A data engineering approach for sustainable chemical end-of-life management

Application of read-across methods as a framework for the estimation of emissions from chemical processes

The read-across method is a popular data gap filling technique with developed application for multiple purposes, including regulatory. Within the US Environmental Protection Agency's (US EPA) New Chemicals Program under Toxic Substances Control Act (TSCA), read-across has been widely used, as well as within technical guidance published by the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development, the European Chemicals Agency, and the European Center for Ecotoxicology and Toxicology of Chemicals for filling chemical toxicity data gaps. Under the TSCA New Chemicals Review Program, US EPA is tasked with reviewing proposed new chemical applications prior to commencing commercial manufacturing within or importing into the United States. The primary goal of this review is to identify any unreasonable human health and environmental risks, arising from environmental releases/emissions during manufacturing and the resulting exposure from these environmental releases. The authors propose the application of read-across techniques for the development and use of a framework for estimating the emissions arising during the chemical manufacturing process. This methodology is to utilize available emissions data from a structurally similar analogue chemical or a group of structurally similar chemicals in a chemical family taking into consideration their physicochemical properties under specified chemical process unit operations and conditions. This framework is also designed to apply existing knowledge of read-across principles previously utilized in toxicity estimation for an analogue or category of chemicals and introduced and extended with a concurrent case study.

Tracking end-of-life stage of chemicals: A scalable data-centric and chemical-centric approach

Chemical flow analysis (CFA) can be used for collecting life-cycle inventory (LCI), estimating environmental releases, and identifying potential exposure scenarios for chemicals of concern at the end-of-life (EoL) stage. Nonetheless, the demand for comprehensive data and the epistemic uncertainties about the pathway taken by the chemical flows make CFA, LCI, and exposure assessment time-consuming and challenging tasks. Due to the continuous growth of computer power and the appearance of more robust algorithms, data-driven modelling represents an attractive tool for streamlining these tasks. However, a data ingestion pipeline is required for the deployment of serving data-driven models in the real world. Hence, this work moves forward by contributing a chemical-centric and data-centric approach to extract, transform, and load comprehensive data for CFA at the EoL, integrating cross-year and country data and its provenance as part of the data lifecycle. The framework is scalable and adaptable to production-level machine learning operations. The framework can supply data at an annual rate, making it possible to deal with changes in the statistical distributions of model predictors like transferred amount and target variables (e.g., EoL activity identification) to avoid potential data-driven model performance decay over time. For instance, it can detect that recycling transfers of 643 chemicals over the reporting years (1988 to 2020) are 29.87%, 17.79%, and 20.56% for Canada, Australia, and the U.S. Finally, the developed approach enables research advancements on data-driven modelling to easily connect with other data sources for economic information on industry sectors, the economic value of chemicals, and the environmental regulatory implications that may affect the occurrence of an EoL transfer class or activity like recycling of a chemical over years and countries. Finally, stakeholders gain more context about environmental regulation stringency and economic affairs that could affect environmental decision-making and EoL chemical exposure predictions.

Predicting Chemical End-of-Life Scenarios Using Structure-Based Classification Models

Analyzing chemicals and their effects on the environment from a life cycle viewpoint can produce a thorough analysis that takes end-of-life (EoL) activities into account. Chemical risk assessment, predicting environmental discharges, and finding EoL paths and exposure scenarios all depend on chemical flow data availability. However, it is challenging to gain access to such data and systematically determine EoL activities and potential chemical exposure scenarios. As a result, this work creates quantitative structure-transfer relationship (QSTR) models for aiding environmental managment decision-making based on chemical structure-based machine learning (ML) models to predict potential industrial EoL activities, chemical flow allocation, environmental releases, and exposure routes. Further multi-label classification methods may improve the predictability of QSTR models according to the ML experiment tracking. The developed QSTR models will assist stakeholders in predicting and comprehending potential EoL management activities and recycling loops, enabling environmental decision-making and EoL exposure assessment for new or existing chemicals in the global marketplace.

A generic scenario analysis of end-of-life plastic management: Chemical additives

Plastic growing demand and the increment in global plastics production have raised the number of spent plastics, out of which over 90% are either landfilled or incinerated. Both methods for handling spent plastics are susceptible to releasing toxic substances, damaging air, water, soil, organisms, and public health. Improvements to the existing infrastructure for plastics management are needed to limit chemical additive release and exposure resulting from the end-of-life (EoL) stage. This article analyzes the current plastic waste management infrastructure and identifies chemical additive releases through a material flow analysis. Additionally, we performed a facility-level generic scenario analysis of the current U.S. EoL stage of plastic additives to track and estimate their potential migration, releases, and occupational exposure. Potential scenarios were analyzed through sensitivity analysis to examine the merit of increasing recycling rates, using chemical recycling, and implementing additive extraction post-recycling. Our analyses identified that the current state of plastic EoL management possesses high mass flow intensity toward incineration and landfilling. Although maximizing the plastic recycling rate is a reasonably straightforward goal for enhancing material circularity, the conventional mechanical recycling method requires improvement because major chemical additive release and contamination routes act as obstacles to achieving high-quality plastics for future reuse and should be mitigated through chemical recycling and additive extraction. The potential hazards and risks identified in this research create an opportunity to design a safer closed-loop plastic recycling infrastructure to handle additives strategically and support sustainable materials management efforts to transform the US plastic economy from linear to circular.