Predicting in-hospital mortality for initial survivors of acute respiratory compromise (ARC) events: Development and validation of the ARC Score

Shortening of low-flow duration over time was associated with improved outcomes of extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation in in-hospital cardiac arrest

Introduction

Quality improvement in the administration of extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (ECPR) over time and its association with low-flow duration (LFD) and outcomes of cardiac arrest (CA) have been insufficiently investigated. In this study, we hypothesized that quality improvement in efforts to shorten the duration of initiating ECPR had decreased LFD over the last 15 years of experience at an academic tertiary care hospital, which in turn improved the outcomes of in-hospital CA (IHCA).

Methods

This was a single-center retrospective observational study of ECPR patients between January 2003 and December 2017. A rapid response system (RRS) and an extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) program were initiated in 2011 and 2013. First, the association of LFD per minute with the 90-day mortality and neurological outcome was analyzed using multiple logistic regression analysis. Then, the temporal changes in LFD were investigated.

Results

Of 175 study subjects who received ECPR, 117 had IHCA. In the multivariate logistic regression, IHCA patients with shorter LFD experienced significantly increased 90-day survival and favorable neurological outcomes (LFD per minute, 90-day survival: odds ratio [OR] = 0.97, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.94–1.00, P = 0.032; 90-day favorable neurological outcome: OR = 0.97, 95% CI = 0.94–1.00, P = 0.049). In the study period, LFD significantly decreased over time (slope − 5.39 [min/3 years], P < 0.0001).

Conclusion

A shorter LFD was associated with increased 90-day survival and favorable neurological outcomes of IHCA patients who received ECPR. The quality improvement in administering ECPR over time, including the RRS program and the ECMO program, appeared to ameliorate clinical outcomes.

Acute respiratory compromise on hospital wards: Association between recent ICU discharge and outcome

INTRODUCTION

Acute respiratory compromise (ARC), respiratory distress requiring emergent assisted ventilation, has a mortality of 20-40%. The relationship between recent discharge from an intensive care unit (ICU) and outcomes of patients suffering ARC on hospital wards is not well known. We hypothesized that a significant percentage of ARC events would occur in patients recently discharged from an ICU, that these patients would have worse outcomes than those without prior ICU stays, and that weekend ICU discharge would be associated with higher than expected post-ICU ARC frequency.

METHODS

Using the Get-With-The-Guidelines-Resuscitation ARC registry, we included adult, index ARC events occurring on hospital wards. Our primary analysis used multivariable logistic regression accounting for clustering by hospital to examine the association between prior ICU discharge and survival after an ARC event.

RESULTS

Of 11,800 ARCs, 937 (8%) occurred within two calendar days and 1010 (9%) >two calendar days after an ICU discharge. Patients with ICU discharge within two days had higher survival compared to those with no prior ICU stay (odds ratio 1.28 (95% CI: 1.11-1.48, p = 0.001)). Survival was not different in those with an ICU discharge more than two days prior and no prior ICU stay. Patients with ARC within two days of ICU discharge were not more likely to have left the ICU on a weekend.

CONCLUSIONS

Contrary to our hypothesis, discharge from an ICU within two calendar days was associated with better odds for survival compared to no prior ICU discharge or ICU discharge more than two days prior.