI applications in mental health care continue to evolve, this review encourages continued innovation while advocating for responsible implementation, thereby optimally leveraging the potential of AI in mental health nursing.

A systematic review of ethical challenges and opportunities of addressing domestic violence with AI-technologies and online tools

Domestic violence remains a pressing complex social problem of people of any gender, age, socio-economic status, and ethno-cultural background, an issue that worsened worldwide during the COVID-19 pandemic. Digital, online, or artificial intelligence-based smart technological services, applications, and tools provide novel approaches in addressing domestic violence, including intimate partner violence. This systematic literature review analyses the ethical challenges and opportunities these (protective) digital and smart technologies provide to the stakeholders involved. Our results highlight that the public health and societal issue are the leading narratives of domestic violence, which is predominantly interpreted as gender-based violence. The review highlights an emerging trend of the role of machine learning- and artificial intelligence-based approaches in identifying and preventing domestic violence. However, we argue that little recommendation is available to professionals about how to use these approaches in a responsible way, and that the smartness of high-tech technologies is often challenged by basic-level technologies from perpetrators, creating an imbalance that also limits an impactful development of a comprehensive socio-technical regime that serves the safety and resilience of families in their communal setting.

Application of machine learning in predicting aggressive behaviors from hospitalized patients with schizophrenia

Objective

To establish a predictive model of aggressive behaviors from hospitalized patients with schizophrenia through applying multiple machine learning algorithms, to provide a reference for accurately predicting and preventing of the occurrence of aggressive behaviors.

Methods

The cluster sampling method was used to select patients with schizophrenia who were hospitalized in our hospital from July 2019 to August 2021 as the survey objects, and they were divided into an aggressive behavior group (611 cases) and a non-aggressive behavior group (1,426 cases) according to whether they experienced obvious aggressive behaviors during hospitalization. Self-administered General Condition Questionnaire, Insight and Treatment Attitude Questionnaire (ITAQ), Family APGAR (Adaptation, Partnership, Growth, Affection, Resolve) Questionnaire (APGAR), Social Support Rating Scale Questionnaire (SSRS) and Family Burden Scale of Disease Questionnaire (FBS) were used for the survey. The Multi-layer Perceptron, Lasso, Support Vector Machine and Random Forest algorithms were used to build a predictive model for the occurrence of aggressive behaviors from hospitalized patients with schizophrenia and to evaluate its predictive effect. Nomogram was used to build a clinical application tool.

Results

The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) values of the Multi-Layer Perceptron, Lasso, Support Vector Machine, and Random Forest were 0.904 (95% CI: 0.877-0.926), 0.901 (95% CI: 0.874-0.923), 0.902 (95% CI: 0.876-0.924), and 0.955 (95% CI: 0.935-0.970), where the AUCs of the Random Forest and the remaining three models were statistically different (p < 0.0001), and the remaining three models were not statistically different in pair comparisons (p > 0.5).

Conclusion

Machine learning models can fairly predict aggressive behaviors in hospitalized patients with schizophrenia, among which Random Forest has the best predictive effect and has some value in clinical application.

Predicting criminal and violent outcomes in psychiatry: a meta-analysis of diagnostic accuracy

Although reducing criminal outcomes in individuals with mental illness have long been a priority for governments worldwide, there is still a lack of objective and highly accurate tools that can predict these events at an individual level. Predictive machine learning models may provide a unique opportunity to identify those at the highest risk of criminal activity and facilitate personalized rehabilitation strategies. Therefore, this systematic review and meta-analysis aims to describe the diagnostic accuracy of studies using machine learning techniques to predict criminal and violent outcomes in psychiatry. We performed meta-analyses using the mada, meta, and dmetatools packages in R to predict criminal and violent outcomes in psychiatric patients (n = 2428) (Registration Number: CRD42019127169) by searching PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science for articles published in any language up to April 2022. Twenty studies were included in the systematic review. Overall, studies used single-nucleotide polymorphisms, text analysis, psychometric scales, hospital records, and resting-state regional cerebral blood flow to build predictive models. Of the studies described in the systematic review, nine were included in the present meta-analysis. The area under the curve (AUC) for predicting violent and criminal outcomes in psychiatry was 0.816 (95% Confidence Interval (CI): 70.57-88.15), with a partial AUC of 0.773, and average sensitivity of 73.33% (95% CI: 64.09-79.63), and average specificity of 72.90% (95% CI: 63.98-79.66), respectively. Furthermore, the pooled accuracy across models was 71.45% (95% CI: 60.88-83.86), with a tau squared (τ²) of 0.0424 (95% CI: 0.0184-0.1553). Based on available evidence, we suggest that prospective models include evidence-based risk factors identified in prior actuarial models. Moreover, there is a need for a greater emphasis on identifying biological features and incorporating novel variables which have not been explored in prior literature. Furthermore, available models remain preliminary, and prospective validation with independent datasets, and across cultures, will be required prior to clinical implementation. Nonetheless, predictive machine learning models hold promise in providing clinicians and researchers with actionable tools to improve how we prevent, detect, or intervene in relevant crime and violent-related outcomes in psychiatry.

Violence in relation to cognitive deficits and symptom severity in a sample of Egyptian patients with schizophrenia

BACKGROUND

Patient with schizophrenia are significantly more likely to be violent than general population; and the consequences of this violence risk are often very serious for the patients, their caregivers, and the entire community.

AIM

To assess the risk of violence in patients with schizophrenia and its correlation with severity of symptoms and cognitive functions.

METHODS

A cross-sectional comparative study conducted in Okasha institute of psychiatry including 50 patients with schizophrenia compared to 50 healthy control group regarding violence risk as assessed by Historical, Clinical, and Risk Management-20 (HCR-20), case group was assessed using Structured Clinical Interview for DSM-IV (SCID-I), Positive and Negative Syndrome Scale (PANSS), cognitive functions were assessed by Wechsler Adult Intelligence Scale (WAIS), Trail Making Test (TMT) Part A and B, the Wisconsin Card Sorting Test (WCST), and the Wechsler Memory Scale (WMS).

RESULTS

There was a statistically significant difference between case and control groups regarding risk of violence where 58% of the case group were found to have risk of violence compared to only 18% in the control group. There was a significant correlation between this risk of violence and period of untreated psychosis, no of episodes, and history of substance use; also was significantly correlated with PANSS and Wisconsin card sorting test subscales. Regarding logistic regression analysis for factors affecting violence risk; total PANSS score and history of substance use were significant independent factors that increase violence risk.

CONCLUSION

Violence risk in patient with schizophrenia is a cardinal factor that may affect life of the patients, their family, and society; this risk can be affected by different factors including severity of symptoms, no of episodes, history of substance use, and cognitive function of the patients.

Prediction of violence in male schizophrenia using sMRI, based on machine learning algorithms

BACKGROUND

Violent behavior in patients with schizophrenia (SCZ) is a major social problem. The early identification of SCZ patients with violence can facilitate implementation of targeted intervention.

METHODS

A total of 57 male SCZ patients were recruited into this study. The general linear model was utilized to compare differences in structural magnetic resonance imaging (sMRI) including gray matter volume, cortical surface area, and cortical thickness between 30 SCZ patients who had exhibited violence and 27 SCZ patients without a history of violence. Based on machine learning algorithms, the different sMRI features between groups were integrated into the models for prediction of violence in SCZ patients.

RESULTS

After controlling for the whole brain volume and age, the general linear model showed significant reductions in right bankssts thickness, inferior parietal thickness as well as left frontal pole volume in the patients with SCZ and violence relative to those without violence. Among seven machine learning algorithms, Support Vector Machine (SVM) have better performance in differentiating patients with violence from those without violence, with its balanced accuracy and area under curve (AUC) reaching 0.8231 and 0.841, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with SCZ who had a history of violence displayed reduced cortical thickness and volume in several brain regions. Based on machine learning algorithms, structural MRI features are useful to improve predictive ability of SCZ patients at particular risk of violence.

Effectiveness of Artificial Intelligence Methods in Personalized Aggression Risk Prediction within Inpatient Psychiatric Treatment Settings—A Systematic Review

Aggression risk assessments are vital to prevent injuries and morbidities amongst patients and staff in psychiatric settings. More recent studies have harnessed artificial intelligence (AI) methods such as machine learning algorithms to determine factors associated with aggression in psychiatric treatment settings. In this review, using Cooper’s five-stage review framework, we aimed to evaluate the: (1) predictive accuracy, and (2) clinical variables associated with AI-based aggression risk prediction amongst psychiatric inpatients. Databases including PubMed, Cochrane, Scopus, PsycINFO, CINAHL were searched for relevant articles until April 2022. The eight included studies were independently evaluated using critical appraisal tools for systematic review developed by Joanna Briggs Institute. Most of the studies (87.5%) examined health records in predicting aggression and reported acceptable to excellent accuracy with specific machine learning algorithms employed (area under curve range 0.75–0.87). No particular machine learning algorithm outperformed the others consistently across studies (area under curve range 0.61–0.87). Relevant factors identified with aggression related to demographic and social profile, past aggression, forensic history, other psychiatric history, psychopathology, challenging behaviors and management domains. The limited extant studies have highlighted a potential role for the use of AI methods to clarify factors associated with aggression in psychiatric inpatient treatment settings.

Comparison of Machine Learning Algorithms in the Prediction of Hospitalized Patients with Schizophrenia

New computational methods have emerged through science and technology to support the diagnosis of mental health disorders. Predictive models developed from machine learning algorithms can identify disorders such as schizophrenia and support clinical decision making. This research aims to compare the performance of machine learning algorithms: Decision Tree, AdaBoost, Random Forest, Naïve Bayes, Support Vector Machine, and k-Nearest Neighbor in the prediction of hospitalized patients with schizophrenia. The data set used in the study contains a total of 11,884 electronic admission records corresponding to 6933 patients with various mental health disorders; these records belong to the acute units of 11 public hospitals in a region of Spain. Of the total, 5968 records correspond to patients diagnosed with schizophrenia (3002 patients) and 5916 records correspond to patients with other mental health disorders (3931 patients). The results recommend Random Forest with the best accuracy of 72.7%. Furthermore, this algorithm presents 79.6%, 72.8%, 72.7%, and 72.7% for AUC, precision, F1-Score, and recall, respectively. The results obtained suggest that the use of machine learning algorithms can classify hospitalized patients with schizophrenia in this population and help in the hospital management of this type of disorder, to reduce the costs associated with hospitalization.

The Prediction and Influential Factors of Violence in Male Schizophrenia Patients With Machine Learning Algorithms

BACKGROUND

Early to identify male schizophrenia patients with violence is important for the performance of targeted measures and closer monitoring, but it is difficult to use conventional risk factors. This study is aimed to employ machine learning (ML) algorithms combined with routine data to predict violent behavior among male schizophrenia patients. Moreover, the identified best model might be utilized to calculate the probability of an individual committing violence.

METHOD

We enrolled a total of 397 male schizophrenia patients and randomly stratified them into the training set and the testing set, in a 7:3 ratio. We used eight ML algorithms to develop the predictive models. The main variables as input features selected by the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and logistic regression (LR) were integrated into prediction models for violence among male schizophrenia patients. In the training set, 10 × 10-fold cross-validation was conducted to adjust the parameters. In the testing set, we evaluated and compared the predictive performance of eight ML algorithms in terms of area under the curve (AUC) for the receiver operating characteristic curve.

RESULT

Our results showed the prevalence of violence among male schizophrenia patients was 36.8%. The LASSO and LR identified main risk factors for violent behavior in patients with schizophrenia integrated into the predictive models, including lower education level [0.556 (0.378-0.816)], having cigarette smoking [2.121 (1.191-3.779)], higher positive syndrome [1.016 (1.002-1.031)] and higher social disability screening schedule (SDSS) [1.081 (1.026-1.139)]. The Neural Net (nnet) with an AUC of 0.6673 (0.5599-0.7748) had better prediction ability than that of other algorithms.

CONCLUSION

ML algorithms are useful in early identifying male schizophrenia patients with violence and helping clinicians take preventive measures.

The impact of machine learning in predicting risk of violence: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Inpatient violence in clinical and forensic settings is still an ongoing challenge to organizations and practitioners. Existing risk assessment instruments show only moderate benefits in clinical practice, are time consuming, and seem to scarcely generalize across different populations. In the last years, machine learning (ML) models have been applied in the study of risk factors for aggressive episodes. The objective of this systematic review is to investigate the potential of ML for identifying risk of violence in clinical and forensic populations.

METHODS

Following Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines, a systematic review on the use of ML techniques in predicting risk of violence of psychiatric patients in clinical and forensic settings was performed. A systematic search was conducted on Medline/Pubmed, CINAHL, PsycINFO, Web of Science, and Scopus. Risk of bias and applicability assessment was performed using Prediction model Risk Of Bias ASsessment Tool (PROBAST).

RESULTS

We identified 182 potentially eligible studies from 2,259 records, and 8 papers were included in this systematic review. A wide variability in the experimental settings and characteristics of the enrolled samples emerged across studies, which probably represented the major cause for the absence of shared common predictors of violence found by the models learned. Nonetheless, a general trend toward a better performance of ML methods compared to structured violence risk assessment instruments in predicting risk of violent episodes emerged, with three out of eight studies with an AUC above 0.80. However, because of the varied experimental protocols, and heterogeneity in study populations, caution is needed when trying to quantitatively compare (e.g., in terms of AUC) and derive general conclusions from these approaches. Another limitation is represented by the overall quality of the included studies that suffer from objective limitations, difficult to overcome, such as the common use of retrospective data.

CONCLUSION

Despite these limitations, ML models represent a promising approach in shedding light on predictive factors of violent episodes in clinical and forensic settings. Further research and more investments are required, preferably in large and prospective groups, to boost the application of ML models in clinical practice.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION

[www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/], identifier [CRD42022310410].

Identification of violent patients with schizophrenia using a hybrid machine learning approach at the individual level

Despite numerous risk factors associated with violence in patients with schizophrenia, predicting and preventing violent behavior is still a challenge. At present, machine learning (ML) has become a promising strategy for guiding individualized assessment. To build an effective model to predict the risk of violence in patients with schizophrenia, we proposed a hybrid ML method to improve the prediction capability in 42 violent offenders with schizophrenia and 33 non-violent patients with schizophrenia. The results revealed that the final model, which combined multimodal data, achieved the highest prediction performance with an accuracy of 90.67%. Specifically, the model, which fused three modalities of neuroimaging data, achieved a better accuracy than other fused models. In addition, the msot discriminative neuroimaging features involved in the prefrontal-temporal cognitive circuit and striatum reward system, indicating that dysfunction in cortical-subcortical circuits might be associated with high risk of violence in patients with schizophrenia. This study provides the first evidence supporting that the combination of specific multimodal neuroimaging and clinical data in ML analysis can effectively identify violent patients with schizophrenia. Furthermore, this work is crucial for the development of neuro-prediction models that could facilitate individualized treatment and interventions for violent behaviors in patients with schizophrenia.

Prediction on Domestic Violence in Bangladesh during the COVID-19 Outbreak Using Machine Learning Methods

The COVID-19 outbreak resulted in preventative measures and restrictions for Bangladesh during the summer of 2020—these unstable and stressful times led to multiple social problems (e.g., domestic violence and divorce). Globally, researchers, policymakers, governments, and civil societies have been concerned about the increase in domestic violence against women and children during the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. In Bangladesh, domestic violence against women and children has increased during the COVID-19 pandemic. In this article, we investigated family violence among 511 families during the COVID-19 outbreak. Participants were given questionnaires to answer, for a period of over ten days; we predicted family violence using a machine learning-based model. To predict domestic violence from our data set, we applied random forest, logistic regression, and Naive Bayes machine learning algorithms to our model. We employed an oversampling strategy named the Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE) and the chi-squared statistical test to, respectively, solve the imbalance problem and discover the feature importance of our data set. The performances of the machine learning algorithms were evaluated based on accuracy, precision, recall, and F-score criteria. Finally, the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and confusion matrices were developed and analyzed for three algorithms. On average, our model, with the random forest, logistic regression, and Naive Bayes algorithms, predicted family violence with 77%, 69%, and 62% accuracy for our data set. The findings of this study indicate that domestic violence has increased and is highly related to two features: family income level during the COVID-19 pandemic and education level of the family members.

Candidate symptomatic markers for predicting violence in schizophrenia: A cross-sectional study of 7711 patients in a Chinese population

OBJECTIVE

Violent behaviour is an alarming problem among schizophrenia patients. The effects of historical, clinical, and pathological risk factors for violence have been investigated by multiple studies, but consensus has not been achieved. As psychotic symptoms are more direct and intuitive indicators for violence, identifying robustly associated symptoms is a crucial part of the future prediction and precise management of violent patients in clinics. This study aims to identify the psychotic symptoms correlated with violence among schizophrenia patients in a Chinese population.

METHODS

In this cross-sectional study, the medical records of 7711 schizophrenia patients (4711 in the discovery set and 3000 in the validation set) were collected from 1998 to 2010. Their psychotic symptoms were extracted, and the patients were divided into violent and non-violent groups. Multivariate logistic analysis was applied to identify symptoms associated with violence in the discovery set.

RESULTS

Eight psychotic symptoms were found to be significantly correlated with violence in schizophrenia. "Destruction of property", "verbal aggression" and "insomnia" increased the risk of violence, while "flat affect", "delusion of persecution", "auditory hallucination", "vagueness of thought" and "poverty of thought" decreased the risk of violence. The regression model was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis for its discriminatory performance, achieving area under curve (AUC) values of 0.887 in the discovery sample set and 0.824 in the validation sample set.

CONCLUSIONS

The correlated symptoms identified by this study can serve as future candidate predictors for violence in schizophrenia, paving the way for precise management of schizophrenia patients in clinics.