Prognostic value of primary tumor SUVmax on pre-treatment 18F-FDG PET/CT imaging in patients with stage iii non-small cell lung cancer

Prognostic Significance of SUVmax Combined With Lactate Dehydrogenase in Advanced Lung Cancer Patients Treated With Immune Checkpoint Inhibitor Plus Chemotherapy: A Retrospective Study

Purpose

This research aims to investigate the predictive capacity of PET/CT quantitative parameters combined with haematological parameters in advanced lung cancer patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) plus chemotherapy.

Methods

A total of 120 patients who underwent ¹⁸F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography (¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT) were enrolled before therapy. The following parameters were calculated: the maximum, mean, and peak standardized uptake value (SUVmax, SUVmean, and SUVpeak, respectively); total tumour volume (MTV) and total lesion glycolysis (TLG); and whole-body metabolic values (MTVwb, TLGwb, SUVmeanwb, and SUVmaxwb). Lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) levels, absolute neutrophil count, absolute platelet count, albumin levels and derived neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (dNLR) were also computed. The associations between the variables and therapy outcome (evaluated by iRECIST) were analyzed.

Results

Based on iRECIST, 32 of 120 patients showed iPD, 43 iSD, 36 iPR and 9 iCR. Multivariate analysis found that SUVmax, MTVwb, LDH and absolute platelet count were associated with treatment response (P =0.015, P =0.005, P <0.001 and P =0.015, respectively). Kaplan-Meier survival analyses showed that SUVmax ≥11.42 and LDH ≥245 U/L were associated with shorter OS (P = 0.001 and P = 0.004, respectively). Multivariate Cox regression revealed that SUVmax and LDH alone were not correlated with survival prognosis (p>0.05), but the combination of SUVmax and LDH was independently associated with OS (P=0.015, P=0.001, respectively). The median survival time (MST) for the low (LDH<245 and SUVmax<11.42), intermediate(LDH<245 or SUVmax<11.42), and high(SUVmax≥11.42 and LDH≥245) groups was 24.10 months (95% CI: 19.43 to 28.77), 17.41 months (95% CI: 15.83 to 18.99), and 13.76 months (95% CI: 12.51 to 15.02), respectively.

Conclusion

This study identified that SUVmax plus LDH correlated with the survival outcome in patients with advanced lung cancer receiving PD-1/PD-L1 blockade plus chemotherapy.

Multiple Testing, Cut-Point Optimization, and Signs of Publication Bias in Prognostic FDG-PET Imaging Studies of Head and Neck and Lung Cancer: A Review and Meta-Analysis

Positron emission tomography (PET) imaging with 2-deoxy-2-[¹⁸F]-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) was proposed as prognostic marker in radiotherapy. Various uptake metrics and cut points were used, potentially leading to inflated effect estimates. Here, we performed a meta-analysis and systematic review of the prognostic value of pretreatment FDG–PET in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) and non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), with tests for publication bias. Hazard ratio (HR) for overall survival (OS), disease free survival (DFS), and local control was extracted or derived from the 57 studies included. Test for publication bias was performed, and the number of statistical tests and cut-point optimizations were registered. Eggers regression related to correlation of SUVmax with OS/DFS yielded p = 0.08/p = 0.02 for HNSCC and p < 0.001/p = 0.014 for NSCLC. No outcomes showed significant correlation with SUVmax, when adjusting for publication bias effect, whereas all four showed a correlation in the conventional meta-analysis. The number of statistical tests and cut points were high with no indication of improvement over time. Our analysis showed significant evidence of publication bias leading to inflated estimates of the prognostic value of SUVmax. We suggest that improved management of these complexities, including predefined statistical analysis plans, are critical for a reliable assessment of FDG–PET.